• House Speaker Mike Johnson advanced a funding package through the House Rules Committee late Monday in a party-line vote, clearing a key procedural hurdle and setting up a full House floor vote expected Tuesday afternoon to end the partial government shutdown that began early Saturday, February 1, 2026.
  • The bill funds 11 of 12 appropriations bills for FY2026, provides DHS with a short-term patch through February 13 amid Democratic pushes for ICE restrictions, and has President Trump's pledge to sign it without changes.
  • Republicans must unify their narrow majority without Democratic votes, as House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries opposes the DHS stopgap and seeks reforms; the Senate passed the package last week after Trump and Schumer reached a deal separating DHS funding.

A Path Forward Amid Political Tensions

House Speaker Mike Johnson expressed confidence in passage by Tuesday despite conservative skepticism, following White House meetings that resolved holdouts like Reps. Luna and Burchett. Efforts to restructure the funding have hit a snag, but without a deal, the shutdown would continue to disrupt federal operations. The shutdown affects DHS operations, Pentagon, State Department, and others, delaying the January 2026 jobs report originally set for Friday.

Federal workers face furloughs or unpaid work, sparking debates on immigration enforcement versus funding stability, with Trump urging swift action via Truth Social. According to people familiar with the matter, Johnson's team worked through the weekend to secure enough Republican votes, emphasizing the urgency of ending the shutdown to avoid broader economic impacts. Democrats highlight DHS "dramatic reform" needs, but the short-term patch through February 13 offers a temporary reprieve.

Short-Term Relief with Long-Term Uncertainty

This partial shutdown stems from failed FY2026 budget talks by January 30 deadline, echoing prior impasses like 2018-2019 over border walls, but here focused on DHS/ICE amid reform demands. In the short term, House passage could end the shutdown Tuesday, resuming operations and rescheduling economic data releases. However, the two-week DHS window risks renewed talks or shutdown if ICE restrictions falter; Senate Leader Thune called further progress "really hard" due to GOP differences.

Related developments include the House Rules Committee also advancing contempt resolutions against Bill and Hillary Clinton; conservatives eyed but dropped SAVE Act amendments post-White House talks. As the floor vote approaches, market watchers are monitoring for any last-minute changes that could derail the process. Johnson's office did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the timeline, but sources indicate a final vote is likely this afternoon, barring unforeseen obstacles.

Correction: An earlier version misstated the date of the shutdown start; it began on February 1, 2026, not February 2.