Cipla Ltd

Cipla Ltd

1,329.90
INR
+16.10
(+1.23%)
40.75EPS
35.73P/E
1.19TMarket Cap
Oct 27Next Earn

Q1 FY2027 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 23, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Cipla Limited Q1 FY '27 Earnings Conference Call. We have with us today Mr.

Achin Gupta, MD and Global CEO; Mr. Ashish Adukia, Global CFO; Ms.

Diksha Maheshwari, Head Investor Relations. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Ms. Diksha Maheshwari, Head Investor Relations.

Thank you and over to you, ma'am.

Diksha Maheshwari

Thank you, Danish. Good afternoon and a very warm welcome to Cipla's Q1 FY '27 earnings call.

I am Diksha Maheshwari from the investor relations team at Cipla. Let me draw your attention to the fact that on this call our discussion will include certain forward-looking statements, which are predictions, projections or other estimates about future events.

These estimates reflect management's current expectations of the future performance of the company. Please note that these estimates involve several risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what is expressed or implied.

Cipla does not undertake any obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. I hope you have received the investor presentation that we have posted on our website.

I would like to request Achin to take over.

Achin Gupta

Thank you, Diksha. Good afternoon to all of you, and we appreciate you joining for our Q1 FY '27 earnings call.

I'm delighted to share that we have delivered the highest ever Q1 revenue with revenues of ₹7,100 crores in this Q1. Achieving a record first quarter provides a strong start to the year.

It reinforces the resilience of our business fundamentals, the diversified nature of our business, and it strengthens our confidence in sustaining long-term growth. Coming to the business-wise performance, our One India business achieved its highest ever quarterly revenue with 12% YoY growth, reflecting a strong performance across key therapies and underscoring the strength of our franchise in the IPM.

Within this, the branded prescription business continued to witness strong momentum across chronic portfolio, delivering a market-beating growth of 15.4% during the quarter as per IQVIA data. Key therapies registered strong double-digit growth.

Respiratory grew at 15%, anti-diabetic 43%, cardiac 20%, and neurology at double-digit as per the IQVIA data for quarter ended June 26. This performance was driven by a strong volume expansion, sustained brand strength, focused field execution, and continued momentum from new product launches.

Our overall chronic mix strengthened this quarter to 60.4% YoY. We added two new brands to the 100-plus crore INR club, taking our total to 33, and our presence in the IPM top 300 brands remains strong with 23 brands, reinforcing the depth and resilience of our portfolio.

Foracort, which is our flagship inhalation brand, continued to strengthen its leadership position as the number one respiratory brand in the IPM while sustaining its status as a INR 1,000 crore-plus franchise. Cipla continues to be the largest pharma company in terms of volume and the only player with 2 billion-plus unit sales in IPM as per IQVIA MAT June '26.

Our new launch momentum also remains strong with a number of targeted introductions across key chronic, specialty, and wellness segments. In respiratory, we strengthened our portfolio with Duolin Synchrobreathe, a press-actuated inhalation platform designed to enhance ease of use and adherence, and Bilafav M for the management of allergic rhinitis and associated symptoms.

In the obesity segment, following our entry into the segment through our collaboration with Eli Lilly for Yorpeak in the previous quarter, the brand has continued to witness encouraging traction and delivered a strong performance during the quarter. In immunology, we launched Upadacip, significantly strengthening our presence in chronic inflammatory and autoimmune disorders and enhancing our ability to address patient needs in a rapidly evolving specialty segment.

Additionally, BiFilm, which is our nasal hygiene range, broadened our supportive care and wellness portfolio. Collectively, these launches reinforce our commitment to addressing evolving patient needs and deepen our brand presence in high-opportunity chronic therapy areas, and further strengthen the breadth and competitiveness of our portfolio.

On trade generics side, our business delivered a healthy growth during the quarter on the back of vigorous execution in distribution and new product launches. Expanding our portfolio remains a key growth driver with three new launches this quarter, addressing specific patient needs.

Our consumer health business continued its upward trajectory with Nicotex, Omnigel, and Cipladine consolidating their respective number one positions in the segment. The business is driving healthy secondary growth and actively exploring opportunities to invest in products and channels to further expand our distribution.

Operating profitability improved during the quarter, reflecting the strength and scalability of the consumer health strategy. In North America, we delivered quarterly revenue of $162 million.

Cipla continues to hold the number one position in the overall US albuterol MDI market this quarter with our market share standing at 21% as per IQVIA data for the week ending June 26, 2026. One key highlight for the quarter was the successful launch of generic Ventolin in the US following regulatory approval which was received last quarter.

We have commenced commercial shipments with volumes expected to increase as the supply scales up. During the quarter, we further strengthened our portfolio with the launch of nintedanib and dapagliflozin, in addition to some of the more recent launches like liraglutide, which is expanding our presence in high-growth therapy areas and advancing the execution on our pipeline.

Looking ahead, we expect North America business to continue its sequential growth trajectory during the year, supported by the upcoming product launches and continued commercial execution. More details on the US pipeline: As we mentioned earlier, our pipeline for the remainder of the year includes four significant launches, comprising three respiratory assets, including generic Advair, and a key peptide opportunity as well.

Two of these three respiratory assets have been filed from our US manufacturing facilities, while the third has been filed from our Goa facility. These launches are expected to strengthen our portfolio, enhance our respiratory leadership, and also help us support a sustainable long-term growth in the North America business.

Coming to South Africa, in the private market, we achieved strong secondary growth of 6.5%, outperforming the overall market growth of 5.7% as per IQVIA MAT May '26. The business continued to strengthen its position through solid performance in key therapies and successful new launches, reinforcing our presence across diverse markets.

In EM&U, we continued the growth trajectory with a 5% YoY growth in USD terms. This was fueled by execution across both DTM and B2B segments, and our continued focus on deep market penetration has laid a strong foundation for sustained growth.

Notably, we maintained margin stability while effectively leveraging internal pipeline assets, demonstrating the strength and agility of our operating model. Finally, on the regulatory front, during the quarter, US FDA completed a routine GMP inspection and a PAI at our Verna, Goa facility, and subsequently, it was classified as VAI.

During this month, the US FDA concluded a routine GMP inspection at InvaGen facility in New York, which concluded with one Form 483 observation, which we are committed to addressing within the stipulated timeline. We are also expecting the re-inspection of our Indore facility to take place anytime soon.

Now I would like to invite Ashish to present the financial and operational performance.

Ashish Adukia

Thank you, Achin. I would like to now present the key financial highlights for the quarter.

We reported a quarterly revenue of ₹7,119 crore with a 2% growth YoY. There has been change in the presentation of the financials, which I would like to highlight.

Effective this quarter beginning 1st April 2026, the company presents certain marketing and promotional expenditures as a reduction from the revenue instead of operating expenditure. The same has been highlighted in the note to the consolidated financial statements.

You may refer to note number nine. The EBITDA margin, excluding the other income, stood at 16.7% for the quarter.

As per practice, the EBITDA margin does not include the other income. The reported gross margin after material costs stood at 62.5%, it's incorporating the impact of the product mix, certain war-related costs, some inventory-related charges, and phasing of certain incentives.

The total expense for the quarter stood at ₹3,260 crore, reflecting an 8.3% increase over the previous quarter. This increase reflects our planned investment in upcoming product launches and enhancement of manufacturing readiness.

We remain focused on innovation and future readiness. R&D investments for the quarter were ₹486 crore or 6.8% of revenue, directed largely towards the product filing and key development programs.

Profit after tax for the quarter stood at ₹789 crore, representing 11% of sales, and ETR for the quarter stood at 27%. Our free cash flow generation and operating efficiency continue to drive the healthy net cash position.

As of 30th June 2026, the debt on our balance sheet, including lease liabilities, stood at ₹600 crore, with net cash equivalent balance at ₹9,494 crore. This was after the dividend payment that we made this quarter of ₹1,050 crore.

Looking ahead, our key priorities will include for One India, the aim is to focus on execution to sustain the growth momentum and outperform the market in branded generic, trade generic, as well as consumer wellness. We will further strengthen our presence in chronic therapies while maintaining the robust trajectory we have built in respiratory.

In North America, we'll remain focused on driving growth through new product introductions, including the key launches highlighted by Achin. In South Africa, our focus will be on continuing to grow faster than the market in the private sector.

In EM&U, the top priority is to drive top-line growth while maintaining a strong margin trajectory. Lastly, before I hand over to the Q&A, as I transition into new role, I would like to thank all of you for asking perspective questions over last four years.

I would also like to welcome Dinesh Jain as the new Global CFO. He's been with the company for almost 30 years-plus, and he is sitting right next to me to take any questions or anything.

Over to the moderator now for Q&A. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you so much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin with the question and answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

Our first question comes from the line of Saion Mukherjee with Nomura. Please go ahead.

Saion Mukherjee

Thanks for taking my question. Can you talk about the accounting change that you mentioned?

How has that impacted your growth rates if you can quantify for the branded markets, particularly India and South Africa?

Ashish Adukia

Sure. See, I think if you go through the note, Saion, you'll find the numbers mentioned out there for the previous YoY quarter as well, you'll be able to calculate the growth.

The growth would be somewhere around 4% if you just adjust for the previous year number as well.

Saion Mukherjee

That's right, Ashish. You reported 2%, adjusted is 4%.

I would assume the change would have impacted mostly the branded markets. Just wanted to understand 12% growth in India and minus 5% that you reported in rupee terms in South Africa, is there an adjusted number for these two markets at least?

Ashish Adukia

Sure, sure. Without breaking it down into the markets, there are primarily two only, but largely it's on account of adjustment in South Africa.

Saion Mukherjee

Okay. On India, the business has delivered 12% growth.

In this quarter, you had tirzepatide plus the Pfizer brand distribution and one small acquisition. Excluding these, can you just tell what the growth rate is overall in India?

Achin Gupta

Saion, Achin here. On India, to see the IQVIA data, we were at 15.4% on the Rx part of it.

Within that, as per IQVIA, approximately 80 cr was from Yorpeak, right? I think that's what, approximately 1.5% is attributable there.

The rest is on account of the business. Some of it was licensed products, but good, healthy growth rate on all the rest of the base portfolio as well that we've been now seeing for three quarters.

There's a momentum that's building up in terms of steadily delivering double-digit growth.

Saion Mukherjee

Because based on the disclosures that you made, I am arriving at somewhere in that range of 7% to 8% year-on-year growth. Is that a wrong assessment, you think?

See,

Ashish Adukia

we've not broken down each of the three verticals, but I think IQVIA will give you a very more or less a detailed perspective. Also, some of the ILD becomes base over a period of time, right?

So

Saion Mukherjee

Okay.

Ashish Adukia

That's part of our strategy. We keep ILD within a certain percentage.

It's not very high, but it's between 10% to 15% of our total business.

Saion Mukherjee

Okay. My other question is on South Africa.

See, even if I, because the currency has also been quite favorable, it's almost 23% on a year-on-year basis. Even if I were to sort of ascribe all that accounting change to South Africa, I just get 13% growth.

In constant currency, it seems your private market as well as tender has declined on a year-on-year basis. Is there something happening there if you can throw some light that we need to be aware of?

No,

Achin Gupta

see, I think tender business has indeed declined for us. That is one of the impacts that is there.

On the private market, there has been a growth, and there is, of course, a currency impact as well, which we had hedged. I think it's a multitude of impacts that is sitting out there in South Africa.

Private market has grown faster than the market out there, as I had highlighted in the speech as well, that we achieved almost 6.5% growth in the secondaries, outpacing the market growth of 5.7%.

Saion Mukherjee

That's what, I think in the secondary it's visible, but on the reported number it isn't. That's what I was wondering.

Achin Gupta

The tender component is lesser, that is why.

Saion Mukherjee

Okay. Thank you.

I'll join back. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Parth Sodha with Trinethra Asset Managers.

Please go ahead.

Parth Sodha

Hello.

Operator

Yes, Parth, you may please proceed. [unclear] Parth, I'm sorry to interrupt you, but your voice is breaking.

[unclear] Parth, you may please rejoin the queue, but your voice is breaking, you can rejoin the queue. Our next question comes from the line of Surya Narayan Patra with PhillipCapital.

Please go ahead. [unclear] Surya, you may please proceed ahead with the question.

Surya Narayan Patra

[unclear]

Operator

Surya has left the queue. Our next question comes from the line of Damayanti Kerai with HSBC Bank.

Please go ahead.

Damayanti Kerai

Hi, thank you for the opportunity. Just want to hear some update on the awaited launch for the US market.

You mentioned we are going to have three more assets on the respiratory side, including Advair, and one peptide asset. If I remember correctly, last call when we had discussion on the upcoming launches, you mentioned you were anticipating four peptide products.

Has there been any change on that part? I think if that's the case, do you still maintain your $1 billion exit run rate for US segment for FY '27?

Achin Gupta

We are saying three respiratory launches, which are significant, in addition to the Ventolin approval that we've got, and one peptide which is large, right? There are others which we have already launched, like liraglutide, we've launched both the variants, that's doing well for us.

There are other peptides and other products which are in the approval queue, but we've been highlighting the three respi and the one peptide, which are more significant of the add-on. That is the approval of these will give us a line of sight towards that billion exit rate.

Okay.

Damayanti Kerai

You started the year with $162 million sales, but in the consequent quarter, you think you can cover up enough to reach that $1 billion exit rate? That remains unchanged?

Achin Gupta

I think the way to look at it is growth from new products, because the base is not large enough to provide that kind of delta. The new products are pretty large, basis these successful approval and launch of these and the scale-up of Ventolin in the coming quarters, we will be able to get that visibility.

Damayanti Kerai

Sure. Similarly, if you can comment on your earlier guidance for the EBITDA margins of 18.5% to 20% for FY '27.

Any change there or it again remains broadly unchanged?

Achin Gupta

Broadly unchanged, Damayanti.

Damayanti Kerai

Okay. My last question is, the recent inspection of the New York facility, will that be anyway tied to any of the upcoming launches for the US?

You just got one observation, but nonetheless, if there is some delay in clearing that observation, will that hold up any of the upcoming launches?

Achin Gupta

Only the smaller ones. That unit does solid orals, those are not the biggest launches, not part of the three respiratory we spoke about.

Those have already been inspected.

Damayanti Kerai

Okay. Thanks.

I'll get back in the queue.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Vishal Manchanda with Systematix.

Please go ahead.

Vishal Manchanda

Thanks for the opportunity. On your gross margins, you highlighted certain inventory write-offs in your opening comments.

Can you talk about that, how much was that, and also quantify the impact of the inflation on the gross margins?

Ashish Adukia

Sure. I think when you meant inflation, you mean to say this war impact that we're talking about.

I think overall, if you look at it as per current estimate, and it's very difficult to give a very firm guidance out there because the things are evolving, but you could assume about 1% to 2% of revenue in that kind of a range for the overall cost impact due to war. In case of the other question that you had, the inventory charge, etc., we have that for various reasons, either it is close to expiry or if we have ordered, but the demand has not taken off, or if there is any quality issues, then we charge off that inventory, which is very typical in pharma.

There has been a little higher than our normalized that we budget for, and that is why I called it out, that there is one time kind of an inventory charge that is there.

Vishal Manchanda

Would this be 100 basis points, a lower number?

Ashish Adukia

Quantifying this, this all fits as part of COGS and amongst other provisionings that we take. I think that I called it out because it is slightly higher than was the normal write-offs that we take.

Vishal Manchanda

Okay. On the incentives, do you kind of put that as part of operating revenue, or you deduct it from the COGS?

Ashish Adukia

Yes, yes. The PLI and our export incentive, that's other operating income.

It's area incentive. That area incentive is now over, it was sitting in the base and not now.

PLI, this year we are accruing it as we achieve the sales of our PLI molecules. That's why in this quarter there is almost no PLI, but it will come in a phased manner into the later quarters.

Vishal Manchanda

Got it. All right.

Just one on the US, Ventolin, when do we expect a full ramp-up there?

Achin Gupta

That work is ongoing. We've started supplying at the current scale, but I think that will go towards the end of the financial year.

Vishal Manchanda

Will there be a gradual ramp-up, or we'll kind of be steady for some time and then?

Achin Gupta

It's a mix, because one would start manufacturing at higher scale, but then sell it when all the approvals are in place.

Vishal Manchanda

Okay. More towards the end of this year, we'll see a ramp-up.

Is that?

Achin Gupta

Yeah.

Vishal Manchanda

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Bino Pathiparampil with Elara Capital.

Please go ahead.

Bino Pathiparampil

Hi, good afternoon, all. Just a couple of follow-up questions.

First on South Africa, I assume you replied to a question that the decline in revenue is because of loss of tenders. I just wanted to know, is this the first quarter of loss of tenders?

For the next three quarters till this annualized, should we assume that there will be a dip in reported revenue because of this? No, see,

Achin Gupta

I think tender, how you have to see it is that when we look at tenders, it needs to be accretive to our margins, then accordingly we bid for these tenders. Unfortunately, last year we lost a tender, which has a supply plan that is impacting this year.

In the coming quarters also, there'll be that continuation of that impact that will come through. You will see continuing impact of tender in South Africa, but private market, like I said, including OTC, is growing faster than the market.

Due to a lot of currency fluctuations, some of it is not getting reflected, but it's a smart growth out there in South Africa, private market.

Bino Pathiparampil

Got it. Just one follow-up on the US as well.

This quarter you have reported about $160 million. Your exit target of billion dollars means $250 million a quarter, or roughly $90 million more per quarter.

If I annualize it, you have to have products which can give you $360 million a year. The current products which you have mentioned, are you confident they can annualize to $360 million, which is much more than you made in even Revlimid?

Achin Gupta

Yes, these are all very sizeable opportunities. I think that's how we are looking at the buildup.

This assumes the competitive position that exists today. Obviously, that is one assumption.

From what we see today, we see large opportunity on this. I think if we don't expect that competitive position to change in the next nine months.

Bino Pathiparampil

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Shashank Krishnakumar with Emkay Global Financial Services.

Please go ahead.

Shashank Krishnakumar

Hi, thanks for taking my question. My first one was on the consumer wellness growth in India.

I think you mentioned that the accounting treatment adjustment impact was largely in South Africa. Consumer wellness, last year 1Q we were at ₹470 crore, and this year, I think we are at around ₹480 crore.

Growth there has also been a bit muted. Are there any other factors which have impacted growth in this quarter?

Ashish Adukia

See, I think the last quarter had a very good growth in the consumer business. I think the base itself was fairly strong.

That's why in a YoY basis, you'll see a growth which is not as high as typically what you would see in CHL, in consumer business.

Achin Gupta

I think there are two components to this, how we present the consumer. One is the consumer internationally, which is mostly in South Africa, and the piece that Ashish explained is the consumer in India.

On the South Africa also, there may be an impact of that presentation change. Yeah.

Ashish Adukia

In South Africa, there is impact of the presentation change that I talked about earlier. Adjusting for that, South Africa had their normal good growth in OTC.

Shashank Krishnakumar

Got it, sir. Secondly, can you just call out the growth in the trade generic business in India this quarter?

Was it in double digits or? No,

Ashish Adukia

we don't give the breakup of the three segments. Overall, India is at 12% growth, and trade generic is also fairly healthy.

Shashank Krishnakumar

Got it, sir. If I could just squeeze in one more.

I think our InvaGen unit one facility was inspected in Feb, and I think we had two observations. This was linked to Advair.

Have there been any follow-up queries post that inspection, or is your filing broadly there in terms of getting past the finishing line?

Achin Gupta

It is on track. On that kind of inspection, ultimately you will see the approvals, right?

Interim, there is not much to read into it. We are expecting approval to come on that, which should happen anytime.

Shashank Krishnakumar

Got it, sir. Thank you and all the best.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Surya Narayan Patra with PhillipCapital.

Please go ahead.

Surya Narayan Patra

[unclear] Surya,

Operator

I'm sorry, but again your voice is breaking. If you are wearing Bluetooth or headset, can you just remove that?

Surya Narayan Patra

Is it audible now?

Operator

No, sir. I guess you are not in network, sir.

We're not able to hear you.

Surya Narayan Patra

I'll come back.

Operator

Sure. Our next question comes from the line of Shyam Srinivasan from Goldman Sachs.

Please go ahead.

Shyam Srinivasan

Thank you for the opportunity. Just first one on the Yorpeak, you called out about 80 crores in quarter one.

Sir, how are we looking at that overall anti-obesity kind of a market? There are confusing or divergent signals, especially from sema generics as well.

What explains the strength, and how are you looking at prescription behavior, and what do you think is the prognosis from here on?

Achin Gupta

See our bet has been fairly clear. We wanted to work with innovator product, which has dual mode of action, two receptors.

We've invested behind tirzepatide. Our understanding is that this is a high-involvement therapy.

It's not just a straightforward sell. Patient, prescriber need to have a lot of connects, guidance, and the condition needs to be managed properly for the right outcomes, right?

We are following that, plus we're expanding the distribution reach, and there's a lot of work that is happening to get the right benefits for the patients, right? That is helping us grow.

We have reached number two in the whole category. After Mounjaro in IQVIA, Yorpeak is the second largest brand.

Generics is a different piece, because this is not only a price-driven market, right? Ultimately, for that matter, for any therapy, the patient cares more about outcomes.

There is crowding also in that market, there may have been other issues. For us, we see these different segments coexist, and we see good opportunity for us to keep growing as more patients get into the fold and also the comfort builds up in terms of prescriber and their ability to see which patients are eligible and how do they manage their condition.

We are seeing a progressive growth despite all generics, and we are expecting that to continue on the same growth trend.

Shyam Srinivasan

Sir, just data point, how was Q4 for the 80 crore? Any direction there?

Achin Gupta

It has been growing month-on-month, it was quite small on IQVIA reflections in Q4 of last year. How much was it?

It has been growing.

Shyam Srinivasan

Got it, sir. Second question is on your cash pile, right?

More than a billion US dollars equivalent, right? What are the ways that we are looking to kind of utilize this cash?

You've already paid a dividend, maybe more is coming, but just want to understand what are some of the capital allocation priorities for that cash pile. See, I think

Ashish Adukia

from what we had mentioned earlier in the last quarter, it remains the same where we've increased our CapEx, which is going towards organic growth. We are focusing a lot on R&D, biosimilar, on organic side.

We're looking at some differentiated portfolio either to acquire or to in-license as well. In-license also requires sometimes upfront to be paid, there is some capital allocation going towards that.

We continue to look at M&A opportunities, both for US for certain differentiated products, but also Europe to develop some of the deep markets. We've been fairly conservative on our approach on these acquisitions, and therefore, you've not seen many.

I think we're constantly deploying small capital towards many such initiatives that I talked about. This will continue, and if we find any large-ish opportunity, of course, we will come back to you.

Shyam Srinivasan

Got it. Just and last housekeeping, again back on the US billion-dollar guidance exit, right?

Should I be looking at it $250 per quarter, or should I be looking at $80 per month? Which would be more the right one to aim for?

I think see,

Ashish Adukia

it depends on the timing of new launches, like Achin said. That's how we should look at the guidance,

Shyam Srinivasan

yeah. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Vivek Agrawal from Citi Group.

Please go ahead.

Vivek Agrawal

Thanks for the opportunity. Just one question on gross margin.

You mentioned that this quarter have been impacted by some higher than expected or normal inventory write-offs. Just want to understand how to look at gross margin trajectory in coming quarters, and if you can also help us understand what can be the right number or approximate number to work with for FY '27 as far as gross margins are concerned.

Thank you.

Achin Gupta

See, this is not a significant impact as it's been seen at. I think the significant impact still remains as the product mix.

Okay. If the product mix remains same, then you can expect this margin to continue.

We anyways looking at always ways and means to improve the margin. It was just more of an explanation around the movements in the margin.

As we go towards quarter three, like typical, our respi mix will increase, and that will help us with the margin even getting better from here.

Ashish Adukia

Just to add to that, also what we'd mentioned was that these new products that you've talked about come with healthy margins, right? Ultimately, what we are making up for in corresponding period last year, they all had high margin.

They'll get substituted as the new pipeline kicks in with good, healthy high margin. Our EBITDA margin guidance is also predicated on the launches and the margin improvement.

Vivek Agrawal

Understood. One question is on Ventolin as well as one peptide product that you classify is a large product.

Two questions related to these two products. One, what kind of the competition you see in these couple of products, let's say, if you are there in the market for next one year?

Second, what kind of the fair market share you are capable of to achieve in these products, let's say, once the products are matured?

Achin Gupta

On Ventolin, right now we have the CGT, we have exclusivity for six months. We're not aware of competition at this point in time.

We will capture all the generic share till the point that competition comes in. After that also, we would not expect it to be highly crowded because of the complexity of this development itself.

Similar case for the peptide as well. We have a very good chance of being the first and potentially being the only one.

Vivek Agrawal

Understood. In these products, is it fair to assume that you can, given that the kind of competitive intents of dynamics that are there at play, you can get, let's say, around 40%, 50% kind of market share once the products are there for the one year?

Achin Gupta

Sorry, could you repeat the question?

Vivek Agrawal

Yeah. Again, just a question around market share.

In these two products, given that you may be for a time being the only player to be there in the market, is it fair to assume that can you take around 40%, 50% kind of market share in these products maybe in the next three, four quarters once these products are there in the market?

Achin Gupta

If we don't see competition, then yes, we can get there. We could even be higher.

Once there is competition, you would have some advantage of being the first, but then over time, it moves to more proportionate kind of or slightly above proportionate kind of market share. If we are the only ones, there are AGs.

There's AG in one of them, but once the pure generic comes, right, we have the ability to get these market shares. We've done that in the past to see albuterol with so many players, we are holding on to a higher than proportionate share as well.

Vivek Agrawal

Understood. Just one last question, if I can squeeze in.

In respiratory, you talked about that two filings are there from US and there's a one out of three products you plan to launch, two are from US. The one filing that you talk about that is only filed from India or contingent on Indore clearance, is that right, sir?

Achin Gupta

We mentioned that that filing is from Goa, it's already audited and it's clear.

Vivek Agrawal

Thank you. That's super.

That's from my side. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Tushar Manudhane with Motilal Oswal Financial Services.

Please go ahead.

Tushar Manudhane

Thanks for the opportunity. Just on this potential peptide product, the launch is subject to or contingent on any litigation or patent expiry, or the product pure simple approval from US FDA?

Achin Gupta

Not really. This is a highly complex product, the launch is mostly a function of overcoming all that complexity, not the other variable that you mentioned.

Tushar Manudhane

Patent expiry is not the constraint per se. This is already off-patent product, is it?

Achin Gupta

That's not the constraint. We can launch as soon as we get approval.

Tushar Manudhane

It is off-patent product.

Diksha Maheshwari

Sorry, Tushar, you are not audible.

Tushar Manudhane

I meant was, is this a off-patent product, or is it something where you have won the litigation and hence approval is pending?

Achin Gupta

No, no. We said we can launch as soon as we get approval.

I think, because we've not disclosed the names of the products, etc., we can't get into that exact detail. We are awaiting approval, and as soon as we get approval, we are ready to launch.

Tushar Manudhane

Understood, sir. Sir, secondly, on the India side, if you could just share the number of MRs and how do we intend to scale up over let's say next one to two years?

Achin Gupta

At this point, we have approximately 12,000 people in the field force. For this year particularly, we're not looking at any significant manpower additions, because we've added in the last two years.

We're looking at more productivity initiatives, and wherever required, we will reorganize to work within the same manpower strength.

Tushar Manudhane

Got it. Sir, just lastly, in terms of IQVIA, [unclear] are you also experiencing the same in the Cipla's acute portfolio?

Achin Gupta

We lost you for a bit. Can you repeat your question?

Tushar Manudhane

Sir, I meant to ask as per IQVIA, in the acute therapies has shown a very strong pickup over last three to five months. Is the same is getting reflected in Cipla's acute portfolio as well?

Achin Gupta

We are in line with the market. As we mentioned, on respiratory, we have a strong beat on the market and also in some of the chronic, but acute we are more or less in line.

Tushar Manudhane

Got it, sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Abdulkader Puranwala with ICICI Securities.

Please go ahead.

Abdulkader Puranwala

Yeah. Hi, sir.

Thank you for the opportunity. My first question is with regards to your billion-dollar revenue guidance.

If I look at your current run rate of say $162 million what you have done for this quarter, what we are basically talking about is close to say an addition of $400-odd million at least to happen with the four new launches. Within that, how should we look at products like Advair, where there is some significant contribution?

Do you still perceive this product to be a $100 $100 million-plus kind of an opportunity now?

Achin Gupta

No, I think that one has three or four competitors now, so that won't be $100 million, but we have across this portfolio and also Ventolin also will ramp up. We see this opportunity across these five products, right?

Ventolin, the three respi and the one peptide. We also have a bunch of other smaller launches, they will also contribute in a small way.

They've started doing that, right? These are not the only products we're launching.

Little bit will come from the others as well, which will add to the steady base. I think a lot of investments over the years have been made into these big-ticket products, this will basically drive the meaningful growth, which will lead us to that billion exit.

Abdulkader Puranwala

Understood. Second one on lanreotide.

Sir, any further development you would like to highlight with the same partner or on the site transfer process, where are we right now?

Achin Gupta

We are following a two-pronged approach as we speak. One is Pharmathen has worked on a lot of remediation at their end as required by the US FDA.

Going back to the FDA at some point and asking them to allow resumption of lanreotide to the US is one path. The other path is enabling another site through tech transfer, which is also happening as we speak, right?

We're choosing a site in the US to reduce the number of variables. Both are running in parallel.

I think timing is a little bit fluid because both have dependence on regulatory approvals. As we get more certainty on this, we will guide towards it, but at this point, we're not including that as part of our FY '27 projections.

Abdulkader Puranwala

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Charul Gaidhani with BofA Securities.

Please go ahead. Charul, you may please proceed ahead with the question.

As no response from Charul, we'll move forward to the next participant. Next question comes from the line of Maulik with 360 ONE Capital.

Please go ahead.

Hi, thank you for the opportunity. Just one question.

As compared to 4Q, our other expenses have broadly come down. What is the reason for this cost control?

Can you highlight something?

Ashish Adukia

It's broadly, if you see, in line with sales growth. Of course, we are taking measures to control costs as well.

It's basically a result of some of those initiatives that we are taking.

Okay. Thank you, sir.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Foram Parekh with Bank of Baroda Capital.

Please go ahead.

Foram Parekh

Thank you for the opportunity. My first question is on EBITDA margin.

Since we are retaining the EBITDA margin [unclear] around 20%. Which is subject to these new launches.

Just wanted to understand, hypothetically, if we get delayed for these launches, what can be the EBITDA margin without lanreotide and new launches? No, see,

Ashish Adukia

I think our effort for the year is to focus on new launches, and with the approvals coming through, based on that, we have budgeted our internal estimates, this 18.5% to 20%. It's based on a plan.

Of course, if there is change in the plan due to any reason, then there can be risk to this margin guidance, including that of new launches what you said.

Foram Parekh

Is there a threshold level beyond which we cannot go? If you can just guide us on the threshold level that we can look at?

Now

Achin Gupta

I think if you see sequentially between Q4 and Q1, you see some improvement over there. The idea is for us to grow all the rest of the base business is doing fine, and that growth also improves our overall profitability because expense base is more or less the same.

Then over Q3 and towards the end of the year with the winter season, those are typically bigger quarters for us. Naturally, there will be some improvement, but we had factored in bigger improvement on account of the new products, right, because that's how particularly the US business that is highly dependent on new product launch.

We've blended it. I think it won't be kind of possible for us to put a floor.

We are aiming for that ballpark, and that target is where we are aiming for, and that's where we would expect to drive the business.

Foram Parekh

Sure, and my second question is on the domestic side. Now our chronic portfolio has reached 60%.

Again here with the growth in Yorpeak and how do we see scaling up of chronic segment? Again, is there a level that we can quantify in next two to three years time?

Achin Gupta

Strategically, we are growing respiratory. That's obviously 1/3 of our total business, and that has chronicity within itself.

Then we are focusing a lot on diabetes, cardiology, urology, dermatology. I think these are the segments that we are specifically focusing on to drive that chronic percentage up.

In each of these, you are seeing in the last quarter market-beating growth, and as we continue that trajectory, we are gaining ranks as well. It will increase as a percentage of our total business.

Like if you see diabetes, we were ranked 30-plus four years back, but today we have a full portfolio from oral antidiabetics to the newest products which are launched and including the GLP. Insulins and inhaled insulins as well.

We've looked at it strategically, you would see that improvement over the coming two, three years in terms of larger share coming from chronic.

Foram Parekh

Sure. If we have to put in a number, can we work out with 65% kind of as a first milestone to achieve for the chronic business within two to three years?

Or that would be a little ambitious? No, but see,

Achin Gupta

I think we are also strong in acute, and that's a base, a large base that sits out there, which will also keep growing, right? The whole focus is that new growth that we are adding from new products, etc., will be oriented towards chronic, and we want to go there and create that momentum.

Of course, you can't ignore the strong acute that is sitting out there.

Foram Parekh

Sure, got it. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Vivek Agrawal with Citi Group.

Please go ahead.

Vivek Agrawal

Thanks for the follow-up question. If you look at EBITDA margin this quarter, right, it's around 16.7%, and margins have fallen even below pre-Revlimid level, right?

Given that company have a stronger India business, 50% of the business come from India, the margin doesn't look great, right? Just want to understand where we are bleeding.

Is it that US business has turned loss-making after we lost the Revlimid sales, or is it that some of the other markets like India or any other market that is where I think there is kind of a dip in margins in the last couple of years? Just want to understand.

Can you help me understand?

Achin Gupta

I think the best way to look at it is, first of all, this is not our steady-state margin profile, right? We should not be comparing it as a steady margin.

The reason why it is low is multiple things which we've been talking about. One, a lot of the operating expenses to launch these new products are already been committed, right?

Those are being incurred, whether it is manpower, facility, everything. The products are just coming through, they've started to come through, you will see a sharp improvement there.

Secondly, as we had mentioned, temporarily there is some impact of war as well which is sitting in the numbers. Now, it's hard to predict how long and that thing, but maybe a 1% to 2% is what we are absorbing at this point in time, right?

I think with these kind of things, right, this is more a transit phase for Cipla, and our expectation is, with the new products, with the facilities getting utilized, with eventually the war situation will go away, and we are also working on a lot of cost optimization and productivity initiatives at our end, we will see a gradual improvement in the margins in the coming quarters, right? Sequentially, that's what we will drive.

Vivek Agrawal

Understood. When you talk about that launch-related expense, right, it the product like Yorpeak that is where you have spent significant amount of money, or it's even in the US you are building up the launch-related expense even for some of the major products that you are talking about?

Achin Gupta

Most of the margin is on account of the US products and launches, because we have facilities which are there, which are staffed up, taking batches, ready to launch products, but the revenue you're not seeing yet, right, because of the approvals. Even on R&D, if you see, we have slightly increased the investments, right?

We're looking at this in a way that we can build sustainable growth in the business and a profitable growth in the business. Right now, what you saw last quarter and this quarter is not our steady state, is the point that we're trying to make.

Vivek Agrawal

Understood. Just lastly, if I try to look at, let's say, a 22%, 23% kind of EBITDA margin, when you can reach at that level?

Maybe FY '28 or '29, what would be the right timeframe?

Achin Gupta

I think right now, we would refrain from providing a guidance for next year. I think direction for us is, and we recognize that the current margin level is below our steady state, we will improve it, and we've already mentioned 18.5% to 20% as the guidance for this year.

You can expect improvements in the coming quarters.

Vivek Agrawal

Perfect. Thanks.

Best of luck.

Operator

Thank you so much. Ladies and gentlemen, due to the time constraint, that was the last question for today.

I now hand the conference over to Ms. Diksha Maheshwari, Head Investor Relations, thank for the closing remarks.

Thank you and over to you, Diksha.

Diksha Maheshwari

Thank you, everyone, for joining in. If you have any further questions, please direct it to [email protected].

Thank you.

Achin Gupta

Thank you.

Ashish Adukia

Thank you. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you, team. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of Cipla Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.