Dexus Industria REIT

Dexus Industria REIT

AASX:DXI
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Feb 16Next Earn

Q4 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptAugust 11, 2026

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Jason Weate, Fund Manager, DXI. Please go ahead.

Jason Weate

Good morning. I'm Jason Weate, Fund Manager of Dexus Industria REIT, and I'm pleased to present DXI's FY 26 results.

I would like to begin by acknowledging the traditional custodians of the many lands on which we operate and pay our respects to elders, past and present. Today, I will cover highlights, financial results, portfolio performance, and growth drivers before moving to Q&A.

DXI provides investors with access to a diversified portfolio of 90 assets valued at $1.5 billion, with 80% of the population within 60 minutes of our asset base, 77% located in infill markets, and a significant $217 million development pipeline at Ascend at Jandakot. DXI's investment proposition is to generate strong risk-adjusted returns built on three core pillars of secure and growing income, active portfolio management, and prudent capital structure.

Occupancy has consistently remained above 98%, supported by proactive management of forward leasing risk. We have successfully transitioned to a 100% industrial portfolio, setting a stronger foundation for future performance.

Our development pipeline is a key differentiator that drives FFO growth, and our balance sheet discipline has allowed us to pursue acquisitions, fund development, and execute a meaningful buyback, all in parallel. Over the period, the fund delivered 17.6 cents per security, above upgraded guidance, supported by strong leasing outcomes, while distributions totaled 16.6 cents per security.

Like-for-like income growth of 5.3% was underpinned by strong rent reviews and positive rent reversion, with re-leasing spreads of 21.4% providing a further tailwind to future earnings. 45,200 square meters of Jandakot completions achieved a strong yield on cost of 7%.

Our balance sheet strength was maintained, with look-through gearing of 31.2% at the lower end of our target range. Capital was recycled into acquisitions at Glendenning, Dandenong South, and Moorebank, and our securities buyback program is being executed at pace and has been upsized to 5%.

Post balance date, a zero-cost hedge book restructure was completed, and I'll cover this in further detail later in the presentation. DXI offers a differentiated combination of secure income, embedded growth, and a development pipeline of scale.

Income security is supported by high occupancy of 98.8% and a proven track record of de-risking near-term expiries through forward leasing. Approximately 87% of income is subject to contracted rental increases of at least 3%, and our development pipeline provides a clear pathway to FFO accretion over the medium term.

DXI remains committed to delivering sustainability outcomes that generate both environmental and financial benefits. Our sustainability initiatives include incorporating renewable energy solutions such as solar and battery storage into new developments, which not only reduce environmental impact, but also enhance asset appeal and long-term value.

Turning to our financial results. DXI delivered FFO of $55.7 million, or 17.6 cents per security, ahead of upgraded guidance.

Distributions were 16.6 cents, reflecting a payout ratio of 94.4%. The divestment of BTP drove a net reduction in overall property income, which understates the strength of underlying like-for-like property income growth of 5.3%.

Notwithstanding that strength, the combined impact of a 60 basis point rise in our cost of debt and the sale of BTP were the key drivers of year-on-year reduction in FFO per security. Ultimately, FY 26 was a transition year and one in which the underlying industrial portfolio performed strongly.

A key differentiator for DXI is its balance sheet strength, with look-through gearing of 31.2% at the lower end of our target range. During the year, we executed $358 million of new and extended facilities at competitive pricing and entered into $550 million of new hedging, including interest rate caps to benefit should rates decline.

Post balance date, we undertook a zero-cost hedge book restructure. This brings forward high rates to reflect mark-to-market debt costs.

Interest costs in FY 27 will be approximately $1.4 million, or 0.5 cents per security higher following the restructure. From FY 27, the flatter profile allows property income growth to translate more clearly into the bottom line.

DXI reported a valuation uplift of $19.1 million, or 1.3% over the year, supported by rental growth and development activity. Ascend at Jandakot remains a key driver of valuation growth potential, underpinned by tight Perth market fundamentals.

Turning to our portfolio performance. The portfolio delivered strong operating performance across a period of high activity.

170,000 square meters of leasing was secured across the stabilized and development portfolio, while re-leasing spreads of 21.4% reflect under-renting in the existing portfolio, with key outcomes at 89 West Park Drive, Derrimut, 50 Jayco Drive, Dandenong South, and Jandakot. Spreads achieved this year predominantly relate to FY 27 to FY 29 expiries, making them an additive driver of FFO growth over the medium term.

On the four acquisitions completed during the year, we have made a strong start executing against underwrite assumptions. At 32 Cox Place, Glendenning, we completed the repositioning of the asset, which was acquired with vacant possession.

We secured a 5-year pre-lease across the site, completely de-risking the investment while retaining future larger-scale value-add upside potential. In Dandenong South, the positive re-leasing spreads of 20.8% were above underwrite.

At 12 Church Road, Moorebank, we leased an additional unit and saw the capitalization rate tighten by 12.5 basis points, contributing to a $3.1 million valuation uplift. Collectively, these acquisitions demonstrate the fund's ability to drive value through active asset management.

Turning to our development pipeline at Jandakot. During FY 26, four projects across 45,000 square meters were completed at a total cost of $43 million.

Importantly, these completions are 100% leased, compared to average pre-leases of 47% at the time of commencement, and achieved a yield on cost of 7%, above our 6.25% plus development target. These completions demonstrate consistent execution, with momentum continuing across the pipeline.

Since acquisition, South Perth rents have grown at over 16% per annum, well ahead of construction costs, a spread that directly underpins our returns. Yields on cost have improved from approximately 5% at commencement to 7% in FY 26, reflecting the improving return profile over time.

Looking ahead, the committed pipeline spans five sites, with the majority expected to complete over FY 27 into the first half of FY 28. These projects are approximately 68% pre-leased and are estimated to deliver a yield on cost of 6.6%, above our target of 6.25% plus.

Post balance date, two additional pre-leases will see the activation of a further $20 million of development at a yield on cost of 7.0%, which will increase overall pre-leases from 68% to 76%. In the context of impact to FFO, it is important to reiterate that every dollar spent at Jandakot going forward translates into a P&L incremental yield on cost of above 8%.

This is because the land has already been acquired and fully reflected in our cost base. Through to FY 30, we expect $30 to $40 million of completions per annum, providing a material driver of FFO accretion over that period.

The industrial market backdrop is improving. Across capital cities, rents required to justify new development sit materially above prevailing market rents, making new supply difficult to justify.

Developers are responding rationally, and speculative starts are down materially from the peak. Construction costs are forecast to compound well ahead of inflation through to 2028, as data centers, infrastructure, and Olympics-related work compete for land, labor, and specialist trades.

This supports tightening vacancy, a pullback in incentives, and ultimately, rental growth. The investment case for DXI remains clear.

We offer an attractive distribution yield of 6.8% paid quarterly, compelling in both absolute and sector-relative terms. Underpinning that yield are multiple drivers of growth: our development pipeline, embedded rental escalations, aided by our restructured hedge book.

With DXI trading at a 29% discount to NTA, investors can access that income and growth at a compelling price entry point, backed by high-quality industrial portfolio. Looking ahead, we are well positioned to continue delivering long-term value.

Our focus remains on disciplined execution of the buyback program, continued build-out of the development pipeline, and preserving balance sheet flexibility. The hedge book restructure reflects a deliberate resetting of FY 27, allowing future property income growth to translate more clearly into the bottom line.

Barring unforeseen circumstances, DXI expects to deliver FY 27 FFO of 17.0 cents per security and distributions of 16.6 cents, which remains in line with FY 26. I'll now hand back over to the moderator for broker analyst Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. For broker analysts, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.

If you wish to cancel your request, please press star then two. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question.

The first question today comes from Andy MacFarlane from Bell Potter. Please go ahead.

Andy MacFarlane

Oh, hi Jason, team. You spoke about the hedge book restructure.

Can you just walk through the rationale and what it means for FY 27 and for FY 28 onwards?

Jason Weate

Thanks, Andy. I think as I mentioned in some of my final remarks in the speech there, what we've done is quite deliberate.

We've brought forward rates to mark-to-market levels to establish a flatter hedge cost profile from FY 27, and we think that allows underlying property income growth to translate much more clearly into the bottom line earnings off that reset base. It does make it clearer, we think, for market participants like yourself to evaluate the FFO trajectory from here.

A couple of points to note: the restructure that we've mentioned that does reduce FY 27 FFO by $1.4 million or 0.5 cents per security, does account for the majority of the decline versus FY 26. I'd reiterate that the restructure was an NPV neutral one with zero upfront cost.

Andy MacFarlane

Thank you. Looking at the payout ratio, it's about 94% in FY 26.

The guidance for '27 reflects a step-up to about 98. How should we be thinking about the payout ratio going forward for me?

Jason Weate

Thanks, Andy. Look, a good question and no doubt a topical one at the moment.

I'd start by talking to the fact that our FFO settings that we've provided obviously set a new platform from which we can grow earnings. Naturally, that provides us with greater options in terms of where we want to peg distributions going forward.

Strategically, we do think about distribution settings from a couple of different lenses. The first one being the underlying cash flow coverage you have to support distributions, that's a clear one.

The other one is your balance sheet settings. We know that if you run gearing lower, you naturally have greater ICR coverage, and that provides you with more flexibility in terms of how you want to run a particular distribution setting.

I think, they are the mix of things that we look at, they're definitely the mix of things that we'll take into account when we're looking at setting distributions in 12 months' time from now for FY 28.

Andy MacFarlane

Just final one if I may. The leasing spreads at 21%, can you just talk about what's driving that level?

Jason Weate

Sure. Obviously, it was a great result for us.

The significant components really relate to forward leasing that was achieved at Derrimut, which was an FY 28 expiry, Dandenong South, as we mentioned, which also was a '28 expiry, and Epping, which was an FY 29 expiry. Reducing risk well ahead of expiry in the process.

The standout was really Derrimut. It delivered the largest uplift at about 52% above passing.

Pleasingly, the rental spread at 50 Jayco Drive in Dandenong South, that's our recent acquisition, achieved a 21% positive reversion, which outperformed our acquisition underwrite. I should also mention Jandakot in that process.

Across the estate more generally, we've achieved 15% positive spreads across the stabilized segment of that estate, supported by strong renewal and new tenant outcomes. These deals ultimately reduce expiry risk and provide contracted income growth across FY 27 to FY 29.

Andy MacFarlane

Thanks, Jason.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from David Pobucky from Macquarie Group.

Please go ahead.

David Pobucky

Good morning, Jason and team. Thanks for taking my questions.

Just a follow-up on FY 27 guidance and some of the key drivers there. If you exclude the hedge restructure, expected FFO in '27 would have been roughly in line with FY 26, despite strong leasing momentum and development completions.

If you wouldn't mind just walking through some of those other moving pieces between FY 26 and '27, please.

Jason Weate

Sure thing, David. Thanks for the question.

The way to think about the compositional drivers, and starting with the positives, we are assuming like-for-like growth in there of approximately 3%. That's obviously supported by the contracted rental increases and positive leasing outcomes, but we have allowed for some prudent downtime in there, in particular at the final unit that we're looking to lease up at Moorebank and an asset called 5 Compass Drive at Jandakot.

We're assuming some pretty prudent lease-up timing expectations across those couple of sites. That's probably pulling down like-for-like growth a little bit.

We obviously will have continued positive contributions from completed and active developments. We are also assuming that we complete the full extent of the 5% buyback by around, let's call it March next year.

They're the positives. In terms of the offsetting drivers, there will be some ongoing full-period dilution associated with the sale of BTP.

Excluding the post balance date restructure, we naturally would have been stepping up interest rate costs as well. That's sort of how to think about arriving back to that sort of flat outcome.

Also, floating rates are obviously expected to increase into next year. I guess finally, we are assuming an all-in interest expense of 6% in FY 27, that is our marginal cost of debt in the market today, and really speaks to the growth potential in underlying earnings from here with that in our base in '27.

David Pobucky

Thanks, Jason. That's really comprehensive.

I appreciate that. If I could just follow up on the comment you made around completing the full 5% buyback.

Obviously, the stock's trading at substantial discount to NTA still. Do you view the buyback as a superior use of capital to acquisitions and development activity?

Or do you believe that you've got the balance sheet capacity to pursue all of those levers?

Jason Weate

Yes. I'll start with the opportunity set in front of us.

Obviously, we have acquisitions in the market, we have the buyback, we have continued deployment into Jandakot. Of those three, the latter two, the buyback and Jandakot development deployment, screen obviously much more attractive, and so they in combination are our two key areas that we'll look to continue deploying.

That's why we're sort of confident in including that within guidance. Assuming that current share price levels remain depressed, we will keep buying.

In terms of our funding position, look, we're starting off a point of what, around about 31%. We're fully funded to continue full development of Jandakot and full execution of the buyback program.

David Pobucky

Just a last one from me, just in terms of that funding position being at the lower end of your target gearing range, how do you think about where you want that level to sit medium term, or even kind of in the next 12 months as well?

Jason Weate

Good question. I think we've displayed an appetite to generally run it a little more conservative than not.

I did mention in my answer to Andy earlier before around distribution settings and the additional flexibility that running lower gearing level does provide you with. We run the fund with an eye to the value and optionality, and we think running balance sheet gearing, or look-through gearing rather, at a level that's under 35% will always give you deployment optionality, and that's what we value.

I think you can expect us to continue to manage that below that level.

David Pobucky

Thank you. Appreciate it.

Jason Weate

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Leanne Truong from CLSA.

Please go ahead.

Leanne Truong

Good morning, Jason. Just a question on your development pipeline, particularly Jandakot.

We can see that on one of the slides construction costs has gone up a bit. I guess and I think on page 27 as well, some of the ladder projects expecting a yield on cost of 6%.

I guess post financial year '27, do you expect to maintain, I guess, these strong yield on cost, or you expect that to fall a little bit?

Jason Weate

Thanks, Leanne, for the questions. I guess the slide where we've shown where net face rents have sort of moved to within that market and the associated rising construction costs is to provide the market with an understanding of our starting point.

Our starting point is strong. We think that prospects for continued rental growth within Southeast Perth market can continue, and I guess we're just being obviously very open and direct about the fact that construction costs do continue to rise and that does pose a risk.

Our expectation more generally is that we will continue to print yield on costs that are strong and arguably above our through-the-cycle target range for now, and I think that's demonstrated by the fact that the $20 million that I announced in the speech of new commitments that have occurred post balance date, they are at a yield on cost of 7.0%. I think where we sit in the market today, it's still very strong.

Leanne Truong

I guess and just a follow-up on that. Your target's 6.25%.

You've undertaken a project with the yield on cost of 6%. I guess the rationale behind that?

Jason Weate

Sorry, can you just repeat the question, Leanne?

Leanne Truong

Yeah. You've got a target of 6.25% for a yield on cost, but looks like 25 Centurion Place, you've got a yield on cost of 6%.

Why, I guess, are you going ahead with that project if it's below your target?

Jason Weate

Yeah. Yeah.

Thank you, Leanne. My apologies for not picking that full question up earlier.

That development is unique. It forms part of the airside part of that broader estate, on the airport side of the broader industrial estate, and does reflect a 20-year lease to the government.

Naturally, the strength of that covenant, the lease duration, all do point to a rationale that aligns with a tighter yield on cost for that particular stage. It will also open up a pathway for additional development on that airside.

It's a new part of the site that is only just sort of been opened up for development, and so that's the rationale for that particular site. I would remind you that we think about development at Jandakot in aggregate terms.

If we're doing the vast majority at seven, and we have the odd development at six, in aggregate terms, that's still a very strong profile on a risk-adjusted basis.

Leanne Truong

Yeah. Understood.

Just a final question from me, just a follow-up on the payout ratio. How much of AFFO are you paying out for financial year '27 guidance, sorry?

Jason Weate

Look, we don't formally guide to AFFO. In the annual report on page 28, look, we do have a breakdown of the components, and I'm happy to sort of work with you offline to sort of get a feel for what that should look like.

Post BTP, the capital drag on AFFO has improved. Industrial assets have always had a lower CapEx burden than suburban office, but, yeah, look, it's just not a metric that we're providing guidance to, and I think I would bring you back to some of my comments earlier around how we think about distribution settings being a reflection of both free cash flow to support distributions, but also your balance sheet settings that provide some additional flexibility around that.

Leanne Truong

Thanks, Jason.

Jason Weate

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Murray Connellan from Moelis Australia.

Please go ahead. Hi,

Murray Connellan

Jason. You've previously spoken to FY 28 expiry profile having been fairly under-rented, and obviously, much of that under-renting has come through in the leasing that you've done in the last six months.

I was wondering whether you could just give us some guidance on the remaining expiry profile and what your perception is of under-renting there or what passing is versus where you think market is, and maybe just a comment on that metric for the broader portfolio as well.

Jason Weate

Sure. I'll start with the '28, FY 28 component, and obviously, a lot of the positive leasing spreads that we are releasing as part of today's result do relate to FY 28.

The remaining expiries in that year, we think are under-rented now probably around about 6% or thereabouts, Murray. I think we quoted around about 15% under-renting at the half year, naturally, we have crystallized a lot of that.

I do think, across the broader portfolio, under-renting now for us probably sits somewhere between 3% to 5%. We are not sort of positioning the vehicle as a broader under-renting story.

For us, our growth drivers are very much more development focused. That's not to say that there's not under-renting in the portfolio, and we are capturing what is there.

I think what we've done today and what remains all support medium-term growth profile that's very healthy when you take into account the other FFO accretive drivers that we have within our toolkit.

Murray Connellan

Thanks. Then just one more on the recent leasing.

Could you say what the average incentive level is on the leasing that's been done in the last six months? Yeah.

Jason Weate

Over the last six months, our average incentive level was approximately 15%.

Murray Connellan

Got it. Thanks, Jason.

Jason Weate

Thanks, Murray.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we're showing no further questions.

I'll hand back to Jason for closing remarks.

Jason Weate

Thanks, everyone, for joining the call this morning. Really appreciate your time, and I look forward to catching up with many of you in the coming days.

Thank you.