Operator
Good morning, and welcome to the Vornado Realty Trust second quarter 2026 earnings call. My name is Betsy, and I will be your operator for today's call.
This call is being recorded for replay purposes. All lines are in a listen-only mode.
Our speakers will address your questions at the end of the presentation during the question-and-answer session. At that time, please press * then 1 on your touch-tone phone.
I will now turn the call over to Mr. Steven Borenstein, Executive Vice President and Corporation Counsel.
Please go ahead.
Steven Borenstein
Welcome to Vornado Realty Trust second quarter earnings call. Yesterday afternoon, we issued our second quarter earnings release and filed our quarterly report on Form 10-Q with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
These documents, as well as our supplemental financial information package, are available on our website, www.vno.com, under the Investor Relations section. In these documents and during today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures.
Reconciliations of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release, Form 10-Q, and financial supplement. Please be aware that statements made during this call may be deemed forward-looking statements, and actual results may differ materially from these statements due to a variety of risks, uncertainties, and other factors.
Please refer to our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, for more information regarding these risks and uncertainties. The call may include time-sensitive information that may be accurate only as of today's date.
The company does not undertake a duty to update any forward-looking statements. On the call today from management for opening comments are Steven Roth, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Michael Franco, President and Chief Financial Officer.
Our senior team is also present and available for questions. I will now turn the call over to Steven Roth.
Steven Roth
Thank you, Steve, and good morning, everyone. We had another strong quarter with comparable FFO of 67 cents, beating analyst consensus by 10 cents or 17.5%.
Michael will review it all shortly. First, let me cover what we are seeing on the ground.
New York is clearly the best, strongest, and most important real estate market in the country, and the most resilient. We are a Manhattan-centric office and street retail company with best-in-class assets, which are benefiting from these dynamics.
The stock market seems to appreciate this, given our stock price performance year-to-date and over the past 2 years and the past 3 years has been the best in our peer group. There is more to come.
I believe our stock is still stupid cheap. For example, Green Street shows us at a 23% NAV discount, much deeper than our peers.
The landlords' market that we have been predicting for the past many quarters is here. It is broad-based, and it is strengthening.
Office leasing volume in Manhattan is at its highest level in 25 years. Tenants are expanding all over the city.
Available space and sublease space continues to evaporate, and office-to-residential conversions continue to remove square footage from the office inventory. There is a serious shortage of large block availability.
Vacancies in the 180 million square foot Class A better building market in which we compete is now down to 6.2%, clearly a landlords' market. There is limited new supply on the horizon, and remember, new supply takes as long as 5 years to deliver and requires upwards of $300 rents to pencil.
To add to all that, interest rates are rising. As a result of all this good stuff, rents are going up.
I couldn't be more constructive. In New York, tenant demand spans across all industries.
Law firms alone leased 2.3 million square feet this quarter. Legal, tech, and media accounted for 8 of the top 10 leases signed.
This isn't one industry having a moment. All of our clients are growing.
Interestingly, a real estate platform that tracks these kinds of things recently reported that AI companies are now leasing more space in New York than in San Francisco. All good.
At Vornado, our singular focus is on executing our plan to deliver the highest growth in our sector based on our lineup of high-quality assets and in-process projects. Here is our 2026 scorecard: During the first half of 2026, we leased 978,000 square feet overall.
For Manhattan office, we leased 659,000 square feet at $105 per square foot average starting rents, with mark-to-markets of positive 9.5% GAAP and positive 7.1% cash. I would note that these mark-to-market stats do not include our leasing activity at PENN 2, where following our transformation, we are achieving rents that are just about double the old rents.
This is as good a place as any to take a victory lap for what we have accomplished at PENN 1 and PENN 2 financially, physically, and aesthetically. Think about it.
At PENN 1, broadly speaking, we invested $200 per square foot to achieve a $50 a foot uptick in rents, which when all gets said and done, is a 25% return. Rents at PENN are now well above our underwriting and are now the best value in town.
Plenty of room to grow here. Our physical transformation is stunning and game-changing and award-winning.
Please go take a look. During the second quarter in Manhattan, we executed 29 office deals totaling 348,000 square feet at industry-leading $107 per square foot average starting rents, with mark-to-markets of positive 7.7% GAAP and positive 5.0% cash.
This quarter's leasing volume included 181,000 square feet in the Penn District and 167,000 square feet in our other Manhattan assets. We are now consistently achieving triple-digit average starting rents.
I suggest that mark-to-market is a squishy metric, which depends entirely upon which leases are included in the calculation and their rent. It's pretty random.
Rather, I submit it is better to look at starting rents for new leases as a much more fine-tuned metric, which would allow for better comparisons of building to buildings and companies to companies. I confess to talking my book here, since our starting rents have led the New York office public peers for years now.
In the Penn District at PENN 2, we have 67,000 square feet of leases out for signature, and we expect to be fully leased here down to dribs and drabs by year-end. At PENN 1, we have 240,000 246,000 square feet of leases out for signature at an average mark-to-market of a whopping 44%.
Company-wide, we are projecting third quarter mark-to-markets of over 20%. I guess you could call this, all, soft guidance.
With all of this activity, we continue to raise our pricing here on a biweekly basis. Importantly, given that roughly 10% of the space at PENN 1 rolls each year, we expect continuous strong growth from PENN 1 as we keep marching old rents up to market.
We continue to be delighted with our two most recent acquisitions: 623 Fifth Avenue and Park Avenue Plaza. Thanks to Harrison for giving us a shout-out for these two deals on his call.
623 Fifth Avenue is our spectacularly well-located, and by that I mean in the center of everything, 383,000 square foot asset which sits on top of Saks Fifth Avenue that we are redeveloping to be the 220 Central Park South version of boutique office space. We're off to a great start here, receiving outstanding reactions from brokers and tenants.
We are about to execute our first lease of two floors to a financial services firm at rents consistent with our underwriting. Of note, even at this early stage, market demand is telling us to increase our asking rents above original underwriting.
As we recently acquired a half interest partnering with Fisher Brothers in Park Avenue Plaza, a 1.2 million square foot tower on 53rd Street. The deal was at a valuation of $950 a foot, which for prime Park Avenue is a third of replacement cost.
This asset, taking advantage of the in-place 2.9% mortgage loan with 6 years of term remaining, is a coupon clipper at 8% cash-on-cash. The way I look at this, we are earning double the risk-free bond rate from risk-free Park Avenue, AAA real estate.
Better yet, the in-place leases at Park Avenue Plaza are at, give or take, half current market. We expect very substantial capital appreciation here to go hand-in-hand with above-market current earnings.
Our market-leading signage business in the two most important and highest-traffic locations in Manhattan, Times Square and the Penn District, continues to grow at a healthy rate. We love this business.
It's capital-light and has been growing at 5% per year. We intend to add more signage in the Penn District, where we control almost all of the real estate around Penn Station and Madison Square Garden.
If you drive or walk past Park Avenue and 52nd Street, you will see that our 350 Park Avenue site is now under construction, actually under demolition. We intend to shortly exercise our investment option to participate in this deal at our maximum ownership percentage of 36% alongside Ken Griffin as our 60% partner and with Citadel as our 1 million square foot anchor tenant.
Several commentators and analysts have suggested that we take the money and run. No, no, no.
That would be incredibly shortsighted. In our business, there is no better place to invest than prime Park Avenue with a million square foot tenant and a 60% partner already committed.
We are contributing our existing land and 65-year-old building at a $900 million valuation. We have the balance sheet resources to support this deal and all of our other financial requirements as well.
We have a $3.3 billion construction loan ready to go. I think $3.3 billion may be a record.
The partnership, and by that I mean all partners, is contemplating selling down a 25% interest at a price which will give us an appropriate profit and also gives the buyers an appropriate profit. We expect the joint venture closing will take place in September.
We are extremely excited and bullish about the potential returns from this project. The brokers and tenant community is buzzing, and we are already getting incomings for available space, all of which is view space from 600 feet to 1,000 feet, from clients seeking the very best and for whom our delivery date fits their needs.
At Vornado, management of our balance sheet is the highest priority. Michael and his team have worked very hard to get our debt ratio down into the 7s.
We keep dry powder for offense and liquidity for defense in all cycles. We are in conversations to sell two nonessential assets, which would very substantially increase our liquidity profile.
Here is the status of our stock buyback program: This quarter, we repurchased 1.8 million shares at $29.92 per share. Since we have started buying back shares in 2023, we have repurchased 8 million shares at $26.61 per share.
We will continue to take advantage of the stock as the opportunity presents itself. Just for kicks, on a final and interesting note, I recently heard an interview with Taylor Sheridan, the screenwriter, director, producer, and actor best known for creating the massively successful Yellowstone universe.
I confess that I'm addicted to his stuff. Here's what he said about New York: quote, "I bleeping love New York.
It's the first place I lived after Chicago. It's a phenomenal city, and it's a city that I feel is much tougher.
It endures a bad politician or two, and you can't tank it. New York just shakes off this stuff like a case of bad fleas and keeps going.
It doesn't matter the industry if you're in New York. If you're successful here, if you're a bricklayer, you're one of the best frigging bricklayers on the planet because there are 8 million people competing for your job.
New York just mandates excellence from everybody in every way and in every field," end quote. By the way, when somebody asks who doesn't know me what I do for a living, I say I'm a bricklayer.
Now off to Michael.
Michael Franco
Thank you, Steve, and good morning, everyone. Second quarter comparable FFO was 67 cents per share, compared to 56 cents per share for last year's second quarter, an increase of 11 cents.
This significant increase was primarily due to higher FFO resulting from rent commencements at PENN 1 and PENN 2, the impact from the NYU master lease at 770 Broadway being in the prior year, and higher NOI from signage revenue, partially offset by higher net interest expense. We have provided a quarter-over-quarter bridge on page 2 of our earnings release and on page 6 of our financial supplement.
Our core office and retail businesses are performing increasingly well and are now beginning to reflect the growth from leasing up PENN as well as our other vacancies. Our New York office same-store NOI was up 13.7% for GAAP and 11.9% for cash.
Our New York retail same-store NOI was up 7.3% for GAAP and 5.7% for cash. Our New York business overall was up 11.9% for GAAP and 6.2% for cash.
We now clearly expect full-year 2026 comparable FFO to be higher than 2025, with second quarter comparable FFO being a decent average run rate for the rest of the year. As previously indicated, we expect there to be significant earnings growth in 2027 as the positive impact from the lease-up of PENN 1, PENN 2, and our other vacancies continues to take effect, as well as the positive impact of the recent acquisition of Park Avenue Plaza.
Turning to occupancy: New York office occupancy increased 60 basis points this quarter to 92.2% from last quarter and up significantly from the trough of 84.4% in the first quarter of 2025. This significant pickup is reflective of the successful execution of our plans and the Manhattan Class A office market dynamics that we've been talking about over the past couple of years.
Our New York office pipeline is robust and has over 2.2 million square feet of leases in negotiation and various stages of proposal, including the 1 million square foot Citadel lease at 350 Park Avenue and over 500,000 square feet in the Penn District. Based on our strong leasing pipeline, we anticipate that our occupancy will grow to north of 93% by year-end, with further gains thereafter.
Demand for our retail assets also continues to pick up. We are seeing new retailers, including many international ones, enter the market, as well as retailers in prime locations looking to renew their spaces early so as not to lose them upon expiry.
Finally, turning to our balance sheet, our liquidity remains strong at $2 billion, which is comprised of cash of $789 million and undrawn credit lines of $1.2 billion. We hope to bolster this further with the asset sales Steve referenced earlier.
With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for Q&A.
Operator
Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.
If you have a question, please press * then 1 on your touch-tone phone. If you wish to be removed from the queue, please press * then 2.
If you are using a speakerphone, you may need to pick up the handset first before pressing the numbers. Once again, if you have a question, please press * then 1 on your touch-tone phone.
Each caller will be allowed to ask a question and a follow-up question before we move on to the next caller. The first question today comes from Floris Van Dijkum with Ladenburg.
Please go ahead.
Floris van Dijkum
Hey, thanks guys. Obviously we're starting to see some growth, which is very encouraging.
Maybe could you talk a little bit about the gap between leased and economic occupancy today and where your peak physical or economic occupancy was in the past and how much more of a runway there is?
Steven Roth
Michael.
Michael Franco
Good morning, Floris. Historically we ran at 95%, 96% occupancy on a physical basis.
I think maybe touched a little bit higher occasionally, but I would say that was a pretty consistent run rate. Today we're at a little over 92%.
We expect we'll get back to our historical run rate in the next couple years. Given the pace of the market, it could happen sooner than that.
We're pretty confident about that. From a economic perspective, just given the signed, not commenced leases, obviously that number is lower.
I think on a GAAP basis, which probably relates most directly to earnings, we're probably 83%, 84% relative to the 92.2%. Physically we should get back into the mid-90s, and obviously on a GAAP basis, that'll close up as those leases come online.
Steven Roth
Floris, I'll put a little more meat on that. Our signed but not in occupancy and not in our earnings number, in the revenue side of that, rents are $180 million, which is probably somewhere 150, 100 a little bit more than that of FFO.
That'll give you the number as to where we stand now. That number, obviously, signed leases haven't commenced yet, so that's in the bag.
Floris van Dijkum
Thanks, Steve. Thanks, Michael.
My follow-up question, and this is more of a broad question, because if you do the math, the rents require to make 350 Park Avenue pencil out suggests that you're going to rent that building at around $350 a square foot. What kind of impacts will having these really, really high-end properties do to adjacent or nearby buildings?
I'm thinking also potentially about the potential upside of your recent acquisition at Park Avenue Plaza.
Steven Roth
The rents on the new buildings, your number is approximately correct, will create an umbrella and all of the older buildings which have in-place rents of less than that, and Park Avenue Plaza has rents of about a third of what you just mentioned, it will all suck them all up. That what's going to happen is the combination of scarcity, the combination of everybody in New York expanding and looking for space, and the fact that there's a scarcity of new supply, and the combination of construction costs, interest rates, etc., require a very high rent for a new building, that'll cause the well-located older buildings to go up in value enormously.
Obviously, that's the reason we bought Park Avenue Plaza.
Operator
The next question comes from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
Alexander Goldfarb
Hey. Morning, Steve, and thank you for the update on 350.
I guess a question there around rents. While a few quarters ago we were talking about sort of 250 gross to make new deals pencil, I think when we talked about PENN 15, now you're talking about 300, 350 to make new deals pencil, and clearly at 350 you have legacy basis.
The increase in rents to make deals pencil, is that sort of on a new market basis, meaning if you were to buy land today and given where interest rates are, or what's caused sort of the target construction rents to go from sort of the 250 we talked a few quarters ago to now sort of the 3 to 350?
Steven Roth
Oh boy, complicated. I'm not sure I understand the question, but none of these numbers are written in stone, Alex.
They're sort of ranges. The market doesn't really need $350 a foot to start a new building.
The market and our competitors which started a new building somewhere in the probably mid to high-3s, mid to high-2s, and what the market is doing is giving a bargain rent to the anchor tenant with the hopes and aspirations that the follow-on smaller tenants at higher rents will make the whole thing pencil. In the whole, you think about it, if a new building on Park Avenue costs $3,000 a foot, you can do the math.
Alexander Goldfarb
Okay. Then the second question for Glen, year-to-date you've done about 660 square feet gross in New York.
There are a lot of tenants they're talking about early renewals. Can you talk about the level of conversation and presumably there's some acceleration in the back half, or just what we should expect as far as leasing goes compared to the 660 so far?
Glen Weiss
As Michael said in our scripted remarks, putting aside Citadel, we have about 1.2 million in our pipeline, which is a really strong mix of new expansion renewal, and we're strategic about renewals. We're not going to do a renewal unless we like the terms.
While we're talking to a lot of tenants expiring next year, the year after, etc., as the market continues to quicken in strength and pace, and as we feel better and better every week with what's happening, we're being very careful in terms of locking in too quickly. Our tenants generally want to stay, and we're in a lot of discussions in that regard, but we're being careful and smart about it.
Operator
The next question comes from Dylan Burzinski with Green Street. Please go ahead.
Dylan Burzinski
Hi guys. Good morning.
Thanks for taking the question. Steve, maybe going back to your comments at the outset of your prepared remarks, talking about how the stock remains cheap, how it remains well below sort of our NAV estimate.
I think you've alluded to in the past just being interested in taking assets to market and in testing where private market bids are at. Can you kind of just talk about that?
Is that still something you guys are interested in, and maybe obviously using those funds to continue to take advantage of the disconnect between where shares are at today and where you guys perceive value to be?
Steven Roth
I think what you're saying is that we should sell buildings at the private market value and buy stock, which is Green Street's formula for success. We sort of believe in that.
We sort of also believe that our buildings are going to appreciate in value. We are actually in conversations with selling two buildings, the proceeds of which would be a very significant cash amount and which accomplishes our financial objectives in the short term.
The history in New York has been that almost every time you sell a building in almost any cycle, you've been wrong. That goes for our street retail assets and our office assets.
We do have a handful of assets that we are happy to sell and want to sell. We have a couple of assets that we are actively in conversations to sell, and we're very happy owning the rest of them until, at some point, they become more valuable and then maybe we would sell them.
With respect to our stock, we still think our stock is extremely cheap. As the NAV calculations are basically based upon what is in place now and what assets we own now.
It doesn't give any credit for what will happen in the future. For example, there's no credit for the 350 Park Avenue deal and the profit that will undoubtedly come from that, or the Park Avenue Plaza uptick in rents, or the 623 development that we're doing.
The NAV number is a static number which is backwards-looking. When we sit in our council room, we look at that number very hard, but we also look at the future value.
That's my answer, sir.
Dylan Burzinski
No, that's very helpful. Appreciate that commentary, Steve.
Then maybe just one, I think it was announced yesterday that Snap was subleasing some of Verizon's space. Are you guys involved in that at all?
I know when Verizon struck that lease, rents were probably higher today than where Verizon's leases at. Any upside that you guys are able to get, or is that sort of solely Verizon's economics?
Steven Roth
We didn't participate in that deal. That was a deal between Verizon and the subtenant.
We did, however, decline a recapture option, choosing instead to keep the Verizon credit for 20-year term.
Operator
The next question comes from Steve Sakwa with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
Steve Sakwa
Thanks. Good morning.
I think on the last couple of calls, you guys have talked about this kind of 40 cents FFO uplift in '27. I know you don't give formal guidance, but there was a bridge there just given the strong signed but not occupied pipeline.
Obviously, you've had good growth in Q2 and talking about a good second half. I guess does that 40 cents number still apply or has some of that FFO maybe shifted into '26 and it dampens the growth a little bit into '27?
Michael Franco
Morning, Steve. We're not going to get too much into guidance given we don't give it.
If you remember when we made that comment, I think we started off talking about the year being flattish relative to last year. Obviously, we're significantly outperforming that.
The 40 cents was relative to that flattish comment. I think we're at $2.35 last year, 40 cents on top of that, $2.75.
Some of the growth is occurring earlier this year than expected. At the same time, we still think we have meaningful growth next year.
Our comment on sort of significant growth still to come in '27 remains intact. Some of that 40 cents got started flowing through this year.
Certainly relative to where we started beginning of the year is still intact. Given the dynamics, hopefully be in excess of that.
Steve Sakwa
Great, and as my follow-up, Steve, I guess your comments around doing a JV at 350 is interesting given the Citadel lease. I guess how did you sort of weigh doing that JV now versus leasing that building up further and doing something down the road given that it's not being delivered for 4 to 5 years?
Steven Roth
We made a decision to do the deal with Ken Griffin and Citadel years ago. Our deal with Ken was signed probably, I don't know, 3 years ago, something like that.
This is just the continuation of that path which was decided 3 years ago. During that time between now and then, Barry and his team and the Citadel team have designed the building with the Foster + Partners architectural firm and done the drawings, and we're now under construction.
These decisions were made 3 years ago, maybe even 4 years ago.
Operator
The next question comes from Jana Galan with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Steven Roth
By the way, before I get into that, let me finish the last question a little bit more. If you do the math, and we do the math, we really groove on math around here.
If you do the math, notwithstanding the fact that there is a time delay from the time that you demolish the old building and give up the income on the old building to the time you get the new building, the new building, which will have rents in the stratosphere so to speak, which is the market and which is required, are substantially enormously more profitable than keeping the old 65-year-old building, dumping money into that building, because in 10 years that's going to be a 75-year-old building, and you know what that means. Anyway, decision really was not that difficult to make to demolish and build a new building.
I'm sorry. Now to the next question.
Operator
The next question comes from Jana Galan with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Jana Galan
Thank you. Good morning, and congrats on the quarter.
The retail leasing had a nice pickup, but the lease term I noticed was pretty short. Curious if that's just strategy to do more short-term activation as you plan some of the larger retail redevelopment or if something else drove that.
Michael Franco
Morning, Jana. In general, yeah, number of short-term deals, some in-place tenants that we extended, some short-term deals that we don't want to lock up the space.
We continue to view the market is getting stronger. We don't want to commit the space long term until we get to an appropriate level.
In some cases, tenants need more time to make decisions on how long they want to commit for, etc. Mix of those, but I think most as we said short term in nature.
Jana Galan
Thank you. Then maybe just I noticed the Pier 94 occupancy dropped quarter-over-quarter.
Anything you can share there or prospects for new leasing there?
Glen Weiss
It's Glen, I'll take this one. The occupancy is already up into the high-80s by the end of July.
We had a couple vacates at the end of June, which is why you see the number you're seeing, and already back up to where we were with a lot more activity in the pipeline.
Michael Franco
Glen, why don't you just comment on the users' experience and reaction to the Pier.
Glen Weiss
The activity has been excellent. The users are all top of class, head of class, Google, Netflix, Paramount, Apple, all the names we want.
As they go on and on, the experience has been A-plus. The reports back from them have been excellent.
We're feeling very good as we head into the second half of this year into '27 that really great things are going to happen and the project's really the best in town. Certainly the users coming in are recognizing that as they use it.
Steven Roth
You have to remember this asset, which we are partners with Blackstone and Hudson Pacific, is kind of analogous to a long-stay hotel. This is not a office building which has 10, 20, and 30-year leases.
The tenants that come into this building and use it as a production facility for shows that are in process, so that can be 3 months or a year or what have you. The occupancy will fluctuate.
We do feel we have a unique asset. It's the only asset in Manhattan.
It's very well-located, and it's being extremely well-received even at these early stages by all of the, might I say, all of the big boys.
Operator
The next question comes from Anthony Paolone with J.P. Morgan.
Please go ahead.
Anthony Paolone
Thanks. On 350 Park, you mentioned going to the maximum 30% 36% stake in the project.
Can you talk about what that means in terms of any incremental outlays for Vornado or just how that works?
Steven Roth
Michael.
Michael Franco
Good morning, Tony. Look, we'll lay out all the details when we close the venture in terms of cost, financing, etc.
Steve referenced the construction financing that we've lined up. We're contributing our land in at the $900 million value.
Incremental capital requirements from us over time are in the $300, $350 million neighborhood. That doesn't really start for probably 2.5, maybe even 3 years in any significant scale given that Ken has to true up his equity with ours, and then the bank wants to get money out.
We like that environment, the banks want to start putting money out. Our equity is back-ended and really won't come, I would say, meaningfully until 2029 and then thereafter.
Anthony Paolone
Got it. Then in terms of just you mentioned, I think Steve, just that kind of a project putting an umbrella over the rest of the assets around there over time.
It seems like your basis is going to probably be over $3,000 bucks a foot, and the presumption is you lease it up and it's worth, I guess something north of $4,000 plus a square foot. How do you think about just that gap between a number like that and buying something around the corner effectively at $950 a foot?
Is that dispersion, does it make sense? I get the difference in age and asset, but is carried land just as interesting an investment at this point than the bet at $4,000 plus a foot on a pro forma stabilized basis?
Steven Roth
We would buy 100% of Park Avenue at $1,000 a foot if we could.
Michael Franco
Tony, you're making the case for exactly what Steve said earlier, right? That dispersion is very wide, that buildings like Park Avenue Plaza, if the market continues to hold its strength and we know there's not going to be a lot of supply, those buildings have to appreciate significantly.
We own many of those buildings, which is why we're bullish on our stock and the value that we have and where it's going. So 100%, rents have to rise there, values have to appreciate meaningfully because they're basically trading at land value in a lot of cases.
Steven Roth
Don't get the impression that the people who are paying $250 or $75 or $300 a foot are stupid. They are not stupid.
They are the most important and largest and major companies in the country. There is a difference in the value of a brand-new building in its design, in its function.
The answer is, it's not the difference between $100 a foot and $300 a foot. The $100 a foot buildings are going to go up in value substantially, but not to the same rental rate as a new building would command.
Operator
The next question comes from Vikram Malhotra with Mizuho. Please go ahead.
Vikram Malhotra
Morning. Congrats on a strong quarter.
I guess just first question, given the strength in the future direction in terms of FFO and the pickup you mentioned, some of it is built 20 incoming in '26. I'm wondering if you can just maybe gives a little bit more color on how that translates into cash earnings, relative to this year's TI bill, what could the TI maintenance CapEx bill look like for next year just high-level?
Related to that, any sense of where we are in terms of TIs coming in after the market is strengthened?
Michael Franco
I'll hit the first one. Glen can hit the second.
I think in terms of TIs this year versus next year, again, given we're in that lease-up mode, given frankly when the tenants call for the money, and all the numbers right in front of me, Vikram, but I think it's pretty comparable year-over-year. Not meaningfully different enough that I would change.
I think in '28 is when that starts to tail down. As we're through that big leasing load.
Again, depends on when tenants call for the money. It tends to be a little bit later than when we normally expect.
That's my commentary on the capital side. Glen, you want to just talk about TI trends?
Glen Weiss
Hi Vikram. We're seeing concessions come down, rents are going up, we're tightening concessions.
I had said on a couple calls in a row now free rent's coming down, and we're now seeing tightening on the TIs. Certainly anything where turnkey now has a cap on the tenant funds.
Overall I would tell you all the metrics are trending absolutely in the landlord's direction, which is very good for us. We continue that, and we expect that to continue as we go, as the market continues to get better and better.
Vikram Malhotra
Thanks. Then maybe just a bigger, broader question, clearly New York is at a place where we're all talking upside to rents and mark-to-market positive.
San Fran is still sort of in maybe perhaps occupancy recovery mode. I'm just wondering future capital allocation for Vornado, if you were putting in new capital today, how do you differentiate and assess sort of opportunities in New York versus San Fran, where should we expect kind of a better risk-reward at this point?
Steven Roth
We love San Francisco. It's a recovering market.
The interesting thing about it is we own the best building in San Francisco, differentiated. It's not a tech building per se, although we do have a few tech tenants.
It's a financial services building. All of the major financial services players are in that building.
Notwithstanding the fact that vacancies grew to very high numbers in San Francisco and rents plummeted, that building, 555 California, the rents went up, and occupancies stayed, by and large, pretty high. Now, with respect to New York and capital allocation, look at what we've done in the past as a prelude to what we'll do in the future.
We have invested in two or three new acquisitions. We invest in our existing buildings by leasing them up and in the TI and in keeping them modern and pristine and ahead of the market.
We invest in our buildings in terms of amenities. We invest in our stock.
We're investing in new acquisitions, our existing assets, our common stock, and, of course, the Penn District. We have a very full plate.
Michael Franco
With the same time, bringing down leverage while doing that.
Vikram Malhotra
How did you do that? A
Michael Franco
little sleight of hand. No, asset sales, etc., and growing income.
Steven Roth
By the way, our budgets show that after the bubble, the good bubble of this very large leasing period is over, and the free rent burns off and the TIs are paid, our financials become extraordinary, our cash flow becomes positive and grows fairly significantly. There's a 1 or 2-year period and then we're very, very constructive about our company in the future years.
That's why when I say we look at the future NAV harder even than we look at the current NAV.
Operator
The next question comes from Seth Bergey with Citi. Please go ahead.
Seth Bergey
Hi. Thanks for taking my question.
Just wanted to just circle back on 350 Park Avenue. You mentioned the partial sale.
Could you just probably talk about given kind of the improvement in New York fundamentals what the buyer pool looks like for that, what type of money is interested in investing in New York office today?
Steven Roth
Hang on. Michael's going to grab a cup of coffee for me.
I think you asked about the mention that I made that we were contemplating selling down 25% of the ownership of the building and inviting a new group of investors to come into the asset now. What's your question about that?
Seth Bergey
Just are you seeing is it core money that's interested in office, opportunistic, sovereign? Just talk about kind of the interest from the different buyer pools in New York office real estate.
Steven Roth
We're basically targeting high-net-worth family offices. It would be a club deal, people investing $100 million or maybe $200 million, not $1 billion.
That's our current target.
Seth Bergey
Great. Then maybe just to follow up, with kind of the new pied-à-terre tax in New York, are you seeing any impact on that for high-street retail leasing?
Steven Roth
Not at all. We don't expect that that's going to affect shopping or tourism or domestic spending or whatever.
The answer to that is not at all. By the way, we're not really in that business.
We don't have a current condo job under construction, although we have developed the most successful one in history, that's in the past. That's sold out, by the way.
We do hear from the marketplace that the tax has affected the interest of buyers in the over-$10 million category. That's not first-hand, that's second and third-hand from just gossip that I'm hearing from the marketplace.
Operator
The next question comes from Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Ronald Kamdem
Hey, great. Just two quick ones.
One, and this came up earlier, just on high level, I think you've touched on just maintaining leverage, you've touched on sort of CapEx. Was just wondering if you could just put a point on it in terms of what the model says leverage looks like as sort of EBITDA comes on, as well as what the CapEx trajectory looks like.
Thanks.
Steven Roth
Michael.
Michael Franco
Morning, Ronald. From the quick reading of your report, sounds like we have a fairly wide disparity on NAV book viewpoints.
CapEx, I think I said earlier, I think it's going to be fairly consistent this year to next year just as the large amount of leases, particularly at PENN 2 and the remainder of PENN 1 get funded. Even a lot of the leases that get signed this year that won't get funded till next year and maybe even slobbers over a little bit to '28, but I think fairly consistent year-over-year.
On the leverage side, I think we'll continue to trend down into the 7s over the course of this year, and as the income comes online in the out years, obviously there's a lot that can happen between now and then, but that number could go sub-7. We think it probably will go sub-7 absent other investing, etc.
Ronald Kamdem
Great, helpful. Then I think you mentioned sort of two nonessential sales.
Was just wondering, I think in the past whether it was Hotel Penn or some of the retail assets, just any thoughts on transacting on those? Thanks so much.
Michael Franco
Hotel Penn.
Steven Roth
No, it's not Hotel Penn. Hotel Penn doesn't exist anymore.
By the way, it's a piece of land which we consider to be the best development site in the west side of Manhattan, and that's not for sale.
Operator
The next question comes from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Caitlin Burrows
Hi, good morning. Maybe a follow-up to that last one just on the planned asset sales, whatever they may be.
As we try to figure out the impact of them, those two properties, would you say they're more in the non-core bucket, i.e., potentially higher cap rate, or in the bucket of crystallizing private market valuations, i.e., lower cap rate, or some combination?
Steven Roth
One and one.
Caitlin Burrows
Got it, okay. You mentioned earlier that part of the intent is then you can keep that dry powder for offense.
I guess could you talk about your outlook for those opportunities to come up? I realize you don't have a crystal ball, but is there reason to think that more acquisition opportunities could continue to come up or is it too hard to tell at this point?
Steven Roth
The answer is we react to everything that's available in the marketplace, and we move quickly to acquire an asset that we like. The assets that we like have to be basically in our core.
They have to be on the best locations. They have to be part of the 180 million square feet that we feel is our target market, the market in which our clients want to rent space, and they have to be moneymakers.
When we see it, we act. We can't predict, we don't have a crystal ball, but we do know that there are cycles.
There are cycles and when to invest heavily, and there are cycles in what to pull back. We've been doing this for a long time, and that's our outlook on acquisitions.
By the way, the other side of that is that trees don't grow to the sky. We do have business cycles.
I don't know whether we're going to have another recession or downturn. I guess we will.
It's been a long time since we've had a downturn. There will be a downturn in the future, and we have to be prepared for it.
Now, you can't prepare for when the downturn starts. It's too late.
You have to be prepared for it ahead, and so that's what we try to do, and we always try to do. Keeping a very strong balance sheet with a ton of cash is part of our long-time business strategy.
Operator
The next question comes from Brendan Lynch with Barclays. Please go ahead.
Brendan Lynch
Great. Thanks for taking my questions.
Steve, in the past you mentioned that you're open to selling 555 California and the MART. Can you give us an update on where your considerations currently stand, and are those the two assets that you referenced earlier about being for sale?
Steven Roth
Those two assets are not the two assets. Might be one of them.
I can tell you that right now 555 California in a strong, recovering market, and Glen has done a spectacular job of leasing this market at the top-tick prices in the high-$100 a foot in the tower. That asset has plenty of room to go and is extremely strong.
That asset is only for sale at the right time and at the right price.
Brendan Lynch
Any commentary on the MART?
Steven Roth
No.
Brendan Lynch
Okay. Maybe just another topic on signage.
Is there a limit to how much signage you can add to the Penn District? I see that signage was up 5%.
Is that mostly volume or are you pushing price more aggressively?
Steven Roth
I'll start, and then Michael can finish. Basically the thing that differentiates our signage business is that our signs go with the buildings that we own.
Almost all of the people in this sector, the signage companies, they rent space to put their signs. We don't.
We own the space. Our margins obviously are much higher.
Since we own the prime space in Times Square, and we own everything in the Penn District, where there's enormous traffic, both from Madison Square Garden and the retail at Macy's and Penn Station, we own those assets. As we continue to develop in the Penn District, we will build more buildings.
We're now totally changing the entrance to the Penn District on 7th Avenue and 34th Street. We're going to tear down the older buildings, we're going to build new buildings.
Those are signage opportunities. We're going to build a tower on PENN 15, that's another signage opportunity, etc.
The answer is that we love the business. It's asset-light.
New signs go along with our new developments.
Michael Franco
Just to tack on, Brendan, yes, volume or price? Both.
The pricing has continued to go up year-over-year for the last several years. Part of what we do by having digital signs is we slice and dice those, and it's like revenue management, right?
We're optimizing how many slots we can sell and how much we can sell those for. We have both dynamics working, which is helping to propel the business, and you saw that come through this quarter.
Operator
The next question comes from Steve Sakwa with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
Steve Sakwa
Thanks. Just one quick follow-up.
On that SNO pipeline number that you gave of 180 million, is there a way to bifurcate that between what's PENN 2 and what's the rest of the portfolio?
Michael Franco
I knew you weren't going to let us off so easy, Steve, without a numbers question. I would say I'm going to guess here, because I don't have the exact numbers in front of me.
Obviously, PENN 2 is a huge development that we're completing, and that income's coming online. If I had to guess, I would say probably 60% of it is PENN 2, rough cut.
Steven Roth
That guess better be right.
Michael Franco
I think it's pretty close.
Operator
There are no further questions at this time.
Steven Roth
Thank you, everybody. We're happy with this quarter.
We hope you all appreciate it, and we're even more happy with our future prospects. With having said that, thank you all for attending, and we'll see you next quarter.