Bharat Forge Ltd

Bharat Forge Ltd

1,709.60
INR
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Nov 14Next Earn

Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 12, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Bharat Forge Limited Q3 and 9 Months FY '26 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Amit Kalyani, Vice Chairman and Joint Managing Director, Bharat Forge Limited.

Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Kalyani.

Amit Kalyani

Thank you. Good afternoon ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for your time and interest in joining our earnings call for the third quarter FY '26.

I trust that you've seen the numbers and gone through what we've put out. Before that, I'll introduce you to the team that I have with us.

I have my colleague from the board, Subodh. I have our CFO Kedar, our Head of Investor Relations, Raj, and his colleague Chinmay.

We are happy to take you through our quarter and answer whatever questions you have. Over to Kedar, and he'll take you through our synopsis.

Kedar Dixit

Good afternoon, everyone. I'll take you through the standalone business highlights for quarter three and nine months ended if- for FY '26.

The standalone revenues were up 7% sequentially to about 2,084 crores, and EBITDA at 569 crore, which was- which shows a growth of 4.6% quarter-on-quarter, with EBITDA margin of 27.3%. This- this includes a tariff cost impact of ₹31 crore.

The performance was aided by strong growth in domestic automotive business and execution of defense orders of course. Continued destocking in North America truck market had an adverse impact on export revenues in quarter three.

While the auto sector was down 13%, the industrial witnessed sharp 11% growth. This was mainly on account of improved business in oil and gas, aerospace business.

To put things in perspective, North American truck market revenues are down 51% as compared to quarter three of last year. We had an one-time impact of 487 million on account of changes in labor code.

This is mainly to do with gratuity provision for the past services. Standalone revenues for nine months was 6,135 crores, with EBITDA margin at 27.7%.

Balance sheet continues to remain strong, with debt debt to equity net of cash of only 0.15. At the end of this year, we'll have a long-term debt of only 600 crores on our balance sheet.

Quarter three consolidated revenues came in at 4,343 crores and EBITDA margin at 17.3%. Stable performance in overseas subsidiaries and improving execution in defense helped the overall performance.

For nine months, consolidated revenue was 12,284 crores with EBITDA margin of 17.5%. Indian subsidiaries continue to perform well.

JSA, which is our casting business, saw their top line and EBITDA growth by strong 22% and 39% respectively. K-Drive, which is our recent acquisition, saw muted top line, but good jump in EBITDA from 3% to about 5% in this quarter.

Quarter three- in last quarter, company had secured new business worth 2,388 crores across all key businesses, which includes the component business of 378 crores, defense of 1,878 crores, casting 78 crores, and K-Drive 55 crores. Talking about the overseas subsidiaries, the European operations were stable amidst patchy demand due to holiday season.

Utilizations level in quarter three were about 60% to 65%. During the quarter, EU operations recorded an EBITDA of 39 crores.

US aluminium had a stable quarter given the sentiment in North American passenger car market. The US operations recorded EBITDA of about 10 crores for quarter three.

The tariff on aluminium into US is impacting the profitability and demand in this business. Current utilization level of aluminium business in the US is about 65%.

For nine months performance, we continue to work on the improvement in our overseas business. For nine months, the US losses were down almost 50% and we are seeing a lower losses at EU level.

While we continue to improve our operation, we also continue to evaluate restructuring operations for our European steel business, and we will update the progress by end of this fiscal. Now, I will hand over to Amit sir for his comments.

Operator

Speakers, please go ahead.

Amit Kalyani

Yes. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you.

Just want to tell you that we entered into all this uncertainty very suddenly, and by God's grace and the government and everybody doing their job, we've also come out of this mess in a very sudden manner. I hope that the positivity translates into real action, and I see early signs of that.

We have a good amount of confidence that the worst is behind us, and that I think we have strengthened our position, we have further developed new products, and you will see that evidence in the next few years how we are building new segments for our company which have growth potential and are the kind of products and technologies that will give us a very good future. I think on the domestic front, the GST reforms have given a boost to the automotive industry, and also take the industry players by surprise.

In fact, the growth was almost unmanageable by them. The recent announcement with the trade deal has also been positive and coupled with the CV market in the US bottoming out and beginning to show higher order intake, will also give us a lot of momentum.

It's a deja vu of 2019, where every period of ours was witnessing a strong growth. I'm also very happy to report that our acquisition of JSA little over two years ago has worked out very well for us.

We have now brought in a very high quality investor in the form of Premji Invest, which has invested to take a meaningful stake in the company, and it's 23% at a valuation of ₹4,300 crores. That values our investment at a multiple 3.5 to 4 times of what we had bought it for.

Our team has done a good job, and I think that the overall collaboration between our automotive business, the casting business, and our customers has worked very well and will give us plenty of growth going forward. The CV sector for Q4 India looks very strong, and may continue into first half of next year.

Exports seem to have bottomed out and we should see a gradual improvement from here. On defense, we see a strong uptick driven by commencement of the ATAGS order and the beginning of the CQB production.

We should look at 30%-40% plus growth in our defense business next year. Aerospace segment also, we see a very strong growth next year, also year after next, because next year we have some new programs and some new capacities coming online, but significantly larger coming online year after next, and we believe that we are on track to really meaningfully grow this business in the next three-odd years, and make it a business that is sizeable and will generate very tidy returns and addition to our top and bottom line.

On the M&A side, we're looking at some very interesting opportunities, and we'll take it as it comes. In terms of capacity addition, we have new orders that we've won, which are very long-term in very strategic sectors, and we're setting up some new facilities to take care of that.

I think on the whole, that's the picture where it stands. I think we're now ready to take your questions, thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question comes from the line of Gunjan with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Hi. Thanks for taking my questions.

My first question is on the defense business. There have been quite wide-ranging wins in the last quarter, right?

Small arms, CQB carbine, then unmanned systems, drones, and then even the marine one came through in the last couple of months. It clearly the product capabilities and is far wider than the guns, and the portfolio is expanding, right?

I'm just looking to get some sense from you as to how do we think about the scale-up of this business in the next 2-3 years. Yes, of course there's one way that we look at order book and execution of order book, but it does seem like some of the newer opportunities are adding in.

Some thoughts on how do we think about this business from a 2-3 year perspective.

Amit Kalyani

Sure, Gunjan. I think you have to look at our defense business the way you look at our overall company.

We will de-risk defense from any one vertical. We will have multiple verticals, we will have verticals that will have continuous business, we'll have verticals that will have lumpy business, and we will look at global opportunities for all the products that we make.

It's very clear that unmanned systems and drones are a very big opportunity. These are definitely both complementary and supplementary to manned systems.

We have to have a play there, and we are there both in the water domain, that is underwater, and in aerial domain. We are building the capability not just for the product, but also for the payload.

That is one way to look at it. These are products that can be ranging from few crore rupees to many, many million dollars.

There is a wide range of products within that also. We believe that once you become a defense player, and especially in a network-centric battle environment or defense environment, you need to have all the network products that become a force multiplier for any of your products.

Got it. If I were to just sort of think that defense is roughly about 10%-12% or even less, 10% odd of your revenues right now, with these new opportunities, order book conversion, just directionally, how do you think how significant can this be?

I'm just trying to get the scale of this business maybe 3 years down the line, maybe 5 years down the line, the way you internally sort of look at the evolution of this.

Amit Kalyani

See, realistically, defense has the opportunity to become as big as overall business is today, if you look at global opportunities. If we look at the European defense budget is going from $350 billion to $800 billion.

India's defense budget is growing by 21% this year. Overall, there is a huge growth taking place in these sectors.

It depends on what we play in, what role we play, and what we win. Clearly, 10%, 11% will definitely be more like closer to 18%-20% if things go right, could be even more than that.

Got it. 18%-20% in 2 to 3 years, is that how should we think?

I think

Amit Kalyani

let's look at 2030.

Okay. Got it.

Now second question is on this tariff, you guys navigated it really well with pretty modest hits. I'm just trying to get a color on what does the deal do beyond the easing of margin pressures?

Is there fundamentally something you see has shifted and which can put us in a better place as a supplier ecosystem from India? Some qualitative thoughts around that.

Amit Kalyani

Yeah. Look, obviously it puts us in a better position than certain other countries which have a higher tariff than us.

That's one thing. Okay?

Second is the tariff deal being done and the punitive 25% being removed means that we're in a differentiated position than others, plus the new product development will start again with all our customers, not that it had stopped, but there is more confidence now to go full steam ahead.

Got it. Last question just on Europe restructuring.

Again, we're trying to get your thoughts on EU, as mentioned that you'll give an update by the end of the year, but any color on what is it that we are looking to do? Is it looking to wind down the business?

Is it looking to shift it to India? What sort of restructuring?

Amit Kalyani

I can't share anything more than what we've already said.

Okay. Got it.

Amit Kalyani

Like I said, we have to make a profit. Or we have to take some decisions.

We have to see what to do.

Okay. All right.

I'll join back the queue. Thank you so much.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Amyn Pirani with J.P.

Morgan. Please go ahead.

Amyn Pirani

Yes, hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

Actually, my first question was on the announcement of the Premji investment in JS Auto. My question was that given that you are probably the experts on the manufacturing business that it is, and given that balance sheet is not really a constraint for you, what is the value that this investor is bringing in?

How does this change the scale of operations which maybe you couldn't have done on your own?

Amit Kalyani

No, there's nothing that we couldn't have done on our own. I just think that sometimes having let's say a slightly different perspective is always good and having more bandwidth to think about things, and they also have a lot of connect globally.

Plus, we want this business to grow fast. We wanted to grow both organically and inorganically.

Now we don't have to worry about putting any more money in here.

Amyn Pirani

Understood. Fair enough.

Secondly, just following up on the Europe question. Interestingly, in the last 2-3 quarters, it looks like the numbers have already started to move up.

Just trying to understand if are there already some things that you're doing in the business or we still have to think about a kind of big restructuring which you had indicated around two quarters back?

Amit Kalyani

Look, we're trying to do a lot of things. We're reducing a lot of cost.

It's not easy. Every day there is something new happening in Europe.

We're trying to do the best we can. We are putting a lot of improvement measures, etc.

We just have to see how effective they are, whether one is internal, the second is external. We also need to see whether whatever we're doing the external landscape and the market is big enough and is there to take advantage of.

It's not just one way. Europe, I think, is in a secular problem, and we don't know where it's heading, we have to see.

Amyn Pirani

Okay. Fair enough.

Thanks for that. I'll come back in the queue.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Kapil Singh with Nomura.

Please go ahead.

Kapil Singh

Good afternoon, sir. Wanted to check, firstly, on your thoughts on the defense business profitability.

How would it be comparable to the auto business over time? How should we think about that?

Amit Kalyani

Yeah. I would expect it to be profitable, equivalent on an EBITDA basis, generally speaking.

I think the ROCE should be better because we don't have the same amount of capital employed.

Kapil Singh

Okay. Okay.

Amit Kalyani

Also, it will have a long tail because there'll be constant MRO and support income coming from everything that you sell.

Kapil Singh

Okay. Sir, this order book that we have, what period should we look at for the execution?

Also, we had a small arms contract order for carbine.

Amit Kalyani

I think the small arms is 5 years, the rest would be between mostly 4 years.

Kapil Singh

Okay. Sir, also on the outlook for particularly the global truck business, has it already bottomed out as you mentioned, but when do we start to see the upcycle?

Are there any signs visible? What is the outlook for next 1 year, not just asking for 1 quarter?

Amit Kalyani

I'll let my colleague Subodh answer that question. Please.

Subodh Tandale

You've seen the incoming orders in the US for Class 7, 8 in the last 2 months. They've been on the upside, and generally there is a sense of confidence just given that all the uncertainties of the last year the things would be better.

We are hoping that things would be better than last year and hopefully things would be stable as well and growing. That's what we are planning for.

It's going to be steady, but on the positive side is what we expect.

Kapil Singh

Okay. Sir, can you comment on the passenger vehicle exports as well?

Subodh Tandale

We continue growing our passenger car exports. Again, we are engaged with all the major players in the world.

We have a lot of opportunities on the table, all of them are being addressed.

Kapil Singh

Okay. Thank you.

Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Abhishek Shah with Valcore Capital.

Please go ahead.

Abhishek Shah

Hi, sir. Am I audible?

Hello.

Operator

Mr. Shah, sorry for interrupting, your voice is breaking.

Can you come in the range and talk?

Abhishek Shah

Hi. Is it better now?

Hello?

Operator

Yes, please go ahead.

Abhishek Shah

Yeah. Sir, this is regarding a news article and somewhere we've been reading online that Kalyani Group as such has been granted by Orissa government, we're planning to set up a project of ₹17,000-odd crores.

Just wanted some more clarity on this. The project what our understanding was, it will be implemented by three companies of our group, Bharat Forge, Kalyani Steels, and Saarloha.

Maybe if you can give us some more understanding on what will be the split, who's spending how much, and what is this project about? Maybe tentative timelines for the same?

Amit Kalyani

The first part of the project will be a specialty steel plant, which will be set up by Kalyani Steels. Then once the EC and everything happens, they will break ground and start work.

That will be about 700,000 tonnes of steel, specialty steel. Then the second part will be a superalloy plant, which will be set up by Saarloha to make aerospace and other superalloy grades, including tool and die steel, etc.

The third will be a forging, machining, potentially also casting facility by the relevant companies, including JSA if needed. If there is an opportunity to do a further expansion of our own existing products and certain new products using the raw material and the overall advantage that we'll get in that location.

Abhishek Shah

Sir, what will be the tentative capex split between the three?

Amit Kalyani

See, each company will do its own capex. I don't want to in a Bharat Forge call talk about other companies.

Abhishek Shah

No, in the sense, out of 17,000, how much are we going to spend? How much is Bharat Forge going to spend, sir?

Amit Kalyani

Bharat Forge, we have said up to ₹3,000 crores.

Abhishek Shah

Achha. Got it.

Sir, tentative timelines for when we start our capex, I'm talking from Bharat Forge's perspective, and how does it link to the group basically?

Amit Kalyani

This will be the next growth phase after our existing expansions in Baramati, etc. Achha.

Abhishek Shah

Nothing in the immediate 1 or 2 years?

Amit Kalyani

Not in the next 1 year.

Abhishek Shah

Got it. Theek hai, sir.

That's all from my side. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. A reminder to all the participants that you may press star and one to ask a question.

Next question comes from the line of Nitin Jain with Fair Value Equity Advisors. Please go ahead.

Nitin Jain

Yeah. Congratulations on the excellent quarter.

I have just two questions. If you can talk a little bit about your defense order pipeline.

Now, I'm asking this because QoQ itself, our order book has grown more than 1,500 crores. When do we expect to end this year, and what kind of bid pipeline we have for fiscal 27?

Amit Kalyani

We have increased our order book by two things. One is the CQB carbine and some of the EP orders that we got.

Okay? Now, we have a lot of other things that are in the pipeline.

There are a lot of new programs that we are working on, a lot of new products that we're developing. I don't want to talk about any of that right now.

Once we make the bids, we can talk about them.

Nitin Jain

Right. Do we expect any of these to materialize by fiscal 27, or there's still time to go?

Amit Kalyani

See, as the whole defense procurement process is being overhauled and being speeded up. The new DAP has come out, which is very comforting that it is focusing more on Indian development and design products and Make in India a lot more.

I think we're quite bullish on this whole sector growing for India. There's also a global opportunity to be a supplier both of systems and components into Europe and many other parts of the world.

Overall, I think this is a market that's going to grow, this is a sector that's going to grow, and a business that's going to have a long-term strong future for us.

Nitin Jain

Right. Also, recently one of the Indian forging companies they were inducted into the NATO supply chain for high-precision defense components.

This is considered positive for their business. I just wanted to know if we also share any similar credentials or we are vying for the same?

Amit Kalyani

I would say please validate what you're saying, okay. Second, we are already exporting into large quantities in this area.

Nitin Jain

Great. Lastly, any development on the server business?

Last we had heard from the company was that it tied up with a few global leaders. If you can make us aware

Amit Kalyani

if any progress? That is in a development phase.

Nitin Jain

Okay. Thank you.

Amit Kalyani

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. A reminder to all the participants that you may press star and one to ask a question.

Next question comes from the line of Aakash Chaubey with Time and Tide Advisors. Please go ahead.

Aakash Jhaveri

Good afternoon, sir, and thank you for the opportunity. My first question is, how's the acquisition of American Axle been performing, and what is our view on the segment?

Amit Kalyani

The acquisition has performed well. Our margins have grown by almost 200 basis points.

I expect that this sector will do well. This is a high-growth sector and we are already winning quite a lot of new business from Indian OEMs.

This been a good acquisition for us, and we expect this to turn out to be a very positive step for the company.

Aakash Jhaveri

Sure. The group also has stake in Automotive Axles.

How are we looking at these two companies in similar segments?

Amit Kalyani

I'm not personally involved with Automotive Axles individually because of the same reasons. As Automotive Axles is a investment of the group for a very long time.

It has its own position in the heavy axle sector. This is another player in the axle sector.

I think each will find its own niche. Where needed they will also compete.

Aakash Jhaveri

Sure. My last question is, has American Axle been gaining market share?

Amit Kalyani

Has been what?

Aakash Jhaveri

Has been gaining market share?

Amit Kalyani

Yes, it's been getting a lot of new business, yes.

Aakash Jhaveri

Okay. Any way to quantify that?

Amit Kalyani

I think next quarter we'll talk about that.

Aakash Jhaveri

Sure. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. A reminder to all the participants that you may press star and one to ask a question.

Once again, a reminder to all the participants that you may press star and one to ask a question. Ladies and gentlemen, as there are no further questions, we have reached the end of question-and-answer session.

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Amit Kalyani for closing comments.

Amit Kalyani

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you very much for your time and interest and your questions. As always, it's a pleasure interacting with you.

Thank you for your positive comments and feedback. We look forward to remaining engaged as we continue the growth journey of our company over the next many years.

Thank you. Bye-bye.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Bharat Forge Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.