Grupo Comercial Chedraui SAB de CV Class B

Grupo Comercial Chedraui SAB de CV Class B

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Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 23, 2026

Operator

Good morning to all participants and welcome to Grupo Comercial Chedraui's second quarter 2026 conference call. Participating in the conference call today will be Mr.

José Antonio Chedraui, CEO of Grupo Comercial Chedraui, Mr. Carlos Smith, CEO of Chedraui USA, Humberto Tafoya, CFO, and Arturo Velazquez, IRO for the company.

We will begin the call with initial comments on Grupo Comercial Chedraui's second quarter financial results by the company's CEO, Mr. José Antonio Chedraui, and Chedraui USA CEO, Carlos Smith.

Please begin.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Good morning to all, and welcome to our presentation of Grupo Comercial Chedraui's second quarter 2026 financial results. I want to start by commenting that although we can't control the weaker consumer environment we're facing both in Mexico and in the US, we can respond by being more focused than ever on having the best operational execution and customer engagement, which are key elements to successfully navigating this environment.

I also want to recognize the commitment and dedication of our employees. Thank you for your hard work, as it was an essential factor in the 15 basis points increase in our consolidated EBITDA margin in the quarter compared to the same quarter of 2025.

In Mexico, consumer spending remains weak, particularly in the southeast region, where it affected not only by a lack of investment, but also by a slowdown in tourism. Our same-store sales growth felt this impact during the quarter, growing by 1.3% compared to the second quarter of '25.

Despite soft consumer spending, we continue to outperform ANTAD's self-service segment by 142 basis points, making this our 24th straight quarter. Our margins at Chedraui Mexico remained strong at 9.5%, despite higher labor costs, thanks to our expense control programs and gross margin expansion.

At Chedraui USA, sales continued to be affected by changes in SNAP benefit availability and immigration enforcement, as well as pressure in our customers' budgets due to higher gas prices. Despite the loss of operating leverage at El Super and Fiesta, EBITDA margin improved by 20 basis points compared to the prior year to 8.5%, reflecting expense management and cost efficiencies from our Rancho Cucamonga distribution center.

We remain confident in our long-term outlook, supported by healthy margin levels, low debt levels, and a strong cash position. These elements continue to support our organic growth strategy, as we opened 1 store in the US and 28 in Mexico.

Also, CapEx for the first 6 months of 2026 represented 3.3% of consolidated sales, in line with our budget, which we will continue to deploy per plan in the second half of 2026. Now, to start our presentation, I will highlight key achievements for the second quarter of 2026.

Please turn to slide 4. Chedraui Mexico's same-store sales grew 1.3% in the second quarter of 2026, surpassing ANTAD's decline of -0.1% for the 24th consecutive quarter.

Chedraui Mexico's total sales increased 5.1% due to higher same-store sales and a 4.4% sales floor expansion. Consolidated EBITDA margin increased 15 basis points to 9%.

Chedraui Mexico's EBITDA margin stood at 9.5%, in line with the second quarter of '25. Chedraui USA's EBITDA margin increased by 20 basis points to 8.5%.

Net cash to EBITDA improved to -0.09 times in the second quarter of '26 compared to the -0.05 times in the second quarter of '25. Our organic growth for the quarter consisted of opening 1 Tienda Chedraui, 27 Supercitos in Mexico, and 1 El Super in California, USA.

In the following slides, I will comment in more detail about our consolidated results for the quarter. Please turn to slide 5.

Consolidated sales declined 3.9% compared to the same quarter of last year, primarily reflecting the currency translation effect for Chedraui USA sales from a 9.7% appreciation of the Mexican peso against the US dollar. Consolidated EBITDA declined by 2.2% and EBITDA margin reached 9%, a 15 basis point improvement compared to the second quarter of '25.

Despite the loss of operating leverage, we were able to compensate with cost efficiencies from the RCDC, improved supplier conditions in the US, better promotion management in Mexico, and a strict expense control programs at both Chedraui Mexico and Chedraui USA. Turn to slide 6.

For our strategic M&A investments and organic growth strategy continue to support the positive long-term trend in consolidated net income. Over the past 5 years, net income has achieved a compounded annual growth rate of 16.7%, highlighting the effectiveness of our growth strategy and disciplined financial management.

Our return on equity has been affected by RCDC transition costs and non-recurring items in the past quarters. However, even considering these factors, our long-term strategic focus drove a 179 basis points increase in ROE in the second quarter of '26 compared to the same quarter of 2021.

This demonstrates our strong commitment to creating long-term value for our shareholders. In the following slides, we will review the main highlights of our businesses in Mexico.

On slide 7, for the second quarter of 2026, our same-store sales grew 1.3%, outperforming ANTAD's self-service segment by 142 basis points. A softer sales trend is explained by our strong presence in the southeast of Mexico, which has been experiencing softer consumer trends than the rest of the country.

I want to highlight that our Supercito format has grown above mid-single digits, driven by higher customer traffic as a result of our broad product base and competitive pricing strategy. Another key factor in our Mexican operations is that we continue to strengthen our e-commerce penetration to give our customers diverse shopping options.

As such, e-commerce sales as a percentage of sales in Mexico increased by 68 basis points to 4.6% in the second quarter of '26 compared to the same quarter of 2025. This performance was driven by higher customer satisfaction, stronger repeat purchase rates across our digital channels, and strong third-party performance, mainly from Rappi Turbo, Rappi, Uber Eats, and DiDi.

Please turn to slide 8. Despite a continued weakness in the consumption environment in Mexico, total sales in the second quarter increased by 5.1% compared to the second quarter of 2025, supported by same-store sales growth and a 4.4% expansion in sales floor area.

EBITDA in the quarter grew 5.2% compared to the same period of the previous year, and EBITDA margin remained at 9.5%, as higher labor costs were offset by strict expense control along with strategic promotional management. I will now turn the meeting over to Carlos Smith, CEO of Chedraui USA, for his comments on our US operations.

Carlos, please go ahead.

Carlos Smith

Thank you, Antonio. Good morning, everyone.

As Antonio mentioned, Chedraui USA delivered strong results this quarter as we grew EBITDA margin to 8.5%, a 20 basis point increase from the prior year quarter. This is due in large part to our continued focus on making RCDC operations more efficient while maintaining tight control over expenses across all areas of the business.

The customer environment has been challenging, with changes to both immigration enforcement policy and SNAP benefit availability, as well as rising fuel prices in the second quarter. Together, these factors negatively impacted same-store sales in the quarter, particularly at El Super and Fiesta, where we experienced a dip in in-store traffic due to those headwinds.

At Smart & Final, we are seeing improvements in sales trends, particularly with our business customers, whose larger basket size allowed us to increase our average ticket in the quarter. We believe we are uniquely positioned in the market to serve our business customers, and we are actively executing strategic initiatives to expand market share in that channel.

Finally, I would like to reiterate that our US business continues operating with healthy margins, a strong balance sheet, and positive cash flow generation, which has allowed us to pay down over $75 million in debt in the last 3 months. We remain confident that in the medium and long term, our operations and profitability will continue to improve as we optimize RCDC operations and maintain our disciplined approach to expense control.

Now, we will review the results of the second quarter. Please turn to slide 9.

Chedraui USA's same-store sales declined by 2.3% in US dollar terms compared to the same quarter of last year. This is explained mainly by a lower number of transactions at El Super and Fiesta due to stricter immigration enforcement, which began in Q2 of 2025, and the softer consumer trends resulting from lower SNAP benefit availability and higher fuel prices.

At Smart & Final, same-store sales decreased by 0.4% in dollar terms, with customer count down 1.2%, but average ticket up 0.8%, bringing Chedraui USA's overall average ticket size positive for the quarter. Chedraui USA's total sales decreased by 2.1% in dollar terms.

In Mexican pesos, the 9.7% translation effect contributed to a sales decline of 11.6%. Please turn to slide 10.

EBITDA was slightly up in US dollar terms, but declined 9.5% in Mexican pesos, while EBITDA margin rose 20 basis points to 8.5% as a result of continued expense control across the organization and efficiencies from RCDC in our distribution network. The combined El Super and Fiesta EBITDA margin remains at very healthy levels, even in this complex environment, reaching 8.8% in the second quarter of 2026.

Finally, Smart & Final's EBITDA margin of 8.3% improved 130 basis points compared to the same quarter of 2025, largely explained by the efficiencies gained at RCDC and gross margin improvements. This concludes our report on the US operations.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Thank you, Carlos. We now turn to the consolidated financial results on slide 11.

Consolidated sales of 71,035 million pesos declined 3.9% compared to the second quarter of 2025, mainly explained by a 9.7% appreciation of the Mexican peso when consolidating Chedraui USA sales. Gross profit posted a 1.1% decline in peso terms.

However, favorable promotion management in Mexico, reduced RCDC costs in the US, and efficiencies at Chedraui USA contributed to a gross margin expansion of 70 basis points to 24.8% in the second quarter of 2026. Consolidated operating expenses, excluding depreciation and amortization, decreased by 0.4% in peso terms and represented 15.8% of sales.

This result is explained by higher labor costs in Mexico, which were partially compensated by the effect of the appreciation of the Mexican peso when consolidating the results of Chedraui USA's operations, and expense containment programs in both countries. Consolidated operating income decreased 5.4%, with operating margin flat compared to the same quarter of 2025 at 5.7%.

Consolidated EBITDA declined by 2.2%, and EBITDA margin was up 15 basis points to 9%, benefiting from cost and expense efficiencies in Mexico and the US. Financial expenses increased by 7.8%, explained by lower financial income in Mexico, driven by lower interest rates, and higher financial costs related to IFRS 16.

Consolidated net income declined 11.5% to 1,825 million pesos and represented 2.6% of consolidated sales. Finally, please move to slide 12.

As of June 30th, 2026, we closed with a net cash position of 2,172 million pesos, and our net cash to EBITDA ratio improved to -0.09 times from a -0.05 times in the same period last year, the strongest level the company has had in the second quarter since 2021. CapEx for the first half of 2026 totaled 4,699 million pesos, representing 3.3% of sales, and increased by 31.5% compared to the second quarter of '25, a few steps above the 2.9% average level we've had since 2021.

This excludes Smart & Final's acquisition. Now, please allow us to move on to the question-and-answer section.

Operator

We'll now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press *1 on your telephone keypad.

A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press *2 to remove your question from the queue.

For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions.

Thank you. Our first question is from Bob Ford with Bank of America.

Bob Ford

Hey, thank you for taking my question. Good morning, everyone.

Antonio, can you comment a little bit on the competitive intensity in Mexico and how you're thinking about your existing value proposition and price gaps and maybe any recent changes? Then given the outperformance of Supercito, how should we think about returns for the concept, capital allocation, and the growth in the addressable market for Supercito?

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Good morning, Bob. Thank you for your question.

Let me talk first about the Supercito. We're very happy with the format.

We keep expanding the format. Same-store sales have been surpassing the rest of our formats.

We are very happy with Supercito and we'll keep focusing in that format. On the other hand, well, due to the slowdown in consumption in Mexico, particularly in the southeast region, where ANTAD reported a decline of 2.6% in the quarter, which was pretty tough, we have been experiencing, yes, aggressiveness in the market, but on the other hand, also there are pressures on the expense side due to the labor costs.

We have not seen more than we expected. We have been able to maintain our price gaps throughout the country, even being a little bit more aggressive in the southeast, and being able to surpassing ANTAD in terms of sales growth due to this strategy that we have been able to sustain without affecting the EBITDA margins in our company.

We believe that the competitive market will continue, but we are very well positioned. I think we are one of the best on the expense control side and allowing us to be, let's say, more competitive probably than the rest of the market.

Now, very

Bob Ford

very interesting. Then, when you think about the potential to grow Supercito, and I guess the level of returns, how would you position that for us to kind of better understand the opportunity to find a little bit of growth in what is a very challenging environment?

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

We are very focused on our organic expansion with the Supercitos. We'll meet our expansion program and also, as I've said in the past, open to any other consolidation opportunities.

For the moment, I would tell you that we will be hitting our expansion plan of opening more than 130 Supercitos in the year, and we'll expand that number in 2027. We're very happy with the format above.

Our same-store sales growth were over 7%, we're happy with that.

Bob Ford

Fantastic. Thank you so much and congratulations on the little victories.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Thank you. Thank you, Bob.

Operator

Our next question is from Ben Theurer with Barclays.

Hey, this is Ryan on for Ben today. We wanted to ask about traffic trends in the US.

Same-store sales is getting a little better sequentially during this quarter, but we wanted to ask what are the trends you're seeing, especially amid immigration enforcement and the softer consumer in the region, in context with how you're trying to drive traffic again in the back half of the year?

Carlos Smith

Thanks for the question. Good point.

We saw a slight improvement in same-store sales in Q2 versus Q1. Q3 started off much much better, particularly at Smart & Final, where we're seeing sales growth and traffic growth.

We're also seeing some improving traffic trends at El Super.

Perfect. I'll pass it along then.

Thanks for the color.

Carlos Smith

Got it.

Operator

Our next question is from Froylan Mendez with J.P. Morgan.

Froylan Mendez

Hello, gentlemen. Can you hear me well?

Yes.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Yes, hear you perfect.

Froylan Mendez

Perfect. Thank you so much for taking my question.

I wanted to dig in where the gross margin expansion came between Mexico and the US, and specifically the gross margin sustainability that we are seeing in the context of this very constrained consumer. How sustainable is this gross margin and is it coming from promo discipline, supplier funding, better shrinkage, or what is driving these gross margin despite the weak consumer, and can we repeat this same trend into the second half?

Thank you.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Let me start with Mexico and I'll let Carlos explain the US. In Mexico, it's a little bit of everything you just comment.

You have it very clear. We have been very disciplined in our promotional activity, in our inventory management that both have been able to reduce markdowns.

On the other hand, we have also worked around shrink, being more efficient than we have had in the past, not only on the dry merchandise, but also on the perishable side. That has been allowing us to increase slightly gross margin and being able to invest in our pricing strategy to sustain our sale expansion over ANTAD.

We think all this is sustainable. We have proven that it has been sustainable throughout years.

Let me add that also we are very well positioned on the expense side as well, being the more efficient operator on the expense side that will allow us to sustain the EBITDA margins that we're projecting in Mexico. Then Carlos has more information about the US.

Carlos Smith

Yeah. In terms of the US, let me start by saying that I think our team did a tremendous job of operating in a very difficult environment.

They've improved gross margin, as you mentioned, but they've also done, similar to Mexico, a terrific job controlling expenses. Really proud of our team as they operated very, very well.

From a gross margin standpoint, well, part of it is what we've been talking about for a long time, which is a stabilization of our RCDC operations. This is part of our plan, and we executed on that plan very, very well.

It's a combination of benefits from RCDC as well as from the operation. As Antonio mentioned, there are a lot of components on the operating side: supplier negotiations, promotional management, shrink control, and in the US, one additional factor which is really important as we continue to push sales towards our perishable categories.

Sales mix is a very important component of our business model in the US, and we're slowly seeing improving results at Smart & Final as well as El Super and Fiesta that help with gross margin improvement.

Froylan Mendez

Carlos, if I may, once we see a more normalized traffic trends, and now with all the RCDC fully operational, no double cost, what's the, let's say, sustainable EBITDA margin for your operations in the US that you see feasible and sustainable?

Carlos Smith

You saw that we achieved a consolidated result of 8.5%. We've lost leverage due to the top-line impact.

As we mentioned in many, many calls ago, our objective is to get those 50 basis point improvements versus where we ended up 2023. That is still our goal.

It's probably a few quarters delayed with everything that's occurred, but that's our target. We think it's achievable.

Froylan Mendez

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Joe Thomas with HSBC.

Joe Thomas

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you very much for taking the questions.

I'm just wondering, in the US, if now I think we've now cycled the impact of the start of immigration enforcement. I'm just wondering, as we've cycled that, what sort of trends we're seeing there?

Are we seeing substantial improvement year-on-year? That'd be the first question.

The second question relates to the World Cup. I'm just wondering to what extent you think it has been a positive benefit or otherwise in these numbers?

Thank you.

Carlos Smith

Yes, I'll start with the immigration impacts in the US. The immigration enforcement policy impact started towards the end of May, beginning of June.

It's manifested itself in different markets at different times. It's not as if we're going to cycle through a one-time event at a particular month.

Each one of the markets has behaved differently. It started in California, in different areas in California, and it moved slowly eastward, and the impact in Texas was at a different time.

We're still going to be seeing the cycling effect of this through the next several months. The EBT impact is also one that has impacted us in different markets at different stages.

We still have some headwinds in front of us as it relates to both of these components. As I mentioned earlier, though, Q3 started off better, in particular at Smart & Final, where we're seeing sales growth as well as traffic growth, and at El Super we're beginning to see an improvement in our traffic trend, we're encouraged.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

About the World Cup, Joe, well, unfortunately, we didn't see any sales expansion as we projected. June, for example, ANTAD reported a decline of -2.7% in same-store sales growth, which was really, really bad and very surprising.

There were some categories that were positive, but on the overall, sales were not as we projected throughout the market. We heard that there has been a huge gambling increase.

Difficult to prove, I don't have numbers to support this, but we have not seen any consumption positive trend due to the World Cup in Mexico.

Carlos Smith

In the US, very similar. I think we saw increases in certain categories of snacks and beer and beverages at certain times, but on an overall basis, it was net neutral, in my opinion.

Joe Thomas

Thank you for that. Can I just follow up on that first question, please?

In the areas where you have cycled the immigration enforcement, what sort of trends are you seeing in the Latin-focused brands?

Carlos Smith

Yeah. Like I said, El Super's been improving its trends.

El Super has exposure in a little bit of Northern California, Southern California. Southern California's trends are improving a little bit, but we have a tremendous amount of exposure with high-volume stores in the Arizona market and the Las Vegas market, which have been hit pretty hard.

Joe Thomas

All right. Thank you very much, both of you.

Operator

Our next question is from Luis Gerdiel with Citigroup.

Hey guys, thank you so much for taking my question. My question is regarding a dig-in on the performance of the same-store sales in Mexico, specifically looking at the transaction side.

During the first quarter, we saw transactions contracting, and we saw it's contracting as well during the second quarter. If you could please comment what are the main drivers that you see for this performance, if it's mainly competition or if you are seeing something else.

Also, looking forward, how do you see the performance of transactions evolving? If we should expect a recovery anytime soon, and what are the main actions that you are taking to drive this recovery?

Thank you.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

I'm sorry, Luis. We did not hear very well.

There was something with the connection. Could you please repeat?

I understood that the question was about sales in Mexico, but did not understand the question very clear. Could you repeat it, please?

Yeah. Can you hear me well now?

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Yes. Yes, we hear you.

That's better. Okay.

My question was regarding the transactions by constantly sourced deals in Mexico. We saw it contracting for a second quarter in a row, right?

I want to hear what are the main drivers behind this performance, if you feel to be mainly competition driving this performance or if there is anything else here, and what are the main actions that you guys are taking to see a recovery here in terms of same-store sales? Thank you.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Sorry again, but there was an echo, very difficult to hear. Do you think it would be possible that we answer your question through Fabiola and Arturo?

We did not hear well. It was an echo in the call when you started the question.

Sorry.

Sure. Sure, we can do that.

No problem.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Thank you.

Operator

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press *1 on your telephone keypad. Our next question is from Froylan Mendez with J.P.

Morgan.

Froylan Mendez

Hi guys, thank you for taking my follow-up. Just on guidance, and given the year-to-date trends both in the US and Mexico, how confident are you to keep the current guidance as it is, or where do you see the biggest upside or downside either coming from Mexico or the US?

Would really appreciate it. Thank you.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

In Mexico, it looks difficult to achieve. We're close to the low end of the guidance in terms of same-store sales.

On the other hand, we feel pretty comfortable on the margin side, on the EBITDA margin, on our expansion program, on our CapEx, on our financial position at the end of the year. The big question mark would be if we are going to be able to hit the same-store sales growth, which seems to be difficult on the Mexico side.

We're trying to hit the low end of the projection, but not certain that we will achieve that.

Carlos Smith

I would echo similar comments for the US, Froylan. The same-store sales goal is looking difficult to achieve based on the first half of the year.

From an EBITDA margin side, we think that it's still achievable.

Froylan Mendez

Perfect. Carlos, if I may, just following up on the comments on the US, do you think the Hispanic shoppers are going elsewhere given they are shifting channels, doing more e-commerce?

Because I find hard that they simply stopped consuming just because they cannot go out or they fear. They have to be consuming just in a different way.

Where are they shopping now if it's not in the traditional stores that you're putting in front of them?

Carlos Smith

It's not a secret that certain markets have had a reduction in certain Latin communities, especially through the Temporary Protected Status program and things like that. However, I would bundle in the Latin consumer to the regular consumer in the US, which is stretched very thin right now.

People are worried about grocery prices. People have less EBT.

They're paying more for gas, and they're willing to shop in multiple locations, which is a trend that we have to live with and understand what our strengths are and how we can provide value to these customers, which is what they're looking for. Shopper behavior has been changing for a while, and we have to adapt to it.

I think our formats are well positioned to be able to deliver on a value proposition to the consumer.

Froylan Mendez

Excellent. Thank you so much.

Operator

Our next question is from Ricardo Amsira with GBM.

Ricardo Amsira

Hello, gentlemen. Thank you for the space for questions.

I apologize if this was already asked, but I lost connection for a minute through Froylan and Luis's question. Taking a few steps back to January, how comfortable are you feeling with achieving the company's full-year guidance, particularly in same-store sales in both the United States and Mexico?

What catalysts or actions you feel will be necessary in order to get there?

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

Ricardo, as we've said, we feel that it's going to be difficult to reach our same-store sales guidance in Mexico. We believe that there could be an opportunity to be close to the low end of the guidance.

On the other hand, we feel very positive on the margin side, gross and EBITDA margin. We feel that we'll hit the guidance.

On the expansion side and CapEx, we feel very confident that we'll hit the guidance. We feel that all the openings that we projected, we'll open those stores.

On the financial position, we feel very comfortable that we'll be able to hit our guidance as well. We have been able to manage inventory very well and react to the difficult sales projections that we see.

If we don't hit the same-store sales guidance, we'll be close to it in Mexico.

Carlos Smith

Ricardo. This is the same question Froylan asked a minute ago.

In the US, I think given how we started, we're going to have a tough time achieving the same-store sales guidance, but we're comfortable in achieving our EBITDA margin guidance.

Ricardo Amsira

Perfect. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. Thank you.

There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to now hand the floor back over to Mr.

José Antonio Chedraui for any closing remarks.

José Antonio Chedraui Eguía

I just want to thank everyone for joining and hope to be talking to you at the end of the next quarter. Thank you.

Thank you very much. Safe travels for everyone.

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time.

Thank you again for your participation.