New Hope Corporation Limited

New Hope Corporation Limited

6.10
AUD
+0.15
(+2.52%)
0.19EPS
27.18P/E
4.38BMarket Cap
Mar 22Next Earn

Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 16, 2026

Operator

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer.

Please go ahead.

Rob Bishop

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today.

I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of New Hope Group. I'm joined here by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO, and Dom O'Brien, our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary.

This morning, we released our quarterly report for the second quarter of the 2026 financial year. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the report, but in any case, I'll briefly step you through our key highlights before we open up the line for any Q&A.

Operationally, it's been a solid quarter, and we're really pleased with the results for the first half of the 2026 financial year. We have seen a deterioration in our safety performance for this quarter, with our 12-month moving average TRIFR increasing from 2.61 to 3.8.

The safety of our people remains our highest priority, and we are taking focused action to reverse this trend and restore the improvement trajectory achieved over the past year. Group run-of-mine coal production was 4.1 million tonnes, up 5% compared to the previous quarter, following a strong mining performance at both operations.

Saleable coal production was 2.8 million tonnes, 3% higher than the previous quarter, driven by an increased focus on coal mining at New Acland, partially offset by lower production at Bengalla Mine, driven by the seven-day planned shutdown of the prep plant in December. Group coal sales was 2.9 million tonnes for the quarter, 8% higher than the previous quarter, reflecting improved logistics across the group.

In terms of financials, the group's underlying EBITDA for the quarter was $107 -- $107 million, which was in line with the previous quarter. Our average realized price was $139 per tonne, a slight increase from the previous quarter following improvement in both gC NEWC and the API5 price.

Turning to our half-year results. Prime waste movement was 34.7 million bcms, an increase of 13% compared to the first half of the 2025 financial year.

The increase in waste movement is driven by the continued ramp-up of the New Acland Mine and the realignment of Bengalla's mine pit sequence following the significant weather event in the last quarter of 2025 financial year. Group run-of-mine coal production was 7.9 million tonnes, a decrease of 4% compared to the previous half-year period, reflective of Bengalla Mine's focus on pre-stripping, partially offset by a decrease in New Acland's mine strip ratio.

The group produced 5.5 million tonnes of saleable coal and sold 5.6 million tonnes of coal, both slightly higher than the previous half-year result. For the first half of 2026 financial year, the group achieved an underlying EBITDA of $215 million, reflecting a 59% decrease compared to the previous half-year period.

This result was driven by a considerable reduction in group's realized price for $173 per tonne, to $138 per tonne, following a decrease in benchmark coal prices. As at 31 January 2026, the group's available cash balance was $616 million.

Looking ahead, we remain confident of achieving our full-year physical and cash costs guidance. New Acland Mine has performed above expectations to date, and we expect the operation to finish towards the higher end of its guidance range on coal volumes.

In addition, Bengalla Mine is expected to return to the 13.4 million tonnes per annum ROM coal production rate during the second half of the 2026 financial year. Following a combination of both capital optimization and timing of spend, Bengalla Mine's 2026 financial year sustaining capital guidance has been reduced, reflecting our flexibility and disciplined approach to respond to market conditions.

The company remains focused on increasing our production base and continuing to remain a low-cost producer. We are pleased with the performance in the first half of the financial year, and we look forward to a productive and safe second half.

I'll now hand over to the operator to start the Q&A session. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. If you wish to ask a question via the phones, you will need to press the star key followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

If you wish to ask a question via the webcast, please type your question into the ask a question box. Your first question comes from James Williamson with Bell Potter.

Please go ahead.

James Williamson

Morning, guys. Thanks for the call.

Are you able just to elaborate on where you're finding the savings in regards to the lower Bengalla sustaining capex guidance, and is this essentially sort of pushing it out into later periods?

Rebecca Rinaldi

Yeah. Thanks, James.

Good question. It is twofold.

Part of that is not pushing the capital out, but just certain delays that were experienced with approvals we require to undertake some of that capital. Some of it is slowly pushing out into FY '27, but there's also a bit of a program we're running at the moment to really optimize the capital profile for everything else and make sure we're responding to the current soft coal conditions.

Optimizing in terms of looking at pricing and looking at criticality and really making sure we're making the best decision for the business.

James Williamson

Yep. Understood.

Then maybe just on New Acland, are you able to run through the weather impacts there and if you've seen that ease into this quarter, and whether or not that lower waste movement carries through to mining going forward? Will that impact anything going forward?

Rob Bishop

You're referring to Bengalla, I think that's probably --

James Williamson

Oh, sorry. Yeah.

Rob Bishop

Yep. Sure.

I guess for Bengalla, as we've touched on in the prior quarter, it had a fairly challenging start to the year. Essentially the plan for the first half of the year as we're going to the second half is to really, I guess align the pit sequencing there.

We have seen a slightly higher strip ratio as a result of that. We will see fairly large volumes being moved in the second half of the year to get back to that 13.4 million tonne ROM run rate.

That pit's achieved that in the past, it is doable and proven. Unfortunately, we've just had weather impacts, which has inhibited us from pulling together a full year at that rate.

Second half is really about getting back to that long-term run rate of the 13.4 million tonnes.

James Williamson

Cool. Then, sorry, also at New Acland, you said you experienced weather delays as well and there was a 14% reduction in waste movement there.

Have you seen that ease going into the current quarter?

Rob Bishop

Acland is going strong, you would have seen from the result. We've seen really good productivities of late and we expect to sort of hit, I guess, the higher end of guidance at Acland.

Certainly, I think when we caught up with you at the beginning of the year, we did have some concerns around logistics. It's fair to say that the logistics providers for both above and below rail have really stepped up and supported us on our ramp-up, we're really pleased with their support.

That's really allowed Dave and the team on-site to really crank up that mine and sort of head well towards achieving that 5 million tonnes per annum to get to steady state.

James Williamson

Right. Then, are there any sort of rail outages scheduled for the remainder of FY '26 that we should be aware of there, and how are you managing those?

Rob Bishop

There are scheduled outages, but we've got that in our plan. Previously our issues were around unscheduled outages.

We're confident, as I just said, with both QR and Aurizon really really rising to our request to provide the rail to get product off-site. Yes, there are scheduled outages, but our plan takes that into account, and we're confident we can get to that higher end of the guidance.

James Williamson

Right. Thanks for that.

I'll pass it on.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Daniel Roden with Jefferies.

Please go ahead.

Daniel Roden

Hello, guys. Thanks for taking my call.

Just wanted to touch really quickly on, I guess a couple of capital management things. The Bowen Coking Coal DOCA, can you quantify the financial guarantee liability currently on the balance sheet, and I guess when do you expect the P&L and cash flow impacts from that?

Is that expected in half 1 results?

Rob Bishop

Good outcome there. Obviously, it was quite concerning when it went into administration, but as you would have seen made public and per our quarterly, we've had a good outcome there.

We did fully offer risk for the bond, which is $45 million at the moment, and we do get a payment to New Hope of circa $12 million for settlement of outstanding and also future royalty obligations underneath that initial transaction agreement with Bowen. Obviously there's a few hoops to go through with creditors and FIRB approval, but we're confident that that will go through, and I think probably in the next two months.

Rebecca Rinaldi

Cash will come. The cash will come.

Rob Bishop

Good to be able to get a clean exit from that asset and what is a pretty positive outcome for the group.

Rebecca Rinaldi

I guess just to add, sorry, Rob, you'll see the accounting impacts come through our half-year results. You'll recognize in the previous years, we've had written off or provided for certain bad debts essentially.

Those amounts that went through the P&L will all be reversed in the 31 Jan result, which will come out in March.

Daniel Roden

Yep, that makes sense. Is that, I guess does that cleanse everything related to Bowen Coking Coal, or is there still other, I guess things that will be carried on the balance sheet post?

Rob Bishop

No, that'll be it, clean exit from that asset.

Daniel Roden

Yep. Cool.

Awesome. Good result there.

You called out the convertible notes just in the quarterly. I just wanted to touch on how you're thinking about, I guess those from a refinancing and cash settlement perspective, what are you looking for in terms of market conditions?

Is it just price, and, I guess utilizing the cash balance that you've got at the moment, and, yeah, how are you thinking about that?

Rebecca Rinaldi

Thanks for that. I guess, like you touched on in the quarterly, we are looking at all methods of financing.

We do have that put risk coming in about 18 months, which if the conditions aren't great at the time in terms of share price, we expect that bond will be put. Today, probably won't be put, given where the share price is.

When we look at other financing opportunities, we have to look obviously at what's available, being a thermal coal producer, but the hybrid market is really favorable for us, being either just a straight hybrid or those convertible bonds. In terms of pricing, we expect pricing to be pretty competitive to the existing bond on foot, which is at 4.25% coupon.

There's a few things that we've got our eye on. We don't need to rush to do anything, we've got time, but we want to make sure we're in front of that potential put date.

Daniel Roden

Makes a lot of sense. Okay.

Maybe just the last one for now, and I'll hop out, but just wanted to touch operationally. You noted that you've, I guess forward sold three months of, I guess coal.

I guess what's the structure of that? Is that fixed index, are they, obviously tied to the NEWC and API5 linkages?

I assume they've got FX assumptions in there, you're pretty confident on that forward sales structure if there is a change in the underlying market.

Rob Bishop

That's right. That three months sold forward contracts are linked to both high-ash and low-ash indices.

FX-wise, that's obviously increased a bit. We do have some fairly favorable hedging in place to the group, although it's ticked up over the $0.70 mark, we're hedged below that, our plan expectations take that into account.

Daniel Roden

Yeah. I assume you have a fairly good, obviously good visibility on the quality of those sales over the next three months because you have seen, I guess higher yields, higher quality, particularly out of Acland, I guess.

Are you expecting that to continue over, I guess calendar year '26, or do you see a reversal in there, when do you expect that to happen coming back to normalization?

Rob Bishop

For Acland, the quality coming out is a bit of timing at play at the moment. You probably would have noticed in the first quarter, we had probably a high portion of high-ash coal.

Second quarter, it was, probably positioned more towards low ash. We expect, as we ramp up, that to sort of settle back to sort of that 60/40 split or thereabouts between the high-ash and low-ash, obviously the majority of it being the low-ash coal.

Really just a bit of timing at play. As we ramp up, obviously we're in two pits at the moment.

We're looking to get into the Manning Vale West pit, back end of this calendar year, and that will give us our sort of ability to get the right blend of product as we mine it.

Daniel Roden

Perfect. Awesome.

Thanks, guys. Really appreciate it.

I'll pass it over.

Rob Bishop

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad or type your question into the ask a question box.

Your next question comes from Glyn Lawcock with Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.

Glyn Lawcock

Morning, Rob. Just a couple of quick ones if I could.

Just the cash from operations was pretty much as expected, but you finished with a bigger cash balance than I think myself and the market thought. What was capex in the half?

You sort of talked a little bit about what you're going to spend on sustaining at Bengalla, but I just wondered what capex was like.

Rebecca Rinaldi

Sure. Thanks, Glyn.

It was lower than what we originally thought. You'll see in the quarterly that we have got the sustaining capital, which was below expectations.

I guess that's partially the reason why we reduced guidance down, there is timing implications that have come through there, but also just overall optimizations. That's let us, I guess, increase that cash balance a little bit more than what we originally thought.

Glyn Lawcock

Okay. We have to wait for the half for the final capex number, I guess?

Rebecca Rinaldi

Oh, the overall capex. The sustaining for Bengalla is in there, but, yeah, the New Acland one, obviously that'll be in the half.

Glyn Lawcock

Yep. Okay.

Then maybe, Rob, just staying on Bengalla, obviously costs are trending towards the bottom end of the range. Back half, you talk to increase volumes and lower strip ratio.

Where do you think Bengalla goes over the next six and sort of 18 months from a cost perspective?

Rob Bishop

I think Bengalla is really driven by, obviously unit costs driven by volume. As we've touched on, we have seen, I guess a challenging start to the year, having to, I guess, reset the pit.

We have seen an increase in cost compared to prior year, and that's really a big part of it is the strip ratio increase. Per the quarterly, you'll see that come off a bit, and I think as we ramp up to that 13.4 million ROM, you'll see volumes up again, and you'll see unit cost decrease.

Obviously there's some uncontrollables in there with regards to just general cost of mining is increasing. We control what we can, labor costs are increasing, all those things, but ultimately, if we can keep pushing the volume out, that's where our benefit is from a cost control perspective.

Glyn Lawcock

Are prior years achievable, do you think? Or is there been other headwinds that prevent that from happening?

Rob Bishop

I think we'll get back to closer to what prior years are. Ultimately, again, it's really volume-driven, obviously anything controllable on-site we will do justice.

Things out of our play, fuel costs, and the like, if you see an increase in the price per barrel, that will flow through the business in diesel price, explosives, but ultimately, it's usually correlated with an increase in coal price. I think what you'll see is if our cost base increased, you'll see that across the whole industry.

Really for us, focus on what we can control. That's moving dirt safely and productively, and that ultimately keeps our unit costs down.

Glyn Lawcock

Yep. Then just on the gC NEWC 6000, it's lifted up in the recent weeks.

It's sort of lagged the met coal market. Has this been more the met coal market price dragging up gC NEWC, or do you think there's something else at play from a supply and demand perspective that's seen the recent lift?

Rob Bishop

It's probably a few things. You would have seen in the market that Indonesia has put constraints on production.

That's pushed up, particularly the high-ash market into China. That ultimately, as that creeps up, that provides a bit of underpinning for the NEWC.

You would have seen also, potentially, a modest volume of semisoft coming out of the Newcastle index or the market, so that obviously benefits the price as well. I think, yes, we've seen it increase.

Will it stay there? Will it come down, or will it go up?

We kind of feel as though where it is at the moment sort of in that $110 mark, between $110, $120 is probably sustainable. I don't see a big catalyst for it to move significantly north, but nor do we see it moving down dramatically with that high ash moving into the '80s.

I think there's a justification there that we should see pricing move forward roughly where it is.

Glyn Lawcock

All right. That's great.

If I could squeeze the last one in, just Anglo, the sales process has restarted. Is that something that New Hope and yourselves are thinking about, or is it completely off the agenda for you guys?

Rob Bishop

That's right. We've been approached on that.

Anglo are keen to sell the whole portfolio as one. We're not interested in the whole portfolio.

Glyn Lawcock

Okay. Great.

Thanks, Helen.

Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Rob Stein with Macquarie.

Please go ahead.

Rob Stein

Hi, Rob. Just a quick one, capital allocation.

How should we think about the upcoming decision that's in front of you and the board around what to expect around allocation given the cash balance, noting the buyback was unutilized in the period?

Rob Bishop

We announced the buyback. I think we've executed about $10 million of that.

I think where share price is at the moment, our focus is more aligned with dividends. Bec touched on the capital profile in the business, sustaining and growth capital execution.

Really, in our operations is the focus. Obviously, we're being disciplined with that, trying to minimize that as much as possible, but that's key to ensure the future viability of the assets.

Then second to that is really franked dividends.

Rob Stein

Just around Malabar, can you give us a bit of an update, just a bit more color on how the project's tracking and what it's capable of over the next 12 to 24 months, and how New Hope shareholders are going to extract a return from that investment?

Rob Bishop

Malabar's going well. It's on track to hit first longwall coal towards the back end of this first quarter is the expectations.

As you may recall, there's two operating pits there. There's a bord and pillar pit, which is starting to really bed itself down, get some good productivities there to put it in a profitable position even at these quite modest prices.

Really the focus is getting development completed, longwall installed, and ramping up the longwall for the first panel. From a infrastructure perspective, things are going really well on the surface, overland conveyors commissioned.

Longwalls, all teething issues have been removed, crews have had good training, and that'll to really underpin the performance of that longwall once it's installed. That install is happening days away now.

They're firming up the final mining of the face road, and that installation should go to plan given it's been on surface for quite a while now. Really positive time for the crew down there and Wayne and the management team.

It's really about bedding in that first longwall, continuing to get development aligned with that, to ensure we've got enough development float as we get into the second and third and fourth longwall panel.

Rob Stein

In terms of how sort of cash flows from that vehicle back to New Hope, what can investors expect around a return on investment, noting the asset does have debt against it, but how should we think about that?

Rob Bishop

That's still a little time away, and that was in the plan. Obviously, it's a new underground operation.

Obviously the I guess the key milestone here is getting to a point of positive cash generation. As you touched on, there is a couple of debt pieces in there to allow it to get to this point.

We'll be looking in the coming years to look for dividends. Obviously, that's going to be driven by not only productivities, but also pricing.

Fundamentally, the assets solid, conditions are really good underground. We expect the longwall to achieve what we thought it would when we first got into the operation.

Obviously once debt's covered off, then we'll look forward to some good distributions, which will benefit all shareholders, including New Hope.

Rob Stein

That's really good color. Thank you.

No problem.

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time.

I'll now hand back to Mr. Bishop for closing remarks.

Rob Bishop

No problem. Thanks very much for everyone dialing in.

We appreciate you coming into the call. Have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today.

Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.