Svein Liknes
Good morning, and welcome to the fourth quarter results presentation from OKEA. My name is Svein Liknes, and I'm joined by Birte Norheim, our CFO, that will go through the financial part after this one.
There will also be a Q&A session after the presentation, and there should be a link on our homepage where you can actually access the data, where you can actually log in. Summary for fourth quarter is that it's been a very high activity quarter in all our segments, both when it comes to production, projects, drilling, and also exploration.
We have seen solid execution in all these segments, especially within the drilling operations, where we have completed the Bestla drilling, and have also spud the Garn West South project, which is close to Draugen, as can see on the picture here. We've seen continued strong production performance, we met the guiding that we had for the year, and the net loss that we have seen during the quarter is impacted by the underlift and impairments, predominantly due to forward prices, which is now lower.
We will also announce the updated 2027 guiding today, and I'm pleased to say that we are increasing the production and also reducing the capex in 2027, and we'll get back to those details a bit later. Production efficiency have been high still, a bit lower on Draugen due to a planned ESD test, and also a bit lower than 90 on Brage, but that is due to an unplanned event early in the quarter, but we've seen above 90 on the rest of our assets.
What you can see here as well is for the last three quarters, we've seen very stable production on volume. As you can see here as well, the sold volumes in the last quarter was significantly lower, we do have an overlift or underlift situation in the quarter.
We have completed the Talisker East well on Brage, A-15 D, that also came in production then in January. This well is compensating natural decline on Brage, and is producing above plan.
This is still early days, and the whole strategy of Brage is to drill new targets and continuously put them on stream, something we have done successfully over the last two years, and this last Talisker East well is no exception. We are still on track with the projects that we have, the power from shore, and also the Bestla tie-back.
The Bestla drilling campaign, as I mentioned, was completed in the previous quarter, and we are now expecting the production early in 2027 compared to previously, we've said the first half of '27, so that will now come earlier. We are drilling the Garn West South well on Draugen, which is a well which is already positioned when it comes to infrastructure, but we are drilling a new well path, and that well actually was completed, and we had the drilling rig sail away two days ago.
That will add production on Draugen from second quarter this year. Going back to our assets, we are creating value.
We are extremely value driven on the way that we operate our assets. Brage is a very good story and also a good demonstration of what we are doing, something you can see on the graph to the right here compared to the previous performance.
We are extending the life of Brage through drilling. In addition to drill new targets and production wells, we are also at the same time drilling pilots.
One of those pilots hit the discovery of Talisker last year, this is a very successful strategy. In addition, we did have a discovery in Fensfjord as we were completing the Talisker East well last year.
We are continuously challenging status quo. We are drilling these wells with a rig that was designed and put into place in operation, in 1993, designed for 5,500 meters, and we have actually completed wells which is 10,900 meters long.
We are continuously pushing this equipment. We are maturing profitable volumes in the whole area.
One example is obviously the Bestla that was not sanctioned previously, but after OKEA came in as operator, we sanctioned it quite quickly, and we have a very healthy breakeven of less than $40. We continue to explore in the area, and we are also trying to develop the areas north of Brage with the Tverrdal prospects.
We are trying to look at the holistic view when it comes to maturing volumes around these assets. Last but not least, it's about people.
The same people in the Brage organization today as used to be there in the past as well, but being empowered and also have the ability to work slightly differently compared to the past. That yields results.
As you can see here on 2P 2C, we have approximately doubled the 2P 2C resources on Brage. We have extended the economic lifetime of Brage from 2025 to 2035.
We have also increased production efficiency. These three main components is what we are focusing on when we are extending the lifetime of our assets.
I think we have achieved very much of what we were trying to achieve when we took over the Brage asset, which is built on the experience we also had on Draugen. We've had Draugen now since 2018, and we have also demonstrated the ability to arrest decline and also add new volumes on Draugen.
We are continuously investing in new opportunities on Draugen. We are again on Draugen very focused on value.
The Garn West South prospect, which we have now just completed the drilling on, is also a project that we would not have drilled a couple of years ago, but the experience we've had now on Brage with far reach and also quite steep wells means that we are also able to do this on Draugen. Very happy to see that we are able to drill such a complicated well on Draugen as well.
We are building the long-term future for Draugen, and that's why we are electrifying the operations of Draugen. It will extend the economic lifetime.
It will give much more transparency on cost, both when it comes to power generation and when it comes to CO2 taxes. It will reduce the emissions, and it will also improve the uptime on Draugen.
This is a strategically very important cornerstone of extending the lifetime of Draugen to 2040 and beyond. Again, still, the organization and the people driving this is the main reason why we are able to do it.
Very happy to see that the culture that we are driving within the organization is bearing fruits. In addition to our existing assets, we are also looking for new barrels and trying to grow organically.
We've had exploration success in 2025 based on the discoveries we've had. Three out of four exploration wells that we drilled last year actually gave results.
We added 33% of 2C resources in 2025, predominantly through the discovery from Brage, which is the Talisker West discovery, low cost, fast-track barrels that can be drilled from Brage in 2027. Also the Mistral Sør discovery, which is an important discovery for us, and also for the Mistral area and how to develop Mistral.
We are continuing to strengthen our portfolio when it comes to exploration. We were awarded three license awards in the APA 2025 that we are now putting into our exploration portfolio.
As I previously mentioned as well, while we were drilling the latest well on Brage, which is a production well, we also made a discovery in the Fensfjord formation that we announced a week ago between 2 and 9 million, which is also then being planned for future production on Brage. When it comes to our exploration portfolio for 2026, we have three wells which is planned.
We have Alpehumle, which we expect to be spudded now in May, which is operated by Aker BP, pre-drill estimate between 14 and 166 million. We have Kyrlinglod, which is a smaller project and prospect, but is very important to continue to feed the Statfjord asset as well with new production.
Then we have Mistral Nord, which is planned for the fourth quarter this year, and that will also then further explore the area in the Mistral license. Very important data that actually will come in so we can understand how we're going to develop Mistral on the fast-track project together with Equinor.
In addition to delivering on our existing assets, looking also for organic growth for the future, it's a very important part of our growth strategy. With that, I will hand over to Birte, who will take you through the financial sections, and then I will come back with a summary before we jump into Q&A.
Birte Norheim
Thank you, Svein. We deliver good production in the quarter, and for the year overall, we end within the guidance provided.
Produced volumes amounted to 30.8 thousand barrels per day, which is about 800 lower than previous quarter. This was mainly due to downtime and drilling rig issues at Statfjord and natural decline at Brage.
These effects were partly offset by production at Gjøa and Nova being back at normal levels after the planned maintenance in previous quarter. We sold 20.4 thousand barrels per day, which represents a total underlift of as much as 1/3 of the production in the quarter.
The underlift derived from several assets, but mainly at Draugen, where we had no liftings in the fourth quarter. We expect a better balance between lifted volumes and production in the first quarter.
This is reflected in the gray bar on the top right, which illustrates expected sold volumes next quarter. 630,000 barrels of crude were already lifted from Draugen in early January.
The significant underlift also impacts the average liquids price realized in the quarter, as NGLs represents a relatively higher share of liquids sold. In fact, NGLs constituted as much as 45% of liquids volume sold in the fourth quarter compared to 18% in the third quarter.
In addition, the realized crude price was down from $70.6 to $62.1 per barrel, a reduction of 12%, resulting in a liquids price reduced from $65.3 to $52.4 per barrel, which is a reduction of 20%. The average market price for gas were also down by 6%.
In addition, realized prices in the third quarter included a hedging gain equivalent to $4.6 per barrel, which was not repeated in the fourth quarter. The average realized price for gas ended at $57.4.
On this basis, total petroleum revenue ended at $103 million. Over to the profit and loss statement.
We deliver operating income of $107 million, consisting of petroleum revenue of $103 million and other operating income of $4 million. Other operating income mainly relates to tariff income at Gjøa and Statfjord.
Production expenses amounted to $87 million or $28.8 per barrel. The increase in cost was mainly due to maintenance work at Brage, where a subsea rock installation project was completed, and also at Statfjord, where maintenance and repairs on ESP and maintenance of a drilling module have been completed during the quarter.
The cost per barrel was also affected by the lower production in the quarter. We expect somewhat higher than normal cost per barrel also in the first quarter as we are planning an intervention campaign on Draugen.
After that, we expect the cost per barrel to normalize. Impairments amounted to $62 million, mainly as a result of reduced forward prices for oil and gas.
$5 million of this was technical goodwill impairments, and $57 million was asset impairments. As you may recall, technical goodwill impairments have no tax offset in the income statement and is not reversible.
Asset impairments, on the other hand, have a tax offset in the income statement and is reversible if micro or macro conditions should improve. The resulting post-tax effect was therefore $17 million.
Exploration expenses and SG&A of $9 million comprise exploration expense of $6 million and SG&A expense of $3 million. Net financial expense amounted to $2 million, comprising of net accretion on asset retirement obligations and rights.
Interest expense of $7 million was capitalized in full due to the high investment level on development assets. Due to low currency fluctuations in the quarter, net exchange rate was limited.
Tax income was $42 million, which brings the net loss to $18 million. Moving on to the balance sheet.
Goodwill amounted to $91 million and comprised $75 million in technical goodwill and $16 million in ordinary goodwill. Cash and cash equivalents amounted to $252 million.
In addition to the cash balance, $57 million were placed in money market funds, classified as other assets on the balance sheet. Interest-bearing bond loans of $295 million relate to the OKEA05 and OKEA06 bonds.
This results in a net cash positive position of $13 million at the end of the quarter. Income tax payable was $26 million and represents the remaining tax accrued for 2025.
Asset retirement obligations of $992 million is a pretax amount, and is partly offset by asset retirement receivables of $465 million. Let's move on to the cash development for the quarter.
Cash generated from operations before tax payments amounted to $31 million and reflects the significant underlift in the quarter. On most of our assets, we benefit from payment quantity mechanisms on regular liftings that assures monthly inflows of cash on volumes produced.
However, this is not the case for Draugen. Taxes paid of $12 million relate to three tax installments each of $6 million for 2025, less the final tax settlement received for 2024 of $5 million.
$108 million were used for investments, mainly relating to the Bestla project, power from shore, as well as production drilling at Statfjord, Brage, and Draugen. $14 million was paid in interest on our bond loans.
This brings the total cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter to $308 million. $57 million of this balance were placed in money market funds, bringing the net cash balance to $252 million.
Finally in this financial section, an update on our guidance. As has been mentioned, for the full year of 2025, production volumes ended at 32.1 thousand barrels per day and within the guidance.
Capex for 2025 landed at $362 million, also within the guidance. We keep production guidance for 2026 unchanged at 31 to 35 thousand barrels per day, and we also keep the capex guidance for 2026 unchanged at $300 to $360 million.
This quarter we also present guidance for 2027 at 37 to 41 thousand barrels per day. The midpoint for 2027 represents an increase in production of more than 20% compared to 2025, and reflects the startup of Bestla in early 2027.
Capex guidance for 2027 is $230 to $290 million, and on the midpoint, this represents a decrease of nearly 30% compared to 2025, and it also reflects the completion of the Bestla development project. That's all from me for now, and I'll give the word back to you, Svein, for some closing remarks.
Thank you.
Svein Liknes
Thanks for that, Birte. In summary then for the quarter, we've seen continued strong production performance on our assets.
The financial results are impacted, however, by the underlift and the impairments. We've seen solid execution of drilling, and also progress on our key development projects, both the Bestla on Brage, and also the Draugen power from shore, and also the production wells that has been completed on Draugen.
We've had successful exploration activity with added resources to our 2C base. We have increased our 2027 guiding by production increase of above 20% and a capex reduction of nearly 30% compared to this year.
We do not have any debt maturities until mid-2028, we are net cash positive and in a good place there as well. With that summary, I hope that as many as possible of you will join us for the Q&A session.
As I said previously, there's a link on our homepage where you can find the details where you can log in and also ask questions. Thank you very much.
Operator
If you do wish to ask a question on the telephone here, please press 5 star on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, you may do so by pressing 5 star again.
The first question we have is from the line of John Olaisen from ABG. Please go ahead.
Your line will now be unmuted.
John Olaisen
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. A couple of housekeeping question first.
You mentioned that you expect more neutral over/underlift in Q1. Does that mean that is roughly flat, or should we expect, since it was such a big underlift in Q4, I would expect an overlift in Q1.
That's question one. The second is somewhat related.
You mentioned that unit opex will be relatively high in Q1 and then come down after that. Could you give us some indication about the levels for the Q1 and what we should expect after that?
Those were the two first questions, please.
Birte Norheim
Yes. Thank you, John.
We have said that we expect a better balance in the next quarter. I should say that we don't fully, as operator and as owner of oil and gas assets, we don't fully control the allocations.
We have already lifted 630,000 barrels from Draugen, which offsets the underlift on Draugen in the fourth quarter. We expect a more balanced or better than what we produce in the first quarter, if that answers your question.
Bear in mind that liquidity-wise for most assets, with exception of Draugen, we have either payment quantity mechanisms or quite regular liftings. It's mostly Draugen that will impact the cash flow.
As for opex, we-- All right. Did you, yes,
John Olaisen
sorry.
Birte Norheim
I'm sorry. Did you have a follow-up?
John Olaisen
Did did you have a a a big big lifting in in January? Is is negative and--
Birte Norheim
Yes, in early January, we lifted 630,000 barrels from Draugen to OKEA. 650?
630.
John Olaisen
All right. Thank you.
Birte Norheim
As for the opex, we expect quite a similar level in the following quarter. If we look back for 2025 as a whole, we have had $24 to $25 per barrel cost, and we expect that to come down after the first quarter to more normalized levels.
In 2027, even further reduced as the volumes increases. All
John Olaisen
right. Thank you.
Then my second questions would be regarding exploration. You farmed into PL 1270, west of Mistral.
Just wonder, is it planned for an exploration well on that license?
Svein Liknes
There is an exploration well for Mistral Nord, which is planned for Q4 this year. We did the discovery on Mistral Sør last year, there's an expectation to also drill Nord, which will give us a better understanding of the area as Mistral have been put on the fast-track list.
John Olaisen
I saw that from presentation, but you also farmed into PL 1270, which is on the license just west of Mistral. You farmed into that last year.
Just wonder, assume that's a plan if Mistral Nord also is a discovery, you could hope to find more discoveries in the area. Just wonder specifically if there's a plan for an exploration well on the 1270.
Svein Liknes
No, there's no firm plan. Obviously, we are developing our portfolio and also developing a portfolio in the neighborhood of existing discoveries is obviously something we do when we mature areas, so that is a reason for that farm-in.
We don't have any firm well.
John Olaisen
Yeah. My final question is regarding dividend.
At Q3 presentation, you mentioned that you will come back with potential dividends when you have a better visibility of the production ramp-up. Now it seems like you have it since your production will be so much higher, and Bestla start production early '27 rather than sometime in the first half '27.
Does that mean that dividend is getting closer? What's your thought about dividend?
Do you want to wait until Bestla is in production, or could it potentially be before?
Birte Norheim
I think we also referred to the macros when we answered the question in the previous quarter. I would say we're closer because we're three months ahead since we last spoke.
As we have stated before, the board will revert when it considers to be in a position to distribute. As you may recall, we also have the restriction under the bond loans, which is related to NPAR, which is also a restriction we need to consider before announcing a dividend plan.
John Olaisen
Okay. That's all for me.
Thank you very much, and congrats with a good '25 2025, and good luck into 2026.
Birte Norheim
Thank you, John.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Teodor Sveen-Nilsen from SB1 Markets.
Please go ahead. Your line will now be unmuted.
Teodor Sveen-Nilsen
Morning, Birte and Svein, and thanks for taking my questions. Also, congrats on what might be called Bestla.
A few questions from me. First, on the 2027 production that you provided guidance for the first time today.
Just wonder, how much of the growth in 2027 compared to the current level comes from, number one, Draugen, and number two, Bestla? That's the first question.
My second question, that is also related to Bestla. You have a partner there that is in financial distress.
Just wonder how could you discuss how that will impact the development, and also maybe how that could impact your own share in Bestla? My last question, that is on dividend, just following up on the dividend.
I see that the book value equity now is much thinner than last time you paid dividend. Just wonder if is that a topic internally, the size of equity now compared to last time when you paid dividend, or is that not a concern at all?
Thanks.
Birte Norheim
Okay. Should I take any of those, Svein?
Svein Liknes
Yeah. Just on the impact there on the development in relation to Lime, there is no impact on any development as such because we are covering the cost if there's any cash calls which is not being paid.
There is no such impact. On the 2027 production, we don't guide--
Teodor Sveen-Nilsen
Could I just follow up on that one? Does it mean that you do not cover Lime's share of capex although they don't pay?
Who covers that? Is that the operator, or?
Birte Norheim
No, it is the license. If any party defaults on the payment on the cash calls, that amount is shared amongst the other parties to cover.
Then I could refer to the joint operating agreement, which regulates this in quite details. It means that if you have defaulted for 5 days, that has some implications.
If you default for another 3 months, then you can actually step in and take over the asset, those parties who have been covering the cost in that period. It hasn't happened before that it's come to that kind of level, there's not a lot of precedence for how that would actually work.
It is regulated in quite detail in the joint operating agreement, chapter nine, I think.
Svein Liknes
Going back on the production for 2027, where the actual increase comes from, the majority there comes obviously from Bestla when that is put on stream early in '27. Daily production there, gross, is expected around 24,000, around 10 at plateau on Bestla, but I think we have annualized around eight from Bestla next year.
The majority of the increase next year actually comes from Bestla. This year we do see increase when we are completing the Garn West South, which will be put into operation in Q2 on Draugen.
I don't have the actual details, but predominantly it comes from the Bestla addition next year, Teodor. You had a question on dividend there?
Birte Norheim
On book value of equity. It's not something that's a big discussion point internally.
As mentioned, we are also considering the macros before we are planning to distribute, and obviously, improved macros will also improve our equity. It's not a major concern, Teodor.
Teodor Sveen-Nilsen
Understood. Thank you.
That's all for me.
Birte Norheim
Thank you, Teodor.
Operator
The next question is from the line of Vidar Lyngvær from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.
Your line will now be unmuted.
Vidar Lyngvær
Thank you for taking my question. Congrats on the quarter, and really good to see the guidance for 2027, very uplifting.
I have three questions on Brage. First, can you help us understand the outlook for Brage for Q1?
I'm wondering how Brage production exited 2025, given that you had some shutdown in early Q4. I'm wondering if that was back up to the Q3 level at the end of Q4.
Also then, how did the Talisker East well coming on stream impact existing production in any way in Q1? That's the first one.
Thank you.
Svein Liknes
The shutdown we had on Brage in Q4, that was a short one anyway, we were back in operation quite quickly thereafter, and we started up the Talisker or the A-15 D well, which has come in very promising. At the same time, we've also seen continued good production from A-11, which was started up earlier.
I would say that Brage has a very strong start of the year. We've actually had days where we've seen 30,000 barrels per day on Brage during the first month.
Obviously, that tails off, and that is something we are monitoring now because the case for Brage is that you have to start up new wells, and then it's a matter of time when they start the decline, and also when you have water breakthrough. I must say that the Talisker well has come in above what we expected.
Too early to say, but a very strong start.
Vidar Lyngvær
Brilliant. That's what I was hoping for.
To continue on Brage, are there any bottlenecks or limitations at the Brage production unit that you and the partners will have to work around, given that you're adding both Bestla in 2027, the Talisker East now, and maybe more wells around Brage later on?
Svein Liknes
There will always be a bottleneck in the system, and that is something I think is a good indication of a success that we've had on Brage, that actually we are talking about limitations. No bottlenecks that has not been taken into account in the modeling of both taking in Bestla, taking in the Talisker well, and also now taking in the Talisker discovery that we will start the drilling as soon as we have the drilling rig back in operation and Bestla online.
We don't see any bottlenecks that we are planning currently to solve because all the restrictions are put into our current model. Obviously, as we are putting things on, that could change.
Most likely then it relates to coolers for gas export, I would say will be the area where we could see the first bottleneck if we need to change some internals in some scrubbers or something. We need to put things into operation before we can make a final decision on that.
Vidar Lyngvær
Great. Appreciate that.
The last one for me on the capex range for 2027, you're guiding 230 to 290. Can you add a bit of color as to what would make you hit the low end versus the high end?
Is it related to timing on the development projects, or is it more related to unsanctioned wells in 2027? Should we read that capex range in connection with the production range for 2027?
For example, the high end of production range will necessitate the high end of capex range?
Birte Norheim
To a small extent only, I would say, to that last one. About 80% of the capex spending in 2027 relates to infill and production drilling.
It's more the timing of the year of when you actually do that and when you will see production coming on, but only to a smaller extent, given that it will happen sometime during the year. There is the Talisker West drilling, a lot of drilling activities on Statfjord, as well as Springmuss at Draugen, which are key wells driving the capex in 2027.
Vidar Lyngvær
Just to clarify there, so that means if I understand correctly, the difference between the low end and the high end in capex guidance for 2027 is for the most part related to other things than the timing at Bestla and Draugen, the development project? For
Birte Norheim
Bestla, we expect in early 2027, and that's accounted for in that range. Obviously, if there is delays, or if it doesn't produce as well as expected in the startup, if the ramp-up takes longer time, that may have an impact.
Vidar Lyngvær
Not Draugen power from shore?
Birte Norheim
Draugen power from shore does not add a lot of volumes, maybe some more gas to be exported, but it's more a cost-reducing and efficiency-related project.
Vidar Lyngvær
I was thinking about the capex, but I can take that offline. Thank you for answering the questions.
Congrats on the quarter.
Birte Norheim
Thank you.
Operator
As there are no further questions on the conference call, I will hand it back to the speakers to handle any written questions. Please go ahead.
Stig Hognestad
We have a question here from Jaco Semaskevic. The question is, "Can you share your thoughts and plans for 2028 bond refinancing?"
Birte Norheim
We usually don't share those kind of thoughts and plans until we actually do something. I can say that the 2028 bond is still in its make-whole period until May this year.
We certainly don't plan to do anything before it becomes callable. I guess that's all I can say on that topic.
Stig Hognestad
Thank you. We have another question from Russell Surank in Upstream.
"Could you provide some clarity on the Arkenstone well? Have drilling operations restarted?"
Svein Liknes
Thanks for that question. If somebody's been watching drilling rigs and where they move, there has been a drilling rig on Arkenstone, but that was to pre-drill or drill another location to test if we still could find a way past the shallow gas that we discovered last year, which was around 400 meters into the drilling.
We have successfully actually found a spot now where we can actually drill. That was the only operation.
It was a 3-day coring drilling operation, I believe it was. For the main drilling, that is not put into any drilling plan yet this year.
We are still working with the operator and the other license partners to decide when we are going to do the final drilling on Arkenstone, but it's not planned for this year. The good side is that we have found a spot where we actually can drill and get past the shallow gas that we saw earlier.
Stig Hognestad
Thank you. Next question from Menno, "Could you please advise whether OKEA currently has or expects to have interest in acquiring assets, producing fields, late life assets, tie-ins, infrastructure interests, or exploration/license positions over the coming 6 to 6 to 24 months?"
Svein Liknes
The short answer there is yes. We are currently and still in a growth strategy.
We want to grow, but also we want to grow in areas and also assets where we see that we can drive impact, like we have demonstrated on Brage, and also on Draugen in particular. It's yes to everything.
Obviously, it needs to be the right asset that fits our strategy, and it also needs to be the right price, obviously. The short answer is yes, we are still having growth ambitions in our strategy.
Stig Hognestad
A question from Sigbjørn Hovda, "Can you provide any insight into expected production levels beyond 2027? Beyond Bestla coming on stream in 2027, what can we expect in terms of production adding projects?"
Birte Norheim
We have Garn West South coming on stream in the second quarter of this year. As mentioned on a previous question, a lot of our investments in 2027, about 80%, relates to production and infill drilling.
That is expected to increase and also arrest decline beyond 2027. We have not provided guidance for any period beyond 2027, more specific, we cannot disclose at this stage.
Svein Liknes
No, there's no numbers. When it comes to the projects, Springmuss in the Draugen area could be a potential, and obviously, developing and drilling the Talisker discovery in Brage that will add barrels.
We are not quantifying that yet.
Stig Hognestad
That was the final written question. Any other questions?
No further
Operator
questions from the conference call.
Stig Hognestad
All right. Thank you very much.
Svein Liknes
Thank you very much for your questions, and see you in a quarter.
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