- Oppenheimer launches coverage of [SpaceX (LMT) (LMT)](https://www.roic.ai/quote/LMT) with an Outperform rating and a $190 price target, signaling confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
- Analysts highlight SpaceX's dominant launch cadence, Starlink monetization, and potential IPO as key catalysts.
- The initiation comes amid increasing investor interest in private space companies, with SpaceX positioned as a sector leader.
A Bullish Call on the Space Giant
Oppenheimer initiated coverage of SpaceX on Thursday with an Outperform rating and a $190 price target, according to people familiar with the matter. The target implies a valuation that reflects the company's expanding revenue streams from launch services and Starlink satellite internet, as well as its long-term prospects in space infrastructure.
The analysts pointed to SpaceX's reusable rocket technology as a key differentiator, allowing it to maintain a high launch cadence while lowering costs. "SpaceX's ability to dominate the launch market while simultaneously scaling Starlink gives it a unique competitive advantage," one analyst said. The firm also cited the potential for an initial public offering, which could unlock value for investors.
Starlink and Beyond
Starlink, SpaceX's satellite internet constellation, has been a major driver of revenue growth, with millions of subscribers globally. Oppenheimer's report noted that the division is on track to become cash flow positive this year, bolstering the case for a higher valuation. The analysts also highlighted SpaceX's growing defense contracts, including recent wins with the U.S. Space Force, as a stabilizing factor.
However, the firm acknowledged risks, including the capital-intensive nature of Starship development and regulatory hurdles in spectrum allocation. "Execution remains key, but the company's track record suggests it can overcome these challenges," the analyst added.
Market Reaction and Implications
SpaceX remains private, so the rating does not directly impact public markets, but it has buoyed sentiment among space-tech investors. Shares of publicly traded partners like Maxar Technologies (MAXR) and Iridium Communications (IRDM) edged higher following the news.
Oppenheimer's initiation is the first major coverage of SpaceX by a Wall Street bank, reflecting a growing institutional appetite for exposure to the space economy. The move could pave the way for more analyst coverage ahead of a potential IPO.
Correction: An earlier version of this article incorrectly stated the price target was $190 per share; the target is for a pre-IPO valuation analysis. (Added, Aug. 28)