- Nvidia's stock fell 3% despite posting record quarterly revenue of $46.7 billion, a 56% year-over-year increase.
- The decline is attributed to a $4.5 billion charge from unsold AI chips in China, a direct result of new U.S. export controls.
- While global AI demand remains robust, persistent regulatory risks in one of its largest markets continue to create investor uncertainty.
Nvidia Corp. shares closed down 3% on Thursday, a surprising dip that came despite the chipmaker announcing another quarter of staggering financial results. The decline highlights the market's acute sensitivity to the company's ongoing regulatory challenges in China, even as its global AI business continues to fire on all cylinders.
The sell-off appears directly tied to the lingering impact of new U.S. export licensing requirements. In the previous quarter, these restrictions forced Nvidia to take a massive $4.5 billion charge for unsold H20 AI chips destined for the Chinese market. While the company successfully redirected much of that inventory to other regions, sales of affected products to China—its second-largest market—reportedly fell to zero in the most recent quarter, according to people familiar with the matter.
"The market is trying to price in a new normal," said one analyst who asked not to be named discussing client sentiment. "The numbers are phenomenal, absolutely phenomenal. But the China overhang isn't going away, and that creates a persistent discount on the stock that wasn't there before."
Efforts to navigate the complex regulatory environment are ongoing. The company has launched new, export-compliant chips specifically designed for the Chinese market, though the financial contribution from these products remains a fraction of what it was prior to the latest round of restrictions. A spokesperson for Nvidia reiterated the company's previous statements on working within the bounds of U.S. policy but declined to comment on specific inventory or sales figures.
The broader financial picture for Nvidia remains exceptionally strong. Blackwell Data Center revenue grew 17% sequentially, underscoring the insatiable global demand for its AI computing platforms. The company's ability to pivot inventory away from China and still achieve record growth is a testament to the strength of its underlying business, a point several analysts emphasized in notes to clients.
Trading volume was heavy throughout the session, suggesting institutional investors were actively repositioning. The 3% drop comes after a significant run-up in the stock price ahead of earnings, indicating some profit-taking may have amplified the reaction to the China concerns.
Without a resolution to the U.S.-China trade tensions, analysts expect this dynamic—blockbuster earnings paired with geopolitical anxiety—to continue. For now, the sheer force of the global AI investment cycle is outweighing the regional headwinds, but investors are clearly signaling that the risks in China are now a permanent part of the valuation calculus.