NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.

NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc.

19.30
EUR
-0.20
(-1.03%)
-1.20EPS
613.20MMarket Cap

Q1 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptApril 28, 2026

Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Carly and I will be your conference operator today.

At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the NexPoint Residential Trust Q1 2026 earnings call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise.

After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press * followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

If you would like to withdraw your question, press *1 again. Thank you.

I would now like to turn the call over to Kristen Griffith, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Kristen Griffith

Thank you. Good day, everyone, and welcome to NexPoint Residential Trust conference call to review the company's results for the first quarter ended March 31st, 2026.

On the call today are Paul Richards, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Matt McGraner, Executive Vice President and Chief Investment Officer; and Bonner McDermett, Vice President, Asset and Investment Management. As a reminder, this call is being webcast through the company's website at nxrt.nexpoint.com.

Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that this conference call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that are based on management's current expectations, assumptions, and beliefs. Listeners should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements and are encouraged to review the company's most recent annual report on Form 10-K and the company's other filings with the SEC for a more complete discussion of risk and other factors that could affect any forward-looking statements.

The statements made during this conference call speak only as of today's date, and except as required by law, NXRT does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. This conference call also includes an analysis of non-GAAP financial measures.

For a more complete discussion of these non-GAAP financial measures, see the company's earnings release that was filed earlier today. I would now like to turn the call over to Paul Richards.

Please go ahead, Paul.

Paul Richards

Thank you, Kristen, and welcome everyone joining us this morning. We appreciate your time.

I'll cover our Q1 2026 financial results, and then walk through a refresher on our full-year outlook. Matt will then discuss the operating environment, our technology platform, and AI strategy, as well as portfolio positioning.

Q1 2026 results are as follows: net loss for the first quarter was $6.8 million, or 27 cents per diluted share, on total revenue of $63.5 million. This compares to a net loss of $6.9 million, or 27 cents per diluted share, in Q1 2025 on total revenue of $63.2 million.

Total NOI was $37.6 million across 36 properties, including Sedona at Lone Mountain, which we acquired last December. This compares to $37.7 million on 35 properties for Q1 2025.

On the same-store basis across our legacy 35 legacy properties and 12,984 units, total income was $61.4 million, down 2.2% year-over-year. Total operating expenses declined 1.6% to $24.8 million, resulting in same-store NOI of $36.7 million, a 2.7% decrease, and an NOI margin of 59.8%.

Same-store occupancy closed the quarter at 93.6%. While the year-over-year comparison reflects the tail end of supply-driven pricing reset, our monthly trajectory is improving materially, and Matt will walk you through that cadence on the structural factors driving our confidence in the second half.

We're reporting Q1 core FFO of $17.3 million, or 68 cents per diluted share, 3 cents better than consensus, compared to 75 cents per diluted share in Q1 2025. The year-over-year decline is primarily driven by interest expense, which I'll address now.

We have always been transparent that 2026 carries a meaningful interest expense headwind as certain swap positions fall off. Q1 total interest expense was $15.4 million versus $14.4 million in Q1 '25, with the swap benefit declining from $8.4 million to $5.5 million.

Since we issued initial guidance in February, the forward SOFR curve has shifted 7 to 47 basis points higher across the remaining quarters of '26. This adds approximately $2.2 million, or roughly 8 cents per diluted share, of incremental interest expense versus our original assumptions.

Q1 came in essentially in line with our prior model, Q2 modestly higher, Q3 steps up as swap positions begin to expire, and Q4 reflects the full run-rate impact. Full-year '26 interest expense is now projected at $69.3 million versus $67.1 million in our original model.

We do not attempt to forecast rates; we manage the risk. The same volatility that has moved the curve against us in recent weeks creates the entry points for our next swap execution.

We have visibility into the maturity schedule, the optionality to execute forward-starting hedges before September, and we will move when economics are compelling, as we did with the $100 million JPM forward swap last April at 3.49%. We are not waiting for the September 1st.

Interest rate swaps currently fix the rate on $917.5 million, or 62%, of floating-rate mortgage debt. We continue to evaluate opportunities to layer additional hedges and will act when risk-adjusted economics are compelling.

Moving to expense detail: on the expense side, same-store operating expenses improved 1.6% year-over-year. Payroll declined 4.3%, a direct output of centralized operating model and AI-enhanced leasing platform that Matt will discuss in detail.

Real estate taxes decreased 11.2%, and insurance declined 23.5%, partially offset by a 15.2% increase in repairs and maintenance, which included bulk fiber service contract costs offset by revenue gains, and a 50.5% increase in marketing spend as we invested in lease-up velocity at properties below target occupancy. The R&M increase reflects two primary drivers: first, we accelerated deferred maintenance at several properties as part of a deliberate portfolio quality initiative; second, we incurred elevated one-time costs associated with lender-required CapEx at select Florida properties.

These are episodic expenses that position the affected units for improved performance and do not reflect a structural change in our cost base. Importantly, our expense outlook is steady relative to our original model.

Operating expense is on track, as is corporate G&A. On insurance specifically, we settled rates for our new policy renewal on April 1st, achieving 13.3% reduction year-over-year, better than the strongest end of our originally guided range of 0% to -10%.

Moving to value-add update: during the first quarter, NXRT completed 252 full and partial upgrades, leased 225 upgraded units, achieving an average monthly rent premium of $69 and a 19% ROI. Since inception, NXRT has completed over 10,100 full and partial interior upgrades across the portfolio, generating average monthly premiums of 13.3% and inception-to-date ROIs of 20.7%.

In addition, we have completed 5,027 kitchen and laundry appliance upgrades and 11,199 tech packages, generating ROIs of 63.5% and 37.2%, respectively. For Q1, we declared a dividend of 53 cents per share, paid March 31, 2026.

Since inception, we have increased our dividend 157.3%. We remain fully committed to the current distribution level.

Our core FFO guidance midpoint coverage stands at approximately 1.21 times, and we expect coverage to improve as revenue trends strengthen through peak season and into 2027. On the balance sheet and liquidity: on January 30th, 2026, the company entered into a 55% LTV, $40.3 million mortgage loan secured by Sedona at Lone Mountain with Newmark.

The loan matures on February 1st, 2033, with all principal due at maturity, and bears interest rate based on 30-day average SOFR plus a margin of 1.23%. As of March 31, 2026, total indebtedness was approximately $1.6 billion at an adjusted weighted average interest rate of 3.3%.

We have $18.5 million of unrestricted cash and $143 million of undrawn capacity on our credit facility, providing approximately $161.5 million of available liquidity. We have no scheduled debt maturities until 2028, when our $33.8 million, 4.24% fixed-rate loan matures at Residences at Westover.

That loan should be easily refinanced with a new agency senior when the time comes. NAV per share: our estimated net asset value per quarter at quarter-end is $47.70 per diluted share at the midpoint, using a blended cap rate of 5.5% across the portfolio.

The range spans $40.66 at a 5.75% cap rate to $54.74 at 5.25%. Based on approximately 25.6 million diluted shares outstanding, the closing stock price as of yesterday at $26.36 represents a 44.7% discount to our midpoint NAV.

Even at the most conservative end of our range, stock trades at a 27% discount to estimated liquidation value. We believe the disconnect between public market pricing and the underlying real estate value is significant, and the capital recycling initiatives we will discuss providing a path to validating these values through third-party transactions.

2026 guidance reaffirmed: we are reaffirming our full-year 2026 core FFO guidance range of $2.42 to $2.71 per diluted share, as well as our same-store NOI range of -0.5% at the midpoint. Two months ago, we issued initial guidance.

Since then, we have absorbed two distinct headwinds and realized meaningful offsets that, in aggregate, fully neutralize the pressure. On the headwind side: a 7 to 47 basis point shift in the forward SOFR curve adds approximately 8 cents per share of incremental interest expense, and a slightly lower-than-modeled Q1 leasing environment.

On the offset side: a stronger insurance renewal, expense discipline, and strategic fee income from our advisor private capital platform, which Matt will address in a moment, together fully absorb those pressures. Our core FFO and same-store guidance ranges unchanged.

We're also reaffirming our same-store sub-metric ranges for the year. To reiterate, our full-year targets, we see the ranges are as follows: same-store rental income growth of 0% to +1.9%, with a midpoint of 0.9%; same-store revenue growth of +0.1% to +2%, with a midpoint of 1.1%; same-store expense growth of +2.8% to +4.2%, with a midpoint of 3.5%; and lastly, our same-store NOI growth at -2.5% to +1.5%, with a midpoint of -0.5%.

With that financial overview, let me turn it over to Matt.

Matthew Ryan McGraner

Thank you, Paul. Let me start with the macro backdrop, because the structural setup for our portfolio is becoming increasingly compelling, and even the largest real estate investors in the world are now publicly validating the thesis we have been articulating.

Last week, Jon Gray described real estate as a sleeping giant at Blackstone, and signaled conviction that an acceleration is approaching, particularly around sectors with favorable supply-demand fundamentals. Reinforcing this point, they highlighted the collapse of new supply will be very supportive of fundamentals over time across major sectors, including multifamily, where industry forecasts call for deliveries this year to be at their lowest level in 12 years.

12 years, that's the headline: that multifamily deliveries in 2026 will be at their lowest level since 2014. That is precisely the supply backdrop we are operating in, and it is the primary structural driver of our confidence in the second half of the year and into 2027.

Let me put some numbers around it. National multifamily deliveries peaked near 700,000 units in 2024 and are declining sharply.

New construction starts have fallen 70% from their peak, and units under construction nationally have declined 29% from their Q1 2024 high of 760,000 units. By Q4 of this year, net deliveries are projected to fall to roughly 69,000 units nationally, the lowest level in a decade.

In our Sunbelt markets, this deceleration is even more pronounced. In NXRT's specific submarkets, the demand picture is compelling.

Q1 net absorption was +1,307 units against supply of 2,426 units, with total demand of 3,733 units. For the full year, our submarkets are projected to see 10,158 units of supply against 10,239 units of demand, effectively a balanced market with demand now outpacing the remaining supply wave.

On the demand side, homeownership remains increasingly out of reach. Today, average monthly mortgage payments run 36.7% above average multifamily rents nationally.

Move-outs to purchase a home fell to 7.9% for the quarter, down from 10.6% a year ago. The longer-term demographic picture remains favorable, as I covered last quarter.

The bottom line here: while near-term fundamentals are weaker than initially expected in select markets, the structural setup is improving quarter by quarter. The supply cliff, the construction starts collapse, the demand-supply convergence, these are all intact and accelerating.

The recovery is asymmetric rather than synchronized, with roughly 35% of our NOI already at or near equilibrium, and another 44% reaching that threshold through the balance of the year. We expect fundamentals to stabilize and then accelerate as the back half of 2026 unfolds.

On to operating performance: let me walk through the leasing cadence because the monthly trajectory tells the story. Across 1,388 new leases signed in Q1, our new lease trade-out was a -6.6%, or a $97 per unit decrease.

On 1,528 renewal transactions, we achieved +2.3%, or $33 per unit increase. The blended rate across 2,916 total transactions was -1.9%.

The monthly progression is what matters. New lease trade-outs improved from -7% in January to -5.6% in March.

Blended trade-outs narrowed from -1.9% in January to -1.7% in March, and the momentum has continued into April. New lease trade-outs have improved to approximately -4% month-to-date, a 300 basis point improvement from January to April.

Blended trade-outs have narrowed to approximately -1.2%. At the market level, Las Vegas renewals led the portfolio at +12.2%, or $164 per unit increase.

Raleigh renewals grew 2.2%, with new lease trade-outs at a -3.8%, the shallowest decline in the portfolio. Dallas even generated 181 renewals at a +1.9%.

On the occupancy front, the same-store portfolio closed Q1 at 93.6% physical occupancy, up from 92.6% at the start of the quarter and 92.7% at the end of Q4. April month-to-date has improved to 93.9%, and our leased percentage reached 95.9%, the highest since Q3 of 2025.

Per Apartment IQ data, our portfolio is outperforming market comps by 136 basis points in occupancy, which validates both our pricing discipline and the effectiveness of our centralized leasing program. Resident turnover was 44.4%, essentially flat sequentially, but down from 46.3% a year ago.

Resident retention improved to 55.6%, with March reaching 57.2%. Same-store total income was $61.4 million, down 2.2% year-over-year.

Rental revenue declined 3.1%, partially offset by a 39% increase in other income, driven primarily by resident amenity fee programs, which added $469,000 of incremental revenue versus the prior year. The standout within revenue is bad debt.

We achieved 55 basis points of gross potential rent in Q1, down 45.7% year-over-year from 1.02% of GPR. This is a structural improvement driven by AI-enhanced screening and centralized credit evaluation, not a one-quarter anomaly.

On to concessions: let me address concessions directly because I know this is in the front of mind for our investors. First, the context: our portfolio-level concession rate is 1.9% of gross potential rent.

Per Apartment IQ, the competitive set in our submarkets is running 5.7%. That is a 380 basis point advantage, and it reflects a deliberate operating philosophy.

We compete on occupancy through operational execution and technology, not through concession givebacks. Our revenue per available unit exceeded comps by 3.77% in Q1.

Second, the concentration: total concessions were approximately $1.15 million in the quarter, up from $271,000 in Q1 of 2025. However, 39% of the year-over-year increase, or $342,000, was driven by a single asset, Avana Pembroke Pines, where a concentrated competitive supply wave entered the submarket in Q4 2025.

Concessions were deployed proactively to defend occupancy and market position, and that strategy has worked. We closed Q1 at 94.1% occupancy at Pembroke, and have continued to build, reaching 94.9% quarter-to-date.

Concessions at Pembroke have already been reduced from one month free to a $500 incentive, which is a 75% reduction. Excluding Avana, the portfolio concession increase was approximately $535,000, or roughly two times the prior year: elevated, but a fundamentally different story than the headline.

Third and most importantly, the forward trajectory: our full-year 2026 operating forecast projects concession utilization declining 75% from Q1 levels by the second half of the year. Q1 again ran at 2% of GPR.

We forecast Q2 at 1% of GPR, Q3 at 50 basis points, and Q4 at 40 basis points. Simultaneously, financial occupancy improves from 92.8% in Q1 to 94% in Q2 and 94.1% in Q3.

Six of our 10 markets showed improving concession environments sequentially in Q1 versus Q4 of 2025. Those are Atlanta, Las Vegas, Nashville, Orlando, Raleigh, and South Florida.

Even the four markets still facing supply-driven pressure, the rate of deterioration has stopped. As one-month free concessions roll off, we realize an approximately 8% pop in effective rents without raising prices.

This is an embedded tailwind that begins to materialize through the balance of the year as supply deliveries decelerate and seasonal demand strengthens. We believe Q1 was the trough for concession deployment in this cycle.

Let me spend a few minutes on the technology platform, as Paul alluded to, because Q1 results are a direct product of the investments we have been making. We are deploying a two-layer architecture model for technology.

Layer 1 is property operations: BH Management and their Funnel Leasing AI CRM platform handling day-to-day leasing, maintenance, and resident services under their centralized operating model. Layer 2 is what we are building at the advisor level: NexPoint Intelligence, an asset management platform that drives better decisions at the portfolio, market, and unit level.

We are literally building agents per property across the portfolio to enhance predictive analytics. This architecture is deliberate.

Self-managed peers investing in AI must spend across both layers simultaneously. Our model delivers a disproportionate share of the AI impact at a fraction of their capital outlay.

BH Management's Funnel AI platform gives us the property operations layer as a managed service, and we focus our investment on the intelligence layer, where the highest-value judgments happen. We will provide the full AI product roadmap and financial impact thesis at NAREIT Week in early June.

Q1 results from the platform: our AI-powered leasing platform processed 31,882 leads and converted them into 1,571 signed leases during the quarter, a 4.9% lead-to-lease conversion rate versus the industry benchmark of 3.2%. Year-over-year, leads were up 26% and applications were up 34%, with move-ins up 53%.

Our tour-to-application conversion hit 36.8% for the quarter, the best of the four quarters since we launched our new AI-enabled CRM system. Self-guided touring technology enabled 24.7% of our leases to be executed after business hours, demand that would have been lost entirely without technology-enabled engagement.

We hosted nearly 800 self-guided tours during the quarter, and expect to surpass 1,000 per quarter as we move into peak leasing season. 59% of self-guided visitors submit a lease application, an extraordinary conversion rate that speaks to the quality of the funnel.

The 4.3% payroll reduction, the 45.7% improvement in bad debt, the 136 basis point occupancy advantage over comps, and concessions at 1.9% of GPR versus 5.7% for the comps, these are all outputs of this centralized data-driven model. Turning to Sedona at Lone Mountain as a quick update on our latest acquisition: as a reminder, we acquired this 321-unit community in North Las Vegas in December for $73.25 million.

Occupancy closed Q1 at 87.9%, and as of April 28th, the property is approximately 90.3%, with a projected 30-day trend of 92.2%. The rent roll clean-up and operating recovery is ahead of our underwriting and tracking well ahead of budget.

Q1 rental income beat budget by 6.7%, or approximately $88,000, driven by lower-than-expected bad debt write-offs. Total expenses beat budget by 13.4%, or $71,000.

All-in, NOI is leading budget by 13.4%, or $130,000, through Q1. We continue to target a 7.2% NOI CAGR through 2029, taking this asset from a high-5 cap acquisition to a 7.5% stabilized yield.

On to the transaction market, capital recycling, and other earnings opportunities: per Walker & Dunlop, Q1 2026 institutional multifamily sales volume was $15.1 billion across 213 deals at a weighted average cap rate of 5.09% and $260,000 per unit. Full-year 2025 volume reached $161.6 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year.

Institutional capital was returning selectively, with institutions and REITs comprising 36.6% of multifamily acquisitions in 2025, the highest share since 2019. Related to our capital recycling and transaction activity, I want to address proactively one element of our potential earnings growth that Paul touched on: the role of strategic fee and interest income generated through our advisor's DST platform.

Some context: our advisor, NexPoint, is one of the largest sponsors of Delaware statutory trusts in the United States, distributing through the NexPoint Securities broker-dealer network. Since 2017, NexPoint has sponsored over $4 billion of DSTs across a variety of property types, including core and core-plus multifamily.

The DST market itself reached a record of $8.4 billion of equity raised in 2025, up 49% year-over-year, and multifamily is the largest category within it. Each DST transaction generates fee opportunities for sponsors: financing, acquisition, asset management fees, and creates lending and bridge capital opportunities where a balance sheet partner is needed.

Looking forward, we see meaningful potential for additional activity of this type within NXRT. The DST platform is active, the multifamily category within it continues to grow, and NXRT's balance sheet positioning is well-suited to participate selectively.

While we are not embedding additional transactions in our 2026 guidance, we believe the platform represents a credible source of incremental earnings optionality, potentially in the range of 10 to 20 cents of core FFO over the next 12 months under favorable conditions, balanced against our risk-adjusted return discipline and capital availability. More broadly, this reflects a deliberate strategy to diversify NXRT's earnings streams.

Larger peers, like Prologis, Welltower, Realty Income, Ventas, Equinix, have all built private capital platforms in response to capital markets dynamics where public equity costs can be prohibitive. NXRT, through its external advisor, possesses the core infrastructure to pursue a similar, appropriately scaled strategy.

We will be outlining the broader vision of this at NAREIT in early June. Let me close with this: we are entering the most favorable supply backdrop in over a decade.

Again, Blackstone is calling multifamily a sleeping giant. New construction starts are down 70% from the peak, deliveries are projected at their lowest level in 12 years, and demand is absorbing the remaining supply wave in our Sunbelt markets.

The setup is asymmetric. 2026 absorbs the swap repricing and the supply tail; 2027 captures the supply cliff and the earn-in.

To put numbers around that earn-in: if new lease growth returns to 2% by Q4 of this year, consistent with the deliveries cliff, the carry-over earn-in alone delivers 150 to 200 basis points of 2027 same-store revenue growth before a single new 2027 lease is signed. We're not providing 2027 guidance today, obviously, but the structural drivers are clear and they compound in our favor.

Against that backdrop, our operating platform is performing. Bad debt is at a multi-year low, payroll is declining, insurance renewed significantly better than expected, leasing conversion rates are at record levels, concessions at 1.9% of gross potential rent versus 5.7% for the competitive set, occupancy is building, again 93.9% in April and rising.

Potential for DST transactions generate incremental fee and interest income that diversify earnings streams, but the operating thesis still stands on its own. The monthly trajectory is encouraging: new lease trade-outs improved 300 basis points from January to April, and we're entering the peak leasing season with strong conversion metrics, declining supply, and really tepid expectations.

Indeed, the trends and trajectories give us reason for optimism. We appreciate everyone's continued hard work here at NexPoint, BH, and with that, we'll turn the call over to the operator for questions.

At this time, if you would like to ask a question, press * followed by the number 1 on your telephone keypad.

Operator

We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. We do have a question from Michael Lewis with Truist Securities.

Michael Lewis

Thank you. My first question, I wanted to ask, you talked about it a little bit, this 200 basis point difference between the occupied and leased percentages.

I was just wondering if there's any opportunity to narrow that. Likewise, the resident retention in the mid-50% range looks like it was going up the last couple of months.

Do you see upside there through operational efficiencies as well?

Matthew Ryan McGraner

Definitely. Thanks, Michael, and good morning.

We definitely see an opportunity to continue to drive renewals and also retention, particularly as you get in the summer months, folks don't want to move in our southeastern, southwestern markets. That's always been a core focus and any incremental improvement there just obviously allows us to drive new lease growth as the supply wave captures in.

Bonner, I don't know if you have anything to add to the first point? Yes.

Bonner McDermett

I think on that spread, here we are in April, right? It's the start of kind of peak leasing season.

The properties are looking great, traffic flows. I think in the highlight section, you can kind of see Q2 last year, traffic patterns, right?

This is where our demand funnel is the widest. Getting that leased percentage higher, that helps us with pricing power, right?

Fewer units available, we're able to push pricing dynamics a little bit more, try to continue to narrow that gap on the new lease pricing side. That's the focus: pushing, as Matt alluded to, going into the back half of the year, continuing to hopefully start to inflect positively on rates.

That, the more leases we can sign, I think the better pricing dynamics we have.

Michael Lewis

Thanks. Then, you talked about the core portfolio like it was essentially in line.

You kept the full-year same-store guidance. Occupancy was up quite a bit.

In almost all the markets, Vegas was up a lot sequentially. I was wondering if the occupancy increase surprised you at all, and is it fair that 1Q kind of ran in line with your expectations, or are you running a little bit ahead to start the year?

How would you kind of frame that?

Matthew Ryan McGraner

I think Q1 to me, and Bonner, you can give your thoughts, but to me, Q1 felt better. I wouldn't say we hit our budget.

In fact, I think we missed our NOI budget by a quarter million or $300,000. It did feel better from a demand perspective in that we saw the rent rolls continue to firm, we saw trends build, and we didn't particularly give up that much or at least give up that much relative to the prior quarters.

As you can tell from my prepared remarks, I think it's firming out there and I'm pleased with the trajectory and the trends in occupancy. Bonner, if you have anything to add to that?

Bonner McDermett

I think, look, on our aggressive forecast internally, I think we'd love to squeeze 10, 20 basis points higher on occupancy. It is improving, and that's structurally where we're looking to go in the peak leasing season.

I would say the major wins, and Matt described it in the call, the ability to squeeze bad debt back down to 55 basis points, that's to us is a real win. I think that we utilize a software technology called TuDot.

We're getting to a point now where we can get to a credit screening approval on an app in a 15-minute interaction, and being able to close those leads, same day, same interaction, where some of our prospects may be applying here and across the street. That time to decision is really important to us.

That's helping some of the occupancy. The operating platform that we're building is really helping.

I would say we're happy with occupancy. We'd love to continue to build it.

We described a little bit of an uptick in concession utilization, hoping to see that moderate. Overall, revenue expectations were within one penny of kind of our optimistic goal for the quarter.

Michael Lewis

Okay. Then lastly for me, this seems like the most interesting question.

I don't know exactly how to frame it, or if you can answer it, but so the interest expense is going to be higher because rates are higher. It sounds like the offset is the fee income that you talked about.

Is there anything, you said you're going to give more details at NAREIT. Is there anything more to say about how that's kind of offsetting this year, what you're investing or what you're earning or what exactly you're going to be doing to earn, I think you said, 10 cents to 20 cents over the next 12 months.

Is there any more detail you could share on that?

Matthew Ryan McGraner

Happy to. The one thing we know is that we're going to be wrong on the curve.

It's bouncing around, it has bounced around, and I think unfortunately for us, the sell side tends to model max rate pain and weakest fundamentals out there possibly. That's the backdrop.

As the NexPoint platform, we manage about $20 billion or so across a variety of property types, and have built out broker-dealer infrastructure across those property types. That allows NXRT to utilize that broker-dealer infrastructure.

What I mean by that is NXRT would sponsor the DST program. Basically, utilizing the balance sheet, we could be a lender to the transaction, and make a spread above our credit line, 340 300 to 400 basis point spread there.

The sponsor typically takes acquisition fees, which could be 1% to 2% of the gross purchase price of the deals. You can estimate that fee income to be typically $1 million to $2.5 million per transaction.

It adds up. Given the fact that I think we've been an aligned shareholder here since inception, when we took public with fee deferrals, fee waivers, extraordinary side-by-side alignment in ownership, this is just another tool in our toolkit to help earnings, and diversify earnings.

We think it's the right thing to do for the business. Look, hope is we don't need it.

The curve comes our way, we're able to swap appropriately and opportunistically, and then just add this extra earnings layer on top of it. We see it as a good thing.

Michael Lewis

Thank you.

Matthew Ryan McGraner

You bet.

Operator

Your next question comes from Buck Horne with Raymond James.

Buck Horne

Hey, good morning, guys, and congrats. I was just wondering if you could give us a little bit more detail on the real estate taxes line, and I guess what were the good guys, and kind of how those year-over-year comps are looking as you peer into the back half in terms of appraisals or potential recoveries, or just kind of what's going on with taxes this quarter and the outlook for the remainder of the year?

Bonner McDermett

Buck, I'll be happy to help you with that. Q1, we're still fighting last year's taxes, right?

We got some wins on the board. I think in particular, Dallas County, DFW had a number of favorable protests from last year roll into the Q1 booking.

Overall, I would say, we've been working with our tax consultants, right? We've gotten kind of initial values, notices in May, in Texas, and a couple other of our municipalities.

Overall, I think our outlook is pretty stable. Valuations are down.

There's less ammunition, there's less sales that are really pushing kind of the equal and uniform story for us. We believe, I think taxes should be favorable this year to the last couple.

I think we've got in our numbers roughly 4.1% year-over-year growth at the midpoint with some of the savings in the Q1 booking. We're going to continue to shoot to outperform that.

Work to do there. Some of those fights roll into the next year.

Overall, the outlook is kind of in the 3% to 4% range, and we booked, I think, three or four settlements in Q1 that helped that quarterly number.

Buck Horne

Got it. That's very helpful color.

Just on the repairs and maintenance expenses that you mentioned, you pulled forward some deferred CapEx. Is that trend going to continue into the second quarter?

When does that kind of deferred CapEx spending or that maintenance spend start to normalize? I think

Bonner McDermett

there were a few things that were a little bit noisy. Again, it's one quarter.

Some of that is seasonal, some of that is lender-driven on the 2024 refi. We think R&M broadly stabilizes.

When you look at the component parts of R&M that we report, one of the things that's in there is that service contract revenue, and it probably deserves some better specification outside that. That includes our bulk fiber contract billing, it looks a little bit outsized, but there is a revenue offset there.

Q1, I would say we got hit by a couple kind of one-timey things, a few of the deferred maintenance items Matt mentioned. I think that outlook for the year generally is pretty favorable, again kind of inflation level of R&M growth, and then we're certainly working to outperform.

Buck Horne

Got it. All right, very helpful, guys.

Congrats. Good job.

Matthew Ryan McGraner

Thanks, Buck.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time.

Matthew Ryan McGraner

All right, thanks for everyone's participation, and look forward to seeing everyone at NAREIT in June. Have a good day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating.

You may now disconnect.