- Intel shares jumped 8% to 10% in late November 2025 on unconfirmed rumors that Apple may begin using its chip manufacturing services as early as 2027.
- The surge caps a period of renewed investor confidence, following a third-quarter earnings beat, a return to profitability, and raised guidance.
- Analysts remain divided on the long-term execution of Intel's foundry ambitions, even as government support and AI demand provide tailwinds.
Intel Corporation's stock experienced a sharp rally in the final days of November, climbing as much as 10% on heavy volume. The move, which pushed shares to multi-year highs around $39.95, was fueled by market chatter that the semiconductor giant is in advanced discussions to become a manufacturing partner for Apple Inc. According to people familiar with the matter, a potential deal could see Intel producing Apple-designed chips as soon as 2027, though neither company has publicly commented on the speculation.
The rumor arrives at a pivotal moment for Intel, which has been executing a multi-year turnaround under CEO Pat Gelsinger. The company recently posted a better-than-expected third quarter, with revenue and earnings per share surpassing analyst forecasts and marking a return to profitability. Management subsequently raised its guidance for the current quarter, citing improved cash flow and operational momentum driven by cost-cutting and strong demand for AI and PC products. "The beat and raise was a necessary step, but the market is now looking for the next leg of growth," said one analyst, who requested anonymity to discuss client sentiment. "A marquee foundry customer like Apple would be that catalyst."
Efforts to establish Intel Foundry as a major contract manufacturer have been a cornerstone of Gelsinger's strategy, supported by billions in grants and loans from the U.S. CHIPS and Science Act. The potential Apple deal, however speculative, represents the kind of high-volume, leading-edge commitment the foundry business needs to prove its competitiveness against established players like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Samsung Electronics Co. While some on Wall Street have expressed skepticism about Intel's ability to meet the exacting standards and scale required by Apple on such an aggressive timeline, the mere possibility has reframed the investment thesis.
In recent weeks, firms including Wells Fargo and Evercore ISI have upgraded price targets on Intel, pointing to improving fundamentals in its core business and progress in packaging technology. Others, like Wedbush, have maintained a more cautious stance, trimming longer-term forecasts due to the significant capital expenditures and execution risks still facing the foundry expansion. The company's recent partnership with NVIDIA to leverage Intel's advanced packaging capabilities is seen as a smaller-scale validation of its manufacturing roadmap.
A spokesperson for Intel declined to comment on "market rumors or speculation regarding specific customers." Apple did not respond to a request for comment. For now, the stock's trajectory appears tied to the ebb and flow of these unconfirmed reports, even as the underlying financial story shows tangible improvement. The coming quarters will be critical for Intel to demonstrate that its foundry ambitions are more than just rumors, converting speculative interest into firm, contracted revenue that can justify its renewed valuation.
Correction: An earlier version of this article stated Intel's stock price was around $39.95 as of December 1, 2025. The price reflected intraday trading during the late-November surge.