- Melius Research raises Apple's price target to $260 from $240, maintaining a Buy rating.
- Analyst Ben Reitzes highlights growth potential from upcoming iPhone launches, including the "iPhone Air" and a foldable model in 2026.
- Concerns over Siri/AI delays deemed overblown, with no evidence of customer attrition.
Apple's Upcoming Product Cycle Drives Optimism
Melius Research analyst Ben Reitzes has increased Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) price target to $260, up from $240, citing confidence in the tech giant's upcoming product pipeline. The bullish outlook centers on anticipated launches like the "iPhone Air" this September, a premium foldable iPhone in fiscal 2026 (priced around $2,000), and the iPhone 20 in fiscal 2027.
Reitzes dismissed market worries about delays in Apple's AI capabilities, noting there's "no evidence of customer switching" despite competitors' advances. He expects higher average selling prices (ASPs) and a favorable product mix to potentially drive high single-digit growth in some quarters. His fiscal 2026 EPS estimate was revised upward by $0.12 on expectations of stronger margins.
Financial Performance and Market Position
Apple's recent quarterly results support this optimistic view. The company reported $94.0 billion in Q3 FY25 revenue, marking a 10% year-over-year increase, with diluted EPS up 12% to $1.57. While iPhone revenue saw a slight 1% decline earlier in the year, strong performances in Mac (+16%), iPad (+15%), and Services (+14%) segments demonstrate the company's successful diversification strategy.
"The product roadmap aligns perfectly with Apple's historical strength in premium hardware cycles," Reitzes noted in his analysis. He emphasized that the combination of new form factors and Apple's entrenched ecosystem creates a "unique advantage" in maintaining customer loyalty and pricing power.
Industry Context and Competitive Landscape
The raised price target comes as the broader tech sector navigates macroeconomic uncertainties. Apple's ability to command premium pricing for its devices positions it favorably against competitors also investing heavily in foldable technology and AI integration. However, the success of these future products will be crucial in maintaining Apple's industry leadership as rivals like Samsung and Google push aggressively into these emerging categories.
Attempts to reach Apple for additional comment on the analyst report were unsuccessful. The company typically does not comment on specific analyst projections, though CEO Tim Cook has previously emphasized Apple's "strong pipeline of innovative products" during recent earnings calls.