Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Five-Star Business Finance Q1 FY '27 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.
Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sanket Chheda from DAM Capital.
Thank you, and over to you, Mr. Chheda.
Sanket Chheda
Hi. Very good morning to all of you.
Welcome to Five-Star Q1 earnings call. We will have with us the entire management team today.
Mr. Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan, who is the Chairman and Managing Director; then we have Mr.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan, who is the Joint MD and CFO; and Mr. Prashanth Srinivas, the Chief of Strategy and Investor Relations.
Without further ado, I'll hand the call over to Lakshmipathy sir for his opening remarks, and then we will follow that up with question-and-answers. Over to you, sir.
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Thank you. Let me welcome you all for this Q1 earnings call, Financial Year 2027.
At the onset of strong momentum, I feel delighted to present the performance of Five-Star Business Finance for the quarter ended June 2026. The quarter panned out in line with our expectations, which vindicated the actions we took to overcome the challenges we faced.
The most heartening facet of this quarter is the strong traction in disbursements that we have achieved. We clocked our historical best in disbursement with quarterly disbursements coming in at 1,496 crores, a growth of 23% over the previous quarter and 16% over the previous year.
We ended the quarter with a AUM of 13,722 crores, which is a sequential growth of 4% for the quarter. This clearly shows that Five-Star is on the growth trajectory, and at this pace of quarterly growth, we should be able to achieve our full year growth guidance very comfortably.
Collections continues to remain robust despite being the seasonally soft quarter. For the quarter ended June 30, 2026, we clocked a unique customer collection efficiency of 97.9% versus 98.1% last quarter, with our X bucket collections coming in at 99.2% versus 99.3% in previous quarter.
On the result of this, our current book continues to improve and stood at 83.30% as compared to 82.69% as of previous quarter. We also saw a good improvement in our 30+ book, which reduced to 12.38% as compared to 12.69% in the previous quarter.
With our strong collections, we should see asset quality metrics consistently improving in the quarters to come. Our slippages remained flat at 0.70% compared to the previous quarter, and despite the seasonally soft nature of this quarter, our credit cost dropped sequentially to 1.85% for Q1 Financial Year '27 from 1.88% for the Q4 Financial Year '26.
On the borrowing front, our all-inclusive cost was at 8.33% despite not so favorable liquidity conditions. This has also helped bring down our cost of fund on the book from 8.95% for Q4 to 8.80% for the Q1 this year.
Not only did this ensure our spreads to remain intact despite drop in our yields in last October 2024, but this also shows the strength of our franchise from the perspective of external stakeholders. On the whole, it has been a great and satisfying quarter for Five-Star and sets the platform for the company to achieve a strong trajectory across the facets of growth, profitability, and quality in the quarters to come.
I also want to take this opportunity to state that notwithstanding whatever has been happening over the last year or so, both external and internal, Five-Star has been able to demonstrate very strong numbers across various metrics. This clearly shows the strength of the institution that we have built and reestablishes the fact that we are not a institution that is dependent on few individuals.
The individuals may come and go, but the institution will go on forever. On this positive note, now I would like to hand over to Srikanth.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
A very good morning to all of you. Mr.
Pathy has outlined a lot of metrics that really gave us tremendous encouragement for us during this quarter, and it has been a very, very encouraging quarter for all of us. During this quarter, one other milestone that we crossed is to achieve 500,000 active loan customers as on 30th June, which is a very significant milestone in the journey of the company.
From a branch perspective, we continue to keep adding branches primarily in the newer states. We added about 12 branches during this quarter, largely coming in from the state of Maharashtra, and ended June with about 856 branches, which is a very strong infrastructure that we can build upon in the quarters to come towards achieving our growth targets.
Our yields continue to remain consistent in line with the drop in yields that we did about couple of years back. You will see about 10, 15 basis points of reduction in yields on a quarterly basis.
There was a 12 basis points drop in our yields. However, this was more than compensated by the drop in the average cost of funds, which dropped by about 15 basis points, resulting in a spread of 3 basis points higher compared to the last quarter.
The NIM continues to be flat. We had achieved an ROA of about 8.11% for the current quarter, ROE of close to 14.5%.
From a collections perspective, two metrics stand out. Mr.
Pathy had already outlined this in his opening remarks, but I just want to reiterate the fact that achieving a 60 basis points drop in the 1+ number and achieving a 30 basis points drop in the 30+ number, especially in a softer quarter like Q1, shows that we are completely back on collections, and the collections is on a very strong trajectory. Our provision coverage on the Stage 3 book continues to remain healthy at over 40%, and on the overall AUM, we are close to about 1.8% of provision coverage.
On the profitability side, we ended the quarter with about 271 crores of PAT, and our net worth as of 30th June stands at about 7,653 crores. As we said, it has been a very strong quarter for us.
After four quarters of some challenges that we faced, this quarter has been immensely satisfying, and we are extremely confident in our mind that we will be able to achieve all the guidances that we gave you comfortably in the quarters to come. On that strong note, we would like to take any questions that any of you may have.
Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on your touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.
Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.
The first question comes from the line of Renish from ICICI. Please go ahead.
Renish Bhuva
Yeah. Hi, sirs, and congrats on a good set of numbers.
Just two things, sir. First on the opex front, right?
I understand we have been doing process restructuring and making investment towards setting up collection etc. Just wanted to understand what will be the new steady-state cost-to-asset for us, right?
Historically we used to operate it around 5-odd-percent, which is now running at almost 6%. When do you see operating leverage kicking in and ultimately where does cost-to-asset settling in over next five to six quarters?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Renish, this was a point that we had addressed just even in the earlier calls as well. This year, given various conditions around us, especially with few other competitors coming in, we have to be a little more competitive from a employee compensation perspective.
To that extent, we are not guiding the market for any strong operating leverage to kick in. Whatever operating leverage kicks in will possibly be taken up by the increased expenses that we'll have to incur.
The opex for this year will largely stay flat as compared to last year. From next year onwards, certainly you will see operating leverage starting to kick in.
From the perspective of total assets, like you rightly said, we are at about 6%. I think we will stay at around 5.75% to 6% for this year.
In a steady-state, this number should drop somewhere close to about 5.25%
Renish Bhuva
to
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
5.5%. That will happen more 5.25% to 5.5% in a steady-state scenario, but that will happen more from FY '28 onwards and not during this financial year.
Renish Bhuva
Got it. No, this is very helpful.
Second, on the asset yield part, right? Do you feel as of Q1 the large part of asset repricing at lower rate is over?
Maybe going ahead, the yield contraction will be limited to incremental growth?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
That's right, Renish. The large part of the contraction has already happened.
In fact, for Q1, if you look at it, we are at less than 22.5%. Today we are onboarding loans at close to 22.5%, and given some adjustments for the NPA interest reversals, this number should largely settle around the 22.25% is our thought.
Maybe you will see this contraction of another 10, 15 basis points for the next couple of quarters. Should settle somewhere around the 22.25% levels.
Renish Bhuva
Okay. Just last thing, what is the lending rate as of now?
It's 21.5%?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
No. We are onboarding customers at an average of closer to 22.5%.
The range is between 21.5% to 23%, but the average yield on disbursements will largely come in at around 22.5%.
Renish Bhuva
22.5%.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Yeah. Then
Renish Bhuva
why should yield go down if the disbursement yields are at par with your Q1 yields?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Interest reversals on NPAs, Renish.
Renish Bhuva
Okay. That's the only thing.
Got it. Thank you, Srikanth, and best of luck, sir.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Viral Shah with IIFL Capital.
Please go ahead.
Viral Shah
Yeah. Thanks for the opportunity and congrats on good set of numbers.
My first question is just a follow-up on the previous question. Srikanth, you mentioned the yield compression largely being coming from, say, the interest income reversal.
What is the extent of further flow-throughs that you expect in the Stage 3 over the next couple of quarters?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
The slippages should start trending down, Viral. Given the seasonally soft nature of the quarter, we saw the slippages to be flat, but I think you will start seeing slippages coming down in the quarters.
Our recoveries are also actually going up. In fact, during this quarter between write-off and NPA settlements, we clocked a recovery of about 35 crores as compared to about 26, 27 crores of last quarter.
You will also see a pick up in recoveries in the quarters to come. From that perspective, I think you will see slippages coming down and NPAs also starting to trend down in the quarters to come.
Viral Shah
Got it. Srikanth, just to clarify, we do not as of now resort to an ARC sale, right?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
No, we do not resort to any ARC sale. The second point is, our credit cost is also reflected at gross level, which means we are not netting off the recoveries that we are getting on written-off loans on our credit cost.
We are actually showing it as other income in the top line. These two aspects need to be kept in mind because there are divergent practices in the market.
Viral Shah
Got it. Srikanth, my second question is basically with regards to Sorry?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
No, go ahead. Sorry.
Yeah.
Viral Shah
My second question is with regards to the asset quality stress. Over the weekend, we have comments from some other player.
Can you just delve deeper into if at all there are any asset quality stress that you are seeing in your portfolio or in the market? Also, whether this is in the early buckets or this is more of a flow-through into the, say, harder buckets or an NPA of the existing overdue accounts?
Also, whether if you can give some sense of what is the rollback rates in the early delinquent bucket accounts?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
From asset quality perspective, I'll ask Srikanth to check the rollback. I don't know whether he has the data on his hand, but let me take up the first point.
On the asset quality front, we see very comfortable collections going forward. I'm not seeing this quarter alone.
For last seven months or eight months in Five-Star, our collections trends are going up. That clearly indicates the cash flows of our customers are intact.
I want everyone to keep two things in mind: one is on the energy cost, which has gone up, which may even go up; second is on the liquidity front, what the regulator is going to take a call on the price hike. These two things have to be kept in mind.
At current circumstance, we see no issues from a collections perspective. As Srikanth said, the slippages, the credit cost, and NPLs will start trending downwards for quarters to come.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Viral, on the rollback-- On the rollback, generally, we see at least about 4% to 5% of rollbacks happening in the softer buckets. By that, we mean about the 31 to 60 and the 1 to 30 bucket, and about 2% to 3% happening on the 61 to 90-day bucket.
Ours is more of a stabilization journey rather than too much on the rollback, because these are not customers who can pay multiple installments in a month and roll their account back. Which is why the collection efficiency or the unique customer collection efficiency becomes extremely important, where you're holding them in the same bucket and controlling flows rather than allowing for flows and then rolling back the customers.
Viral Shah
Got it. Makes sense.
Thanks a lot, and all the best.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Abhijit Tibrewal with Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited.
Please go ahead.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Good morning, sirs, and thank you for taking my question. Just to take that discussion forward, sir, on asset quality, just looking at the net slippage number, largely stable or in percentage terms as a minor improvement sequentially.
Now, the only thing I'm trying to understand here is that in the past, you have admitted that a large part of the stress that you've seen was actually spillover from microfinance, where we also had overlap with microfinance customers. Now that in microfinance, we are very clearly seeing an upcycle, where asset quality is fast normalized, credit costs have normalized.
How many more quarters do you see from here where slippages start coming down? Maybe what would be a normalized slippage number when a few quarters down the line things have normalized?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
As I said in last call, same thing I'll repeat. Definitely our collections are standing by not in few months, in few quarters we're able to see our collections front going up pre-crisis level.
That is why when we started our growth engine to come back. We're very clear that collections are more important than growth.
We come from that conservative background. Before kick-starting the growth, we wanted to ensure the collections are back and back with a steady set of numbers for a little longer period of time.
Having said this, on the asset quality, I said that coming quarters, especially in September, December, and March for this financial year, you see all these three numbers trending down: slippages, credit cost, and NPLs. The guidance what we have given for the credit cost for this financial year, the credit cost will be in somewhere between 1.7% to 1.9%, but already the trend is lower than what we have said in the higher side.
You see the trend goes towards 1.7% more likely in the quarters to come.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Abhijit, we had also clearly guided you on the gross NPAs, which will fall to sub-3%. That will be on account of obvious drop in slippages, which should start trending down.
We would also like to see one or two quarters of how the slippages trend before giving you a number that we can maintain in the steady state. Right now, our guidances are on the credit cost and on the NPA side.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Got it. That is useful.
Sir, the other is, sir, on the business momentum that you've seen this quarter, right? Disbursements obviously reached a record level in this quarter, and I think from here, from our commentary also, I could make out that the quarterly growth should keep improving from here.
I was just trying to understand if you could break down what are the key drivers of this acceleration? Basically, how much is coming from stronger demand versus, let's say, higher approval rates, branch productivity, or any geographic expansion that is planned?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Abhijit, the first point to keep in mind is there is no dearth of demand in this segment, which is something that we have been consistently reiterating. The demand was always there.
Given the challenges that the company faced over the last three to four quarters, we had consciously put in certain measures which possibly had a little bit of an impact on the approval rates and consciously slowed down on disbursements because as a company, we take a very conservative stance that asset quality comes first followed by growth. It is extremely important for us to put some of the challenges that we faced in order before resorting to growth.
Demand was never a problem. The split of verticals between business and collections has also led to significant increase in productivity, because the same person was doing both business and collections in the past.
If there is some level of stressed accounts that the person is managing, it also shows up negatively on the disbursements that to the concerned employee or the branch can do. Now that is completely addressed because you have a separate team with the requisite expertise who are doing the collections on difficult accounts, which frees up a lot of space for the business people to focus only on bringing incremental logins and incremental business.
The lead indicators that we are seeing are very strong traction in logins, very strong traction in business. When we mean business, we talk about sanctions converting into MODs, which will eventually convert into disbursements.
These are some actions that we have taken which has led to significant increase in productivity, and we are very confident that this will continue to sustain or keep going up in the quarters to come.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Got it, Srikanth, sir. Just one last question.
While you've already spoken about yields, that maybe for the next couple of quarters, there could be anywhere between 10 to 15 basis points compression in yields. What's the view on the cost of borrowings?
Seen that keep in improve for the last four, four, five quarters now. What's the view on cost of borrowings from here?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
The incremental cost, Abhijit, will probably stay somewhere around the 8.5% levels, because we also have one more tranche that we need to avail from ADB. We'll have to time it right because that's an ECB and there is an impact of hedging cost that hits there.
ADB being ADB, we can't afford not to take that money. My sense is, our incremental cost of borrowing should be somewhere around the 8.5% levels, which means we still have another 20, 30 basis points of compression that can come in the borrowings over the period.
All this predicated on the fact that there will be no repo rate increases. If there is a repo rate increase, then that will definitely impact the cost of borrowings in a negative manner.
It's a very evolving situation, but at this point of time, we feel confident that the cost of borrowing should at least trend down by another 10, 15 basis points for the year.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Got it. That is very useful.
Thank you for answering all my questions, and I wish you and your team the very best. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Chandrasekhar Sridhar with Fidelity International.
Please go ahead.
Chandrasekhar Sridhar
Hey. Good morning.
I had a few questions. Have you done a check again on the customer base scrub to see the extent of leveraging maybe at any time now versus what we had done in the past, since we had done it?
Any updates which you could share if you've done on that? The context I'm trying to understand also around this is that what your thoughts are around, obviously, gold loans have grown up substantially large, nearly 20 lakh crores.
Is there a possibility that given the overlap of our customers with gold loan and MFI, that some of the customers could be using the gold loans to repay us and showing up in the better quality?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Chandra, on the gold loan front, see, generally gold loan is fully secured, we don't have to worry about gold loans from a repayment perspective, from collections perspective. The point what you said, the gold loans or smaller loans, that gets translated into repayment of other NBFCs or banks.
See, this generally happens. It's a seasonal quarter for this.
This happens if the cash flow of the customer temporarily goes for a halt, he uses a small loans like around 50,000 or sub-1 lakh either from personal loan or microfinance or gold to take up the cash flows what was been dipped. That's a phenomena that we have to live with, and we'll see across all quarters.
On the scrub part, see, from our underwriting, we always keep this saying that we don't have any control that customers' overleveraged can again kick in. We are very conscious, and we have taken all measures in last 12 months.
Little was bit slow from market perspective, but from our perspective, we have taken all measures to face the next overleverage crisis that may hit whenever it wants to hit. From that perspective, we are very strong to face the next overleverage crisis.
We can't control the customers as long as the lenders are obedient in enough or disciplined enough to have the guardrails what their associations have been put in place. From our side, we see the leverages what we used to see a year back as trending lower, either through write-offs what they have done or either through the strict guardrails what they follow.
We see the leverages coming down. The gold loans keep going up.
That's the trend that I can share with you all, saying that loans other than gold is coming down from our customers, but gold loan as a trend is going up. Maybe the value would have also added to that.
Srikanth?
Chandrasekhar Sridhar
Yes, so-- I'm just trying to understand whether it helps. It maybe helps on a quarterly basis, as you say.
Typically, you do find that, but just is that masking maybe the underlying maybe things have not improved as much, but sort of getting masked because of the value of the gold loans going up? Just trying to get some sense around that.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Chandra, not in the last six months or so, because all of us know that the gold price corrections have been happening in the last six months. If you had told this last year, we would have probably agreed with you, because the growth in gold loans is significantly higher because of the prices.
In the last six months, it's more correction, while gold loans are still growing, but not at the pace that they were growing maybe prior to six months back. I do tend to agree that, to some extent, what you're saying is right, and that will be largely a behavioral trend across not just in the last 12, 18 months, but anytime you will see that temporary cash flows are being addressed through microfinance and gold loans.
I would say in the last couple of quarters, we are definitely seeing that the guardrails that microfinance companies have implemented has brought down the proportion of overlap in microfinance lower. I think the number, while we have not done it for this quarter, but it trended down from about 20%, 21% to about 16%, 17%.
On the gold loans also, given the correction in prices, it's not that people are borrowing big in gold loans to repay us. What we are also seeing is, and the other point I think to keep in mind is, we have always maintained that the cash flows of these customers were never a problem, even in the last 12, 18 months.
It was more the behavior which got a little bit impacted because of write-offs being done by unsecured lenders, and we had to correct the behavior. Today what we believe is that the cash flows have largely remained flat, while they may not have shown too much of improvement, but there is adequate cash flow in the hands of the borrowers to repay the secured lenders.
Chandrasekhar Sridhar
Understood. Maybe a couple of more questions which I had.
One is that just around thoughts around ticket sizes has been obviously slight push up, one because of inflation and one sort of consciously, but how do you just think about that on the medium term? That's one.
Second, thoughts on any diversification sort of broad sense, maybe over the next one or two years, on what you're thinking of.
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Chandra, on the second point on multiple product, I've been talking with all investors for long time. We are very clearly thinking two, three products.
Out of that, one product which we wanted to go first, maybe in next three months or six months, we will definitely get into one of the products, because one of the learnings that what we have learned in this crisis is not to be in a single product. However the depth is there for the growth in this product, a single product is not going to help you during the crisis time.
Keeping that in mind and board's emphasizes on multi-product, we're also thinking to get into one more product. At the appropriate time, we'll come to the investors and explain what is that product and what is the rationale for that product.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Chandra, on the ticket sizes, like you rightly said, it's a combination of inflation and some bit of conscious movement to move towards slightly higher ticket sizes. As we have been guiding in the past, we definitely want to operate at 25-50-20, which will be 25% at around 3 lakh ticket size, and 50% around the 5 lakh ticket size, and the other 25% closer to the 10 lakh ticket size.
That's the kind of mix that we would be comfortable with, and we have been taking steps which is getting reflected in the portfolio mix.
Chandrasekhar Sridhar
Sure. I don't know, could I squeeze in one more question?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Yeah. Sure.
Chandrasekhar Sridhar
Yeah. Just lastly, I think had conversations with around the spreads.
It seems aside from the interest reversal on the NPLs and which should sort of start stabilizing, it seems that 12 months out your spreads should be, leave aside policy, but, if assuming policy is where is, we should see spreads where they are today, because sort of the gap between you still have about 30 bps left on the incremental cost of funds.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
That's right, Chandra. Spreads should largely remain flat to current levels for the next few quarters, assuming no policy actions.
Chandrasekhar Sridhar
All right. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. A reminder to all the participants that you may press star and one to ask a question.
Next question comes from the line of Raghav Garg with Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.
Raghav Garg
Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.
I have a few questions. One, your repayment rates have gone up.
That's one question, why have they gone up? Then a follow-up question to that is that when I look at the duration mix of the book, the share of three to five-year loans is going up.
At the same time, your repayment rates have also gone up. I was just trying to reconcile as to how to reconcile these two things.
Those are my two questions, and then I have another question.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Raghav, the repayment rates have gone up primarily due to stronger collections as well. If you're actually comparing against the last 12 months, the repayments were low because, obviously, the collection efficiencies were more around the 96%, 97% levels.
The point is, with the collections becoming stronger, that will see slight increases. On the other side, I think the repeat customers who are actually coming, we had a policy where any kind of customer, even if it's the best customer in Five-Star with zero DPD for any of the other institutions, we were actually asking the customer to prepay their entire loan before we can sanction a fresh loan, which was becoming very difficult for the customers.
They were actually going out to the other NBFCs, which increased the repayments. We have made some policy changes, stricter policy changes, where at least the best customers, we will not ask them to repay their existing loan, but we'll give the top-up on top of it.
That is something which should start helping us from a repayment rate perspective going forward. Having said that, I think while the number currently is at about 30% or closer to 30%, Raghav, this number should largely trend somewhere around 27%, 28% in a normal sense.
That's why we say our behavioral loan tenor will be somewhere around four, four and a half years.
Raghav Garg
Understood. That's helpful.
The other question is that, like I mentioned, the share of three to five-year loans has been going up for you, and at the same time, the share of less than one-year is coming down. Theoretically speaking, does this help you in terms of increasing the overall book IRR from an accounting perspective, because the share of the longer-term loans is going up?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
I just want to understand where you're deriving this data from, Raghav.
Raghav Garg
You mentioned the AUM by loan duration in your presentation deck.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
The vintage you're talking about, right?
Raghav Garg
Correct. Yes.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
See, the vintage will obviously go up, because as we keep putting more and more new loans and the loans start getting seasoned. This has nothing to do with less than one-year loans.
This is more the vintage on the book. This is not the tenure of the disbursements that we do.
Raghav Garg
Of course. This is the tenor of the outstanding book, correct?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Correct. The higher the disbursements, the momentum in disbursements pick up, you will see increase in less than one-year portfolio, because every quarter we are disbursing so much, right?
This quarter we disbursed close to 1,500 crores, which will come up in the less than one-year book. Most of our loans, I would say almost 85%, 90% of our loans are disbursed for a tenure of seven years.
Raghav Garg
Understood. Sure.
That's all from my side, Srikanth. Thanks.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Rajiv Mehta with YES Securities.
Please go ahead.
Rajiv Mehta
Hi. Good morning.
Congratulations on good numbers. My first question is, how should we look at write-offs trend in the coming quarters?
What is the nature of the write-off? Is it given by policy or is it given by your discretion on certain customer profile or collateral profile?
Because see, Stage 3 mostly likely will keep on going up because there is a net slippage happening. Should we assume that even the write-off will keep increasing in the same proportion?
Or there can be a scenario wherein the write-off will stabilize or will start to normalize a bit?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Rajiv, for this year, we had already provided the guidance. We should be seeing write-offs for the full year at somewhere around 225 to 250 crores, which is largely the run rate that we did in the first quarter.
We did about 60 crores of write-offs in the first quarter.
Rajiv Mehta
Correct.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
You should see that number largely remaining flat for the rest of the quarters as well. Don't assume too much of benefit coming in the write-offs for this year, because there is also a good amount of portfolio in the 61 to 90-day bucket.
There will be slippages. Typically, these write-offs are done purely for two reasons: one is from a tax perspective, it gives us the benefit; the second is in terms of showing the appropriate level of NPAs on the book.
These are only technical write-offs. There is no question around the recoverability of these write-offs.
Like I said a few minutes back also, we are continuing to show good amount of recoveries in our write-off. For example, this quarter, we recovered about 7, 8 crores on the write-offs.
We will definitely get back these moneys. From a tax and the appropriate level of GNPA positioning perspective, we'll continue to keep taking write-offs.
What it will be in the steady state, Rajiv, we'll probably come back to you after two to three quarters, because we also want to see how the good collections in the softer buckets are holding up and what is the impact of that on the portfolio. Now if you start seeing flows decreasing and our softer buckets showing better trends, then eventually this write-off should start trending down at least in the coming years.
Rajiv Mehta
Srikanth, your guidance of credit cost, which is 1.7% to 1.8% for the whole year, does it build in any building back of coverage on Stage 1 and Stage 2? Because we have drawn down the coverage in the last four, five quarters.
When I look at the fresh flow rates, they have completely normalized. They've significantly normalized now.
At least the provisioning from a fresh flow rate point of view is coming down. Write-off will stabilize.
Then if you're still guiding for a 1.7% to 1.8% credit cost, are you trying to also imply that you'll build back coverage in Stage 1 and Stage 2, which is currently low?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
I'll answer it slightly differently. We will endeavor to maintain an overall coverage of 1.75% to 1.8% on the book, Rajiv, whether it's a combination of pushing up the Stage 1, Stage 2 coverage, or pushing up the Stage 3 coverage.
I think that's a call that the company will take depending on how the portfolio mix looks. Definitely we will ensure that we maintain our overall coverage on the book at around 1.75% to 1.8%.
Rajiv Mehta
If the current flow trends were to hold and once the write-offs stabilize, FY '28 obviously should be a much better credit cost year for us?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Yes. Whatever guidance we gave you is for the current year.
In fact, we spoke last time also. From FY '28 onwards, it won't be that 1.7%, 1.9% levels.
Even the highest range will be 1.7%, possibly around 1.6% to 1.7%.
Rajiv Mehta
Okay. When you say that the disbursements are now improving and the asset growth is improving, this is without changing any credit filters or credit policies on the ground, right?
It is purely driven by the fact that the business people are sourcing much better and with the same level of credit vigilance?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Absolutely. It's improvement in productivity, but no impact on quality.
Rajiv Mehta
Understood. Thank you and best of
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
luck. Yes.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Kunal Shah with Citi Group.
Please go ahead.
Kunal Shah
Yeah. Thanks for taking the question.
Firstly, when we look at it overall in terms of the trends in 1+ and 30+, looking at the collection efficiency wherein we are, and as you mentioned, maybe there is no change in the credit filters, how should we see this overall settling? In terms of your credit cost guidance, this is more in terms of controlling the forward flow once it gets into the 1 or 30-day bucket, or maybe just preventing the flows itself into this segment?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Kunal, the first point is it's preventing flows into this segment, because that is where we are focusing very sharply on the current book, and you see our current book collections coming in at upwards of 99% consistently for the last few quarters. The clear thought process of the company is, how do we control the flows right from the start rather than allowing the flows to happen and controlling it in the bucket?
Controlling a flow from a current bucket is a lot easier than controlling a flow from a 1 to 30 bucket. Very clearly, the thought process is, how do we keep our current book more robust and how do we keep our 30+ more robust?
We had sort of given a guidance last time. I think we expect our current book to be about 85% by the end of this year.
It's currently at about 83.3%. You will also start seeing the 30+ come down less than 12%.
Kunal Shah
That I agree, maybe from a near-term perspective. Maybe as the entire portfolio matures, where do ideally maybe with this 99.2% standard bucket collection efficiency, where should we see this number settling?
Maybe this 15-odd-percent and 12-odd-percent two, three years down the line, where does it settle down with maybe the better underwriting which we are doing it currently?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
The thumb rule that we're working on, Kunal, is about around 90% to 91% of Stage 1 assets, which will be somewhere around, let's say, 87%, 88% of current and about 3%, 4% of 1 to 30. Stage 1 somewhere around 91%, 92% 91% or so; Stage 2 hovering somewhere around 6% to 7%, which will be a combination of maybe 3, 3 or 3.5, 3.5 in the 31 to 60 and 61 to 90-day bucket; and NPAs at sub-3%.
In a steady state, if you're talking that we are guiding you for an NPA of around 2.5% or so, I would largely put it as: Stage 1 somewhere around 91%, 92%; Stage 2 somewhere around 6% to 7%; Stage 3 somewhere around 2.5%. That should be the sustainable business model at least for the short to medium term.
Kunal Shah
Perfect. That helps.
Secondly, on the employee side, is it more like just the retention and the upgrading of the structure which has happened, or there is ESOP component to it and that would be more of a one-off because you are now indicating in terms of the operating leverage not much to come through, and we have seen employee cost going up quite significantly. This is purely the rebase of the existing structure?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
That's right, Kunal. See, these are people at the branch level who could be branch managers and supervisors.
To them, ESOPs are not the most attractive. I'm not talking about the senior supervisors, but even the mid-level supervisors.
ESOPs are not the most attractive form of compensation. This will be more like realigning, revising their salaries, giving them slightly better incentives for the performance, which will push up the cost.
Nothing to do with ESOPs.
Kunal Shah
In terms of the attrition, how it is helping us to bring it down, if you can just give an example? Maybe given that now we are rebasing this or maybe providing more incentives, how has the attrition behaved?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Too early to say, Kunal. As of now, it's largely flat to what it was.
Our belief is, I think once we start seeing more quarters where people start doing business, the excitement starts coming in, I think the retention will be a lot higher and the attrition should start going down. Possibly we can give you some trends maybe two, three quarters down the line.
Kunal Shah
Got it. On overhead cost, would there be also an element of investments which will again lead to not much of an operating leverage out there?
Or maybe the only thing is maybe the overhead benefit is getting offset by the employee cost increase, which will be there?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
It's primarily employee cost, Kunal. I don't think we are expecting to put too many branches this year.
We'll continue our normal run rate of about 50, 60 branches. It's not like the overheads are going to push up the cost.
It's primarily on the personnel expenses.
Kunal Shah
Personnel expenses. Got it.
Thanks. That answers the question.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Aditya Miglani with Berman Capital.
Please go ahead.
Hi, team. Congratulations on the good results and momentum.
My question was regarding the repayment rates, but that has already been asked, thank you.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
We can move to the next one.
Operator
Mr. Miglani, please go ahead.
No, no,
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
no. His question has already been answered, please move to the next one.
Operator
All right. Just give me a moment.
The next question comes from the line of Nischint with Kotak. Please go ahead.
Nischint Chawathe
Thanks for taking my question. Maybe if you could just reiterate a bit on the expense side.
What kind of an expense growth are we looking at this year? Would it kind of track what we saw in the first quarter or would it kind of accelerate from here on?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
On a year-on-year basis, Nischint, I think it'll largely track what you saw in the first quarter. We're expecting somewhere around 20% to 21% growth compared to last year numbers.
We are not expecting anything abnormally from here onwards, because some of it has already been built in in the first quarter in the form of increments and appraisals and all that. Largely in line with the Y-o-Y trend that you have seen in this quarter.
Nischint Chawathe
Sure. Just the closing line that Mr.
Pathy made about employees sort of being volatile or coming in and going, anything kind of specific happening out here?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Nischint, nothing specific. I just wanted to give confidence to the market and to the shareholders that Five-Star is not a institution depending on few individuals, but it's depending on its 15,000 employees, which will show the strength.
That's what we have communicated through results also. Nothing specific.
Nischint Chawathe
Got it. That's very clear.
Just one last clarification. The write-off of 60 crores for the quarter is something that you'll probably expect to continue for the rest of the year.
From a coverage point of view, probably ECL coverage can remain at these levels. I think that's what we are saying, right?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Largely yes, Nischint. At an overall level, ECL coverage will remain at around the 1.75% to 1.8% levels, and write-offs also largely remain stable at around the 55 to 60 crores every quarter.
Nischint Chawathe
Got it. Thank you.
The 20% loan growth guidance stays, right?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Absolutely.
Nischint Chawathe
Perfect. Thank you very much, and all the best.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Divyansh Gupta with Latent PMS.
Please go ahead.
Divyansh Gupta
Hi, sir. Two questions on the liability side.
If I look at the absolute amount of debt, debt has gone down from March. Two questions: how to read into this, and second is that while the, let's say, the cost of debt is lower, it's because we are being very choosy and, let's say, optimizing on a P&L.
As you want to lever up the balance sheet, what should we expect as a more realistic cost of fund?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Divyansh, I think both the questions are related. We are obviously being choosy currently given our focus on the cost of funds.
At the same time, if we want to lever up the balance sheet, we have adequate lines available where we can push and get. That's why we are not even guiding you for an 8.3% incremental cost.
We are guiding you for an 8.5% incremental cost. That is something that will come in because of our intention to lever up the balance sheet as and when we need.
This quarter this was sufficient because we also took quite a bit of moneys in the last quarter. For example, last quarter we raised almost close to 1,000 crores, and that liquidity was sitting on the balance sheet.
Typically, Q1 tends to be a little muted from a additional borrowing perspective. Banks are also waiting for the results to be announced.
It takes a little bit of time for them to get their necessary limits in place, whatever their strategies are. Which is why we took about 450 crores.
We're still holding close to 1,850 crores on the balance sheet. It's still a sizable number.
The focus of the company will clearly be to ensure appropriate cost of funds, but at the same time, we will not compromise on the growth. We are very confident from a debt perspective, ability to raise whatever quantums we need at the right cost of funds, but please bake in an 8.5% incremental cost of funds going forward, not the current levels.
Divyansh Gupta
Understood. The second question was that, let's say, when we started reducing the rates, our, let's say, hypothesis or, let's say, target was that we will leverage the balance sheet so that ROE does not get hit.
While I understand all that happened in the last, let's say, year or so, when can we realistically expect that we will hit a debt-to-equity of 2, and what timeline are we thinking around for it?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
See, debt-to-equity of 2 will take a little bit of time. I would probably think it's in the medium term, maybe another six to eight quarters from here onwards, because it depends on the growth that we are looking at in the current product and also the newer product diversification we're thinking about, how that pans out over the next few quarters.
You also need to keep in mind that we add almost 1,100, 1,200 crores of PAT every year to the net worth. From that perspective, it's also going to be a little bit of a challenge.
I would probably think definitely not before another eight quarters, six, eight quarters.
Divyansh Gupta
Understood. The next question was on the new product that you have mentioned.
We had already started something in housing. This is then going to be third product, or the product is just a better variant of housing that we launched earlier?
No, see
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
the housing product what we have launched two quarters down the line, we were not much focusing on that because we want our micro LAP to bounce back to the pre-crisis level, which you have started to see in the disbursement and that will show a good numbers going forward. Once the existing product is set in tone, then we wanted to get into the housing product what we already launched to our similar profile of customers.
What we are talking now is apart from that.
Divyansh Gupta
Got it. Understood.
The last question is that we used to give our overall collection efficiency, which, let's say, in the last quarter and for this quarter, if you can tell.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
I think please connect with our IR team separately on some of these data-related questions, Divyansh.
Divyansh Gupta
Sure. Thank you, and all the best.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Chirag Fialoke with MS Capital.
Please go ahead.
Chirag Fialoke
Hi. Thank you for the opportunity.
Congratulations, team, on executing what you had laid out a couple of quarters back. Grateful for the opportunity.
Srikanth, just one question on the new customer addition. That quantum has been more in the 6,500, 4,000 kind of range, and then effectively, if one just does back-of-the-envelope math, it seems like the incremental disbursements are more in the average 5 to 7 lakh kind of range.
Is that where it is today, and do you think that this is just a transitory phase and it will normalize back to more 5 lakh kind of range? Or is it now more going to be incrementally in the 7 lakh average disbursement range?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Chirag, it's not at 7 lakhs. The average ticket size is somewhere close to around 5 lakhs, 4.5 to 5 lakhs.
It will largely stay there. The intent is not to keep adding smaller and smaller customers, but to keep adding the right kind of customers who will be good from a NACH perspective, who will be good from a repayment perspective, who will be good from a flow perspective.
Our ticket sizes for this year should largely hover around an average ticket size for the quarter of about 5 lakhs or so.
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
This is a very important point that everyone should keep in their mind is, we are not vacating any space. Like many players who have done it in last 12 months, we are not vacating any space.
We are becoming more and more stronger in the same space where Five-Star has been operating for last 24 years. The only change is the mix.
What we guided in last July earnings call was our mix of less than 3 lakh ticket size will be close to 25%, and 3 lakh to 5 lakhs will be close to 50%, and above 5 lakhs will be close to 25%. That is the mix in which Five-Star wanted to move from last July to this June.
That is what exactly the trend is happening. We are focusing on what we say.
Chirag Fialoke
Understood. Very clear, Mr.
Pathy. Thank you so much for that.
Just a quick data question: on the 60 to 90 bucket, could you just highlight what that percentage was for the quarter?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Chirag, please connect with the IR team to take some of these data-related aspects.
Chirag Fialoke
Sure. All right.
Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Kunal Thanvi with Banyan Tree Advisors.
Please go ahead.
Kunal Thanvi
Hi. Thank you for the opportunity.
I had two questions. One was, if you can zoom in into the disbursement growth, what are the areas from which we got the growth and what is your confidence in terms of beating your own guidance of 20% this year?
Second question was on the overall organization structural change that we have made, if you can zoom in into the incentive structure for this business guys. From a cultural point of view, while I understand the productivity would improve, but one of the key things was we were able to run a leaner ship with fewer number of employees.
How does culturally the organization is now adopting to a business guy and a credit guy being separate, if you can zoom into these two aspects. Thanks.
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Our request is, can you please keep yourself mute so that the background noise is so much?
Kunal Thanvi
Yes.
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Thank you. Let me get into the organization structure first, then Srikanth will add.
Very clearly, we have said in last one year that I'll be in the operation front as MD, and to support me, there's a JMD, who is Srikanth. Underneath Srikanth, you have operational heads across all departments.
If you see, every department in Five-Star has a one head and one chief. Specifically in this investor presentation, we have given details of all the 20, 21 management teams who are in the company.
You can please go through them and feel comfortable to come back to our IRR for any doubts.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Kunal, I think on your question in terms of the disbursement trend for the next few quarters, what kind of incentive structure changes we have made, has the culture changed because we have created this business-collections vertical, none of that holds good. Because today, even though the business and collections vertical have been segregated, the business team continues to have the responsibility of collecting at least on the current accounts for a certain vintage.
It's not like we are completely removing the DNA of collections from the business people. Their incentives are still dependent on achieving a certain level of collection percentage in the current accounts and also achieving the growth perspective.
It is only that we are moving the arrears to the collection team, because you need focus, you need expertise to ensure that the flows are contained, the slippages are largely contained. From this perspective, there has been no cultural shift, there has been no incentive changes, and we are very confident of achieving the traction in disbursements.
While we did about 1,500 crores in the first quarter, even assuming the same run rate for the next three quarters and adding a 10% on top of it, because the next few quarters obviously the numbers will be higher, we'll be somewhere around 6,500 to 6,800 crores, which will enable us to achieve our growth guidance of 20% very comfortably.
Operator
Mr. Thanvi, are you done with your question?
Mr. Thanvi?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Let's move ahead.
Operator
All right. Thank you.
Next question comes from the line of Varun Subramanian with Axon Capital. Please go ahead.
Varun Subramanian
Hi, thank you. My questions on leverage were answered.
I just wanted to understand when you launch the new product, let's say, in the medium term, at that point would you be guiding for a AUM growth of higher than 20%, or would that be including the new product launches that you have in mind? Is that a medium-term sort of guidance?
No,
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
definitely the guidance at that point of time will be much higher than the guidance what we have given with the micro LAP product. It's going to be the addition of the guidance what we have given as of now.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Varun, we also want to impress upon the question on leverage. This is something that we're talking about given the growth on the current product.
With how the new products pan out, when the growth goes up, obviously there'll also be a kicker in leverage. Definitely our intent is also to maximize the returns to the shareholders from a ROE perspective, and which is why we are looking at strong growth in the existing product and also the new products coming in and giving better growth, which can help the leverage needle also move up.
Varun Subramanian
Just to clarify, would leverage be linked to the launch of a new product, or would you be able to lever up the book even with the existing product scaling up and with the asset quality improving? Will we be able to maybe get to 1.5 in four quarters, something like that?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Definitely. I think the current product itself will give a kicker in leverage.
What we are saying is, it will get better with newer products coming in, because we have a strong capital and it is important for us to use the capital in the right way to maximize the returns for all the shareholders. That's the endeavor of the company that we are working on.
Definitely you will see leverage going up in the existing product, but with the new products coming in, it'll obviously be a lot higher. From here onwards, the focus is clearly to deliver strong returns to the shareholders.
Varun Subramanian
Understood. Very helpful.
Thank you so much, and congratulations.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Darshan Deora with InCred Invest Group.
Please go ahead.
Darshan Deora
Thank you for the opportunity and happy to see the turnaround in asset quality. Quick question on a steady-state basis: what sort of ROE would the management be targeting?
What sort of ROE would the management be aiming for?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Darshan, today we are operating at somewhere around 8% ROA, right, 8% to 8.5% based on the AUM. If you convert it into total assets, this number will be somewhere around 7% to 7.25%.
Now our point is, as leverage keeps going up, you will have a compression in ROA. In the past, the guidance that we used to give could be a steady-state ROA of somewhere around 6% to 6.5%, and if you're able to get to the 3x leverage, we're talking somewhere between 18% to 20% as the ROE.
That's the endeavor that we are working on.
Darshan Deora
Got it. Secondly, in October '24, we had decided to reduce our lending yields, right, because it was to satisfy the expectation of the regulatory environment and also prior to that, we had always experienced relatively good asset quality or able to bounce back relatively fast from any credit crisis.
Last 18 months have been sort of slight change from the previous experiences where we've had to also really bulk up our collection efforts and increase our cost. Now the regulatory environment is also more favorable, now any thoughts on maybe sort of further moving back to a slightly higher yield in order to sort of fasten the process to getting to a higher ROE?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Darshan, first of all, I wanted to correct your first question. You're right, in October 2024, we dropped 200 bps at one go.
That was not from a regulator perspective. I've already reiterated, I'm again happy to reiterate that, it's because our borrowing cost was 11% plus.
It was dropping down to 9% plus. That 200 bps we wanted to fix a appropriate time to give it back to our customer.
We took October as the right timing to give this 200 bps reduction to our customers. That point I wanted to emphasize again so that people correct themselves why Five-Star did that 200 bps in October 2024.
Going forward, our intend is, keeping the borrowing cost in mind, our lending rates will get adjusted. It is not that if the borrowing cost trending down, we are not intend to keep our lending rates up.
That is not going to happen in Five-Star. That's the call that board has taken in October 2024 itself.
That is why that 200 bps reduction has been given for onboarding new customers. As the borrowing rate trends, the lending rates will also trend.
Darshan Deora
Pathy, point taken. I think from a cost structure point of view also, our cost structure has slightly changed, right, because we have invested a lot in sort of increasing our team size because of the collection efforts.
Somehow do we want to price that back in into our yields going forward?
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
I think that will be priced back in our credit cost and slippage ratio and NPLs trending down. We want that to be priced back in provision rather than in increasing the lending rate.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Darshan, like we said, the opex will start trending down. It's possibly a phenomenon for one year.
It's not like it's going to continue to remain where it is forever. From next year onwards, definitely you will start seeing opex to trend down.
As a responsible lender, we want to price our products in the right way so that we also see strong traction, the customer service is good, the customer feels happy getting onboarded with Five-Star. At this point of time, given where our borrowing cost, I think we are very comfortable with the yield.
Darshan Deora
Got it. I think just one suggestion from my side.
I think we're doing a great job, but metrics such as AUM per employee, disbursement per employee, we hope as investors to see an uptick in that. I think it's already happening on a Q-on-Q basis, but it would be great, I think maybe with the addition of new products, to see that AUM per employee and disbursement per employee are trending upwards with more speed.
Lakshmipathy Deenadayalan
Darshan, you are correct. Not even with new product, I can tell you very confidently, with the existing product itself, you will see in the quarters to come that disbursement per employee and AUM per employee will trend up.
Darshan Deora
All right. Thank you, and all the best for the rest of the year.
Operator
Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Renish with ICICI.
Please go ahead.
Renish Bhuva
Thanks for the follow-up. Just one thing on the disbursement front.
If you can share the June disbursement number would be helpful, sir.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
June we did about 670 crores, Renish.
Renish Bhuva
How much, 670?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
670, yeah.
Renish Bhuva
Is there any seasonality in that particular month? Otherwise, the disbursement target which you have in mind for '27, that should actually overshoot by a big margin.
Just wanted to get a sense on that.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Renish, there'll always be seasonality in the third month of the quarter, but this year, we are very consciously working towards keeping the seasonality between the months in the quarter minimal. You will not see, let's say, the first month of the quarter being at 300 crores and the last month of the quarter being at 700 crores, but there will still be a seasonality.
Right now despite what you have seen in the first quarter, I think, which is a very healthy trend, and we are looking at traction building from here onwards to achieve our growth comfortably.
Renish Bhuva
Got it. It is right to assume that let us say anywhere between 600 to 650, 670 should be a new normal monthly disbursement number for rest of the year?
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
On an average, yes.
Renish Bhuva
Okay. Thank you so much and best of luck, Srikanth.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today.
We have reached the end of question-and-answer session. I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Srikanth Gopalakrishnan
Thank you all. As we said, it's been a great quarter for Five-Star.
We are extremely confident in the way that the company is moving and the actions that we have taken have vindicated our stance. Like we said in the presentation, from here onwards, we are very confident of moving in the right direction and in our journey to move onwards and upwards to get back to some of the strongest numbers that Five-Star has been used to delivering.
On that note, we will all be happy to see you in the next quarter. Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you. On behalf of Five-Star Business Finance, that concludes this conference.
Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.
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