One 97 Communications Ltd.

One 97 Communications Ltd.

1,612.00
INR
-45.75
(-2.76%)
11.56EPS
97.28P/E
728.96BMarket Cap
Oct 26Next Earn

Q4 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptMay 6, 2026

Operator

Good morning everyone. Thank you for joining and welcome to Paytm's earnings call to discuss our financial results for the quarter and year ending March 31st, 2026.

We will start our call with Q&A after introduction to the management. From Paytm's management, we have with us Mr.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma, Founder and CEO, Mr. Madhur Deora, President and Group CFO, and Mr.

Anuj Mittal, SVP, Investor Relations. A few standard announcements before we begin.

The information to be presented and discussed here should not be recorded, reproduced or distributed in any manner. Some statements we made today may be forward-looking in nature.

Actual events may differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. Finally, this earnings call is scheduled for 45 minutes.

A replay of this earnings call and transcript will be made available on the company's website subsequently. If you wish to ask a question, kindly utilize the raise hand feature on your Zoom dashboard.

Please ensure that your name is visible as your name, last name, followed by your company name for us to be able to identify you. We will unmute your line and take questions in the respective sequence of the raised hands.

I would request if all [folk / folks?] can limit their questions to two.

We will start our Q&A now. Just waiting for the queue to line up.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Vijay? Hi, good morning.

I think thank you for joining us early in the morning and like I'll say it all the time, you may not switch on the video because I understand this is early in the morning, that's very very much fine. Keeping the tradition, we are in switch on video, and at the same point of time, this time we changed our earnings release.

We tried to make it crisper, we tried to make it simpler, we tried to bring about what is important and our communication style to tune a little more about how we believe that it should be read. I'm sure you will have feedback.

Love to get a feedback and we will tune accordingly. I hope you like the one like some.

With me is Madhur here and we can start. Thank you.

Operator

Thanks, Vijay. The first question will be from Mr.

Manish Adukia from Goldman Sachs. Manish, you may unmute your line and please ask your question.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Hi Manish, you can talk now.

Operator

I think we're facing some technical difficulty. Please allow us.

Manish is here.

Manish Adukia

Hi, good morning. Thank you.

Sorry, it took me a while to get in the room. Morning, Vijay.

Morning, Madhur. It's good to see you, and thank you for taking my questions.

First one, maybe just on the guidance. A bit more color on the revenue growth acceleration that you've talked about in fiscal '27.

Now, I understand that FY '26 you had double-digit decline in your marketing services revenue growth. How much of the guidance acceleration in FY '27 is just a function of marketing services revenue growth recovering, versus you probably also seeing an acceleration in revenue growth across payments and financial services?

Maybe a related question also on the EBITDA margins. I know in the past you've talked about medium-term aspirational margin of 15 to 20% EBITDA, and you have ended the year at about 6% with very strong expansion.

Qualitatively, how far away are we from getting to that 15-20% EBITDA margin number? That's my first set of questions, please.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Manish, I'd talk about marketing services. Marketing services and cloud and commerce, if you remember, all this combined we call marketing services because we help small merchants and large merchants about making sure they get from checkout to check-in.

We call these services that once a customer is checking out on the shop or counter or online, the customer comes back. Through AI agents, this is the area of focus for us in the next 12 months, and let's see how we do it.

I do believe that it is an extraordinary big opportunity considering we've been able to take care of our core payment and financial services. It was rather about choose what is your moat, head down, execute it, and then extend towards next side.

If you read the intent in our AI page, it is hinting towards that.

Madhur Deora

Just to add, I think the overall acceleration, given payments is about 55% of the revenue and financial services about 30% of the revenue, to answer I think the short answer to your question is it is across the board. We are seeing strong tailwinds in payments, both in offline merchants as well as online merchants, which obviously has the full license now, and is adding new customers and so on.

We're also seeing very good growth in financial services. As we had mentioned before, merchant loans continues to be solid, and we are now seeing recovery in personal loans and market share growth in wealth.

In addition to what Vijay said about marketing services, since you touched your question, yes, we expect that to be a contributor going forward. It has been a bit of a drag last year, but we think that growth will be across the board.

On EBITDA, we will maintain about 2.5 to 3 years from now that we should be able to get to those sorts of EBITDA margins.

Manish Adukia

Very clear. Thank you, Madhur and Vijay.

Maybe second question on financial services, which you touched upon in the earlier question. I know you stopped giving out disbursal number, but some of the Postpaid launch that you made earlier, if you can just talk about the traction this time versus the earlier Postpaid.

Is the traction in terms of ramp up of the product scale or disbursal tracking better or similar versus the last iteration, any differences in consumer traction? That'd be great

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

to hear. Manish, better than last time.

Classic internet distribution or diffusion of services times, it took x number of times. This is taking x by a significantly large number times.

I'm really happy. We will not give disbursements.

I think this pushes us towards as if that we are a credit-issuing entity, which we are not. We are a pure technology platform which helps distribution to distributors.

This is the nearest most adjacent product to our payment, and I think it is doing phenomenally well. I'm not really going to say it is doing well, I'm going to use the word phenomenally well.

I'm very happy about it that on the back of it, our personal loan disbursements in last month, this will show up in the next quarter, have started showing up. We have started to go back to if you read a particular text of personal loan disbursements, it is not that we are any more measured about or limited about it.

It is rather going next level.

Madhur Deora

Just to remind everyone, this is a classic compounding business, because sign-ups are very strong, and repeat rates are very strong. It just sort of compounds upwards as you sort of just go through time.

We're seeing that's where the compounding traction, and is significantly faster as you can imagine from the first time we started the Postpaid journey.

Manish Adukia

Sure. Just a quick clarification on that one, and I know you don't give disbursals, but I recall last time when you used to give disbursals the peak of the disbursals for Postpaid was about ₹9,000 crores a quarter.

Given that you're saying that the ramp-up is actually faster, no reason why you should not get to the number at some point in time in the foreseeable future. Would that be a fair statement?

Sir,

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

no comments towards any guidance or hint of it.

Manish Adukia

All right. Great.

I tried. Maybe just last question before I just jump back in the queue.

PPBL ban, I know it's an associate for you, you don't have any management control there, but in terms of just any early impact on your listed entity, OCL, just because you share a common brand in terms of consumer merchant acquisition or churn, and what does that mean now from your own wallet or prepaid instrument application to the RBI and the outlook for that? That's my last question.

Thank you.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

I think no impact. We did it in press earnings release on this issue, and we remain committed.

Manish Adukia

Sure. Wallet license?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

We remain committed.

Manish Adukia

Okay. Sure.

Thank you, Vijay, Madhur. All the best, and thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Thanks, Manish. The next question we'll take from Mr.

Sachin Salgaonkar from BofA, followed by Pranav Kshatriya from Emkay. Sachin, you may please go ahead.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Thanks for the opportunity. Good morning, management.

First question, generally a follow up, when we look about growth accelerating in FY '27, there are multiple other small businesses which are yet to scale up: wealth management, brokerage, insurance, even on the personal loan basis. Any color in terms of should we see a good amount of acceleration coming from these businesses scaling up or it's the existing merchant loan business, Soundbox, as well as the core payments business which will help accelerate the growth?

In a very simplistic manner, should the core business show acceleration of growth or should we see a combination of both, actually?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

The business model is straight and simple, that we acquire customers using payments, and we cross-sell financial services. We've done good in credit, we definitely are right now focused on wealth and securities brokerage, whatever the line items that we want to call combined into one wealth title.

It is critical for us to make it a third leg of growth. It is.

It may not, and I've said it in last earnings call, that we want to see ourselves in top five sooner than later. That remains a focus area, individually for me also.

In other words, I've been saying that payment has to scale because that is a TAM. There is no alternate to that.

We will keep investing. If you notice, we have very clearly articulated the amount of invested in expansion, amount in creation.

Our cost optimization is rather about creation of the product and platform of payments, because the cost is much lesser in that and continue to reduce. The attention is more about expanding that platform to a dramatic, large enough, optimum TAM.

A dramatic large from today, optimum because we don't want to acquire everyone. That is a word I'm using.

It is an obligation, and right now, we are so happy seeing the monetization cycle showing up that that is the primary opportunity of it. In fact, over the period, Paytm could be looked at as a payment platform that monetized in financial services so well.

Madhur Deora

Sachin, the message you should take away is it is more or less across the board. Our large established businesses, we see huge opportunity ahead.

We love our merchants, online and offline. Last year, online had a headwind that we did not have permission to onboard new customers for about half the year.

That's lifted, we're seeing good traction there. Offline, obviously there's huge market opportunities still ahead.

I know this is a very popularly asked question, which is, "Hey, if you have added x number of merchants, do you still see growth ahead?" Absolutely.

We are seeing market expansion, and we're seeing market share growth. That's going really well.

That's one bucket of large, established, overall profitable businesses. The second bucket is businesses which had scaled, but had some headwinds in the last couple of years.

Advertising, because of our MTU and app revamp, had a headwind. Personal loans had a headwind because of credit cycle.

A lot of that is turning into tailwinds, also slightly lower base. Then the third one, like Vijay said, the third pillar we think is in wealth.

There, I would characterize that as slightly different business where we are younger and have low market share, but great opportunity to increase market share and proven businesses. That's why wealth, retail broking, if you will, gets filtered to the top.

Those are sort of the three lines of revenue growth, and we're also quite excited about each one of those three buckets.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Great. Thanks for the detailed answer.

My next question is a statement you mentioned in your shareholders' letter that you're looking to keep some dry powder for selective inorganic action. Now on a really big picture basis, how could we think about this?

Any specific areas in the current business you're looking to focus? Is it more on international lines or is it in kind of a new opportunity which is going to open given the fact that AI could open up doors for new businesses as well?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

AI, any new investment only in AI.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Sorry, can

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Any new investment only in AI.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Only in AI, okay. Vijay, when we talk about AI, is it something which is going to help the existing businesses or it could be a completely new line of business, actually?

No,

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

it's primarily the same customer, same merchant, finally making their life better. Like I told last Manish's questions, that we believe that will be a significant amount of opportunity for us to create agents and so on.

So.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Got it. Lastly, just a bit of follow up on this RBI thing what kind of further permissions, licenses are we expecting from RBI?

One is wallet, which is largely known, but beyond wallet, is there anything which is pending per se from a RBI point of view where you guys are applying?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

No.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Got it. Vijay, any timeline when we could expect the wallet license?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

It's rather put head down and execute the [need?] .

There is so much on the plate and table that I would say that ambiguity is behind us.

Sachin Salgaonkar

Great. Thanks, and all the best.

Operator

Thanks, Sachin. We'll take the next question from Pranav Kshatriya from Emkay, followed by Vijit Jain from Citi.

Pranav, please go ahead.

Pranav Kshatriya

My first question is regarding the higher promotional and cashback incentives. We've seen this expense going up quarter-on-quarter, but correspondingly not really seen any jump in the marketing services.

I understand this is a seasonally lean quarter for marketing services, but there is no increase in the MTU as well. How should we see this trending, and what is the timeline for it to give outcome?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

I think it is the marketing services where you sort of expect, let's say, commerce line items to do a good job, but it is also going in expansion and clean up of our existing customers' chime towards other services beyond just marketing services. For example, like there is Digital Gold on our platform, there is element of deals, discounts, gift vouchers.

We believe that standardizing the moat of customers and locking in on our platform is the first priority, which is what the payments core job is. We do acquire customers, Pranav, it's a two choice to put that we can continue to acquire a incremental lower-cost customer who's not in the ecosystem, and the cost of that is that you will not have large usage because the new incremental customer left in the ecosystem is a very low transacting or low-value customer, if you will.

We are trying to acquire higher quality, good quality customers. The increment spend will consistently go up, but it would not go up in the ratio of what you could just recklessly spend.

We have been measured, and we remain measured in spending, but at the same point of time, we are conscious about which kind of and quality of customer are we getting, and what purpose the customer is coming. These things go through quarter-on-quarter measurements and recalibrations.

At the same point of time, I'm committing this once again that we will continue to spend it not more than what the ratios have been right now like we've always said it. It is not an incremental extra spend at all, first of all.

It is within the guidance we have given. At the same point of time, the usage of this money will continue to calibrate towards which service is what we continue to do it.

Madhur Deora

Just a couple of tactical things to just contextualize. One is you have to look at it sort of like marketing expenses and cashbacks together because some of those are decisions that the teams make in terms of where they want to spend their marketing dollars.

The second is while the MTU number may not reflect all the impact of this spend, but if you look at our engagement, that has gone up dramatically. The market share growth that you're seeing is far exceeding, if you will, MTU growth to underline the point that Vijay mentioned about quality of customers and engagement of customers.

Take a step back, if we were to break our business into consumer side and merchant side, we have had the best quarter from a profitability standpoint on the consumer side in the last eight quarters. It is flowing down to the bottom line, despite these additional spends.

Pranav Kshatriya

Fantastic. My second question is regarding indirect cost.

Typically Q1 will have higher employee cost on account of appraisals and salary hikes. How should it trend from here on?

Should we expect that to remain in current ₹1,150 [crores?] thereabouts, or it can now be significantly higher than that?

Madhur Deora

There are quarter-on-quarter changes, particularly including the impact of appraisals. If we look outwards towards the next year, we do think that like we have said, this will grow significantly lower than revenue and contribution profit growth, and continued operating leverage as a result of that.

The second point I'd make is that we still see efficiencies in various parts of the organization due to use of AI. Okay.

Pranav Kshatriya

Excellent. From my side, I'll get back in queue.

Thank you so much.

Operator

Thanks, Pranav.

Madhur Deora

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Vijit Jain from Citi, followed by Jayant Kharote from Axis Capital.

Vijit Jain

Hi. Thank you.

Can you hear me?

Madhur Deora

Yep.

Vijit Jain

Hi. Thank you.

My first question is.

Madhur Deora

Oh, he's going to rejoin because he's a panelist. I think he had

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

some problem. I think I

Vijit Jain

Hi, can you hear me now?

Operator

Yep.

Vijit Jain

Sorry. I think, yeah.

My first question is on net payment margins. Good to see 9 basis point overall.

You've said that it's remained above 4 basis point despite the PIDF subsidies and so on going away. Looking ahead, what would you call the major drivers for it continuing to go up?

I know you have various streams: merchant fees, instant settlement. I don't know if you're deploying working capital towards instant settlement, and then of course you have UPI credit and EMI.

I just wanted to get your sense on all three or four different drivers where you still think there is decent upside, and how do you get those upsides? Are these going to be more push driven or just organically will happen?

Madhur Deora

I think there's a whole bunch of smaller factors, but the two major factors, especially when you think about payment processing margin, which is what we have said is higher than 4 bps, the two major factors are our product improvements giving us the luxury of having pricing discipline. We have talked about pricing discipline in the presentation, but the underlying piece is that our product keeps getting better and better, and as a result, merchants in this case are seeing more value in our product.

The second is just a shift in the industry, which is credit instruments being on UPI rails and growing at much faster pace than overall GTV. We talked about credit card on UPI before.

Obviously Paytm Postpaid is starting to be a contributor as well, still relatively smaller compared to a couple of years ago, but becoming a contributor as well. If you can have even a small percentage of giving you 20, 30, 40 bps of margin, then obviously it does change the overall mix significantly.

Vijit Jain

Got it. Madhur, safe to say there are plenty of upside drivers to those core net payment margins, right?

From what is right now greater than 4

Madhur Deora

bps.

Vijit Jain

All right. Thank you.

Then specifically, a lot of your merchants are obviously in the long-tail mid-market side of things, and I would imagine, things like I think settling their balances faster and so on and so forth is potentially more useful thing to those kinds of merchants than to larger merchants. Is that a product that has a lot of success and adoption from merchants?

Just want to get a sense of whether you see more avenues for where you could deploy your capital. It gets you some fees and is useful to your merchants as well.

Madhur Deora

We do have this settlement as a product. It's a good product.

It's an industry product. We do it.

Vijit Jain

Got it. The next question I had was on Paytm Money.

In general, are there any product investments that you still need to do within Paytm Money to kind of make the proposition more compelling to heavy users, traders versus say investors? I'm just trying to get a sense of whether there are gaps there.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Short answer, dramatic more. Obviously the AI is changing everything, my friend.

The agents will show up that will do trading. Agents will take care of your portfolio re-adjustment.

Agents will show up that trading strategy of yours will be reviewed. Agents will create option chain for you.

Agent will create scalper. I would rather say, I feel lucky that we did not dump lot of money earlier because in the AI world, everything resets.

We see there is an opportunity of bringing some product that is materially better from now to 2030. The point is what got created in 2020 is not going to work in 2030.

That I can write it. Anybody who is not investing is an opportunity for us that customer.

Vijit Jain

Got it. Vijay, just sticking to that point a little bit more.

What you're talking about is consumer-facing experience of how you trade. Is there anything on the back end also that you need to invest in to be able to serve?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Consumer-facing is going to get easier because you will not tap, tap, tap,

Vijit Jain

tap, tap.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Everything is a back-end investment. Everything is a core investment machine.

Anything that shows up in the front, it is only as good as it is in the back.

Vijit Jain

Understood, Vijay. My last question, any comments on how Paytm Check-in has done since you've launched it?

I think it's been a few quarters.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Vijit, this is our deep test that how Indian consumers are okay for a interface that is chat interface, agent interface, completely agentic. It's our perfect experiment to look at it, and we picked up a different brand name so that people don't perceive that, okay, this is what popped out or something.

It is agentic approach towards consumer interfaces. I see agentic interface as rejuvenated new opportunity for Paytm to gain consumer share in dramatic number of categories.

This is our experiment

Vijit Jain

here. Got it.

Thank you so much,

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Vijay. Vijit, one side note,

Vijit Jain

you'll

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

be shocked, the funnel conversion on agentic when a customer starts, it typically is 2 or 3% in a funnel that starts where the commitment is. The customer can be browse, but funnel conversion, maybe 100 people if they are searching, it goes 2, 3% in a good scenario.

Good product company would do that. It's 7 or 8 times more than that, my friend.

7 or 8 times more. It is 700% better funnel because of agentic.

Boom.

Vijit Jain

People go closer to transactions?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

They complete more. Seven times more people complete the funnel in agentic workflow than a tapped workflow.

Vijit Jain

Okay. Good to hear.

Yeah. Thank you so much.

Best of luck for FY '27.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Yeah. Thank you.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take the next question from Jayant from Axis Capital, followed by Kaushik Agarwal.

Jayant, you may go ahead. Oh,

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

I think it forces people if I add them. Sorry about it.

Operator

Hi, Jayant.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

No, no. I just made him a panelist and because We can get someone else in the queue.

Jayant Kharote

Am I audible? Hello?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Yeah. You are.

Jayant Kharote

I don't know how I got promoted to panelist, though. Hi guys, congratulations for great performance on financial services, guys.

First question was on the payment piece. I see you have done very strong growth over there.

If I see this quarter versus last year fourth quarter, both your GMVs up 27% and the margins are moving from more than 3 to more than 4 basis points. That actually throws up a very high growth number on the payment processing margins, more like 50-60%.

Is this a real number or are we missing something? That is quite high a growth in payment processing.

Madhur Deora

Just to be clear, 5 bps earlier was greater than 3, which is not to say that you are exactly at 3, but the math that you're doing while adjusted for that number is correct. That our payment processing margin is very strong.

Jayant Kharote

Great. Now unfortunately, what that implies is subscription revenue is not grown at all YoY.

This is despite us adding 27 lakh devices, which is 22% on our base. Is that because a lot of these would have gone for PIDF-linked devices?

Then, of course, how do we think about this? Without any price hike, it means the device addition is not fully translating to revenue growth.

Yeah.

Madhur Deora

It is the case that PIDF has an impact, and it is also the case that without adjusting for that, the device subscription per device overall is slightly lower. We do see this as a very good funnel to merchant lending.

What we look at internally is payback periods at a very, very detailed cohort level, and those payback periods are improving significantly. Part of that is also because we are getting more efficient at acquiring customers and our capex per device, as well as retention of merchants.

Jayant Kharote

Does that mean because we have two strong pillars in the net payment revenues, does that mean that essentially looking ahead it's going to be largely net payment processing margin that's going to do the heavy lifting on this revenue line item?

Madhur Deora

It is the case that payment processing margin is growing faster, and partly because payment processing margin is growing faster, but combined with the fact that our lending penetration is going up, we are okay to make a little bit less money on device subscription per merchant.

Jayant Kharote

Great. Just one follow-up on that only, that the credit card on UPI growth, we've seen the whole industry credit card growth is cratered right now to single digit.

Generally what we've been observing is credit card on RuPay UPI moves 2x of that number roughly. That has been like 30% when industry was at 15%.

Now that industry is down to 7 to 10, are you observing similar moderation from that 30-odd to 20 25? Then, of course, the worry is our GMV growth then moves in sync with credit card on RuPay UPI, and then how does the margin expansion happen?

Madhur Deora

What you're saying logically should have some impact, but I don't think we're seeing anything noticeable there. I would point out that credit card on UPI is still a very small, very, very small percentage of overall credit card.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

One thing we can tell that our credit card on UPI percentage is more than the standard bank account payment percentage. That tells that we have a higher quality customers on our app.

Jayant Kharote

Definitely that has been giving a very good margin improvement

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

for us, right? Paytm has been ever since, and all the events have still made the customer retain means they are older customers, and that means that they are high quality, which extends towards creditworthiness, which extends towards their credit card usage.

Our credit card usage is more than the market share and order of magnitude once again. That is why our GMV growth has been higher because if you notice, the same number of MTU didn't grow, but usage grew because the product became better for the customers who are better-quality customers.

We talk about product quality, customer quality, not just the volume.

Jayant Kharote

Great. Lastly on costs and margin, we are guiding for more than 22% growth.

If I'm correct, now contribution margins we should expect between 55 to 60, but maybe more 55 rather than 60, what was happening because of the PIDF impact. Then indirect costs I'm seeing has after a great performance for eight quarters is rightfully so you're investing in growth is picking up.

Does that mean that from here on the journey is going to be incremental rather than what we saw last year? If you see Q4 versus Q3, our adjusted EBITDA growth is a decent ₹30 crore, but does it mean we should look at something more linear now than the exponential numbers that we saw through last year?

Madhur Deora

I assume you're talking about EBITDA margin. Like we've said in writing, we do expect significant operating leverage going forward, because logically the math that you were doing, if we have a revenue growth acceleration which we are confident of, and indirect expenses growing significantly lower, then just the math is just embedded in that, that you would see significant operating leverage going forward.

Jayant Kharote

I was just talking about the journey, Madhur. Is it going to be up-fronted or should we now think of this to be slightly more back-ended?

Madhur Deora

I don't want to get into quarter-on-quarter, but if we were sitting here a year from now, we're confident that we'll look back and say there was significant operating leverage and EBITDA margin expansion as a result.

Jayant Kharote

Great. Thanks, and congratulations once again for a great set of results.

Madhur Deora

Thank you, Jayant.

Operator

Thanks, Jayant. We'll take the next question from Kaushik Agarwal, followed by Rahul Jain from Dolat Capital.

Kaushik, you go ahead, please. Kaushik, you are on mute.

If you can unmute your line.

Madhur Deora

Rahul, you can Rahul, go ahead. Rahul, go ahead.

You can ask us the question.

Rahul Jain

Yeah. Hi.

Thanks for the opportunity. Firstly, we have highlighted about the investment we intend to do on the cashback side.

Can you highlight some of the consumer use cases, and also from a run-rate point of view, do we see a meaningful increase from the exit of 1 billion-odd we invested in this quarter?

Madhur Deora

Sorry, can you just post your first question again on cashback?

Rahul Jain

The cashback investment that we want to do, are there any specific areas where we are trying to, because we highlighted there a high-margin segment that we would like to invest?

Madhur Deora

Vijay I think sort of already touched upon this. Our Digital Gold is one of those categories, and then which is covered in financial services, just a housekeeping point, and there are several use cases on marketing services, particularly travel, where we see good ROI on investments, and then there's also always a chunk of investment that goes into ensuring that you are building more engagement and more retention of customers.

Rahul Jain

Surely. On the sales headcount side, do we see some more optimization to happen since the sunset on the PIDF scheme?

Madhur Deora

I think there's a combination of sales optimization as well as subscription revenue per device optimization. We had said last quarter in end of January that we'll be able to significantly offset it over the next few quarters, and our Q4, I think it was in response to a question, was that we would be able to offset 30 to 40%.

I'm pleased to report that we did achieve that, and we are confident that over time, we'll be able to significantly achieve a near-full offset. Some of that will show up in sales cost in fact.

Rahul Jain

Sure. Just lastly, of course, people have tried asking this on the AI investments.

This could be also on line of creating a captive data center for more data inferencing or this would be purely from an M&A point of view?

Madhur Deora

No, Rahul. There is nothing like we don't have a capex plan yet.

There is enough amount of capex that US big guys are doing, and we don't think that we have a game in that yet. We do believe there is an opportunity for us to invest in AI.

People to like saying, let's say, we are using agents for our customers. We can rent somewhere data center, we can rent, let's say, Nvidias and then run our own model on top of it.

That kind of investment. Investment is attention and effort, not just capital.

We don't have a material capital investment plan right now on the table or in plan.

Rahul Jain

Thank you. Those were my questions.

Madhur Deora

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We will take the next question from Harshit from Premji, followed by Sachin Dixit from JM Financial.

Harshit, you may please unmute your line and go ahead.

Harshit Toshniwal

Hi, Vijay. Hi, Madhur.

The question was more to get some sense of our merchant ecosystem base. Vijay, I think the the point was that probably we are lending to a segment where they are okay to borrow at that, it was 25-30% rough IRR for them.

Now and probably, which I know that you guys don't give the disbursement number, but some sort of back calculations, etc., whatever that number is, but that number is even if I take a 40-50,000 crore of annual run rate, we would be a large part of that market itself, the addressable market. Now, just want to get a sense that our payment service or financial distribution revenue growth from here on, will it be driven by the consumer loan product incrementally?

In case of merchants, do you envisage a situation that probably it's the lower-yielding segment where we'll have to move to expand to maintain these growth run rates? Broadly, some color on on the merchant profile and probably your market share within the whatever you guys think as the addressable market share market for this range of merchant lending.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Best part is that we don't own the book. Everybody who wants to service customer is our potential partner, including banks or anybody else, if you want to acknowledge that.

We don't have a market share problem because we own certain book versus somebody else owns certain book. They go to the current lenders who are interested in this segment.

We become the channel. Now the most logical captive customer our merchant where we are capturing everyday payment flow is our most logical.

Anybody else can also do it, but most logical it does. On our customer base, we are penetrated less than 5% or 5.5% right now?

Madhur Deora

On merchant base about 7%.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

About 7%, and that too based on subscription merchant denominator. Remember, the person who has a selection bias of paying a subscription, we're talking 7% penetration.

Obviously, there is a large number of merchant base otherwise beyond that.

Harshit Toshniwal

We fundamentally No, my point on competition was more from Yeah. No, my point on competition when I asked was more from the distribution itself, that for example, many other players will also have access to that customer over time, if not today, and the engagement, everyone would try to increase that engagement.

Competition as a distribution partner is what I was trying to understand rather than from the lender's point of view. All right.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

The merchant who is our merchant, if that merchant deflects from us as a payment merchant, we don't think that we would be in a superior state or somebody who does not have that merchant will have a superior state of distributing. It's a counter-share kind of question, Harshit, there are two kind of merchants: exclusive to us or non-exclusive to us, only that.

In a non-exclusive case, if we are getting a lesser data, we anyways are not going to help him get loan unless we have a larger enough payment flow data that we are able to partner with our lender. Lender believes that, yes, this is good enough, I would like to extend the loan.

We don't have again much more to do but to retain our payment merchants and do a good job of distributing and collecting.

Madhur Deora

If I may just expand the question a little bit just to the building blocks of this. One is we have a core product of merchant loans, which you described.

This is to smaller merchants, smaller ticket size. We've been doing it for six years really, really well.

There, as Vijay said, we have about 7% penetration, huge room to expand that. The second is a TAM expansion story, which I think you touched a little bit, Harshit, on the merchant loan product.

That we do have types of merchants who may not find our current products or the products that we had in FY '26 suitable. Those could be larger ticket size loans, for example, where, like Vijay said, because we partner with lenders, and if lenders want to distribute such loans to them, then we are a logical partner for that.

That's the merchant loan story. Slightly more broadly, we expect things like wealth and personal loans to be a much bigger contributor next year than before.

We're excited about in this financial services line is that there are multiple drivers of growth next year, which are quite visible.

Harshit Toshniwal

Got it, got it. Fair point.

Perfect. Done.

Thanks a lot.

Madhur Deora

Thanks, Harshit.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Thank you.

Operator

Thanks. We will take the next question from Piran Engineer from CLSA, followed by Sachin Dixit, JM Financial, if that's okay.

Piran, please go ahead.

Piran Engineer

Hi. Hi, good morning, guys.

Congrats on the quarter. Just firstly on the retail broking thing, you touched upon using AI to sort of grow that business.

Firstly, are we targeting customers who don't have a broking account or are we going after everyone? Because I'm assuming that out of your 7-8 crore active customers, a lot would already be broking with one of the incumbent platforms, right?

How are you thinking about that first?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

We add on both sides. We add customers from both sides.

We are net sum gainer from other platforms and we get new customers. Then,

Piran Engineer

Vijay, what's our

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

New customers are mostly towards mutual fund and SIP creation

Piran Engineer

and

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

typically it may be called churn from other platform or customers are okay to have multiple accounts, sir. Then

Piran Engineer

what's our value proposition for the core F&O kind of traders versus say a Zerodha or a Groww's platform? See, also I get a sense we analysts are not allowed to trade, but most traders want to be in charge of their trading, right?

They probably don't want an AI agent to recommend, etc. I'm not too sure how that strategy will help the core F&O segment.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

When we launch the product, you'll get to see it. There's nothing more about it.

It's nothing better to say than when it gets launched. There's no secret spice and secret thing here.

It's very visible to everybody. I say it as writing on the wall.

I see it as everybody knows that what impact of AI and addition of AI will do to the product for any segment that you want. It's as normal as that.

Piran Engineer

We will not indulge in price discounting, etc., right, to gain share there?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Always remember, Piran, our customer acquisition is payments. This is our monetization legs.

Piran Engineer

Which means that we are okay giving it slightly cheaper, like if Zerodha is doing 20 bucks a trade?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

I don't think this is a price-to-price question yet. We are not going now probably of the time when we are competing with anybody else for the price.

You see our pricing. We don't think the price is a value.

We believe product is a value. Pricing is like commodity any which ways for anybody to fight for.

Those who discount their product, they feel that is the value of their product.

Piran Engineer

Fair, okay. Just secondly, a data keeping question.

This quarter and last quarter, what was the proportion of DLG in our merchant loan disbursements? The

Madhur Deora

proportion of DLG is broadly flat, maybe slightly higher. As in proportion of loans that come with DLG is probably slightly higher.

The amount of DLG is flattish.

Piran Engineer

Should I take it at 20-25%? Or a bit higher than that?

Madhur Deora

I don't think we've guided that before, and it's not a metric that honestly we try to sort of keep within certain boundaries or target a certain number, I'd rather not sort of get into that.

Piran Engineer

Got it. Okay.

Just lastly, can you give us some color on online versus offline growth on the merchant processing side?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Online, I'd say we've started to grow the GMV. We've started to farm the account better, and we obviously started to add new customers.

I would rather say that online is bigger opportunity now considering there are D2C brands, there are offline people going online than we envisaged earlier back. That I can say.

We will address and are addressing it accordingly in that approach.

Piran Engineer

Vijay, what proportion of our merchant GMV would it be now? I understand it's small, but single-digit small or

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

No, it is. I'm sorry, I'll let Madhur answer.

We're

Madhur Deora

a very significant player in online merchants

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

despite the

Madhur Deora

fact that until last year, we were not really adding new customers for three years, right? We're very significant player there.

It is very meaningful double digits GMV, it's not single digits and all, I would dispel that. We don't really look at it as a percent of total because they have independent growth drivers.

There's huge now hunting opportunities as well as farming opportunities in online merchants while maintaining pricing discipline. In the offline merchant base, we have a very large enterprise business, as we have talked about before, which is independently profitable.

Then we have the SMB business, as we call it, which has investments because that is very sales-team heavy, but then it also is the target market primarily for our merchant loan business. These three things have sort of independent growth drivers and run by very, very strong management teams in each case, and they march ahead.

There is a common tissue that there's certain merchants who benefit from omni-channel solutions. That sort of overrides and that's just for collaboration between the teams, but they're largely sort of independent operations.

Piran Engineer

Got it, got it. Yeah.

That's it from my end. Thanks, and all the best.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Thank you, Piran.

Operator

Thank you. We'll take the next question from Sachin Dixit from JM Financial, followed by the last question of the day from Alok Srivastava from UBS.

Sachin, you may go ahead.

Sachin Dixit

Hi, can you hear me? Vijay and on the question side, my first question was on basically monetization of some of the AI products.

I do understand it's still early days, but can you talk about anything that we are seeing especially on the Soundbox with AI capabilities part or any other products where you are actually seeing some monetization benefits also creeping up already?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Yeah. Classically, marketing, which we used to give them tools, now we are asking them to do it through agents.

We believe that merchants will be able to do it easier because agent will do the necessary job of workflow taking care versus, let's say, we are giving certain marketing products. That is the kind of approach that we're taking.

The product line items still don't remain the same, and it will become better as a penetration and usage because we are using AI or allowing merchant to use or customer to use the AI.

Sachin Dixit

Vijay, if I understand it right, monetization is usage-linked, is it?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Monetization is, let's say, I'm saying the customer that you can use us for acquiring or retaining customers. The person maybe we will charge subscription plus usage or only the usage so that the person does more usage.

Approach will be somebody wants to make an outreach to their customers, we can give it on a, let's say, you can run an ad on Paytm app. You can run communications through different different communication channels to the customers, and then you can get the customer acquisition sorted out through our platforms.

These platforms monetizations eventually what you're doing, it is a tool to achieve more customers acquired, more customer retained and repeating or stopping the churn. Now our customers can pay for certain per-consumer basis, platform subscription basis, per-usage basis.

We are in the midst of these kind of discussions that which of these line items work for us or work for our customers.

Sachin Dixit

Understood. Understood.

Thanks for that. On the second question side, sort of a top up on Harshit's question as well.

Is it possible for you to break down the growth drivers of merchant lending, right? I do understand it's growing almost like high of 30s, if not 40s.

Going ahead, can we break it down between that maybe the Soundbox devices grow at this rate, penetration goes up by this rate, and ticket size or any such thing grow at this rate,

Madhur Deora

just

Sachin Dixit

to make it more sort of accurate for people like us?

Madhur Deora

Good modeling question. I think I have the data so I can share it.

Historically, what we have seen is three primary drivers of growth: one is the expansion of the base, the second is the penetration rate, and the third is the increase in ticket size. Each one of these has been broadly similar.

Roughly call it 15% give or take on each one of these drivers. We can dig into this if you would like to.

Now going forward, for our core business, we think this will probably remain the same. At an overall level, because as you go for TAM expansion, you may see that ticket sizes might on a blended basis be slightly higher, especially if you are more successful in the slightly higher ticket size loans and so on.

If you look at that separately in the core business, it remains intact with those drivers, but there's an opportunity to sort of expand TAM beyond that.

Sachin Dixit

Where do we see the penetration levels reaching? Like the 7-ish percent that you mentioned in terms of merchant lending as a percentage of subscription devices?

Madhur Deora

It has broadly been going up at 1% a year. If you think about a year ago, we were probably at 6%, now we're closer to 7%, and that's about a 15% increase that I was talking about earlier.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

The core is about the more age merchant on the platform, the better the lending partners have a trust and confidence that this person's ability to repay back.

Sachin Dixit

Right.

Madhur Deora

Just to add to that, and this is sort of a logical follow-up to this, is that our engagement with merchants is going up very meaningfully, and that shows up in our GMV data, etc., as you'd see. That could mean that the penetration rates start to look a little bit better, the ticket sizes start to look a little bit better, and sort of break out a bit.

Those things do happen, and businesses obviously evolve as a result, but I think about three quarters ago, we had sort of called out, and we can share that earnings release with you separately, exactly what we have seen over the last four years.

Sachin Dixit

Understood. Understood.

Basically, the math that I was trying to do that we effectively can be talking about almost a 40% growth if you look at these three drivers. Is how I was seeing it.

Understood. Just one final question and more like a quick response.

There has obviously been chatter post that Paytm Payments Bank licensing happening that Paytm might go for a new license, maybe an NBFC license as well. Any comments, any thoughts on that?

That's my last question. Thank you.

Madhur Deora

We do have a comment on that, and it is in our Q&A at the back of the earnings release, but just to summarize for this audience. There are two broad thoughts on that.

The short answer is we're not super excited about going for NBFC license. The rationale for that is broadly two things: one is we really like our model where we stick to what we are uniquely good at, which is distribution, building great technology so that merchants can convert better, insights on these merchants, as well as collection abilities.

Our partners, that they are very, very suited partners, are very good at managing capital, managing risk, managing cyclicality and so on. We do think it's a win-win partnership, and Paytm does try to be a win-win partner for whoever we partner with across the board, and here obviously we're talking about lending.

The second point is, to your earlier question, we see the opportunity as absolutely massive. We have very large payments market.

That market is growing, our market share is growing, and that combined with low penetration means that the opportunity in the short to medium term already is very, very large. We do think that logically that loan book should sit on multiple balance sheets, not a single balance sheet, neither ours nor a single partner's.

Aggregating many, many more balance sheets we think helps us achieve our medium-term goals a lot better than trying to anchor it on one balance sheet.

Sachin Dixit

Thanks. Thanks for that, Madhur, and all the best.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

I have Mr. Kaushik Agarwal asking a question in the chat window and I'm answering till that time period.

Whom are you getting?

Operator

We have the last question from Alok.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Hello? Alok, you could unmute yourself and so on, but I'm just answering what is written here.

That can you give color around asset quality and lending distribution business and so on? Sir, we are absolutely not in the asset quality business because we do not own the risk or the credit that is disbursed on any book.

If ever our commitment is towards FLDG, it is completely the decision and ownership of the book that sits with lender. This question does not sit with us.

It's like saying kya aap hume bata sakte ho ke Parle-G ke biscuit ke andar kya hai? Aur main kahunga ke hum to retailer hain, sir.

Aap kharid lijiye, dekh lijiye kya hai, wo aapke paas mil jayega. We are the retailers, not the manufacturers, if you will, of this.

Then second question you are asking, sir, is that what is a non-India linked payment instrument GMV? It's very easy.

RBI has different different kind of datas. Our mix of MDR-bearing instrument is growing.

That is why net payment margin is growing. I think

Madhur Deora

On question number three, it is the case that we have capex, but next year we expect EBITDA to be significantly higher than capex. Your observation about last year is correct, ₹500 crores of EBITDA, but we have capex.

Should I take Sandhya's question as well?

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Yeah. This one's saying

Madhur Deora

Sandhya, on the merchant side, we have three or four drivers of monetization. One, like you mentioned, is subscription.

The second is MDR on MDR-bearing instruments, if they're accepting credit cards or credit card on UPI or Paytm Postpaid, all of those are MDR-bearing instruments. The third, as you pointed out, is merchant loans.

Those are the three big drivers of monetization. It is the case that not every merchant may be paying us at least one of the three, but vast, vast majority of merchants do.

At a cohort level, the payback period is always within acceptable bounds.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Yeah. Thank you for asking these questions in the open chat.

As we can take those also. Then we have Alok here.

Operator

Thank you. Alok, you may unmute your line.

Please go ahead.

Alok Srivastava

Sure. Hi.

Morning. Morning, Vijay.

Morning, Madhur. I just have one question if you could provide some color on affordabilities.

In your earnings release, you have mentioned that it has supported margin. Just in terms of whatever you are comfortable sharing in terms of let's say GMV, what percent of our machines have affordability enabled, what is the outlook here, value proposition and so on.

Thank you.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

I think the one thing I can say is more than half of our machines are enabled for dispersing EMIs. I don't think that we have GMV numbers by the instrument, but you can be very sure this is in enterprise segment, in long-tail segment, both alike it is liked because they want to make affordability as a feature for the customers on the shop, and we continue to aggregate everybody.

Aggregation, as is our primary role here. We continue to aggregate from as many people.

Madhur Deora

We have very, very strong partnerships with both brands and banks are the other piece of the ecosystem. There's merchants, and there's banks and brands, and then there's also obviously the consumer.

The greater than half number that Vijay gave for enablement on card machines, that is very significant because not 100% of merchants need EMI necessarily, right? It is limited to certain categories of merchants, generally those who have a higher ticket size transactions.

We're making huge progress in this. We are gaining share because of our focus on this business, and obviously we have talked about the impact on processing margins.

Alok Srivastava

Okay. Fair to say, Madhur, that this will be largely in electronics?

The machine in terms of

Madhur Deora

Electronics is an anchor category, but there are many other categories. Healthcare is a category.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

It is non-electronics. Everything else beyond electronics.

Furniture,

Madhur Deora

fashion, even beauty products.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

5,000-plus ticket size helps every time.

Madhur Deora

Even something like quick commerce, which you may not expect, does actually have some percentage EMI-based transaction. I'm giving you sort of contrasting example, which might not be super obvious.

It wasn't to me until I saw the data of where is high EMI volume coming from.

Alok Srivastava

Got it. Thanks a lot.

Madhur Deora

Thank you.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Thank you. I'll take question from Arjun Juneja, who said that, "Any interest in building paid loyalty program on consumer merchant side for drive data lock-ins?"

We have Gold Coin based product, my friend, and it is not paid. It is for everybody who uses more Paytm gets more Gold Coins.

Use Paytm for everyday P2P, P2PM, payments for every other thing. Then winner saying is, "Congratulations on good set of numbers.

Thank you, sir. Eagerly waiting for AI-led agentic capabilities tools on Paytm."

Thank you. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. With that, we come to an end of this call.

A replay of this earnings call and the transcript will be made available on the company website subsequently. Thank you all for joining.

You may now disconnect your lines.

Vijay Shekhar Sharma

Thank you.

Madhur Deora

Thank you. See you.

Bye-bye.