Paradeep Phosphates Ltd.

Paradeep Phosphates Ltd.

138.15
INR
-2.25
(-1.60%)
10.08EPS
13.49P/E
141.19BMarket Cap
Nov 04Next Earn

Q1 FY2027 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 31, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to Paradeep Phosphates Limited Q1 FY27 earnings conference call hosted by Antique Stock Broking Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Manish Mahawar from Antique Stock Broking Limited.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Manish Mahawar

Thank you, Manav. I am pleased to host today's earning call of Paradeep Phosphates.

We have leadership team represented by Mr. Rajeev Nambiar, Joint MD and CEO; Mr.

Harshdeep Singh, President and Chief Commercial Officer; Mr. Bijoy Biswal, CFO; and Mr.

Alok Saxena, Head Corporate Finance and IR on the call. Without further ado, I would like to hand over the call to Mr.

Nambiar for opening comments, post which we will open the floor for Q&A. Thank you, and over to you, Rajeev, sir.

Rajeev Nambiar

Thank you, Manish, and good morning to everyone who has participated in this call, and we welcome to Paradeep Limited's earning call for this quarter one. I appreciate your time and interest in your company.

I trust you have seen our earnings presentation and press release which have been circulated and are available on our website and stock exchange. Let me take an overview.

I am happy to report that PPL has once again delivered a very strong financial and operational performance and best-in-class EBITDA per ton. Many congratulations to all of you.

Despite the prevailing global uncertainties led by Middle East crisis, which resulted in sharp escalation and volatility in raw material prices as well as availability, PPL delivered a very strong performance on the strength of its existing supply chain efficiency, sourcing diversification strategy for key raw materials, and pan-India market presence and distribution capabilities. With this performance, the company has been able to further strengthen its leadership position in the phosphatic fertilizer sector.

In Q1, revenue from operations increased 36% YoY to ₹6,124, 6,124 crores. EBITDA rose 25% to ₹742 crores.

PBT increased by 24% to ₹526 crore, and PAT stood at ₹393 crores. Sales volume grew by 4% to 9.85 lakh ton, just close to million-ton sale.

During the quarter, full benefit of expanded capabilities of sulfuric acid was available to us, due to which the sulfuric acid production was higher by 32% on a YoY basis. Phosphoric acid production was higher by 7% on a YoY, reflecting the strength of our backward integration's benefits in phos acid and sulfuric acid and helped us to improve our quality of earnings.

Our key expansion project of phos acid expansion, that is phase one from 5 lakh ton to 7 lakh ton metric ton, is on track. I am happy to report that the board of PPL in its Q1 meeting approved the investment proposal of ₹250 crores for setting up aluminum fluoride plant at our Paradeep facility.

The proposed investment aligns with company's strategic objective to enter and diversify into related industrial chemical space and will build and strengthen company's non-subsidy portfolio in due course. The proposed investment is a reinforcement of our manufacturing excellence capability by having a byproduct converted into value-added products.

These investments in specialty or industrial chemical will further augment our endeavor to create long-term value for our shareholders. Looking ahead, we remain in the challenging time amidst the Middle East situation, and we have seen high volatility and availability challenge for key raw materials and particularly sulfur.

As you are aware, 70% to 75% of global trade of sulfur and ammonia cross the Strait of Hormuz. The supply disruptions for these commodities are expected to continue in short term.

Despite these uncertainties, industry is making concerted efforts and empowered committees comprising of government and senior industry officials working in close coordination to ensure fertilizer security for the nation and the farmers. PPL remain committed to drive growth in this challenging time through robust operational discipline.

Thanking you once again. I now open the floor for questions.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. We will now begin the question and answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

We have our first question from the line of Prashant Biyani from Elara Securities. Please go ahead.

Prashant Biyani

Yes, thank you for the opportunity, and congratulations on great numbers. Rajeev sir, for Q2, how are we placed on sourcing of raw materials, and whether at these prices of sulfur are we willing to continue to buy and manufacture acid or is it worthwhile now to buy acid and use it for manufacturing of fertilizers?

Rajeev Nambiar

Thank you, Prashant. As you're aware, the prices are definitely gone up in the current situation, and we are constantly looking the various opportunities where we are able to bring efficiency in the supply chain.

With the phos acid and the sulfur going up, there is a strain in our overall working philosophy. I think we're also scouting from various sources, and some support extra coming out of the ammonia price reduction.

We are hopeful that actually with the production keeping today, to large extent, we are able to operate around 70% of phosphoric capacity. Moving ahead, I'm sure actually there'll be some sort of added support which we expect from the government.

Harshdeep Singh

Prashant, just to share with you, we are also augmenting through imported DAP and NPKs. We have a robust pipeline as far as the rabi season is concerned where we are augmenting our products through imported product lines.

Prashant Biyani

Sure, sir. Sir, on the AlF or aluminum fluoride side, if you can share some details regarding when the plant can be operational, how much would be the per-ton realization, and also EBITDA per ton?

Rajeev Nambiar

Prashant, for this, the plant capacity is going to be around 15,000 tons per annum.

Prashant Biyani

Yes.

Rajeev Nambiar

We expect at least a top line of ₹180 to ₹200 crores coming out of this facility. We are currently be looking quite optimistic about getting this plant commissioned within 22 to 24 months.

The basic engineering work is currently in progress, and we are also getting ready for the sourcing strategy, what is the right sourcing strategy for aluminum fluoride. As on today, looking at the market, we don't see major challenge in terms of a B2B sale and expecting at least a ₹50 crores of EBITDA which is coming out of this.

Prashant Biyani

Right. Sir, lastly, before I jump back to the queue, sir, on the trading volume side, what was the traded DAP and NPK for this quarter?

Harshdeep Singh

Prashant, we'll tell you the numbers.

Rajeev Nambiar

We'll just get back to you, Prashant, okay? Exactly.

Prashant Biyani

Sure. I'll jump back to the queue.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Riju from Antique Stock Broking.

Please go ahead.

Yeah. Hi, sir.

[unclear] is regarding the volume [unclear].

Operator

Sorry to interrupt you, Riju. Your voice is breaking.

Can you please move to a better reception area?

Hello?

Operator

Hello?

Harshdeep Singh

Riju. Go ahead.

Operator

No, we can't hear you, Riju. Riju, may we please request you to rejoin the queue and come again for the questions?

Thank you.

Hello?

Operator

We have our next question from the line of Aman Kothari from Equirus Investments. Please go ahead.

Aman Kothari

Thank you so much. Firstly, congratulations for this wonderful set of results.

Sir, my first question would be around the mix that we saw this quarter. We saw a 55% growth in DAP volumes and NPK volume degrowth of 9%.

Why was NPK degrowth for the first quarter, and is it a mix that's going to be maintained going ahead for the full part of the year?

Harshdeep Singh

Good morning. I think two, three important things.

The way you look at, yes, there is significant growth of DAP, and that was more like a tactical shift because from a policy perspective, there the profitability of DAP appears significantly better compared to the NPK. As far as the market strategy is concerned, the focus on NPK continues.

As far as farmer sales are concerned, we grew our NPK portfolio by 6%. NPK farmer sales are up.

As a primary strategy, in line with kind of optimizing profitability, we have focused more on the DAP in the Q1. Okay.

Right, volumes degrew by 9%, but you said POS grew by

Aman Kothari

6%. Is it because of price hike that we took?

Operator

Sorry to interrupt you, Aman. We are unable to hear you properly.

Aman Kothari

Hello? Am I audible now?

Operator

Yeah.

Aman Kothari

My question was, sir, NPK, we saw a volume degrowth of 9%, but still you said the portfolio grew by 6%. Is it because of some price hike that we took?

Harshdeep Singh

No, that is because of the farmer, the trade stocks, the POS sales grew by 6%. That is one thing.

That growth as far as farmer is maintained. Of course, we have taken a significant price increase in the NPK portfolio in order to maintain our profitability.

Just to give you an example, a bag of DAP today sells at ₹1,350 a bag, whereas the complexes range from ₹2,100 to ₹2,500 a bag. There is significant difference for a farmer because of the way the current policy is.

We have ensured that we pass on the increase partially to the customer, and we expect government also to address partially the in costing field which has happened.

Aman Kothari

Got it. Sir, just last question before joining back in the queue is in terms of building our non-subsidized portfolio, aluminum fluoride is something that we are going up ahead with.

Do you see that this aluminum fluoride would be catering to which industry? There's a clear demarcation between a lower grade and higher grade.

What is it that we are targeting?

Rajeev Nambiar

Mainly this is going to target the Odisha area where aluminium industry is there,

Aman Kothari

okay?

Rajeev Nambiar

We have done our study properly, and we feel actually being a strategic player in Odisha, we should be in a position actually to without much great difficulties should be able to market it and sell and market it.

Aman Kothari

Got it. Thank you, sir.

I'll just join back in the queue.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Sucrit Patil from Eyesight Fintrade.

Please go ahead.

Sucrit Patil

Good afternoon to the team. Congratulations on a good set of quarter.

My first question to Mr. Nambiar is beyond the regular outlook, just want to understand what are the top two to three execution priorities you are focusing on in the next few quarters, and alongside that, what do you see as the biggest risk in demand shifts or competitive pressures, and how are you preparing to manage them while sustaining Paradeep's position in fertilizer and in the fertilizer space?

That's my first question. I'll ask my second question after this.

Thank you.

Rajeev Nambiar

If you look at it, one clear signal we are given in the quarter one is there's a tactical shift towards profitable product mix coming. We have got a long-term view in terms of NPKs, which is very strong, and all the capacity augmentation which is also going to happen has got a huge thrust coming on NPK.

We know this is unprecedented time in our business, which is coming out of the conflict in both Ukraine side as well as in Hormuz side. We can't be just sticking to what exactly we have done.

This is a small-term tactical shift which is going to come. We are still explore actually whichever the products which we can manufacture and happy to report that actually we are one of the company who has got maximum product portfolio capability to manufacture in our facilities.

That definitely we will be leveraging it, and wherever the price advantage comes because of our supply chain logistics is quite strong in terms of sourcing facility, we will be exploring various areas where we can optimize our supply chain. Coupled with our coming capacity expansion in both phosphoric acid as well as the big expansion which is expected in 2029-30, these are three to four areas please we'll be concentrating in the coming two to three quarters.

Sucrit Patil

Thank you. My second question to Mr.

Singh is on the commercial side, what are the key priorities you are driving in terms of market expansion, pricing, and customer engagement, and what risk do you see in the distribution or regulatory framework, and how are you preparing to mitigate that? Thank you.

Harshdeep Singh

Good morning. There are two, three priorities.

One is the priority is the market development. See, we are building up a portfolio of high nutrient use action products in the portfolio, which is our nano category, and we're growing significantly into that category.

As far the market is concerned, apart from the current supply chain risk, there is also a challenge as far as the monsoon was concerned. Our July has been a good month for the rainfall.

How we're trying to address the market requirement is we're balancing between our NPK and DAP portfolio. DAP, the demand remains quite robust because of price point which the government has kept per bag of DAP.

If you see our growth, both the farmer sales and the primary sales, we've had a significant growth. If you look at the farmer sales, I think the industry growth for phosphatic, DAP and NPK, has been around 1%, and we as a company, we have grown around 15%, 16%.

We maintain our leadership position as far as market is concerned. We also maintain our leadership position as far as product pricing is concerned.

We are very conscious that we are going to drive growth which is profitable. That's how our market strategy is to date [unclear].

Sucrit Patil

Thank you, and best wishes.

Harshdeep Singh

Hello.

Sucrit Patil

Yes, sir. Thank you.

Thank you for the guidance, and wish the best of luck.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Riju from Antique Stock Broking.

Please go ahead.

Hi, sir. Hope I'm audible now.

My question is regarding the sales volume that you have reported. In the PPT slide four, we have seen that the total fertilizer volume is 9.85 lakh ton, right?

If you calculate the product-wise details, that is DAP, NPK, urea, TSP, and MOP, the count is coming at roughly around 10. 10.03 lakh ton.

Just want to understand the math here. No,

Harshdeep Singh

I think you would have counted the Zypmite sales probably into it. If you consider the DAP, NPK, MOP, that was around 9.85 lakh metric ton.

If you also consider the Zypmite, which is a soil conditioner, then you're right. It's a million-ton plus.

That's around 15,000 tons of Zypmite sales. If you add both of them, it'll be a million.

Okay? Otherwise,

Understood, sir. Sir, in terms of the sulfuric acid capacity that we have right now, the excess capacity, how are we selling that?

I think we might be selling it to outside. How much additional EBITDA that we can make from that sulfuric acid by selling to the outside as of now?

Rajeev Nambiar

Bijoy, you'll take this.

Bijoy Biswal

Right now, we are completely utilized this sulfuric acid capacity. No, we are not selling outside right now.

Entire thing is consumed by our fertilizer facilities.

No, sir. My question is regarding at the Paradeep facility, we have expanded the sulfuric acid capacity from 1.4 to roughly around two 2 million metric ton, right?

The phos acid capacity that will come in the 2Q of FY27. The excess sulfuric acid capacity, how you are utilizing that?

Rajeev Nambiar

I will explain you. Basically, we don't have any excess capacity of sulfuric acid in Paradeep.

Even if it happens, it could be some fluctuations on a short-term duration may be happening. If you look at it, sulfuric acid we are using not only for the phosphoric acid production, also N20 being a sulfur-dominated product.

A lot amount of sulfur goes there also. As on today, if you ask me, actually we don't have an excess kind of a capacity on a sustainable basis from Paradeep.

Obviously there's some smaller quantity here and there we might be trading, but it's not a significant thing at all.

Understood, sir. In terms of the power generation, the co-power generation from sulfur to sulfuric acid, are we selling any excess power to the grid as of now, in this quarter or maybe in last quarter?

Rajeev Nambiar

Last quarter, we have sold in beginning. Then because of the fluctuations in terms of sulfur, sulfuric acid availability, we are not done much.

The facility is available. Understood.

Sir, one last thing in terms of the urea. The Goa urea facility, I think the Gcal improvement happened in the last quarter.

How much EBITDA per ton that we have been able to achieve this quarter? Also in terms of MCFL urea plant, the benefit that we are getting as per the old policy that might have expired in last year.

How we should look at in terms of EBITDA per ton for the MCFL plant as well for urea? Yeah.

Bijoy Biswal

Regarding the urea policy, I think it has been notified. The new urea policy has been notified yesterday.

We are evaluating that policy. If you look at the policy and vis-a-vis the energy benchmark what we have right now, in Goa, the impact will be around ₹1,500 for metric ton positive.

There will be reduction in Mangalore of around ₹700 to ₹800 per metric ton based on the new urea energy policy. This energy improvement what we are talking, we have invested and this has been completed and it has been capitalized and it has started getting the benefit from this year, this quarter.

The energy has been reduced by 0.2 Gcal on a urea production basis for this year.

Sir, accrued benefit in terms of EBITDA for that? No,

Bijoy Biswal

0.2 means right now due to this energy impact will be ₹1,000 per metric ton.

Okay. What a normalized basis, can we expect that it might have improved by roughly around ₹700 to ₹800 per ton at the EBITDA level for Goa urea?

Rajeev Nambiar

At the Q1, yes, you can assume.

Bijoy Biswal

Yes.

Understood, sir. Thanks for clarifying all my questions.

Rajeev Nambiar

Okay.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Parth Sodha from ITI Asset Managers.

Please go ahead.

Parth Sodha

Am I audible? Hello?

Operator

Yes, sir. We can hear you.

Parth Sodha

Thank you, and first of all, thank you for the opportunity. My question is over the medium or long term, what percentage of EBITDA do you believe will come from non-subsidy business such as industrial chemicals?

Rajeev Nambiar

Can you repeat the question?

Bijoy Biswal

We continue to focus on fertilizer, as we said earlier, and the sustainable EBITDA guidance that we gave is ₹5,000 at the moment, which when we complete our backward integration, everything should be improved by 30% to 35%. As far as the non-subsidy portion is concerned, I think that will take some time to evolve, and over a period of time, the long-term vision is that at least 20% of the EBITDA should be supported through the non-subsidized.

That's a long-term target that we have kept for ourselves.

Parth Sodha

Got it. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Madhur Rathi from Counter Cyclical Investments.

Please go ahead.

Madhur Rathi

Sir, thank you so much for the opportunity. Sir, I wanted to understand currently how much of raw material for this aluminum fluoride, the FSA is currently produced in-house, and what are we doing to that?

Are we selling it outside, or are we incurring some effluent treatment charges because if you could help us understand on that front?

Rajeev Nambiar

Currently, we're producing around 9,000 to 10,000 tons per annum, and all these quantities are sold to outside parties. The whole genetics of our investment is, agree, how do we make sure that we get the value, much higher value from what you've been selling as a raw material to other parties.

Madhur Rathi

Got it. Sir, if you could help us understand because it seems that this product is very critical to aluminum smelters.

How is the criticality of this product? Sir, have the validation started for this product, or will there be a gestation period post the 24-month commissioning of this plant?

Rajeev Nambiar

Good. This is basically we're just starting, actually.

The board has given a go-ahead, and we've just started the engineering. Engineering, construction, and commissioning should be 22 to 24 months, and we don't see any challenge in terms of the marketability or saleability of this product.

Madhur Rathi

Right now it is getting sold.

Harshdeep Singh

Just to add to Mr. Nambiar, a lot of work has gone in background before we took it to the board, everything is established.

We just need to complete the project in next 24 months and get it rolling.

Rajeev Nambiar

Also to your understanding, there's a lot of import happening in this particular product. With this, we should be able to make sure that the Indian manufacturing setup is able to complement and reduce the import of aluminum fluoride.

Madhur Rathi

Yes, sir. Sir, my question was on similar lines.

Because of all these imports are of different specification versus what it would be that Paradeep Phosphates would manufacture, will it require some gestation period with the smelting customers for testing out our product and then

Rajeev Nambiar

No, it won't be.

Harshdeep Singh

It won't require any gestation period.

Rajeev Nambiar

It is readily marketable.

Madhur Rathi

Got it. Sir, how much capacity can we increase because we are manufacturing 10,000 metric tons of FSA, how much can we extend this 15,000 metric ton of capacity to?

15

Rajeev Nambiar

15,000 we are currently designing is 15. Why 15 is because the expanded capacity we are expecting within two years, we should be in a position actually to utilize entire hydrofluorosilicic acid to aluminum fluoride.

Madhur Rathi

Got it. Sir, that was from my end.

Thank you so much, and all the best. Thank you.

Rajeev Nambiar

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Dhruv Muchhal from HDFC AMC.

Please go ahead.

Dhruv Muchhal

Yes, sir. Thank you.

Sir, a few questions. Firstly, on the traded, can you share the traded volumes this quarter ex of urea?

Harshdeep Singh

The traded volumes which we've done is total 1.25 lakh metric ton including MOP, TSP, DAP. The major imports which are coming, the arrivals are happening in July, August, September

Dhruv Muchhal

now.

Harshdeep Singh

We've almost secured around 0.5 million tons of imports for the rabi season. Yeah.

Dhruv Muchhal

Sir, now what we're seeing right now, for example, the shift in a higher sales of DAP and relatively lower sales of NPK, I'm just trying to understand how does this work in the market? As a structural strategy, the market wants to shift towards NPK.

It seems that's the push given the better profitability and also better farm economics, probably better for the farmer. This raw material supply chain issues, the government policy actions and all those creates this disruption.

I'm just trying to understand say for example, the farmer shifting to DAP today was an NPK buyer earlier, how soon does he come back to NPK if the price is normalized? What kind of resistance does that happen?

Because these kind of policy then otherwise you have these disruptions and the movement towards NPK then probably becomes slow. I'm just trying to understand how does this move and how do you see this?

Harshdeep Singh

Two, three things. I think first is fundamental.

See, the entire market development effort and our farmer engagement effort is to create awareness of the balanced fertilization, which is basically phosphate, potash, micronutrient, and then even organic carbon, which is very essential from the agricultural context. As far as the short-term context is concerned, see, we've done most of our awareness campaigns shifting him from conventional straight let's say DAP fertilizer to a NPK mix.

Currently, the difference is quite stark between NPK prices and the DAP prices, and hence the farmer shift which is there. A lot of farmers, especially in South India, where the awareness levels are much higher, they still continue using the NPK portfolio.

We see still NPK as a dominant category. Yes, as far as the current season is concerned and maybe rabi, as long as the urea and DAP prices are held at a special price for the farmers, you will see a shift happening as far as offtake of DAP is concerned.

I don't see that as a fundamental concern from our overall strategy perspective because farmers are aware about the use of the balanced fertilization. If you look at even a fertilizer like potash where the government support is very minimal and the prices are almost as high as ₹2,200 a bag.

Very very aware farmers for cash crops, they're still using potash, though the price is quite high.

Dhruv Muchhal

Right. I was just wondering from the pace of shift towards NPK, does it slow it down or the movement can be back again quickly?

Harshdeep Singh

It'll be back again quickly if the price equation is addressed. See, as long as the DAP, NPK are within the price range of ₹200 a bag, I think the shift can happen very quickly.

Currently, it's quite stark. Almost ₹1,000 a bag difference now.

Dhruv Muchhal

Sir, the other question was on the expansion plan, the phos acid and probably the NPK expansion, granulation expansion. Any change in plans given what is happening or that remains on track?

Because I believe last time when we spoke in the call, you mentioned the equipment ordering is pending. I'm just trying to understand where are we there?

Rajeev Nambiar

Dhruv, if you see, none of the plans are getting changed because of the short-term turbulence what we are experiencing. That's a good news for all of us.

Second thing is the phos acid expansion what earlier we said is about 5 lakh to 6 lakh will become a reality by this December. The 6 to 7 is also going to happen mostly by August, September next year.

Current related to the bigger expansion of 3 lakh ton of phos acid as well as sulfuric acid, that's also going on as per what we have planned. Almost we are in the final commercial discussion is going on.

All those expansion projects are going in a normal way irrespective of what's happening around us.

Dhruv Muchhal

Got it. Great, sir.

Thank you so much, and all the best. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Saumil Shah from Paras Investments.

Please go ahead.

Saumil Shah

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

Sir, I wanted to ask last quarter EBITDA per ton was somewhere around ₹5,300. What is the EBITDA per ton in this quarter?

Have we started seeing benefits of the backward integration?

Rajeev Nambiar

This quarter, EBITDA is around ₹7,000 per metric ton, and in last quarter, last year's in the same quarter, it was around ₹6,500. This increase is mainly on account of the stock, what we have got at the beginning of this year.

That has really played out, and, this has given this increase in the EBITDA margin. Also, if you look at it, our backward integration of sulfuric acid, which is happened in both Mangalore as well as Paradeep, both are actually running the full stream.

Coupled with the inventory which we had able to harness within our system in terms of raw material inventory coupled with the backward integration started coming in. Okay.

Saumil Shah

Okay. Can this ₹7,000 range sustain for the current quarter as well?

Rajeev Nambiar

No, we feel actually a realistic EBITDA for a year could be around ₹5,000. ₹5,000.

Once we complete our expansion projects, what was explained earlier, we should be in a position to have a sustainable ₹7,000

Saumil Shah

plus. That would be by

Rajeev Nambiar

It could come in phases, actually. You can take it as two to two and a half years.

Saumil Shah

Okay. Just one follow-up, you alluded to the previous participant that our phos acid plant's incremental capacity from 5 lakh to 6 lakh tons will be by when?

Rajeev Nambiar

By this December.

Saumil Shah

Okay. What is the current capacity utilization for this plant?

Rajeev Nambiar

This is almost 100%. Okay.

Okay.

Saumil Shah

We are confident of achieving this 1 lakh additional by Q4 of this year?

Rajeev Nambiar

Yeah. Yeah.

The execution is already going on. Equipments are also ordered and started getting equipments.

Saumil Shah

Okay. That's it from my side.

Thank you, and all the best. Thank you.

Rajeev Nambiar

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Dev Gulwani from KRChoksey PMS.

Please go ahead.

Dev Gulwani

Thank you for the opportunity, sir. Sir, despite industry phosphatic fertilizer volume being flat this quarter, company is able to grow 13% volume YoY.

What is company doing different than peers that we are able to gain this market share?

Rajeev Nambiar

If you look at the overall market strategy, we focused in north, east, west, and south in a very balanced way. We're very strong in west and south, but the overall strategy is to have a kind of balance across the key markets of India.

That gives us an advantage, especially when there is a demand impact because of agri scenario. That's one strength.

Second is the lot of market development efforts as far the brand is concerned. Jai Kisaan Navratna and Jai Kisaan Mangala are strong brands and enjoy a lot of trust with the farmers.

That gives us an advantage as far as the offtake and the POS is concerned. These are two fundamental things that we do.

Our portfolio also, we have kept a flexibility between organizing the range of portfolio. It's urea, DAP, NPKs.

The complete mix is available in terms of solutions to the farmer. That gives the edge to the company.

Dev Gulwani

How CP is helping in securing raw material during this current tough situation?

Rajeev Nambiar

That is in one of our key strength compared to many other players. We don't face any serious issue or any issue at all in terms of our rock availability.

That also in much superior quality rock availability. Acid also.

Rock and acid, to large extent, actually, we don't have any major issue other than some smaller supply chain issue which might come up. I think overall, because of very good planning of raw materials, we have been able to create that uncertainty to our strength.

Dev Gulwani

Okay. With long-term view of non-subsidy business contributing 20%, after FY29, we can see capital allocation shift towards other industrial chemicals, right?

Rajeev Nambiar

Yes, of course, actually, yeah. Obviously, backward integration is the current thrust for us and entering into specialty chemical, those area.

I'm sure the current AlF3 project is only beginning, and we are seriously thinking in what else we should be able to do it. This is a shift actually which is really coming up.

Dev Gulwani

Last question, do we produce enough hydrofluorosilicic acid to cater to 15,000 metric ton per annum aluminum fluoride plant?

Rajeev Nambiar

We have actually. We have.

Dev Gulwani

Okay. Thank you.

Rajeev Nambiar

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Prashant Biyani from Elara Securities.

Please go ahead. Yeah.

Prashant Biyani

Harshdeep sir, you are alluding to a higher trading volume that we plan to do in rabi initially. Can you elaborate on that, what are your plans?

Harshdeep Singh

What we're trying Prashant is to augment partly imported DAP. That's more something which government also wanted to ensure so that the country's supply chain is maintained.

We will be doing some complex fertilizer also which we are importing like NPKs and DAP and TSP, because that TSP is also been a product from a long-term perspective. We're trying to build a portfolio of a high phosphate fertilizer with lower nitrogen.

Between DAP, TSP, and NPKs, and of course, we have also this year put a lot of thrust on ammonium sulfate, which is a good source of nitrogen and sulfur. The government wanted us to encourage that as alternate source of nitrogen and sulfur.

That's the portfolio of traded product that we are doing.

Prashant Biyani

Sir, last year rabi season, our traded volume was around 270,000, if I'm not wrong. How much could this year be at?

Harshdeep Singh

I think we're not we'll be giving a forward guidance on the exact numbers as of now, Prashant, but it it'll be significantly higher. That's what I can tell you.

Like I told you, we've almost secured kind of half a million tons of imports as far as the traded products are concerned, which will help us from both Q3 and Q Q2 and Q3 right up to December.

Prashant Biyani

Sir, how much is DAP trading volume in Q1 and last year Q1?

Harshdeep Singh

This year in the Q1, the DAP traded volumes have been less. That's just been around some 1,000-odd tons.

TSP, we did around 24,000 tons and ammonium sulfate 22,000 tons. NPK, we've not done any.

DAP was just 1,000 tons in the first quarter because we had a lot of manufactured DAP.

Prashant Biyani

Okay. On the subsidy side, how much is the outstanding subsidy, and how much have we received in Q1?

Alok Saxena

This subsidy right now, as on 30th June, the outstanding is around ₹4,600 crore, and during this year, we have received a subsidy of this quarter around ₹2,650 crore.

Prashant Biyani

Okay. Sir, how much is the gross debt currently?

Alok Saxena

Sorry? Gross debt.

₹6,000 just a second. ₹6,500 crores.

Prashant Biyani

Okay. Sure, sir.

Operator

Yeah. Thank you.

We have our next question from the line of Manish Mahawar from Antique Stock Broking. Please go ahead.

Manish Mahawar

Hi, sir. Sir, in terms of a capex timeline, right?

You said a phos acid 2 lakh ton, right, which is 5 to 7. Out of that, 1 lakh is coming by December, and one is next August, right, you're saying, '27?

Alok Saxena

Yes, Manish.

Manish Mahawar

Okay. Earlier the timeline was I believe it was H2 of this year, right?

I think by Q3 or so, or it has got delayed? Am I missing something in terms of timeline?

December,

Alok Saxena

no? It is the same time as

Manish Mahawar

Okay. Second thing is capex, which is a bigger capex, what we had announced earlier, right, ₹3,500 or ₹3,600 crore of capex, what is the timeline of that, and whether it will come in stages or it will come one shot?

Alok Saxena

It will come in one shot, actually. We have set a 2029-30.

Manish Mahawar

Okay. What is the timeline for that start?

Alok Saxena

It will be around 2029-30 beginning.

Manish Mahawar

2029, should we 2030, in the sense, which FY29 we should assume or March '29 to

Alok Saxena

mid of the 2029-30, no? Yes.

These are the larger project, generally there may be some here and there. It will be second quarter of 2029.

Understand.

Manish Mahawar

In terms of when you said a traded just for this year particularly, when you said a DAP, we have doing a lot of imports and wanted to have a DAP, does it mean basically the manufactured volume will be lower in this year itself and total volume will grow and definitely manufactured will come down and your traded will offset that? That's a right understanding?

Harshdeep Singh

See, what we're trying to do is we're trying to optimize the market requirements, and this is a year where there are disruptions. It would not be appropriate to put volume-to-volume comparison just for the sake of volume.

What you're trying to do is create stakeholder value. You're trying to augment between the manufactured and the imported volume so that market share is maintained in the market.

We will be producing at the plant, but we will not like to produce if the raw material prices are too steep and if there are supply chain disruptions because of the war.

Alok Saxena

Any shortage in the production will be made good by this trading. Overall basis, there will be no decrease in the sales and other things.

Manish Mahawar

Understood. Last one, sir, in terms of EBITDA per ton, right, because we did a very good in terms of first quarter, and that has some benefit of low-cost inventory what we had earlier, right?

Considering current RM cost in terms of all the three, four RM what we have, and currency rates, what could be the EBITDA per ton we are able to make if there is shortfall of a ₹5,000? How do you mitigate, or any thinking towards the government, additional subsidy we expect?

Bijoy Biswal

Manish, I think it's a evolving situation with both with government and industry. With the kind of interaction we are having, we continue to say that we should have a sustainable EBITDA of ₹5,000 per ton.

I think that's the number we are looking at the end of this year. Hopefully, with all the coordination that is happening, we should be able to cross that number.

Manish Mahawar

Understood. Sure.

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Aman Kothari from Equirus Investments.

Please go ahead. Aman, are you there?

Hello?

Aman Kothari

Am I audible?

Operator

No, Aman. Your voice is breaking.

Aman Kothari

Hello?

Operator

No, Aman. We still can't hear you.

We'll move on to the next participant. We have our next question from the line of Vignesh Iyer from Sequent Investments.

Please go ahead.

Vignesh Iyer

Thank you for the opportunity. Just wanted to understand what is what was our average landed cost of sulfur in quarter one FY27, and what is the price like now?

Can you just give us if you could share the comparison for the sulfur prices?

Bijoy Biswal

Sulfur has moved quite a bit in Q1, and the price is now as we speak today is $1,000 plus. As far as our sourcing is concerned, I think it will not be prudent for us to give that number because it's commercially sensitive, but it has been competitive vis-a-vis global benchmarks.

Vignesh Iyer

The current price is what you are saying is it is around sulfur is $1,000, right?

Bijoy Biswal

$1,000 plus, yeah. $1,000

Vignesh Iyer

plus. What would this price be like in quarter one, on an average, if you could say?

Rajeev Nambiar

Quarter one average was quarter one average Yeah, quarter one average was around $800, $850.

Vignesh Iyer

Perfect. Can you share the same for sulfuric acid?

Rajeev Nambiar

Sulfuric acid, right now the price is around $350.

Vignesh Iyer

Quarter one?

Rajeev Nambiar

Quarter one we have not purchased much of sulfuric acid because of we have this sulfuric acid capacity 100% utilized. As you asked that what is the price, I'm saying that right now the sulfuric acid price is around $350 to $370.

Vignesh Iyer

Okay. Sir, and what percentage of our procurement is in quarter one FY27 specifically, what what percentage of our procurement was due to the long-term contract that or long-term arrangement that we have in, entered in with this sulfuric sulfur sulfur, suppliers, and what was what percentage was on spot basis?

Rajeev Nambiar

Currently, we don't have any specific long-term arrangements for sulfur because of fluctuations. On both sides, it's happening on the spot basis only now.

Vignesh Iyer

Got it, sir. That's all from my side.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Kush from KRChoksey PMS.

Please go ahead.

Hello? My questions have been answered.

Thank you. Okay.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Sandeep Mukherjee from SKP Securities.

Please go ahead.

Sandeep Mukherjee

Sir, thanks for taking my question. Sir, what was the production volumes of DAP, NPK, and urea for this quarter, sir?

Rajeev Nambiar

Sandeep, we'll come back to you actually. If you look at production, the Q1 was 7.66 lakhs.

Sandeep Mukherjee

Okay. Thank you, sir.

Rajeev Nambiar

Urea is around 2 lakh tons. Remaining you can take it as

Sandeep Mukherjee

3.5

Rajeev Nambiar

lakh ton of DAP, yeah.

Operator

Thank you.

Sandeep Mukherjee

Thanks, sir.

Operator

We have our next question from the line of Archit Agarwal from Step Trade Capital. Please go ahead.

Archit Agarwal

Hello? Hello?

Please go ahead. Am I audible?

Operator

Archit, you need to speak a bit louder.

Archit Agarwal

Hello?

Operator

Yes, please go ahead with your question. Yeah.

Archit Agarwal

My question is so last quarter, management guided that working capital build-up both inventory and subsidy receivables would largely unwind in Q1 FY27, leading to normalization of operating cash flow and lower borrowings. Could you share the actual progress, how much inventory has been liquidated, and how much subsidy has been received, and is operating cash flow positive?

Harshdeep Singh

I know. What we have told that last quarter we have additional inventory which has been liquidated this quarter, and that has augured well for us.

During this evolving situation, and if you look at the last quarter's inventory vis-a-vis this quarter inventory, there is a increase in inventory mainly on account of the trading volume what we are talking. Otherwise, this raw material and finished goods, there is a reduction.

Even the debt also we have reduced from around ₹700 crore on an overall basis. Our cash flow is also positive from operations.

Just to kind of also augment, see, the cash flow has been both robust as far as the market is concerned. We had a 43% growth in cash flow from the market, and even the subsidy collections were 22% higher than last year for the same period.

We've had a robust cash flow, which has helped the overall situation.

Archit Agarwal

Okay. You have mentioned ₹2,600 crore subsidy is received in this quarter.

Harshdeep Singh

Yes. Yes.

Archit Agarwal

Okay. That's all.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We have our next question from the line of Aman Kothari from Equirus Investments.

Please go ahead.

Aman Kothari

Hello. Sir, this year we were in a phase of debottlenecking and expanding our granulation capacity.

When can we see us reaching from 3.7 to 4 this year?

Harshdeep Singh

The debottlenecking is actually expected by again December.

Aman Kothari

Okay.

Harshdeep Singh

The contract is already awarded. It's going in full swing.

4 million ton.

Aman Kothari

For the rest of the year going forward, as you touched upon that the traded volumes would be significantly higher as compared to the last year, we would see a margin impact this year going forward considering trading volumes would be higher?

Harshdeep Singh

No, overall, I think we continue to maintain that EBITDA per ton at a company level. Because there a lot of supply chain efficiencies that have been brought into the system.

Overall, we don't think that there is a pressure on EBITDA per tons below the guidance that we have talked about.

Aman Kothari

Got it. I think you touched upon the product mix going forward, but my question there just still remains, sir, that in terms of NPK market, what do you see apart from the price difference would be a value unlocker for us considering we are the industry leader both in terms of volumes also and pricing going forward?

No,

Harshdeep Singh

could you just please clarify what exactly is the concern that you have?

Aman Kothari

The idea is to understand what could drive the NPK adoption going forward just apart from the price difference that's currently there.

Harshdeep Singh

There are two two, three fundamental drivers. See, one is kind of really awareness coming with respect to farmer in term of understanding his soil health, and where he's able to understand that there is a need for him to have a sustainable agriculture both in terms of applying organic carbon and balanced nutrients, both in terms of nitrogen, phosphorus, and potash.

We have a challenge of overuse of nitrogen in the country. A significant subsidy and the application of farmer happens as far as nitrogen is urea.

We see a robust play for both in NPK fertilizers going forward because a lot of awareness has happened, and farmers today feels they're getting better results as far as productivity is concerned when they use a balanced portfolio. If you look at it, last year, the market was around approximately at 24 million tons of phosphates, out of which DAP is around 10 and the NPK is around 14 million tons.

Out of 14 million tons, the robust NPK grade where your company is like a leader is 20:20:0:13, which happens to be around 6 to 7 million tons. We still feel that's a very promising grade because there is sulfur deficiency in the soil, and that's a very very good fertilizer for the farmer.

Today, the price difference is there, which I think is a short-term thing. I don't see that's sustaining.

The moment, I think government removes the cap on MRP for DAP, I think the portfolio will get balanced.

Aman Kothari

[unclear]

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, Aman. We are unable to hear you.

Your voice is cracking.

Aman Kothari

My question was is there any possibility for the pricing cap to be removed on DAP?

Harshdeep Singh

That you have to ask maybe the political people. Currently it doesn't seem in the short term, but I think somewhere going forward, it should get at least removed.

That's how we look at it. Not in the short term.

Aman Kothari

[unclear]

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, Aman. We are unable to hear you.

Aman Kothari

Hello?

Operator

Hello, Aman?

Aman Kothari

Hello?

Operator

Yes, now we can hear you.

Aman Kothari

[unclear]

Operator

Sorry, Aman, but we are unable to hear you. We can't get you, Aman.

Aman, are you there? Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question of the day.

I now hand the conference over to management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Harshdeep Singh

Thank you, dear investors, in taking time to join our earnings call. In case you have any further questions, we'll be very pleased to address them through our investor relations team.

Thank you once again, and have a good afternoon. Thank you.

Thank you.

Aman Kothari

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Antique Stock Broking Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.