Vicor Corporation

Vicor Corporation

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Feb 25Next Earn

Q4 FY2025 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 19, 2026

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Vicor Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call.

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.

To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.

To withdraw your question, please press star one one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

I'd now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Jim Schmidt, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Jim Schmidt

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to Vicor Corporation's earnings call for the fourth quarter and year ended December 31, 2025.

I'm Jim Schmidt, Chief Financial Officer, and I'm in Andover with Patrizio Vinciarelli, Chief Executive Officer, and Phil Davies, Vice President, Global Sales and Marketing. After the markets closed today, we issued a press release summarizing our financial results for the three months and year ending December 31st.

This press release has been posted on the Investor Relations page of our website, www.vicorpower.com. We also filed a Form 8-K today relating to the issuance of this press release.

I remind listeners this conference call is being recorded and is the copyrighted property of Vicor Corporation. I also remind you various remarks we make during this call may constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

Except for historical information contained in this call, the matters discussed on this call, including any statements regarding current and planned products, current and potential customers, potential market opportunities, expected events and announcements, and our capacity expansion, as well as management's expectations for sales growth, spending, and profitability, are forward-looking statements involving risk and uncertainties. In light of these risks and uncertainties, we can offer no assurance that any forward-looking statement will, in fact, prove to be correct.

Actual results may differ materially from those explicitly set forth in or implied by any of our remarks today. The risks and uncertainties we face are discussed in Item 1A of our 2024 Form 10-K, which we filed with the SEC on March 3, 2025.

This document is available via the EDGAR system on the SEC's website. Please note the information provided during this conference call is accurate only as of today, Thursday, February 19, 2026.

Vicor undertakes no obligation to update any statements, including forward-looking statements, made during this call, and you should not rely upon such statements after the conclusion of this call. A webcast replay of today's call will be available shortly on the Investor Relations page of our website.

I'll now turn to a review of our Q4 and full-year financial performance, after which Phil will review recent market developments, and Patrizio, Phil, and I will take your questions. In my remarks, I will focus mostly on the sequential quarterly change for P&L and balance sheet items, as well as full year-on-year changes, and refer you to our press release or our upcoming Form 10-K for additional information.

As stated in today's press release, Vicor recorded product revenue for the fourth quarter of $92.7 million, up 4.5% from the third quarter total of $88.7 million, and up 15.3% from the fourth quarter 2024 total of $80.4 million. Royalty revenue for the fourth quarter totaled $14.5 million, a 33.1% decrease from $21.7 million in the third quarter, and a 7.8% decrease from $15.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2024.

The sequential decrease in royalty revenue was the result of a catch-up amount that was included in the Q3 result. Product revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025, increased 12.1% to $350.3 million from $312.5 million for the prior year.

Royalty revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, totaled $57.4 million, a 23.2% increase from $46.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024. Total product revenue and royalty revenue, including a $45 million patent litigation settlement received for the year ended December 31, 2025, increased 26.1% to $452.7 million from $359.1 million for the prior year.

Advanced products revenue, which includes royalty revenue, decreased 4.4% sequentially, which was the result of the catch-up amount of royalty revenue in Q3. Brick products revenues declined 0.6% from the third quarter.

Revenues for Advanced products for the year ending 2025 increased 26% to $248.6 million from $197.3 million the year before. Revenues for Brick products for the year ending 2025 decreased 1.6% to $159.1 million from $161.7 million the year before.

Shipments to stocking distributors decreased 11.1% sequentially, but increased 5.3% year over year. Exports for the fourth quarter increased sequentially as a percentage of total revenue to approximately 49.3% from the prior quarter's 42.8%.

On a year-over-year basis, exports increased as a percentage of total revenue to approximately 50.8% from the prior year's 48.2%. For Q4, Advanced products share of total revenue, including royalty revenue, decreased to 58.4% compared to 59.4% for the third quarter, with Brick products share correspondingly increasing to 41.6% of total revenue.

Turning to Q4 gross margin, we recorded a consolidated gross profit margin of 55.4%, approximately 2.1% less than the prior quarter as a result of the royalty catch-up amount in Q3. For the full year 2025, gross margin rose by 6.1% to 57.3% from 51.2% in the prior year.

I'll now turn to Q4 operating expenses. Total operating expense increased 2.7% from the third quarter.

For the full year 2025, total operating expense as a percent of revenue and patent litigation settlement decreased to 39.2% from 51.6% in the prior year. The amount of total equity-based compensation expense for Q4 included in cost of goods, SG&A, and R&D was $1,008,000, $2,206,000, and $1,153,000, respectively, totaling approximately $4.4 million.

For Q4, we recorded operating income of $15.7 million, representing an operating margin of 14.6%. For the full year 2025, operating income totaled $81.8 million, or 18.1% of revenue and patent litigation settlement, compared to operating loss of $1.3 million, or -0.4% of revenue in the prior year.

Turning to income taxes, we recorded a tax benefit for Q4 of approximately $27.3 million, representing an effective tax rate for the quarter of -142% as a result of the tax benefit via the partial recognition of served deferred tax assets in the period. The tax benefit for the full year 2025 was approximately $24.4 million, representing an effective tax rate for the year of -25.4%.

Net income for Q4 totaled $46.5 million. Diluted earnings per share was $1.01 based on a fully diluted share count of 46,297,000.

For the full year 2025, net income increased to $118.6 million from $6.1 million in the prior year. In 2025, fully diluted earnings per share increased to $2.61 from 14 cents in the prior year.

Turning to our cash flow and balance sheet, cash and cash equivalents totaled $402.8 million in Q4. Accounts receivable, net of reserves, totaled $60.7 million at quarter end, with DSOs for trade receivables of 44 days.

Inventories, net of reserves, decreased 1% sequentially to $91.3 million. Annualized inventory turns were approximately flat sequentially at 1.16.

Operating cash flow totaled approximately $15.7 million for the quarter. Capital expenditures for Q4 totaled $5.5 million.

We ended the quarter with a construction-in-progress balance, primarily for manufacturing equipment, of approximately $7.8 million, with approximately $6.9 million remaining to be spent. I'll now address bookings and backlog.

Q4 book-to-bill, improving sequentially, came in well above one, and with one-year backlog increasing 15.8% from the prior quarter, closing at $176.9 million. 2026 is a year of great opportunity for Vicor.

We are working to deliver on the opportunities. However, given that we cannot predict with certainty the timing or amounts of outcomes relating to our licensing practice, we will not provide quarterly guidance.

With that, Phil will provide an overview of recent market developments, and then Patrizio, Phil, and I will take your questions. I ask that you limit yourself to one question and a related follow-up so that we can respond to as many of you as we can in the limited time that we have.

If you have more than one topic to address, please get back in the queue. Phil?

Phil Davies

Thank you, Jim. At the beginning of 2025, we talked about the year ahead being one of challenges and opportunities.

As we look back, 2025 met those expectations, with improvements in product bookings and revenues in Q4 and our IP licensing practice becoming a major contributor to our top and bottom lines. As we exited 2025, our book-to-bill ratio increased to over 1.2 in Q4 and has continued to increase in Q1.

At the start of 2026, we can say that this will be a year of different challenges and greater opportunities. They should result in record bookings, revenues, and profitability, with significantly higher utilization of our first ChiP fab.

As Patrizio commented in today's press release, the United States International Trade Commission has instituted a second investigation into illegal importation of power modules and computing systems infringing Vicor's IP for non-isolated bus converters. By now, it should be clear that Vicor will methodically and relentlessly enforce its intellectual property for the many inventions it pioneered, and that suppliers of infringing systems are putting themselves and their customers at risk, including unlicensed OEMs and hyperscalers.

Following the example set by licensed OEMs and hyperscalers, companies with an ethical backbone should do the right thing, avoiding infringement by taking a license to secure their supply chain. Our lead customer for VPD solutions is ramping a Gen 4 factorized power system before transitioning to a Gen 5-based solution with higher current density and performance.

This transition is expected to start in the second half of this year, while production of the Gen 4 system will continue to ramp at a steep rate to the end of 2026. Engagement with other Gen 5 VPD customers will be selective, as capacity in our existing first ChiP fab is getting earmarked for strategic customers, and additional capacity from our second ChiP fab may not be available until 2028.

Our industrial and aerospace and defense business outlook for 2026 is strong, particularly in the automatic test equipment market, which is seeing substantial growth and projecting high growth to last for the next several years. Given our power density advantage, which is of paramount importance to our customers, I am confident that we can double the revenues in these markets over the next four to six years, respectively.

As we approach high utilization of our first ChiP fab, we are beginning to engage customers in capacity reservation agreements to secure their supply needs. While in the planning stages of a second ChiP fab to expand the market opportunity, we are having discussions with candidates for an alternate source of high current density Gen 5 VPD solutions.

An alternate source will give licensed OEMs and hyperscalers broader access to best-in-class power system technology. In view of these developments, we remain confident in our business strategy of innovation, customer focus, and market focus.

With that, we'll now take your questions.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will conduct a question-and-answer session.

As a reminder to ask a question, you will need to press star one one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star one one again.

Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from the line of Quinn Bolton of Needham & Company.

Your line is now open.

Quinn Bolton

Hey, guys. Congratulations on 2025 and that's a record outlook for 2026.

Patrizio or Phil, I wanted to start with your lead customer. It sounds like you're seeing a pretty strong ramp from that customer, and you mentioned that Andover is getting filled.

Can you talk, is Andover being filled largely from your lead customer, or do you have other significant Gen 4, Gen 5 customers that are contributing to that growing utilization in the Andover facility?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

It's a combination of demand, increasing demand on a number of fronts. Not just high-end computing, where there's a multiplicity of factors to play with respect to increased demand on capacity, but also in test equipment, as Phil mentioned in his prepared remarks, and some of the other end markets.

Quinn Bolton

Got it. Thank you.

Then, I guess maybe a follow-up on the IP licensing in the press release. You talked about seeing record revenue from the IP licensing business this year.

Just wanted to clarify, does that include or exclude the $45 million patent litigation settlement that was part of the 2025 revenue stream as we think about 2026?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

We see our licensing business expanding, as Jim suggested earlier. The timing of elements contributing to the expansion is, some of them, predictable.

As we look at the predicament that OEMs and hyperscalers face in terms of potential exclusion orders, we see a major opportunity for us to grow our licensing business considerably. As we had discussed in our last quarterly call, we see that business expanding greatly in the next couple of years.

I think what has transpired since then suggests that those are conservative estimates.

Jim Schmidt

Quinn, just to clarify the number for you, the royalty revenue I quoted in my prepared remarks of $57.4 million in 2025 does not include patent litigation settlement. That's royalty revenue, and it was up 23.2% from $46.6 million in 2024.

Quinn Bolton

Just to clarify, Jim, when the comment in the press release about the licensing business will expand, are you looking at the $57.4 million as the 2025 base, or should we be thinking about that base being $102 million, which would include that $45 million patent settlement as part of the base?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

For one thing, there's going to be more patent settlements. For another, the one patent settlement from last year in terms of the outlook for our licensing business doesn't really make a substantial difference with respect to the upside with respect to this part of our business.

We expect hundreds of millions of dollars' worth of revenues from our licensing income. The $47 million event of last year is, in hindsight, going to be a drop in the bucket, to be sure, but not all that significant.

Quinn Bolton

Understood. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of Jon Tanwanteng of CJS Securities. Your line is now open.

Jon Tanwanteng

Hi, thank you for taking my questions. Also congratulations on a good year.

I was wondering if you could give us a little bit more detail on the launch customer for VPD. You mentioned that they were going with a Gen 4 product.

Could you talk about the decision that went into that and why they aren't starting with Gen 5, and kind of how that happened?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

The Gen 4 system is mature. It's one that's got a track record of success that is expanding in terms of its opportunity.

In order to get to the next-generation system, a mature design, a mature system—it's not just a power system; it's a system as a whole—needs to come to fruition. It isn't quite there yet.

It will be there soon, and that will lead to the next set of opportunities. To be clear, with our lead customer, we're seeing a significant share of our capacity being utilized as we get towards the end of this year on the earlier-generation system.

The next-generation system will provide an additional layer of user capacity as we get into next year.

Jon Tanwanteng

Understood. Thank you.

Then, you're considering a new facility. I was just wondering if you're planning to build that yourself or you're still planning to work with partners to do that, perhaps in a capital-light fashion, and just wondering what kind of capacity a new facility would have?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

We've made two offers on area where we could build a facility. The lead time associated with that, though, is 2.5 to 3 years when everything is said and done.

We are also looking at existing buildings within a 30-mile radius of Andover to the north and the west. We haven't decided yet which of these alternatives we're going to close on.

Again, we've had two offers. No deal done yet, but I would expect that we're likely to do something on this general front relatively soon.

Jon Tanwanteng

Great. Thank you.

I'll jump back in queue.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of Rich Shannon of Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is now open.

Rich Shannon

Thanks, Patrizio, Phil, and Jim, for taking my questions. Also send my congratulations on a really good last year.

My first question is on royalties and licensing. As you mentioned, and there are some questions here in the Q&A about growth in this business.

I guess I wanted to triangulate differently from how you've talked about in the past, where you're hoping to get a roughly $300 million revenue stream. I know that's not entirely royalties, maybe some product in there, but talking about a $300 million bogey between '24 and '26.

By my numbers, at least, that would require a fair amount of growth of doubling or so of your royalty revenues from '25 to '26, which you didn't talk about it that way this quarter. Can you maybe talk about it in those terms?

Is that a number that we should continue to expect, better or worse, just to help us triangulate those things?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

We have two major licensees. We expect to have a lot more.

The future contribution from those two should become quite a bit larger. I think in one way of looking at it, in high-end computing AI, systems rely, from the power system perspective, our IP.

To the extent that, in order to be able to deploy those systems, a license will become necessary, that defines the opportunity. As you can see, the opportunity far exceeds what we've harnessed thus far.

There is a lot more to be captured in years to come. The $300 million number, to your point, involves contributions from royalties and broad business licensees is not a long-term goal.

It is relatively near-term goal, not for this year, to be clear, but as we had said last year, in a couple of years' time frame. You can see going well beyond that.

Rich Shannon

My follow-on question is on second-gen VPD engagements. You already talked about your lead customer today and in past quarters, but last quarter, you also mentioned engagements that didn't seem to be early-stage ones with a hyperscaler and an OEM.

I didn't hear any comments in the prepared remarks, although I was a little bit late. Wondering if you can comment on the progress of those and any other ones you've added to the pipeline.

Thank you.

Phil Davies

Richard, this is Phil. Maybe I can get a little bit more granular on that.

The next step for us is, over the next couple of weeks, we're bringing in our global FAE team that is dedicated to supporting customers in different locations where we have target hyperscalers and OEM chip companies located. They will be going through, if you like, a boot camp on Gen 5 VPD, using the demo boards and tools that the central applications group here in Andover have developed for the market.

That's happening in the next couple of weeks. After we get that in place, as we've talked about, we're going to be fairly selective in who we're going to be engaging with.

It's very important we do that. That's the next step after that.

The FAEs are here next couple of weeks and we're on the way.

Rich Shannon

Thanks for that detail. I'll jump in line.

Thank you, guys.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of Justin Clare of ROTH Capital Partners. Your line is now open.

Justin Clare

Hi. Thanks for the time here.

First, just wanted to follow up on the potential for capacity expansion here. Given the plan to add a second fab, was just wondering how we should think about the ramp in utilization for your existing facility, how we think about that over the next couple of years, and kind of what utilization thresholds you anticipate reaching that is necessitating the additional fab here.

Then, just if you could talk about when do you anticipate kind of approaching that optimal utilization for the first fab?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Based on ramps with a number of customers in different markets, with a strong contribution from high-end computing, we see existing fab being well utilized within a year. That's obviously prompting the initiative to secure additional capacity, both by bringing up a second fab and by having discussions with potential alternate sources that could provide customers with equivalent solutions using their own capabilities and our technology.

In terms of the fabs, as I mentioned earlier, we've started exploring the opportunity of bringing about with a large piece of real estate, the flexibility to increment capacity in steps. In other words, in my view, this would be a campus that could support up to 0.5 million square feet of manufacturing space.

Just to set things in perspective, the Federal Street facility is around 300,000, so that would be substantially more in terms of the real estate available for capacity. Also, given the learning that we've done, we think we can achieve more capacity per unit of area in the next facility.

The thinking, as of late, has evolved, though, more toward potentially acquiring a building. To be clear, there's been no decision one way or the other yet.

It could go either way. The benefit of doing it with an existing building is that the time to fruition would be a year, a year and a half shorter.

We might go that way. It would be on the same scale, though, in terms of the increment of capacity that we want to bring about with the second fab.

Justin Clare

Okay. Got it.

That's helpful. Then just when we think through this, if you're reaching close to kind of optimal utilization within a year, I think historically you've talked about your fab being able to support $1 billion in product revenue.

Within a year, could you be close to that level where you're getting to a run rate of $1 billion in product revenue? Then just curious on the second fab, how much in CapEx spending you might anticipate in terms of what's required there?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Yes. To be clear, Federal Street has a capacity, given the dollars per panel and the number of panels it can process per unit of time, to do slightly above $1 billion in revenues.

You wouldn't want to use 100% of that capacity because, by definition, that will leave no room for error, right? An 80% capacity utilization is the kind of number that you want to think of in terms of the test of, fundamentally, having achieved a very good capacity utilization.

Now, in terms of the next facility, whether it's by acquiring land, putting up a building, and then equipping it with what is necessary in order to bring about that broad increment of capacity, this is, all in, a proposition of the order of $250 million, $300 million. Something that Vicor has the wherewithal to finance on its own given our cash position and our cash flow.

Justin Clare

Okay. Appreciate it.

Thanks for the detail.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of John Dillon of DMB Capital. Your line is now open.

John Dillon

Hi, guys. Thanks a lot for taking my call, and again, congratulations on a good year.

Phil, I wanted to go back to the customers you talked about before in Q3 and Q4. I kind of got the impression that you had design wins, and these customers couldn't find alternative ways to power their new AI processors.

I'm wondering, are those customers still working with you? Have they gone to other customers?

Are you going to be able to meet their time schedule for their new products?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

They have a need for a VPD solution in particular that has all the right traits. The competitive landscape doesn't have that.

That's constrained the market opportunity for VPD to a very limited set of companies that have actually done it while incurring a great deal of pain because of the shortcomings of the power system. What we bring about with our second-gen VPD and fifth-generation modules is a solution that have, as beneficial, much higher current density and much greater level of manufacturability in terms of the assembly of the whole solution.

It doesn't require a SAC, as first-generation VPD does. It's much easier to cool.

It's more efficient. It has a number of benefits that manifest themselves in many ways.

As Phil suggested, we're going to be picking those customers that strategically we want to be aligned with. We have a great deal of interest.

As an example, we were out in the valley just a few weeks ago, met in the morning with another module customer with a great deal of interest in our VPD capability. Haven't decided yet whether or not we're going to engage in that particular case.

We will the utilization of our existing fab, before we get another fab in place, of deciding which applications make the most sense. Needless to say, our lead customer is one that we prioritize.

There's going to be more in that league, in that end market. There's one in particular with tremendous opportunity in terms of volume.

That one alone would fill two fabs. We are in a privileged position.

We have the technology and the capability. We can leverage our opportunity both by selling product and by collecting licensing income.

We can also do it by bringing about an alternate source. We're pursuing all of these opportunities in parallel.

John Dillon

Got it. I just want to make sure I understand.

The customers that you mentioned before, they're still on the hook, they're still talking to you, they're still engaged with you, they still can't find an alternative source to power their new AI processors, but it sounds like it just slipped a bit.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

I think if you were to ask them, they would all say that they will find a solution whether or not Vicor exists, right? Nobody will acknowledge that they're out of luck without us.

That's not the real world. That's not what we're suggesting.

There's always some way of getting something done. To be clear, that way of getting it done is problematic in terms of the technical trade-offs and technical challenges, whether it's cooling or manufacturability, and then it may also be very much challenged from the IP perspective.

It's a complex landscape. But

John Dillon

It sounds like it's still a competitive situation then.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

It's always, by definition, a competitive situation.

John Dillon

Yeah. Got it.

All right, my follow-on question is, are you seeing any AI processor designs with horizontal or horizontal-vertical besides your lead customer?

Phil Davies

I think if you look at, as Patrizio actually said, there's one very, very large company that's using vertical power delivery today in very high volume, and that's increasing year on year. In terms of anybody else really in high-volume production with vertical power delivery, John, it's fairly limited right now.

They're all trying to get Gen 1 VPD to work in some fashion, but to date, I'm not hearing anybody that's supplying that in volume. They're trying.

They're working on it. I think when we come out with our Gen 5 and launch it and selectively launch it, as we've talked about, we're going to have some winners on our hands.

John Dillon

Got it. I saw a picture of a new AI processor that's coming out that looked like a gold bar on the top, and that's why I asked about horizontal.

I'm wondering if you have any upcoming horizontals or horizontal-verticals besides your lead customer, because I know they're different.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

I don't think we're going to make comments specifically about that snapshot. I think, Phil, what would you say about that?

Phil Davies

We do have Gen 4 customers using our gold bars, as it were, laterally.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Lateral.

Phil Davies

Yeah.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Yeah. I don't think the visibility to a gold bar is really what's fundamentally at issue at this point.

I think the right way of looking at it is that we have tremendous opportunity, and we have the technology that matches the needs of the marketplace. Again, going back to the earlier question, it's not that if our solution didn't exist, there wouldn't be a solution.

The alternate solution, which is really a common denominator to all the competitors that tend to do pretty much the same thing with relatively slight differences as they look over each other's shoulder to make incremental steps down an old road, it carries a lot of baggage in a number of respects, technical, and when it comes to VPD, also IP challenges.

John Dillon

Excellent. Listen, thank you very much.

I might get back in the queue. Thank you again.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of Jon Tanwanteng of CJS Securities. Your line is now open.

Jon Tanwanteng

Hi. Thank you for taking my follow-up.

Earlier, you mentioned that you were taking capacity reservations for your facility. I was wondering what the financials of that look like.

Is there upfront payments? Are there contract terms for minimums or something like that, just how are you approaching those reservations?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

In terms of revenue recognition, that would happen as shipments take place. Obviously, there's a cash component that would show up in our balance sheet, but there is no acceleration of revenue that comes from the capacity reservation.

The revenues get recorded as products ship covered by that reservation.

Jon Tanwanteng

Okay. Got it.

Then, can you talk a little bit more about the 800-volt data center opportunity, and if you are seeing any traction there, or are you seeing any orders ahead of that? I'm specifically talking about products that are outside the vertical or lateral power, or the NBMs that you have today.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

We have technology there. There too, Vicor's pioneered high-density bus conversion from 800 volts and 400 volts for many, many years.

We have relevant IP. We have products.

We have more products in the pipeline that will come out later this year. Frankly, though, I would say that there's quite a bit of hype about this 800-volt.

I think that is, to some degree, missing the point with respect to what the real issues are. It's a diversion.

The reason why generations of GPUs have not been able to meet expectations with respect to performance, having to do with the power system gating the GPU performance, have nothing to do with 48-volt or 800-volt. They've had to do with what goes on at the point of load, and the fact that multiphase mainstream type of solutions are a handicap.

That's where the focus should be. Obviously, we operate in an industry that goes through phases of focus and potential for hype.

Without question, there is value to an 800-volt bus. That value, broadly, if you measure it in terms of efficiency, it gets measured in a few percent.

What gets lost in an inferior point-of-load solution is 15 or 20 points. I personally wonder why anybody would worry about capturing a 2% improvement in an 800-volt power distribution when they're missing 15% or 20% in the point of load, and they can't cool or deliver the power they need in order to achieve the level of performance they targeted.

Irrespective of how these things evolve, we have the technology, we've got the IP, and we're going to make the most of that opportunity. Frankly, I think there's a good deal of hype related to 800 volts.

That could lead to problems, because if people are focused on the wrong problem, which is not really much of a problem, they are not going to be solving the real problems.

Jon Tanwanteng

Understood. Thank you for that insight.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of Quinn Bolton of Needham & Company. Your line is now open.

Quinn Bolton

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my follow-up.

Patrizio, I guess I just wanted to sort of make sure everybody on the line is sort of thinking about the revenue ramp the same way. You haven't obviously guided revenue for '26, but you've given us sort of three kind of guideposts, which are you expect Andover to approach full utilization over the next year.

You've sort of said full utilization would be around 80%. Otherwise, you don't leave a lot of room for error.

You've said at 100% utilization, the fab would be able to produce $1 billion in revenue. When I put all of that together, it sort of sounds like you're pointing revenue could approach an $800 million product revenue could approach an $800 million run rate over the next year.

That would be more than double what you did on a product revenue front in calendar '25. I know you're not giving guidance, but some of those guideposts point to very significant revenue growth.

I just want to make sure, to the extent that you think that interpretation of the comments you've made is too aggressive, I just wanted to see if you would correct any of those thoughts or if that's the right way to be thinking about sort of the data points you've suggested.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

I think your analysis is on point. Obviously, key to that is run rate, right, as distinct from revenues for this year, '26.

We see the demand getting to a run rate that would utilize 80% or so of the capacity in the Andover facility. Another way of, in effect, bagging this is that we see this year as being one of major increase in product revenue, well above the rate of last year, and at a level that we haven't enjoyed for quite some time.

That's pretty much baked in at this point based on bookings that we've received and additional bookings we expect to come our way as the year progresses.

Quinn Bolton

Got it. Thank you very much.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Again, as a reminder to ask a question, you'll need to press star one one on your telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Richard Shannon of Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Your line is now open.

Rich Shannon

Hey, guys. Thanks for let me ask a couple follow-on questions here.

My first one is on licensing here. Patrizio, following up on an answer to one of the prior questions here, you mentioned about having a couple or specifically two licensees so far.

As we think about growing the licensing revenue stream this year, and if you can comment beyond that, that'd be great, in terms of kind of your general expectations. How do we think about adding to the customer list here versus number of licensees, or number of licenses per licensee or other dynamics that help us think about this?

I guess specifically, if you could address if things went well for you, what's the kind of number of major licensees would you have? I don't know if this is three or five or eight, but if you can just characterize that in any way, that'd be helpful.

Thanks.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

In the high-end computing AI market, I think, in terms of, again, substantial licensees, it would be half a dozen. Three times as many as we currently have in that market.

The minor ones on top of that. By the way, the focus has been, and the actions of the ITC thus far, have been focused on high-end computing.

There's infringement going on in other markets as well. There's a lot of opportunity, not just for the NBM technology, but for other technology that Vicor pioneered.

Rich Shannon

Okay. My follow-on question is wondering if there's any way that you can help us think about, specifically about your second-gen VPD technology, how do we think about content per XPU?

I'm going to offer a couple ways maybe to think about this. I know you're not going to quantify in any specific way, but I think a lot of us who cover this name for a while have a decent idea of what that content looked like a few years ago in your last potential high-volume win that you had in point of load.

Also since that time, the level of power and level of current in leading XPUs, particularly getting to radical limit, are increasing a lot here. Do we think about the content opportunity now is kind of being proportional to power or current?

How would you have somebody think about what that might look like on a per-unit basis? Thank you.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

As I look back at factorized power system for GPUs a number of years ago, that was, in one way of looking at it, about a $100 million a year type of opportunity and rising. We are looking to an opportunity that will double that.

To Phil earlier point, there is an hyperscaler with an opportunity that would be another $100 million. I don't know if that answers your question.

Rich Shannon

Mine was really more on content per XPU, but the way you characterized is also helpful. Anyways, you might think about it on a per-XPU basis would be helpful, too.

Thank you.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Yeah. Phil, do you want to take that?

Phil Davies

I think, Richard, to your point, it really depends on the current of that XPU, the number of rails, that type of thing. I think that the opportunity for us would be somewhere between $200 to $400 per XPU.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Very much depends on the application, right? Take that with a grain of salt.

Phil Davies

Yeah.

Rich Shannon

Understood. That's getting us a half order of magnitude is very helpful, thank you very much for that.

Phil Davies

Richard, just to clarify, it's about a 2,000-amp up to a 4,000-amp type of product.

Rich Shannon

Got it. Great.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of A. Hicks of NC Capital Management.

Your line is now open.

A. Hicks

Good afternoon. I just wanted to confirm that, it's a $1 billion capacity now?

Hello? Hello.

Phil Davies

I think we lost part of your question.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

I think the question was you wanted confirmation of the $1 billion capacity of Fab 1. Was that the question?

Yeah. Just for Advanced products, nothing else.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Yes. We are very confident that we can generate upwards of $1 billion worth of revenues out of Federal Street.

Okay. Because I'm looking at what your sales were just for Advanced products, without royalties for the year was around $200 million.

Was it for 2025?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Yes.

Okay. You're saying within a year or so, you could be at $800 million in Advanced products?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

As suggested in an earlier question and confirmed by me, that would be a run rate.

Okay. Then on the Bricks, the original Bricks fab, could that be converted in the future to Advanced products?

Phil Davies

No. No, the Bricks, much older products.

They've got a very stable, if you like, customer base. Some of those customers are moving to Advanced products, and we've had quite a bit of success of that in recent years in some higher-volume end markets.

Aerospace and defense and some broad-based industrial, they like the Bricks. They're going to stay with the Bricks.

The Brick piece will be fairly stable over the next few years, I believe.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

The Bricks don't really play a role with respect to capacity utilization, right? They've become, well, the percent of steady business.

They become essentially relevant.

Okay. You're also adding capacity to this first fab.

Is that correct also?

Jim Schmidt

Yes, we are. That's right.

We're adding capacity incrementally to the existing footprint.

Okay. Then did you say you're in discussions with a partner to have them produce products themselves?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Yeah. We are having discussions.

This may take some time, because it's an important decision, selection. We have customers that want us to have an alternate source.

We see the benefit of an alternate source in terms of expanding the market opportunity. If you just look at AI, there is so much of a market opportunity that, frankly, there is no way that Vicor alone could fulfill it all, even with a second or a third fab.

We need to, in effect, look at making the most out of the opportunity, as opposed to limiting the scope of the opportunity by wanting to do it all

ourselves. Then I was just kind of curious, how many panels can you produce in a day out of the factory you have now?

Patrizio Vinciarelli

I'm not going to quantify that for competitive reasons. I will just say that, in terms of the revenue opportunity of the fab, Fab 1 is slightly above $1 billion a year.

Thank you very much.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question.

Our next question comes from the line of John Dillon of DMB Capital. Your line is now open.

John Dillon

Hi, guys. I'll make this quick, because I know we're up against the timeline.

Patrizio, thank you for answering Quinn's question. That was one of my follow-up questions also, and I appreciated that answer.

My other one is just a quick one. We're halfway through the quarter, and I'm just wondering how bookings are looking so far this quarter.

Phil Davies

Mentioned in my prepared remarks, John, that the book-to-bill was 1.2 in Q4, and we're above that already in Q1.

John Dillon

Excellent. Thank you very much.

Congratulations, guys.

Patrizio Vinciarelli

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer session.

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program.

You may now disconnect.