OceanaGold Corporation

OceanaGold Corporation

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Q4 FY2018 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 19, 2019

APIChatGPT

Operator

Good morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the OceanaGold's 2018 Fourth Quarter Results Webcast and Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode.

Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded on February 19th at 4:30 P.M.

Eastern time. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mick Wilkes.

Please go ahead.

Mick Wilkes

Thank you. Good morning, good evening to everyone and welcome to the OceanaGold full year 2018 results webcast and conference call.

It's a pleasure to be here with you today to discuss what was another successful and profitable year for OceanaGold. I'm joined of the webcast today with Scott McQueen, our Chief Financial Officer, who will discuss our financial results.

Scott and I are actually at Waihi with the Board visiting this fantastic operation. Just moving onto slide two, the cautionary notes -- cautionary statement.

Before we proceed, note that all references in this presentation adhere to International Financial Reporting Standards, and all financial figures are denominated in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise stated.

Also note that the presentation contains forward-looking statements, which by their very nature are subject to some degree of uncertainty. There can be no assurances that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate as future results and events could differ materially.

Please refer to the disclaimer on the forward-looking statements in our presentation. On slide number three, the result highlights.

We had another solid year of operating and financial performance and I am very pleased with our consistent performance of generating strong free cash flows and delivering strong returns. We achieved these results despite severe storms and sustained heavy rainfall at Haile.

Although there are ups and downs in mining, having multiple operations gives us diversity in production and cash flows which reduces risk of meeting our goals. In the fourth quarter, it was a solid performance at Macraes, which posted its second highest ever production.

In 2019, we generated approximately $121 million in free cash flow after all capital investments. On the back of that strong free cash flow, our cash balance increased 55% quarter-on-quarter, while our net debt decreased 38% quarter-on-quarter.

Over the course of 2018, we increased our gold guidance twice and even despite the lower than expected production for the fourth quarter. We delivered on our production and cost guidance.

This marked the seventh consecutive year that we have delivered in -- on both our production and cost guidance. Our operational performance culminated in record annual revenue of $773 million, while adjusted net earnings for the year was $124 million.

We are also very excited about receiving the permits we need to transition the Martha underground project into an operation. This is an exciting outcome for OceanaGold, for the town of Waihi, and indeed New Zealand.

As it significantly extends the mine life of the Waihi operation and will deliver significant socioeconomic benefits. We are now focused on implementing the project, while continuing to drill extensively to add resources.

On the back of the strong performance in 2018 and the cash flows we've generated, the Board of Directors has approved our first dividend for 2019. Our dividend policy is a modest one, however, we are committed to delivering returns to shareholders, and this represents an important part of our capital allocation practices.

Moving to slide four and the results overview, on a consolidated basis, our operations produced 533,000 ounces of gold and 15,000 tonnes of copper for the full year, while all-in sustaining cost was $767 per ounce on 532,700 ounces for the full year. We reported record review of $773 million for the full year and EBITDA of $364 million.

Net year -- full year net profit of $124 million. For the quarter, our earnings per share before accounting in financial derivatives was $0.03 per share, while cash flow per share was $0.12 per share before adjusting for working capital movements.

This compares to the analyst consensus of $0.11 per share for the quarter. Now moving to slide five, solid margins and returns.

For the 35th consecutive quarter, we delivered a positive return on invested capital, making us the only company to have delivered a positive ROIC every quarter back to 2010. This speaks to how we run our business and how we allocate capital.

In fact, when you compare our cash flow generation and earnings over this time, it has been one of the least volatile in the gold industry that is in an industry that has seen wide ranges of results over the past decade. We strive to deliver consistently positive results over a long period of time like we have for many years.

This focus of ours is unwavering. Meanwhile, our 2018 EBITDA margin was 47%, which again was one of the highest in the industry and we expect to continue delivering strong margins.

I'm very pleased with our results, however, we have some work to do to enhance our performance and drive further efficiencies at our operations, particularly, at Haile where the safety and productivity rates are opportunities to drive further value. Slide six, the operations overview.

I would spend a few minutes going through our operational performance for the fourth quarter. I'll also spend some time going through the outlook we expect for each operation this year.

Slide number seven, Health & Safety. Our Health & Safety performance in 2018 was slightly higher than the previous year, but it was still in line with industry averages.

The safety performance is always a focus for us and of critical importance. Didipio operations performed well this year with very strong Health & Safety performance.

Macraes continued to demonstrate a year-on-year improvement with a very strong second half of the year and much stronger safety leadership at site being the driving reason for this achievement. Continuing to embed our workforce safety behavioral programs, which is designed to drive the safety awareness, particularly as we continue to ramp-up our Haile and the Didipio underground -- Haile operations and the Didipio Underground operations.

Many of the incidents in 2018 could have been prevented if they were hand-related. As such, we have implemented hand injury prevention programs.

We continue to also focus on our principle hedges management plans with reviews and regular audits, which has resulted in the reduced number of hypertensional numerous incidents at our sites, which could cause potential serious harm. What was pleasing to see through the final quarter of the year was the excellent site preparedness management and weather event management at Haile and the Didipio operations during the multiple severe storm events.

During these weather events, we had strong safety and environmental performance with zero uncontrolled discharges and no incidents. Moving to slide eight and talk about Haile.

It has been well-documented now, we had a very challenging fourth quarter at Haile with multiple severe storm events and sustained heavy rainfall. The first storm was tropical storm Florence, which dropped 16 inches of rain on site.

And despite this amount of rain, over the course of two to three days, we safely resumed milling operations and mining operations from the snake pit. The mill zone pit, however, required a few extra days of pumping water out of the bottom of the pit before it could resume mining there.

That was our expectation, however, the rain didn't stop and then Hurricane Michael rolled through with more rainfall. This type of weather persisted for the quarter-- throughout the quarter.

And all-in-all, Haile received approximately 40 inches of rainfall from September through to the end of the year. As a result, our mining operations were significantly impacted.

We were forced to mine and mill low-grade ore from snake instead of some higher grades at the louver zones at mill zone. Productivity was down and the clay material just below the [Indiscernible] created an even more challenging mining environment.

As mentioned, however, the inclement weather in the fourth quarter wasn't all negative. We were very pleased that we manage our environmental risks and sustained no injuries.

We have learned a lot from these weather events and are implementing some changes to our operating procedures during this time -- these types of events. Also in the fourth quarter, the mill operated well with utilization rates continuing to increase and now greater than 80 -- 95%, which compares to 90% in the third quarter.

We were achieving throughput rates, which annualized up to 3.2 million tonnes per year. This achievement along with planned expansion positions as well to mill 3.2 million tonnes next year, which is for the full year -- this year.

We then expect to increase throughput rates to between 3.5 million and 4 million tonnes in the years ahead. We have resumed normal operations at Haile despite continued wet weather at the start of the year.

We are establishing additional dewatering bores and drainage through the first half of the year and we now have a contractor assisting with mining and the clay material, which is roughly 4 million to 5 million tonnes over a year -- over the next two years. We remain very focused on driving mine productivity at Haile, unit cost at Haile, unit costs at Haile are higher year-on-year with increased mining unit cost associated with a portion of our mining being contracted out.

We continue an intensive recruitment process geared to upscale of our workforce and what I can tell you is that we are now drawing some good talent from Western mining states in the U.S. This year, we will also begin replacing our existing fleet of old trucks with larger Komatsu 730E and our digging fleets with Komatsu PC3000 and PC4000 units.

This is a stage replacement for one that should drive productivity improvements and lower mining unit rates -- mining costs. Over the past two years of mining at Haile, we have had both positive and negative reconciliation.

However, through our infield drill program, we continue to better understand the complex geology and can more effectively forecast rain. With all the changes we are implementing, we are confident that mine productivity will increase while unit cost decreases.

This year we expect increase production at Haile compared to 2018 and this is driven mainly by the higher throughput rates. We also expect stronger grades in the second half of the year.

Client expansion works continued this year with the commissioning of the upgraded regrinding circuit and installation for the upgraded regrinding circuit and the installations of some additional equipment to achieve a higher throughput rates. Moving onto slide nine and the Haile expansion, we continue investing in the expansion of the Haile process plants.

And the investments we've made have generated positive results already. Since 2017, we have already nearly doubled the throughput rates and have done so with capital cost at all less than what was forecast in the 43-101 Technical Report.

We currently upgraded and regrinding circuit to achieve finer grain sizes that are designed to enhance gold recoveries, particularly at the higher throughput rates. The town mill is now installed and commissioned and although early days, it has performed well.

We are currently completing the punch-list associated with the Isamill installation. We'll being commissioning the Isamill very soon and I expect to have it fully commissioned in a couple of months.

This year we expect to invest $10 million to $15 million on upgrading the tailings -- installing a third cyanide destruct unit putting in additional tailings line and some ancillary works and then that represents the main equipment we believe we need to achieve throughput rates between 3.5 million and 4 million tonnes per year. Permitting of the larger open pits and Horseshoe Underground continues to progress well with the Army Corps of Engineers having filed the notice intent before the end of last year.

We anticipate receiving these permits this year and once they are in hand, we'll mobilize our in-house development team to build the underground. The project directed for the Didipio Underground is already being transferred to Haile for the front-end engineering design work.

Over the course of the next few years, Haile ore production is expected to steadily increase with the Horseshoe Underground in production, which again we believe it to be in 2021. And ramp-up of underground operations thereafter, production at Haile is expected to be north of 200,000 ounces per year.

Costs are also expected to steadily decrease year-on-year and by 2021, our major capital investments should come off. On the next slide, slide 10, there are some photos of the Haile expansion showing the construction of the Tower Mill and the Isamill at Haile.

Moving onto Didipio on slide 11, in the Philippines, we had another strong quarter and year of Health & Safety performance and production from the operation. We're also continued to manage our environmental risks during the two super typhoons Didipio in the quarter.

Production at Didipio in the fourth quarter was lower than in the third quarter and we had expected this and it's related to the mill feed where we are limited by our permit in compressors processing up to 3.5 million tonnes, which we achieved in early December. You may recall that the Didipio's original guidance range for 2018 was 80,000 to 90,000 ounces.

Well, through the course of the year, we increased the guidance at Didipio twice and delivered on that guidance; another strong year for Didipio. Underground mining continued to ramp-up well.

We mined out approximately 630,000 tonnes from the underground last year, which was higher than what we had originally expected. Mining costs were slightly higher than in the previous quarter.

However, as underground operations ramp-up, we will see this unit costs drift towards $36 a tonne that we had initially planned. Hopefully, through the quarter, through efficiencies such as optimizing mine plans and stope sizes, like what we've done already, we can achieve lower costs.

We've also implemented our digital strategy with tele-remote operations from surface where we can remote forego the shift change, which will increase productivity and reduce costs. Looking ahead, Didipio is expected to have a stronger year of gold production in 2019, mainly related to higher grades coming through from the underground, where we expect to mine 1.2 million to 1.3 million tonnes this year, which is double the rate of 2018.

We also expect higher grades coming through in the second half of the year. The all-in sustaining cost at Didipio is high this year and as we have indicated in our recent news releases, the main driver for the higher reported cost is the inclusion of production taxes, which were previously reported as corporate costs in the all-in sustaining costs.

These taxes including excise business and property taxes we have been paying for the past few years. In previous years, as I said, we reported as the corporate G&A and excluded from our all-in sustaining cost calculation at Didipio.

Going forward, we will continue to report them as corporate G&A, but also include them in our all-in sustaining cost calculation. For 2019, production taxes at Didipio amount to approximately $15 million.

Didipio is expected to continue generating strong cash flows as it has for the past few years, while delivering significant socioeconomic benefits to the people at Didipio, the communities, and the provinces. Moving onto slide 12, Didipio Underground, we currently have between 19 million tonnes of stockpiled ore on surface, which will blend with the higher-grade ore from the underground.

At the end of 2019, we had approximately 70,000 tonnes of Breccia Pit stockpiles, which we expect to fully process this year. The development of Panel 2 in the underground is progressing well and once it's completed and ramped up, we expected to be operating in the full underground mining rate of 1.6 million tonnes per year.

And as I mentioned, at these high rates and through further efficiencies, we expect our unit cost to decrease. We also have great potential of depth beneath Panel 2, which we will start focusing on and drilling on in the near future.

Moving onto Waihi here in beautiful New Zealand, the Waihi operation had a good quarter with strong -- and a strong year with production coming in just under 84,000 ounces of gold at a strong Tier 1 all-in sustaining cost. The main story at the moment for us at Waihi, which we are very excited about is the receipt of the consent of the Martha Underground Project.

The Martha Underground will significantly extend the mine life at Waihi, which is a great outcome for the town of Waihi in New Zealand and our shareholders. With the receipt of these consensus, we will proceed to implement the Martha underground with a dedicated project team to execute on its development.

We put together management plans, including noise management, vibration management, and detailed mine plans. And in the meantime, we will continue our extensive program along underground drill drives to further prove up additional reserves and resources.

This a transformational year for us at Waihi with mining taking place in lower-grade zones in the [Indiscernible]. Production is expected to range between 60,000 and 70,000 ounces.

Exploration will be a key focus for us. As I've just indicated, that includes WKP where we have had very good results and doubled their exploration budget.

Moving onto Macraes, Macraes had a solid fourth quarter producing very nice 58,000 ounces of gold and over 200,000 ounces for the full year with an all-in sustaining cost of less than $900 per ounce, fantastic performance by Macraes last year. In fact Macraes' 2018 output was the second-highest output production that is achieved in its 28-year history.

It truly is a world-class operation with a world-class workforce. Macraes safety performance continues to improve and demonstrates that with the right leadership and persistence, strong safety culture can be successfully established where there are still some more work to do to drive continued improvement.

We continue to explore at Macraes and seek ways to increase our mines -- adjust our mine plans to extend the mine life beyond 2021 based on the $1,200 per ounce gold price. And as part of the mine life expansion focus, there is potential for a standalone underground operation now, following the successful exploration last year at the Golden Point deposit where drilling results have demonstrated good grades at lower zones.

We will continue to investigate the technical and economic viability of this opportunity to unlock for the value. I should also point out that Macraes is a large resource with lots of leverage to the gold price.

When the gold price returns to $1,500 per ounce, it shouldn't be too far away now, we would then have over 3.5 million ounces currently in our resource that could be economically viable the mine. With that positive note, I would now turn it over to Scott McQueen, our CFO, who will discuss our financial performance.

Scott?

Scott McQueen

Thank you, Mick, and hello everyone. It's pleasing that despite the challenges that threw at us in Q4, particularly at Haile, as Mick mentioned, that our diverse asset portfolio still delivered Q4 results, but more importantly, completed with a strong year of financial performance for the company.

Turning to slide 16, here we see a snapshot of how that performance has further strengthened our balance sheet at the end of 2018. I draw your attention to the right side of the slide, which outlines a change in our capital position and debt levels.

Throughout Q4 our cash balance increased 55% to $108 million at the end of 2018. That's a 47% increase year-on-year.

That includes us paying $50 million of our revolving credit facility that is not due until the end of 2019. The prepayment of that data is reflected in our total liquidity of $158 million, which now includes undrawn $50 million component.

It's worth noting that it also excludes about $55 million of market value in marketable securities at the end of 2018. Moving down, you can see our total debt, including leases, about $170 million relative to our cash position a loan net debt position of $69 million at the end of 2018, which reflects almost 40% quarter-on-quarter nearly 60% year-on-year reduction.

Moving to slide 17, snapshot of our financial results. Our topline revenue for the fourth quarter was $183 million, a slight decrease from the previous quarter, due mainly due to lower gold and copper volume.

For the full year, we posted revenue of $773 million. This is up from 2017 with Haile contributing results, which was offset by about 3% to 4% lower year-over-year average gold and copper prices as noted.

Nevertheless, as Mick noted, the 2018 topline revenue is a record for the company. EBITDA margins remained strong at approximately 47% across the year.

Fourth quarter EBITDA was slightly lower than the previous quarter which really reflected changes in the sales mix, with a higher contribution from Macraes, slightly lower copper sales, and also the weaker Q4 operating performance at Haile. Net profit for the fourth quarter were $17 million before unrealized gains and lots of derivative and $124 million for the full year.

The slight decrease in net profit reflects the same key drivers that impacted EBITDA that I mentioned previously. Moving onto slide 18, a quick overview of our very strong cash flow results.

Operating cash flow in the fourth quarter was $96 million, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of almost 15%. That increase largely effected positive working movements relative to the prior quarter.

On a full year basis, the operating cash to remained strong at $346 million, reflecting the high EBITDA margin the business enjoys. Investing cash flow is pretty steady quarter-on-quarter with the key focus areas being continued planned expansion detail at Haile, that Mick covered and also the ongoing development of Panel 2 at Didipio Underground.

Year-on-year our investing cash flow decreased around 13%, reflecting 2017 included the completion of the permit buildout of Haile. I'll touch on that capital spend a little bit more on the next slide.

In terms of financing cash flows, there is a material decrease quarter-on-quarter, given the prior quarter included the payment of $0.02 dividend and also the $50 million discretionary debt repayment that I mentioned. All-in-all, our 2018 performance and cash flow generation allowed us to meet our objectives, continue to invest in our growth opportunities across operations and expand our exploration efforts, while still reducing debt and finance cost, paying dividends to shareholders, and enhancing our balance sheet strength.

Moving to slide 19, here we got a little bit more detail on the capital investment across the quarter. For the full year, we invested around $213 million, excluding closure cost of [Indiscernible].

This was at the low end of that guidance range of $210 million to $255 million. For the quarter, we invested approximately $54 million, which as you can see is broadly in line with the previous quarter.

In terms of growth capital that it was predominantly spent on the planned expansions at Haile, as Mick covered, they are advancing well and consistent with our cost estimates and also at Didipio where we continue to build out Panel 2 underground and that will progress through to 2019. The bulk of the sustaining capital was tied up with the Open Pit operations that Macraes and Haile as planned.

Also importantly, as you can see we continue to invest materially in exploration, which we see as a key opportunity to create value as demonstrated by our positive results across 2018. I will hand back to Mick to wrap up the results.

Mick Wilkes

Thanks, Scott. Just close of the webcast, spending a few minutes to discuss the corporate outlook for 2019.

So, if we can move to slide 21 where we talk about guidance 2019. You see our guidance 2019, which we released a couple of weeks ago, production in 2019 is expected to be similar to that of 2018, while costs are slightly higher.

But we do expect to generate solid free cash flows this year, while we continue to invest in our business heavily and pay dividends. At Haile, we expect higher production year-on-year with increased throughput being the main driver.

Our investments in expanding the plants and upgrading the regrinding circuit is delivering positive results. Our Didipio production is slightly stronger year-on-year, mainly due to grades and we see higher-grade underground material being coming through, particularly in the second half of the year.

And at Waihi, we are in this transitional year, but again, we're expecting a return to historic start production levels over the next couple of years as we ramp-up the Martha Underground. And finally, Macraes production is expected to be slightly lower from what we had a very strong year in 2018 but nonetheless, very good year expected from Macraes as well endeavor to extend the mine life there beyond 2021.

Moving to slide 22 and the capital guidance, we had just spent a bit time talking about the program for capital. We do pride ourselves as being good custodians of capital, which is allocated, which has been allocated approved and managed and generated strong returns on the capital we invested has been demonstrated..

Our capital investment program is designed to invest in our future by creating value through either expanding our operations and extending their mine lifes. Our full operation sustaining capital requirements for maintenance purposes for pre-stripping so that we can access the gold-bearing ore and underground capitalized mining.

This investment typically ranges from $80 million to $100 million a year for the full operation. This is what our sustaining capital investment has been historically and we expect to invest a similar amount each year going forward for the foreseeable future.

Our exploration investment has steadily increased since 2014 as we have good ground on which to drill and are focused on delivering resource expansions. Something I know that when focused on and the good news is we have delivered on this, particularly at Waihi.

We have increased declaration investment at Waihi and Craig Feebrey and his team seek to further add significant resources at the Martha Underground and WKP. We have allocated a budget of $8 million to $10 million for drilling at WKP, which is double what we spent in 2018 and this increase relates to our confidence in the new deposit.

We have also assigned more joint ventures with junior exploration companies in Nevada and have an opportunity to earn in up to 75% on these projects with modest annual investments. Finally, on growth capital, at Haile, the Haile 43-101 Technical Report back in 2016 or 2017 stated a pre-expansion capital investment of almost $250 million.

This number included $50 million to purchase new fleet, however, we are moving ahead with leasing this equipment, which is how we typically source our mining fleet. The 43-101 also included $50 million in downstream list of the Tailings Storage Facility in 2021 which is now -- which is not how we expect the timing to play out and as in more typical, this will be done progressively over several years like it has been done at other operations like Didipio as being a recent example.

The 43-101 also calls the $65 million to be spent on the plant expansion. We spent $43 million last year in the plant expansion and we expect to spend another $15 million to $20 million this year.

So, in total, this remains consistent with original budget, albeit the timing of that spend was moved forward. Through these prudent investments, we are well on the way to transforming Haile for a circa 150,000 ounce a year producer to 200,000 ounces a year or more.

And Didipio, the remaining growth capital is to complete the build of Panel 2 of the underground project. At Waihi, it's related to the market project, a value-creating project that didn't exist two years ago and is the real authorization of stated vision to deliver significant mine life extensions at that operation.

We are very happy with our business and are confident that we will reinvest in a bit strong operating cash flow to value accretive opportunities that will generate sustained value for shareholders well into the future. With the underground -- at Martha permitting behind us, we can hopefully start getting the value for the operation.

It's no longer a two or three-year operation at Waihi. And moving to slide 23, just finally, as we have done over the past several years, we again are focused on delivering on our commitments.

We had a strong 2018 and when I look back to this time last year, many investors and analysts had a negative reaction to our guidance and said 2019 would be our year, while 2018 was a pretty good one for us. We increased our group production guidance twice and again delivered it.

We also managed our capital program prudently coming in at the bottom of our capital cost range. We expect the 2019 will continue to be a year where we generate strong cash flow, invest in the long-term future of the business through the numerous and exciting organic growth opportunities we have, and provide returns to shareholders.

So with that, I will hand over to back to the moderator. That concludes the formal presentation and we'll take some questions over the phone.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question-and-answer session.

[Operator Instructions] Your first question is from Michael Gray with Macquarie. Please go ahead.

Mick Wilkes

Michael are you there?

Operator

Go ahead.

Mick Sroba

Hi Mick and team, its Mick Sroba here. Just two questions.

First, can you please clarify the treatment of the excise tax at Didipio? Is that going to be taken out of the cost line on the income statement and included in the G&A?

Is that what the treatment is looking like at the moment?

Mick Wilkes

There's actually no change in the presentation on the financial statement. You will see that is actually called out differently in the financial statement under the G&A indirect taxes.

The only change was that line was never -- previously wasn't included in Didipio all-in sustaining cost. It is now being included as part of the calculation at Didipio's all-in sustaining cost, but it won't change the presentation here.

So, in terms of your modeling you need to be careful, you don't just increase Didipio's all-in sustaining cost and then leave it in the G&A as well because you will be double counting it effectively.

Mick Sroba

Okay. That certainly helps.

And my other question is on the extent of the negative grade reconciliation at Snake in the quarter. What was the percentage negative reconciliation and is there increased confidence in the deeper zones in terms of the drilling and geological modeling at snake and the mill zone?

Mick Wilkes

Yes, thanks for that question, Mick. We did have some negative reconciliation at top of the snake ore body.

It seems as though there were some old drilling that was done prior to previous when the mine was first -- drilling started back in 2018 -- 2008 and at least half a dozen RAC holes that were drilled back then and there were some errors or sampled bias with that. So, that added a bit of a modern inconsistency at the top of the ore body.

But we have been drilling the ore body at depth and we are seeing much more positive results. So, it is a complex ore body, that's long been known and geologically it's complex.

So, the more we drill, the more we mine, the more we learn about it, the more accurate our estimates are. We had some strong positive reconciliation in the mill zone pit last year, so there are some roundabouts with this oil body.

Mick Sroba

Okay, thanks for that. Are you able to let us know what the drill hole spacing on your grade control, say the snake and the mill zone?

Mick Wilkes

Well, for grade control, we use [Indiscernible] holes grade control at -- I think it's about 10 meters or less.

Mick Sroba

Okay, excellent. Thanks for that.

That's all for me.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Daniel Morgan of UBS.

Daniel, please go ahead.

Daniel Morgan

Thank you. A question on Haile, obviously, it was impacted by a lot of weather through Q4.

Just wondering if you can update us on how that's progressing this quarter. Is the operations back to full steam or is Q1 still going to feel a little bit disruption?

Just trying to get a feel for how the year marker.

Mick Wilkes

Yes, the rains are only persisted through January -- into January and we are still recovering from it. So, this quarter will be soft again, but we stick by the confidence in the forecast for the full year.

We are putting a lot of resources to get it back on track.

Daniel Morgan

Yes, so the guidance was put out with the knowledge of the January weather?

Mick Wilkes

Yes.

Daniel Morgan

Thank you.

Mick Wilkes

That's great.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Dan Rollins from RBC Capital Markets.

Please go ahead.

Dan Rollins

Yes, thanks very much. Mick, just wondering if you could provide a little bit of color on what you are thinking from an M&A standpoint.

Obviously, you've been looking for a while for a potential another asset. Also do understand that you have a lot on your pipeline existing, but with potential noncore assets sales coming out.

Potential for earlier space exploration projects, where is the team's current focus? And if you are looking at a type of transaction sort of what are the broad strokes that you would be looking at from a production base, if you are looking?

Mick Wilkes

Yes, well obviously, we are mining just interested in opportunities in the market and there's certainly a certain buoyancy about the gold market at the market, following the two major transactions. Certainly we remain disciplined about what we're looking for.

Quality assets, things we can add value to, production which is of sufficient side to be meaningful and something that fits into our vision of having six to seven mines and basically getting up over 1 million ounces a year as a company. So, we remain disciplined in our focus on that.

We've got a lot to do with our current portfolio, as you mentioned and so very focused on the expansion of Haile. We're very focused on now getting on with Waihi and really getting the full potential of that done in the daylight and of course, the ramp-up of Didipio Underground.

We've got a lot to do ourselves but we got a team -- a very good team now, Corporate Development based in Denver, who are actively reviewing opportunities in the market.

Dan Rollins

And just on Waihi, obviously, still going to the mine planning and getting out the reserve resources. But what do expect obviously this year and you guys had mentioned during the site visit that this's going to be a transition year in 2019.

What should we sort of be looking at for a magnitude increase over the next couple of years as you start to bring on the Martha project on production base? Also on that point in time, do you expect the cost on the current AIC similar to what you currently forecasted?

Mick Wilkes

Yes. This year -- or next year, we are mining the last of the reserves at the Correnso deposit, the current underground.

And we'll be going flat out to develop the new Martha Underground. It's too early to give you a definitive projection of when the Martha Underground in a substantial way, but we certainly expect that to go over the next 12 to 18 months.

But we are learning a lot more about the resource; we are finding a lot of gold. We are finding different veins, we are finding about 70% of the target resource is in virgin ground.

So, that's going to be a focus for us for development to get into that first and really maximize the resource recovery from this whole area, which is very exciting.

Dan Rollins

Perfect. Thanks very much.

Good luck this year guys.

Mick Wilkes

Thanks. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Reg Spencer with Canaccord Genuity.

Please go ahead.

Reg Spencer

Thanks. Good morning Mick and team.

Just a quick question around Didipio. Last year in 2018, the processing rates were higher in the first half that tailed away in the back half.

You previously discussed your annual report throughput limitation rates based on your permitting. How should we think about the processing profile if I call that throughout 2019 when you look to put more through the mill in the first half and then tail it off in the second half, or will it be level throughout the course of the year?

Just a couple of comments on that, please.

Mick Wilkes

Yes, I think a similar profile to last year, Reg, is the best answer to that. We live in hope that that permit will be -- the application will be granted for increasing the throughput rate above the 3.5 million tonnes, but it's not that she doesn't make that my deference to the overall performance of the operation because, obviously, it's trading incrementally lower-grade material for any additional tonnes through the plant.

So, if I -- In your model, I'd be assuming the 3.5 million tonnes for the full year. We use that time productively in December, I have done in the last couple of years when maintenance and people taking annual leave and that sort of thing.

Reg Spencer

Is the suspension order still in place? Is there any visibility on that it's obviously impacting your operations, but perhaps optically, it would be great to have that issue removed.

Mick Wilkes

Yes, it is still in place and as it is -- nearly all of the other companies that had an order in place. So, I think I've mentioned it previously that it is very political subject in Philippines.

And we continue to engage and work closely with the MGB and the DNR and we have a very good relationship with them. So, I'm afraid to say it's business as usual in the Philippines.

Reg Spencer

Thank you. Just one little quick question on your credit facility so that $50 million reduction in 2018, that was originally scheduled for 2019.

So, are there any plant production in that facility throughout 2019 or will that be pushed out into 2020?

Mick Wilkes

I'll let Scott answer that, Reg.

Scott McQueen

Reg, the $50 million step-down is scheduled to happen on the 31st of December, 2019. Obviously, we have already repaid that.

Whether we do any further repayments we will monitor our liquidity as we go through the year, but there is no requirement for us to pay more this year, no.

Reg Spencer

Great. Thanks very much guys.

Mick Wilkes

Thanks Reg.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Raj Ray with Desjardins Capital Markets.

Please go ahead.

Raj Ray

Thank you operator. Hello Mick and team.

Good morning and good afternoon. Just couple of questions, first on Waihi.

How should we look at sequencing in the Phase IV pit within the underground -- Martha Underground mine plan over the next five years? And what's your expectation for the ramp-up at Martha Underground in terms of how long do you think it's going to take?

Mick Wilkes

I will answer your second question first, I think it will be couple of years before we get it up to full production I expect but it's early days in that prediction. And I remember, we have got this consent probably earlier than we expected, which is a very positive thing but now we are still drilling.

We have only drilled 57% of the targeted resource. We've increased the time significantly, so the mine planning is a moving object.

So, it's difficult for me to put a definitive timeframe on the ramp-up. The main objective here is to maximize the reserves and the recoverable resource from what's being discovered.

On Phase IV, Phase IV of Didipio cutback on the north wall, which is to recover the 70,000-odd ounces that sit in the base of the pit as a result of that pit in 2015. That will be scheduled in over the next few years.

Any further cutbacks on the subject to further permitting.

Raj Ray

Okay. And the estimate of what the strip could be for the Phase IV?

Mick Wilkes

I will get back to you on that, Raj. Sam, can fill you in on that detail.

I don't have it on the top of my head.

Raj Ray

Okay, no worries. And then quick question for Scott maybe.

So, the $25 million New Zealand income tax that was deferred to 2020, it's that a one-time payment in March? Do expect any other taxes payable in 2019 in further New Zealand operations?

Scott McQueen

Yes, thanks, Raj. We do -- effectively what's happening is you differ the payment of provisional tax through an approved polling system in New Zealand so you end up paying final installment.

So, we have a final installment due this year based on our prior years of about $15 million in the first quarter of this year pegged there will be no payments after that and we will make a final payment again in March of the following year. So we sort of -- what we are doing is getting out of the provisional tax and then paying only final assessment.

Raj Ray

So, if I got it correctly, so you were saying there is a $15 million payment this year and another $25 million next year?

Scott McQueen

The next year is when we spend it on the finalization of the tax returns. I don't have the exact number off hand but it will be a similar limited this year, broadly over.

Raj Ray

Okay. Thank you.

That's it for me.

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your next question is from John [Indiscernible] Independent Research.

Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Thank you. Sorry, if I might have missed some of the earlier discussion.

This morning, Anglogold mentioned they were putting a couple of mines up for sale and a discovery up for JV. There must be 20 or 30 producing mines for sale these days, or good deposits.

Could you give us a refresher on how much your firepower is for acquisitions and your point of view, now that all these majors want to give away properties?

Mick Wilkes

Well, John thanks for that question. Yes, you are right, there are a lot of assets that would appear to be coming up.

Although, there is nothing definitive other than the ones that have been mentioned. Look, we run a strong balance sheet, we run a low level of debt, we have a good cash flow from operations, we have a very good banking facility that is sitting right behind us.

And our philosophy has always been to build partnerships with bankers and with the debt providers, build partnerships with investors. Come on the journey with us as these opportunities present themselves.

The focus has to be on the quality of them and if everyone's bidding for the same thing and its average quality, it's probably not a good time to be at the auction. So, we remain disciplined, we remain focused and we remain engaged.

Unidentified Analyst

Could you give us a flavor for a maximum size or weight regions of the world you are willing to venture into? And how much you are willing to not spread yourself thin and whatnot?

Mick Wilkes

Look, we are not going to blow our brains out with any major acquisitions and big development projects or anything like that. We are in three jurisdictions now; we are focused in Australasia and North America.

And we do have an eye on South America as well but we are not established that at this stage. We remain open to those regions in America and Australasia.

In terms of size, we are looking at things that can produce us in the order of 200,000 ounces a year and with high margins and low costs.

Unidentified Analyst

There may be too many things put up for sale too soon. And there could be some properties where the major doesn't want to work on, so to speak, where there is a reclamation reserve, forgetting something like past when it's a problem they can't fix.

Are you willing to assume liabilities in situations where the upfront payment might not be so large?

Mick Wilkes

We look at each opportunity on its merits. But that's certainly one that we wouldn't be too keen to take on, depending on the size of it, of course.

Unidentified Analyst

Sure. I'm sorry to pester you.

I just am amazed when I hear the things people are selling.

Mick Wilkes

Very interesting time in the gold market. We're very focused on our business and our vision and our strategy, so we are working very hard to deliver on that.

Thanks John.

Unidentified Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions.

You may proceed.

Mick Wilkes

Okay, thank you, everybody. That concludes our webcast and conference call.

There will be a replay available on our website later today. On behalf of Scott and the rest of the team, thank you for joining us.

Should you have any follow-up questions, please don't hesitate to contact our excellent Investor Relations team. Bye for now.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and we ask that you please disconnect your lines.