- ADP (ADP)'s latest weekly gauge shows private-sector hiring accelerating to an average of 23,750 jobs per week in the four weeks ending September 19, up from 20,000 in the prior period.
- The reading implies a net gain of 95,000 private jobs over the span, reinforcing the improving momentum seen in ADP's September monthly report.
- The data suggests the labor market is absorbing higher interest rates without a sharp slowdown, though sector gains remain uneven.
Hiring Momentum Builds
U.S. private employers stepped up hiring in mid-September, with ADP's weekly employment measure rising to an average gain of 23,750 jobs per week over the four weeks ended September 19, according to a headline released Tuesday. That pace is up 3,750 jobs per week, or about 19%, from the previously published 20,000 average for the four weeks ending September 5, and it implies a net increase of 95,000 private-sector positions over the period.
The latest figure extends a steady climb in ADP's overlapping four-week averages, which have risen from 9,500 in early August to 12,000, 16,250, 20,000, and now 23,750. While the overlapping windows limit how much independent confirmation each reading provides, the trajectory points to gradually strengthening demand for workers.
The weekly data, which ADP has released in recent months, is separate from the company's monthly payrolls report but helps fill the gap between those broader snapshots. ADP did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the specific weekly figure, which was not yet available on its release index as of Tuesday morning.
September Rebound
The weekly improvement aligns with ADP's September monthly report, which showed private employers added 90,000 jobs last month, well above a downwardly revised 36,000 in August and a consensus forecast of 68,000. Education and health services led with 55,000 new positions, followed by leisure and hospitality at 22,000, manufacturing at 17,000, and construction at 15,000. Financial activities shed 16,000 jobs, and professional and business services lost 11,000.
"September was a strong report," said Nela Richardson, ADP's chief economist, noting that job creation rebounded after a three-month slowdown while pay growth remained solid. Annual base-pay growth was 3.2%, while gross pay, including compensation beyond base pay, rose 4.7%. Job changers continued to command larger increases, with base-pay growth of 4.8%, versus 3.0% for those who stayed put.
The sectoral split reveals a recovery that is far from uniform. Health care, hospitality, and goods-producing industries are adding workers, while finance and professional services are contracting. That divergence means job seekers in expanding fields face a more favorable backdrop than those in white-collar services.
Fed Watch
The labor market's resilience comes as the Federal Reserve keeps its policy rate at 3.75%–4.00% following a quarter-point hike in mid-September. The central bank's statement cited solid economic expansion, resilient consumer spending, and elevated inflation, while noting that job gains had kept pace with workforce growth.
Against that backdrop, the ADP data carry two competing implications. Continued hiring suggests the economy is absorbing higher borrowing costs without an immediate collapse in employment. But if stronger hiring sustains spending and wage pressure, it could make a rapid easing of monetary policy less likely.
Those are conditional interpretations, not a forecast of the Fed's next move. The ADP release alone cannot settle the inflation-versus-employment tradeoff that policymakers are weighing.
ADP, which processes payrolls for more than 1.1 million clients across over 140 countries, reported fiscal 2026 revenue of $21.9 billion, up 7% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share up 11%. The company's fiscal 2027 outlook projects revenue growth of 5–6% and adjusted EPS growth of 9–11%.
What's Next
The next weekly ADP pulse is scheduled for October 13, and the October monthly employment report is due November 4 at 8:15 a.m. ET. Those releases will test whether the recent acceleration persists or proves fleeting.
Market reaction to the exact weekly headline was not immediately clear, and it would be premature to attribute any move in stocks, bonds, or the dollar to this single data point. For now, the numbers sketch a labor market that is cooling from its post-pandemic peak but still generating enough jobs to support household income—a mixed picture that leaves the Fed with little reason to rush.
Correction: An earlier version of this article misstated the prior four-week average. It was 20,000 jobs per week, not 20,500.