- Strategy (MSTR) (MSTR) stock fell 8.6% to $121.80, underperforming Bitcoin's 4.2% decline to around $72,500.
- The drop pushed Bitcoin below Strategy's average purchase price of $76,052 per coin, creating significant unrealized losses on its 713,502 BTC holdings.
- This marks Strategy's worst phase since September 2024, with shares down approximately 62% since early October 2025, outpacing Bitcoin's broader downturn.
Strategy, the business intelligence software firm formerly known as MicroStrategy, saw its stock tumble sharply on Tuesday as Bitcoin's price slipped below a critical threshold. The company's shares dropped 8.6% to close at $121.80, while Bitcoin fell 4.2% to approximately $72,500, according to market data. This decline pushed Bitcoin below Strategy's average purchase price of $76,052 per coin, exacerbating unrealized losses on its substantial holdings of 713,502 BTC, valued at around $54.26 billion.
Efforts to maintain its position as a leveraged Bitcoin proxy have hit a snag, with the stock's 90-day rolling correlation to Bitcoin remaining near 0.97. Without a sustained rebound in crypto prices, the company could face mounting pressure on its balance sheet, though sources close to the matter indicate no immediate plans for forced selling. Strategy recently purchased 855 more BTC last week for $75.3 million at an average price of $87,974, funded through stock sales, according to recent filings.
Chairman Michael Saylor, in a brief statement, reaffirmed the company's commitment to holding and accumulating Bitcoin despite the downturn. "We remain focused on our long-term strategy," he said, without elaborating on potential adjustments. Attempts to reach other executives for comment were unsuccessful as of press time.
The broader crypto market weakness, with Bitcoin hitting one-year lows near $74,000, has triggered over $660 million in liquidations, including $526.5 million in long positions. This has amplified pressure on crypto-linked assets like Strategy, Robinhood (HOOD), and Circle (CRCL), reflecting a challenging environment post-October 2025's flash crash. Industry observers note that sustained low prices may slow Strategy's future Bitcoin purchases, though its current approach avoids collateral pledges.
Trading dynamics show Strategy shares recently touched lows of $128.87, down from a 52-week high of around $450, with the market Net Asset Value premium eroding toward 1. Analysts point to a "20% decision zone" where the stock's direction hinges critically on Bitcoin's next moves, with support at $139 and resistance at $170. If support breaks, downside risk could extend to $107, according to technical assessments.
This episode mirrors October 2025's Bitcoin crash, which similarly erased Strategy's mNAV premium and deepened its downtrend. Bitcoin's 40% retrace from late-2025 all-time highs echoes prior cycles, with Strategy falling harder due to its leveraged exposure and debt risks. The company's holdings have grown steadily via stock-funded buys, but dips below the $76,000 average cost repeatedly trigger sentiment hits among investors.
In related developments, broader crypto equities declined in tandem, and MSCI is reviewing indexes for crypto-heavy firms like Strategy, hinting at traditional finance scrutiny. Strategy is ahead of earnings amid the BTC slump, with its treasury nearing $1 billion in unrealized losses briefly. Market participants will watch for any shifts in accumulation strategy or liquidity pressures in the coming weeks.
Correction: An earlier version misstated the date of Bitcoin's recent low; it was Feb. 3, 2026, not early February. The article has been updated.