• U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent cites progress but highlights unresolved technical issues in trade talks with China.
  • President Trump to decide on extending the tariff truce within weeks, with another negotiation round scheduled.
  • Markets remain cautious as unresolved details could impact global supply chains and manufacturing sectors.

Negotiations Hit Final Stretch

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent acknowledged significant progress in the latest round of trade talks with China but emphasized that a few technical details still need resolution. Speaking after two days of discussions in Stockholm, Bessent noted that both sides agreed to continue negotiations next week, though the final decision on extending the current tariff truce rests with President Donald Trump. The truce is set to expire in two weeks, adding urgency to the talks.

Key sticking points reportedly involve tariff administration protocols, rare earth export controls, and China’s industrial overcapacity—a long-standing concern for U.S. negotiators. Bessent reiterated the need for China to rebalance its economy toward domestic consumption, a structural shift Washington has pushed for years. The U.S. delegation is expected to brief Trump shortly, with the president’s decision likely to sway market sentiment in the coming days.

Market Implications and Sector Watch

Investors are closely monitoring the talks, given the potential for renewed volatility if the truce lapses. Past tariff escalations have disrupted global supply chains, particularly in technology and manufacturing. Analysts suggest that while the tone appears more constructive than in previous rounds, unresolved technicalities—such as enforcement mechanisms—could delay a comprehensive agreement.

“The market is pricing in a short-term extension, but any breakdown would trigger defensive positioning,” said one trader familiar with the matter, speaking on condition of anonymity. Agricultural and industrial sectors, which bore the brunt of earlier tariffs, are especially vulnerable to further disruptions.

Political and Structural Challenges

The negotiations unfold against a backdrop of domestic pressures in both countries. The Trump administration faces competing demands to curb inflation while supporting industrial recovery, while Chinese policymakers grapple with overcapacity and slowing growth. Beijing’s willingness to address U.S. concerns on industrial policy and market access will likely determine whether the truce evolves into a longer-term deal.

“This isn’t just about tariffs anymore—it’s about whether China can credibly commit to structural reforms,” said a policy analyst briefed on the talks. The outcome could also influence parallel trade disputes, including EU-China tensions over technology transfers and export controls.

Editor’s Note: This article has been updated to clarify the timeline for President Trump’s decision.