Honeywell International Inc.

Honeywell International Inc.

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Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptOctober 22, 2026

Operator

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Honeywell Technologies third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode.

After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. Please be advised that today's call is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the call over to Mark Macaluso, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Mark Macaluso

Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to Honeywell Technologies' third quarter 2026 earnings conference call.

Joining me today are Honeywell Technologies' Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Vimal Kapur and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Mike Stepniak. This webcast and the presentation materials, including non-GAAP reconciliations, are available on our Investor Relations website.

From time to time, we post new information on the Investor Relations website that may be of interest or material to our investors. Our discussion today includes forward-looking statements that are based on our best view of the world and of our businesses as we see them today, and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, including those described in our recent SEC filings.

This morning, we will review our financial results for the third quarter of 2026 and discuss our updated 2026 guidance. As always, we'll leave time for your questions at the end.

With that, it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Vimal, who will begin on slide 3.

Vimal Kapur

Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Our first quarter as a stand-alone pure-play automation company was a clear demonstration of the value creation strategy we laid out during Investor Day in June with broad-based organic growth, strong margin expansion, and higher free cash flow conversion.

I'm very pleased with the results our teams delivered. This quarter showed the breadth and quality of new Honeywell Technologies' portfolio with strong results across all segments.

We delivered 7% organic sales growth, above the high end of the targets we unveiled at Investor Day in June. Demand across the portfolio was broad-based, which drove short-cycle orders growth of 8% excluding our divestitures, led by Industrial and Building Automation.

Additionally, the growth inflection we expected in Process Automation and Technology is occurring, with the business growing 8% organically in third quarter. As I will talk more about shortly, we believe PA&T is beginning a multiyear growth inflection fueled by robust project backlog and continued capital investment in energy sector, especially in Africa, Middle East, and U.S.

On profitability, we expanded margins by 370 basis points to over 21% through strategic pricing, productivity actions, and the continued reduction in the stranded costs. Importantly, with accelerated progress this quarter, we now expect to eliminate all remaining stranded costs by end of 2026, just six months after the Aerospace spin-off, demonstrating our strong execution capabilities.

Together, this combination of profitable growth and the fixed cost productivity drove adjusted EPS of $2.27, up 34% year-over-year. To round out the story, the cash conversion accelerated to 95% for the quarter, and we expect to be above 100% conversion in the fourth quarter.

As a result of our strong execution this quarter and momentum heading into fourth quarter, we are raising our full-year 2026 guide across all metrics. The growth inflection in PA&T and the turnaround in Industrial Automation are well underway, compounded by eight straight quarters of outperformance in Building Automation.

Mike will talk more about our stronger outlook for Q4 and the full year in a few minutes. Our transformation into a pure-play automation company is complete.

As our third quarter results have demonstrated, we have strong position in growing end markets, differentiated offerings, and clear competitive advantage in higher-growth verticals like LNG and data centers. We are instrumenting the business to outperform both in 2027 and over the long term, with strong short-cycle demand, a backlog of nearly $19 billion, and momentum across the portfolio.

This gives me and the leadership team great confidence in delivering of our 2029 targets. Let's now turn to slide 4 to talk more about the order trends in the business.

The key takeaway is that demand remains strong across most of our portfolio. We saw growth across our short-cycle businesses led by sensing and measurement in Industrial Automation, and double-digit growth in Building Automation product businesses.

Orders in data center vertical were up over 100%. In PA&T, we saw strong refining catalyst demand consistent with our expectation for a second-half recovery, and on a regional basis, we saw strength in India, the Middle East, and Africa.

In Process Automation and Technology, we are navigating tough prior-year comparison due to the two strategic low-carbon energy and LNG awards in third and fourth quarter of 2025, which were each $700 million. From time to time, large awards like this do not always correlate with underlying market demand we are seeing, which is why we have elected to present a normalized view of the demand.

Excluding the impact of Q3 award last year, total company orders are up 3% organically. Furthermore, book-to-bill in this quarter was 1.0, which drove ending backlog to nearly $19 billion, up 7% excluding our divestitures.

In PA&T specifically, the backlog was up double digits, driven by these large project awards. We continue to believe that the ongoing transition to LNG and renewable as priority fuel, increasing pipeline activity from refurbishment and rebuilds in Middle East, and the refining build-out in Africa will drive a meaningful energy upcycle over the next several years.

Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we expect orders to grow in the high-single-digit range, excluding the large LNG awards shown in the chart on slide 4. This will be driven by demand in Middle East, India, and Asia-Pacific in process technology and building automation, continued short-cycle demand in building automation products and sensing and utilities in industrial automation, and momentum in our high-growth verticals.

Let us now turn to slide 5 to discuss the favorable dynamics we are seeing in the global energy value chain, reinforcing our growth outlook for Process Automation and Technology business. On a global basis, we continue to see activity increasing on large energy projects, including over $1 billion in process technology orders since quarter one of 2026.

PA&T backlog is over 10% higher than a year ago, supported by win across LNG, refining and petrochemicals, and low-carbon energy projects. The breadth of these orders is important, too.

We are seeing investments across North America, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia, rather than a single region. LNG remains strong in U.S.

and internationally, while refining and petrochemical orders include major projects in Africa and continued activity across Middle East and Asia. Low-carbon energy remains a small part of the business overall, but it's growing at a strong double-digit rate, with wins in areas such as sustainable aviation fuel and carbon capture.

We continue to believe that longer term, this will be a growth driver. These orders expand our installed base and create opportunities beyond the initial project win.

As these facilities come online and operate at high utilization rate, they will drive future demand for catalyst, automation, digital modernization, and life-cycle services. Overall, the strength and global diversity of the orders give us confidence in the outlook for continued growth of PA&T segment as we enter 2027.

In conclusion, we are seeing robust backlog growth and commercial momentum across our business, and we expect 2027 organic growth to be at or above our long-term growth algorithm. Let me now turn it to Mike to discuss the third quarter results and our 2026 outlook in more detail.

Michal Stepniak

Thank you, Vimal, and good morning. In the third quarter, Honeywell Technologies delivered strong results that surpassed our expectations across most metrics.

Sales grew 7% organically, with strength across all segments. Process Automation and Technology sales grew 8% organically, led by double-digit growth in projects and a return to growth in aftermarket, led by refining catalyst demand.

Project sales grew 14% year-over-year, led by strong LNG and petrochemical backlog conversion. The momentum in Building Automation continued with 8% organic growth, our eighth straight quarter of high-single-digit growth, evidence that we continue to gain share in the market.

This was principally driven by 11% organic growth in products, led by both the fire and security businesses, while solutions also grew 4% organically, driven by strength in services. On a regional basis, we saw double-digit growth in both India and Asia-Pacific, with continued strength in the Americas.

Finally, in Industrial Automation, organic sales were up 4% in the third quarter, led by double-digit growth in solutions, principally in industrial measurement and utilities. Product sales were roughly flat, with sensing and industrial measurement demand offset by industry-wide deferrals in meter deployments across the utility segment.

On profitability, segment profit grew 23% and segment margin expanded 370 basis points to 21.3%, driven by productivity, accelerated stranded cost elimination, as well as strategic pricing actions and volume leverage. This more than offset rising inflation, headwinds from the mix of projects versus aftermarket, and the acquisition impact in Process Automation and Technology.

By segment, in Industrial Automation, price and productivity actions in the core business drove 350 basis points of margin expansion, with the business firmly on path to deliver 22% segment margin in the fourth quarter. In Building Automation, segment margin expanded another 30 basis points to 27%, driven by volume leverage and pricing actions that more than offset rising inflation.

In Process Automation and Technology, margin contracted as expected, driven by mix headwinds stemming from higher project growth and dilution related to the acquisition of Johnson Matthey's catalyst technologies business. Adjusted earnings per share was up 34%, driven primarily by 23% segment profit growth and lower interest expense, which more than offset a higher adjusted tax rate in the quarter.

Finally, free cash flow was up 15% to roughly $690 million, while our conversion increased to 95% in the quarter. We expect free cash flow conversion to be above 100% in the fourth quarter as we drive working capital improvements, including stronger receivable collections.

Let's now move to slide 7 to discuss the third quarter segment margin and adjusted EPS bridges. Starting with margin, we're delivering stronger incremental margin in our short-cycle businesses, driving roughly 70 basis points of volume leverage.

We're also continuing to effectively mitigate high inflation with strategic pricing actions, productivity, and a reduction in stranded costs. We expect inflation to remain at these levels at least into the first half of 2027.

Our strong market positions, installed-base-driven business model, and the mission-critical nature of our offerings give us confidence in our ability to successfully navigate this inflationary environment. On adjusted EPS, earnings growth in the third quarter was principally driven by a strong operational performance in all three segments, which allowed us to overcome the operating loss from our divestitures.

Below segment profit, interest and other expenses declined year-over-year, while our tax rate was slightly higher. We're making good progress against commitments we outlined at the Investor Day in June.

Our focus on offsetting inflation, delivering productivity, and aggressively eliminating stranded costs for transformation is having a meaningful impact. This provides a strong foundation for 2027.

Let's turn to slide 8 to provide an update on our leverage commitments. As I discussed at the Investor Day, we're committed to reducing our gross leverage to less than 3 times this year by lowering our gross debt balance from $18 billion in the second quarter to under $13 billion at the end of 2026.

This will be enabled by the acceleration in free cash flow that we expect to continue in the fourth quarter. We expect our year-end cash balance to be approximately $3 billion, resulting in a net debt of around $10 billion.

Importantly, the cash generation and continued reduction in our leverage will increase our capital allocation flexibility, including capacity to pursue disciplined M&A. Let's now turn to slide 9.

As you can see here, we have made considerable progress reducing fixed costs related to the portfolio transformation, and we expect this to continue in 2027. We're implementing a cross-functional shared services model across the company with a simplified and more flexible corporate structure.

More importantly, during this time, we continue to invest in our businesses to drive future growth. The progress on stranded cost reduction underscores the pace of execution across the organization and the progress we're making in building a simpler, more focused company.

This will position the company for long-term profitable growth. Executing stranded cost take-out within six months of the Aerospace spin demonstrates the strong operational execution capabilities of Honeywell Technologies.

Let's turn to slide 10 to discuss our revised full-year outlook. Today, we're raising our full-year organic growth, adjusted earnings per share, and free cash flow guidance, as well as tightening our margin guidance around the previous high end.

We now expect full-year organic growth of 4% to 5%, up from 3% to 4% previously, driven by our execution in the third quarter and stronger outlook in the fourth quarter. By business, in the fourth quarter, we expect to see continued strength in buildings across both products and solutions, high-single-digit growth in Process Automation and Technology led by project backlog conversion and higher catalyst volumes, and continued sensing and industrial measurement demand in Industrial Automation.

As a result, we expect to deliver 5% to 6% organic growth. With the performance to date, we expect to be at the high end of our full-year margin range at 20.5% and at approximately 22% for the fourth quarter.

This will continue to be driven by pricing, productivity, and volume leverage, overcoming higher inflation and anticipated mix headwinds in Process Automation and Technology driven by higher project activity and dilution from the catalyst technologies acquisition. Industrial Automation should be at 22% margin in the fourth quarter, while Building Automation is expected to expand margins 70 to 90 basis points, and Process Automation and Technology will end the fourth quarter around 21.5%.

We now expect full-year adjusted EPS in the range of $8.40 to $8.45, which represents a 23-cent improvement at the midpoint. Notably, the low end of our guidance range is now above our previous high end.

This results in full-year earnings growth of approximately 30%. Lastly, our free cash flow guidance is up $100 million to $2.1 billion, given the higher income conversion.

You can find additional information on our 2026 outlook in the appendix of our presentation, which includes estimates for corporate and below-the-line items. Thank you for your time today.

Let me now turn the call back to Vimal to wrap up before the Q&A.

Vimal Kapur

Thank you, Mike. We are proud of our results in the first quarter as a stand-alone company.

We surpassed our expectations across most metrics, and we see encouraging demand signal in many key end markets. We believe PA&T is at the beginning of a multiyear growth inflection, coinciding with an upcycle in global energy markets.

We are also encouraged by the turnaround the team is driving in Industrial Automation, and Building Automation continues to execute on all fronts. We're also launching new offerings on our Forge platform, both in Building Automation and Process Automation and Technology, creating a robust foundation for future growth.

With our performance this quarter and backlog of nearly $19 billion, we are confidently raising our 2026 outlook across all metrics, setting up for a strong start to 2027. Thank you for joining us today.

Mark, let's now take some questions.

Mark Macaluso

Vimal, Mike, and I are now available to answer your questions. We kindly ask that you please be mindful of others in the queue by asking one question and one related follow-up.

Operator, please open the line for Q&A.

Operator

Thank you. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad.

A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue.

Our first question comes from the line of Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your question.

Nigel Coe

Oh, thanks. Good morning.

Thanks for the question, guys.

Vimal Kapur

Morning, Nigel.

Michal Stepniak

Good morning.

Nigel Coe

Good morning. I'm curious, the confidence in 4Q order growth.

We're still only one month into the quarter. I'm assuming December is a pretty important month for bookings.

I'm just wondering what gives you the confidence that the pipeline converts into orders, and maybe just touch on what you've seen in October.

Vimal Kapur

Yeah. Far, Nigel, the first three weeks of October has been trending on and above expectations, so that certainly is a good data point.

We look at our statistical performance against pipeline, our win rates when we forecasted. We also provisioned for some adequate contingency for things which cannot happen as projected.

Overall, our confidence to what we are stating on high-single-digit orders growth in quarter four, less of the LNG order, which we booked last year, which was $700 million, we remain highly confident on that.

Nigel Coe

Okay. Then, Mike, a quick one on stranded costs.

Good news that you'll be done by the end of this year. I think that's about six months earlier than expected.

Does that change your perspective on corporate expense for next year? I think the guide was less than $600 million.

How's that look right now?

Michal Stepniak

Right. It's a little bit early yet, and we'll talk about it in February.

For next year, just like we talked about, I think, before, we plan for our corporate cost to be about $400 million. Then we're instrumenting the teams obviously to productivity more margin expansion north of 60 bps, just like we talked about.

I feel we have a really good setup, like you said. We're ahead, and that has implications as far as us having a really good momentum going to next year, and we'll work with that.

Nigel Coe

Great, and of course I meant less than $400 million. Thanks, Mike.

Michal Stepniak

Thank you.

Vimal Kapur

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Julian Mitchell with JP Morgan.

Please proceed with your question.

Julian Mitchell

Hi, good morning. Just wanted to start off with a question on the IA segment.

It's had a sort of rocky or uneven time for a few years for various reasons. Looks to be very well set today with a large sequential margin increase guided for the fourth quarter.

I suppose maybe when we try and look a little bit further out, how confident are you in continued margin expansion at IA in the coming quarters? Given the macro backdrop is a bit choppy, anything concerning you've seen in the order rates of IA, the shorter-cycle pieces?

Vimal Kapur

Overall, Julian, for IA, we remain very confident on continued performance in both top-line recovery and margin rate expansion. The reason for that is the basics are improving, as we talked about it in Investor Day very rapidly.

Our on-time delivery now is, it used to be just shy of 40%, is now 60%. Our past dues are down 18%.

Our new product launches are being highly accepted by our channel partners and our OE customers. Those foundation has turned the business from a negative territory to now more low single digit.

We do expect that it will continue to progress and find its pathway to more mid-single-digit growth as we lap from '26 to '27. We remain very convicted.

Same is true on the margin rate. We expect the year to end at 22%.

Primarily, it's a higher-quality business now, and from this baseline, as we continue to execute our pricing action, productivity action, we remain very confident on the margin expansion and also achieve 25% goal by 2029. Overall, sensing and measurement, building a unique segment in Industrial Automation, that's our pathway, and we remain highly convicted this is a high-quality business as part of our portfolio.

Julian Mitchell

That's helpful. Then just a quick follow-up on PA&T, margin pressure kind of year-on-year in the third quarter that's continuing into the fourth.

Should we assume that margins stay under that type of pressure until the Johnson Matthey acquisition anniversaries, or is there anything in the base business moving around that could help the margins sooner?

Michal Stepniak

Yeah. Versus where the team finished at the 22.2%, I would say next quarter 21.5%, and then in the first half I would say probably something similar.

Next year, PA&T is going to expand margins, and what's happening there is, one, we have a catalyst mix is starting to mix up. That volume is going to grow, that's going to help.

The project volume mix is going to abate. As we obviously are integrating CT.

In the second half, we will be substantively past CT integration. We see a really good margin expansion into the second half of 2027.

I just remind you, like we talked about, this is a multiyear cycle. In 2028, there is a significant margin pickup again as we counting on catalyst volume.

We have very good visibility to this cycle. This we have proven it, cycle over cycle over multiple decades, and we're extremely confident on the progression of this business in that fashion.

Julian Mitchell

Great. Thank you.

Michal Stepniak

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Tusa with Wells Fargo.

Please proceed with your question.

Steve Tusa

Hi, good morning.

Michal Stepniak

Morning, Steve.

Steve Tusa

Very helpful chart on the segment bridge. I think kind of teasing out core incrementals, putting everything else aside on volume, roughly 40%, is that right?

Then, can you just discuss that inflation number, the 350 basis points? What was that in the first and second quarter, and then what do you expect for that in the fourth?

Michal Stepniak

Sure. You're exactly right.

I think on core, we're about 40 40% incrementals. Price to cost in the third quarter was about 30 bps net positive, so that 350 bps that you see on inflation is a little bit higher versus the first half, but also our price is higher.

We were averaging about 3.5% price in the first half. We'll average about 4.5% in the second half, 4% for the year.

That's going to be on a year basis maybe 10, 20 bps of I would say margin expansion from price cost. We see obviously inflation elevated.

We expect that to continue into year-end and then starting to abate in the first half. Everything we get from our teams as far as planning for next year, we see inflation coming down a bit.

The price will move with that, but it's still around that 3% to 4%.

Steve Tusa

Okay. Then just for the fourth quarter, my follow-up is when the margin went to the low end of the range, I guess, for the fourth quarter, is that really just the price cost timing stepping up a little bit sequentially?

Just curious as to that, or just conservatism?

Michal Stepniak

No, not at all. We actually manage price in the third quarter to account for year-end.

It's really just mix. Revenue is coming up, and like Vimal talked, that the products are performing extremely well.

We don't see anything changing in products. On the other hand, projects is doing better, and CT outlook is better, and they're dilutive to our overall mix, and that's what's dragging our margin to that 400 basis.

Still, I would say 20 at the high end of our guide for the year, 20.5%, about 300 bps margin expansion for the year. Really good setup for next year.

Steve Tusa

Yep, thanks a lot. Appreciate it.

Michal Stepniak

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Scott Davis with Melius Research.

Please proceed with your question.

Scott Davis

Thanks, Operator. Good morning, Vimal, Mike, and Mark.

Appreciate the-- Morning, Scott.

Michal Stepniak

Good morning.

Scott Davis

Appreciate the shorter comments today, too, to leave more time for Q&A. Guys, you've been seemingly gaining a meaningful amount of share in fire, security.

It seems for a while now, and that was always a pretty low-growth business, literally a 1% to 2% type growth business, but you seem to have made it something a little bit bigger. Can you just update us on what you're doing there and what's kind of changed at the margin?

What's driving that growth, or at least the sustainability of that growth?

Vimal Kapur

I think the fundamental is our higher cycle of new product introduction coupled with the mix change of the end markets. We continue to amplify our new product introduction and maintaining a very high vitality, by which we then gain share from our competition.

Forge is playing a very important role. Fire business was the first out of the door to build a connected solution by which you can configure our fire panels remotely.

We introduced that almost three years back. What it does is, Scott, that while the software content is low, it pulls the core product.

That value proposition is very compelling for our channel partners because they save significant commissioning time, inspection time, and improves their P&L. Also, we have been benefiting from data center growth.

We have some unique products in fire for data center growth for early detection of fire in a very unique environment, because you have a lot of electrical cables, a lot of servers. There's a unique way we detect fire there.

We have differentiated product line. We also introduced some unique new products for detecting fire in batteries as more and more lithium-ion batteries are being used.

On the security side, we're benefiting from very premium position of LenelS2, too. They continue to perform at double-digit growth rates across the board, and Honeywell added a lot of value in that business by globalizing it.

We talked about that hypothesis when we acquired the business, and we clearly see growth of that business outside U.S. with a lot of synergies we are bringing in.

All in all, I would say we maintain the momentum in this business, and we see no reason that we won't perform at this level in the foreseeable future.

Scott Davis

Just to follow up on that, on Forge, just that answer was complete, but how do you go to market with Forge then? Is it getting wrapped in as a standard offering with every install, or does it come in as kind of a sidecar, if you will, and priced separately?

How do you guys go to market with it and get value for it, or is it just more of a tool used to be able to gain share because you've got another kind of tool in the tool shed?

Vimal Kapur

No, very good question, Scott. There are three sales motions for Forge today.

Our recurring revenue is now coming close to $1 billion in 2026, just shy of that. The first sales motion is Forge is sold along with our service contracts.

We make our customers connect to Forge, change the pricing of our service contract because we are able to provide higher-value outcome. That's sales motion one.

Sales motion two is there are unique applications built in to make our existing offering better, like I gave an example of fire panel. There now, even though we sell it as a stand-alone offering, but it goes hand in hand with our core products.

Then the third is a stand-alone offering of Forge, which we launched, I would say, 18 to 20 24 months back, first in buildings, where we can connect stand-alone buildings of even competitors apart from Honeywell installed base to get better insight into customers, energy consumption, predictive maintenance, emissions. We launched a similar offering for process earlier this year.

In that scenario, it's sold as a stand-alone SaaS software. All three sales motions are in place, and as we talked about at Investor Day, we expect our ARR to grow.

Our aspiration is 15%. We want to have high aspiration.

This year, probably we'll be slightly shy of that, more like 12%, 13%, but we'll continue to work our ways through to get closer to 15% every year.

Scott Davis

Very helpful. Best of luck.

I'll pass it on. Thank you, guys.

Vimal Kapur

Thanks, Scott.

Michal Stepniak

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS.

Please proceed with your question.

Amit Mehrotra

Great, thank you. Good morning, everybody.

Maybe just starting with Process and just understanding sort of the mid to long-term growth opportunity as the sort of comps normalize. Obviously, great to see the high-single-digit growth as you expected.

I know there's been sort of a management change recently from Building to Process. I think Forge Cognition is maybe part of the growth story.

Just talk about sort of beyond the first half of '27 and into the second half and beyond, what we think the sort of run rate, steady-state growth opportunity is for Process.

Vimal Kapur

We see, Amit, the growth in Process Automation and Technology both on the project side and on the aftermarket in services and catalyst side. The project side, if you see the chart we added into our prepared remarks, we see continued investments in LNG, our backlog is very strong for LNG.

We also see investments in Africa and Middle East and Asia on traditional refining, which is helping us a lot in our backlog. Finally, we also see activity in low-carbon energy projects.

Just as a reminder, we have licensed 100 projects so far in sustainable aviation fuel, and only about 20% of those have been built so far. There's a lot of runway people coming back to us with FIDs, which then turn into a significant revenue stream.

Project activity remains very robust and very diversified. Then on the aftermarket side, we expect second half of 2026 catalyst growth to be double digit.

It's double digit in Q3, it's going to be actually mid-teens growth in Q4. Given the higher margins our customers are making on the finished products, we expect catalyst demand to remain strong in 2027, more normalized year.

On the automation side, we see strength in our services portfolio, cybersecurity, our Forge offering, we call it plant cognition. That offering is also getting strong customer reception.

Across the board, as Mike laid out, we see this as a multiyear cycle in which the project strength will provide us a top-line growth and will maintain our margin with a high mix of catalyst and services and software as we progress.

Amit Mehrotra

Got it. That's helpful.

Maybe just as a follow-up, I know 2027 guidance is forthcoming, but I think, Vimal, you talked about sort of at or above the long-term algorithm. I think, Mike, maybe a couple months ago, you sort of floated this idea of 15% EPS growth.

If I just sort of compare the two, I would say bottom-line EPS growth, maybe I would have expected something a little bit higher, just given the margin opportunity. Maybe just unpack that a little bit for us, maybe the IA margins headwind in the first half of next year, maybe that's what's driving it, but to the extent that you can, just sort of fill in the color between what you've already commented on '27 between the algorithm versus the 15% EPS growth.

Vimal Kapur

I would say, Amit, the setup for 2027 is very strong. For starters, our midpoint of the guide for '26 is up by 23 cents.

We are starting at a higher baseline. On the top line, we remain very confident on performing at upper end of our 4% to 6% guide.

Our backlog is very strong. Our short-cycle momentum sustains itself, and we continue to maintain our share or gain share through new products, so that's going to continue.

On the margin rate, we have done a good job to manage inflation through price cost, it's slightly positive. We expect to maintain that.

We have maintained our fixed costs by elimination of stranded costs ahead of time. When you see the setup here across the board, top line, margin expansion, and fixed cost, we expect a strong print in 2027.

I can't tell you specifics because I'll be giving you guide, which I think we'll have to wait for February when we plan to come back there. Final comment I'll make is, directionally, we are on a road to deliver $12 or better our long-term 2029 guide we set up in Investor Day.

Great. Thank you very much.

Michal Stepniak

Thanks, Amit.

Vimal Kapur

Thank you.

Nicole DeBlase

Thanks. Good morning, guys.

Michal Stepniak

Morning.

Nicole DeBlase

If we could just start with the 4Q outlook. I think you're embedding a little bit of a deceleration in organic growth, but backlog is obviously still strong, short-cycle order growth still strong.

Can you maybe talk through the expectations by segment, like what's driving the modest deceleration that you've embedded for 4Q?

Michal Stepniak

I would say probably this is just more conservatism than anything else. Like we said, I think on the short-cycle orders, they're extremely strong.

On product side, both BA and IA booked in third quarter high-single-digit, double-digit growth, we feel good about that. Then projects are incrementally better, I think it's just more mix.

Like we said, we'll do 4 4% to 5% for the year and 5% to 6% in the fourth quarter. As we stand today, we're probably on the higher end of the 5%, incrementally I would say we feel better about the fourth quarter.

Vimal Kapur

I think it's fair to say, Nicole, we don't see any change quarter on quarter. I think the revenue mix can be different within a quarter for projects, but other than that, fundamentals of the business remains very strong quarter

Nicole DeBlase

over quarter. Understood.

Thank you. Then maybe just in IA, you guys referenced some deferrals in utility and meter deployments.

Can you just give some more color around what's going on there and if that's expected to continue into 4Q or into '27, the timeline for that kind of rectifying? Thank you.

Vimal Kapur

Yep. I think that's more of an upside opportunity for us in 2027.

We have introduced some very new technology both for gas meters and water meters. Gas meters, unlike electricity meters, have not been upgraded at a large scale by utilities over the last decade.

Our technology being new is being tested by multiple utilities, and each utility done their testing by themselves rather than this being a common testing protocol, which just adds time. We are in the process of working with our testing of our new gas meter with several utilities, and once they complete that cycle, which could be 6 to 9 months, we expect them to turn into a major rollouts '27 onwards for several years.

Actually, the low growth in our metering business is actually already factored in in '26 and potentially in '27, but looking ahead, it's going to turn into a tailwinds when these adoption rates will take up in the period ahead.

Nicole DeBlase

Thanks, Vimal. I'll pass it on.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

Please proceed with your question.

Andrew Obin

Hi, yeah. Thanks so much.

Can you hear me?

Michal Stepniak

Yep.

Vimal Kapur

Very well.

Michal Stepniak

Good morning, Andrew.

Andrew Obin

Excellent. Just a question a little bit on Process Automation and Technology, on the aftermarket services.

I think you highlighted some good tailwinds on catalyst, but if I look on sort of year-over-year comps, the comps have gotten quite a bit easier versus last quarter, I would have expected more of a pickup sequentially in organic growth. What are the headwinds that the business is facing because clearly the catalyst business is accelerating?

What are the headwinds?

Vimal Kapur

I won't call it headwinds. When you grow at 8% and then you grow subsequent quarter probably at 7%, I may not call it headwinds.

I would simply call it the cycle of the projects. I can't control the milestone when they have to be achieved, they come at a certain timing.

I would say, broadly speaking, the PA&T revenue profile on organic growth basis is very similar between Q3 and Q4. Q3 was slightly higher versus Q4, but not substantially different.

You are talking a narrow range here. Catalyst demand is very strong in quarter four, sequentially better than quarter three.

We were double digit, and we're going to go towards mid-teens growth in catalyst. For example, in quarter three, our refining catalyst growth was up 80%, we expect to maintain high rates there.

Services growth also remains strong in automation, more like low to mid-single digit. Fundamentals are very robust in this business.

I think the change you see is just the sequencing of the projects within a quarter.

Andrew Obin

Okay. Just maybe another question on Industrial Automation, on the products.

What would it take for the products to start growing faster, because I think you guys sort of talked about initiatives to get deliveries on time, delivery improved, so that would sort of lead to a lot of good things happening. What would it take for that growth in that business to inflect materially positive, or are we waiting for the new product introduction, as you've alluded in the prior answer?

Thank you.

Vimal Kapur

I think directionally speaking, Andrew, if you observe, we have been turning this business to slow growth. Now, we are at low-single-digit territory right now.

I would also like this to go to mid-single-digit territory, and we expect that to occur in 2027 moving forward. I think fundamentals are the same.

I talked about improving customer service, better delivery, improved past due rates. That's certainly already happening.

New product launches and its penetration takes time. I think that's the only variable.

As some of them gets more penetration, we expect to continue to perform better in the segment. There's no doubt in my mind.

I think it's just the timing as we go from low single digit to mid single digit in this business in '27.

Michal Stepniak

Andrew, I would just add that the third quarter orders for Industrial Automation core were up 15%. This is business that's going to the next year probably with the best backlog it has seen in over five years.

We're quite confident about finishing.

Vimal Kapur

We expect fourth quarter orders to be up high single digit. There is a lot of momentum here.

It's just the cycling of the business going from one phase to another phase.

Andrew Obin

Greatly appreciate the color. Thanks.

Vimal Kapur

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

Please proceed with your question.

Andrew Kaplowitz

Hey, good morning, everyone. Hey,

Michal Stepniak

Andrew.

Vimal Kapur

Good morning.

Andrew Kaplowitz

Vimal, I think we know your data center business overall is still a relatively small part of Honeywell, but last quarter, I think you mentioned your offerings in power generation were beginning to help your process business in data centers, in addition to building automation. How do we think about that data center, call it, ecosystem, and how it might help you in '27 and beyond?

Vimal Kapur

We always talked about data center is mid-single-digit business for BA, Building Automation. We are now turning to a point with the change in demand of the customer, we continue to see this can become actually at some point mid single digit of Honeywell.

Because now we see the demand in Process Automation. We saw year-to-date orders growth of more than 100%.

Based upon the pipeline visibility we have, we expect very high growth in 2027 also. It will be mixing up not only the building automation, but even some process automation order for power island, for controls, for energy storage, that solution is being mixed up.

One interesting thing which is occurring in addition to this for the last, I would say, six months is liquid cooling. As liquid cooling will take more penetration, we expect our share of spend to further go up.

We are working with customers for sensing for liquid cooling from our sensors business, and our Sundyne pumps are a premium solution to circulate those liquid cooling. As we can imagine, those are going to scale in future, probably it's more post-'27.

What I say and see is something we started with a very modest content in Building Automation, now we added Process Automation, and now we're adding even our content from Process Technology and Industrial Automation, it's truly becoming a pan-Honeywell strategy, and we continue to improve our content. Now, last comment I'll make is as data center growth is happening outside U.S., in Europe and in Asia, particularly in Korea and India, we expect to continue to do well because of our global presence and global execution capabilities.

Andrew Kaplowitz

Helpful. Then, Vimal, I think you or Mike mentioned that you'll get net leverage down under 2.25 by the end of the year.

I think you also mentioned at that point you could pursue, I think you said, disciplined M&A. How do you categorize the environment right now?

Obviously it's the new company or the new Honeywell Technologies. Any sort of re-priorities that you have as you move forward here toward the end of the year?

Vimal Kapur

Our highest priority is first to get our leverage ratio 3 or below and continue to work it way down as we get into '27, generate more cash. We want our leverage to further improve.

I think from an M&A perspective, it's an optionality. As our 2029 $12 commitment is all organic.

We have no compulsion. We have no need to wake up and think about an M&A to meet our organic earnings commitment.

Having said that, we're looking at options three ways: highest priority being Industrial Automation, how we look at adding more content in measurement and sensing. That's our highest priority.

Second area we're looking at it is higher-growth verticals. How can we add more content to further top-grade our portfolio?

Finally, we never overlook some of the frontier technologies. There are always tuck-ins which can change the profile of our businesses, and we look at these mid-sized small businesses in addition to that.

All said, I think near term you will see us staying very disciplined on our debt paydown, and we'll work our pipeline for M&A for 2027 onwards.

Andrew Kaplowitz

Appreciate all the color.

Joseph O'Dea

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs.

Please proceed with your question.

Joe Ritchie

Thank you. Good morning, guys.

Vimal Kapur

Hey, Joe.

Michal Stepniak

Morning.

Joe Ritchie

I think I'm going to focus both my questions on PA&T. I guess on the project side of the business, with Brent now sitting above 110, typically that stimulates investments from your customers.

I don't know if you could maybe just give us a little bit of background on what your customer conversations are like today, whether the pipeline has materially increased over the past year. I thought that slide number 5 was very helpful, but just any color you can give us on that would be great.

Vimal Kapur

As we said in the chart, Joe, we see investments certainly in diversity of fuels and energy security. What I mean by that is Africa was not seen as a destination of investments by refining petrochemicals.

Dangote Refinery, if you recall, during Investor Day, he was up there and talking about partnership with Honeywell. They're not only expanding their existing refinery by 100%, which is the largest refinery in the world, they are doubling it, they are also putting additional refinery in Kenya.

These are all firm projects. You look at their cash flows, billions of dollars in a quarter, these are high-certainty projects.

There are additional investments happening in Africa on petrochemical side, too, we can clearly see that as a trend. One thing which we highlighted is also low-carbon energy projects are finally taking shape from a low base.

We had two big wins on carbon capture related projects in quarter three, and we have some robust pipeline for quarter four ahead for us. There are some investments happening, and the driver for that is European Union continues to hold its mandate for SAF adoption, and to fulfill that demand, there's more capacity which is required.

Finally, we do see capacity addition for petrochemicals. Our licensing activity and automation business in petrochemicals continues to remain strong.

When you add it all together, it's less linked to the oil price, it's more linked to the drivers which are more broader: energy security, resiliency, low-carbon fuels, or the broader demand of petrochemicals. That's why we believe it's a multiyear cycle.

It's less linked to the price, it's more linked to other drivers. That's why it gives us more conviction.

Joe Ritchie

Super helpful, Vimal. I guess maybe just to ask Andrew's question slightly differently from before.

On the refining side of the business, are you seeing any deferrals just given where crack spreads are? Refiners maybe running out harder a little bit, given profitability looks really really good right now.

Are you seeing any of that business maybe pushing out into next year, or has that remained very healthy for you?

Vimal Kapur

I would say what we all read, higher uptime by U.S. refiners is factually correct, which essentially means that some of the activity which requires a shut down cannot be performed.

We look at our services business, aftermarket business in two buckets. A lot of it can be done online.

A lot of our automation offerings do not require a plant shut down. If you want to harden your control system for cybersecurity or you want to migrate to the current version, it can be done online.

Those businesses get protected, even though customers are running at a higher rate. There are things which you need to replace, like a Sundyne pump has to be replaced, you need a shut down, or if you want to refurbish a catalyst.

To me, yeah, there's some demand moving right, but it's not a lost demand. It's kind of pent-up demand which will eventually show up.

When you look at the global view, the overall services and catalyst demand is very stable. As I mentioned before, we see the catalyst demand to be in teens, high teens in quarter four.

Next year, we see overall catalyst to be very stable, mid-single-digit growth. Services growth remains very stable.

Absolutely, this is a trend of high utilization and no shutdowns, but it doesn't changes the overall dynamics of the business for us in the near term.

Joe Ritchie

Thank you. Very helpful.

Vimal Kapur

Thanks, Joe.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Varun Govindaraj with Bernstein.

Please proceed with your question.

Varun Govindaraj

Good morning, everyone. Thanks for the question.

Vimal Kapur

Sure. Good morning.

Varun Govindaraj

Question on PA&T. When you're looking at projects and their delivery times, have they been in line with historical norms?

I think there's been a concern that a short labor in North America and that might lead to some of this just getting stretched. Are you seeing any of that in your numbers, or is that not really a concern right now?

Vimal Kapur

Not a concern because large part of our backlog is actually not in North America. LNG backlog is in North America.

Everything else is in rest of the world. In case of LNG, we build our own equipment in our own factory, and we have enough capacity to fulfill all our backlog, we don't have any concern on that.

On a broader basis, yeah, the construction labor or labor shortages is a trend, but that's not driving any impact on our revenue execution on a visible basis.

Varun Govindaraj

Appreciate it. Thank you.

Then just as a side note, on Industrial Automation, big sequential jump from 18.4% to 22%. How much of that is coming from the spins of WWS and PSS, and how much of that is more productivity?

Feels at this point, everyone's very confident about the number, but just any color on that split.

Vimal Kapur

Yes, I would say that organically, if you will, the business is probably expanding 150-plus bps just by operation getting better. Rest of it is related to the TDW separation.

Varun Govindaraj

Got it. Perfect.

Thank you so much.

Michal Stepniak

Thank you. Thanks, Varun.

Operator

Thank you. Our final question this morning comes from the line of Dan DiCicco with BMO Capital Markets.

Please proceed with your question.

Daniel DiCicco

Great. Thank you for fitting me in here.

On the inflation topic, 4.5% price in half two. Just what businesses are you having to push the hardest on price?

Then is there anywhere in the portfolio where this might be proving to be a little bit more challenging? Thank you.

Vimal Kapur

I won't say there's a large deviation between the segments. Pricing is a factor of inflation in a segment, and inflation drivers vary from semiconductor to electronics to metals like copper and brass.

I would say that our overall pricing is in narrow range. It doesn't vary from business one from 1% and some businesses 10%.

It's not in that wide range. You can have a range from 3.5% to 4.5%, it's a very narrow range for us.

The pricing attainment doesn't require only the action of pricing, but it requires good customer service, good customer communication, a good pipeline of new product, and I think that comprehensive 360-degree view is what we have really adopted to attain the price and keep the price cost positive.

Daniel DiCicco

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question-and-answer session.

I'll turn the floor back to Mr. Kapur for final comments.

Vimal Kapur

Thank you. I would like to thank our shareowners, our customers, and all Honeywell Technologies Future Shapers around the world for the strong third quarter results you delivered.

Today marks another important milestone in our journey as a new Honeywell Technologies. Our first quarter as a stand-alone pure-play automation company demonstrated progress on all three elements for our investment case: broad-based organic growth, strong margin expansion, and a higher free cash flow conversion.

PA&T is converting its backlog into organic growth, IA is driving meaningful turnaround, and BA continues to deliver. With nearly $19 billion in our backlog and a strong 2026 outlook, we enter the fourth quarter with strong momentum and increased confidence in our ability to deliver the commitments we outlined at Investor Day.

Thank you all for joining us today, and we hope you have a great rest of your day.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call.

You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.