Aehr Test Systems

Aehr Test Systems

50.10
EUR
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Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptJanuary 8, 2026

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Aehr Test Systems fiscal 2026 second quarter financial results conference call.

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation.

If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. Please note, this conference is being recorded.

I will now turn the conference over to your host, Jim Byers of PondelWilkinson Investor Relations. You may begin.

Jim Byers

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and welcome to Aehr Test Systems second quarter fiscal 2026 financial results conference call.

With me on today's call are Aehr Test Systems President and Chief Executive Officer Gayn Erickson and Chief Financial Officer Chris Siu. Before I turn the call over to Gayn and Chris, I'd like to cover a few quick items.

This afternoon, right after market close, Aehr Test issued a press release announcing its second quarter fiscal 2026 results. The release is available on the company's website at aehr.com.

This call is being broadcast live over the internet for all interested parties, and the webcast will be archived on the Investor Relations page of the company's website. I'd like to remind everyone that on today's call, management will be making forward-looking statements that are based on current information and estimates, and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements.

These factors are discussed in the company's most recent periodic and current reports filed with the SEC. These forward-looking statements, including guidance provided during today's call, are only valid as of this date, and Aehr Test Systems undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements.

Now with that, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Gayn Erickson, President and CEO.

Gayn Erickson

Thanks, Jim. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter fiscal '26 earnings conference call.

I'll begin with an update on the key markets we're targeting for semiconductor test and burn-in, with a particular focus on the common growth drivers we're seeing across these markets, which is namely the massive explosion of AI and data center infrastructure. After that, Chris will walk through our financial performance for the quarter, and then we'll open up the call for questions.

While second quarter revenue was softer than anticipated, we made significant progress in both wafer level burn-in and packaged part burn-in segments, and are very excited about our prospects moving forward. Based on customer forecasts recently provided to Aehr, we believe our bookings in the second half of this fiscal year will be between $60 million and $80 million, which would set the stage for a very strong fiscal '27 that begins on May 30th.

During the quarter, we made substantial progress with wafer level burn-in engagements and production installations across AI processors, flash memory, silicon photonics, gallium nitride, and hard disk drives. We're encouraged to see that one of our key growth strategies, focused on reliability solutions for the exploding demand for AI and data center infrastructure, is beginning to bear fruit.

In packaged part burn-in, we secured key new device wins for our Sonoma system, supporting high-temperature operating life qualifications for AI devices. These wins are expected to drive additional capacity at test houses, including at least one customer that has elected to move into production in late calendar '26, which we believe could result in meaningful volumes of Sonoma production systems.

In addition, in the last month, we received a very large forecast from our lead Sonoma production customer for AI ASIC production capacity. This forecast is expected to drive very strong and potentially record bookings for the company this fiscal year, and position us well for significant revenue growth next fiscal year, with their requested shipments starting in the first fiscal quarter of our next fiscal year.

Taken together, our increased visibility across multiple end markets gives us great confidence in our outlook. As a result, we're reinstating financial guidance in fiscal '26, which we'll touch on later in today's call.

Now let's talk about our key segments. Starting with our wafer level burn-in during the quarter, we expanded engagements and completed additional production installations across several end markets.

Our lead AI wafer level burn-in customer continues development of its next-generation processor and is currently discussing additional capacity with us. They're forecasting additional system and WaferPak capacity orders this fiscal year, and plan to transition to our fully integrated automated WaferPak aligner for 300 wafers.

We expect this customer to continue scaling and excited to support their growth. We also announced a strategic expansion of our partnership with ISE Labs during the quarter to deliver advanced wafer level test and burn-in services for next-generation high-performance computing and AI applications.

This partnership accelerates time to market, improves performance, and gives customers the option of either packaged part or wafer level test and burn-in for their production volumes. ISE, together with its parent company ASE, represents the world's leading outsourced semiconductor assembly and test, or OSAT, platform, serving a global roster of top-tier semiconductor customers.

As part of our benchmark evaluation program with a top-tier AI processor supplier we announced last quarter, we completed development of our new fine-pitch WaferPaks for wafer level burn-in of high-current AI processors. These are currently in test with this potential customer's processors, and are designed to validate our FOX-XP production systems for wafer level burn-in and functional test of their high-performance, high-power AI processors.

We're currently completing startup procedures such as power-up sequencing, thermal profiling, test vectors timing, and high-speed differential clocks, and expect to complete data collection this quarter. While we're demonstrating our new fine-pitch, high-current WaferPaks for this benchmark, many customers can utilize lower cost WaferPak designs if certain design-for-test rules are incorporated upfront.

These approaches reduce cost and lead time, and are especially attractive to customers focused on faster time to market or wafer level high-temp operating life qualification. We also have two additional AI processor companies planning wafer level benchmark evaluations since last quarter's earnings call.

These benchmarks typically take about 6 months, and we expect to make meaningful progress beginning this quarter. Both customers are evaluating wafer level test and burn-in as an alternative to packaged part or system level test for large, advanced AI modules that combine multiple AI accelerators and stacked high-bandwidth memory.

Moving burn-in upstream to the wafer level significantly reduces cost and yield risk by avoiding scrapping expensive substrates and memory stacks when early failures occur later in the process. We have seen estimates that show the cost of the substrate is more than a single processor, and the cost of the high-bandwidth memory is even higher.

Turning to flash memory, we completed our wafer level benchmark with a global leader in NAND flash just prior to the holidays. The customer has now taken the wafers back for further processing to validate correlation with their internal process.

This benchmark demonstrated our ability to test flash memory wafers with significantly higher parallelism and power than is possible using traditional probers and group probers from companies such as TEL or FormFactor. We've also proposed a next-generation solution enabling test of a new emerging flash memory device called high-bandwidth flash, or HBF, designed for AI workloads.

This proposed solution leverages our FOX-XP platform, WaferPaks, and AutoAligner technology, and would support single-touchdown, high-power test of 300 wafers. While development of this system would take over a year following customer commitment, we believe this represents a compelling entry point into a large and evolving memory market.

We look forward to sharing more details as this progresses. Turning to silicon photonics, we believe that silicon photonics used in data center and also chip-to-chip I/O is going to be a significant market driving production burn-in capacity for our FOX wafer level burn-in systems and WaferPaks.

Our lead customer has now firmed up its production ramp, which we expect to begin early next fiscal year. While this timing is later than previously expected, it aligns with recently announced AI processor platforms and positions us well for calendar 2026 orders and deliveries in fiscal '27.

We've also finalized a forecast with another major silicon photonics customer initially targeting data center applications with a roadmap toward optical I/O. We expect to book their initial turn-key FOX system soon, with delivery planned for May of this year.

In gallium nitride power semiconductors, we continue to support our lead production customer, though we experienced delays related to unanticipated high-voltage fault conditions that required WaferPaks and protection circuit redesigns. This delayed approximately $2 million in WaferPak shipments from last quarter into this quarter, along with some system enhancements.

Shipments have now resumed, and lessons learned have significantly strengthened our GaN power supply burn-in capability. If anyone tells you that testing and burning in full wafers of GaN power semiconductors with up to 600 volts or more is easy, don't listen to them.

We also continue to engage with multiple new production potential GaN customers and are developing WaferPaks for several new device designs that are expected to go to high-volume production for applications like data center infrastructure and power delivery, automotive electrical power distribution on both ICE and hybrid electric vehicles, and even power semiconductors used for electrical breakers. Aehr has a unique solution that can deliver full turn-key, fully automated wafer handling and probing for test and burn-in of GaN wafers in sizes from 6 to 8 inches and even 12 inches or 300 wafers.

Turning to silicon carbide, as we previously discussed, silicon carbide demand has been weighted toward the end of this fiscal year. Customers continue to be optimistic about this market and their capacity needs, but we've tried to take a very conservative stance that is mostly show us the orders before we believe them.

Our lead customer recently transitioned from 150 to 200 wafers, nearly doubling output without adding new FOX-XP systems, and supported by Aehr's proprietary WaferPaks that we developed to accommodate both 150 and 200 wafers, contacting 100% of the die on each in a single touchdown. They're now seeing additional needs for WaferPaks this year, but additional capacity for systems appears to be a year out.

We pushed out expected orders until next fiscal year from our near-term forecast, but have capacity of systems or WaferPaks to continue to support their surge capacity needs as well as our other silicon carbide customers. While electric vehicle-related demand has slowed industrywide, we remain well positioned with the most competitive wafer level burn-in solution available, and we expect to benefit when growth resumes.

In semiconductors used in data center hard disk drives, we're installing the additional FOX-CP systems for a major supplier of hard disk drives for wafer level burn-in of their special components in their drives. They've indicated plans for additional purchases later this calendar year.

While their device unit volumes are very large, the overall revenue opportunity remains modest due to short stress times and the massive parallelism achieved on our FOX-CP system and proprietary high-power WaferPak wafer contactors. Now let me talk about packaged part burn-in.

We're seeing continued momentum in packaged part qualification and production burn-in for AI processors, driving growth in our new Sonoma ultra-high-power packaged part burn-in systems and consumables. As we announced today in a separate press release, during our fiscal third quarter to date, we have received orders from multiple customers totaling more than $5.5 million for Sonoma ultra-high-power packaged part burn-in systems, including initial orders from a premier Silicon Valley test lab for our newly introduced higher power configured Sonoma system that can also support full automation.

These orders already exceed the total Sonoma orders for the entire second quarter, highlighting the accelerating demand we're seeing for packaged level burn-in of high-powered AI and compute devices. This quarter, we also secured key new device wins on the Sonoma platform for high-temp operating life qualification.

These wins are expected to drive additional capacity at test houses, with at least one customer planning to transition to production later this calendar year, generating significant system demand. Our lead packaged part burn-in production customer for AI processors continues to ramp and is forecasting substantial growth in 2026 and beyond.

Although we have not yet received the purchase order, we have received a substantial forecast from this customer for AI ASIC production capacity, with requested Sonoma production packaged part burn-in system and BIM shipments beginning in the fiscal first quarter of '27 that starts May 30th, which we expect to contribute to very strong bookings in fiscal '26 and generate significant revenue growth in fiscal '27. This customer also plans to introduce much higher power ASICs later this year, for which we are already developing the high-temp operating life qualification burn-in modules and sockets to be used on the Sonoma systems at one of the premier Silicon Valley test services companies that have many systems installed.

This AI accelerator ASIC processor is also forecasted to go to production burn-in and drive even higher volume needs for production burn-in systems downstream at the OSATs in Asia. We feel we're very well positioned with our Sonoma system for this production capacity need and believe this could drive very substantial volumes of Sonoma systems in our next fiscal year.

During the quarter, we completed development of our next-generation fully automated, higher power Sonoma system, supporting up to 2,000 watts per device. This system enables continuous flow operation, improved throughput, and seamless transition from qualification to high-volume production using the same fixtures and sockets.

These capabilities enable customers who are focused on high-temp operating life reliability testing to have a system that is fully software and hardware compatible with the Sonoma systems they have installed, which simplifies and accelerates time to market that is critical for HTOL testing of new AI processors. This Sonoma burn-in system can also simply bolt on a fully automated handler developed and sold by Aehr Test as a turn-key solution to allow hands-free operation with less than a couple of minutes of overhead per burn-in cycle, which is amazing for production burn-in needs.

We're also seeing increased demand for our lower power Echo and Tahoe packaged part burn-in systems, driven by our installed base of more than 100 systems across over 20 semiconductor companies worldwide. I'll wait for another call to discuss these systems and the markets they serve in more detail.

As stated last quarter, the rapid advancement of generative AI and the accelerating electrification of transportation and global infrastructure represent two of the most significant macro trends impacting the semiconductor industry today. These transformative forces are driving enormous growth in semiconductor demand while fundamentally increasing the performance, reliability, safety, and security requirements of the devices used across computing and data infrastructure, telecommunications networks, hard disk drive and solid-state storage solutions, electric vehicles, charging systems, and renewable energy generation.

As these applications operate at ever higher power levels and in increasingly mission-critical environments, the need for comprehensive test and burn-in has become more essential than ever. Semiconductor manufacturers are turning to advanced wafer level and packaged level burn-in systems to screen for early life failures, validate long-term reliability, and ensure consistent performance under extreme electrical and thermal stress conditions.

This growing emphasis on reliability testing reflects a fundamental shift in the industry, from simply achieving functionality to guaranteeing dependable operation throughout a product's lifetime, a requirement that continues to expand alongside the scale and complexity of next-generation semiconductor devices. This year, we're making significant progress expanding into additional key markets for our semiconductor test and burn-in solutions, including AI processors, gallium nitride power semiconductors, data storage devices, silicon photonics integrated circuits, and flash memory.

This diversification of our markets and customers is significant given our revenue concentration in silicon carbide for electric vehicles the last 2 years. This progress on key initiatives expands our total addressable market, diversifies our customer base, and provides us with new products, capabilities, and capacity, all aimed at driving revenue growth and increasing profitability.

The progress we made this quarter with a significant number of customer engagements and production installations provides improved visibility into future demand. As a result, we're reinstating guidance for the second half of fiscal '26.

For the second half of fiscal '26, which began November 29th, 2025 and ends this May 29th of '26, Aehr expects revenue between $25 million and $30 million. As stated earlier, although we're not providing formal bookings guidance, based on customer forecasts recently provided to Aehr, we believe our bookings in the second half of this fiscal year will be much higher than revenue, between $60 million and $80 million in bookings, which would set the stage for a very strong fiscal '27 that begins on May 30th of 2026.

With that, let me turn it over to Chris, and then we'll open up the lines for questions.

Chris Siu

Thank you, Gayn, and good afternoon, everyone. I'll begin with bookings and backlog, then walk through our second quarter financial performance, cash position, outlook, and investor activity.

The company recognized bookings of $6.2 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, compared to $11.4 million in the first quarter. At the end of the quarter, our backlog was $11.8 million.

Importantly, during the first 6 weeks of the third quarter, we received an additional $6.5 million in bookings. This increase was driven primarily by an order from a premier Silicon Valley test lab for our newly introduced high-power configured Sonoma system, which we announced this afternoon.

Including these recent bookings, our effective backlog has now grown to $18.3 million, providing increased visibility as we move through the remainder of fiscal 2026. Turning to our second quarter results, revenue was $9.9 million, down 27% from $13.5 million in the prior year period.

The decline was primarily driven by lower shipments of WaferPaks, partially offset by stronger demand for our Sonoma systems from our hyperscaler customer. Contactor revenues, which include WaferPaks for our wafer level burn-in business and BIMs and BIPs for our packaged part burn-in business, totaled $3.4 million, representing 35% of total revenue.

This compares to $8.6 million, or 64% of revenue, in the second quarter last year. Non-GAAP gross margin for the second quarter was 29.8%, compared with 45.3% a year ago.

The year-over-year decline reflects lower overall sales volume and a less favorable product mix, as last year's quarter included a higher proportion of higher margin WaferPak revenue. Non-GAAP operating expenses in the second quarter were $5.7 million, down 4% from $5.9 million in Q2 last year.

The decrease was primarily due to lower personnel-related expenses, which were partially offset by higher research and development costs, including higher project spending as we continue to invest resources in AI benchmark initiatives and memory-related programs. As previously announced, we successfully closed the Incal facility on May 30th, 2025, and completed the consolidation of personnel and manufacturing into Aehr's Fremont facility at the end of fiscal 2025.

During the quarter, we negotiated an early lease termination with the landlord, reducing our obligation by 5 months of rent. As a result, we recorded a reversal of $213,000 related to a previously accrued one-time restructuring charge.

During the quarter, we recorded an income tax benefit of $1.2 million, resulting in an effective tax rate of 27.3%. Non-GAAP net loss for the quarter, which excludes the impact of stock-based compensation, acquisition-related adjustments, and restructuring charges, was $1.3 million, or -$0.04 per diluted share, compared to net income of $0.7 million, or $0.02 per diluted share, in the second quarter of fiscal 2025.

Turning to cash flow, we used $1.2 million in operating cash during the second quarter. We ended the quarter with $31 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, up from $24.7 million at the end of Q1.

The increase was primarily due to proceeds from our at-the-market equity program. As a reminder, in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, we filed a new $100 million S-3 shelf registration that was approved by the SEC for 3 years, followed by an ATM offering of up to $40 million.

During the second quarter of fiscal 2026, we raised $10 million in gross proceeds through the sale of about 384,000 shares. At quarter end, $30 million remained available under the ATM.

We intend to utilize the ATM selectively, with a disciplined approach focused on market conditions and shareholder value. Looking ahead to the second half of fiscal 2026, which began on November 29th, 2025 and ends on May 29th, 2026, we expect total revenue between $25 million to $30 million, and non-GAAP net loss per diluted share between -$0.09 and -$0.05 for the 6-month period.

On the investor relations front, last month on December 17, 2025, Lake Street Capital initiated research coverage on Aehr Test, along with equity research firm Freedom Broker, which initiated coverage last June. There are now a total of four research firms covering the company.

Lastly, looking at the investor relations calendar, we will meet with investors at the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference in New York on Tuesday, January 13th, and then return to New York in February for the 15th Annual Susquehanna Technology Conference on Thursday, February 26th. We'll also be participating virtually in the Oppenheimer Emerging Growth Conference on Tuesday, February 3rd.

We hope to see you at these conferences. That concludes our prepared remarks.

We're now happy to take your questions. Operator, please go ahead.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session.

If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue.

You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys.

One moment please while we poll for questions. Once again, please press star one if you have a question or comment.

Our first question comes from Christian Schwab with Craig-Hallum. Please proceed.

Christian Schwab

Hey, Gayn. Thanks for all the details on the call.

What wasn't clear to me exactly is on the potential booking strength of $60 million to $80 million in the second half of this fiscal year is that almost entirely on the AI accelerator processor line?

Gayn Erickson

There's some silicon carbide, not much, not very much at all. There is some silicon photonics, for sure.

The bulk of it is across wafer level and packaged part burn-in for AI processors, yes.

Christian Schwab

Perfect. Then given that such a material bookings from the AI processor market, can you give us any indication or idea, I know we've talked about the opportunity in that marketplace being bigger than silicon carbide, but let's narrow it down to kind of a multi-year timeframe kind of including '27 and '28.

Do you see that business after initial orders expanding meaningfully from there?

Gayn Erickson

We do. We've been taking a pretty conservative stance on how large particularly the AI on the wafer level side of it is.

Conservative may not be fair. Candidly, we're still trying to get our arms around how big it is.

What we get is visibility of a specific GPU or CPU or network processor or an ASIC. Then we hear these things from the customer, and then we look externally, and what are they telling the Street, and try and correlate to those lookups.

I'd say pretty consistently we hear bigger numbers from the customer than the Street, not sure what that all means, okay. Then as they give us test time estimates of what the burn-in conditions are, we can start to put some numbers around it.

A single processor, for some of these big guys at wafer level burn-in is 20, 30 systems or so. These are $4 million, $5 million machines.

You get a feel for the size of what that looks like. Today, if you were to look at AI spend between test and burn-in, is it $8 billion, $10 billion, maybe $15 billion or so?

It's a really large number. We don't want to get ahead of ourselves here, but when customers ask you things like how many can you make?

[Laughter] Gives you a hint, right? Can the AI business be measured in hundreds of millions of dollars for Aehr Test a few years out?

Yes, for sure. Now what's interesting is that I think it's an awesome position to be in because the Sonoma system is a highly preferred system for HTOL, the high-temp operating life reliability testing for these AI processors.

It has the largest installed base in all the test houses around the world. We're getting people that approach us because I don't want to say we're the de facto standard, that's probably bold, but we have more capacity than everybody else, and therefore they're saying you're kind of the go-to guy, I like those words.

We can build lots of them. Customers are using that, and we get a front row seat to actually bring them up.

Then we say, 'Oh, by the way, if you want, you can take this machine, add production handling to it, and do production on it.' In the meantime, if you come to our facility and you do a tour and you can see that production test cell for the Sonoma automation, we, of course, will walk you by a FOX wafer level burn-in test cell, [laughter] and mention, 'Oh, by the way, that happens to be doing a benchmark on a 300 wafer.

We can't tell you who it is.' They're like, 'Whoa, whoa, what is that?'

We're in a position to be able to talk about both of them. The ASPs are actually higher on the wafer level side of things, but the value proposition way outweighs that because the yield advantage of doing it at wafer level.

The yield savings dwarfs any of the cost to test at wafer level burn-in. As we get our arms around the market, the market data that would be out there would be packaged part, because no one's doing wafer level except for us.

We're creating our own models related to, okay, for that unit capacity, if you went to wafer level burn-in, what would that look like? Kind of similar to what we had to go through in the original silicon carbide side of things.

We're not sitting here, if everybody included Nvidia and Google and Microsoft and Tesla, and these guys all went with us, how big is that market? We haven't even tried to put our arms around that yet, but it's substantial.

Christian Schwab

Great. Then I guess one last question, if I may, and follow up on your comment about capacity.

How many systems do you think you're capable of manufacturing in a year for wafer level?

Gayn Erickson

We have talked to customers about capacities exceeding 20 systems a month at either package or wafer level. If we had to, we could ship 20 systems a month of each during this calendar year.

Now that's bigger than our forecast by a lot. When people are saying could you do something like this and intercept something, it's like if they gave you an order for 50 or 100 Sonomas, how long is it going to take you to build them?

Makes sense?

Christian Schwab

Makes perfect sense. No other questions.

Thanks, Gayn.

Gayn Erickson

You're welcome.

Operator

The next question comes from Jed Dorsheimer with William Blair. Please proceed.

Gayn Erickson

Hey, Jed. Oop, Jed?

We got you on mute, Jed.

Jed Dorsheimer

Oh, okay. I was that guy.

Anyways, you got me now, Gayn. All right.

Yep. All right.

Thanks for taking my question. I guess maybe just to start on the wafer level, I think your prior comments around the timing of the benchmark, it seems like that's taken a little bit longer.

I'm just wondering, is it because it's new and what you're seeing from the customer is that they're changing parameters that's extending that out? Because I think you'd maybe talked about by February timeframe, and we're almost, we're a

Gayn Erickson

Jed, do you want me to throw my customer under the bus? Is that what you're trying to tell me?

Jed Dorsheimer

All right,

Gayn Erickson

no. Let me answer that.

No, I got it. No, it's totally fair, okay.

What I do in all of these things is try and describe exactly what we feel, what we know, what we knew at the time. One of the things that's very interesting and fun about this particular customer, who is a very notable customer, okay.

When they gave us, and I don't think I'm overstating, when they gave us the vectors, the test vectors, etc., they were giving it off of a platform from package level, okay. Package and wafer are different.

We had a huge arm wrestle with them related to what they could actually do at wafer level, and ultimately were able to demonstrate to them significant DFT, lower pin count modes, etc., to be able to do it at wafer level, which was a big deal because they'd never understood that because, of course, nobody's ever done this before but us, okay. I'll just leave it at this.

They actually gave us some things that were implied based upon package that weren't totally applicable to wafer level, and we struggled with some of that. It turns out, it actually did delay a little bit.

I think it's mutually understood. It's like, 'Oh, sorry.

We were thinking package. We forget about wafer and sort.'

That's a growing thing. We've seen this with other customers.

On the very first time you're doing wafer level burn-in, you just don't think about it from the challenges or the differences at what happens when you're talking about a device that shares common substrates or from a probing environment. Is it longer?

Maybe a little bit, measured in weeks or a couple months or something. Some of the things that mechanically, wafer, physical contact to the device, using our AutoAligner to pack these new fine-pitch WaferPaks, the test plan itself, the vectors, those things were all going along pretty well.

I wish it was a little bit sooner, but I think we're still very much on track to try and get them some data over the next couple months here, or even maybe even this month. Now the question, of course, parlays into what do they do with it?

What's the timing? Do you understand what device they want to cut in?

We do. We're not going to share that with you guys.

Are we going to make it? There's lots of reasons to actually want to cut in wafer level burn-in, and the sooner the better.

We're really excited about this particular one. Then now we've got another couple of guys that are saying, 'Pick me, pick me, too,' and are generating the information to give us so that we can actually do design reviews and walk through a WaferPak design for them as well.

Jed Dorsheimer

Got it. That's helpful, thanks.

I just wanted to address that potential of cannibalization between package and wafer level. If I read through your comments, it seems like the AI processor is what's moving along with this customer on the wafer level.

You had mentioned briefly, actually, on the ASIC side, are you anticipating that the ASICs basically run with package level and that AI processors are wafer level, or are you anticipating both at wafer level? Thanks.

Gayn Erickson

Okay. Vocabulary for everybody that's listening out there, right?

When you talk about processors in the AI, arguably there's even maybe at least two or three different broad flavors of them, okay? You're going to have the actual GPU, if it's an Nvidia, or ASIC when you talk about everybody else's.

In reality, the GPU is kind of an ASIC, and Nvidia, too, Jensen said that at one point. These are AI accelerator platforms, okay?

Then they can be used for large language models or for inference-type things. There's also processors like CPUs, like Intel or Grace or Vera-type CPUs, and others that are making them that are also going through a burn-in process.

Then you could argue there's even network processors and things like that. Generally when we talk about AI processors, we're generally in the CPU and GPU-type or ASIC-type that are combined together in these AI processor clusters.

Things like you hear a GB200 is Grace CPU and two Blackwell AI accelerators in one package, if you will, or in one cluster. What's happening with the roadmap is that devices are going from a single AI accelerator or CPU in a package to a package that includes embedded memory, like high-bandwidth memory and high-bandwidth flash over time, and then to having more than one compute chip in it, having two processors in it or four or eight, like you look at the Intel or the AMD roadmap.

Everyone has a roadmap to two or four or more AI processors on a single substrate. What's happening is that the qualification of those are all done today in a full package, the whole device in a big substrate is done, and it can take months to even go to get the packaging to qual that.

There are people that would like to be able to qual the processor inside when it's still in wafer form, okay. From a production perspective, the value proposition is you're burning in these devices, and when they fail, you take out the other compute chip and all the memory plus the CoWoS substrate, which costs more than the silicon of the compute chip itself.

The roadmap is getting more intense. There's people that are like, 'Oh, I want to evaluate this for this device.

This would make sense. Boy, that next one makes twice as much sense, and the one next to that is four times as much sense,' because of this evolution.

A lot of times we discuss, okay, is there a window? Like what happens if you just miss this one device?

It doesn't feel like that. It's a treadmill of you can always step on.

The customers are like, 'Okay, how do I cut you in?' I've said publicly that our large packaged part production customer, we've talked about them as an ASIC hyperscaler, they're actually on Sonoma production.

We're qualifying their next device that's going to go to production, we believe, and hope it'll go on Sonoma as well, okay. The third one, they're giving us design files of so we can make sure that Sonoma is ready for that, but they've also said, 'You know what, by then maybe we want to consider FOX wafer level burn-in.'

The interesting thing is it's like, 'Well, what will you do with all the package systems from us?' Who cares?

It's like, 'What?' Because if I could move it to wafer level, I don't need to do it at package anymore.

Now will it cut over just like that? We'll see.

I think the world's going to be both for a long time, and we're in a great position to do both. Is there cannibalization?

For sure. We had a customer come in who wanted to talk about what we thought was packaged part burn-in.

Alberto, our VP over the packaged part business, and I met with them, and 15 minutes into the meeting, he goes, 'I'd like to talk about wafer level.' [Laughter] Alberto looked over at me, and I'm like, 'Okay, new slides,' it's like.

At least we've got both, and we're in a great position. Actually I'd say it's all three: we do the high-temp operating life today only at package, over time at wafer level, and we do production burn-in at either package or wafer level.

A great front row seat.

Jed Dorsheimer

Gayn, that's helpful. I'll jump back in the queue.

Thanks.

Gayn Erickson

Thanks, Jed.

Operator

The next question comes from Max Michaelis with Lake Street Capital. Please proceed.

Gayn Erickson

Hey, Max.

Max Michaelis

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question.

First one for me, just around the bookings guide. I know you previously shared that majority of around AI, but just given the distinction between the low end and the high end, if we just take the midpoint around $70 million, to get to that $80 million, is that all basically around AI, or does that suggest any improvement around silicon carbide or GaN?

Gayn Erickson

It's the least in that number is silicon carbide, okay? Then GaN's pretty close.

Hard disk drives a little bigger, then silicon photonics is a chunk. We've got production systems in there for our lead customer.

We have a new customer that wants a system. They want it shipped by May.

We're suggesting to them that they really should get their order in before we ship it. Joke, joke.

I'm kidding. It's a challenge right now because they're like, 'Please, please build it.'

We actually have a system on our floor, and if they get their PO in, if you're listening, you get to get it, if not, we'll give it to the next guy. Anyhow, and then it would be wafer level burn-in, and then I think package is the biggest.

Wafer level burn-in of AI, [laughter] and then packaged part AI is the biggest.

Max Michaelis

Okay. That just suggests that $60 million to $80 million, the $80 million suggests just greater volume orders from wafer level burn-in and packaged part.

Okay. Then lastly, I haven't had time to run through the entire press release, but that $5.5 million order you noted in your prepared remarks, can you share some more detail on that?

Is there anything new that we should be looking for, or is this just kind of standard?

Gayn Erickson

It has a mix of some customers that already had Sonomas that were buying more, that were AI-related. It had burn-in modules that was important because it was for a new design of a really expected to be high runner that's going to production.

It has a big order from what we call our premier Silicon Valley test services company, we'll leave it at that. They actually bought a number of the new Sonoma configurations, which are the very high power ones that allow them to go to 2,000 watts.

We have some devices that we're going to be testing this spring that are almost 2,000 watts per device, right? Everybody's out there talking about what does it take to get to 1,000 watts?

We're jumping right past that. This is in a high-volume Sonoma system, they'll be able to test a large number of devices in that system, and I think the number is I should know this number, I think it's 44 devices, but it's a large number of devices to be able to test those.

By the way, it's either 22 or 44, I should know that. Sorry, folks.

Have to go through the math on that particular application because of the number of resources and power supplies and things. It's the biggest part we've seen that's in development, and that's going to be going to production.

That's a big deal. It's a combination of several different orders, and every one of them is kind of sort of strategic to us.

Max Michaelis

All right. Thanks for taking my questions.

Gayn Erickson

You're welcome. Thanks, Max.

Operator

The next question comes from Larry Chlebina with Chlebina Capital. Please proceed.

Gayn Erickson

Hey, Larry.

Larry Chlebina

Gayn afternoon, Gayn. We try to line up your ramp or at least your demand for the systems that you're working on developing for these customers on the AI processors with what's publicly disclosed in terms of the product launch.

Is there a case where they may start up on packaged part maybe wherever they have the capacity to do that, and then when they feel comfortable, maybe if it's after the product's launched, would they cut over to wafer level burn-in because it's so much more efficient and saves them money? Would they do that or would they just do it initially on a brand new product launch at the beginning?

Do you have a sense of that?

Gayn Erickson

There's two things in there. What I definitely see happening is we know for a fact a customer was doing system-level or rack test, okay?

The only time they identified infant mortality or early life failures was when it's installed in the data center, pretty nasty, okay? That's tester, not burn-in.

They said, 'Well, we'll run it for 2 weeks, and if it hasn't died, we'll accept it,' kind of thing, and then they'll actually plug it into the network. Pretty expensive way of doing it.

Then there were companies like AEM and Advantest and Teradyne that have talked about system-level test machines, which is a type of ATE machine that is designed to be doing a high-speed insertion and boot up like the operating system. It's a great way to do a very high degree of test coverage for a specific application.

People were saying, 'Oh, we're going to do burn-in with that.' Those systems are designed for high speed, they're designed to be at the user mode, they're designed to run cold, they're not really designed for burn-in, and they're quite expensive and large.

The market was pulling on that because it's sure better than doing it in a rack. There wasn't another system available in what a lot of people refer to us as ovens, which is a large-scale system that you put lots of burn-in modules or trays with lots of devices and test all at once.

Those were like from KYCS or maybe 600 watts and below or something, and there really wasn't a tool out there for that. This is where Sonoma was pulled up because we were doing Incal was using it for high-temp operating life, but it's like, 'Well, wait a minute, can I use that in production?

Can you add automation? Can you do these things, support, and can you quadruple or 50x your capacity?'

That's where Sonoma is coming in. When Sonoma enters that market, doing system-level test or rack test makes no sense whatsoever.

It's highly competitive as that. Now, having said that, wafer level burn-in is even better.

A lot of people may say, 'Well, I need to think through that, where do I put that insertion, I might need to implement some design-for-test modes to be able to implement it, at least to take advantage of the very low cost, full wafer contactors from Aehr Test and things like that.' I think it's an evolution.

I think the conversation we have with customers is they're like, 'I need packaged part burn-in. Let's talk about that.

Boy, wafer level burn-in would be better. How do we engage on that?'

Then specifically on a per-customer basis, I don't want to get too carry away with our strategy, but if you have an install base of something, a packaged part burn-in system, I could go in and displace you with maybe Sonoma, but it's probably better for me to go displace you with wafer level burn-in, because it's not even a price thing in that sense, it's yield, it's capacity. It depends on the customer, and we have some customers that have some devices they want to think about wafer level, some they want to think about package, some they want to think about package and then eventually wafer level over time.

I hope that wasn't As I look back, that was pretty confusing, but it's an evolution of it, and guess what we do? The customer's always right.

You tell me what you want, and we're in.

Larry Chlebina

If all these evaluations they have going on with wafer level burn-in, if it takes longer and the product ends up getting launched, would they still cut over to some portion of the production on wafer level burn-in once it's proven out for the particular product or would they do that midstream, or would they

Gayn Erickson

I think it depends. It's not a slam dunk.

I think traditionally, people will start a product and do the release of that one product on one test platform or something, and then you cut in on the next one. I think that'd be fair to say, but there are certain devices we know that they're intended application, there's two or three different applications for it.

For a large language model, maybe they think about it one way, but if it's going to be automotive, then that's a different thing, right? Even within a product, there might be an evolution, or they get by until they can implement wafer level burn-in.

That particularly comes in the fact when you think about a multichip module, right? As soon as you could do wafer level burn-in, if I could save you 1% yield per die on a four-die AI processor that has a $15,000 BOM, of course you would do that, right?

Larry Chlebina

So, I would, but I'm not sure if they would.

Gayn Erickson

We're trying to be as open as we can. We know as much as we know, but there's definitely advantages to do wafer level.

Ultimately, that's kind of the best place you could ever do it. If you implement some DFT and you implement some of the things we do, I can build you a WaferPak in 8 weeks, have you on wafer.

Larry Chlebina

To shift gears, on the flash benchmark that you completed right now a little bit ago before the holidays, when do you expect the customer to get back to you? More importantly, when do you expect them to come with an order?

[Laughter] Order.

Gayn Erickson

I was waiting for somebody. That's where my head's at, too.

My guess is, Larry, next couple months or so for them really to get back, depending on how they The wafer is going back to test, which is tested at wafer. I don't think they're going to package it up and go through some stress qualification, that might be something, but we've already had some design reviews with them on our new tester, and planted the seeds.

They were very impressed, is how I would describe it. The big shift here was when we even started this thinking to do the benchmark with them, which is what, like a year ago, okay, if I get that right,

Larry Chlebina

Over a year, year and a half ago.

Gayn Erickson

Fair enough, right? When we were starting to even build up to get the design files and what wafer we were going to be testing with them, it was not aimed at high-bandwidth flash, because that didn't even exist, okay?

They were looking at it for commodity data center SSDs. Now with a HBF, it broke their infrastructure: the power supplies, I/O pins, etc., and parallelism.

Now they have a power problem, which we love. We're good at power, people that have power problems, that's music to our ears.

Yeah.

Larry Chlebina

If I recall, you originally said the driver, their motivation was as the 3D NANDs got higher levels of They're even talking about getting to the 400 level

Gayn Erickson

Layers, layers, yes, yes. layers,

Larry Chlebina

that required more power and exceeded the power on their existing systems, so that they need your high-power So here we are a year and a half later, and so how are they getting by at this point? Don't they need your high power?

Are people building for enterprise flash?

Gayn Erickson

They can't test the whole wafer in one touchdown, as an example, right? That what I described there, which if you follow along with that, that was actually referred to as hybrid bonded flash, same letters, by the way, okay.

Hybrid bonded flash was a novel idea that the base substrate layer was logic done on a logic process, and then you build up just the stacked memory, and you do that in a memory process, and then you bond them together. The result of it is that memory stack is a taller building with a smaller footprint, you get more die per wafer, that's good, right?

The power was much higher. HBF as in high-bandwidth flash is in some ways architecturally similar, except for it's more power because of its speed, and it has additional power supplies, and it's taller, it actually is even more of a problem for them, which, I guess if you're a tester guy, the bigger the problem, you have more to solve.

We had to go back and redesign the tester because we were originally aiming it at the other device.

Larry Chlebina

I would think they would need more capacity for the enterprise flash part of it before they ever start needing something for HBF. The enterprise flash, I'm wondering, when is something going to happen there?

It seems like it's overdue.

Gayn Erickson

Our goal in this case would be we had originally hoped to finish the benchmark at the end of last year, okay, we're 6 months later. I think as I shared with you, if you read through all of the notes, around March, it was like it felt like you're pushing a rope.

Something was going on. If you knew who the company was, you'd read the press, what was going on, okay?

What really happened is they kind of shifted from enterprise-focused to HBF. That slowed some things down in terms of even reviewing our tester.

Then they came back to us in the summer, and we're like, 'Okay, here's the new tester we'd like.' For people that are tapping your fingers, it's taking a long time, but that's part of what happened there.

At this point, again, we walked up, they thought we were just going to take their wafer and stick it into one of our NPs with a manual setup, and we showed them a fully integrated machine. They walked up, and we put their wafer in a FOUP, put the FOUP onto the Sierra automated WaferPak aligner, ran the wafer, it opened up the blade, put the wafer in the WaferPak, put the WaferPak in the blade, closed the blade, ran the test, gave them the results.

It's pretty impressive.

Larry Chlebina

They saw you're ready to go for production, seems like they're going to need more capacity based on everything that's going on in the memory market.

Gayn Erickson

Exactly. Right now they're all flush with margins.

How's that, right? I agree, as people that follow, Larry is our greatest cheerleader along with me in memory strategy for us.

We are spending money, okay? As part of, as Chris alludes to, well, at these revenue levels, we're not happy with these revenue levels, right?

We're not making money at these levels. We would be making more money.

We're spending money. We got our foot on the gas, and, in fact, it's our expectation that we'll increase the R&D spend, particularly in the AI wafer level burn-in, a little bit in the package because we've spent a lot of money on that in just this last year for package, getting this new product out, and then the memory system, which will be a blade in our FOX system, basically.

Larry Chlebina

It should be yeah, it should pay off. It's awfully soon, sooner rather than later, huh?

Gayn Erickson

I vote yes, too. As a shareholder, I think it's good money to be spent.

Yep.

Larry Chlebina

That's all I had. Thanks, Gayn.

Gayn Erickson

Thank you, Larry.

Operator

Again, if there are any remaining questions, please indicate so by pressing star one on your touchtone phone. I'm showing no further questions in the queue.

I would like to turn the call back to management for closing remarks.

Gayn Erickson

Thank you, operator, and thank you, everybody. We really appreciate you guys taking the time to spend an hour with us.

I think wrapped that exactly again, and we'll keep you guys updated. Stay tuned.

We're really excited about this, and hope that the orders will come in shortly enough to be able to make this less dramatic as we go forward, and set us up for a really strong year heading into next year. Appreciate it.

If you are in town, we are in Fremont, California, near Silicon Valley, give us a call, set something up, come by take a look at the facility if you haven't seen our tools. They're very impressive, and you can get a feel of the capacity, because we have a lot of systems on the manufacturing line right now.

Take care, and Happy New Year to everybody.

Operator

This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.