Saregama India Limited

Saregama India Limited

488.65
INR
-19.85
(-3.90%)
11.08EPS
44.22P/E
94.65BMarket Cap
Nov 04Next Earn

Q4 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptMay 14, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Saregama India Limited Q4 FY '26 earnings conference call hosted by Emkay Global Financial Services Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during this conference, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Pranav Kshatriya from Emkay Global Financial Services Limited.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Pranav Kshatriya

Good afternoon, everyone. I would like to welcome the management and thank them for this opportunity.

We have with us today Mr. Vikram Mehra, Managing Director, and Mr.

Pankaj Kedia, Executive Director, Investor Relations. Now, I shall hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks.

Over to you, gentlemen.

Vikram Mehra

Thank you, and a very good afternoon to all of you. Q4 of the financial year saw revenue from operations at ₹287 crore with an year-on-year growth of 19%, our highest-ever adjusted EBITDA at ₹133 crore with year-on-year growth of 31%, and operational PBT at ₹105 crore, which is an year-on-year growth of 37%.

Let me start with music. Global recorded music grew to close to $32 billion in 2025, according to IFPI, with India still under 2% of that despite housing 18% of the world's population.

We in India are operating in the most underpenetrated large music market on Earth, and Saregama's entire strategy is built around that 20-year opportunity that is sitting in front of us. If I look at financial year '26, the overall music vertical—and for the sake of simplicity, now onwards when we talk about music vertical, we will combine everything in it: music licensing, artist management, and the retail business, all the three core elements of music are going to be there under the music vertical—together, it recorded revenue of ₹814 crore, which was 17% year-on-year growth, and annual EBITDA stood at ₹517 crore with a 22% year-on-year growth, and an annual net margin of ₹377 crore, which was a 27% year-on-year margin growth.

This is music vertical overall: licensing, artist management, and retail. There was some concern that was expressed at the end of Q2 from multiple partners and investors about our music vertical's growth trajectory.

At that time, the management team had attributed it solely to the phasing of the music content releases. Post Q2, as the content started getting released in Q3 and Q4, Saregama is back on the growth track.

The other factor that really helped us in this Q4 growth rate is moving out of Airtel Wynk's revenue in the denominator. In '25, Q4 did not have Wynk revenue, which helped us a lot.

We are completely out of this cycle of free platforms shutting down, and that has started showing in the growth numbers of our music vertical. In fact, H1 had seen a growth of 7%, while H2 has seen a growth of 26%.

What I am proud of sharing is that H2 is also became a big testament to our music business guiding principles. When Dhurandhar 1 songs started picking up in the month of December, we went all out building them further using our digital marketing muscle.

The Pocket Aces digital footprint played a massive role here. This ensured that the success of the album was extended over a much longer duration.

Today, even after close to 5 months of the release of the album, we are still daily generating 6 million streams on the audio OTT and 11 million views on YouTube. The song Shararat stays at the number one global position.

I'm repeating, number one global position on YouTube even today. We very strongly believe within the company that hit songs don't come every day.

When you get one, or in this case we got a full hit album, you have to really make it count by pushing it aggressively in terms of marketing and promotions. The second principle within the music vertical that I think I reiterated multiple times in front of all of you, that we very strongly at Saregama believe in, is that the music purchase has to be done only with a financial lens in front of us, and never that of vanity.

After the massive success of Dhurandhar 1, it was very tempting for us as a company to also go for Dhurandhar 2 music. In fact, there was a lot of peer and partner pressure around it.

Everybody expected Saregama to go and back Dhurandhar 2 music. I'm very proud that the acquisition team stood its ground and refused to buy the album because of the pricing.

The expectations of the producer just did not fit into our 5-year payback guideline. We said no.

I'm proud to share our position actually stands vindicated today. We did the right thing by not going out there and picking it up.

As we continue growing the music vertical, we are steadfastly maintaining that we will grow it keeping in mind strong economic principles, and never do things which are coming out of vanity. Overall, the company released close to 1,200 original premium recreations across Hindi, Bhojpuri, Punjabi, Tamil, Telugu, Malayalam, Marathi, and Bengali languages.

Our spend this year on new music content was close to ₹235 crore, and another ₹104 crore was spent on doing inorganic purchases of various small and mid-sized catalogs. A spend of ₹235 crore on new content was lower than what we had planned, and this specifically happened because some of the bigger movies that we had planned to release in Q4 actually got pushed.

I think the biggest name will be Sanjay Leela Bhansali's Love & War, and Telugu superstar Nani's Paradise. During this quarter, the company completed its strategic investment in Bhansali Productions through a significant minority ownership, with the valuation linked to the financial performance of the Bhansali Productions company over the next 3 years.

This arrangement provides Saregama with an exclusive access to marquee Hindi film music at a predictable cost based on a predefined formula. There is a terrific lineup of films planned by Bhansali Productions.

This, in turn, ensures that Saregama secures our A and B+ Hindi film music album requirement for next 24 to 30 months. We won't have to go hunting in the market for it.

Our overall lineup for financial year '27 includes the delayed and now scheduled album of Love & War of Mr. Bhansali; Dharma Productions starring Kartik Aaryan called Nagzilla; Rajinikanth's next Tamil film; Sivakarthikeyan's Tamil film Sion; Nani's Telugu expected blockbuster Paradise, amongst others.

During the year, we also want to further consolidate our leadership position that we got with the acquisition of Nav Haryanvi. This year, we want to fill in that gap, which is Punjabi music.

We have done our homework over the last 6 months debating on what strategy to adopt. We are confident we have something good coming our way now, and hopefully the results will start showing within the next 2 to 3 quarters.

Overall, we continue with our guidance of a 5-year payback period followed by anything between 55 to 75 years of returns. Music catalog globally is increasingly being treated as an infrastructure-like, inflation-linked asset.

It's long-term, it's predictable, and its value keeps on going up as platforms keep on increasing their own subscription prices. That's the reason why institutional capital from the likes of Bain or Apollo or KKR is now flowing into this space through various kinds of JVs and direct catalog purchases.

All of this is happening at this juncture globally. We at Saregama, with our 180,000 songs catalog growing at 5,500 new releases per year, is exactly the kind of asset that compounds value over decades.

Let me touch the subscription part of the audio business. This year saw a focused effort by platforms like Spotify, YouTube, and Saavn to build paid subscription revenue.

The net result was an improvement in Saregama's revenue, despite revenue from the free remaining flat. If we have been able to go back and show growth, subscription has already started playing a role there.

A recent Indian customer study that was conducted and shared by EY and IMI stated that 64% of free music customers in India are ready to shift to a reasonably priced paid service if all free services in the market stop. Now, this is data right now which has been shared in the latest FICCI report also.

It just revalidates what we all believe in: Indian customer is not stingy, Indian customer values music and is ready to pay. If the free option is available, people always prefer the free option.

The moment free option goes away, Indian customer is ready to pay. We maintain our bullish position on the subscription growth in the country.

Just to put it in perspective, the paid streaming penetration is 67% in Sweden, 57% in US, 50% in UK, 13% odd in Brazil and China, versus less than 3% in India. This is according to the Goldman Sachs estimate, and this is a percentage of the internet users in any country.

With every percentage point of penetration translating to 14 million paying subscribers, the runway in India is structurally larger than any other larger market in the world, and Saregama plays in this market. The other part that everybody wants to talk about is AI.

While at Saregama we are watching this space carefully and have not committed any significant capital to it at this moment, our position in the company is that owned music which is artist-driven, premium music is going to become far more valuable and not less valuable in this AI-driven world where a lot of AI slop is coming in. Authenticated, human-created music with clear provenance becomes a premium asset, because customer at the end of the day is not just relating to a song; customers also relate to the artist behind the song.

That artist might be the actor on whom the song is picturized or the singer who has gone out there and sung the song. This is something that this mass-generated AI slop, which is flooding the ecosystem, can never provide.

In the long run, companies like Saregama with having the most premium catalog of the country across multiple languages is going to become even more sought after from the song value perspective. At the same time, we're realizing that AI is creating new licensing opportunity, as can be witnessed by the deals signed by various global music labels with various generative AI platforms.

At the right time, we will also engage commercially with many of these people. It may become one more way in which our IP can be monetized.

I'd also like to share that we have recently launched a dedicated AI efficiency team headed by a very, very senior tech person from the company. This team is analyzing every people-heavy process in the company, every area right now, whether it's infringement tracking or any other operations part, and is finding smarter AI bot-based solutions that can improve the overall efficiency and effectiveness of all these processes.

As promised, Pocket Aces has reached breakeven this year. We were committed to it.

Pocket Aces team was committed to it, and I'm very proud that we finally went out there and delivered what we had promised. The company has started making money, and we believe that as we people go forward, the profitability of the company will start going up.

This is over and above the benefits Pocket Aces ends up offering to the music business and the live events business of Saregama. All those benefits are accruing actually more on the Saregama side.

While global majors are today talking about expanding artist brands beyond streaming, we have been quietly building it over last 3 to 4 years. Today, it's already a meaningful EBITDA contributor through our artist management, live events, and brand partnerships vertical.

Artist management, the newer vertical under music, works by making artists popular through our IP releases, and then monetizing them via booking for live events, weddings, and more importantly, brand endorsements. Saregama gets a share of it.

During the quarter, we added another 30-odd artists, taking the total artists managed by the company to 300+, and these artists combined have over 400 million follower and subscriber base on digital world. As our investment in content goes up, does the investment in the artists.

In that case, the artists end up making money for us not just from the music, but also from their presence in various live events, brand partnerships. That becomes a second vertical through which you can go back and monetize the artist.

Live events, the other vertical that we people are using to extend our relationship with the artist, ended up launching its first music festival IP called Un40 in this quarter. Instead of competing with other festivals that are there in the market, we position our festival uniquely as a destination for only people under the age of 40, and hence the name Un40.

Also, instead of bringing in international artists to perform at this music festival, we took a conscious call that we will work only with the Indian artists. Rather than treating it as a weakness, we built it as a unique positioning of the Un40 festival, and that positioning helped.

Also, every other festival in the country has a particular format in which artists come out there and perform during festivals. We turned it on its head and said that apart from the artists performing, we will also have standup comedy acts in it, and we will have physical interactive games along the lines of what Takeshi's Castle used to do on television earlier.

There were games where multiple people were participating with each other in a funnier fashion, and I'm proud to say all these gambles that we people had taken for Un40 actually worked. We generated 12,000 footfalls along with eight sponsor brands coming on board.

Remember, this is season one of this festival. We plan to nurture this festival further and make it even bigger in financial year '27.

We expect this IP to break even by FY '28. Overall, live events vertical during the year saw a revenue of ₹62 crore.

I accept that this revenue number is far lower than FY '25, but please keep in mind FY '25 had a one-off event, which was Diljit Dosanjh India tour. These kinds of tours don't happen at that frequency.

If I remove that one-off revenue out, even the live vertical has seen growth this year. FY '27 will see us launching a series of small concerts under the Carvaan Live branding, targeting middle-aged and older audiences that enjoy sit-down premium music listening experience.

We're also increasing our focus on the American market. Tours with Ilaiyaraaja, Sudesh Bhosale, and Anup Jalota have already been announced.

Globally, music labels are increasingly focused on monetizing superfans. In fact, Luminate research shows superfans spend 105% more than the average listener, and 73% of them buy physical merchandise.

Carvaan Live and our diaspora-focused tours in America target exactly this audience segment within the Indian context: older, financially comfortable, and willing to pay a premium for curated experience with artists they grew up listening to. Our long-term belief in the potential of live events keeps getting reinforced every quarter, and we will continue upping our focus in this area.

Brand partnerships, as mentioned last time, we had created a new vertical called brand partnerships in order to maximize revenue from the brands across the various businesses that we have, which is music, live events, and short-format videos. In this last quarter, we partnered with brands such as Škoda, Lakmé, Hero, OpenAI, Coca-Cola, Ajio, and more.

Let me talk about the last vertical, which is video. On an annual basis, the video vertical has declined by 43% to ₹108 crore.

Let me very clearly state this: this decline is by design and has not happened by chance. We have shared this with many of you guys in the past that early in the year last year, we took a conscious call that we will wind down our own in-house film production business that we were doing under the Yoodlee brand name, and instead will invest in a production house.

During the year, we zeroed down on a potential partnership with Bhansalis and went ahead with that. That's the only reason why you are seeing a serious decline in the video vertical, and we are happy with this.

We don't expect video vertical to go up substantially within the company. The focus will stay primarily on TV serials and the digital content-only, primarily short format.

All our film ambitions and hence our need to secure music of big films, that ambition is going to be fulfilled only through our partnership with Bhansali Productions. As I come to the close of my address, what I'd like to share with you is that India is at an early stage of global streaming curve.

Keep in mind, this is a feature and not a bug. It means our growth is driven by subscriber expansion, ARPU expansion, and also format diversification simultaneously, while the mature Western market primarily depends only on price hike today.

We have three ways in which we know our revenue is going to go up. With that in mind, over the next few years, Saregama will continue investing in new music content.

This will contribute not only to the immediate growth, but also put the company on a long-term growth path. For the music vertical, which is licensed music, artist management, and retail, all combined, we continue with our medium-term guidance of 21% to 23% revenue growth, 21% to 23% CAGR in terms of revenue, with an annual EBITDA guidance for this vertical being anything between 60% to 65%.

Saregama's growth narrative will continue to be steady in the medium to long term thanks to the ever-increasing digital consumption, both in terms of new customers joining the market and existing customers consuming more. With over 650 million-plus internet users in India, our cash reserves, professional managerial depth, and access to the soundtracks of the best films, we will be able to drive earnings not just for the next 2 to 3 years, but for the next 20 to 30 years.

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. Happy to take questions.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to please use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

Our first question comes from the line of Abneesh Roy from Nuvama. Please go ahead.

Abneesh Roy

Congrats on very good numbers. My first question is on the two things which you highlighted.

First was weakness in Punjabi, I wanted to understand why this segment has been a bit on the lower side. Is it because it's niche market, or more competitive, or more expensive?

How much allocation you plan over the next 2 years in this? Second is on AI IP monetization.

How big can this be? Any examples from the developed market, and if you can talk more about this?

That is my first question.

Vikram Mehra

Okay. On the Punjabi side, we have experimented getting into this market twice over the last 6 years, and I'll be honest and confess that our strategy never worked out.

Any market that we get into, we need to keep a very tight balance between market share and the return on investment, which is a 5-year payback principle. The market is a very expensive market, but we also understand that if you get it right, the monetization happens not just from Punjabis living in India, but from US, Canada, and UK also.

Now we have been able to crack a model whereby we are working with more and more artists in a fashion that we do a combined deal with them both for the recorded music as well as doing live events with the same artist. This is where Saregama starts getting uniquely placed compared to all other players in the market, because we're the only guys who are playing across both recorded music and live.

I am fairly confident—hopefully not overconfident—I'm fairly confident that we will be able to crack it this time. Maybe by the end of the year or end of Q3, we'll be in a better position to share our performance with you.

Anyway, if you start following us on any of the social media, you will have the answer faster than even I can share with you. You were asking about AI.

See, what we are very clearly seeing that all this AI slop, which means purely AI-generated content which is from engines which have not been trained on any of the international music catalogs, that kind of content has come in a very big fashion. It's there.

It's there across all platforms. The fact of life is it's seeing no traction.

This and all the music labels globally and in India are working very closely with the leading three global streaming platforms making it very clear that when the content pool is going to get distributed across the labels, no value should get assigned to content which is getting generated purely through AI. There is no revenue leakage today, there is no market share loss happening today, and we are hopeful that platforms and IP owners will come to a reasonable agreement whereby the royalty moneys or the content pool moneys will get distributed only to genuine IP and not the AI slop.

Hopefully, I've answered your question. Yeah.

Abneesh Roy

Thank you. My second and last question will be you spent ₹235 crore on new content, given some of the movies which you said have been pushed to FY '27.

What will be the budget for FY '27? What will be the budget for FY '27?

In terms of Airtel Wynk, that service ending essentially, where would that customer for you would have gone, if any idea on that?

Vikram Mehra

Let me answer the first question. It's also part of our presentation that we are expecting our new content budget to be anything between ₹300 to ₹350 crore this year.

That's a range it will be in. As far as Airtel Wynk is, Airtel Wynk shut in November '24.

The customers have already got distributed across the other platforms. Which are the other platforms, it would be wrong on my part to tell you where did they exactly move.

That's a platform's prerogative. There's Spotify, there's Saavn, there's Amazon, there's Gaana, there's Apple, and then there's YouTube.

Abneesh Roy

Understood. Thank you.

That's all from my side.

Vikram Mehra

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Kavish Parekh from 361 Capital.

Please go ahead.

Kavish Parekh

Hi, team. Thanks for the opportunity, and congratulations on a great set of numbers for two quarters in a row.

My first question pertains to one of the notes to accounts. You seem to have written back provisions worth ₹99 million during the quarter.

Could you share what do these provisions pertain to, and where exactly is the impact reflected?

Vikram Mehra

This is something that happens every year. What we do is during the year, we build up a position on the provision side, and when the actual consumption data comes out, that's the time we're in a better position to decide how much royalty has to be paid or not pay.

Remember, I've shared this in the past, when all the new content is being bought, royalties are to be paid only on the Hindi film music. All the South Indian content and Hindi non-film content is one-time payment content, and there's no royalty overflow that happens.

Actual consumption reports from the platforms come at a much later stage, and that's why this is an actual process that happens every year. Whenever the reports come in, we go back and clear it.

Kavish Parekh

Does this in any way impact your revenue items, or is this entirely on the royalty line item, the cost side of it?

Vikram Mehra

See, what you need to do is also the other part right now I forgot to mention is you congratulated us on a Q3, Q4, but you need to congratulate us on Q1 to Q4, because it it very often happens is that some of the stuff right now which we had taken a provision in Q1 actually got unwound down in Q4. Please, every time when you're looking at our numbers, please Saregama's numbers always have to be looked at on a rolling 12-month basis.

That all these kind of factors start going out of the window. Even advances is a pretty good, decent another example I can throw in on a 12-month basis is when you're looking at want to look at a cash position, there are times right now when the advances come in and then finally that advance's position is getting winded down.

If we are going to be looking at on a quarter-on-quarter basis, we you will see a serious amount of ups and downs there. It's best always evaluate our numbers right now on a 12-month basis.

Kavish Parekh

No, sir. Understand that.

What I'm trying to understand is this one of the reasons for this provision write-back? Does this sit in your revenue, or is that the reason for the 42-odd percent EBITDA margins that you've reported?

Is this in any way aiding your growth, or is this only on the margin front?

Vikram Mehra

It's all sitting as part of your cost structures only.

Kavish Parekh

Nothing in the revenues?

Vikram Mehra

It's, as I said right now, all these are cost structures which are getting winded down.

Kavish Parekh

Understood. Pretty helpful.

Second, on your disclosures on page 20 of your deck, thanks for the clarification at the start of the call that music now includes licensing, retail, as well as artist management. Here, could you please explain the movement in margins?

What explains the sustained upmove in margins here from about sub-60% few quarters ago to 60%, and then the sharp jump to 68% today? Would you be able to attribute this to any particular vertical here, say licensing or artist or retail, or is this broad-based across the three?

Vikram Mehra

The individual, if you see right now the segmental results, you will realize we have also shared the individual results there at all times. Exactly out of this how the margins have changed right now on the artist management part.

Also, when you're looking at my margins, it's always better, once again, please look at on a 4-month Q4 looks like that much better than a Q2 or a Q1. The fact of life is it's about when the content got released.

In some quarter, the cost of the content is being recognized, but the revenue is going to be flowing in in the next quarter onwards. Overall, we had mentioned this that we were at a stage whereby we were really scaling up our content investments as far as new music is concerned.

As we people go forward, as we look at FY '28 to FY '30, we believe that our content investment should grow up only at closer to the rate of inflation, because we will be in a good position of a 25% to 30% market share of the newer content. As the new content investments start going up in a linear fashion and not a step-function fashion, you will see that first EBITDA and then PBT will start flowing the growth trajectory of the revenue growth.

Kavish Parekh

Understood. Thanks for that, Vikram.

Last question from my side. Organic content spend this year stood at about ₹235 crore, but the cash flow in the PPT states about ₹186 crore.

I understand this difference here pertains to the marketing spend. Your 9-month PPT mentioned about ₹228 crore in the PPT's cash flow.

That 228 seems to have come down to 186. Could you explain this movement?

Right.

Vikram Mehra

This specific one can I take offline with you right now, because I'll have to go through all the numbers when you're saying 9 months part. Broadly speaking is what we are sharing with you is the investment when we say the investment, it is in terms of the music that got released during the financial year.

The charge-off that we are taking right now will be connected not just to the music that got released this year, but also the charge-off of the music that got released over the last few years. Because we write off our music charges on the content side over a period of 10 years, while marketing gets written off in the same year.

Kavish Parekh

Understood. Sure.

Let's take this offline. Thank you.

Thanks, Vikram.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Aanchal Jalan with Lotus Wealth Family Office.

Please go ahead. Hello.

Aanchal Jalan

Thank you for taking my question, and congratulations on the good set of numbers. Sir, in the last concall also you had discussed that there is a potential of around 100 million paid subscribers in India.

Now also you said that 64% of free music users are ready to switch to paid subscription. Say hypothetically, if there are around 10 million paid subscribers in India, what would be our share in it in percentage terms?

Vikram Mehra

Ma'am, I can't go out there and share my market share in the market today. Remember, we are not getting the subscribers.

Spotify is getting the subscriber. When a Spotify subscriber is listening to music during the month, we get paid basis our market share of what subscriber heard during the month.

Are you with me?

Aanchal Jalan

Yes, sir.

Vikram Mehra

I don't own the subscriber. I partially own the consumption of that subscriber on that platform.

Aanchal Jalan

Yes. Can you give me some context, what would be our share in it, as in our consumption share in it?

Vikram Mehra

Ma'am, at this juncture, the other data point I can go back and share with you that in terms of revenue which is coming from the music side, we are the second-largest company in the country after T-Series. As far as new music is concerned, new music being defined as the music that was released over the last 12 months, we have number one position across multiple languages in the country.

Aanchal Jalan

Sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Avnish Sharma with JM Financial.

Please go ahead.

Avnish Sharma

Yeah. Can you hear me?

Vikram Mehra

Yes, please.

Avnish Sharma

Yeah. Congratulations on the good set of numbers.

I have a few questions. If you see a bit of history, the revenue for 4Q '24, the growth was around 40% at that time, but after that, the growth has remained subdued in terms of revenue.

It has improved over the last two quarters. My question is, should we expect the current trends that we have in revenue to continue in the coming quarters, or how should we look at the numbers then?

Vikram Mehra

I'm assuming you're talking about the music vertical.

Avnish Sharma

Music vertical, yeah.

Vikram Mehra

For music vertical, I had stated this in the past also that our growth was getting subdued, in fact I'll say over the last 2 years now, primarily on account of the fact that a lot of free streaming platforms had shut down, and their revenue numbers were sitting as part of that denominator, while those things were not available in numerator at all. You had four different platforms changing shape and form, some shutting down, some going fully behind the paywall.

That effect is completely over, which is the reason that it gives us the confidence to give you a guidance of 20% to 23% growth coming as overall music vertical, which is licensing, artist management, and we're also including the Carvaan business in this. We're fairly confident.

You will again have a quarter here and a quarter there, but on a full-year basis, we will live up to these kind of numbers.

Avnish Sharma

Understood. That's helpful.

The second question is on the margins in the music segment. There's a significant uptick in the margins this quarter.

Just wanted to understand the reason for the same.

Vikram Mehra

For this quarter?

Avnish Sharma

Yeah.

Vikram Mehra

Again, please don't look at from the quarter perspectives, because very good example will be Dhurandhar. Dhurandhar got released in the month of December.

The entire marketing cost of Dhurandhar is sitting in Q3, but it got released in the end part of December. A lot of revenue upside is sitting in Q4, while the marketing got written in Q3.

Whenever you're looking at us, please look at us on a 4-month four-quarter basis. That gives some kind of a uniformity, otherwise

Avnish Sharma

bada mushkil hota hai isko explain kar paana. Understood.

My last question is, in terms of the competition, we see the non-digital revenue has increased significantly for the competition. Just wanted to know our split of digital and non-digital, and trends over the past three, four quarters?

Vikram Mehra

Yeah. We don't disclose a digital, non-digital, but all I can go back and tell you, and you can check this from non-music labels.

Don't ask me or any of my competitors. Go to the normal industry people and check out.

The largest absolute number of non-digital revenue in the country still comes to Saregama. In fact, on digital, I'm number two, I'm not number one.

On non-digital, I'm number one.

Avnish Sharma

Understood. Yeah.

Thanks for the opportunity. Thanks.

All the best.

Vikram Mehra

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Prateek Poddar with Bandhan AMC. Please go ahead.

Prateek Poddar

Yeah. Hi.

Am I audible?

Vikram Mehra

Prateek.

Prateek Poddar

Yeah. Hi.

Just could you confirm, Vikram, that we had this headwind of discontinued platforms in the base. That is now over with.

Is that a fair understanding?

Vikram Mehra

It's over with. There's no platform sitting out there now in our denominator.

Prateek Poddar

Okay. The second question is just on events business.

While I understand and appreciate that this is a lumpy business from a revenue perspective, this quarter I saw a loss in the events business. That was something which I couldn't understand.

Was it that

Vikram Mehra

Yeah. I added as part of my opening commentary, we people launched our first festival IP this year.

Typically, festival IPs take anything between 3 to 4 years to do a breakeven. That loss is all primarily going because of Un40.

I expect this trend to continue. Only in FY '28 do we expect the festival to do a breakeven.

Every time you have any bit of debate on a festival, just look at the Coachella numbers, and then you start realizing that festivals take 5, 7 years to build. After that, they become massive profit machines, because the biggest beauty of festival is you're not dependent on any one individual artist.

You can keep on changing artists because the festival is bigger than the artist.

Prateek Poddar

Understood. This would be a quarterly phenomenon, right?

It's not for the year. This festival, the Un40 festival, which I heard,

Vikram Mehra

Un40 will be an annual phenomenon, this festival. We may end up launching another one or two festivals if we believe there's a decent term of opportunity there.

Un40 is an annual thing. We've already announced Un40 for February '27.

Prateek Poddar

Okay. Once in a year, right?

Vikram Mehra

Yeah.

Prateek Poddar

Okay. Is there a budget of amount of losses you would want to keep aside, or let's say the investments, it's not losses, it's actually investments for the future, how much would you want to keep aside?

Vikram Mehra

Let's put it this way: you have seen the numbers now. This was year one, and year one takes the largest amount of losses because you are trying to establish.

Now there are already expectations. We know brand revenues are going to go up further.

We know the number of tickets we will be able to sell are going to go up further. The losses are going to come down.

They are not going to go up on a festival-by-festival basis. Typically, if one is running the festival business in a financially prudent fashion, after year one, you need to take a call is it working or not.

If not, shut it down. If it's working, year two, you make it bigger, but ensure right now your losses come down.

Prateek Poddar

Superb. Last question, just on the video segment, given that you have already called out that we would be going through a production house and you will be winding down the video business, how should I think about capital employed and then overall margins, right?

I think you called out segmental margins, and you did give a guidance. The revenue mix changes, right?

Essentially, a lot of our revenue now comes from music plus artist plus retail and a bit of events, and video sits with the production house. How should I think about company-level margins?

Vikram Mehra

The guidance that I have given right now are for the EBITDA margins only of the music vertical and nothing else. Video part, listen, we are still going through this churn state.

It'll take us a year or something to stabilize. The Bhansali Productions numbers are going to get enter our books right now in terms of what is the exact name right now?

Share of net profit of associate accounted for using the equity method. That's a line

Pankaj Kedia

under which we are going to be putting the numbers of our partner company. Our own video vertical, we are not greenlighting any major new projects.

Whatever was there in the pipeline, that's the only thing we want to complete in financial year '27. Our focus will continue on the shorter format and TV series and digital series business.

That business typically is, if run well, should always be a profitable business. In the past, we have always been profitable in that part of the business.

You're looking at margins that are anything between what, 8% to 15%, net margins of 8% to 15%, 8% to 18%. Very little capital actually gets allocated to series business.

Vikram Mehra

Most of the times, you take advances from the platforms or the TV channels and make content using that. The only place where we end up taking some of our own bets, which is numbers which run into lakhs, not even crores, is what we do on the short-format side.

From the capital allocation perspective, to answer your question, we earlier indicated to you guys that between our video vertical and the live vertical, the total capital of that will get allocated will be 18% of the total capital deployed. That number is going to go down dramatically, will be in the mid-single digits now.

Prateek Poddar

Fantastic. Thanks.

This was helpful. Best wishes.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Yash Bajaj with Lucky Investments.

Please go ahead.

Yash Bajaj

Good afternoon, team, and thanks for the opportunity, and congratulations for a great set of numbers. My first question is on our plans of the ₹1,000 crore spend on new content acquisition.

Should we consider FY '27 as the fag-end years for this kind of investment, if we take a FY '25, FY '26,

Vikram Mehra

and

Yash Bajaj

FY '27 cumulative numbers?

Vikram Mehra

Yep. You're absolutely right.

FY '25, '26, '27 was ₹1,000 crore odd, and we will be in that ballpark in that space only. Our intent is from '28 onwards, increase it only in a linear fashion and no more step jumps in new content investment.

We are happy with our current 25% to 30% market share that we have of the new music coming out in the market.

Yash Bajaj

Got it. Understood.

My second question is, and thank you for actually kind of giving a detailed explanation of how the music business and the EBITDA margins and profit margins look like. My only question here is that what is the difference between music EBITDA percentage and music net margin percentage?

Is it that the music EBITDA percentage has

Vikram Mehra

only

Yash Bajaj

marketing and production?

Vikram Mehra

If you see that specific slide in the presentation, we've written about it. Music net margin is EBITDA less content charge.

The content charge that we are taking for the newer content has not been deducted when we calculate EBITDA. You deduct that, you get the net margins.

Yash Bajaj

Okay. Understood.

Just a question around this as well, like you mentioned that we have to look at the P&L on a rolling four-quarter basis, if we take financial year '25 music net margin percentage compared to financial year '26 music net margin percentage, there is an increase from a 42% to I think 47%, 48%. What explains that 600 bps improvement, if you can help us understand that?

Vikram Mehra

All verticals and the biggest vertical remains the licensing vertical. What you are seeing is that initial years content investment that we had done, the heavy lifting of the charge that we had taken had happened in '25.

All the content that we people did in '25, and there are massive hits like Ikk Kudi which is sitting there or an Amaran which is sitting out there in FY '25, the bigger charge of that has been taken in '25, while the revenue benefits of that will keep on accruing to us over the years. '26 is a good example of it.

Last year when our numbers were going on the flatter side, I had stated this that the numbers in '25 were on the flatter side compared to '24 because we had just jumped into new content investment in a meaningful fashion. Though the revenues were going up, the charge-off was also very, very big, and hence the overall profitability was going on the flattish side.

This year onwards, while our content investment is there, but the benefit of '24 and '25 is also coming to '26. You with me?

Yash Bajaj

Okay. Understood.

Yes. Got it.

See,

Vikram Mehra

the beauty of music business is that once you have done the heavy charge-off in the beginning and if you do your music selection in a correct fashion, and you keep on doing that some amount of drip marketing throughout behind a hit song, the song has got a very long life and it will keep on generating revenues for you.

Yash Bajaj

No, very clear, sir. Just one final question is, just on the subscription part of the business, if you can help us understand what proportion of our business would be subscription today or if you're not comfortable sharing that,

Vikram Mehra

if you can

Yash Bajaj

help us understand the growth rate between, suppose, subscription versus free music?

Vikram Mehra

No. Saregama directly has no subscription.

Spotify has subscription, YouTube has subscription.

Yash Bajaj

Paid, paid. Paid.

Vikram Mehra

No. See, let me not go back and share that data.

It's just too competitor-sensitive data. The fact of life is that the moneys that we were making from the free side of audio streaming platforms are flattish, and I'm acknowledging it.

Growth that you're seeing in the numbers that is coming in and numbers are there in front of you is all coming courtesy the paid subscription side.

Yash Bajaj

Got it.

Vikram Mehra

Remember, it's just we are right at the beginning. We have the massive play left in terms of new subscribers coming in, ARPU expansion, and various other monetization mechanisms coming in.

Our unfortunate part is that even the Latin American countries are far ahead of us in terms of penetration, but the positive part is there's a massive road in front of us.

Yash Bajaj

Understood, sir. Thank you, and all the best.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Govindarajan Chellappa from CSIM.

Please go ahead.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Yeah. Hi.

Thanks for taking my question. I had three of them.

First, just a clarification. In your presentation, you've mentioned that you expect music net margins to improve by 300 to 500 basis points in 3 to 5 years.

In essence, you're expecting the EBIT margins to move from 46-odd to a sustainable 50%. Is that understanding correct?

Yeah.

Vikram Mehra

In fact, if I'm looking at the EBIT margins currently also of music, our are hovering around 60% odd, if you look at my slide,

Govindarajan Chellappa

not the net margin.

Vikram Mehra

You're talking about the net margins. If you are talking about the net margin percentages, which are somewhere hovering between 46% to 50%, yes, over next 3 to 5 years, you should have 300 to 500 bps increase coming on our music business, everything else remaining as it is.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Okay. This would be a linear increase, or you think this will be back-ended?

Vikram Mehra

No. It may take us another year or two for the buildup to start happening.

What we are realizing is that as our digital footprint is becoming stronger and bigger, a big advantage is coming in that the incremental marketing cost that I have to incur to promote a song, a decent chunk of that I'm able to go out there and do it because of the Pocket Aces digital footprint. That is the kind of saving we end up accruing in the system.

That process has started. It will not be a single-step jump that will happen, but it will be linear, but linear where the angle is a little lower in the beginning and becomes steeper as we go ahead.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Okay. Understood.

My second question is on short-format videos. Right now, I think you get paid a fixed fee per annum by each of the platforms.

Is this an annual contract? Is it renewed annually, and what is the basis for renewal?

You've mentioned that there could be conversations around sharing ad spends on short format. If you could give an update on that.

Yeah.

Vikram Mehra

Actually nothing has changed over the last 1 year. This is one of the areas which bothers us.

Short-format content in all our deals are 1-year deals, and the renewal typically happens basis the usage of our content during the year. Yes, we are able to get some kind of a step jump, but it is not as ideal as an advertising-driven model is, because in advertising-driven model, you straightaway see its benefit accruing right now to your bottom line, what happens with YouTube free service.

Short-format content, all the licensing to short-format services is still a fixed-fee deal renewed on an annual basis.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Okay. My last question is on this line item, unallocable expenditure.

It's moved from ₹7-odd crore in FY '23 to ₹74 crore in FY '26. What are the components of this?

Has there been any reclassification, and how do we think about growth in this expenditure over the next few years?

Vikram Mehra

I think, unfortunately, I don't have our CFO at this moment. Can I ensure right now somebody calls you up and takes you through these numbers in detail?

Govindarajan Chellappa

Because

Vikram Mehra

you're quoting '23 to '26 movement now.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Yeah. Every year it has doubled.

No.

Vikram Mehra

We will go back and sit with you. See, the core part I can go back and say that the core management team is all sitting in there, there is some amount of manpower cost also that is sitting in.

Kuldeep, do you have an answer to this, if you can help?

Sir?

Vikram Mehra

From FY

Govind, can you repeat your query? We just lost you in between.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Yeah. The unallocable expenditure, which comes below the segmental results, it moved from ₹7 crore in FY '23 to 16 in '24 to 36 in '25 and ₹74 crore in FY '26.

Right? That's a 10 10x increase in that expenditure.

If we see comparison between '25 and '26, in FY '25 it was ₹37 crore and it is now ₹73 crore. Because this unallocable expense is net of other income, which is the income which we do in investment in mutual funds and FDs.

Now when we are investing in the content, we are realizing that those investment, and that is where the interest income has dropped. As a result of the same, you are seeing that delta in this expense.

Vikram Mehra

This is one of the major reason of increase in the expense which you see here.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Okay. Sorry, maybe I can

Vikram Mehra

As the QIP funds are getting utilized, either in terms of purchases of Pocket Aces, then happened Bhansali, and our new music content that we are doing, the interest income on that capital is coming down, which means the netting-off effect is coming down. In reality, the unallocable expenses are not going up in any alarming fashion.

It's just the netting-off portion which is giving this illusion as if they're going up.

Govindarajan Chellappa

Okay. I think I need to take this offline because between FY '23 and FY '26,

Vikram Mehra

the

Govindarajan Chellappa

other income has dropped only ₹10 crore, whereas this has gone up by almost ₹70 crore. Yeah.

Please.

Vikram Mehra

Happy to go back and

Govindarajan Chellappa

Yeah. Okay.

I'll take this offline. Thank you.

Vikram Mehra

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Sanmat Jain from Kamayakya Wealth Management.

Please go ahead.

Sanmat Jain

Yeah. Hi.

Am I audible?

Vikram Mehra

Yes, please.

Sanmat Jain

Yeah. I had a couple of questions.

I wanted to know about the revenue from social media platforms. Suppose an influencer posts a reel using our music, what's the deal structure and how much do we make from that one reel?

What's the revenue model there?

Vikram Mehra

I had answered this, I think, just last question only. All our social media platform deals are flat-fee deals.

That means we get paid a flat fee by this platform for utilization of our music across reels or posts during the year. You're not getting paid right now on a per-reel basis.

This license is restricted only for individual consumption and usage. A brand cannot take advantage of this and post any reel of theirs.

Brands have to negotiate a license from us directly.

Sanmat Jain

Okay. Understood.

Okay. My other question was related to the investment part.

Suppose we do ₹350 crore in FY '27 to reach our stated target of ₹1,000 crore, but from FY '28, what investment budget are we planning?

Vikram Mehra

We are looking at a linear increase as we people go forward post-FY '27, because principally we are comfortable with 25% to 30% market share that we will get with the 300 to ₹350 crore content investment. As you go forward, you can look at anything in terms of very high single digit to a very low double-digit percentage increase on year-on-year basis.

Sanmat Jain

Okay. Accha.

Considering the base of ₹350 crore for FY '27, incremental to that, you're saying, right? Suppose ₹400 crore kind of number?

Yep.

Vikram Mehra

Yeah. See, for me, at this juncture, 12 months away, it's more of a philosophical question.

Our philosophy is clear that we started from zero investment in this company on new music. We have ramped it up in a very rapid fashion over the last 3 years to give ourselves clear leadership position in multiple languages, to get ourselves a 25% to 30% ke beech ka market share on a pan-India basis in terms of new music.

We want to consolidate our position here. We don't want to go back and do another massive step-function jump here.

Sanmat Jain

Okay. Thank you.

That's it from my side.

Vikram Mehra

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Rohan Nagpal with Helios Capital Management.

Please go ahead.

Rohan Nagpal

Hey, thanks for taking my question. Am I audible?

Vikram Mehra

Yes, please.

Rohan Nagpal

Good set of numbers. I just want to understand the seasonality that we see in the music revenues that we're booking even after taking out artist management.

There seems to be a steady increase through the year. What is the underlying driver of that increasing streaming or licensing revenue Q1

Vikram Mehra

to Q4? Sir, I'm so sorry.

You will have to repeat your question. Could not hear you.

Hello?

Rohan Nagpal

Hello.

Operator

Rohan?

Rohan Nagpal

Sorry, Rohan, your

Operator

Rohan, please go ahead with your question once again. Your audio wasn't clear earlier.

Rohan Nagpal

Okay. There's a clear sort of increasing trend between Q1 and Q4 on the music revenue that we generate ex-Carvaan and ex-artist management?

Increasing licensing revenue. I want to understand what is the driver of this increasing revenue in licensing between Q1 and Q4 through the years?

Yeah.

Vikram Mehra

Between Q1, Q4, actually the biggest factor is which big albums is getting released. A lot of this revenue that you're seeing right now is also governed by the new music releases.

Typically in our country, Q1 being the IPL time, you will have less new big movies getting released during the year. Q3 being the Diwali time ends up seeing a massive release in terms of new music, and then the December-January timeframe is very, very big, one being Christmas, second being around Onam.

Why am I saying Onam? Around 14th of January, 14th January becomes a very big release date in South India, and then 14th February becomes a very big release date across the country as far romantic movies are concerned.

You typically in our country have bigger releases coming in Q3, Q4. The only date that stands out is around Onam wala date, which is from 15th August to end of the August, where you do have big Malayalam and sometimes patriotism-driven Hindi films also coming out.

That's the level of seasonality. You may have seen sometimes that Q2 may become bigger than Q3 also, and we have seen that in the past happening with us.

Q1 typically is the most muted one because there are very few releases. The other factor which you need to keep in mind for Q4 is that there are some of the commercial relationships where the money hits us only at the end of the year.

This typically happens with various relationships we have with various societies. They're able to go out there and finish the reconciliation for the entire year and release the moneys only, typically.

They do two or three tranches mein payment, but if they're getting delayed, primarily all the payments end up hitting you on Q4. That's why, like a stuck record, I'll repeat, please look at us on a rolling 12-month basis.

Rohan Nagpal

Understood. That's really helpful.

Thank you. Then the other question I have was there's a sharp decrease in the advertisement and sales promotion expenses here.

Is that on account of events not being there this year, or not with the same intensity, or is there some other factor driving that?

Vikram Mehra

No. I think two big factors start coming in here.

One, you have nailed it. Last year's also included all the advertising that we people had done for the Diljit Dosanjh show.

Also, we have scaled down the video vertical this year, very few new films were released by us this year, while '25 also had film advertising expenses sitting in. This is not just music.

Music, there isn't that much amount of change. There is some amount of reduction because if you see the content investment that we have done during the year, which is a combination of content plus marketing on new music, has come down compared to the previous year.

These movies like Paradise and Love & War, had they got released as earlier planned in February, March timeframe, these expenses would have been a little higher.

Rohan Nagpal

Understood. The last question, there's a sharp decrease in the content charging cost this quarter.

Is that because there was the Dhurandhar marketing spend that was incurred in Q3, which is not there in Q4, or is there some other factor?

Vikram Mehra

Please, saal bhar ke basis pe kijiye. Quarter-on-quarter becomes very tricky.

When it goes up, but when the numbers move in our favor, also we don't take that credit on a quarter-on-quarter basis. Evaluate us on a 12-month basis becomes that much easier.

Rohan Nagpal

Koi

Vikram Mehra

movie release ho rahi hai agar 27th of December, now it will get the marketing cost spread kaise hoga, uspe depend karta hai. Is it front-loaded, is it back-loaded, and everything changes.

If the movie is getting released in December, was the last song also released in December? If the last song was also released, we will consider the entire content charge, otherwise the content charge moves to January.

That's why it's always better to evaluate this thing on a 12-month basis.

Rohan Nagpal

Fair enough. Understood.

Thank you very much.

Vikram Mehra

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Manish Gupta from Equinox Investment Advisors.

Please go ahead.

Manish Gupta

Thank you for taking my question. Sir, is the IPRS movement affected revenues, especially after Calcutta High Court ruling in that Vodafone case?

Vikram Mehra

Sir, it did not have any implication on us. I'll just leave it there.

Manish Gupta

Okay. Secondly, sir, I understand that market price of the stock is neither your focus and it should not be, and not under your control.

However, markets are said to be voting machines in the short run and weighing machines in the long term. Saregama has been on a downtrend for several quarters now, not withstanding today, which we are grateful for.

Is there anything fundamentally altered or disrupted in the music industry or Saregama's business which is causing this downtrend, in your opinion?

Vikram Mehra

Sir, I'll not comment, as you rightly said. I am not going to be commenting on the pricing, the P part of it.

I am, and the management team is, fully accountable on the EPS part of it. All I can go back and say is Saregama 3 years back when we decided to get into new music, we had made a statement at that particular time that we are preparing this company for 2050.

This company had made a mistake in year 2000 by deciding not to invest in new music content. It's easy for us today, right, if we sit and say that the only thing we want to drive is profitability.

All that board has to go back and decide is that from now onwards, we will not invest in new content. If we do that, and is it a very conscious part that we want to drive only profitability from music today, growth and a long-term sustainability is not something that we want to drive, this company can become a 75% margin business tomorrow.

Because in music business, that's your beauty. There's very limited cost once you have already paid for the content that you have taken, and the music keeps on making money for you on a long-term basis.

We took a conscious call, and that time also we had prepared the market saying that going has been great, but the going has been great only on the back of the catalog. We don't want a situation 20 years down the line that the kids of that time ask that who was Kishore Kumar or who was R.

D. Burman?

Because what Kishore Kumar is for us today, 20 years down the line, Arijit will have. We are just investing in newer content in an aggressive enough fashion.

When you invest so heavily in newer content, especially on a step-function jump, in the short run, the increase in revenue will get matched completely by the charge-off on content that you're taking. We are slowly getting out of that cycle now.

If you are congratulating us for the Q4 results, believe you me right now the real game of this started 3 years ago. We are now slowly getting into a position where the benefits will start accruing to us.

Manish Gupta

Fantastic, sir. My second and last question is that the new generation is now watching reels all the time.

Does it or can it affect music revenues in coming time?

Vikram Mehra

Sir, do-teen cheezein hain. Ek to Saregama owns 92.

91% of Pocket Aces, which owns the biggest Gen Z channel jahan pe log reels dekhte hain. Saregama also owns through Pocket Aces, FilterCopy, which is the ultimate reels place for people under the age of 30.

I have a play there. Second, anybody else who's using a reel at any particular time, you'll realize majority of the reels, I don't give another percentage, but bulk of the reels you will see on any of the social media will have music attached to it.

There is a monetization that ends up happening right now on the music side, too. For us, whether it's presence on social media, presence on a TV channel, presence on a digital series, or a film, anytime a video is seen, there is a high probability our music will get attached to it, which becomes another touchpoint for us to monetize.

We look at this expansion of reels with a lot of positivity.

Manish Gupta

Okay. Thank you very much, sir.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Resham Jain from DSP Asset Managers.

Please go ahead.

Resham Jain

Yeah. Hi.

Sir, just one question. If you can share the revenue from the content which has been bought over the last 5 years, if that number can be shared.

Because there is hardly any way you have this payback period in mind of 5 years, but for us, very difficult to assess how profitable it is. If you can share at least the last 5-year cumulative revenue in this year, FY '26, of the content bought, that will at least be helpful for us to evaluate.

Vikram Mehra

I'll tell you how you can arrive at this if you check out my last corporate presentation. There we have shared data with you that what percentage of the total revenue on the music side is coming actually from the music release after 2020.

That data is as of FY '25, does not include the '26 data, and we will be releasing that part also shortly. Till '25, you will get that information.

If I remember my numbers correctly, 40% of the total revenue that we people had is music released between '21 to '24. This is as of May '25 data.

Resham Jain

Okay. If I then look at the overall revenue, because now you have artists' management and other things also, obviously music revenue also is separate, but then the CAGR growth of the old music, as you mentioned in your comments also that it is inflation-driven, how should then one look at that part?

Because that seems to be growing much slower than maybe some of the other competitors.

Vikram Mehra

No. I disagree with that part.

I am not going to talk about competitors, please. I'm talking about our absolute numbers here.

The catalog growth that we people have seen for us on an apple-to-apple basis, what does mean is that I'm going to be comparing my catalog growth on Spotify over the last 3 years or a Saavn over the last 3 years or a YouTube over the last 3 years, we are growing at this juncture higher than inflation also. We are fairly confident this growth is going to get further accelerated as we go ahead.

Let me take this opportunity to also share with you that we are now creating a newer experiment within the company whereby we are saying that how can we use the capability of the generative AI to create enhanced content and properties around older music that we people have, which may be generative AI-driven music videos for a Hemant Kumar song or an S. D.

Burman ka song, or it may be podcasts which will be connected to the older songs that we people have, which gives us not only an opportunity to promote the older music, but also find a fresh way to monetize the older music. When you are going to be looking at my numbers, do keep in mind, the moment you do absolute catalog to absolute catalog, there's a decline because music had a decline, because we had platforms like Resso shutting down, we had platforms like Wynk shutting down, we had Gaana going from a free to pay completely, we had Hungama shutting down.

Overall numbers fell down in a dramatic enough fashion, which is the reason why you see music revenue growth except the last two quarters were going on a more muted basis. On an apple-to-apple comparison basis right now, the catalog is growing.

Resham Jain

Okay. Understood.

Perfect. All the best, and really admirable the way you communicate and show the passion about your business.

Thanks for that. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question is from the line of Sandeep Agarwal from Naredi Investment.

Please go ahead.

Sandeep Agarwal

Yeah. Thank you for the opportunity.

My question is this: our performance regarding the last 3 years, our competitor company also having market cap of ₹8,000 crore, approximate similar to our, and we have same P/E 37. Our competitor company ROCE is 122, while our ROCE is 17%.

They said 1990 music revived their top line and bottom line, while we have a more good library of music song, but we can't perform. Will you tell where we are weak?

They have ₹59 crore content cost last year, and we have approx ₹235 crore. Their write-off content cost 100% on release itself.

They have also good property to monetize in Dum Dum area. Still, we have far away from them.

Just comment.

Vikram Mehra

Sir, I can talk only about myself. If you have any question directly connected to Saregama, I'm happy to discuss.

I'll not like to pass any comments on my competitor's business.

Sandeep Agarwal

This is Hello? Hello?

Vikram Mehra

Sandeep, you are audible. Please go ahead.

Operator

We can hear you. Go ahead.

Sandeep Agarwal

Hello?

Operator

Sandeep, go ahead, please.

Sandeep Agarwal

Yeah. I just want to know my question is regarding the performance of our company.

Why we are not performing?

Vikram Mehra

Sir, I don't know how you are calling it not performing. The Indian music industry growth numbers have been published.

This is a neutral study. None of us are involved in that part.

EY has gone out there and done it as part of FICCI report. IMI, which is the music industry's apex body, has gone back and published this.

Both of them are saying music industry during the year grew up between 7% to 8%. Somebody's saying 6%, other is saying 8%.

That's the industry growth rate. In that industry growth rate, the only reason Saregama has been able to grow faster because we aggressively bought newer content.

The fact our newer content has worked can be checked on YouTube, can be checked on Instagram, can be checked on Spotify, sir. You can go to various charts of Spotify, see that when I'm saying my content has worked, there are third party which is saying that the content has gone out there and worked.

I know there's far better work we people can do, and we will try our very best to improve our numbers even further. Saying that our revenue is not growing or our strategy is not working will be a little unfair, sir.

I don't know about competition. I know absolute numbers that are there in the market.

I also promise you and commit to you right now that the numbers in terms of profitability, as we go forward with the strategic approach we took 3 years back, as we continue on that path, are going to become even better. Sir,

Sandeep Agarwal

just one more. Sir, the company has been an aggressive content investment cycle, ₹1,000 crore across financial year '25 to '27, which is very exciting.

However, from the shareholder perspective, the ROE has been around 13% for the last 3 years. The stock has some correction, could you management help us in

Vikram Mehra

this end? When we people raised the QIP, it was with a very specific thing in mind that we want to go out there and invest in content that will get us ready for future.

The first strategic call we take right now that the music has to be invested in, you're already seeing the results. We are growing far faster than the publicly acknowledged and published growth rate of the industry.

Second, we took a call to go back and buy Pocket Aces. The fact that in last 2 years we have been able to go out there and turn around Pocket Aces and make it a huge marketing machine, and it's growing at a very fast pace.

Third, we have taken a conscious call to go out there and invest in Bhansali Productions. This will ensure that in the days to come, the most valuable film albums that will be coming out in the market will automatically go to Saregama at a pre-agreed and negotiated price so that I have some kind of a control on the cost escalation that may happen in a very, very competitive market.

The results of all this will start coming out. The equity that was raised has been invested in these areas, and we are on the path finally to go back and increase the ROE.

Are we happy with a 13.5% ROE? We are not, sir.

We know this that journey has to be traversed through. We are traveling on that journey, and hopefully we are taking care of the guardrails.

We may make mistakes here and there, but the intent is very, very clear that in the end, the ROE has to go up, because eventually shareholder value improvement is the final goal for everybody.

Sandeep Agarwal

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Akshay Jogani with Exponent Prime.

Please go ahead.

Akshay Jogani

Hi, Vikram. Thank you for the opportunity, and congratulations on a good set of numbers.

Am I audible?

Vikram Mehra

Yes, please.

Akshay Jogani

Perfect. Thank you.

Vikram, a couple of questions. Like you mentioned that the headwind on the platforms shutting down or switching off free is sort of behind you.

Over the next 1 to 2 years, as platforms sort of start pushing and they have already started pushing premium, do you expect the growth rates to now sort of kind of mirror their growth rates, or do you think there are more changes within the industry structure that kind of are expected?

Vikram Mehra

No. One part is what I'm expecting, second is the guidance I'm happy to give at this juncture knowing the current situation.

In the current scenario, looking at the subscription growth rate that is happening, for the music vertical

Akshay Jogani

of ours,

Vikram Mehra

which for the sake of simplicity we've now added retail also to it, we are projecting our 20% to 23% CAGR over the next 3 to 5 years. Can this change dramatically into a hockey-stick effect?

It can. If anything is to go by, look at the subscription data in other parts of the world.

Even a Latin American country is sitting out there at 13% and 15%, which will be five times of what we people are today, and those numbers are not very difficult to achieve. All that one or two of the leading platforms have to go back and do is that they just shut the tap of the free content.

They're all making the right noises. The subscription, when it's going to take off, what I can promise you is that the day subscription generally take off, we are not talking of double-digit growths there.

You will see numbers going out there and literally doubling, if need be, on an year-on-year basis for the first few years. It will be hockey-stick effect.

Till that time it doesn't happen, I can't go back and give you a guidance on that. We believe in that very strongly.

We believe subscription story has played out in every part of the world. In India, it's playing out on the video side now.

The T-VOD story is playing out on the gaming side in India now. We understand that the younger generation is comfortable with the idea of paying for digital content.

I am 50-plus. My age group has a serious problem paying for anything on digital.

Even I start thinking koi free ka tareeka nikal sakta hai kya? The younger people don't think that way.

Akshay Jogani

They

Vikram Mehra

have not grown in the world of digital always being free, and they're comfortable paying for better experiences and not necessarily trying to find out an easy way out. The fact of life is somebody has to shut the free supply and make pay on an affordable basis.

India is not a $5 market. Any company that will try that is going to burn themselves here.

India is a dollar, dollar and a half kind of a market, but you can easily generate numbers of 100 million.

Akshay Jogani

Sure. One of the things you spoke in this conversation earlier was that at a directional level, your free part of the revenue within music has remained flattish, while a large part of growth has come from the paid part, right?

Vikram Mehra

Now,

Akshay Jogani

I understand that over the last 1, 1 and 1/2 years, there's been CPM pressures, there has been, I think, YouTube algorithm changes, and YouTube itself has sort of not grown as much as they would have probably thought. At least our understanding is that.

Is that something that you expect to change over the next year as well? Sir,

Vikram Mehra

when I gave you that number right here of free being flat, this was more for audio OTT than the video OTT. YouTube for us has seen a growth, if that's the direct question, on free

Akshay Jogani

and

Vikram Mehra

pay both. Remember, video OTT every year there's some other or new pressure that starts coming up.

I think the ban of real-money games ended up taking a large revenue stream out of YouTube. The good part for us is because the kind of content we are putting out is more film music, which is more family content that's going in, we as a category got affected less by the going out of RMG advertising money, and hence on YouTube we were able to show a healthy growth, both on the free and the pay side.

Akshay Jogani

Actually,

Vikram Mehra

I have heard this story of people saying that their numbers from video OTT are going down. That doesn't apply to us.

Akshay Jogani

Okay. Interesting.

Sure. Thank you, and best of luck for the coming years.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as the last question for today.

I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Vikram Mehra

Thank you, everyone. Many of you guys have complimented us on our Q4 results.

Please remember, you are finally seeing the fruits of what was started by us as a company 3 years ago. This trend, hopefully, is going to become even more pronounced as we people go forward.

Always keep in mind, we in India are operating in world's most underpenetrated large music market with the most dominant catalog, which is growing by 5,500 songs every year, a net debt-free balance sheet, and a 650 million digital footprint. Every global trend—subscription growth, ARPU expansion, superfan monetization, catalog purchases, and diversification that goes beyond streaming, which includes live events—has a much longer runway in India than anywhere else.

Saregama is the cleanest way for anybody to own this thesis. Thank you, and look forward to talking to you guys again next quarter.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Emkay Global Financial Services Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you all for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.