Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.

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Oct 28Next Earn

Q4 FY2025 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 11, 2026

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Frontier Group Holdings Q4 2025 Earnings Conference Call.

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.

To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press *11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.

To withdraw your question, please press *11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your speaker for today, David Erdman, Senior Director, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

David Erdman

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our fourth-quarter and year-end 2025 earnings call.

With me this morning are Jimmy Dempsey, President, Chief Executive Officer; Bobby Schroeter, Chief Commercial Officer; and Mark Mitchell, Chief Financial Officer. On today's call, Jimmy will be providing commentary on his strategic priorities and then we're going to jump directly to the Q&A.

However, a transcript of the prepared remarks, which would otherwise have been delivered by Bobby and Mark, is available for download on our Investor Relations website. Before yielding, let me recite the customary safe harbor provisions.

We will be making forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those predicted in these forward-looking statements.

Additional information concerning risk factors which could cause such differences are outlined in the announcement we released earlier, along with reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Moreover, we will also be discussing non-GAAP financial measures, actual results of which are reconciled to the nearest comparable GAAP measure in the appendix of the earnings announcement.

Then we'll also be referencing stage-adjusted unit metrics, which are based on 1,000 miles. I'm going to give the floor to Jimmy to begin his prepared remarks.

Jimmy?

Jimmy Dempsey

I'd like to start by emphasizing how honored I am to be taking on the role as CEO, particularly at such a pivotal moment for Frontier. When I accepted this role, the Board gave me a clear mandate to enact change at our company.

We know that we need to do better across the business, and deliver increased value for all our stakeholders: employees, customers, and our investors. With this in mind, I've spent the past two months rolling up my sleeves to build a clear strategic path designed to return Frontier to sustained profitability as the low-cost, high-value airline of choice.

This plan comprises four strategic priorities: right-sizing the fleet, strengthening our cost discipline, reducing cancellations and improving on-time performance, and driving customer loyalty. Today, I will walk you through the actions we are taking on these priorities that I expect will drive meaningful changes and improvement across our organization.

First and foremost, I am focused on resetting and stabilizing the business through a comprehensive right-sizing of our fleet. Returning Frontier to profitability is about going back to our roots as an organization.

This means taking action to increase fleet productivity and efficiency. Just recently, we entered into a non-binding agreement with AerCap, which will enable us to benefit from the early termination of 24 aircraft leases in the second quarter.

We plan to take advantage of this by increasing utilization across our remaining fleet to support our planned growth and drive efficiency. AerCap will remain one of our largest lessors, and we look forward to expanding our partnership with an additional 10 sale-and-leasebacks in the future as part of this agreement.

Separately, we reached a non-binding framework agreement with Airbus, which revises the delivery profile of our order book. It supports a more measured and sustainable long-term growth rate of approximately 10%, representing a meaningful moderation versus our prior growth trajectory.

The update to our delivery profile and underlying growth rate helps to minimize the proportion of new market activity while supporting ongoing productivity and operational reliability. Our plan to right-size the fleet directly contributes to my next strategic priority: strengthening our cost discipline.

Cost discipline has always been a cornerstone of our business model. We are targeting $200 million of annual run-rate cost savings by 2027, largely from network optimization, productivity enhancements, and other efficiencies across the business, which includes approximately $90 million of expected annual rent savings from the early termination of the 24 aircraft leases.

The next strategic priority throughout 2026 is centered around improving our operational reliability by reducing cancellations and improving our on-time performance. We're simply not satisfied with our past record in these areas.

The status quo is not acceptable, and every available option is on the table to improve our performance. I will give you some examples in a long list of initiatives we are working on across the business.

Turn times: we are working on improvements to optimize our airport operation workflows, strengthening our head-start performance, and improving day-of-travel communications with our customers. Over 85% of our customers use our recently updated mobile app.

By leveraging digital channels, we can push timely alerts, offer clear next steps during delays, and ensure customers feel supported and informed throughout their journey. We are also working on improved operational planning that better integrates scheduled maintenance into the early stage of our network design process to take advantage of our enhanced maintenance footprint.

While we remain firmly committed to cost discipline and operational excellence, our final strategic priority is pairing that discipline with smart, high-return upgrades that will accelerate the maturity of our customer loyalty program. Last year, we launched a series of enhancements to our loyalty ecosystem, including changes that simplify elite benefits, enhance redemption opportunities, and create broader customer engagement.

Our simplified award structure and easier elite status benchmarks have already begun to resonate with customers, and we are expanding on these efforts in 2026. Furthermore, we'll be modernizing every part of our commercial offering this year and into 2027, from digital tools and distribution to loyalty and onboard experience.

These initiatives include the fleet-wide rollout of first-class seating, onboard Wi-Fi, an upgraded website and mobile app, and enhanced digital products and communications. These enhancements will broaden our appeal and effectively address friction points that have historically limited conversion and loyalty.

We're building a product that remains incredibly affordable while delivering more value than ever before. Our loyalty assets represent one of our strongest long-term levers for value creation in the business.

We're confident our recent and planned investments in our loyalty program and product offerings will be a significant part of our revenue growth. Overall, we're pairing our unique ability to provide low fares with an increasingly elevated product and customer experience to deliver unmatched value in air travel.

The path ahead requires meaningful change, and we are embracing that reality with clarity and conviction in order to capitalize on the substantial opportunity we see in front of us. We've adopted a disciplined, actionable set of strategic priorities to transform our company and put Frontier on a path towards sustained profitability.

Above all, we are deeply committed to creating long-term value for our shareholders, employees, and customers. Thank you for your continued support.

As David noted, we'll preempt commentary from Bobby and Mark to allow sufficient time for analyst questions. With that, operator, we're ready to begin the Q&A segment.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone.

We also ask that you please wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. The first question that we have today is coming from Atul Maheswari of UBS.

Your line is open.

Atul Maheswari

Good morning. Thanks a lot for taking my question.

I had a question on your long-term growth plan of 10%. Where is this growth going to be concentrated?

Is it simply going to be backfilling the space vacated by Spirit or are there other geographies where you see an opportunity? Then related to this topic, why is 10% the right growth target for this year and for the long term?

Why is it not a smaller number than that, as that would in theory accelerate your unit cost improvement? Any thoughts there would be helpful.

Jimmy Dempsey

Sure. Thanks, Atul.

Look, we'll obviously be disciplined in deploying our capacity over a multi-year basis across the system. What you're seeing this year is effectively infilling our network from a growth perspective.

We anticipate growth will be approximately 10%. There's a long way to go from now to the end of the year to determine exactly what that rate will perfectly be.

We anticipate about half of that is filling out the existing network, and so moving capacity that was taken down on Tuesdays and Wednesdays and Saturdays, and bringing capacity back into those days. Then about half is new markets.

New markets are driven by items that didn't work last year, or opportunities that are presenting themselves with changes in capacity across the environment. You're seeing us take advantage of that in parts of the US.

You've seen us do that in a lot of airports around the States, like Atlanta, Las Vegas, and other places. In terms of the 10% In terms of the 10% growth rate, and why that makes sense for us, look, historically we've grown the airline by mid to high single-digit teens, and in some cases, well over 20%.

We think that when you grow by about 5% to 7%, you don't necessarily take a significant RASM penalty to that growth. We like the growth profile of around 10%.

This drives a lot of utilization, flexibility in the organization, where you can manage your utilization and manage growth rates either below or above 10% depending on market opportunities. What we see at the moment, because we're infilling a lot of productivity into the airline, we think that that would provide real stability in the revenue performance across this year, and sort of piggybacks on the benefits that we're seeing from a revenue perspective across the back end of the fourth quarter, and certainly the run rate that we're seeing right now in terms of RASM going through this quarter and into the second quarter.

Atul Maheswari

Got it. That's helpful.

Then as my follow-up, I had a question on the guidance that was issued for this year. Based on my math, it appears you will need high single-digit to maybe double-digit RASM growth over the second to the fourth quarter to achieve the midpoint of the guidance.

A, can you confirm if that math is correct? Then, B, if it is, then what's giving you the confidence that you can drive this level of RASM increase beginning the second quarter of this year, because that's the time when your capacity growth will also accelerate to double-digit levels?

Thank you.

Jimmy Dempsey

Look, a couple of things are happening, right? This is a major transition year for the airline.

We will change the utilization profile of the business as you progress through into the second half of the year. What we're seeing right now in terms of the RASM performance is meaningfully improved year-over-year.

We're seeing a trend above 10% in terms of RASM improvement. We're seeing that in the early booking process through March and particularly April and May.

We're actually quite encouraged by what we see in terms of RASM trends going across the year. In terms of the long term, post adjusting our costs, one of the focuses in the business is getting a significant saving in unit costs across this year, but largely moving into 2027.

You effectively have a reset year in terms of the business and its productivity, and that's where our focus lies at the moment. We're certainly seeing that that stability in revenue and improvement in revenue carry forward, which gives us confidence that that performance happens for the rest of the year.

Bobby Schroeter

This is Bobby. Some of the things that we're seeing, of course, there's a good supply-demand backdrop that exists.

Capacity's been moderated a bit. Some of the things we've done that we're seeing unique benefits to, as well.

Last quarter we moved back to a basic-first product architecture that has the three clearly defined bundles that we have within there. Economy and Premium and Business.

Then we reinforced revenue management discipline around that structure. That allowed us to yield up more effectively across the fare ladder, and then, in addition to that, which has enhanced this, we've seen, in the past quarter, significant NDC distribution enhancement.

That's helping to improve the conversion across third-party channels. It's allowing us to merchandise those bundles more effectively on the OTAs and aggregators.

They're effectively, if you think about it now, on the shelf that they weren't before. That's driving purchases earlier in the curve, allowing for improved attachment rates and better yield opportunities.

Those are things that are going to continue in the future. As Jimmy says, we're seeing that in the first quarter, and those are continued benefits that we'll see throughout the year, we believe.

Atul Maheswari

Thank you for that and good luck with this year.

Jimmy Dempsey

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

Our next question is coming from the line of Savi Syth of Raymond James. Your line is open.

Savi Syth

Hey, good morning. I wonder if you could remind us what the delivery cadence is for 2026, and then, as you look to '27 and '28, just generally how many aircraft are you kind of anticipating with this revised order?

Mark Mitchell

The delivery cadence for this year, we have 24 aircraft scheduled: six in the first quarter, eight in the second quarter, and then five in both the third and fourth quarter. With the fleet plan that we announced, when you look at those 24 inductions, 24 early terminations, we expect to end the year at the same number of aircraft we began the year with, 176.

Then as you look across '27, we expect to be roughly by the end of '27 at a similar level to where we ended '25 and expect to end '26.

Jimmy Dempsey

Savi, that's an important point, right? We're going to start and end the year at the same number of aircraft, and actually start and end 2027 with the same number of aircraft that we started 2026 with.

Really the growth that you're seeing in the business is bringing back that productivity in the airline that's been missing for the last couple of years. That puts us on a better trajectory in terms of core operating unit costs in the business.

That gives us real confidence that this plan that we're putting in place today is very manageable across the airline. You're effectively infilling a utilization into a largely already existing network.

That's where our confidence is coming from this plan, from a stability of revenue perspective, but also from an ability to operate the airline at a higher utilization clip.

Savi Syth

That makes sense. What do you think you can get to in terms of utilization as you exit this year, and with this fleet order, what's the new normal in utilization and when can we get there?

Jimmy Dempsey

We've targeted about 11 and 1/2 hours across the entire fleet. The fleet is more complicated than it was prior to COVID, where you got closer to 12 hours, because some of the engine noise with the new engine technology that exists across the fleet.

You do have aircraft that are less productive because of that. We've picked 11 and 1/2 hours.

It gives us flexibility to add time to it if we see it in certain periods and take time away from a seasonal perspective, or other periods. We think about 11 and 1/2 hours.

That's our initial target to reset the business, and do that between now and probably running into the summer of 2027. You get a big boost from a utilization rate of averaging about 9 hours last year, when you remove the 24 aircraft and right-size the fleet.

That's very, very important change that'll happen quite abruptly midway through the second quarter. That's a really good step-change as you progress into the second half of this year.

Then you've got to grow into the remainder of the fleet from a pilots, flight attendants' perspective, to operate at close to 11 and 1/2 hours, probably by summer 2027.

Savi Syth

That was helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

The next question will be coming from the line of Jamie Baker of J.P. Morgan Securities.

Your line is open.

Jamie Baker

Hey, good morning, everybody. The $200 million of run-rate cost savings, I'm curious what labor assumptions underpin that.

I believe at one time, Barry had at least sort of implied that revised economics were part of a longer term plan that you had articulated. I know that there was never an official 2026 guide today, but yeah, straightforward question: is there a pilot deal in your full-year guide?

Jimmy Dempsey

There is not a pilot deal in our full-year guide. We continue, Jamie, in negotiations with the pilots through the mediation process.

Look, we'll update on that if we've something to talk to you about. The $200 million of cost savings, about half of it is rent, all right, which comes from the deal we've done today.

About another third of it is really network-shaped, driving unit cost savings into the business from where we fly, basically. Then you've got efficiencies that come on the back of having a business that was fragmented as the week progressed.

Tuesdays and Wednesdays had lower flying, Saturday had slightly lower flying than the other four days of the week. You get efficiencies from that.

Back to your primary question, no, we haven't baked in the cost savings any changes to crew other than efficiency that comes naturally across the week from flying a more stable schedule.

Jamie Baker

Thanks for that, Jimmy. That's a good segue into my second question, and I guess this kind of builds on what Savi was asking about.

Clearly there are two iterations of low-cost flying in the US: the high daily utilization model, and the other being more of the kind of Allegiant, Sun Country, only fly when you can make money, low utilization model, whatever you want to call that. It's clear you're leaning back into the high utilization model.

What is it about Frontier's structure or network that assures us that that is the better of the two low-cost iteration operating models in the US? Thanks in advance.

Jimmy Dempsey

Fundamentally, the efficiency that comes to the airline from flying a more regular schedule throughout the week is a meaningful cost saving in the business. This business model the focus is always on strengthening your cost discipline across the business.

That's the appetite to do it. What we've seen in our business over the past number of months as we invest in loyalty, invest in the network, and adapt the network to today's environment, the playing field that we're in today, we've seen real performance improvement across the week, including some of the off-peak days that you have, albeit with lower capacity deployed on those days.

We're pretty confident that the run-rate RASM that we're seeing at the moment, given the structural change that has been happening in the industry, and the capacity discipline that is in a number of carriers across the industry, puts us in a really good place to take advantage of that and bring the airline back to that cost-disciplined place that it was prior to COVID.

Jamie Baker

I appreciate it. Thank you.

Jimmy.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

The next question will come from the line of Ravi Shanker of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Hi, thank you. This is Katherine on for Ravi.

Thanks for taking the question. I guess just a question on the guidance range.

Obviously, there's a bit of a wide range here. Can you just maybe talk us through what would push you maybe to the low end of the guidance versus the high end, and what you're assuming there for the full year?

Thanks.

Mark Mitchell

As you look at the full year, right, as Jimmy highlighted, this is a transition year. As we go through this year working to reset the productivity and the efficiency of the airline.

We've got cost savings that we've got line of sight to that we're targeting. As you look at that guidance range, it takes into account the fact that there is a transition, there's a timing element to that that needs to be worked through.

As you look at the other side of the range, we are seeing a more constructive supply-demand environment. We do expect, as we go through the year, benefits from a productivity standpoint and a cost savings standpoint, and also further traction on the revenue initiatives that were highlighted earlier.

Got it. That's very helpful.

Just as a quick follow-up, what was the catalyst for deferring some of these planes? I know you talked about how 10% is going to be the right growth for you, is it more so, figuring out what the growth rate long term would work for you guys, or kind of what kicked this off?

Thanks.

Jimmy Dempsey

We're obviously managing over the last two months two deals that we've been doing to right-size the fleet. The reason we picked 10% is we think it provides more stability from a revenue perspective than the airline has had historically where it has had a growth rate of 20% plus in certain years, but certainly high teens growth rate.

We think 10% is a good number for the business to grow at. It provides an opportunity for us to drive growth into new markets where we're offering value that is clearly a differentiator with the rest of the industry given our low cost base.

We think about 10% makes sense. Obviously you can accelerate that if you choose to, or decelerate it depending on how you utilize the airline.

We think around 8%, 9%, 10% is a good number for the airline to be at over the kind of long term. We expect as the airline grows beyond 2030 and beyond, that may come down a little bit because the airline is much bigger and so the level of growth is not necessarily as high from a percentage turn basis, but may well be consistent with the ASM production that you produce each year, from a growth perspective.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

The next question will come from the line of Duane Pfennigwerth of Evercore. Your line is open.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Hey, thank you. Jimmy, I wonder if you could speak to return conditions generally on your engines.

How much is an engine rebuild costing you in the current backdrop versus maybe what was contemplated in these leases 12 years ago? If you're willing to speak to it, just remind us what your agreements sort of require at the back end.

Is there a true-up mechanism in your return conditions?

Jimmy Dempsey

I'm not going to get into the complexity of the deal that we've done in great detail. These are not 12-year-old aircraft.

These are midway through their lease life. The opportunity that came is related to the need for more engines in the CFM engine pool.

We have been in dialogue with multiple parties around this for the last couple month or so to try and put a structure in place that worked for both us and them. We've got to a very creative place.

There is no liquidity penalty on Frontier in 2026 in relation to this deal. We have to work through the redelivery conditions of the engines over the coming months, but we think that the cost of this is relatively minor in the context of our fleet.

Actually what it does, Duane, is it gives you a meaningful improvement in expected maintenance costs in the next three to five years from removing these aircraft from the fleet. This is a very positive deal, both in the short term to reset the productivity of the airline, but over the medium term in terms of the maintenance profile of the business in the next three to five years.

We're really happy with the deal that's been struck.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Okay. Should we view this as a one-and-done, or is this one of perhaps several of these?

How will you measure if 24 aircraft is sufficient to get you back to where you need to be?

Jimmy Dempsey

Look, I don't know that there's another opportunity that can mirror this opportunity that we've put in place to remove 24 aircraft. There may well be an opportunity.

It would just accelerate the productivity of the airline, and you would just move back to an 11 and 1/2 hour utilization rate at a faster pace. We've been very focused on this deal, and separately fixing the medium to long-term growth rate of the airline so that we could have a measured growth profile of the airline.

If another deal comes along, we'll certainly look at it, but we'll be disciplined in terms of how we assess whether it's the right thing to do for the airline or not.

Duane Pfennigwerth

Thank you.

Jimmy Dempsey

Cheers, Duane.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

The next question will come from the line of Michael Linenberg of Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

Michael Linenberg

Yeah. Hey, good morning, everyone.

Just maybe touching back on Duane's question, Jimmy, obviously the return of 24 airplanes, normally there's a sizable upfront cash component tied to redelivery costs. I think you said that there was no liquidity penalty, presumably no cash goes out the door when they return.

I think you mentioned also that the P&L impact, it seemed like it would be modest. When I look at the range for the year, the loss of 40 cents to the profit of 50 cents, does that include any sort of P&L impact that would be associated with any sort of redelivery costs on the airplane?

Jimmy Dempsey

Yes, there will be a non-cash one-time expense that occurs when we execute the final agreements. Look, that one-time expense is likely to be non-GAAPed out.

The guidance range takes into account any real costs linked to this deal that we have from a return condition perspective.

Mark Mitchell

Those one-time costs that we expect to be non-GAAPed out would not be part of that range.

Jimmy Dempsey

Yeah.

Michael Linenberg

Great. Then just my second question, I saw that you did increase the size of the revolver, and as I recall, I believe you had collateral pledged against that revolver.

You could correct me if I'm wrong, but if you could just give us a sense where does your sort of unencumbered collateral position stand? Thanks for taking my question.

Mark Mitchell

The revolver is backed by our loyalty assets, and as we have in the script, as we've talked about before, those cash flows continue to perform well. We just had in Q4 a third consecutive quarter of double-digit growth.

Q4 was up over 30%, those are the assets that back the revolver. Yes, you're right, in December, one of the banks that supports the facility increased their position, providing a vote of confidence for the revolver.

Jimmy Dempsey

Just to add to what Mark has said, one of the byproducts of deferring aircraft with Airbus is that you have less PDP payments that are required in the near term, because you're effectively taking a pause on deliveries during 2027. You end up actually with less, because we finance some of our PDP, you end up with less drawn debt in our PDP structure.

You actually end up in a lower net debt position.

Mark Mitchell

To Jimmy's point, you'll see in the guidance that we put forward an expectation of net PDP deposit returns. A lower PDP balance at the end of the year of $170 to $210 million, and with that deposit level going down, the corresponding debt levels would go down as well, helping the leverage ratios.

Michael Linenberg

Great. Thanks for that.

Jimmy Dempsey

Thanks, Michael.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

Our next question is coming from the line of Scott Group of Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

Ryan Kaposi

Hey, good morning. This is Ryan Capozzi on for Scott.

Maybe first, we saw a pretty big divergence in fare revenue versus ancillary revenue trends this quarter. What were some of the drivers here, and how should we think about the growth of both segments going forward?

Bobby Schroeter

I kind of talked about this a little bit earlier. One of the things that we've done in the past quarter was migrate back to a basic-first product.

What that means is people go in, they're deciding whether they want to take the basic product and purchase whatever ancillary products they want from that, or they can choose a bundle, of which we have three bundles there, and can choose that. That has had a good upward movement around ancillary itself, in addition to NDC, the new distribution capability, which is effectively a direct connect.

We've been scaling that up more broadly in the past quarter, and not only does that help conversion overall, but the bundle products are actually on the shelf, which they hadn't been previously. That again helps move things back in the curve, helps yield up, and helps bundle attachment as well.

There's a variety of things that are unique to us again that have helped from that perspective. On the fare side, additionally, as we moved back to basic-first, a lot of that we were disciplined in how we handled that from a revenue management perspective.

That has helped, along with, of course, the macro environment, has helped solidify an outsized benefit on that side as well. You're seeing fare improvements, you're seeing ancillary improvements, and, again, we anticipate based on some of those things being very structural to see that benefit move forward as well.

Jimmy Dempsey

Ryan, just to add to what Bobby has said, one of the benefits we're getting we went to this about two years ago with the new Frontier on our website, and we played around with different structures during last year. We got to a much more disciplined place from October on in terms of the way we priced, as he mentioned.

Don't underestimate the impact that moving to NDC and giving clarity to someone who's booking through an online travel agent exactly the total cost of their trip with Frontier. What you're seeing today is an ability for a customer to look at the value that's created that they can get from Frontier by adding a bundle, Economy bundle or other bundles, to their booking.

They know the all-in price. Historically, a customer would book through an OTA linked to a GDS, and they wouldn't have that clarity.

They'd just see the fare, and then they'd typically come to our site at Manage My Booking or at check-in, and add, either on an a la carte basis or through a bundle, the incremental products that they want to buy. What we're seeing is an earlier conversion of bundles in the booking curve at the point of booking of the customer, but also clarity for the customer where they actually see the real value that's created by booking with us in comparison to the competition.

That is having a unique benefit into Frontier, and other airlines have obviously had NDC for quite some time. We were late to the game, but since we launched it, we've seen a really good attachment rate and conversion rate across that distribution channel, whereas it's adding to the improvement in unit revenues that we're seeing in the business.

Ryan Kaposi

Got it. That's helpful there.

Then could you maybe just talk specifically about your strategy in Atlanta this year and maybe why you're growing so aggressively there this year?

Jimmy Dempsey

You've seen Southwest and Spirit reduce capacity in Atlanta, and we have for a long time had an operation in Atlanta, and we've seen an opportunity to enhance that in terms of the volume of traffic flows that we are flying from Atlanta, and we're really happy with the performance of the base. We had about 60 daily departures in Atlanta through the peak last summer, and obviously we're encouraged by the commercial performance, that we're adding more departures this year to Atlanta.

We're very happy with the performance.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

Our next question is coming from the line of Andrew Didora of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Andrew Didora

Hi, good morning, everyone. Actually just another question on your growth this year.

You talked about 50/50, kind of 50% new markets. You just touched on Atlanta.

I guess the 50% that you kind of dubbed the infilling, adding in Tuesday, Wednesday, Saturday flying, but RASM's improving now. I know these off-peak days have been highlighted as sort of the weakest RASM days, why are you adding these back?

Jimmy Dempsey

Largely because, Andrew, we see a real improvement in the revenue environment from more disciplined capacity deployment across the industry. You've seen significant reduction in capacity that's come from Spirit Airlines, particularly in the west of the United States.

If you looked historically 2 years ago, the overlap between Frontier and Spirit was close to 50%. It's now meaningfully lower than that, and meaningfully lower than that in the west of the United States.

We see opportunities that are coming on the back of their changes in capacity that we think allows us to move more flights to off-peak days of the week, and do it successfully and contribute to the overall airline. That's really one of the reasons behind us.

We're also seeing some discipline across other airlines, in terms of their capacity deployment. Then we're really encouraged by the performance in terms of our revenue generation with the changes that we made that we discussed earlier around the disciplined pricing strategy, together with actually the new distribution capability that we have across all our OTAs now.

We feel pretty confident that the revenue environment is moving in a very, very good place, and fundamentally, this business model is built on higher utilization and really strong cost discipline, and that higher utilization gets you to a really good unit cost place that we think gets the airline back on a path to sustained profitability.

Andrew Didora

Got it. Understood.

Then I I guess I'll ask the question, given you're backfilling a lot of Spirit's markets, does that mean you're no longer would have interest, kind of going forward in terms of combining with Spirit in the future? Thanks for taking the questions.

Jimmy Dempsey

Sure. Look, I'm not going to speculate on what happens next with Spirit.

The Board and I are solely focused on putting Frontier on a path back to sustainable profitability. That's really been the focus of my attention for the last 2 months.

Andrew Didora

Got it. Thank you.

Jimmy Dempsey

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

Our next question will come from the line of Daniel McKenzie of Seaport Global. Your line is open.

Daniel McKenzie

Oh, hey. Thanks.

Good morning, guys. Jimmy, I guess first, congrats on your new role.

I guess my first question really is just putting on the hat of a longer-term investor, getting that capital into your stock. Is the Board holding you to any specific profit metrics, either return on invested capital, operating margin, or however, I guess, you're measuring the success of the business?

Jimmy Dempsey

Look, for the last 2 months, Dan, as you can see from what we've announced today, we are very focused on bringing the airline back to sustained profitability. I've been given a clear mandate to change the business and bring that back, and I've been very focused on initially right-sizing the fleet and getting a cost plan that makes sense for the airline over the medium term.

Our job now is really to fix some of the other things in the business, such as reducing cancellations and improving our on-time performance. That is a considerable effort that we have.

A series of projects around to build customer loyalty into the business, and a good customer experience that drives repeat traffic flows. Really the outcome of that will be determined by how we perform on loyalty, right, and also the metrics that we have every day in terms of our operational performance.

That's where the focus of the business is at the moment. Clearly from a long-term incentive perspective, and there are multiple different metrics that exist in all of our teams, and in long-term incentives around shareholder performance, and then the performance of Frontier within that world.

We are very aligned with our shareholders with a real focus on returning the airline to sustained profitability.

Daniel McKenzie

Very good. My next question really is, I guess, for Bobby.

A couple of points here, just going back to that point of loyalty, what was the redeemed revenue per passenger in 2025, and how would you see Frontier exiting 2026 on that metric? Then, just related to this is sort of the K-shaped economic recovery that we have seen here.

I'm just curious, what percent of your passengers and/or revenue has been permanently lost from this uneven economic recovery, sort of among the low to middle-income workers, and is that part of the missing revenue story today that potentially could come back at some point, or how are you thinking about that?

Bobby Schroeter

Rather than talk about sort of the specific revenue around loyalty, I'll just talk about it in components of what we drive through loyalty. We have the co-brand card.

Of course, that is a cornerstone of the loyalty program in terms of how we profit from that, but also provide value to our customers overall. That has seen tremendous amount of engagement.

The overall loyalty revenue is up over 30%, as we've stated, and a large part of that is the co-brand card setup. Again, that's because of the changes that we've made throughout the organization, not just in terms of what we provide from a product perspective, but also what we're providing in the loyalty program itself.

You've seen engagement not just in terms of new customers and acquisitions within that, but the spend has gone up tremendously as well within that, showcasing that people want to engage with us as an airline more than they had in the past. We also have two other subscription programs, of course: Discount Den and GoWild!, which have been very beneficial to us.

GoWild! has seen a tremendous amount of upside in the revenue year-over-year as well, in large part because of the product that we provide.

You're able to fly for free for a year, in some cases more than a year based on when we rolled this out, and people have been seeing that value and transacting, and we've been acquiring more GoWild! customers than we had historically within that.

On the K-shape scenario, the way I'd say that is, look, we have a cost structure that provides opportunity for really multiple segments and create flexibility within that. We have people who want to have the lowest price possible, we have that.

We also have been putting in a variety of options and premium products that people can engage with. UpFront Plus is one of those.

Historically, we talked about the paid load factor there. That's up over 80% now.

We have first class coming in a variety of other things. We actually have the ability to profit in a wide range of setups and how people want to engage that other airlines don't have the ability to do as much.

We're focused on making sure that we have the cost structure set where we can continue to engage on that and provide the lowest fare, but also providing premium products that people can engage with and if they so choose, be able to do that as well. We have that spectrum.

We haven't seen that. In fact, we've actually seen people engaging at a higher rate with us, as we talked about some of the unique things that we have going for us.

Those actually will help in the future as well.

Jimmy Dempsey

Dan, just to complete the K-shaped economy comment, we are seeing a meaningful improvement in unit revenues. Our unit revenues are going to be 10% plus up in the quarter.

We'll see how March finally books in the coming weeks. The trends are very, very favorable to the business.

Bobby mentioned that we've obviously added some premium products into the business, but one of the benefits that we're getting is people booking earlier with clarity, and booking their non-ticket items earlier in the process. Our booking curve is actually extending out further than it previously was, which is a really good sign for our business and the product that we're selling and merchandising to our customers.

Daniel McKenzie

Very good. Thanks so much for the time, you guys.

Jimmy Dempsey

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. One moment for the next question.

Our next question will be coming from the line of Chris Stathoulopoulos of Susquehanna International Group. Thank you.

Chris Stathoulopoulos

Thank you. Good morning.

I I want to go back to, and and apologies upfront for another capacity question here, but I I'm trying to reconcile so the sustained pro- profit- profitability, this, is part of your four I guess four-prong plan here. 8% to 9% to 10%, you said, longer term here.

Maybe if you could help understand in in part of that, I heard is in in, in so far as the market's 50% in in new markets. In the past, it's been about competing in some of these larger markets, which are also typically more expensive to compete in, and and not sure how that also squares with the sustained profitability.

I guess maybe a more granular approach to how you're thinking about holistically whether it's the 10%, the 8% or 9% to 10%, you can frame that stage, departure, engaged. Those tend to obviously have different margin profiles, how you're thinking about macro scenarios under that.

Also all the things that we're seeing from competitors here with their re-banking and connectivity efforts. I It's just not entirely clear how that level of growth at this point is is sort of, I guess, really squares with the plan that you've outlined and and and perhaps the best path forward, if you will, into this transi- transition year or into longer term.

Thank you.

Jimmy Dempsey

Most of the growth that's coming, I mentioned this earlier in the call, is coming from infilling the network that already exists, right? It's not a charge for 10% growth over the next 2 years where you're adding substantially new markets into the airline.

You already have clearly with a 10% improvement in RASM in this quarter, revenue stability in that network. We're really encouraged by the performance that we're seeing in the business in that network.

We're obviously then looking at the opportunities that exist across the entire US where capacity is changing across airports. We'll take advantage of capacity opportunities that exist at our cost base.

Our cost base is very, very important to how we deploy assets and how we move the airline back to a path to profitability. Getting more productivity and efficiency into the airline is foundational to that cost base, and giving us the ability to offer real value to customers, and that they now see it very clearly, that real value, and they're able to attach to it and convert.

That's where our business is. That's why we have confidence in growing the airline by 10% a year.

We think it's very, very good for the unit costs in the business. Look, we have a value proposition to the customer that really is unmatched across the United States in a lot of the major markets that exist out there.

We consistently provide the lowest fares and the lowest all-in pricing for customers, and we should be very proud of that as an airline. Why wouldn't we grow?

Chris Stathoulopoulos

Okay. My second question, I just want to follow up.

I think on the point Jamie made earlier, it sounds like you're betting on or you're anchoring to this high utilization model, if you will. I know you've described this as a transition year, but as we think about Frontier exiting this year or end of decade, and you're able to achieve these initiatives here in this environment, brand-loyal, premium-tech focus, however you want to describe it, could you help frame, and I'm not asking for guidance here, but a high-level assuming this all plays out and this environment is the new norm, if you will, how we should think about margins, free cash flow, and anything at a high level that we should think about assuming this all falls in place here and this high-utilization model, as you said you're anchoring yourself to, is successful?

Thank you.

Jimmy Dempsey

Sure. Look, we're very focused on moving the airline back to free cash flow generation business model.

That is a core tenet of the modeling that's been put in place, and the drive to right-size the fleet this year. We use this year as a transition.

I'm not going to start guiding 3, 4 years out. Our expectation is that the airline gets back to sustained profitability and free cash flow generation over the next number of years, which puts the airline in a very, very strong position.

Chris Stathoulopoulos

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. We next have a follow-up from the line of Savi Syth of Raymond James.

Your line is open.

Savi Syth

Hey, thank you for taking the follow-up. I just was curious, and as you kind of go through these changes, and some of your kind of sister organizations have kind of thought about financing aircraft differently, and curious what your views are on kind of continuing to use sale-leaseback versus some other avenues for financing.

Jimmy Dempsey

We're largely financed, Savi, this year through sale-and-leasebacks. Over the medium term, I think the airline will probably diversify somewhat from sale-and-leaseback financing.

In the immediate near term, we've largely financed most of the fleet that's coming this year. I don't see any near-term change, but I can obviously over time see navigating to kind of a more balanced financing structures across the airline, where you continue to have a high proportion of your fleet financed with sale-and-leasebacks or financing, but you bring some other forms of financing into the business that makes sense.

If it commercially makes sense, we should do it.

Savi Syth

Makes sense. All right.

Thank you.

Jimmy Dempsey

Thanks, Savi.

Operator

Thank you. We will now turn the call back to Jimmy Dempsey for brief remarks.

Please go ahead.

Jimmy Dempsey

Thank you. I just wanted to quickly say thank you to all the analysts that are on the call.

We're happy to take follow-up calls if you have any further questions in today or in the coming days. Look, we look forward to seeing you in person over the next couple of months.

Appreciate your time. Thank you very much.

We have a lot of work to do here. We're going to roll up our sleeves now, and move the airline back to a sustainable profitability path.

I think that's fundamentally important for the airline. I think today's plan that we've laid out to you puts us in a really good place and path to bring the airline back to that location.

Thank you very much and enjoy your day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you so much for joining.

You may now disconnect.