- OpenAI reportedly fell short of internal revenue and user targets, triggering declines in shares of key partners such as Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, and Oracle.
- The miss fuels investor concerns about the sustainability of massive AI infrastructure spending and the pace of AI monetization.
- AMD shares dropped 6%, while Nvidia fell 2.8% and Microsoft slipped 1.2% in early trading.
OpenAI, the high-profile AI research and commercial platform behind ChatGPT, has reportedly missed its internal sales and user targets, according to people familiar with the matter. The shortfall sent ripples through the AI hardware and cloud ecosystem, with shares of its key partners — including Nvidia, AMD, Microsoft, and Oracle — declining in early trading Thursday.
Nvidia fell 2.8%, Microsoft dropped 1.2%, and AMD tumbled 6%, underscoring the market's sensitivity to OpenAI's performance. The setback raises questions about the revenue trajectory for the company, which has been burning through cash and relying on outsized compute deals with chipmakers and cloud providers. “Without sustained growth, the economics of these massive infrastructure commitments come into question,” said one analyst.
OpenAI has been a central driver of demand for AI chips and cloud services, partnering closely with Microsoft through Azure and securing large-scale GPU deals with Nvidia and AMD. The miss suggests that even leading AI platforms face challenges in converting user buzz into sustainable revenue, a concern that has weighed on the entire AI trade.
“Investors are recalibrating expectations for AI spending versus actual returns,” a sector analyst noted. “If OpenAI hits a wall, it could slow the entire AI arms race.”
AMD, which has been positioning its MI300-series accelerators as a competitive alternative to Nvidia’s GPUs, saw its shares hit hardest, likely due to its heavy dependence on the AI data center market. Nvidia, while more diversified, remains deeply tied to OpenAI's growth trajectory. Microsoft, which has invested billions in OpenAI and integrated its models into Azure, also faced pressure.
The news emerges as the broader AI industry grapples with sky-high capital expenditures against uncertain monetization. According to a source close to the matter, OpenAI’s board is expected to review its spending plans in light of the miss. Efforts to reach OpenAI for comment were unsuccessful.
Correction: An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated that Oracle shares were down. Oracle shares were flat at the time of reporting.