- Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell asserts that Bureau of Labor Statistics data remains sufficient for monetary policy, despite record downward revisions to job growth figures.
- The BLS benchmark revision adjusted job numbers down by 911,000 for the period from April 2024 to March 2025, the largest such revision on record.
- Powell's defense comes amid calls from the Trump administration for "accountability and reform" at the BLS, creating a sharp partisan divide over data reliability.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell offered a robust defense of the government's primary labor market data, stating the figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics remain "good enough to do our work," even after a record-setting downward revision that has ignited a political firestorm.
The comments, made during a recent policy discussion, directly address the unprecedented benchmark revision that slashed previously reported job growth by 911,000 positions for the period spanning April 2024 to March 2025. This adjustment, the largest of its kind, revealed a labor market that was significantly weaker than initial readings had suggested.
Despite the scale of the revisions, which have prompted calls from some Republican politicians for a overhaul of the BLS, Powell maintained the central bank's confidence in the statistical agency's work. "What we get from BLS is still good enough to do our work," Powell stated, according to people familiar with his remarks, emphasizing the Fed's view that the data remains a reliable foundation for setting interest rate policy.
The defense comes at a delicate moment for policymakers. Recent economic indicators have pointed to a marked deceleration, with GDP growth expected to slow to 2.6% in the third quarter from 3.3% in the second. Consumer sentiment has also plummeted, with the University of Michigan’s index falling to 58.2, well below its long-term average. The most recent jobs report showed a gain of just 73,000 positions in July, with a three-month average of only 35,000.
A spokesperson for the Fed declined to elaborate further on Powell's comments. The BLS did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the revisions or the political criticism.
The scale of the adjustment has fueled a partisan debate over the credibility of economic data. The Trump administration has pointed to the revisions as evidence of systemic issues, calling for "accountability and reform" at the agency. This puts the Fed, which strives to maintain its political independence, in the position of publicly defending a government statistical body whose work is under political attack.
Market participants are largely looking past the political noise, with futures markets pricing in a high probability that the Federal Open Market Committee will cut rates at its upcoming meeting. The anticipated pivot is seen as a response not only to the softer labor market picture but also to weakening consumer confidence and broader signs of an economic slowdown.
The Fed is also in the process of finalizing a revised monetary policy framework, which may adjust how it interprets labor market data going forward. Powell's steadfast support for the BLS suggests that, for now, the central bank does not see the recent revisions as a crisis of data quality that would undermine its decision-making process.