- U.S. stocks rally sharply, with the S&P 500 up 2%, Nasdaq up 2.39%, and Dow up 1.7%, rebounding from last week's tech-led selloff.
- Falling oil prices, recovering chip stocks, and strong corporate earnings fuel the recovery, though the rally remains an intraday snapshot.
- Investors eye upcoming inflation data and earnings for signs of sustained recovery amid lingering rate concerns.
U.S. equities staged a powerful rebound on Monday, with the S&P 500 climbing 2%, the Nasdaq Composite surging 2.39%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 1.7%, according to intraday trading data. The rally follows a brutal selloff last week that saw the Nasdaq plunge 5.5% on Thursday alone—its worst one-day drop since April 2025—and end the week down 3.4%, officially entering correction territory.
The recovery was fueled by a sharp drop in oil prices, a bounce in beaten-down semiconductor shares, and a slew of better-than-expected corporate earnings. Brent crude fell 5.5% to $92.96 a barrel, down from over $112 earlier in November, after President Donald Trump signaled that renewed strikes against Iran were unlikely if negotiations progressed. The decline in energy costs could ease inflationary pressures and support consumer spending.
Technology shares rebounded unevenly. Early trading showed AMD (NASDAQ:AMD) and Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) each rising more than 5%, while Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) moved lower, highlighting that the rally is not a uniform recovery in AI-related names. Nvidia’s decline followed reports of a board investigation concerning CEO Jensen Huang, though the board said it had “no reason to believe” national security or company secrets had been compromised.
Interest rates remain a headwind. The 10-year Treasury yield hovered around 4.85%, slightly below Friday’s level but still elevated, as investors weigh the path of Federal Reserve policy. Falling yields can support equity valuations, but uncertainty over inflation persists.
Political and Global Crosscurrents
The rally also reflected easing political tensions. Last week’s selloff was partly attributed to fears that Democratic election victories could lead to greater scrutiny of AI data-center construction, which could impact semiconductor suppliers and utilities. While no nationwide ban has been enacted, the debate over AI infrastructure and its effect on power bills continues to resonate with voters.
Abroad, the recovery was global. Japan’s Nikkei rose 2.3%, France’s CAC 40 gained 1%, and Chinese markets were mixed. These were separate local-market readings, not synchronized closing comparisons.
Company-Specific Drivers
Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG), a power producer benefiting from agreements to supply Big Tech data centers, reported quarterly profit and revenue above analysts’ expectations, underscoring how AI investment is rippling through the electricity sector. Nvidia’s decline, meanwhile, served as a reminder that idiosyncratic risks remain.
Outlook: Recovery or Dead-Cat Bounce?
Analysts are divided on the durability of the rebound. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) argues the correction is in its final phase but sees a possible retest of recent lows before a year-end rally. Yardeni Research calls the AI backlash a “speed bump, not a roadblock,” while RBC Capital Markets (NYSE:RY) warns that a policy-driven repricing could end soon, but a meaningful deterioration in earnings or the economy would require further adjustment.
Near-term catalysts include the October consumer-price report and earnings from CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), and Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO). Investors will scrutinize these releases for clues on inflation, AI spending, and whether customers are delaying infrastructure projects.
The key distinction, according to RBC, is between a temporary valuation reset and a lasting reduction in AI-related earnings growth. Falling oil prices and resilient profits would support recovery; sustained infrastructure restrictions, higher rates, or weaker guidance would challenge it. Companies’ next annual outlooks, expected in early 2027, will be a critical test.
Correction: An earlier version of this article misstated the exact percentage gains for the S&P 500 and Dow. The figures have been updated to reflect the latest intraday data.