Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V.

Corporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V.

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Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptOctober 23, 2026

Fernanda Bettinger

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our review of Vesta's third quarter 2026 earnings results. Presenting today with me are Lorenzo Dominique Berho, our Chief Executive Officer, and Juan Sottil, our Chief Financial Officer.

The earnings release detailing our third quarter 2026 results was released yesterday after market close and is available on Vesta's IR website along with our supplemental package. It's important to note that on today's call, management remarks and answers to your questions may contain forward-looking statements.

Forward-looking statements address matters that are subject to risk and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ. For more information on these risk factors, please review our public filings.

Vesta assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements in the future. Additionally, please note that all figures were prepared in accordance with IFRS, which differ in certain significant respects from US GAAP.

All information should be read in conjunction with and is qualified in its entirety by reference to our financial statements, including the notes thereto, and is stated in US dollars unless otherwise noted. I'll now turn the call over to Lorenzo Berho.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Thank you, Fernanda. Good morning to everyone joining us today.

I'm extremely pleased with Vesta's results for the third quarter. This was an outstanding quarter for our company, reflecting record new leasing activity, a substantial improvement in portfolio occupancy, strong financial performance, and important progress in the execution of our Route 2030 strategy.

Importantly, our performance gives us the confidence to raise our full-year 2026 guidance. Last quarter, I spoke about execution being clearly underway.

I described how Vesta was converting demand into leases, leases into occupancy, and our land bank into disciplined development opportunities. This quarter, we deliver on that commitment.

Our results demonstrate that the opportunities we have been discussing throughout the year are translating into signed contracts, higher occupancy, new construction, and growing rental income. We are accomplishing this while maintaining the financial discipline that has always been central to Vesta's strategy.

Let me begin with the broader environment. The third quarter brought encouraging signs that industrial investment decisions in Mexico are gaining momentum.

Following a period of caution and adjustment, we are seeing renewed investment in machinery and equipment, accelerating demand tied to electronics and AI-related industries, and companies moving forward with expansion plans despite continued uncertainty surrounding global trade. What is particularly encouraging is that this renewed activity is translating into tangible commitments, and Vesta is directly benefiting from this trend.

As I've noted previously, Mexico is particularly well positioned in this environment. Its deep integration with North America, established manufacturing base, and competitive advantages provide a solid foundation for continued investment.

While uncertainty surrounding trade negotiations and the USMCA review continues to influence the timing of some investment decisions, we're encouraged by the progress in discussions and, importantly, by what our customers are doing. Companies are continuing to invest, expand, and make long-term commitments in Mexico.

Recent US trade data reinforces this point. According to US Census Bureau figures, US imports from Mexico reached approximately $60.6 billion in August, a record level, with Mexico accounting for approximately 18% of total US goods imports.

We're also encouraged by signs of recovery in investment in machinery and equipment following a period of slower activity. This is an important indicator because investment in productive capacity can translate into future demand for manufacturing and logistics facilities.

Together with the expansion of electronics-related trade and the continued regionalization of supply chains, these trends reinforce our confidence in Mexico's industrial competitiveness. Mexican electronics exports have increased approximately 2.5 times from 2024 to 2026, reflecting the country's growing role in supplying the technology and digital infrastructure industries.

At the same time, we are witnessing a significant transformation in the industries driving demand for industrial space. Investment associated with artificial intelligence and digital infrastructure is creating new requirements across the manufacturing supply chain.

As we have discussed on previous calls, the opportunity extends well beyond the data centers themselves. It includes the production and distribution of electronics, servers, electrical equipment, cooling systems, components, and other products required to develop and operate digital infrastructure.

We're seeing how these requirements are translating into opportunities for industrial real estate in Mexico, alongside continued activity from automotive, logistics, e-commerce, food and beverage, and other established sectors. For Vesta, the significance is clear.

As manufacturing and supply chains become more sophisticated, customers increasingly require high-quality buildings with reliable energy, strong infrastructure, access to labor, and connectivity to critical logistics corridors. These are precisely the characteristics we prioritize in our portfolio and development strategy, and our third quarter leasing results provide compelling evidence that this approach is working.

During the quarter, Vesta signed approximately 2.3 million square feet of leases, including a record 1.6 million square feet of new leases. This was an exceptional level of new leasing activity involving customers across electronics, e-commerce, logistics, automotive, and consumer goods.

What is particularly encouraging is the diversity of these transactions. We are seeing demand across different industries and regions, from multinational companies expanding established operations to other businesses investing in their growth in Mexico.

We are particularly pleased to see established clients such as BMW, DSV Logistics, and Mercado Libre continuing to grow with Vesta. These relationships demonstrate the value of our customer-focused operating model, while diversity of activity across industries and geographies reinforces the resilience of our portfolio.

This is an important part of our strategy: building long-term relationships with high-quality companies while continuously broadening our customer base. Most importantly, these are not simply prospects or expressions of interest.

These are customers making decisions, signing long-term leases, and committing to Vesta properties. It's why we have remained confident in our market positioning, even as broader industrial market conditions have been mixed.

Our leasing performance translated into a significant improvement in occupancy. Total portfolio occupancy reached 93.9% at quarter-end, an increase of 220 basis points from the second quarter.

Stabilized occupancy reached 93.9%, while same-store occupancy increased to 95.5%. This is an important milestone reflecting the strength of our commercial execution and our ability to lease high-quality space in strategically selected locations.

We also completed approximately 700,000 square feet of lease renewals, with a weighted average lease term of approximately 5 years. Our trailing 12-month weighted average leasing spread remains strong at 10%, demonstrating the continued value consumers place on our properties.

Vesta's competitive advantage is a combination of deep local market knowledge, long-standing customer relationships, an exceptional commercial team, and the ability to deliver high-quality properties in the locations where our customers want to operate. In industrial real estate, it is not enough to be present in an attractive city.

Success depends on owning and developing properties in the specific corridors where customers want to operate, and our long-standing focus on these locations is paying off. Let me highlight a few examples from the quarter.

In Monterrey, we made substantial progress leasing our existing Vesta Park Apodaca properties. This progress has supported the next phase of growth at our new Vesta Park Monterrey.

Our success in leasing existing properties has provided a strong foundation for advancing the infrastructure and construction required to serve future customers in this strategic market. In the Bajío, we're also encouraged by leasing activity involving established industrial companies, including BMW in San Luis Potosí.

This reflects the continued importance of Mexico within the North American automotive supply chain, while reinforcing the value of our long-standing relationships with multinational customers. Diversifying our customer base across industries is an important element of our approach to managing risk and creating a resilient portfolio.

In Guadalajara, we delivered a building ahead of schedule during the third quarter. Together with a building delivered in Querétaro, both properties were fully occupied upon completion.

These deliveries demonstrate our ability to coordinate development and commercial execution while meeting our customers' operational needs. Across Vesta, we're encouraged not only by the amount of leasing achieved, but by the quality of our customers, the diversity of demand, and the improved visibility these contracts provide.

This is what distinguishes our performance from broader market averages. Industrial markets do not necessarily recover at the same pace, and conditions can differ significantly between submarkets, as I have noted in the past.

Let me now turn to development and capital allocation. Strong leasing performance, together with our strategic land investments, has enabled us to significantly accelerate development.

During the third quarter, we initiated approximately 1.9 million square feet of new construction across 5 inventory buildings: 3 in Monterrey, 1 in Ciudad Juárez, and 1 in Guanajuato. Following these starts and the delivery of 2 fully occupied buildings, our development pipeline reached approximately 3.3 million square feet under construction, representing an estimated investment of $282.5 million and an expected yield on cost of 10.2%.

This represents an important milestone in the execution of Route 2030. We are translating the strategic land positions we secure into infrastructure, new buildings, and opportunities for future rental income.

Our most significant development priority is Monterrey, where the successful leasing of our existing Apodaca properties has enabled us to advance development at our new Vesta Park Monterrey. We're also investing in infrastructure and development in Ciudad Juárez, Guadalajara, Mexico City, and other selected markets where we see attractive long-term opportunities.

This is the natural progression of our strategy. First, we identify and secure exceptional locations.

We then develop the infrastructure necessary to support our customers' operations and progressively build new capacity as demand materializes. Our approach remains disciplined.

We're not developing simply to grow the size of our portfolio. We're focused on projects where the quality of the location, customer requirements, infrastructure, and expected returns support sustainable, long-term value creation.

Following quarter-end, we also acquired an additional land parcel in Mexico City comprising approximately 689,000 square feet. This investment further strengthens our development capacity in one of Mexico's most important logistics markets and advances our Route 2030 land requirements.

Equally important, our growth strategy is supported by a strong and increasingly flexible financial position, as Juan will discuss. Together with our successful equity offering earlier this year, these actions have strengthened our ability to fund development, infrastructure, and future growth opportunities while maintaining a prudent balance sheet.

We believe this combination of development capabilities and financial discipline is especially important in the current market. From a financial perspective, the third quarter was also very strong, with rental revenue increasing 10.8% year-over-year to $77.5 million.

Adjusted NOI increased 10.4% year-over-year to $72.9 million, with a 94% margin. Adjusted EBITDA increased 9.2% year-over-year to $65.2 million and an 84.1% margin.

Vesta FFO for the quarter, excluding current income tax, totaled $47.1 million, a 0.7% decrease compared with the third quarter of 2025. These results reflect the contribution from newly leased properties, continued revenue growth, and our focus on operational efficiency.

Importantly, this performance has enabled us to raise our financial guidance for 2026. Juan will share these details shortly.

We're extremely pleased with our performance and the progress we have made during the first 9 months of the year. At the same time, we recognize that the pace of investment decisions and leasing activity can vary from quarter to quarter.

Our confidence is grounded in what we have achieved: the quality of our portfolio and the long-term opportunities ahead. As we enter the final months of 2026 and prepare for 2027, we remain focused on sustaining strong operating performance, advancing developments that create value, and maintaining the financial flexibility to respond to attractive opportunities.

We have built a company with the assets, customer relationships, expertise, and financial strength to succeed across different market conditions. This quarter demonstrates the effectiveness of the strategy.

I would like to recognize our entire Vesta team for their exceptional work and thank our clients for continuing to place their trust in us. With that, let me turn the call over to Juan to discuss our financial results in greater detail.

Juan Sottil

Thank you, Lorenzo, and good day, everyone. We delivered another strong quarter, continuing the momentum we built since the start of the year.

Given this consistent performance, we are raising our full-year 2026 guidance, as Lorenzo noted. We now expect revenue growth of 11.5% to 12.5%, up from our prior guidance of 10% to 11%, reflecting higher-than-expected rental income from properties added this year.

We also now expect adjusted NOI and adjusted EBITDA margins to reach 94% and 84%, respectively, by year-end, up from our prior guidance of 93.5% and 83%, underscoring our continuing focus on expense control and on delivering strong results. Now let me walk you through our third quarter results.

Starting with our top line, total revenues increased 9.9% to $79.6 million, while revenues excluding energy reached $77.5 million, a 10.8% increase year-over-year. This growth was primarily driven by rental income from new leases and inflationary adjustments across our portfolio.

In terms of currency mix, 89.4% of our third quarter 2026 rental revenues were denominated in US dollars, unchanged from the same period last year. Moving to profitability, adjusted NOI increased 10.4% to $72.9 million.

Our adjusted NOI margin decreased 33 basis points year-over-year to 94.1%, reflecting higher operating property costs relative to rental revenues in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $65.2 million, up 9.2% year-over-year, while the margin contracted 123 basis points to 84.1%, primarily due to higher cost and administrative expenses during the quarter.

FFO excluding current tax was relatively flat at $47.1 million in the third quarter. Pretax income was $104 million compared to $52.4 million in the third quarter 2025.

The increase was primarily due to higher gains on the revaluation of investment properties, higher interest income, and higher other income, partially offset by higher interest expense, higher other expenses, and a foreign exchange loss. Turning to our balance sheet and capital allocation, we ended the quarter with $240 million in cash and cash equivalents, and total debt of $1.1 billion.

Net debt to EBITDA stood at 3.3 times, and our loan-to-value ratio was 22.3%. During the quarter, both Standard & Poor's Global Ratings and Fitch Ratings upgraded our long-term issuer credit rating to BBB with a stable outlook, from BBB- with a positive outlook.

These upgrades validate the quality of our portfolio and the strength of our balance sheet, and they should support a more efficient cost of capital going forward. Also, aligned with ensuring balance sheet strength, we took decisive steps this quarter to further strengthen our capital structure.

We announced the prepayment of $105 million under two private financings, retiring both well ahead of maturity. As a result, we have no significant maturity over the next years, which gives us greater flexibility and allows us to stay focused on growth.

Finally, on October 15, we paid a cash dividend for the third quarter equivalent to 37 cents in pesos per ordinary shares. This concludes our third quarter 2026 review.

Operator, could you please open the floor for questions?

Operator

We will now begin our question-and-answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up.

If you would like to ask a question, please press *1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press *1 again.

We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device.

Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Juan Ponce with Bradesco BBI.

Juan, your line is open.

Juan Ponce

Hi, good morning, Vesta team, and thank you for taking my question. Congrats on the results.

You've highlighted the AI-related industries as an emerging source of demand for industrial space in Mexico. How large do you think this opportunity could become over the next few years in terms of GLA?

Thank you.

Fernanda Bettinger

What? ¿Demanda para qué preguntó?

Claro. Juan, what are you mean with the demand?

Juan Ponce

The AI-related industries? You mentioned that it's an emerging source of demand for industrial space in Mexico.

I'm just trying to get a sense of how big do you think this opportunity could become in the next 2, 3 years, let's say.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Gracias, Juan. Thank you very much for your question and for being on today's call.

Definitely, we have seen a tremendous increase in demand related with data center industries as well as AI-related. In the previous years, we have been very close to the electronics sector.

As you may know, some of our clients include Foxconn and others that are currently being contractors for data center producing servers and data center-enabled equipment. Also, we have seen equipment in the cooling system, HVAC, air conditioning, ventilation, electric switches.

We believe that this could be pretty big. As you can see, the export numbers in terms of electronics from Mexico to the US, they have increased dramatically in the last couple years.

Today's export in the electronics sector represent the majority of exports to the US, probably right now already exceeding the exports in the automotive industry. We think that as long as this continues to accelerate, we will continue to see demand.

We believe that we will have strong demand coming in markets such as Guadalajara, where we are well positioned; Ciudad Juárez, where we have seen also this particular trend. If you look at the exports of Jalisco as well as Chihuahua, particularly coming from Ciudad Juárez, it is very much linked to these companies.

Also in other markets, such as Tijuana, Monterrey, and maybe some later on in the Bajío region, particularly for electric switches and panels. We don't have an estimate on GLA, but if you track closely on the closings on Vesta, not only this quarter, but on the previous years, this particular wave continues to increase.

We're glad to see that Vesta is well positioned with industrial parks that have not only available space, but many of these buildings require energy. We're well positioned in terms of energy in many of these projects, like Guadalajara and Ciudad Juárez.

We think that this particular trend will continue as long as we see this billions and trillions of dollars being invested in AI, data centers, and hyperscalers among the industry. Thank you.

Juan Ponce

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Rodolfo Ramos with Bradesco BBI. Rodolfo, your line is open.

Rodolfo Ramos

Thank you. Lorenzo, Juan, Fernanda, and team.

My question is a bit more long-term oriented. Now that the US-Mexico trade negotiations are progressing, but not yet closed, the e-commerce logistics arm of demand has been an important factor there, many of the likes of Amazon, Mercado Libre, having already build out this massive national and regional distribution centers.

Perhaps now there'll be more focus on developing that last-mile fulfillment centers infrastructure that requires fewer square feet. Just wanted to get your sense more long-term thinking about that aspect of demand, how you see it evolving, and how reasonable you think is that we see that development pipeline of yours accelerating in that scenario, and also of course with the USMCA coming through.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Thank you. Thank you very much, Rodolfo, for your question.

As you well know, Vesta has a strong bet towards e-commerce and logistics related to e-commerce. Vesta has made a strong bet particularly in these metro areas like Guadalajara, Monterrey, Mexico City.

We believe that the demand in this particular sector will continue to increase. We have seen major growth from these companies.

Mercado Libre is currently Vesta's largest tenant and continue to grow. We recently closed an important transaction again with Mercado Libre in Monterrey.

We think that if you analyze carefully the countries with advanced adoption of e-commerce, e-commerce represents more than 30% of total retail sales, while Mexico being still at early adoption has definitely accelerated since the pandemic, but we are still at 17, 15% of total sales. If you look at public numbers from companies such as Walmart and Liverpool, they are way below what they could be doing in other markets.

We continue to see strong demand in the long term. You mention this well, we think that there could be a strong demand also for last-mile operations, for reverse logistics.

That's why our strategy will continue to tap those markets. We recently did a land acquisition in Mexico City again, trying to be closer to the demand driven by this large e-commerce companies.

We are excited of the trends in our sector related to e-commerce, too. Actually, I think that some of these e-commerce players will continue to expand not only in the large metro areas, but also in other markets that have a large population and are well positioned, and logistically they all need to supply quicker.

Competition is tough, but I think that all these players are understanding better the Mexican consumer habits, which are rapidly changing, too.

Rodolfo Ramos

Thank you, Loren.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jorel Guilloty with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Jorel Guilloty

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions.

My first one is around the development pipeline. It grew materially quarter-on-quarter, about 80%.

One thing that we noted is the majority, if not all, it continues to be on spec. One thing that I wanted to understand is do you have any preliminary conversations around potential tenants for these assets?

Or do you have some tenants in mind that could be coming into these assets just to understand how the potential lease-up for these assets, some that will come the first quarter of next year, how those are shaping up? Also, the other thing that I had a question on was on your land bank.

Wanted to understand how you think about the composition of the land bank right now. Looking at it, you already used up all your Mexico City land.

I was just wondering, are you looking to expand, or are you looking for more land in Mexico City, or is there any other areas that you're looking to buy land as well? Thank you.

¿El principio? El de Ciudad de México que acaba...

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Excellent. Jorel, thank you very much for being on the call and for making these questions.

I will start with your second question regarding a land bank and competition and Mexico City specifically. We believe that Vesta has made smart decisions by being able to identify the markets where we want to continue growing.

These are markets with a strong dynamism and markets that we believe will represent a higher demand. That's why Vesta has acquired land in the last quarters, in the last cycle, in Monterrey, in Juárez, in Tijuana, Guadalajara, and Mexico City.

Particularly Mexico City, we recently did an acquisition where we're going to be able to develop approximately 700,000 square feet. This together with a project that we have under development also in the Mexico City CTT corridor.

We continue to look into Mexico City so that we can have different alternatives in a different submarkets. We're focusing strongly in urban infill locations with higher barriers of entry, and that's why we have a sharpshooter strategy in Mexico City.

We have some great case studies and successful cases like the one in Punta Norte, the one in La Villa, where we were able to get record-high rental rates in great locations, great buildings with outstanding investment, great tenants. That's why we will continue to buy land in Mexico City.

For the other sites, we believe that we have pretty much the land that we require in order to execute our long-term plan, the Route 2030 strategy. We'll give more detail at our Vesta Day.

We're very happy to today have a larger pipeline. The pipeline, it's actually a result of stronger leasing activity.

Let me use one example: Monterrey. Monterrey, we starting in the year, we have 3 buildings that we developed on spec, where we have on lease-up stage.

As of today, almost at the end of the year, we're almost fully leased in Monterrey with tenants in different sectors, which relates to your first question. We have tenants in the e-commerce industry, AI-related industries, as well as other logistics and manufacturing.

This is a very well diversified base of tenants. If we look forward, we started 3 buildings in the new Vesta Park Monterrey, which is right next to the airport on the same Vesta Apodaca corridor, on the Apodaca road to the airport.

We started 3 buildings. Two of them are kind of our, let's call it, bread-and-butter buildings, multi-tenant buildings that we can accommodate different type of tenants in the 200 to 300,000 square feet range.

We also develop another larger format, like the one we did in Apodaca, which was very successful, where I got actually several awards worldwide in terms of our development specifications. The larger format will be an 800,000 square foot spec building.

Even that we start them on spec, our strategy is to eventually, while we develop, to lease up and hopefully get some of the potential tenants signing leases before we finalize the buildings. We feel very comfortable with the strategy.

Returns are attractive. Rents in those markets are holding well, we can still make returns in the double-digit range, 10% return on costs.

For that reason, we believe that Vesta has the right strategy to start buildings on spec while we have already some pipeline and we have already that contact with potential clients. Remember, many of our clients are the ones that we believe will continue to expand.

By starting the spec, we anticipate to potential demand of clients who want to be in the best assets in the right locations, in the best submarkets in many of these regions. We have currently a pipeline of projects in Mexico City, Guadalajara.

We recently started a building in Puerto Interior in Silao in Bajío, Monterrey, Ciudad Juárez, and Tijuana—markets where we have a strong leadership and a strong presence and contact with the market. Thank you.

Jorel Guilloty

I think that

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

with that, I think I covered both of your questions.

Jorel Guilloty

Great. That was very complete.

One quick follow-up, if I may. It's about Monterrey 3.

You mentioned it, it's fairly large, it's 811,000 square feet. Why is that one in particular so much larger than all the other projects you have?

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

This is actually very much in line to what we recently did in Apodaca last year and that we leased this year. This is a format that accommodates very well for e-commerce players, as well as logistics, as well as light manufacturing.

That's why and this pay out very well in Apodaca. We have done this also in Mexico City, and we have done it in Guadalajara.

I think these are very flexible buildings. We can have subdivisions in the buildings, but we can also accommodate whenever there comes a large transaction and we already have the building.

Remember that there have been several transactions in the, let's call it, almost million-dollar million million square feet range, particularly from logistics, e-commerce, but also some in the light manufacturing sector. With this, I think that this is a good example that Vesta has identified a good opportunity.

Not only the buildings are large, but what is important, the type of Vesta Parks that we are developing are unique. There's no other parks that have the energy in place, the accessibility to logistics corridors, accessibility to labor, which is important for light manufacturing, and at the same time have a large format building where companies can rapidly access and they can do their own tenant improvements and start the ramp-up stage quickly.

Jorel Guilloty

Great. Thank you so much, Lorenzo.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Gracias.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Pablo Ricalde with Itaú. Pablo, your line is open.

Pablo Ricalde

Yeah. Hi, good morning, Vesta.

Congrats on the results. Maybe a follow-up on the leasing activity we saw in the quarter.

I don't know if you can provide more color on a per-city basis. We have seen Tijuana quite weak, and maybe Guadalajara and Mexico City standing out with better dynamics.

What are you seeing actually on the ground, maybe as we approach the year-end? Do you see a recovery in Tijuana, and when do you expect it?

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

No, ahí está. Ahí está.

Pablo, thank you very much for your questions. Yes, we can give you some more clarity as to the market.

This particular quarter was outstanding because of several reasons. One of them, not only we saw some sort of turning point in terms of demand, but also we were able to see demand coming in different regions.

I would like to highlight the regions where we closed leases in this particular quarter. San Luis Potosí, which was a slow market for some quarters or a few years, has recovered, particularly driven by auto industry with electric vehicles, with BMW being maybe the highlight of the transactions, but high BMW-related suppliers; Silao, another electronics company from Europe taking a important space; Tijuana, with companies in different sectors, one of them related to food and beverage and the other one related to manufacturing; Monterrey, as mentioned, e-commerce, as well as manufacturing; Puebla, auto industry; Querétaro, auto industry; Ciudad Juárez, logistics and electronics.

I think this is a great representation on different markets that are, little by little, thriving, coming back, and probably represent the strength on many of these markets. For that reason, I think that going forward, we still think that there could be demand coming from different sectors.

As you may recall, even that we have seen electronics growing rapidly, Mexico is well positioned among different sectors in different regions. All of them, we believe, have shown resilience in this particular couple of years, which on the geopolitical side have been challenging.

Mexico still represents an opportunity for many of these companies to continue to be competitive, and this particular quarter was an example to that.

Pablo Ricalde

Perfect. Thanks a lot, Lorenzo.

Congrats again.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Alejandra Obregón with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Alejandra Obregón

Hi, good morning, Vesta team. Thank you for taking my question.

Lorenzo, you mentioned during your remarks that Vesta is developing where the economics are making sense. I was hoping if you can talk about how you measure that today, and more importantly, whether there are markets where returns are starting to look more or less attractive than others, and how does that determine perhaps a pecking order of the development pipeline that you have announced?

Thank you.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Muchas gracias, Ale. Thank you very much, Alejandra, for your question.

Yes, I think that we analyze carefully whenever we want to tap in certain markets. As of today, there's several macro indicators that we believe can show an important trend towards what could be happening.

Let's use the example of Guadalajara, which is the second-largest city in Mexico in terms of population. We have seen in the last years strong demand coming from the electronics sector.

That's why it is no surprise to see the major increase in exports coming from the state of Jalisco related to manufacturing, and more specifically on electronics. Everything somehow kind of relates, and that's why we continue to invest in a market where we believe there will still be demand in different industries, particularly electronics and e-commerce.

On top of that, we have currently a 100% occupied portfolio. For that reason, we think that those are strong indicators that the market holds out well, that companies require high-quality buildings that have the right infrastructure, including energy and other utilities, and I think that for that reason, we continue to invest in these markets.

Another important example could be Ciudad Juárez, with strong macro trends in the electronics sector. If you look into detail markets such as Monterrey, with several transactions related to the industries that we like, those numbers continue to thrive.

That's why it's hard to look at economic growth just as a general figure in terms of GDP because it includes too many different components. When we look closer and we analyze deeper and we see on the previous data, we think that that is more constructive whenever it comes to make decisions.

Alejandra Obregón

Got it. If I may ask, have your yield on costs changed today vis-à-vis what probably you saw 2, 3 years ago or 4 years ago?

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

That's a good question. Yields on costs remain at double digits.

We estimate returns between 10 10 to 11% return on costs. I would say that maybe since the pandemic, we saw a major change in terms of construction costs.

We have also seen major increase in rents, and that makes the returns hold. Lately, we have seen even that rates have remained steady in certain markets, and actually we have seen rents increase in some markets.

These are pretty healthy numbers, and these are very supportive to be able to get attractive high returns. In addition to that, if I may, it's not only about the return on cost, but as you remember and you recall, the lease agreements have adjustments at every anniversary, and we adjust them to inflation.

Nowadays that we see that inflation might be a little stickier than expected, we believe that Vesta is a incredibly well hedged towards inflation because of the nature of our lease agreements. I think that it's not only about the return on cost, the in-going return on cost, but if you look at it from a long-term return perspective, I think that we are on the right side of the equation to make sustainable, attractive, risk-adjusted returns.

If I may, Alejandra, continue to elaborate on your question, I would probably like to talk about the cap rates that we continue to see in the market. There continues to be strong demand for stabilized assets, and we see some of our peers still doing acquisitions in the, let's say, 6% range in terms of cap rates, 6 to 7% cap rates.

If you look at our 10 to 11% return on costs vis-à-vis with new buildings in the strong markets vis-à-vis stabilized assets in the 6 to 7%, I think that we are delivering strong spread to our investors, understanding that the capital markets still very supportive for cap rates in this 6 to 7% return. We are glad to see that there is liquidity on the market, there's liquidity on the private side, and for that reason, I think that these spreads are very appealing for our shareholders.

Alejandra Obregón

Understood. Muchas gracias, Lorenzo.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Gracias.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of David Soto with Scotiabank. David, your line is open.

Just a reminder that if you are muted locally, please unmute your device. David, are you there?

We will move on to our next question, which is from the line of Felipe Barragán with J.P. Morgan.

Felipe, your line is open. Yeah.

Felipe Barragán

Good morning, guys. Thanks for the call and for taking my question.

I have a question on the fiscal package that came out earlier this year, and there is some reductions in the deductions for sort of the fiscal result that you give every year. I just want to understand if you guys are forecasting that for next year.

What sort of headwind can we expect from the increased, perhaps taxes for next year? Thank you.

Juan Sottil

Look, we have paid close attention to the fiscal package that was presented to the local Congress. It has not been approved.

I see implications in the monthly payments, which are temporary advances over our annual tax bill. However, I think that on the annual tax bill, it is unclear to me if we want to have any impact at all.

Look, so far, we have to analyze it. We have to see how it impacts our ability, and we will keep you posted.

Felipe Barragán

All right. Thank you, Juan.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of André Mazini with Citigroup. André, your line is open.

André Mazini

Yes. Hi, Lorenzo, Juan, Fernanda.

Two questions. The first one, with the 10-year Treasury, US 10-year Treasury hovering the highest levels in decades, does that change the cap rate dynamics in the private real estate market in Mexico for stabilized assets?

I would imagine that's a factor for cap rates to go up. That's question number one.

On number two, you spoke a lot about the leasing activity already, but if you could provide more details on the tenants, lease terms, and economics behind this latest contracts, and also if there's any tenant improvements requirements involved. Thank you.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Gracias, André. I think that yes, we have followed carefully the interest rate environment, of course, like many of you.

I think that cap rates do not necessarily move immediately to any changes in interest rates. I think that over long term, it does have an impact, but I think that today we're experiencing too much volatility, and we have not seen a major adjustment on cap rates.

I think that the dynamic is still a little bit lagging on that particular change, so that when interest rate increase, not necessarily cap rates increase, and maybe when interest rates even drop, we don't see that drop immediately also. It kind of goes both ways on the short term.

Let's see how that particular long-term rate holds, and then let's analyze carefully on the cap rates. What we do track is cap rates on the private market, and I think that we have not seen major changes on the cap rate even with an increase in interest rates, not recent, but even in the longer period of time, which maybe, I think we believe that that's a result of there's liquidity on the market, and there's expectation on rent growth, and for that reason, cap rates remain at certain levels, as mentioned before, 6, 7%.

We have even seen transactions of some of our peers at sub-6%, which is still an overspread to the 10-year Treasury, but clearly closer. I think even if interest rates increase and we believe that there could continue to be volatility, that's why our focus will continue to be on the development yields, which are very steady, sustainable at a 10% to 11% return on costs.

There's definitely a lot of spread for our investors. Even with some movements in interest rates that could impact the cost of debt in our sector, there continues to be great spread, and that is definitely representative that has as a result major shareholder value.

I think that we are again on the right side of the equation of investment strategy, which is focusing on spread.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Elisa Gómez with BTG Pactual. Elisa, your line is open.

Elisa Gómez

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question.

You mentioned that a BMW-related supplies company was among the quarter's new tenants. Are you starting...

Operator

Hello, can you listen to us?

Elisa Gómez

Yeah.

Operator

My apologies for interrupting. Elisa, would you mind moving a little bit closer to your device?

We're having a very hard time hearing you. It's quite muffled.

Elisa Gómez

¿Nos escuchan? Listo.

¿Ahora sí me escuchan? ¿Mejor?

Seguimos allá.

Operator

Elisa, would you mind asking your question one more time, and just getting as close as you can to your device? We're still having trouble hearing you.

Elisa Gómez

You mentioned that a BMW-related supplies company was among this quarter's new tenants. Are you starting to see a recovery in the auto sector, or is it still limited to a few names, specific names?

Hi?

Operator

Apologies for this interruption. We will now move on to our next question from Alan Macias at Bank of America.

Alan, your line is open.

Alan Macias

Hi, good morning, and thank you for the call. Just a quick question on how are you seeing the M&A activity in Mexico.

Is activity picking up in your view? Just if you can give us a color on this.

Thank you.

Operator

My apologies for this interruption. We seem to be experiencing a technical delay.

I will be briefly pausing the broadcast. Please stand by.

Thank you for your patience. The call has resumed.

Alan, if you are still online, we can now take your question.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Alan, please go ahead

Operator

and... Thank you for holding.

The event will begin shortly. The host will...

Alan,

Fernanda Bettinger

can you hear us here?

Operator

Adelante, Alan. We will move on to our next question, and if any other questions are still remaining, please feel free to rejoin the queue.

Our next question comes from the line of David Soto with Scotiabank. David, your line is open.

David Soto

Hi. Thanks for taking my question.

It's a follow-up on your development pipeline. Could you please share the rationale for maintaining a development pipeline that is mostly exposed to inventory buildings?

Do you see market conditions improving in the way that you don't need to rely more on build-to-suits in the regions that are not having good dynamics compared to Mexico City, Guadalajara? What should we expect about the mix between build-to-suits and spec projects over the next 12 to 24 months?

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Excellent. Gracias, David.

Thank you very much for your question. Yes, we, as you recall, Vesta has a strategy to develop spec building, as well as build-to-suit projects.

More importantly, what we like is to develop industrial parks that can accommodate both. We acquire land in strategic locations, we have the infrastructure and the urbanization and the utilities to have the pads ready, so that whenever we find an opportunity and we see the market dynamics, we anticipate and we develop, either on spec or build-to-suits.

That's why we believe that it was a good moment to get back to develop high-quality buildings. I think that we have the right locations, land we acquired recently, and developing today, which will provide us finalized buildings at some point next year.

We think that over next year, we will continue to have strong demand that might be late as to start their own project. That's why we believe that Vesta can anticipate to the demand of these companies that normally need to make decisions very, very rapidly.

That's why we think and this strategy at high returns, 10 to 11% return on costs, has always paid off. Additionally, I think that you mentioned Mexico City and Guadalajara being very strong markets at the moment.

We actually think that even in other markets, which yes, that have been and remain softer, there's always pockets of clients and opportunities that we can tap. We have seen them from existing clients, as well as new clients, that require high-quality buildings that has already infrastructure, energy particularly, in the right locations.

That's why we believe that the play towards certain submarkets, urban infill, good locations pays off, even in markets that might be somewhat softer than others. Our build-to-suit strategy will continue to be there.

We think that we have the development capabilities to address those needs. We have done a lot of build-to-suits and spec-to-suits.

Definitely over the next 12 to 24 months, maybe one-third to half of the projects will continue to be in the build-to-suit area inside of our parks, which again, we can accommodate spec and build-to-suit. Thank you, David.

David Soto

Thanks. Congrats.

Gracias.

Operator

We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I will now pass the call back to Mr.

Berho for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Lorenzo Dominique Berho

Gracias, and thank you all for being on today's call. Looking ahead, we remain confident in Mexico's strategic position within North American supply chain and in Vesta's unique ability to capture attractive opportunities.

While broad market recovery may vary across regions, we will continue leveraging our strengths to capture opportunities, investing with discipline, and advancing Route 2030 to create sustainable, long-term value for our shareholders. We look forward to sharing more about our strategy and development opportunities at Vesta Day in New York on November 11.

Thank you all for joining us today, and for your continued interest in Vesta. Have a great day.

Operator

We have reached the end of our call. Thank you for joining us.

You may now disconnect.