AMAG Austria Metall AG

AMAG Austria Metall AG

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Q1 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptApril 30, 2026

Christoph Gabriel

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to AMAG Austria Metall AG's conference call for the first quarter of 2026. I am joined today by our designated CEO, Victor Breguncci, who will officially assume the role of Chief Executive Officer tomorrow, as well as our CFO, Claudia Trampitsch.

Together, they will guide you through the development and results for the first 3 months of this year. As usual, the presentation and the press release have been published this morning on our website under Investor Relations.

Following the presentation, we will open the call for questions. Participants joining online via Airtime will be able to raise their hand once the Q&A session begins.

Participants dialing in by telephone are kindly asked to press star key 9 to register for their question. With that, I would now like to hand over to Victor.

Thank you.

Victor Breguncci

Thank you, Christoph. Good morning, everyone.

Getting back to the beginning on the first page of the highlights for the first quarter, we had a very positive first quarter of 2026 with significant increase in earnings. When we look at the numbers, we are very much in line in top line compared to 2025, 0.6% above, but below this line we can see there is a very strong improvement in our cash generation.

EBITDA increased to €57.1 million, a very relevant 24% increase compared to Q1, which was €46 million. I'll explain later, and Claudia will also go in a little bit more details, where it comes from.

As we can imagine, we see a very positive tailwinds from the aluminum price, but also in our rolling business, we see an improvement in our mix of products that we sold in Q1. When we go to the bottom line, net income after taxes rose to €26.5 million, a significant increase compared to Q1, 63.8% above, which was €16 million in 2025.

As expected, operating cash flow got to the level of -€8.4 million, which very much reflects the price increase that we see impacting the EBITDA, but increases in our working capital valuation and also a little bit more working capital over our supply chain because of the growth increase in our rolling business as well. We will talk towards the end on the outlook for 2026, but we already predict that this year is going to be a better year in terms of performance.

Because of the very present uncertainties in our market globally and also what we see in our performance in terms of production and shipments, we are predicting a range between €150 million to €180 million, which will be the results of the year in our cash generation. When we go into the market, as we normally present, the sentiment indicator, we've seen since the end of last year in 2025, we see a worldwide positive sentiment despite all the uncertainties that I mentioned before, especially in the areas where we have a very important relevance of our shipments.

The eurozone improved slightly in the first quarter. We see this reflection in our industrial orders, but also specifically in Germany, in Austria, where we see the opportunity to capture more business.

On the other side, we see uncertainties surrounding the Middle East conflict and also the geopolitical aspects from tariffs coming from North America. What we can say when we look at the analysis of the Middle East conflict, how is this impacting us in our business, putting very directly, there's no direct impact to date, although we see the uncertainty coming in our direction.

I'm going to elaborate a little bit more on what this uncertainty impacts on us indirectly. Aluminum price.

Aluminum price, we're capturing the tailwinds of this development in pricing, having a very positive effect on our metal division, and Claudia will detail this a little further. On the other side, it increases our valuation in our inventories in our Ranshofen site.

Energy, for the contracted businesses that we have and also our hedging strategy has significantly cushioned the impact of these higher market prices. Also we do have agreements with our customers that everything that is connected to more short-term market quotations, we pass through this impact to our pricing, and is consistent with our calculations as well.

We somehow have managed to circumvent this energy impact in our bottom line. Primary metal premiums and alloy metals cost increases affect of course our rolls at production in the rolling division.

As this was energy, it's taken into account in our quotations, but is something we manage very closely since this can be a sensitive element to our performance, as well as auxiliary and operating materials. We've managed to have our safety stocks completed to ensure that for the coming 12 months, 8 to 12 months is something we're looking depending on the material, will resulted in having more protection in our value chain, but it has again also some impact in our bottom line with higher prices.

Same for transport costs. Immediately, the oil prices have impacted to short-term price increases not only in truck transportation, but also in sea freight.

This reflects in our pricing methodology, but also impacts a little on our external sales outside of Europe, to Asia and also to North America. Important to mention is the supply strategy that AMAG has with regards to raw material is very much widened and recognized, we see customers coming to us for the very certainty that these negative impacts have.

Also on the supply side, we are able to provide certainty that we're going to be having the ability to produce over the coming months with no risk of this Middle East conflict. That's the certainty that we have.

When we go a little bit down to numbers, in total, we are 1% below what was shipped in 2025, 110,000 in 2025. Now we are 800 tonnes, 900 tonnes below, which has to do more with the adjustments in our mix in our company.

All our businesses have performed well in Q1, but you see in the metal business, we have some fluctuations in our shipping capacity. We try to optimize everything we can in our boats, in our ships, 1,400 tonnes below what was shipped in '25.

In the casting business, slightly lower shipments as compared to the previous year of our recycled cast alloys, 1,100 tonnes. In rolling, we have seen some sales growth in automotive and heat exchangers, and as I said before, in industrial applications that gave us the chance to ship 1,400 tonnes better than we had in '25.

Adjustments in shipments in packaging in Q1 will be compensated in the coming months in our P&L. Excuse me.

Good. When I look at in our main business in terms of volume and here in Austria, rolling division order trends, we're seeing a significant increase in the automotive sector, so that might be a question coming from your side, where is this big jump in order intake is coming from, extraordinary short-term demand from the North America market.

Not only in automotive, but also we see potential growth in industrial applications here in Europe as well, and as well as heat exchangers in Europe and in North America. Aerospace, a very important market that we have in our portfolio, is stable, which is a positive sign.

We are performing as expected, and there is no major significant change in sports and in consumer goods, sports, and architectural products. As I said before, we have a very strong stability in the packaging business.

Okay. I'm back to the slide that should be there.

The rolling division, before I talked about order intake. We see what happened in shipments.

Automotive and industrial applications were above 2% each one of them, as I said, pushed by demand increase in Europe, but also in North America. All the other markets are somehow stable compared to Q1, but we see an improvement in the bottom line that these markets are giving us the condition to grow our profitability.

I just skipped this slide, and then presented this one after. Sentiment of the market is positive.

AMAG is very well positioned with the supply. We have the order intake capturing what we could in Q1, all businesses are performing above the expectations and above 2025.

I'll give this now to Claudia Trampitsch to progress with the business performance of the first quarter. Thank you.

Claudia Trampitsch

Good morning from my side. I will start with some information on the market prices you heard before, that our results in this three quarters are also influenced by high aluminum prices.

Here we show you the the the increase we were facing in the since beginning of the year, and we are now at the level of, let's say, 300, 500 to and a and a little bit above in the in these months. Where does that have influence on?

You will see the impact on our group revenues, on our working capital, and also on the earning in the metal division. I come to that further on.

When we look at the US Midwest premium for the last 3 months, there was the reflective increase as well as it in here it as there are the tariffs reflected, you see and higher higher implemented tariffs out of the high aluminum price, and also still the need for imports to the US, so that that influences the Midwest premium and it still covers all the the US tariffs, which are still at 50%. On the other hand, we have the trend we saw during 2025 is ongoing, and therefore we it's relevant for our earnings in the metal division that we really have attractive alumina price levels that continuously stay at a at a at a very for us very attractive level and therefore influence our earnings in the metal division in a positive way.

When it now comes to the group revenues, Victor before already told you what what's behind the shipped tonnes. In total, it was we had a positive in influence not just because of the shipped tonnes, which were more or less the same, but also as I mentioned the higher aluminum price, the the higher volume, but on the negative side some influences from lower prices and premiums that are still there, and some influences mainly due to to a stronger euro against the US dollar.

When we now adding up to to to the EBITDA, we can see that in all our three business segments, in the metal division, the casting division, and the rolling division, we had a higher EBITDA than than than last year. The the reasons for having all a higher EBITDA, we mentioned most of them before already, there is the high aluminum price.

We have at the downside, as I said before, and the prices and premiums in the rolling division. We have a influence of the high alumina price levels and a positive effect of our volumes.

When I break it down to the divisions, you can really see here that the how it how it is divided between all the three divisions. What I wanted to to point out again, all of them are better than last year in the first quarter, we have a positive performance across all AMAG's divisions and in affected by by market conditions for sure as well, as we mentioned, but also affected by our higher volume we could ship and all the efficiency and cost measurement we did throughout the last years are still ongoing, are affecting our EBITDA.

For net income after taxes, there's nothing in particular relevant which is extraordinary, we we have a higher net income after taxes due to the higher operating profit. As we mentioned before twice that the flip side of of of of high aluminum prices at or the when aluminum prices are rising is that we have a effect on our working capital and on our inventories, and therefore we we show in the operating cash flow a higher tied capital.

This is we had, as we wrote here, some increase in inventories, but the main effect is not that we have a higher increase in inventory, which was necessary to to build up the stock for producing higher volumes as we did and will do in the future months. The main effect here is the higher higher prices we have on the aluminum side, which is affecting the working capital, and therefore not something where we had a structural change, but higher prices that affect it temporarily.

For the investing activities, they are as planned, below our below last year and also below our depreciation. That's the path we are following, and therefore you also see here a reduction.

That all ends up to a negative free cash flow of €19.7 million. When I move on now to the net financial debt we were showing at at at the end of this quarter, you also see that it's €20 million more or less higher than at the end of the year.

As I said you before, we had a negative free cash flow out of roughly €20 million, and that is affecting more or less the net financial debt. There are no other effects in there at the end.

When we look at the ratio for the net debt to the EBITDA on 12 months average, we related to the last 12 last 12 months, you see that we are stable in that respect. We could achieve due to our figures I I I told you before that our equity is higher than at the year end, the equity ratio went down because of having higher higher short-term assets due to the reasons I mentioned before.

As you can see on the cash and cash equivalent side, that's also that's also the effect of the free cash flow where we have €20 million less than last year. In total, what we can see, we had a strong Q1, which affected very positively our earnings.

The effects in the in the cash flow are not seen now because of all the first effects on on working capital and so on, which are are due to our business model and due to the high aluminum prices. When we move on to our ESG figures, we can also there are for example for the scrap utilization rate some decreases, that's due to to the mix, but it's not we didn't change our structural focus on recycling, and all the other figures are are on a good good path as well.

With that overview of our financials, I now will hand over to Victor, who will give us give you some information on the dividend and on the outlook for 2026.

Victor Breguncci

Thank you, Claudia. If we move on to the dividend outlook, as expected and very much approved in our Annual General Meeting on April 16, our dividend payment went through on the 23rd of April, in this sense everything went as planned.

When we talk about the outlook for 2026, we are foreseeing a positive outlook for us. The situation today, the subdued global economic outlook as we write here and the sharp energy prices, the US trade policy brings some sort of uncertainty to not only to us in the Western European part of Europe, the Central European market, but also to our customers, and this could be reflected in our ordering pattern.

What we see today is the value of the resilient market position that we have. We have a very strong diversity in our portfolio of products, our portfolio of customers, and the way we position ourselves, as Claudia just mentioned, our share of scrap in our raw material strategy is relevant, 73.7%, very much dependent on mix.

It's gives us a very good position in all this uncertainties coming from the Middle East, coming from demand growth that we see in North America, gives us the chance to really become a secure base to our customers. We see this transiting not only in the automotive and heat exchangers, as I just said before, but industrial improvements in Europe, we see customers rushing into AMAG for a safe haven for what could happen.

It gives us a lot of responsibility to that, and this is something somehow reflected in our outlook. When we go into the divisions, the full production attracted marketplaces create excellent conditions for earnings this year, can be easily impacted for the uncertainty that I just mentioned before, but we remain bullish with the metal division.

Casting has improved business performance despite the difficult market environment, especially in Europe, but we see that our team has been thriving in getting the right orders and using the maximum capacity we have, not only for shipments internally at AMAG, but also outside shipments. The rolling division in Ranshofen, the positive order development that I just mentioned, especially from the unprecedented demand spurt that we had in the North America market, and also our strong position in the heat exchangers sector with our investments that we did in the last decade, gives us the chance to really seize short-term market share, and we confirm that there will be an increase in sales for 2026 coming from this segment.

Somehow price sensitivity, we still have tariffs impacting our price position in North America, but we're seeing the ability to pass on these tariffs into the industrial market. We see for the AMAG Group this year a positive development when compared to 2025, growth in volume, improvement in mix, and also price execution.

Gives us an EBITDA range from €150 million to €180 million as our guidance for 2026 numbers. Thank you very much.

This was my first call. Looking forward to the next one, and we're open now to our Q&A.

Christoph.

Christoph Gabriel

Exactly, and before wrapping up with the Q&A session, please refer to the disclaimer at the beginning of the presentation that for sure is relevant for the whole call. Now, Sarah, it's your turn.

Please explain how the Q&A session works and then we're happy to answering your questions. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you so much for handing over and thank you for the presentation. We are now open for your questions.

For a dynamic conversation, we prefer to take your questions in person via audio line. To do so, please click on the virtual raise your hand button on the lower part of your screen.

If you have dialed in by phone, you can ask a question, there you raise your hand with the key combination star key 9, star key number 9, there you raise your hand. In the meantime, we received the first question and first picture hand from Mr.

Speck, please go ahead.

Yes, good morning, everyone. Congrats on these very impressive results in the first quarter.

My first question is on your outlook because to me, even the upper end of your outlook range, the EBITDA range of €150 to €180 million, looks rather cautious. My question is if the aluminum prices would stay on the level like this, what could stop you from reaching an EBITDA even above the €200 million?

Claudia Trampitsch

I take this question. I think you know from our track record that we normally reach our outlook, we're putting a lot of efforts in building them.

There are several import factors we have to consider, and for sure the aluminum price is now at a high level. If you look at the prices in the near future, if you look at let's say some months ahead, we have a very strong backwardation.

That we took also into consideration, on the one hand when we look at where do we see the aluminum price for the rest of year, but also when we have our valuation going on for our derivatives, our hedging strategy, and so on where we also are impacted for that. That's also on the aluminum price that we do not only calculate with the actual aluminum price, but also with outlooks and have to consider the backwardation, which is affecting our business as well.

For sure we have still, as Victor said before, we have price elastisize, we have high energy cost we have to consider, we have uncertainty in the market which we have to consider, and therefore we came in total to that range where we see now at the moment where we will get on at the end of the year. Also, what I forget to mention before, which was for example affecting now this quarter as well is the US dollar development.

Understood. Secondly, my next question is on your order book in the rolling division.

You showed an quite impressive jump in the order backlog. Is this also maybe due to some pull-forward effects from customers?

Victor Breguncci

Thank you. Thank you for the questions.

For sure the first major effect is short-term demand coming from North America given supply chain constraints that we have there with some of our competitors. We are perceived in North America as a desired international mill, and this demand came to us and all the POs that came for the whole year.

This has this big impact right in Q1. We do see somehow on a qualitative basis a desire from some of our legacy customers anticipating their potential demand to ensure that they get the capacity that they need.

We do see some kind of pull-forward effect, as you mentioned, but this is not the major effect in the order intake. This is more from this unanticipated demand coming from customers.

Thank you. Then also on the cash flow development, the cash flow was rather weak, but you could explain by build-ups in working capital, etc.

From today's point of view, would you say that the build-up is done and so we could expect maybe a swing in cash flow development in the second quarter or what should we expect here?

Claudia Trampitsch

What we can expect that it will come back, because you always have when you have a high rise in aluminum prices and then it stabilizes or it goes down, then it comes back. When we have it compared also with high shipping volumes and higher production and so on, it needs some time.

For the second quarter, I wouldn't see a reversal at the moment.

Sooner or later there should be a swing in the free cash flow, right? At the end of the year you might end with a positive free cash flow.

Claudia Trampitsch

It has to be reversed, because it's based on our more or less the business model when we first have the negative finance part of the high aluminum price, and then we get it back when we sell everything. To make it very simple.

That will for sure be temporarily, but at the moment it's too early for me to say in which quarter it could come. If you take it, let's say, if it's 2 years or something like that, normally when you look in the back, we always had this up and downs in the cash flow where you can see that then it comes back.

It's at the moment Yeah.

Okay. Got it.

Thank you. My last question is again on the outlook, especially on the remarks on the outlook.

Did I get it correctly that you are gaining market shares in the current situation because of the Middle East conflict, etc.?

Victor Breguncci

The point is there are two segments here that I just mentioned, automotive and heat exchangers. There's no major new development coming, tonnage is increasing, we assume market shares are being gained, right?

In this case of North America that I just mentioned to you, we see that the share that is coming to us is originated in this demand from customers in this region that is not being served by local domestic mills. It is a market share gain in these two segments that I just mentioned.

Okay. Thanks a lot and all the best.

Victor Breguncci

Thank you.

Claudia Trampitsch

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for your questions, Mr. Speck.

Then we will move on with Mr. Steiner, who is in the phone line.

Patrick Steiner

Good morning, it's Patrick Steiner speaking, ODDO BHF. Congratulations to the good results and also to the first conference call, Mr.

Breguncci. One question remaining from my side.

Could you please give us more detail on the expected earnings development in the metal segment? I would be specifically interested in the valuation or these accounting effects resulting from the backwardation situation on the LME copper price?

Claudia Trampitsch

As I mentioned at the beginning, for the metal segments, we have roughly impacts from the aluminum price, we have the impacts out of the alumina price. For the alumina price, we're stable, this is not the one that we are now making that big effects on the outlook.

For the aluminum price at the metal segment, it's not only we have there our Alouette business, but also our risk management of the metal price risk. In there, we manage the risk for the whole metal price segment, and there we have derivatives that are related to the whole business of AMAG Group.

In this business, when we do that risk management, we do it also, if needed, via derivatives. This derivatives can have negative pricing effects.

We realize them or we don't realize them, but if they are unrealized, we have to do our valuation on them and they can impact our earnings in the metal segment as well. It's not just the operational part of it, as you perhaps have presumed that we say, "Oh, you sell it at the high price.

Why don't we see it only that?" It's also adding up the risk management for the whole group where we can also have valuation effects that can be quite big.

There's a backwardation in the market at the moment which was last month up to $40 negatively where we normally have $1 or $2 per tonne. This affects a lot our valuations there.

What could be a part, when I say risk management just perhaps to add this as well, it's also securing the values of our stocks and securing the risk of our supply of material we buy or raw material we're supplying, and so on. It's not just the operational business of Alouette that's affecting our numbers there.

Patrick Steiner

Thank you very much. Should we expect a negative contribution from that effect going forward in Q2, Q3, and if yes, what kind of size?

Claudia Trampitsch

I don't have the exact number, but we see at the market the backwardation, and as I told before, all the market anticipations in the forward curves we are putting into our numbers. When the aluminum price is going down, then normally that could swap again into a contango.

These sensitivities we built in our models, yes.

Patrick Steiner

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you for your questions, Mr. Steiner.

Ladies and gentlemen, by now we have one participant in the queue with questions, at this point, please feel reminded that it's still possible to ask questions. With this, we're happy to take the questions from Mr.

Matejka.

Mislav Matejka

Hello. Can you hear me?

Claudia Trampitsch

Yes.

Victor Breguncci

Yes.

Mislav Matejka

Oh, fine. Really surprised about the technology.

At first, congratulation about your numbers and your outlook, and it looked like me that Chuck Norris is living again because you have all the cards in your hand and you've done everything right in the past, and therefore I promise you a really good future in relation to the incomparable political environment. People really hate you have some kind of natural hedge in that.

My question is twofold. On the one side, I'm always asking about the cross-alloy feature around what's happening all there and where is, let's say, the latest steps in that relation.

Thanks to Mr. Kaufmann always being a part in that case to give me a proper answer.

The second part of the question will be about your recently announced share buyback program. Is it already in place?

Is it already working? Are you already giving some features on that?

Yes, maybe some words about the future potential on that. Thank you very much.

Victor Breguncci

Thank you very much for motivating questions. I'll take on the cross-alloy, and then Claudia will answer you about your second question.

Cross-alloy is an attempt as we have been marketing to develop an alloy that would position ourselves in a very strong position on combining two different kind of alloys, 6 and 8000, 5 and 7000. We're doing some pilots in some applications in Europe, and these pilots, we're awaiting for the results that they could give.

We're taking very cautionary measures that we don't overestimate or underestimate the potential that the alloy will have, but we are positively surprised in the execution of this trials in the applications we have in the market, which are tweeted very much under close scrutiny from our R&D department. Eventually, we will come back with a little bit more information on that front, but it's progressing as expected.

If I can give you this answer, we are very cautious and progressing with our trials and our tests. As soon as we have information that could be shared in this forum, we'll for sure bring it and share with you and our investors.

Mislav Matejka

Okay.

Claudia Trampitsch

I will answer the second question. I think the question was a little bit not addressing what we were doing or what was the intent we had in our Annual General Meeting, because it was not that we announced

Mislav Matejka

a

Claudia Trampitsch

payback program. What we did is, and what we also had in the past, that we have just in case we do some, and it's named quite taxative, if we do have an M&A or something going on and using own shares would be a very good way to finance

Mislav Matejka

or Acquisition currency, yeah.

Claudia Trampitsch

That's, as you say, as acquisition currency, that's the right terminal.

Mislav Matejka

For

Claudia Trampitsch

that, then we are able to do that in a very efficient and short way, because we can do it without the AGM, we can do it without having the preferred rights for the other investors. This was the same we had before, we just renewed what we had.

It was just giving us the authorization to do so without having any concrete plans, and we have no share

Mislav Matejka

Already bought, yeah.

Claudia Trampitsch

buying back program. Yeah.

Mislav Matejka

This would be the only answer to be given, but it wasn't mentioned in the analysis and around and so on because of the small free float that you already have, it would be some kind of not the best idea to buy back shares again, and therefore the proper goal to use it as a currency for M&A is the right answer. Thank you very much for taking.

Claudia Trampitsch

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. In the meantime, we have received no further questions, therefore I hand back to you, Christoph.

Christoph Gabriel

Thanks a lot for all your interesting questions. Thanks again for joining today's call.

It was a pleasure. Should you have any remaining questions, please, as always, feel free to give me a call or reach out to me directly via email.

Otherwise, have a very pleasant Thursday and looking forward to hearing you soon. Thank you.

Goodbye.

Claudia Trampitsch

Goodbye. Thank you.

Victor Breguncci

Goodbye.