Sobha Limited

Sobha Limited

1,172.35
INR
-23.15
(-1.94%)
126.84BMarket Cap
Feb 05Next Earn

Q4 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptMay 5, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Sobha Limited Q4 FY '26 earnings conference call hosted by ICICI Securities Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Adhidev Chattopadhyay from ICICI Securities.

Thank you and over to you, sir.

Adhidev Chattopadhyay

Good evening, everyone. On behalf of ICICI Securities, I'd like to welcome everyone on the Sobha Limited call today.

From the management, as always, we have with us Mr. Jagadish Nangineni, the Managing Director, and Mr.

Yogesh Bansal, the Chief Financial Officer. I would now like to hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks.

Over to you. Thank you.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Adhidev. Good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us on this call for Q4 FY '26.

In today's call, we'll briefly go through the operational highlights of the year and a little bit about the future. FY '26 has been an exceptional year for the company.

Our real estate sales reached an all-time high of ₹8,136 crores with strong and consistent average quarterly run rate of approximately ₹2,000 crores. We have achieved an average price realization of ₹14,675 per square feet compared to ₹13,412 previous year, which is reflecting growth of around 9.4%.

From here, we expect to grow at a similar rate as last year. Last year, we have done about 30% growth in terms of sales, and similar rate is what we expect this FY '27 as well.

Bangalore recorded its highest ever annual sales of about ₹4,500 crores with both new launches doing well and sustenance sales also doing well during the year. NCR region delivered a highest ever annual sales of about ₹2,450 crores with our expansion into Greater Noida.

Both Bangalore and NCR together contributed about 85% of our sales. Kerala region maintained steady momentum with about ₹800 crores and other regions contributing about ₹400 crores.

In terms of project launches, we launched about 6.04 million square feet during FY '26. Some of the planned launches were delayed due to multiple factors, both external and internal.

Having said that, in April '26 itself, we successfully launched our project in Gurgaon, which is Sobha Crescent Phase 1. It has received good response.

Looking ahead, we plan to launch in this financial year at least about again more than 50%, close to about 10 million square feet is what we look to launch across Bangalore, Gurgaon, Hyderabad, Thrissur, and Pune. That we will be able to do in the next.

Overall, we have a pipeline of 20.67 million square feet in various stages of design and approval, which we plan to launch in the next 6 to 8 quarters, of which about 10 million we expect to launch in this FY '27 itself. Our non-real estate businesses, which include manufacturing, contracting, and retail, have continued to perform steadily.

These businesses also play a critical role in strengthening our backward integrated model and ensuring consistent delivery of world-class quality. We expect to maintain a similar run rate with these businesses as well with improved profitability.

On the project completion front for the real estate, we delivered 1,087 homes during the fourth quarter, taking the total to 3,188 homes equivalent to 5.4 million square feet for the year. This again has seen an increase of about 19% compared to previous year.

We are accelerating our delivery and we hope to achieve at least similar growth in the next year as well. In terms of revenue recognition and margins, we witnessed significant improvement in the fourth quarter, primarily driven by receipt of occupancy certificates, which got delayed in the third quarter earlier.

We currently have an unrecognized real estate revenue of about ₹18,600 crores, and we have shown in our investor presentation as well that we expect an EBITDA margin of at least about 30% plus there. The projects that are nearing completion and expected to be recognized in the next 12 months are likely to deliver higher margins in the range of 24% to 26%, significant improvement from this year.

Hence, we expect significant improvement in our P&L even in FY '27 with improving margins over the quarters and probably a little bit higher towards the end of Q3 and Q4. In conclusion, the company has built a strong foundation supported by record sales performance, robust launch pipeline, and steady operational execution, and clear visibility of margin expansion.

We believe we are very well positioned to sustain this growth momentum in FY '27 and beyond. With this, I'd like to hand over the call to our CFO, Mr.

Yogesh Bansal, to take you through the financial details.

Yogesh Bansal

Good evening, everyone. I am pleased to present our financial performance for the fourth quarter and financial year 2025-2026.

FY '26 was characterized by strong operating execution and disciplined capital allocation. We delivered record sales while strengthening liquidity and reducing leverage, ending the year in a net debt negative position.

Our focus remained constant: accelerate collection, fund construction and land investment through operating cash flow, and improve the quality of earnings through lower finance cost. I will briefly walk you through our cash flow performance covering both the quarter and year trend along with our outlook, and then I will move on P&L.

During the quarter from all businesses, we collected ₹1,990 crore, and for the full year total collection was ₹7,798 crore, recording a healthy 26.1% growth over last financial year. In Q4, real estate collection stand at ₹1,807 crore, and for financial year '26 ₹7,067 crore.

Contractual and manufacturing contributed ₹183 crore in Q4 and ₹732 crore during full financial year. At net operating cash flow level, we generated ₹366 crore in the quarter and ₹1,637 crore in full year, registering growth of 39.4% over FY '25.

As on 31st March 2026, gross debt stood at ₹1,002 crore, while cash and cash equivalents were ₹1,802 crore, maintaining net cash position. Coming to P&L, for the quarter, we recorded a total income of ₹2,030 crore, taking the full year FY '26 total to ₹5,384 crore.

Revenue recognition strengthened during the quarter, aided by clearance for completion certificate for multiple projects. EBITDA for Q4 was ₹194 crore, with EBITDA for FY '26 is ₹503 crore.

PAT Q4 was ₹92 crore, and FY '26 was recorded ₹193 crore. Gross debt reduced to ₹1,002 crore, and cash equivalents were ₹1,800 crore, yielding in net debt of ₹800 crore [net cash?]

. The cash balance provides resilience through cycles and enable us to fund launches, construction momentum, and land investments.

The combination of strong collection, lower cost of fund, and a net debt negative position strengthen our ability to execute our development pipeline with a disciplined financial posture. Looking ahead, company confidence is underpinned by strong operating momentum and high visibility across P&L performance, revenue, cash flow, and land availability.

Revenue yet to be recognized from sales done till 31st March stand at ₹18,647 crore. Projected marginal cash flow from completed, ongoing is estimated ₹9,560 crore, and forthcoming project add an additional projected marginal cash flow of ₹8,699 crore.

We are aiming in FY '27 net operating cash flow close to ₹2,000 crore. As we scale, our priority remains the same: strengthen our balance sheet, improve cash flow, and maintain speedy execution.

With this operating framework, we believe Sobha is well positioned for sustained long-term value creation. Once again, thank you all for your participation.

With this, we can now open the call for questions.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

Participants, you may please note, in order to ensure that the management will be able to address questions from all the participants, kindly limit your questions to two per participant. Should you have a follow-up question, please rejoin the queue.

The first question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Parikshit Kandpal

Hi, sir. Congratulations on a decent quarter.

The sales were low on expectation, our expectation was more like 10,000 crore. I understand one of the launch got postponed in Gurgaon.

Just wanted to understand if we have a 10 million [sq ft?] of launch pipeline, this could be roughly around...

Operator

I'm sorry to interrupt, your voice is muffled. Can you use your handset mode, please?

Parikshit Kandpal

Am I audible now? Is it better?

Operator

Please proceed. Thank you.

Parikshit Kandpal

Basically my question was on the launches of ₹15,000 crores about 10 million square feet and 15,000 realization. If you can highlight some of the key launches in Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4, how will these launches be spaced out and some of the key launches if you can highlight for us?

Right.

Jagadish Nangineni

Good evening, Parikshit. Some of our key launches for this financial year would be our Phase 1 of our Hoskote project, which we are expecting to launch in the first quarter.

Along with that, like I mentioned in the opening comments, we have already launched the Phase 1 of our Gurgaon project. Both these put together itself will be about close to 6.1, 6.2 million square feet.

In addition to that, then in Q2, we have couple of launches in Kerala, which are in Calicut and in Thrissur. In addition to those, we expect to launch couple of more projects in Bangalore.

Essentially one of the projects that we earlier launched as a row house project in Bangalore where we cancelled the project and we are relaunching it with apartments, that we plan to launch it towards the end of the year. These would be the main launches taking all of this together to about 10 million square feet.

In addition to that, there are couple of more which are tentative, which might come towards the end of the year, which is one project in Pune and one project in Chennai. Both these if they also come through, then we can achieve slightly higher in terms of launches.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay. Sir, on the project Rivana, what exactly happened?

This is a large project and we were expecting very strong sales from this. What I understand from your presentation, you have given about 600 crores of sales from NCR.

If you can highlight what was the inventory which was opened and how much sales you have clocked and how has been the momentum in Q1 from this project? How do you rate the response to this project given that Q4 end we had this geopolitical issue?

If you can highlight a bit on this project.

Jagadish Nangineni

Yes. Like you would have seen, Parikshit, that Rivana is a large project, it's about 2.5 million square feet, 1,384 units.

We launched our Phase 1 there, which is 684 units of the project. In the first few weeks of the launch, we did about 25% of the sales whatever we launched.

Due to the good location and also the scale of the project, there is continued interest in the project and we will see a steady momentum from here. We have all the infrastructure in terms of sales preparation and the team in place.

Hence, we would see a good continued sustenance sales in the project. We are quite confident of it, and in fact we have started our execution of the project as well.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay. Sir, the last question, sir, if you can help us with...

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, Parikshit. Please rejoin the queue for more questions.

Thank you.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay.

Operator

Next question is from the line of Puneet Gulati from HSBC. Please go ahead.

Puneet Gulati

Yeah. Thank you so much and congrats on good performance.

My first question is with respect to the gross margins and EBITDA. They still seem to be a bit lower than what you've been guiding historically.

When should we see expansion of this margin? Any particular reason you would like to highlight for this quarter?

Jagadish Nangineni

Yeah. Good evening, Puneet.

The gross margin, like I was mentioning, will start coming through with the project completions on the ongoing projects, which are scheduled to start getting completed in end of Q2 and Q3. That's where we think that there will be an uptick on that.

As we progress during this financial year FY '27, Q3 and Q4 should start looking far better, and you would start seeing the EBITDA margins that we have been projecting of course for the entire remaining revenue to be recognized, but those bits will start kicking in and then hence higher profitability will be visible.

Puneet Gulati

Okay. My second question is number one, you had this row house plan which you converted to apartment.

How should one think about this in the scheme of what you are viewing in the market?

Jagadish Nangineni

I think it's a strategic call that we have taken given the extent of the land that we had and the kind of development one can plan there. Hence and given the kind of ticket sizes through which we'll be able to achieve higher sales momentum, this seemed to be a much better utilization of the land, and hence we are making that attempt to change, which for the same land probably we'll get better both realization and overall margins as well.

From that perspective, it's a very positive change, which will add to our overall sales value and the margins.

Puneet Gulati

Sir. Lastly, if you can just talk about what should we...

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, Mr. Gulati.

Please rejoin the queue, sir, for more questions.

Puneet Gulati

Okay.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Girish Choudhary from Avendus Spark.

Please go ahead.

Girish Choudhary

Yeah. Hi, Jagadish.

Congratulations for a strong year. My first question is again on the Hoskote launch.

If you can give us some more color on the total size of the project and break it up between Phase 1, Phase 2, the GDV, and where are we in terms of the approvals both on the design and also the RERA timelines?

Jagadish Nangineni

Right. Thank you, Girish.

This project will be about 5.3 million square feet, only residential portion. We should be able to receive our RERA etc.

in Q1 itself and launch the project. We are in very advanced stages of the launch.

The overall GDV for the project should be about ₹7,000 crores. It's a large launch for us and we expect to see sustained demand for this kind of project.

Girish Choudhary

Okay. Thanks.

Second question, just wanted your outlook or how to look at business development heading into fiscal '27. Right in the PPT, you also mentioned about your key markets will be Hyderabad and also Mumbai, but what we can see is that there is a minimal land parcels or projects there in Hyderabad and Mumbai.

Firstly, how to look at the business development in terms of the key areas and also from a cash flow point of view, what's your budgeted outlay for the land?

Jagadish Nangineni

Right. From a BD point of view, we are continuously adding, of course, new projects and hence we can keep seeing that despite our sales year on year, the potential launches that we can do, they continue to remain roughly around 16 to 20 million square feet at any point of time.

The business development, like you would have seen that last year we have spent close to about ₹1,150, ₹1,160 crores on land. I think with the kind of cash flow that's being generated, there are some more pending land payments for the existing lands, and post that I think with the kind of cash flow that's getting generated, we should be able to do continuous business development in these locations.

Hyderabad, while we plan to do that, we're hoping to launch our first our second project this financial year. We are on approval stage,

Girish Choudhary

and we're

Jagadish Nangineni

continuously looking at new opportunities in Hyderabad as well.

Girish Choudhary

From a cash flow point of view, can we look at the similar 1,100, 1,200 crore kind of a spend in fiscal '27?

Jagadish Nangineni

Yes, that is exactly what I was alluding to. It's not only that we have done that, and a lot of the payments that are pending payments for the existing lands, once those bits are also done, we should be able to do it in the first half, then most of the additional cash flow will be going into new business developments.

Girish Choudhary

Sure. Thank you and all the very best.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Biplab Debbarma from Emkay Global.

Please go ahead.

Biplab Debbarma

Good afternoon, everyone. Congratulations on excellent results.

I just wanted to know how's the performance to the new launches in Sobha Rivana and Crescent? How much you have sold till date in this project?

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Biplab. Rivana, like I mentioned, last quarter which we launched, towards the last week of the quarter, we did quite decent considering the uncertainty built around that time, and we are seeing positive sustenance sales as well.

Whatever we launched, we sold about 25% of that. In Crescent, which we launched in April first in the month of April, we did roughly about 50% of the sale there, which is quite encouraging.

Both have started out really well and since we have the inventory in both places, we can continue to see good momentum.

Biplab Debbarma

In terms of rupees crore, how much in this two projects?

Jagadish Nangineni

In Crescent, it's about ₹1,100 crores.

Biplab Debbarma

Rivana?

Jagadish Nangineni

Rivana, it's about ₹500.

Biplab Debbarma

Sir, what is the current deal pipeline visibility in MMR and Noida, Greater Noida?

Jagadish Nangineni

In MMR, we are pursuing couple of projects, which we should be able to conclude during this year. One is a redevelopment project and one is we are trying to buy a land.

Both are reasonably small projects, but at the same time, it will give us a good understanding of how we can operate and scale in Mumbai. Our current view or the way we are operating in Mumbai is that we will continue to see how we are performing and also getting to learn the nuances of the market.

While we're doing that, in Noida, we have seen significant demand for our product and which we have done well. We have already launched two projects there.

We have additional two to three additional lands that we are actively pursuing, and we hope if we can conclude at least one of them, then in this year, in addition to what I have mentioned, if everything works, then probably we can launch that project too.

Biplab Debbarma

Great, sir. Thanks, sir.

Thank you, Biplab.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Fenil Brahmbhatt from Choice Institutional Equities.

Please go ahead.

Fenil Brahmbhatt

Hello everyone. Good afternoon and congratulation for decent set of numbers.

My first question is on the guidance. Do we have any specific guidance for pre-sales and average selling price for FY '27, '28?

If yes, then it would be helpful if you can share.

Jagadish Nangineni

Good evening, Fenil. I have mentioned this in my opening remarks.

I think this year we have achieved about 30% growth in our pre-sales, and similar is what we can expect in FY '27 as well.

Fenil Brahmbhatt

Okay. The next question is can you share the geography-wise or across the market-wise the demand momentum and the average price or price momentum considering your last quarter performance, specifically in Bengaluru and the other new cities which you expanded?

Jagadish Nangineni

Yeah. From a pricing point of view, it's quite stable for the last three to four quarters, and we expect the stability in terms of pricing to continue.

Hence, the increase would come more from volume rather than price increases. Both in terms of NCR and in Bangalore, both seem to be on a similar path, which is the demand also has stabilized and in fact even the pricing has stabilized.

Given both these, there is a lot of certainty in terms of how things will pan out from a pricing point of view for us and for the industry. Hence, we should be able to continue to see the demand momentum continue.

Fenil Brahmbhatt

Thank you.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Fenil.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Pritesh Sheth from Axis Capital.

Please go ahead.

Pritesh Sheth

Yeah. Hi, thanks for the opportunity.

Good evening. First question again on Rivana, just harping a bit on the response that we got versus what we have got in Crescent.

What we had heard is Noida as a market is doing better than what we see in Gurgaon. On that backdrop, your response of 25% sales at launch, what do you think could have been better to get a better response versus what we have seen for other peers?

Even we had got some pricing feedback that it's tad higher than what was expected. Was it intentional in terms of pricing that project higher to get sustenance kind of sales from this project?

Yeah.

Jagadish Nangineni

Good evening, Pritesh. On Rivana, one should understand that it is it was launched in the last week of the of the month, typically we of March.

Typically we do have a preparation phase after we receive RERA, and this we had launched I mean the the timing difference between once we get RERA and the launch, it has been quite low because we wanted to launch in this in FY '26 itself. Hence, the the value that we are seeing is is is not a typical launch, but it's a it's a launch given the timing difference between the RERA receivable and the actual launch launch events.

Hence, we can see that it's not we don't need to view it only as a launch sale and hence determine how it's going to how it's going. Post that also, our sustenance sales also seem to be quite good, and with the current kind of momentum, we should see good sustenance sales and which is frankly it's a it's something that which is we are quite fine with it.

Considering that this is a large project and over the period we can potentially see certain price increases as well. We we are quite okay with the kind of sales momentum that we have seen given the time frame between the RERA RERA receivable and the and the launch date.

From a from a pricing point of view, I think it's quite consistent with our typical pricing policy, and this sector being slightly better in terms of the existing infrastructure, etc., and what we have done in the previous launch in Greater Noida, which is in Sobha Aurum, Sector 36, there is there is a small difference in the pricing, but I that should that that should be okay and it's quite well accepted and it's doing it's doing well.

Pritesh Sheth

Sure, got it. That's helpful.

Just second on Hoskote, you talked about the residential portion. Are we also planning to build any rental-yielding assets in Hoskote considering we have a large 100-acre land parcel is part of Phase 1 and overall 250, 300 acres?

Your thoughts on building rent-yielding assets in Hoskote.

Jagadish Nangineni

Absolutely, that is one of the plans. However, with Phase 1, that's what we are developing.

It's largely residential. We have a small bit of retail and commercial space, but that's about less than 6%, 7% of the overall development.

We do intend to have a commercial developments in Phase 2 and 3. The exact design mix and the actual development, it's still under design stage.

Once we have that clarity, then we will definitely showcase that that's part of the future development and how much of it is going to be commercial/retail.

Pritesh Sheth

Got it. That's helpful.

Thank you, that's it from my side. All the best.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Pritesh.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities.

Please go ahead.

Parikshit Kandpal

Sir. Thanks for the follow-up.

My question is on the demand. How do you read the demand across markets, NCR and Southern India, especially in Bangalore, in light of the AI concerns which people have and large part of our client used to be IT/ITeS?

Are you seeing any slowdown in the mix from the IT/ITeS as a whole in your pre-sales? If you can give some color, how do you perceive the demand from that?

I

Jagadish Nangineni

understand the I understand the concern with respect to the both the macro and specifically related to AI and its impact. While that that's a concern that's existing across the industry, on the ground what we are seeing from a which are our leading indicators where which is visible for us, there doesn't seem to be big slowdown or anything of that sort.

There seems to be a continued interest in in the projects. Like I have been mentioning in the previous calls, the from a ticket size point of view, if we are within certain ticket size of about below ₹3 crores or so, the demand seems to be quite robust.

Hence, there is from probably demand side it might not be on an very high increased path which we had seen in between '21, '22, '23, but the demand seems to be steady as of now. With respect to how it's actually unfolds in terms of how things are going to happen in in future with respect to AI and any of the other technology or any other macro macro aspects, that we'll have to wait and watch.

What I believe is the currently the demand seems to be quite quite good. In NCR as well, for the right kind of pricing and the product, there seems to be a good demand, which is witnessed in both in both of our launches.

From actual real outcomes perspective, it seems to be positive. If there are any concern in future because of any other reasons, we'll have to wait and see, Parikshit.

Parikshit Kandpal

Right. Sir, just on the business development, 1,100 was spent, how much was the GDV addition in FY '26, and what kind of GDV addition we are looking for FY '27 in value terms?

Jagadish Nangineni

Like, Parikshit, we don't generally give out a guidance on the business development. Our aim is to at least have a pipeline of at least about 10 million square feet every year, and that's what we would continue to work upon.

Currently, like you have seen, we have about 20 million square feet, which is two years of new launches. We are quite good in terms of visibility for the next two years.

We continue to generate good cash flow from operations, and that will be deployed. I think that's good enough for us to sort of add to the pipeline of our current projects.

We are quite confident in terms of how we go about it. That should not be a concern from a business development and visibility of the project launches perspective.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay. Sir, from last question if I may, this 52 crores of rentals which you currently are clocking, our earlier strategy, I think we tried with APMC to ramp up the rental, but it did not pick up and we were paying that share.

Now next 4, 5 years, how do we look at this rental trajectory going given in Hoskote we are evaluating some of the commercial assets on ownership basis? Any sense, any color on how do you think about the annuity business from here on and potential cash flow or how big this could be on an annualized basis?

Jagadish Nangineni

Right. It's a very important decision and discussion that we are having in terms of how to build our rental portfolio.

See, as of now, we are not developing any new projects immediately, and hence although we have opportunities for that in few areas like Hoskote and like in Gurgaon we have a commercial project. These lands, we can definitely build towards building rental and the rental portfolio is going to see a definitely significant increase from this current rental.

As of now, I think we are in a stage where we think that we should be able to build at least about 2 million square feet additionally within the coming few years for which land is already available, either in Hoskote or in Gurgaon and small other developments that we are doing in Gurgaon also. Hence, clear visibility right now we have about 2 to 2.5 million square feet.

Going forward, if we decide to have this as a separate vertical and strategy for that, we would start working on it. Our current focus is on building the residential portfolio and getting all these launches on time and achieve a better value from a pre-sales and improving our profitability.

While that's happening, this one is something that we are looking at it and we should start getting better traction in the next couple of quarters in terms of visibility how we go forward.

Parikshit Kandpal

Sir. Sure.

Thank you.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Parikshit.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Puneet Gulati from HSBC.

Please go ahead.

Puneet Gulati

Thanks for the follow-up. Can you also talk about what you're seeing in terms of approval process in Bangalore, and there was also potential FSI law change which was supposed to come?

Where is it in the pipeline now?

Jagadish Nangineni

Right. Puneet, from a approvals process, there is no significant change either in positive or negative.

It's quite stable in terms of approval environment is concerned. From a new additional FSI that might come in Bangalore, it's still an ongoing matter that's in various forums, and we believe that it will come through at some point of time.

Once it comes through, then we'll have to bake that into our plans in terms of development potential for the lands that we hold or how we develop. The exact clarity of that is yet to emerge from the last time that we had a conversation.

We'll wait and watch, and as and when the clarity emerges, then we can let you know.

Puneet Gulati

Great. That's all from my side.

Thank you so much and all the best.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Puneet.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Akash Gupta from Nomura.

Please go ahead.

Akash Gupta

Hello.

Operator

Mr. Gupta,

Akash Gupta

you are...

Operator

Yes, you are audible. Please proceed.

Akash Gupta

Hi, sir. Congratulations on great performance.

Sir, my question is more again from the demand perspective. Just wanted to know your thoughts on the number one, footfalls and consequent conversions, and then are you seeing timelines extending due to this war impact?

Second is from a labor standpoint, are you seeing any shortage? Then third is from the inflation standpoint, how much cost increases are you seeing?

How much margin impact will that have? Then how are you planning to offset that through price increase?

These are my three questions. Thank you so much.

Jagadish Nangineni

Good questions, Akash. First on the demand side, see, like I said, from a leading indicators point of view, which is our inquiries and visits, they seem to be quite stable across all our projects which are in sustenance.

Last year and even this year in some of the launches, at the time of launch, the kind of momentum that we are seeing is far superior than what we had seen earlier. Hence, as of now, the things look quite positive in terms of continued demand.

In the sustenance project also, there seems to be a continued interest. On both these parameters, things seem to be quite good.

Of course, there is a concern related to the macro environment related to how the geopolitical events that are occurring and unfolding. When you actually look at the on-ground reality, it seems to be quite stable.

Second, in terms of the labor shortage what you had just asked, everyone throughout the industry has faced a labor shortage or issue because of the elections that has occurred in the four states. That I think is a brief interruption to the steady flow of the requirement.

I think once this stabilizes, then we're back to normal in terms of the number of people working at the site. Third is with respect to the price increases and how it might impact us.

There is, of course, a significant price increases for a short while in some of the commodities and in some of the other materials. The impact of that immediately over the course of the whole projects is yet to be estimated.

It's a little dynamic situation, and we'll have to wait and see as how long the current issues will continue and hence how much of that will actually come and hit us in terms of margins. Because typically for any of the projects, we do have a little bit of escalation that we take into account.

It doesn't look like we have gone past those escalations. However, like I said, it's entirely dependent on the duration of this uncertainty.

Price increase, is it short term, medium term, or it's going to be a permanent feature? Once we get a probably much better sense of it in the next 3 to 6 months, then we will be able to get a good handle in terms of the impact of that.

While that's the case, how much we'll be able to increase prices and hence there is offset, that's always the case. Again, we had done that earlier in the past when there was COVID where there was a significant cost increases, and hence correspondingly we could take price increases in new projects.

This time, we will have to see the demand and supply situation also, and hence we'll have to take a call. It's not as simple as last time wherein the demand was quite robust and there was a pent-up demand as well, which we could capture.

This time again, this is a event-led inflation, and whereas demand seems to be quite stable. It all depends on again demand, supply, and how we can react to that.

It's currently wait and watch mode for us. We will take a call once things get clear.

Akash Gupta

Understood, sir. Sir, just one question particularly for your Gurgaon project.

Due to the war in the Middle East, are you seeing any better than expected demand from the Middle East particularly for your Gurgaon project just from an investment perspective? Is there any change that you're picking up?

Jagadish Nangineni

The reasons for investment in Middle East and the reasons for investment in local markets might be quite different. Immediately we have not seen any huge changes, but we do see some changes in our Kerala market where the inquiry flow is slightly better considering a majority of the demand comes from Middle East.

There we can see that there can be slightly better opportunities for us to capitalize on the renewed interest in India.

Akash Gupta

Understood, sir. Thank you so much.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Biplab Debbarma from Emkay Global.

Please go ahead.

Biplab Debbarma

Thank you. What would be the GDV of the Mumbai deal pipeline, the two deals that you mentioned earlier, the redevelopment and outright?

Jagadish Nangineni

Both the new projects both put together should be about ₹2,000 crores, Biplab.

Biplab Debbarma

That's quite big. Second question is, sir, you mentioned Sobha Rivana till date sold ₹500 crore and Crescent ₹1,100 crore in terms of pre-sales till date.

Does this indicate that Crescent has received a stronger market response compared to Rivana? I thought it would be other way around.

Jagadish Nangineni

Right. Like I mentioned, Biplab, it is a function of also the time that we have given for us to prepare in terms of launch.

I don't see it as linked in terms of responses. Both are doing pretty well.

We had quite a good preparation for both the projects, and frankly one of the aspect that has actually impacted us is the timing, which is in March versus April. As in March everyone's quite uncertain as how things were going to pan out.

Given that, I think we started out quite positively, and that should continue.

Biplab Debbarma

Sir. Thank you, sir, and all the best.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Parvez Qazi from Nuvama Group.

Please go ahead.

Parvez Qazi

Hi. Good evening, sir.

Thanks for taking my questions. My first question is of the 10-odd million square feet that we plan to launch in FY '27, what would be the GDV of these projects?

Jagadish Nangineni

Good evening, Parvez. If you take an average pricing of about what we have done this time, which is about ₹14,700 and similar maybe around ₹15,000, that would be about ₹15,000 crores.

Parvez Qazi

Sure. We have either released or unreleased inventory of about 12, 13-odd thousand crore in our existing projects.

Is that the fair way to look, we'll have maybe close to about 27, 28,000...

Jagadish Nangineni

That's right. That's right, Parvez.

Parvez Qazi

Sure. Great.

Thanks and all the best.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Parvez.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Murali Krishnan from Sundaram Mutual Fund.

Please go ahead.

Murali Krishnan

Thanks for taking question. Sir, just want to understand in this 30% growth and also continuing with last question.

How much would be coming from the sustenance and how much would be expected from the new launches, specifically because Hoskote will be a significant portion of our new launch? You did indicate that you will accelerate the launches if required, just to understand the sensitivities to this growth.

Thanks.

Jagadish Nangineni

Right. Thanks for the question, Murali.

The ability to generate sales from new launches is also dependent on the timing when we launch the project, right? The earlier we launch during in the year, higher would be the contribution from there from those new launches during the year.

Last year, we did I mean this year FY '27, we we expect roughly about 45% to 50% from sustenance and 50% to 55% from new launches.

Murali Krishnan

Understood, sir. Thanks.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question is from the line of Parikshit Kandpal from HDFC Securities.

Please go ahead.

Parikshit Kandpal

Just one question on Rivana, sir. You said that you had a very limited window.

Out of 2,000, you have sold about 25%. Till now until May, have you seen again come back in that project?

Do you think that you'll achieve 50% or more in this project now?

Jagadish Nangineni

We are seeing good sustenance sales, Parikshit. It's the launch what we did, like I mentioned, was in an in an uncertain environment, but we are looking we are seeing good response from from a sustenance sales point of view.

It's not at the same level as as a as a as a launch one, but at the same time, as generally the level of interest and the momentum that's created in launch is not necessarily followed through. In this case, we we have started see we are seeing good continued interest.

I would not say that it is going to continue in the same momentum, but I see a very good sustained sales. For this project to do well, the the the kind of given the scale of the project in in Greater Noida, a good sustenance sales will really help in terms of the continued interest, and frankly we are quite prepared for that in the in during the year.

Based on how things progress during the year, we would launch the Phase 2 or subsequent towers of the project during the year during the course of the year. At any point of time whenever we launch a new tower or another phase, again we can see a spurt in the in the demand there.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay. Question on Hoskote.

Now we are talking about GDV launch, what...

Operator

I'm sorry to interrupt. Sir, can you repeat your question?

You're not audible.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay. The Hoskote is about 7,000 crores of GDV.

Phase 1 is how big? Typically, Jagadish, we have seen that

Jagadish Nangineni

launches

Parikshit Kandpal

of large layout, which is like Hoskote, such response initially. How do you think, because you've already been collecting EOIs for some time now, I remember from March end or sometime in that period, initial response given all the Noida and the IT impact?

If you can give some color on this.

Jagadish Nangineni

Yeah. Understand, Parikshit.

The phases of the launches is also dependent on the kind of demand that comes through, and we have the mix of the product across multiple towers. Basis the demand across the unit size mix, we will continue to open new towers, which is typically done in any large project.

Here also we would follow the same. First is the dependency of the opening of phases and the towers is purely on demand and also the construction schedule that we follow.

That we are going to follow, and here to start with, at least half of it we should be releasing. If the demand is quite good, then we would immediately release the subsequent ones also, because we get RERA for the entire project at once.

Parikshit Kandpal

About 3,500 crores is what could potentially come as a launch depending on the demand, and it can be upscaled as the actual demand translates into numbers. Is that right?

Jagadish Nangineni

Absolutely. You're right.

Parikshit Kandpal

Any initial comment on how it's been the EOI here because this has been out in the market for some time, how are you seeing? It's a large project, typically township projects see good traction.

Any initial sense on how the footfalls or the EOIs has been for this project?

Jagadish Nangineni

There is good interest in the project given the scale of the project, right? Large communities are a differentiating factor for a lot of customers in cities like Bangalore.

This would also, I believe, attract good set of customers who are interested in such large developments. Initial interest seems to be good.

Our first focus is to get all the approvals right and then start the actual sales process with solid preparation, which is underway. We'll get to know how things progress and the momentum that's created, and obviously it's going to flow into our operational update at the end of the quarter.

Then

Parikshit Kandpal

this should be at least 3.5 to 4,000 quarter crore quarter, which was your Gurgaon has done 1,100, if this does about 14, 1,500, and sustenance of about 1,000. It could be at least 3,000 crore plus kind of pre-sales this quarter, Jagadish?

Jagadish Nangineni

We hope so. I really hope what you're estimating comes true.

Our job is to make sure all the preparation, everything happens, and then whatever result comes, we'll aim for the best result, Parikshit.

Parikshit Kandpal

Okay. Sure, sir.

Thank you and wish you the best for this launch. Look forward and thank you.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Parikshit.

Operator

Thank you. That was the last question for today.

I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, everyone, for participating in the call. I hope we were able to answer most of the questions appropriately.

In case of anything more, please reach out to us. We, as the company, have seen a good last year, and we're quite confident of the next couple of years also with great visibility across all parameters.

While we are doing this, our aim is to continue to build on the strong foundation and the brand that we have built, and that is on execution across the team members. Our team is doing a fantastic job on all the parameters.

We hope to continue our good performance in the coming future as well. Thank you for listening, and wish you all the very best.

Operator

Thank you very much. On behalf of ICICI Securities Limited, that concludes this conference.

Thank you all for joining us today, and you may now disconnect your lines.

Jagadish Nangineni

Thank you, Operator.