Operator
Good morning. My name is Nick, and I will be your conference specialist.
At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the BorgWarner 2026 second quarter results conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode.
Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions.
If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star one on your telephone. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star two.
If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before asking your question. I would now like to turn the call over to Patrick Nolan, Vice President of Investor Relations.
Mr. Nolan, you may begin your conference.
Patrick Nolan
Thank you, Nick. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today.
We issued our earnings release earlier this morning. It's posted on our website, borgwarner.com, both on our home page and on our Investor Relations home page.
With regard to our Investor Relations calendar, we will be attending investor conferences between now and our next earnings release. Please see the Events section of our Investor Relations home page for a full list.
Before we begin, I need to inform you that during this call, we may make forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties as detailed in our 10-K. Our actual results may differ significantly from the matters discussed today.
In addition, during today's presentation, we'll highlight certain non-GAAP measures in order to provide a clearer picture about the core business performance and for comparison purposes with prior periods. When you hear us say adjusted, that means excluding non-comparable items.
When you hear us say organic, that means excluding the impact of FX and net M&A. We will also refer to our incremental margin performance.
Our incremental margin is defined as the organic change in our adjusted operating income divided by the organic change in our sales. We will also refer to our growth compared to our market.
When you hear us say market, that means the change in light vehicle production weighted for our geographic exposure. Please note that we've posted today's earnings call presentation to the IR page of our website.
We encourage you to follow along with these slides during our discussion. With that, I'm happy to turn the call over to Joe.
Joe Fadool
Thank you, Pat, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to share our results for the second quarter of 2026 and provide an overall company update starting on slide 5.
I want to begin by thanking our employees, customers, and suppliers for all of their trust, efforts, and continued support. In the quarter, we achieved sales of over $3.6 billion.
Excluding the decline in our Battery and Energy Systems segment, our organic net sales were up modestly year-over-year, outperforming the decline in market production primarily due to strong North American transfer case volumes. Our adjusted operating margin, adjusted earnings per share, and cash flow performance was strong in the quarter.
The company continued to operate at a very high level and delivered 100 basis points of adjusted margin expansion and 17% of earnings per share growth in a relatively flat year-over-year sales environment. This outstanding result was once again driven by our focus on cost controls across our business.
I'm excited to report that our strong award activity continued into the second quarter. Today, I'll highlight seven new business awards across our foundational and e-product portfolios.
These wins represent only a portion of the awards secured during the quarter, but I believe they underscore the strength of our technology-focused portfolio, our deep customer relationships, and the global demand for our efficient powertrain technologies around the globe. Equally exciting is the progress we've made in the quarter in taking meaningful steps in our product readiness across our data center and other industrial markets portfolio.
I will share a detailed update in a few moments. Lastly, we remained focused on efficient deployment of capital to drive shareholder value.
In the quarter, we returned approximately $134 million to shareholders through share repurchases and payment of a cash dividend. Additionally, our Board of Directors approved a $1 billion increase to our current share repurchase authorization, increasing our authorization to $1.35 billion, or approximately 10% of BorgWarner's market cap.
These actions demonstrate our confidence in the long-term cash-generating ability of our business and our focus on driving shareholder value through a balanced capital allocation approach. As I look back on the second quarter and the first half of 2026, I'm very proud of our team and our results.
Once again, we executed at a very high level, which I believe puts the company in strong position to achieve our full year sales, margin, EPS, and free cash flow guidance. Our strong first half performance has also allowed the company to increase our second half 2026 industrial R&D investment to accelerate our product readiness.
We are doing this while delivering on our full year 2026 financial commitments. Turning to slide 6, I'd like to highlight seven recent product awards that demonstrate both the competitiveness of our technology and our ability to support our customers' powertrain needs in key markets.
Let's start with our foundational product awards. First, BorgWarner has been awarded a new e-Turbo program with a major European OEM for an advanced hybrid passenger car application, further strengthening BorgWarner's leading position in electrified boosting technologies.
Production is scheduled to begin in 2029. I believe BorgWarner's e-Turbo innovation and leadership remains a core technology underpinning the industrial power generation product line, leveraging our automotive scale to disrupt the data center market.
Second, BorgWarner has secured new business with a Chinese OEM to supply our torque-on-demand transfer case with mechanical lock for a newly developed full-size SUV in China. We have built a 20-year relationship with this customer, and we're proud to continue supplying our all-wheel drive technology for their newest SUV.
Start of production is planned for the fourth quarter of 2026. Third, BorgWarner continues to expand its variable cam timing business with new program awards in Europe and China.
These programs include a program life extension and significant volume increase for a leading European premium OEM's V6 engine family, and a conquest win for a major Chinese OEM's 1.5-liter turbocharged gasoline engine family, replacing the previous incumbent supplier. These awards underscore the long-term competitiveness of our VCT portfolio across both hybrid and combustion engines.
Switching now to our recent e-product awards. First, BorgWarner has secured a new integrated drive module award with a global OEM.
This iDM features BorgWarner's latest 3-in-1 integrated coaxial drive system, combining an advanced e-motor, gearbox, and fully integrated Gen 4 inverter in a compact high-performance package. I believe this award reflects BorgWarner's continued commitment to delivering advanced electrified drive solutions through the strength of our global technology portfolio and localized capabilities.
Production is expected to begin in 2027. Second, BorgWarner has secured a major extension of two high-volume, high-voltage inverter programs with a major European OEM.
These awards cover updated inverter designs for both plug-in hybrid and 800-volt battery electric vehicle applications, building on a trusted partnership in power electronics. I believe that extending several high-volume programs at the same time confirms BorgWarner's leading position in power electronics and the strength of our technology, in-house expertise, and customer focus.
Evolving our inverters generation by generation together with our customers for both hybrid and fully electric applications is how we build trusted, long-term partnerships with the world's leading OEMs. Production is expected to begin in 2029.
Importantly, all the e-product awards I just highlighted include BorgWarner's inverter technology, and it speaks to the world-class technology leadership and scale BorgWarner has in high-powered inverters. This expertise has been developed over decades of engineering efforts and represents our product leadership in this area.
Our automotive inverter competence is another great example of a world-class technology that BorgWarner can use as we continue to advance our product readiness to capture additional growth vectors outside of our core automotive markets. As I will discuss in a moment, the world is in need for more power, and our highly efficient inverter is a solution that solves this growing problem.
Next, on slide 7, I would like to discuss the acceleration of our product readiness across our data center and other industrial markets portfolio. Let's discuss with an update on our turbine generator launch progress.
I'm very pleased with the advancements that we've made over the past quarter. First, I'm excited to share that our testing has confirmed that we have achieved CARB-level emission standards.
I view this as an important milestone as we continue to expect our turbine generator to provide a lower emission solution relative to competing technologies. Our UL compliance process continues to progress well.
UL component certification is expected to start in September, and our component-level evidence books have already been submitted. Construction of the final assembly plant is quickly moving forward, with the footprint largely complete.
We expect our capital equipment installation to begin in the third quarter, and overall, I'm excited and pleased with the team's progress, which will position us well to meet the strong interest that we continue to see from end customers, including multiple hyperscalers. Turning next to our battery energy storage system.
Our energy storage solutions are intended to support a range of use cases in data center environments. We continue to position our battery energy storage solutions to support data center, AI, and mechanical loads.
Our product scope spans the entire energy power time requirement spectrum, offering high-energy long-duration and/or high-power short-duration solutions. We are working to widen our portfolio, which includes DC blocks, uninterruptible power supplies, high-power racks, and controls.
Our solutions are modular, scalable, and cell chemistry independent. Customer validation and UL compliance is advancing, and we expect to be production ready in 2027.
Our quoting activity for our battery energy storage systems continues, and I look forward to providing you with additional updates later this year. Turning to our microgrid inverter offerings.
Initial customer feedback has been extremely positive. We believe that we have the right value proposition, including US manufacturing and supply chain.
Our automotive supply chain is increasingly being viewed as a differentiator, and our decades-long experience in highly engineered, high-voltage, power-dense, and liquid-cooled power electronics is recognized and confirmed by potential customers. Four customers now have BorgWarner samples, and discussions with other potential customers are underway.
With feedback already being received, we are quickly moving to develop Gen 2 designs. While we continue to see the move toward 800 volts supporting our entry into this market, we have now begun to develop a high-power portfolio spanning applications ranging from 400 volts to 1500 volts, as we see potential for volumes across this spectrum.
I look forward to progressing toward customer quoting later this year. To summarize, I believe there are three key takeaways from today's call.
First, BorgWarner's second quarter results were outstanding. Our sales remained strong at over $3.6 billion.
Our adjusted operating margin expanded 100 basis points, and adjusted EPS grew by 17% through the second quarter of 2025. Additionally, we increased our full year adjusted EPS guidance, reflecting our continued focus on growing the earnings power of the company.
Second, we announced seven new business awards across our portfolio in the quarter, which we believe further demonstrates our focus on product leadership and the need for a highly engineered solutions across combustion, hybrid, and BEV architectures. Third, we further improved our product readiness across our data center and other industrial markets portfolio.
We see strong customer demand and are confident that our mechanical and electronic core competencies will enable us to successfully capture growth outside of our core automotive market. This confidence and our strong first half 2026 performance has allowed us to increase our second half industrial R&D spending to further accelerate our industrial product readiness.
Finally, we took meaningful steps to return capital to shareholders during the second quarter, with approximately $134 million returned through our cash dividend and share repurchases. Additionally, the $1 billion increase to our share repurchase authorization and $1.35 billion total authorization demonstrates our commitment to following a disciplined approach of consistently returning cash to shareholders to create value.
Overall, I believe our year-to-date results illustrate the strength of our team, our product portfolio, and the long-term earnings power of our business. I'm excited to continue our positive momentum into the second half of 2026.
With that, I will turn the call over to Craig.
Craig Aaron
Thank you, Joe, and good morning, everyone. I'm excited to share the details of our second quarter financials by turning to slide 8 for a look at our year-over-year sales bridge.
Last year's Q2 sales were just over $3.6 billion. In the second quarter of this year, stronger foreign currencies drove a year-over-year increase in sales of $54 million.
Then, you can see the sales headwind from our battery business, which drove a year-over-year decrease in sales of $62 million. The remaining organic sales increase of $18 million, 0.5%, was modestly ahead of the decline in light vehicle market production for the quarter.
This increase was primarily driven by transfer case outgrowth in North America. Ultimately, sales were relatively flat year-over-year and remained strong at over $3.6 billion.
Turning to slide 9, you can see our earnings and cash flow performance for the quarter. Our second quarter adjusted operating income was $413 million, equating to a strong 11.3% adjusted operating margin.
That compares to adjusted operating income of $373 million, or a 10.3% adjusted operating margin from a year ago. The exit of our charging business in 2025 increased operating income by $7 million year-over-year.
Excluding this benefit and FX impacts, adjusted operating income increased $28 million on $44 million of lower sales. This strong year-over-year performance benefited from ongoing cost reduction actions that our teams continue to take across our business.
Equally exciting was every business unit expanded operating margins in the quarter, and lower corporate costs provided an additional tailwind to our strong results. Our adjusted EPS was up 21 cents, or 17% compared to a year ago, as a result of higher adjusted operating income and the impact of approximately $650 million in share repurchases, or approximately 5% of our market capitalization over the past four quarters.
Finally, we generated free cash flow of $492 million in the second quarter, which supported $250 million in share repurchases and $70 million in dividend payments in the first half of 2026. I believe this once again demonstrates our focus on creating value with our consistent and strong free cash flows.
Now, let's turn to slide 10 and take a look at our full year 2026 outlook. We are maintaining our full year sales, adjusted operating margin, and free cash flow guidance.
However, we are increasing our full year adjusted EPS guidance based on our share repurchases in the first half of 2026. We continue to project total 2026 sales in the range of $14.0 to $14.3 billion compared to $14.3 billion in 2025.
Starting with foreign currencies, our guidance now assumes an expected full year sales benefit of $175 million compared to 2025 due to the strengthening of the euro and the renminbi versus the US dollar. This benefit is modestly lower than our previous guidance.
We continue to expect our weighted end markets to be flat to down 3% for the year. We expect our light vehicle business, which comprises over 80% of our sales, to perform broadly in line with our weighted light vehicle market, consistent with how we performed in the first half of 2026.
However, we expect a sales decline in our battery business due to the lack of North American incentives and weaker European demand. We now expect this decline to represent roughly 170 basis points headwind to our year-over-year sales growth.
Based on these assumptions, we expect our 2026 organic sales change to be down 3.5 to down 1.5% year-over-year, which is roughly in line with our market and consistent with our previous outlook. Now, let's switch to margin.
We continue to expect our full year adjusted operating margin to be in the range of 10.7 to 10.9% compared to our 2025 adjusted operating margin of 10.7%. On a year-over-year basis, we expect the exit of our charging business to drive a 10 basis point improvement in adjusted operating margin.
Excluding this benefit, the low end of our margin outlook contemplates the business delivering a full year decremental conversion in the low double digits. At the high end, our outlook assumes we largely offset the impact of the organic sales decline through further cost controls similar to what we delivered in the first half of 2026.
Our strong first half performance is enabling the company to increase our planned industrial R&D spending while maintaining our full year adjusted operating margin and guidance commitment. We continue to see strong customer interest in our growing industrial portfolio and believe BorgWarner's mechanical and electronic powertrain core competencies fit extremely well to serve the needs of a high-power industrial market.
Given these factors, we are leaning forward and accelerating our R&D spending on these products by investing an incremental $10 to $15 million to support our future growth. This is a great testament of the BorgWarner team's ability to execute at a high level in the short term to support our long-term sustainable sales growth in a growing market.
Importantly, we are making this R&D investment while maintaining our full year margin guidance. Based on this sales and margin outlook, we are now expecting full year adjusted EPS in the range of $5.05 to $5.30 per diluted share, which is an increase compared to our initial guidance range of $5.00 to $5.20 per diluted share.
This increase is primarily due to the share repurchases completed during the first half of 2026. The midpoint of this adjusted EPS guidance represents approximately a 5% increase versus our 2025 adjusted EPS, and once again demonstrates our focus on consistently driving earnings expansion despite lower industry production.
Finally, we continue to expect full year free cash flow to be in the range of $900 million to $1.1 billion, building on a strong 2025. With that, that's our 2026 outlook.
Now, let's turn to slide 11 and discuss our recently increased share repurchase authorization. As Joe highlighted in his opening remarks, we repurchased approximately $100 million in BorgWarner stock during the second quarter.
This takes our share repurchases over the last four quarters to approximately $650 million and leaves $350 million remaining under our prior share repurchase authorization. Our Board of Directors approved an increase of up to $1 billion through 2029.
When combined with the $350 million remaining under our prior authorization, management has the ability to repurchase up to $1.35 billion of the company's outstanding shares, or just over 10% of our current market cap. I believe this authorization increase demonstrates the confidence we have in the long-term cash-generating strength of our business and our focus on driving shareholder value through a balanced capital allocation approach that rewards shareholders.
Let me summarize my financial remarks. Overall, we were very pleased with our second quarter results.
Our light vehicle sales performance was modestly stronger than industry production. We achieved 100 basis point adjusted operating margin improvement and a 17% adjusted earnings per share increase on relatively flat reported sales.
Our strong free cash flow performance supported a cash return of approximately $134 million to shareholders in the quarter. Our Q2 performance once again demonstrates the BorgWarner team's ability to deliver strong financial results in a declining production environment.
We believe this increased share repurchase authorization by our Board of Directors demonstrates our long-term confidence in the cash-generating ability of our business. As we look ahead to the balance of 2026, we intend to remain focused on expanding the earnings power of the company.
At the midpoint of our guidance, we expect another year of adjusted operating margin expansion and adjusted earnings per share growth despite our expectations that market volumes and battery sales will decline in 2026, and an incremental $10 to $15 million investment in industrial R&D to accelerate our long-term sales growth. Finally, with another year of anticipated strong free cash flow of $1 billion at the midpoint of our guidance, we expect to continue to deploy capital in a balanced approach that rewards shareholders.
By continuing to focus on near-term execution, growing the long-term earnings power of the company through organic and inorganic investments, and following a balanced deployment of our capital, we believe BorgWarner will create significant shareholder value for many years to come. With that, I'd like to turn the call back over to Pat.
Patrick Nolan
Thank you, Craig. Nick, we're ready to open it up for questions.
Operator
Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad.
If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before asking your question. To withdraw your question, please press star two.
In the interest of time, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our Q&A roster.
The first question will come from Chris McNally with Evercore. Please go ahead.
Chris McNally
Thanks team. Joe, could you maybe provide a little more color on some of the quoting progress you discussed for the AI initiatives?
I think in particular, maybe you could give a really quick 101 on the Borg-Endeavour turbo cell relationship. I think, giving most of us are keeping Claude kind of busy mapping out the different public entities, such as Edge, which is also recently in the news.
One of the questions I think that would be a great answer is, will Borg announce every smaller DC win within the relationship, or is it likely to basket them together as they become material? Then a follow-up.
Joe Fadool
Hi Chris. As I mentioned in the remarks, we're really pleased with the progress we made in the second quarter, and we remain on track starting with the TG.
As we're launching that next year in 2027. A couple of data points here on that business.
The customer interest remains really strong, including multiple hyperscalers. As Endeavour, that is their value in this relationship, we're really pleased with that.
We achieved the CARB-level emissions, which is really a differentiator for us compared to what's out there. Then the UL compliance is in process.
From where I stand, we're on track to deliver. With regard to the Endeavour relationship, it continues to grow and get stronger as time passes on.
We will decide, do we announce every individual event? We try to share the important events and milestones with the investors.
Then with the recent news on Endeavour and their partner, Koch, we're also aware of it. It's not unusual that these financial partners are constantly out raising money for the data center growth, which is out there.
We don't think it materially changes anything between us and our relationship with Endeavour. Partnership stronger than ever.
We see a great fit between our companies and also how we see the future of the world. If anything, this adds credibility to Endeavour.
It adds credibility to their Edge data center business, but they're a fantastic player, and we're just happy to be partnered with them.
Chris McNally
That's great. Agree, and I think the hyperscaler wins obviously would be material by themselves.
Then just the quick follow-up is on the BESS side. You reiterated start of production '27, the quoting continues.
I think you even shared in your prepared remarks, more to share later this year, which is great and I imagine aligns with RTC timing. Is there any order of magnitude for what a typical contract or win size may be that you could give sort of rule of thumb?
I know no contract is the same, but anything rule of thumb because we're trying to start to think about what would an average contract would be there.
Joe Fadool
I wouldn't say there's any type of rule of thumb. Every data center project is bespoke.
What we find is important is that our TG and turbo cell solution, our battery business, and our power conversion, all play a very important role in these future data centers. Any award in the battery space with a hyperscaler obviously would be substantial.
We continue to see a strong pipeline of quoting. We're progressing our product offering here.
In fact, we're expanding the range of products that we're offering. I'm really pleased with the progress we're making here, and we'll likely share more updates later this year.
Chris McNally
Great, thanks team.
Joe Fadool
Thank you.
Operator
The next question will come from Colin Langan with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.
Colin Langan
Oh, great. Thanks for taking my questions.
Just to follow up on the turbine generator. I think in the past you commented that you'd consider announcing adding more capacity in the second half of this year.
Is that still the plan? Any thoughts on the need to add more capacity given the customer interest?
If you do decide, how quickly can that new capacity come online?
Joe Fadool
Hi Colin. We do continue to see strong demand, as we had mentioned, we're really encouraged by that.
As we've shared with you, we do anticipate we're going to have to make a decision in the second half of this year on added capacity, and also decide, is that capacity going to serve this market or maybe a different market, which we're also active with our partner Endeavour in. No decisions made yet, but I am encouraged by the demand side of the equation, more to come.
Got it.
Colin Langan
Just one question on the results today. Your sales were up just $10 million, EBITDA up $40 million, that's quite a strong conversion.
Even if I take batteries out, it's up $40 on $70 million in sales. What is driving this extremely strong conversion on growth?
I think you mentioned strong cost controls sort of possibly continuing in the second half of the upper end of the guidance. What are those cost controls?
Why wouldn't they continue since you have a couple quarters of that under your belt?
Craig Aaron
Thanks Colin for the question. It was great execution on all fronts across our business.
11.3% margin in the quarter, up 100 basis points. When you break down that 100 basis point improvement year-over-year, 60 basis points came from strong performance from our foundational businesses, TTS and Drivetrain.
Great job by those teams. We had 20 basis points of enhancement through BS, the restructuring actions that they've taken in 2025 and 2026, as well as the exit of the charging business.
Then the final 20 basis points came from strong cost controls. What I was most excited about was we expanded margins in every business unit, and I was equally happy that corporate provided a nice tailwind.
It was just strong execution across the board.
Colin Langan
Got it. All right, thanks for taking my questions.
Craig Aaron
Thank you.
Operator
The next question will come from Luke Junk with Baird. Please go ahead.
Luke Junk
Good morning. Joe, curious to double click on one of your comments in the script around inverter efficiency.
Just hoping you can just speak a little more to what you see is the company's moat in inverter efficiency, especially potential future applications that could stem from that. Do you have an ambition to expand the portfolio further there?
In terms of scope, maybe if you could just remind us also of some of the markers for efficiency that you outlined at the '23 investor day. I think you'd outlined a path to kind of industry-leading levels for automotive.
Thank you.
Joe Fadool
Thanks for that question, Luke. When you think about efficiency, why is that important, especially in the industrial side, power is the constraint.
Any improvement in efficiency is important. We continue to see efficiency gains as we develop next-gen inverters.
Sometimes that comes from the silicon and silicon carbide technology. Often it comes from our proprietary power module, which we produce and develop ourselves, and a lot of that has to do with how you cool the device as you drive a lot of power through it.
Efficiency numbers from generation to generation, they tend to vary, but similar to the fuel economy improvements you tend to see a few basis points or even a few hundred basis points at times with major steps forward,
Luke Junk
so. Then just in terms of the investment scope, I think if I think microgrid inverter, there certainly could be other places in the gray space or even getting more into the transformation of power.
Just how should we think about the scope of opportunities that you might be looking at in inverter? Thanks.
Joe Fadool
Our leading product to the market is likely going to be a microgrid tie type of inverter. Tying together power gen with all the other power sources and possibly even the grid, which of course is outside the building.
That's what we're leading with. We see other possible opportunities here.
On the grid tie, we've started to expand our range. We were leading with 800 volts, and it's likely that will be the first award.
We've expanded the range from 400 volts to 1500 volts. Then secondly, our teams evaluate other opportunities in the gray space inside the building.
As with the next-generation Nvidia chipsets, there's a high demand for power at the rack level, and this plays very well into the work we do on the automotive side. Then
Luke Junk
for my follow-up, could you just maybe give us some additional color on the new products on your website that you briefly touched on the script? Things like UPS battery backup units and similars.
Is this sort of what the incremental R&D that you're putting in the back half of the year is pointing to? Thank you.
Joe Fadool
Those incremental products are some of the examples when we talk about expanding the portfolio, whether it's energy storage, like you mentioned on battery backup, or some of the new power conversion products which I just mentioned. Those are the areas where the $10 to $15 million incremental R&D are to support.
We're really excited about that. A year ago, we weren't even talking about these products.
If you can imagine the progress our teams have made, especially in the first and second quarter, I'm just extremely pleased with that. Excited to see what comes with this additional investment.
Luke Junk
Cool. Makes sense.
Thank you.
Operator
The next question will come from Joseph Spak with UBS. Please go ahead.
Joseph Spak
Thanks. Good morning, everyone.
You came in about almost $40 million higher this quarter. You're raising R&D, you said, by $10 to $15.
OI is basically flat for the full year. The other $25 to $30, is that just some higher costs?
Maybe you could just talk about that. Then just with this higher level of R&D, should we think of this as a more sustained pace into the future, or is it something of a pull forward because you see some of these emerging opportunities that you alluded to in your prepared remarks?
Craig Aaron
Thanks for the question. I think it'd be helpful to walk you first half to second half, revenue and then operating income or margin.
When you think about sales, sales in the first half came in just under $7.2 billion. The midpoint of our guide puts us right around $7 billion.
From a top-line perspective, we have three headwinds first half to second half. First is the battery decline, that's about $60 million.
FX is a headwind, it's about $80 million. The rest is industry production.
We're assuming modest decline in industry production, about 1%. That again takes us to $7 billion of revenue at the midpoint.
On those lower revenues, we're decrementing at 15%, call it mid-teens. Then we're leaning forward with that $10 to $15 million in industrial R&D.
If you were to exclude that step-up in R&D, our margin would be at 10.8%. That's effectively in line with first half.
If you include industrial R&D at the midpoint, we're at 10.6%. From our perspective, this makes a lot of sense, and we're excited to invest that extra $10 to $15 million to enhance our portfolio.
Joe Fadool
Joe, I can answer the question as to sustained investment. From my standpoint, these opportunities are what's driving the R&D investment.
As we continue to see more opportunities in the industrial space, we're going to go after them. These products, keep in mind, they take probably 18 to 24 months to develop in general.
When we start investing, you can expect to have some level of sustained spending. I think we know that BorgWarner's pretty efficient with how we spend our R&D, and it's in this case focused on really attractive growth.
Craig Aaron
Joe, maybe just one other comment. We've got to step back and think about we're executing in the short term, we're still expanding margins, we're still expanding EPS, we're still generating a significant amount of free cash flow, and at the same time we're investing in our long term in a high-growth market.
It's a great time to be a BorgWarner employee. No,
Joseph Spak
absolutely. Second question maybe just sort of turning back to the automotive business.
One of the things that is clearly come a little bit more into focus is some of the vehicles being exported from China and similarly some of the maybe European luxury programs into China. Can you remind us what you think your exposure is to, I guess China export business as a percent of your overall China business?
Then have you seen any impact from some reduced demand of, let's say legacy European vehicles in China?
Joe Fadool
Maybe to frame that a bit. China is about 20% of BorgWarner's global sales.
We don't break out local versus export. Quite frankly, we don't know whether they're exporting a vehicle or not.
That's not something we really break out. What we are feeling good about is that position, that strong position we have in China has led to some tailwind as they export more to the other markets.
The Chinese OEMs had an amazing first half in terms of export, and we don't see any reason why that won't continue. With regard to the European luxury carmakers, we really don't see a big issue in mix.
A lot of that just comes down to our customer diversity. When a few are up, others are down.
Mostly that tends to just kind of wash out. That's what we see at this point.
Joseph Spak
Thanks so much.
Operator
The next question will come from Andrew Percoco with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
Andrew Percoco
Great, thanks for taking the question. I want to come back to some of the comments you made on the turbine generator product and the hyperscaler interest that you're seeing.
Can you just provide some context on whether they're looking at this product on a primary power basis or a backup power basis? Also, if you can provide any insight in terms of if the economics look any different from your perspective on your side on whether or not they end up using it prime versus backup?
Joe Fadool
Hi Andrew. Our turbine generator can serve in both primary and backup.
In fact, when we started this project a few years ago, we thought the majority of applications would be in backup. I would say in the last 12 months, that's flipped, and we see more of them in prime use.
I think that just speaks to the speed to compute and the shortage of power generation in general. This turbo cell unit using BorgWarner TG serves equally well in both of those, very low emissions, lower noise than some of our competitors, and its speed to market is really important.
We're excited about it. In terms of the economics, I would just say overall we're very pleased with the terms and the agreement that we have with Endeavour across all use cases.
Andrew Percoco
That's helpful. You mentioned time to power obviously being probably more important at this point than just cost of power.
As you scale production in 2027, what's your targeted order to kind of delivery conversion timeline? What are you trying to advertise to the customers that are talking to you about taking delivery of this product?
Joe Fadool
We've announced that we're installing 2 GW of capacity, and in the initial year, which is next year, about $300 million of revenue. We are quoting through Endeavour lead times to deliver these units.
I would say it's another advantage we have in the system. Think about it this way.
We're standing up materially automotive production and supply chain in an environment that's probably not used to that type of speed. We feel this is also a competitive advantage for us.
The order time is well within the lead times of our capacity and the capacity of our suppliers.
Andrew Percoco
You're talking about potentially less than 6 months from when someone places an order to when you can deliver it? Is that a fair way to think about it once you have the capacity?
Joe Fadool
I would say we haven't really disclosed our lead times, and we're not going to talk about that. I would say the main focus right now is on launching the unit in 2026, and we'll share more as we get into 2027 with regard to your questions.
Andrew Percoco
Thank you. I'll take the rest off-line.
Appreciate it.
Operator
The next question will come from James Picariello with BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
James Picariello
Hey, good morning, everybody. I know Koch Industries has already been mentioned amid the recent news flow of Koch potentially looking to sell its stake in Edge at an $9-15 billion valuation maybe.
My question is, and I know it's all speculation at this point, but within the contractual relationship you have with Edge by way of turbo cell, are there any change-in-control triggers involved? Anything that could project the $300 million plus in revenue that you have slated for next year?
Thanks.
Joe Fadool
There's nothing in our agreement that triggers change in control. You have to keep in mind there's several Edge legal entities.
The one that we directly deal with is 100% owned by Endeavour. That's not what's being spoken about.
It's more about from what we understand how Koch can raise additional money to support the growth in that company. Again, we don't see this as a material issue.
We're just excited to be partnered with Endeavour and their Edge business unit. We just think it adds great credibility to what they're doing if partners like Koch and others are out there raising money to fund that project.
James Picariello
No, for sure. Totally agree.
Then on battery systems, losses through the first half only totaled $4 million. I know there are charging exit and battery plant consolidation savings in play, but if we scrub for those, the underlying performance is still far and away better than the company's targeted mid-teens decremental.
Can you just shed some light on what's driving that and just directionally how we should be thinking about the first half to second half bridge for this particular segment? Thanks.
Craig Aaron
Sure. Really pleased with BS and their performance.
They've taken a lot of restructuring actions both in 2025 and continue to take actions in 2026 to get that cost structure right. On top of that, you mentioned it, we have the benefit of that exit of our charging business last year that's benefiting our financials this year.
Ultimately, as you walk from first half to second half, we would expect to manage in that mid-teens decremental conversion, just as it's been, that's what we're focused on executing.
James Picariello
Mid-teens decremental half-over-half? Half-over-half.
Appreciate it, thanks.
Craig Aaron
Thank you.
Operator
The next question will come from Emmanuel Rosner with Wolfe Research. Please go ahead.
Emmanuel Rosner
Oh great, good morning. My first question, you have been obviously announcing a real significant amount of awards pretty consistently every quarter.
Another sort of seven today. Any way to help us frame what this would do for your growth over market on a go-forward basis and the timing of it?
Could we expect it to be already positive in 2027? Where could be trends of over time as you launch a lot of these businesses?
Joe Fadool
Sure. What I am pleased with, and you referenced it, is this bookings strength that we've had over the last two years, and it's been across all of our product lines.
I do expect these bookings to support an improvement in our objective in outgrowth across the portfolio in 2027. Then, of course, we announced the $300 million of new growth associated with the industrial business.
Overall, Craig and I are pleased with the progress we're making, and we'll share more early next year on 2027.
Emmanuel Rosner
Is it starting even longer-term without being specific in 2027, and does that enable you to go back to historical levels of growth over market?
Joe Fadool
Emmanuel, what we've clearly stated is Craig and I are not pleased with the current outgrowth that the company is witnessing, and that is why we adjusted the strategy to drive growth across the entire portfolio. As you can probably imagine, these strong bookings that we've had over the last two years, they take time to come to production, but we're clearly expecting that they're going to improve the outgrowth of the company.
As those volumes move through launch and into peak volumes, we're anticipating those improvements will continue to come. We'll share more in 2027, but I think that probably gives you a good idea of where we're headed.
Emmanuel Rosner
No, thank you. Then on the industrial side, can you help us dimension the inverter size of your opportunity for you?
Not so much in terms of addressable markets, but more in terms of how much capacity you're planning to have, right? Because for the turbines, we kind of know the initial capacity that's put in the ground.
On the energy storage side, I think your capacity is essentially the available one from some of your battery pack earlier investment, we kind of have an order of size. I'm not super clear on the inverter side, what you have in terms of facilities, in terms of investment and capacity.
Joe Fadool
We haven't announced any capacity availability or what we plan to install. Frankly, we're going to move to quoting at the end of this year, and that will be what we'll use to kind of gauge how do we leverage the existing capacity and investment versus where we may need new capacity.
One of the things we're really excited about with especially our grid tie inverters is their majority is designed in the US. We make plans in US manufacturing even.
We've got a lot of opportunity on that product line, but it's early days in terms of quoting, and I'm sure we'll be in a position to share more in 2027.
Emmanuel Rosner
Thank you.
Operator
The next question will come from Dan Levy with Barclays. Please go ahead.
Dan Levy
Hi, thank you. Wanted to start with a question on capital allocation, and I know that you in your release issued a new $1 billion buyback authorization, you've been buying back a fair amount of stock.
How are you thinking about your capital allocation program in light of this new growth opportunity that you have, in light of a multiple that is better? I know you've talked about stepping up to spend a little bit, but that doesn't seem fairly modest.
Is there more that can be done on accelerating spend, be it R&D or capex, that would then accelerate the growth opportunity? Is there any M&A that can be done?
Just how are you thinking about spending, accelerating the industrial opportunity?
Craig Aaron
Thanks Dan. As I step back, what are Joe and I what are we focused on?
We're focused on growing the earnings power of the company, and we want to create value with our cash. That's the ultimate goal, and we're always balancing inorganic opportunities, organic opportunities, share repurchases.
We review it every quarter to make sure that we're creating value quarter after quarter. When I take a look back over the past year, we repurchased $650 million, that's 5% of our market cap.
That was six-plus for us over the past four quarters. We're excited that we have the flexibility from our Board of Directors with another $1.35 billion, that represents 10% of our market cap approximately.
It gives us a lot of flexibility. I think it also shows the confidence we have in the future cash-generating ability of our business.
Ultimately, our goal is to drive the earnings power of the company, and we're going to use every lever at our disposal to do just that.
Joe Fadool
Maybe to add a little bit, we will always prioritize these organic investments as we see growth opportunities both on the R&D side and the capex side.
Dan Levy
From a tech perspective, on the new growth opportunities, do you have everything you need in-house, or is there something you still need to acquire to sort of beef up the portfolio from a tech perspective?
Joe Fadool
I think we're moving from a position of strength. When I look at our portfolio, especially that we've invested and grown over the last 10 years, these three new product lines for industrial are able to leverage a lot of that competence now.
There may be opportunities through inorganic growth that we want to continue to strengthen the current portfolio or improve our market position. In terms of M&A, we're sticking to the three tight criteria, which again is leverage the core competence of the company is the first priority.
The second is making sure it's near-term accretive. Then third, that we don't overpay, and we pay a fair value for any asset.
We continue to look inside mobility and outside, but I would say we've really raised the hurdle in terms of any decision we're going to make.
Dan Levy
Thank you. As a follow-up, I wanted to ask about your battery storage opportunity.
From some of the other players, we've heard a lot about the importance of having access to a domestic LFP supply, which gives you the right chemistry, but also gives you ITC and PTC compliance. It looks here like your focus on battery storage is more on data centers.
I know you've talked about being chemistry agnostic, but to what extent does having access to LFP matter, and to what extent does PTC and ITC eligibility matter as you're building out the business case for battery storage?
Joe Fadool
I think the way to see our energy storage, first is we want to leverage existing technology and capacity we have, especially in our Seneca plant. That's our first priority.
We have always and we continue to work with other cell types and cell supply manufacturers. LFP is included in that, sodium-ion is included in that.
I think it's one of the great advantages of being cell agnostic is we get a lot of competence in how to integrate these cells, package them, control them, sew BMS, and ship them as a unit. We do anticipate that we will require some of those other cell technologies on a go-forward basis, and we continue to invest in how do we bring those to market and with which partner.
Dan Levy
Great, thank you.
Operator
The next question will be coming from Alex Perry with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Alex Perry
Hi, thanks for taking our questions here. Just for the core auto business, I wanted to follow up.
You held the organic sales, but slightly lowered to low end of the range of production. Could you just talk to us sort of what you're seeing in schedules, and particularly I wanted to circle back on China.
It's been a more challenging market for most of the supplier group so far. Maybe talk to us what you're seeing in customer schedules there and maybe versus Europe and North America.
Thanks.
Joe Fadool
Starting on a global level, production range has largely remained unchanged in our view. We still see schedules holding up as we expected.
I would say there are some small regional changes. China likely to be down 4 to 7%, Europe down slightly, a little bit wider range I would say in North America, it's up 1.5 and down 2.5 to 3.
There is a little bit of volatility still, especially in the pass car side. Overall, not big changes.
I think what people are recognizing is the strength of the Chinese OEMs exporting from China, had very strong exports in the first half. If you play that forward, you can imagine they're going to be exporting anywhere from, I don't know, 9 to 11 million units, which would be a big year-over-year increase.
For us, it doesn't change much. We're very strong with these leading Chinese OEMs, and our customer diversity more or less washes out some of those mix issues that maybe others see in their business.
Alex Perry
Really helpful. Then just another follow-up on the power gen.
Any sort of sense on how fast you can scale the power gen sales with the existing capacity? I think you're sort of earmarking $300 million for next year.
What can that sort of scale to over time? Then any sort of help or sense in sizing the sort of EBIT contribution as we start to build out our models here?
Joe Fadool
I would first say our team is very focused on a successful launch. We announced $300 million of revenue, which we're very comfortable with next year.
Right now, we're focused on executing flawlessly and doing everything we need to and supporting our suppliers in doing the same. We haven't shared any ratios of revenue to capacity.
That might be something we do in the future. We don't see really demand is a constraint or our ability to scale as a constraint.
It really comes down to are we hitting our quality milestones and our operational milestones to be able to serve those requirements that we see out there.
Alex Perry
Perfect, that's really helpful. Best of luck going forward.
Joe Fadool
Thank you.
Operator
We have time for one final question, and that question comes from Rajat Gupta with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
Rajat Gupta
Great, thanks for taking the question. I just wanted to follow up soon to have the hyperscaler opportunities.
You mentioned earlier that the award in the battery space would be substantial. I'm curious without rule of thumb, can you frame the range of outcomes, what comes first with that kind of an award?
Is it the turbine, is it the storage systems, in what order? I'm just curious how the sequencing would work and impact just the capacity decision.
I have a quick follow-up. Thanks.
Joe Fadool
Maybe for clarity sake, the turbine generator, that's a product that we have developed and are supported by Endeavour. We go to market through Endeavour.
On the battery side, or energy storage side, and the power conversion side, we can serve the entire market. With regard to sequencing, we expect to lead with turbine generator.
Obviously, we've announced that as the most developed product, and we're launching that with their customer next year. We do expect to see some battery awards this year, as we've shared in the past.
Then I would say the power conversion a little bit behind that, and that's mainly due to the development. It's a little bit behind the energy storage side, so that's why we've shared we'll start to quote that toward the end of this year.
Hopefully that's helpful.
Rajat Gupta
Got it, no, that's helpful. Then just on the 2027 start of production, this $300 million, what are the remaining gating factors to that start of production?
It seems like everything so far has been tracking per plan. Curious what are the next final one or two steps before the shipments?
Thanks.
Joe Fadool
Sure. We announced a couple of the milestones, which we're really pleased with the progress we've been making to date.
There's additional milestones, how are we doing against our qualification testing to show that we meet all the requirements we need to. There's reliability testing, there's the ramp-up of production to make sure we're hitting our quality and cycle time as we expect.
Those are some of the things we're looking at internally to gauge our success, and where do we have to adjust. This part of the process is well known to BorgWarner.
We conduct over, I can't even imagine, hundreds, let's just say hundreds of launches a year. This part of the product development launch phase we're very familiar with.
It's just a lot of work, and focus on execution, and adjusting where you find issues. Really pleased with the progress to date.
Rajat Gupta
Understood. Great.
Thanks for the color, and good luck.
Joe Fadool
Thank you.
Patrick Nolan
With that, I'd like to thank everyone for their questions today. If you have any additional follow-ups, feel free to reach out to me or my team.
With that, Nick, you can go ahead and close today's call.
Operator
This concludes the BorgWarner 2026 second quarter results conference call. You may now disconnect.