- Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives raises Apple's price target to $350 from $320, maintaining an Outperform rating.
- Ives frames 2026 as Apple's key AI inflection year, driven by iPhone 17 demand and a clearer AI strategy.
- He expects CEO Tim Cook to remain through at least 2027 to steer the AI transition, with AI monetization potentially adding $75–$100 per share.
Wedbush Securities analyst Daniel Ives has significantly raised his price target on Apple Inc. (AAPL) to $350 from $320, reiterating an Outperform rating in a note to clients that positions 2026 as the company's decisive year for artificial intelligence commercialization. The move comes as Apple begins to more explicitly outline its AI roadmap after facing earlier criticism for lagging behind big-tech peers in the generative AI race.
Ives argues that Apple is now clarifying its AI strategy with new leadership and expects a fuller commercial AI entry in 2026 centered on iPhone 17 and "Apple Intelligence"-type features, according to people familiar with the analyst's thinking. He projects that AI monetization could add roughly $75–$100 per share in equity value over the next several years through higher device average selling prices (ASPs), services average revenue per user (ARPU), and potential new AI subscriptions.
A key catalyst Ives highlights is an expanded partnership with Google (GOOGL)'s Gemini AI model, likely to be announced in early 2026. This would deepen Google's role beyond the current search-default arrangements that have already drawn regulatory scrutiny in multiple jurisdictions. "Without this AI acceleration, Apple risks ceding ground in the most significant tech transformation since mobile," one institutional investor noted, speaking on condition of anonymity.
The analyst's bullish stance is underpinned by Apple's recent financial performance, which provides ample resources for AI investment. The company reported record revenue of approximately $416 billion for fiscal year 2025, up about 6.4% year-over-year, with net income reaching $112 billion. Its services segment—the fastest-growing and highest-margin business—generated around $109.2 billion, boasting gross margins near 74%.
Apple's installed base of active devices stands at an all-time high across all product categories and regions, creating a massive ecosystem for AI integration. The company guided to 10–12% revenue growth for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with double-digit iPhone growth anticipated, particularly around the iPhone 17 launch later this year.
Leadership continuity forms another pillar of Ives' thesis. He expects CEO Tim Cook to remain at the helm through at least 2027, ensuring stability as Apple scales AI across hardware and services. Cook has publicly emphasized AI as a strategic pillar while highlighting record device and services performance in recent earnings calls.
Market reaction has been muted in early trading, with Apple shares up approximately 0.8% following the note's release. Some traders point to already elevated valuations and ongoing regulatory concerns, particularly around potential antitrust implications of deeper Apple-Google collaboration. "The Street is pricing in AI optimism, but execution risks remain," said a hedge fund manager who declined to be named.
Apple's approach contrasts with competitors like Microsoft (MSFT) and Google, which have aggressively monetized generative AI through cloud services and productivity tools. Instead, Apple appears focused on ecosystem-wide integration, leveraging its hardware-software synergy—a strategy that has historically delivered high margins and customer lock-in, though later market entries.
Efforts to reach Apple and Wedbush for additional comment were not immediately successful. The company typically does not respond to individual analyst reports, though it has increasingly highlighted AI features in recent developer conferences and earnings discussions.
As the AI landscape evolves, Apple's ability to translate its ecosystem advantages into monetizable AI services will be closely watched. With iPhone 17 demand expected to be strong heading into year-end—including in the critical China market—2026 could indeed prove the inflection point Ives anticipates, or reveal the challenges of playing catch-up in a rapidly advancing field.
Correction: An earlier version misstated the timing of the expected Google Gemini partnership; it is anticipated in early 2026, not late 2025.
