Operator
Good afternoon, ladies and
Operator
gentlemen. Welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2016 Earnings Call.
My
name is Ronnie, and I'll be your conference operator today.
[Operator Instructions]
I would now like to turn the conference over to Steve Cootey,
Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.
Stephen Cootey
Thank you, and good afternoon. Joining the call on behalf of the
Stephen Cootey
company today are Steve Wynn, Matt Maddox, Maurice Wooden and
myself here in Las Vegas. Also on the phone are the operational
management teams from our Las Vegas, Macau and Boston properties.
Before we get started, I just want to remind everyone that we
will be making forward-looking statements under the safe harbor
federal securities laws, and those statements may or may not come true.
And with that, I'm going to turn the call over to Mr. Wynn.
Stephen Wynn
Very nice to have this call. You've seen our numbers, up.
I have
Stephen Wynn
a couple of comments. We opened the Palace in Macau on August
22nd. We opened the Wynn Macau on Labor Day of 2006.
It took us
about a year to get that property to produce operating profits of $1 million a day. We were able in the -- in September, October,
November, December to get to over $800,000 a day. And the way we
operate, we tend to ramp up and put very little marketing
pressure on a property to find out what its baseline strength is.
I've said this before, but it's worth repeating because I'm happy
to say that since the 1st of the year -- and during that period,
the Macau and Encore properties maintained their levels of
revenue without being negatively or adversely affected by the new
hotel in Cotai and so that revenue was additive.
However, in -- since the 1st of the year, without Chinese New
Year, which is going to begin today, we were able to have the
Wynn Palace come up to a $1.6 million a day, and Wynn in Macau in
$1.4 million a day. So the 2 hotels have been throwing off about
$3 million a day, and I'm very glad. It means that our situation
is right on target, right on schedule. As a matter of fact, we're
a little ahead now, with our hotel occupancy at the Palace, ahead
of our predictions. We're running in the 90s at rate, and we're
pushing rates upwards in our occupancy, which has caused us to
have very good mass market success in Cotai.
We're still barricaded on 4 sides by construction by both by the
city's light rail system and by construction on 2 sides, by SJM
and MGM. And at this point, we're not really clear on when those
properties will open. But we are pretty clear that the light rail
and our barricades, that have interfered with foot traffic, will
be relieved by the spring.
So I think if you're planning and looking at our operation in
Cotai, you can pretty much figure that we're going to be
barricade-free by the second half of this year, sometime during
the second quarter. So the fact that we're experiencing this good
mass market activity is a function of our high occupancy at
Cotai, which produces a higher end customer consistent with our
position in the market, both in the Macau original downtown area
and the Cotai area.
Our fourth quarter was satisfactory in Las Vegas, and January is
operating ahead of last year as we head into Chinese New Year,
which kicks in pretty much tonight, tomorrow and this weekend. So
we expect a happy ending or at least a vigorous ending in terms
of casino activity at the end of January going into Super Bowl in
February and the holidays in the first quarter.
That's pretty much my take as an overlook on our operations.
We've been in construction since July in Boston. Bob DeSalvio is
on the telephone. One of the most unusual parts about our
business is that our 2 Chinese op -- our Chinese operations are
run by 2 Irishmen. And Ciarán and Ian are both on the call.
And
Matt and I are here with Maurice Wooden, who runs America, to
answer any of your questions. And we'd be happy to take them now.
Questions? Ma'am, you can begin to take questions on this call if
I'm still on it. Does nobody have any questions today?
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And we have a question from the line of
Operator
Felicia Hendrix.
Felicia Hendrix
So the color you just gave us in the opening remarks were very
Felicia Hendrix
helpful, where Wynn Palace has ramped to on EBITDA per day. And I
was just wondering if you could just talk to us about what has
happened to that property since the last quarter to get there?
Has it been more tweaking the product, more proactive marketing?
Has it benefited from the growth in the market? All of the above?
I just think it would be helpful to get some details around what
has been driving that. And then in line with that, regarding the
margins that you're generating at the property, the EBITDA
margins, like, have you gotten to above 20%? How long does it
take to get to normalized margins at the property?
Stephen Wynn
You know what? I think that Ian is perfect.
He is -- he got up at
5
30 in the morning to talk to you, and I think we ought to let
5
him do so.
Ian Coughlan
Felicia, we've done a significant amount of work at Wynn Palace
Ian Coughlan
after the property opened. We completely reconfigured our main
casino floor, and that's driven much greater animation and
excitement. We've added 2 themes, slot sections, a high promotion
-- high-energy promotions area, a new poker area. We've also
increased accessibility to our high-limits area. We're
constructing a new noodle restaurant on the floor, which has made
the casino smaller and also helps with the energy. We have
increased our marketing activity both from an awareness
perspective and also with general players that are visiting. And we have increased headcount.
We've become a member of the much-
fabled Cotai Connection, which is bringing in just over 1,000
extra people a day. And the ramp-up in occupancy from the low 70s to mid-90s has been a big help in animating the property.
And just generally, we're finding after you get through the chaos of the first 6 to 8 weeks, a property settles and the true players in Cotai are finding our property and discovering it and visiting
us. We were very much helped by exposure over the October Golden
Week. And particularly, Christmas and New Year was a very busy
period for us. So people are experiencing the property, the right
type of players are coming and they're finding it to be their
home. There has also been a very, very active program of
reenergizing inactive players, players that had either split
their play from Wynn Macau into the new properties in Cotai or
had moved over to Cotai completely. And we've reenergized a lot
of those players and they're coming to our property. So we've
been helped by a lift in the market also, but it's pretty much
everything that Steve covered earlier.
Stephen Wynn
One of the things that is being demonstrated, once again, it's
Stephen Wynn
not the amount of tables, it's whose active, and we're probably a
perfect example of that. Wouldn't you say so, Ian?
Ian Coughlan
Yes.
Stephen Wynn
Yes, I don't know what our market share is going to show, but I
Stephen Wynn
suspect that it will climb from the last quarter.
Ian Coughlan
Chinese New Year is a great exposure opportunity for us as well.
Ian Coughlan
It's the first prolonged holiday period. So we expect very, very
high visitation from people that would normally attend other
properties.
Felicia Hendrix
And if we did our quick math correctly, it looks like VIP versus
Felicia Hendrix
mass mix is roughly 60/40. Where do you want that property to end
up?
Stephen Wynn
What about that Ian?
Ian Coughlan
I mean, we're growing all segments of the business. We've seen --
Ian Coughlan
the interesting thing in the split between Wynn Macau downtown
and Wynn Palace is the strength of our junkets and also the fact
that our mass play downtown hasn't been affected a drop. So we're
continuing to grow all segments at Wynn Palace. But where the
split works out, we'll see. But I think it will be healthy and
pretty similar to our operation downtown.
Stephen Wynn
Right. And it could -- I should add this.
Because we get such big
Stephen Wynn
play, volatility plays a role month-to-month in that sort of
thing, probably more so with us than with some of our neighbors,
and that's also true in Las Vegas. But having mentioned that,
volatility is a factor when you look at our company compared to
our colleagues up and down the street here and abroad. But
remember, that volatility factor does have a concomitant benefit.
We always, year-in and year-out, run a higher hold percentage
than our neighbors. And that's a historical fact, and it has to
do with the kind of people that come to a place that is geared
toward the top end of the market. Even though we have more
volatility, we still settle at a higher level than everybody
else.
Felicia Hendrix
And just on the EBITDA -- the margin question?
Stephen Wynn
30% in Las Vegas. And Matt, what is it China?
Very close?
Matt Maddox
Yes. I mean, it's -- Wynn Macau has always been in that 30% range.
Matt Maddox
And your question was when can we get Wynn Palace ramped up over 20%?
I think that is certainly going in that direction right now. So
we're seeing [indiscernible] on everything.
Felicia Hendrix
Yes, that's what I was asking. Like so -- are you over 20% now?
Not
Felicia Hendrix
in the quarter, but through this?
Matt Maddox
Yes, yes, yes.
Stephen Wynn
Yes, we're on our way there. So...
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Carlo Santarelli with
Operator
Deutsche Bank.
Carlo Santarelli
Matt, just quickly in terms of Peninsula low mass hold, high VIP
Carlo Santarelli
hold, looked a little lower on VIP at Palace. The net effect of
all of that stuff with respect to EBITDA, any kind of guidance on
that?
Stephen Cootey
It's about -- this is Steve. About $6 million light.
Stephen Wynn
6 -- we're $6 million light. We just had another $6 million.
Carlo Santarelli
Would have been another $6 million. Okay, great.
And then, Steve,
Carlo Santarelli
on your comments regarding kind of October, November, December, I
think $840 million a day was the EBITDA at Palace. You said over
$800,000 a day for -- was that for each of the 3 months?
Stephen Wynn
I -- Ian, is that -- is it? I didn't look at that, that way, or
Stephen Wynn
at least I had forgotten. Matt, [indiscernible]
Matt Maddox
It's around...
Ian Coughlan
In consecutive months.
Carlo Santarelli
Great. Okay.
That's helpful. And then, Ian or Ciarán, and just
Carlo Santarelli
whoever wants to opine. But in terms of what you guys are seeing
in the market right now, and I'm speaking more so towards the VIP side. Clearly from the DICJ results for the fourth quarter, VIP has meaningfully changed.
What is your opinion on that as we look out to 2017? And do you think we're at the beginning of a
sustained rally in that market?
Ian Coughlan
It's been fits and starts throughout 2016. People talked about a
Ian Coughlan
VIP recovery, but we really have seen a recovery over the last
2.5, 3 months. There's a lot more confidence.
There appears to be more liquidity in the market, particularly with the junkets, and it's being sustained. So the outlook is pretty promising.
Stephen Wynn
I have said this before and I want to repeat it again. It is very
Stephen Wynn
important to keep a long view of China. The leadership of that
country, and this is also true of Macau, it is a meritocracy and
there are smart people running the government. They don't move as fast as we do in the United States, especially these days with our new administration, but there is a steady program afoot.
Xi Jinping decided that it was a priority of his administration to
eliminate the perception of corruption that was held by the
people with regard to government. And that effort was vigorous
and protracted and it did have an effect. But it seemed to be the right thing to do for the right reasons, and it had an effect on luxury brands and -- such as gaming and Louis Vuitton and Chanel and Mercedes-Benz and that sort of thing.
But the long-term thrust of China is inexorable and undeniable. And that's why we build what we built, and we're going to build more in the future
because we have real estate to do it. We have a very, very
bullish, bullish attitude about China long term for our company.
And as we manage our properties, we -- in anticipation of that
kind of movement in the general economy, we're being rewarded.
And I think it's probably a sound way of looking at China and our business long term.
Carlo Santarelli
Great. And then, if I could, just one follow-up.
I know you
Carlo Santarelli
mentioned Bob's on the phone. It looks as if costs for Boston are up maybe $300 million at the midpoint.
Could you talk a little bit about maybe what that relates to?
Matt Maddox
Yes, the -- this is Matt Maddox. So we're working through our GMP right now.
The previous budget had been in there for a number of years. We put a fairly conservative estimate out of -- in our
Matt Maddox
current earnings release. And I think over the next 90 days,
we'll have much more clarity as we nail our -- as we finalize our
guaranteed maximum price contract.
Stephen Wynn
But it's moving along. I mean, they're proceeding at pace.
We've
Stephen Wynn
been in construction since July, and we're satisfied with the
progress.
Matt Maddox
It's -- we've spent about $467 million to date.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Joe Greff with JPMorgan.
Joseph Greff
Just a question on Wynn Palace. I think it was Ian who mentioned
Joseph Greff
about some of the physical changes that you guys are making to
the property. Amongst some other things that you're doing is
maybe marketing differently or to different customers. Can you
talk about marketing expenses? Are they elevated relative to what
you think might be a normalized level? And to what extent do you
think they might normalize over time over what time frame?
Stephen Wynn
That's an interesting question. Ian, do you want to take a crack
Stephen Wynn
at that? You or Ciarán?
Or [indiscernible]
Ian Coughlan
Sure. Linked with the opening and marketing expenses were in the
Ian Coughlan
range that we anticipated, but they were slightly higher than
what we'll have as a run rate for the remainder of the year.
We've already seen the marketing expenses start to come down. So
they're within the Cotai range. It's a different market place
than downtown. Marketing reinvestment is generally higher than
Cotai, but it's where we anticipated it to be.
Joseph Greff
Great. And, Ciarán, welcome to the fun conference calls here.
Joseph Greff
Maybe you can talk about, since you're new, where you see the
opportunities for Wynn Palace to improve? And Steve Wynn, maybe,
Steve, you can talk a little bit about maybe some of the
opportunities that are more obvious now that were less obvious
upon the opening in terms of ways to improve revenue and
profitability there from here.
Ciarán Carruthers
Go ahead.
Stephen Wynn
Go ahead, Ciarán.
Ciarán Carruthers
Thank you for the welcome. I'll let Ian talk to the opportunities
Ciarán Carruthers
there for Wynn Palace as my fault as now is going to be to
continue to maintain the position and the performance of the
downtown Wynn Macau property. Obviously, the Peninsula remains a
very solid proposition for the very core market of high-level
game as they're coming into Macau. And I think the performance in
Q4 is solid as that has been despite the opening of Wynn Palace,
despite the opening of some of the other new properties on Cotai.
All is very well moving forward into future. Obviously, work to
be done to continue to maintain that position and maintain the
service planners and so on. It's been incredibly welcome and
enjoying the property and seeing just how much commitment there
has been, both from Las Vegas in terms of the spend to maintain
the physical property and also the commitment and the hard work
of the team of professionals that are there and -- that provide just
excellent service. We've just got to continue to build on that.
Stephen Wynn
Look, the way to look at us and that'll give you the insight to
Stephen Wynn
project us, we have a very definite approach to this whole notion
of the gaming business and integrated resorts. And our approach
is based upon 2 solid truths. Number one, better customers.
People who have the money to choose, who engage in visiting
hotels and facilities of this type have a common thread that is
undeniable. And that is they go where they're treated the best
and where the facilities are superior. If you are a player who
attends these places, you have a choice and you always go -- in
the long run, always go with the rooms are better, where the
facility is immaculately maintained and where the staff has had
invested in it tremendous amount of energy for training and
personal attention to the guest. That is to say, we're very
customized in the way we treat our people and the way we present
our facilities. In the long run, that garners the strongest
possible clientele. And again, I point out, it's who's in the
building, who's sleeping in the rooms that determines the
results, both in gaming and non-gaming results. It is true that
there is a second approach to this business, which is more akin
to Walmart and the mass approach. And the Sands and the Galaxy
and the Melco people do that beautifully. We come to these people
with a different message, that if you have the money and the
inclination to visit such places, ours offers the most luxurious
environment and the best service and the best food. And in the
end -- and our shops are catered to the kind of people we expect
to be staying in the rooms. That's to say that our facility is,
at the end of the day, truly integrated, but it's integrated with
a philosophy that's integrated. And that tells you our story.
That's the Wynn story plain and simple. It's never been any
different, whether it was the Golden Nugget downtown, the Golden
Nugget of Atlantic City, Beau Rivage in Mississippi, the Wynn and
the Encore in the central part of Macau or the new Palace at
Cotai. And that will be exactly what happens in Boston.
And
that's going to be our story, and it won't change. And you've got
a long history of our operations from Rivage and Bellagio and the
Golden Nugget to the buildings that we're operating today. There
is nothing mysterious or secretive or in a certain sense,
particularly cunning, about what we do. It's very
straightforward, right out in the open where everybody can see
it. Our competitors choose to approach their challenge in a
slightly different way, and it's certainly valid based upon the
earnings and the results of those places, but we slot in
somewhere else. And in the long run, it gives us tremendous
stability and performance that a room for room, foot by foot in
any building that we built, they tend to over-perform. And we're
comfortable doing this. I would say that we probably -- our
management team is a collection of men and women who are
attracted to the pursuit of excellence. We share a common
understanding of who we are and what we present to our guests. So
we're at least consistent, but we're definitely different in our
approach than some of the other places. And that's not to say
that their approach is less valid than ours. But ours is well-
defined and historically consistent.
Joseph Greff
Steve, can you give us the latest update on Paradise Park and the
Joseph Greff
developments on the golf course?
Stephen Wynn
Well, that takes up most of my time. And we're very close to
Stephen Wynn
having our choices settled in. And we are adding significantly to
our non-casino revenue, both in the building of the lagoon and
everything that surround that lake. It's a 1,000-feet x 1,000-
feet in general terms, close to 20 acres of -- 20 or 23 acres of
space, surrounded by a 4,400-foot long boardwalk, that's 18-feet
wide and which is ringed with retail food and beverage and an
additional hotel rooms, convention and meeting space and various
attractions for the 800,000 people a week that come here. And it
includes a new big theater, a new tower of rooms, substantial
expansion of our convention and meeting space and related
entertainment attractions and customer activities that we think
will appeal to a broad range of folks. And having the ability to
have a perimeter that's white sand beaches and a boardwalk seems
to us to be pretty fetching in the middle of the Southern Nevada
desert. We have a unique...
Joseph Greff
What are you thinking in terms of the timetable?
Stephen Wynn
I hope to take -- Matt and I hope to take the business plan to
Stephen Wynn
our Board of Directors in the second quarter and therefore, be in
a position to begin work in the fourth quarter of this year. I
say that, but we have to have our prices and our business plan
all locked down before I go to my board to get their permission
to proceed. We keep the board apprised in every meeting and on
every telephone call of our latest nuance in that development.
But the incredible amount of options that were available on this
130 acres with a 1,000-acre feet of private water, the choices
were numerous. And my challenge and my design team that had been
with me for over 35 years has been to make sure that we make the
right choices. And there have been so many of them, it's been
dizzying. But I think that we've nailed it down.
We've wrestled
it to the ground. And Maurice, Matt, all of us have a tremendous
amount of confidence that it's the only way forward. I mentioned
that last September -- for example, very interesting. Last
September, there were 30 days in Las Vegas, for example. We won a
$1,870,000 a day in the -- in gaming, and that had to be the
biggest number in America or anywhere but Singapore and Macau in
the world. And as good as that was, $1,870,000 a day, and that
was net of any discounts or promotion allowances, our non-casino
revenue was $3,340,000 a day net of comps. That tells you about
this causal relationship between non-casino revenue and an
integrated resort and casino revenue. It's the non-casino things
that bring the folks and determine their choices of where to play
the games. And so, when we approach the design of the golf course
property, which sits on our books at a cost of 0, that whole
parcel, it's -- has been written off in prior development. We
think that we want to take our non-casino revenue to enormously
high levels because we think that the probability of this 800,000
people a week in this city remaining the same and growing is
almost a certainty. And that's the fundamental assumption about
Las Vegas that leads us to wade in to the convention and non-
casino end of the business with a high degree of confidence and
entertainment as well.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Harry Curtis with
Operator
Nomura.
Harry Curtis
Two quick questions, and welcome, Ciarán. I am -- I wanted to
Harry Curtis
focus on the growth in VIP in the fourth quarter versus
sequentially from the third quarter just in the market as a
whole. Yet at the same time, the overall trend in mass was flat.
And the -- and I'm -- I would have thought that there would be an
inverse relationship 3 or 4 months ago. So I wanted you guys why
you thought, particularly mass was -- has yet or is slow to take
off given the openings.
Stephen Wynn
Do you understand that question, Matt?
Matt Maddox
Yes, I do. I think that if you look back over our history, Harry,
Matt Maddox
when new properties open, the junkets ramp up much faster than
mass. They get quick injections of liquidity and hit the ground
running. The mass market customers with new openings tend to not
come right away and then find their way to the market more in --
a little more slowly. But junkets pretty much come out of the
gate at 100%. So that's what -- I think what you saw in the
fourth quarter was VIP revenue at $4.1 billion compared to $3.5
billion for the market. In the third quarter, you saw the new
properties really powering the VIP market.
Stephen Wynn
And then again, with mass, we're still hamstrung, Matt, don't you
Stephen Wynn
think by the barriers that surround our property?
Matt Maddox
We are, we are, and in areas from out the market overall. Mass
Matt Maddox
was -- it was pretty much flat from the third quarter, but that
has always, when I look at the data, ramped up more slowly than
VIPs with new properties opening for the -- due to what the
junket operators, how they inject the liquidity straight into the
market.
Stephen Wynn
Does that get you, Harry? Is that your -- does that answer?
Harry Curtis
It does. And, Steve, a question for you.
You commented about how
Harry Curtis
bullish you were about making incremental investments in Macau
and China. If you could put that comment into context versus the
-- kind of the rhetoric that's been going on between our new
administration and Xi Jinping's Beijing administration, it's been
strained. What do you think the implications are for Wynn
development in China, given this, at least, initial saber
rattling?
Stephen Wynn
I think that's probably a good word for it. I'm of the mind and I
Stephen Wynn
have a reason to believe that this position is shared in
Washington. As you know, I am acquainted with the administration.
Several of us in my -- in our business, were sitting within 30-
feet of President Trump when he took his oath of office on the
platform last Friday. We all believe and I mean, all of us, that
the most overwhelmingly important event geopolitically for the
next 50 years is liaison, a constructive liaison between the
People's Republic of China and the United States of America. That
truth is undeniable. That dynamic is unquestioned.
Now, there are
issues that are real between 2 dynamic economies like China and
the United States, undeniably. And there's a difference between
free trade and predatory trade. The government in China
understands that it has to do a better job with intellectual
property rights. They do the best they can in China to create
jobs and take people out of poverty, and that makes them very
dynamic in the management of their economy with that single goal
in mind. It affects everything from the way they treat energy, to
create plants and factories, to how they manage the currency and
the movement of currency and their trade policy. The United
States has its own point of view on that subject, and the
President has been really clear during the campaign that he wants
to protect American jobs. Well, that's what they want to do in
China as well. So there's going to have to be a reproach --
there's going to have to be an adjustment. But we basically do
have intelligent people on both sides dealing with this. My own
feeling is that it will resolve itself intelligently. You can
make all kinds of examples. I mean, China controls its currency,
but during QE1, 2 and 3, we devalued the U.S. dollar by close to
20%. So when the Fed in financing a deficit of close to $2
billion a day increases the money supply, well, that's the same
sort of thing, we just do it differently than they do in a
centrally-controlled government like Beijing. But a lot of the
same things are happening on both sides of the ocean, and they're
being done to protect the citizens of those 2 countries. Yet,
there isn't a leader in America or a leader in China that doesn't
understand that when the United States and the People's Republic
of China come together on an intelligent basis, the world is a
better place. I'm in a position to know that, that opinion is
held in Washington and Beijing. And it gives me long-term
confidence in spite of what happens short-term verbally. We
mustn't confuse long-term United States policy with the short-
term conversations that lead to its development. Do I sound like
a politician? That's what happens.
That's what happens. We just
spent 4 days in Washington and you get brainwashed. It's a
sickness but it's fascinating and the fact that America is going
through a change is probably the greatest thing that's happened
in my lifetime because we were so on the wrong track for the past
8 years. And I've made no secret about that, and I think we're in
for better times for sure.
Harry Curtis
To rein this back in towards -- or back towards Wynn in China,
Harry Curtis
with -- despite these -- the somewhat strained verbal sparring,
you feel confident that additional investment in Macau is coming?
Stephen Wynn
Absolutely.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Thomas Allen with
Operator
Morgan Stanley.
Thomas Allen
So focusing on Macau in the fourth quarter, I'm comparing the
Thomas Allen
Wynn Macau property to Wynn Palace. Your VIP turnover was
comparable but your mass drop at Wynn Palace was about 35% lower
than Wynn Macau. As you continue to ramp up Palace, how do you
think that should change?
Stephen Wynn
Directly related to the physical barriers that surround our
Stephen Wynn
properties, and that only gets better with each passing week and
month this spring. That's my answer about that.
There's an awful
lot of people a few hundred yards from our property, but they
can't quite get there, and they will, they positively will, just
like they did in the past. Watch it change.
I tell you that it
will change. You can believe me or not believe me, but it's as
simple as that.
Ian Coughlan
It's also due to Wynn Macau having had 10 years to build up an
Ian Coughlan
incredibly high stable of high-limit players, particularly in
Encore and it will take time to build that at Wynn Palace. Seeing
is believing. It gets better every week.
We're seeing a buildup
in our high-limit players and that will continue to grow over the
coming months.
Thomas Allen
All right. And then just, Stephen, December you sold some of your
Thomas Allen
Vegas retail to Crown Acquisitions, can you just talk about the
rationale there?
Stephen Wynn
Matt did that deal which was absolutely perfectly timed for us
Stephen Wynn
and I'll let him describe it.
Matt Maddox
So we looked at it for multiple reasons. #1, the people that we
Matt Maddox
partnered with are long-time retailers and in the business. And
so we wanted to continue to control our retail. We sold a
minority stake. We thought it was a good capital raise at a
multiple that double where we trade on the market. And so not
only was it the ability to raise capital to fund future projects
at a really high multiple, but we brought in partners with a lot
of experience in the luxury retail space to complement what we
already do. So for us, it was really a win-win, and we still
control it and consolidate the profits of the retail space
because we have over 50% of the ownership.
Stephen Wynn
And Haim Chera and his father, Stanley and his -- that whole
Stephen Wynn
Chera family that makes up the Crown organization, they taught us
a few things right off the bat. They gave us a few pointers in
the nuance of how we do our leases that immediately increased our
profitability.
Stephen Cootey
Yes.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Robin Farley with UBS.
Robin Farley
I wanted to ask about -- you talked about how Palace is going to
Robin Farley
ramp up. At your Analyst Day last year, I think you talked about
a range of kind 6.30% to 8.50% which is a wide range. Is that
still where you're thinking it will ramp? And then similarly, I
think you had talked about Wynn Macau, that you were maybe
factoring in, that it would be sort of 20% or 25%
cannibalization. Is that still -- also, do you think that you
will maybe sort of ramp to that on the downside at Wynn Macau? I
know this quarter was obviously -- it was only down 7% in EBITDA,
but just thinking about what your expectations were originally.
Stephen Wynn
We don't think there's much cannibalization. That 25%, where did
Stephen Wynn
that come from?
Stephen Cootey
That was our analyst presentation showing the Wynn Palace, Wynn
Stephen Cootey
Macau market study of over a year ago, back about in April.
Stephen Wynn
Do you still believe it?
Stephen Cootey
No. What we've seen is Wynn Macau has held up better than we
Stephen Cootey
anticipated due to all the reasons we just talked about, the
stickiness of the clientele and the 10 years of history. And the
ramp-up of Wynn Palace, as we talked about in our last call, is
taking longer. We actually didn't anticipate all of the
artificial barriers, the construction, not being on the Cotai
Connection, et cetera. So getting to the $600-plus million in
2017, it's going to take longer to ramp just -- than that just
like we said on our last call, but Wynn Macau is actually
performing better than we expected.
Robin Farley
Oh yes. No, and I wasn't suggesting that, that would be the '17.
Robin Farley
I understand that the property opened later and the ramp-up
issues. I'm just wondering if that is still the range where you
think it will ultimately ramp. And then similarly, do you think
that as that ramps, the Wynn Macau will maybe get a little bit
more cannibalization along the lines of what you had originally
thought as well?
Stephen Wynn
Well, Robin, with regard to the cannibalization, as Macau -- as
Stephen Wynn
the Palace has ramped up, we haven't experienced a
cannibalization downtown. So what we thought before but what
we're seeing now are slightly different in a better way. So the
only way that we can really know, Robin, is to watch the ramp-up
of the Palace and to continually monitor the performance of the
Encore Wynn facility in Macau. You're asking an interesting
question. We are pretty much as you are, an observer of this.
So
far, it's been good news. But the biggest thing we're looking
forward to, as these barriers and these obstructions come away,
is the ramp up of our mass business. I would have thought, Robin,
that the cannibalization would have occurred with the junket
operators and that's -- because that's where we thought it would
show up, and it didn't as yet. So if the mass market ramps up in
Cotai, I don't think it's going to affect the mass market of
downtown. That would be -- that would have been our -- that would
have been where we looked for at the least. We would have looked
for at the most in the junkets. And as you see, that's not what's
happening. I think that there's more good news in the mass market
in Cotai for sure because of all these other things we've talked
about, and I'm encouraged by what we're seeing with the junkets.
But I think that the Wynn Palace will get where it's supposed to
get. I think Wynn Macau may stay better than we thought.
Robin Farley
Great. That's helpful.
And then…
Stephen Wynn
Is that response...
Robin Farley
Yes, that's just -- so I think what you're saying is that you do
Robin Farley
still expect that -- that range that you talked about 9 months
ago, it's still the range ultimately that you'll get to...
Stephen Wynn
With one exception. With the exemption that we may not experience
Stephen Wynn
the cannibalization levels we mentioned earlier.
Robin Farley
Right. Right.
No, that's great. And then last thing, just
Robin Farley
quickly, what percent of rooms are sold for cash at the Cotai
property?
Stephen Wynn
What about that, Ian?
Ian Coughlan
So what we've experienced is very similar to the Cotai model.
Ian Coughlan
We're doing around 60% of our rooms are casino -- directly casino
related, more comp-related and 40% are tour and travel, FIT and
wholesale.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Shaun Kelley with Bank
Operator
of America.
Shaun Kelley
I just wanted to go back to some of the sequential ramp-up you
Shaun Kelley
guys are starting to see into Q1. From our seat, it's always
getting a little harder to get a sense of what's going on with
the market, kind of on a monthly basis. So I guess my question is
in terms of that big ramp-up that you're continuing to see so far
this year, how much of that would you characterize as the market
versus Palace and your properties continuing to take share?
Stephen Wynn
Ian, do you have a feel for that question?
Ian Coughlan
Well, we've -- there was a very pleasant surprise at the end of
Ian Coughlan
the last year and earlier into this year. We had a very strong
Christmas and New Year as a market, a lot of holiday travel, a
lot of holiday travel out of China, and revenues were excellent.
And the sentiment about Chinese New Year is particularly strong.
Last year, Chinese New Year, people were pretty duller entering
it, not expecting much, but this year, at all levels of the
business, people are anticipating a very, very strong Chinese New
Year.
Stephen Wynn
We are as well in Las Vegas. Maurice is here, and he can address
Stephen Wynn
the -- this next few weeks.
Maurice Wooden
So we've actually continued to see a great trend that we saw at
Maurice Wooden
the end of last quarter or the last month of last year, into the
earlier part of this year. And our parties and our events are
full. And as far as the amount of credit coming in, it's been
pretty robust. So we're pretty confident that we've seen the kind
of activity that makes us feel comfortable that we've got the
kind of business flow that we've been looking and anticipating
for this year.
Shaun Kelley
Great, and maybe just to switch gears for a follow-up. Now that
Shaun Kelley
Palace seems to have stabilized a little bit and the ramp-up's
looking pretty secure, could you maybe talk to us how you're
thinking about leverage targets kind of into 2017 and how that
might filter through to possibly looking at the dividend policy
again, how that's sort of fits in your pecking order versus kind
of growth capital?
Matt Maddox
Well, Shaun, it's Matt. If you look at our balance sheet, we have
Matt Maddox
significant cash on the balance sheet. We have projects underway.
So I would expect debt to remain fairly constant over the next
couple of years, but EBITDA is growing. So we're not really
interested in paying down a lot of debt right now. At the rate
our EBITDA is growing, leverage is very comfortable, and we have
lots of cash on the balance sheet for future projects.
Shaun Kelley
So Matt, does that mean that, I guess, to the extent you're
Shaun Kelley
generating positive operating cash flow, there is room to bump
the dividend? Or would it be more fair to kind of think about
being conservative right now, given just all -- just capital
budgets and things that can tend to shift around?
Stephen Wynn
Well, we have only 100 million shares outstanding, so bumping the
Stephen Wynn
dividend conservatively is not a -- doesn't really change our
financial posture. We're doing $0.50 a quarter and I suppose it's
possible we could go to $0.75 or something, but we haven't
discussed that. We've been more focused on
a, working on our
discussed that. We've been more focused on
Macau operation and getting it stabilized; b, finishing what
we're doing here in planning in Las Vegas; and c, putting final
touches on everything that Bob DeSalvio is running in Boston. The
gaming market in America is subject to change. Things happen and
opportunities present themselves. I think that we probably want
to take a look in the next few months and see how all that plays
out before we tinker with any of the kinds of things you're
talking about, like a dividend or anything like that. The
market's moving, opportunities may present themselves and then
that would have to be folded into our planning financially. I
don't think there's just a hell of a lot more to say than that.
Stephen Cootey
I think that's right.
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Adam Trivison with
Operator
Gabelli.
Adam Trivison
Given that you have meaningful operations on both the Peninsula
Adam Trivison
and in Cotai, I'm interested in your thoughts on how the opening
of the PacOn ferry terminal may affect visitation trends in
Macau?
Stephen Wynn
What do you thing about that, Ian?
Ian Coughlan
I think any infrastructure that comes online is going to be good
Ian Coughlan
for Macau. It allows more visitation.
It'll certainly the
Peninsula, the current ferry terminal and -- excuse me, it will
help Cotai. The current ferry terminal in Cotai is very temporary
in nature and not a good arrival experience. So we're looking
forward to the opening of it.
Adam Trivison
Great, that's helpful. And as a follow-up, based on some recent
Adam Trivison
filings, it looks like there were some small changes made to the
Wynn Boston Harbor floor plans. Can you comment on those changes
and maybe the thinking there?
Stephen Wynn
DeSalvio, you haven't said anything today. Why don't you chime
Stephen Wynn
in?
Robert J. DeSalvio
Sure. Yes, we actually got some -- I think we got some very good
Robert J. DeSalvio
learning off of the opening of Palace, and we've been making
shifts in terms of lightening up a little bit on the retail,
increasing some food and beverage and meeting space opportunities
because we thought that would be the right mix for the property.
So we made those adjustments and they're going through final
drawings, and we think it was the right move.
Operator
And your next question comes from the line of David Katz with
Operator
Telsey Advisory Group.
David Katz
I wanted to just -- I know it's been asked from a couple of
David Katz
different angles, but I wanted to ask about the VIP business and
the degree to which there is market lift. And specifically, how
sustainable you believe the -- I think Ian used the word
excellent in describing the trends. How sustainable you expect
those to be versus how much is the trajectory of ramp-up in that
business because you are now open?
Stephen Wynn
Good question. And I understand why you ask it again.
So there's
Stephen Wynn
market trajectory and then there's our trajectory. We have an
advantage. You remember a few moments ago, Ian used the word
sticky, meaning the customer base was sticky at Wynn Macau. They
like it there and it's hard to pull them out of that place
because it appeals to them on many levels. And what happens is
our trajectory is very much linked to the discovery that
customers make of the superiority of our rooms, of the whole
place and how much fun it is to stay there. So we tend to get
stickier with better players with each passing month. And so, I
have to say that we only make money by paying attention to our
own business. What the market does is very important, of course,
because we're part of it, but we're working on our own trajectory
and we have a definite way of thinking about that and addressing
it. If I understand your question correctly, there's my view.
David Katz
In other words, you're comfortable with where your trajectory is
David Katz
headed and the market helps to some degree, but it's like...
Stephen Wynn
Well, sure because we spent $4.4 billion making sure that we
Stephen Wynn
could feel comfortable. We didn't really leave this to
salesmanship or verbalization by a CEO or any of the other senior
people in the company. We did this by putting our money where our
mouth is, and letting the property speak for itself. And as
people discover it, the property speaks with a very loud,
affirmative voice and says -- and beckons to people. When they
discover our rooms, when they see the facility, they say, "Wow, I
could stay here." Now, it takes a while for them to do that but
they do it. They always have done it, in Nevada, in Mississippi,
in New Jersey. They'll do it in Boston.
It's always been the
same. The history of our operations is a straight-line story,
very much like the one that I keep repeating on these calls. And
it's the only thing we understand.
David Katz
Understood. If I can just ask one more about the construction
David Katz
disruption that you discussed at the beginning. MGM is on one
side and the degree to which they may be having an impact with
construction disruption today versus when they open which is now
later than what was anticipated. If you can just share some
thoughts about sort of how you see that impact or lack thereof
evolving over the remainder of the year, that would be helpful.
Stephen Wynn
Okay. You bet I'd like to comment on that.
In 1986, I bought the
Stephen Wynn
property that is now known as the Mirage, and I built -- and it
was big enough to hold Treasure Island and the Mirage over a
period of time. But we built the hotel right up against the
Caesars Palace borderline, on the south end of that assembly
because we wanted to be near our neighbors. We thrive in a
competitive environment. We do much better when there is more
people around us, not less because there's a certain percentage
of the people that go to these other hotels to which -- to whom
we appeal in particular. It doesn't do us any good to be alone or
isolated. We want to be snug up against our neighbors because the
more rooms that surround us, the more people, the better chance
we have of attracting them. So we anxiously await the arrival of
SJM and MGM. The reason that the Wynn Macau was such an
overwhelming whopping success was because of its proximity to SJM
to the Arc, to -- what's the other place, Matt, something world?
Matt Maddox
StarWorld.
Stephen Wynn
StarWorld. We're surrounded downtown by these people and it
Stephen Wynn
allows us to have an extraordinary, outrageous return on capital.
I think we spent $750 million on the Wynn Macau, and we made like
$100 million dollars a month at one point there. It's because of
our proximity to our neighbors, it's because we're in the midst
of so many visitors that we have the opportunity to exploit our
competitive advantages of facility and service. So we're dying
for MGM to open and SJM to get up and running. We welcome our
neighbors. We're willing to build bridges between the properties,
easy access. And that's one of the reasons why the Sands
experiences such terrific results. It's because of their
connectivity and their proximity to one another. And right now,
we're not enjoying that but we will, I hope, in 2017 at some
point, have the benefit of active, dynamic, well-constructed
neighbors who each brings something to the world of visitors that
makes Macau more powerful. That's the beauty of this development.
Las Vegas and Macau prosper because of the development, not in
spite of it. And we ride that wave like a surfer.
So we're
hopeful that they get open in the fourth quarter or the third,
whenever. We haven't anything lately, maybe you have.
I haven't
heard when SJM is supposed to open. Does anybody in my team know
what SJM's announcements are? It's a mystery.
Hopefully, maybe
when they issue their earnings, they'll talk about it or the
investment community will ask them. Does anybody on this call
know when SJM is supposed to be finished? Do you sir?
David Katz
I do not.
Stephen Wynn
Yes. Ian, do you know what the latest completion dates are on our
Stephen Wynn
neighbors?
Ian Coughlan
Sometime in 2018 for the Lisboa Palace and all therein. And for
Ian Coughlan
MGM, they announce the second half of this year.
Stephen Wynn
But it's '18 for SJM?
Ian Coughlan
Yes.
Stephen Wynn
Well, they're on our south border. That's the least...
Ian Coughlan
What's going to be interesting is we're going to have a quartet
Ian Coughlan
of quality on the west side of Cotai, Steve. You'll have
ourselves, MGM and SJM, and then with City of Dreams across the
road with their new Morpheus Tower, you have 4 high-quality
projects all within walking distance of each other. So that would
become its own hub in Cotai; the first stop on the light rail
after the new PacOn ferry terminal in the airport. So the
future's very bright for West Cotai.
Stephen Wynn
I wish it was true in Las Vegas, across the street from us, where
Stephen Wynn
Packard [ph] was going to build and what I think the Malaysian
folks are going to do it. We love having neighbors.
The SJM
facility is on the south side of our property and that's not
where the light rail is. The biggest interference we've got is on
the west side which is where Melco and MGM and our front door is, our lake and our gondola and all of our other access points. So we get our biggest slug of reliefs when MGM opens and when they
take down the barricades on the west side in front of our gondola
and our -- in front of our presentation. SJM opening in 2018
probably is -- their construction is the least impactful of the
problem that we've dealt with this year in terms of the
barricades. It's the west side of the property that really is
important to us and that's where we're looking for good news in
the second half or sooner.
Operator
And there are no more questions at this time.
Stephen Wynn
Thank you, everybody. Look forward to talking to you in 3 months,
Stephen Wynn
and we'll have maybe more interesting stuff to talk about then.
Meantime, have a nice time.
Operator
Thank you for participating in today's conference call. You may
Operator
now disconnect.