Goodman Group

Goodman Group

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Feb 17Next Earn

Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 18, 2026

Operator

Joining us today is CFO, Mr. Nick Vrondas.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, CEO, Greg Goodman.

Greg Goodman

Thank you very much, and good morning, everybody. Goodman Group has delivered operating profit of $1.2 billion for the first half of FY 2026 as we continue to provide essential infrastructure in supply-constrained markets around the world.

We're building into strong demand for city locations across both logistics and data centers. Large-scale logistics customers are targeting productivity and efficiency gains through increased automation and consolidation.

Data center customers require low-latency, high-connectivity, which they are committing to with unprecedented levels of capex spending forecast across the sector. Goodman is set to benefit from these structural shifts given the quality and location of our sites, our power capacity, and our track record of developing complex infrastructure.

Power, sites, and capital are critical to being able to build into demand and provide delivery certainty for our customers. Our power bank has grown from 5 to 6 gigawatts on sites we own across 16 global cities.

The increase is primarily in Australia and continental Europe. Importantly, we've been advancing planning and pre-construction works on sites around the world to provide speed to market.

In the quarter, we commenced a 90-megawatt fully fitted project in Sydney and we're on track to have data center projects providing around 500 megawatts underway by June, taking work in progress to approximately $18 billion. We're also partnering with large investors to fund multi-year development programs.

We established a $14 billion data center development partnership in Europe and a $2 billion logistics partnership in the US, with one on the way in Australia. This is consistent with the capital partnering approach we've taken for over 30 years.

Our engagement with data center customers is progressing well across multiple sites, with negotiations well underway to provide a range of deployment options. We expect commitments in 2026 as we commence construction on sites and others get closer to their ready-for-service dates.

Inquiry and activity across several logistics markets is also increasing, and we expect this to translate into development activity over the next 12 months. I'll pass on to Nick for a few comments.

Nick Vrondas

Thank you, Greg. Let's turn to slide 18 to run through the numbers in the usual way.

We'll first cover the items that relate to our cash-backed measure of earnings, which we define as operating profit. As usual, this excludes unrealized fair market value movements on properties, mark-to-market of hedges, and the accounting fair value estimate relating to our employee long-term incentive plan.

These are the items at the bottom of the table that get us to the statutory profit. Our operating profit for the half of $1.2 billion was a little higher than we had expected when we spoke to you at the September quarterly.

We had early timing of development and performance income recognition in the half, which we had not expected until the full year. As you analyze these results, please keep in mind that FX movements had a $33 million negative impact on the translation of our foreign-denominated operating income before interest compared to the prior period.

This was offset with a commensurate benefit in our borrowing costs. This is the result of realized costs on our debt and derivatives, which is how our hedging strategy is designed.

I'll call out the impacts on the line items as we go. Looking specifically now at the movement in investment earnings.

These are up by $54 million overall, and that's after a $5 million adverse FX impact. Direct property net rental income was $59 million higher.

This was due mostly to the increase in assets held directly on the balance sheet following the reorganization of our investments in the Americas. If you go back to June 2024, we had $1.4 billion of directly owned assets.

It got to $5.1 billion by June 2025 with the December '24 reorganization of our US investments. It subsequently reduced to just over $4 billion with the creation of a new industrial JV in North America.

This was a $3 billion increase in the weighted average capital employed in this segment when comparing the two periods. The bulk of our investment income, which comes through our co-investments in the partnerships, was down $5 million, mainly due to FX.

The partnership reorganization and the other capital movements reduced investment income by $10 million, which was nearly totally offset by the $9 million contribution from the like-for-like income growth. Again, if we go back to June 2024, we had $13.7 billion of co-investments.

This reduced to $13 billion at December '24 following the North American reorganization. It then grew back to $14.7 billion at December '25, mainly due to the creation of the new partnerships.

Overall, it's a reduction in weighted average capital employed of around half a billion dollars compared to the December 2024 half year. Over time, we want to grow this part of the business as we continue to expand our portfolio of assets under management and our investment in it.

The creation of new partnerships and the ongoing growth of the existing ones should support this. The portfolio remains 12% under-rented, and we see this continuing to support NPI growth going forward.

There's scope for a significant portion of the directly owned assets to create new partnering opportunities over time. This will reduce our direct investments and NPI, but increase our co-investment income from partnerships and our management income.

At the same time, it will provide cash to fund our expansion. Management income was $137 million lower than the prior corresponding half.

Of that, a $5 million adverse FX impact was the main driver—but the main driver was the recognition of transactional and performance-based revenues following the exceptionally strong prior corresponding period. They were down $160 million to $79 million.

We encourage you to look at the annual averages as a proportion of stabilized third-party AUM. Our total portfolio stood at $87.4 billion at the end of December.

Of this, $75 billion was in external assets under management, and of that, stabilized third-party AUM averaged $69 billion in the period. That's up over $4 billion from the prior corresponding half year.

As a result, base management income was $26 million higher on a constant currency basis. Total fee revenue for the period as a percentage of average stabilized third-party AUM was just over 0.9% this half, which is broadly in line with our expected average over the long term.

In terms of the outlook for this segment, we expect our third-party stabilized AUM to grow over time as we complete more developments and make new acquisitions net of divestments and the value of the portfolio grows. Our realized development earnings for the half year were down $36 million on the PCP.

FX rates had a $26 million adverse impact. Aside from that, the result was largely in line with the prior period.

Several things are moving around, but we're managing activity to maintain our profit and return targets. On the one hand, development volumes have been lower.

The average annualized production rate was around $6.3 billion this half, compared to $6.6 billion in the PCP. At the same time, a larger portion of activity has been initiated directly on the group's balance sheet.

That means a greater portion of the development gains can be reflected in our operating results rather than a share of revaluation gains. Yields on costs on new projects are also increasing.

This is commensurate with the longer-dated periods to stabilization of data centers. Moving forward, we will be progressing more data center developments and are now on what should be an upward trend in activity levels.

These projects will, on average, be in WIP longer than our historic projects, the impact on production rate will not be linear, but should still be positive. The pause we took also means that there is a resynchronization happening that is resulting in a lower volume of completions in the short term.

All other things equal, this should correct over time. Given the increased project duration and the leasing time frames, we also expect higher than average margins to compensate.

At the same time, we expect to continue to originate a significant volume of work on the group's balance sheet, we'll have the opportunity to crystallize a greater portion of the gains in operating profit. The expected yield on cost on our WIP has increased to over 8%, which is now more than 70% data centers.

These estimates are based on our current expectation of commencing data center projects on a fully fitted basis. These projects are largely uncommitted from a lease perspective, the expected yields are forward projections based on the fit-out funding and commensurate lease type.

The current level of pre-leasing is reflective of the stage we are at in the data center expansion and the long lead times to completion. It also reflects the group's desire to optimize the timing of contracting with prospective customers.

We are compensating for this by retaining low financial leverage. We did, however, have $2.5 billion of developments completed this half, 87% of which are already leased.

Demand from logistics users for quality buildings in strong locations is also picking up, which we expect to start to contribute to growth in WIP in the future years. The diversion to data centers as a better use of our sites is, however, occupying a greater portion of our opportunity set now and is expected to continue to do so in the near future.

Over the course of the full year, rising activity level is expected to result in an increase in income from this segment on a sequential half-over-half basis. We remain enthusiastic about the prospects for development demand overall, which bodes well for future revenues, as well as growth in AUM.

There's been a moderate increase in our underlying operating expenses, but that was offset by a higher capitalization due to the rising activity levels on balance sheet. Capitalized costs are part of the cost basis of the assets when we calculate our operating profit.

There was also a slight FX benefit. Net interest income increased by $63 million compared to the PCP.

Gross interest paid on our loans was $14 million higher due to rising interest rates and the impact of the refinancing of our bonds, which resulted in a slightly higher WACD than the PCP. There were, however, a range of other items that more than offset this.

There was a $33 million benefit on the FX hedge to earnings that I mentioned earlier. We've also earned $48 million more interest on the cash and derivatives due to the higher interest rates and cash holdings.

Our directly owned development assets have increased, capitalized interest is up by $31 million. The cost of borrowings on our loans is currently around 4%, but considering our interest rate and currency hedges, the net WACD is around 1%.

As far as the non-operating items are concerned, we had over $250 million of unrealized valuation gains in the half, which represents the group's share of around $900 million of gains across the entire portfolio at the 100% share. That's before the $335 million deduction for the now realized prior period valuation gains.

We treated these the same way as previous periods, don't propose to repeat that methodology here because I think everyone's across it by now. After the deduction for the prior period gains and accrued costs, the net result is a deduction from profits of $112 million, which is what you see in the table that reconciles to OPAT.

The weighted average cap rate is currently 5.03% on the stabilized assets in the portfolio, and we're very comfortable with that. Another customary area of difference between operating and statutory profit is the fair value movement of hedges.

The currency strength in December gave rise to a $150 million increase in the value of our FX hedges, but you can see a $325 million decrease in the FCTR. More than offsetting this was a decline in the value of our interest rate hedges, which came about because we have a large volume of fixed receiver swaps to partly fix the income on cash deposits and FX hedges.

That's why we end up with a net loss of $48 million in the reconciling table. As usual, we exclude the LTIP accounting costs, but we include the tested units in the denominator when calculating our operating EPS.

That's when they actually impact on security holders. A few remarks now regarding the balance sheet on slide 19.

Wholly owned stabilized assets have decreased since June 2025 for the reasons discussed earlier. On the other hand, even after accounting for the debt funding portion of the acquisitions by the partnerships, our share of the stabilized assets within them were up on a constant currency basis.

Compared to June, our development holdings are up from $5.6 to $6.5 billion, which represents our share of the developments in partnerships as well as the wholly owned properties. This is consistent with the higher capital intensity of the new projects, as well as the higher portion originated on the balance sheet.

The directly owned portion was up by around $100 million to $4.2 billion. This was a result of $200 million of net investment, partly offset by the FX translation.

This incorporates the impact of the removal of some of the European data center properties from the group to the new development JV, but also demonstrates the amount of investment we're undertaking on the balance sheet. The share of development capital in partnerships was up from $1.4 billion, sorry, to $2.2 billion, which was largely influenced by the European DC development JV formation.

This is progressing as expected at the time we raised equity last year. Our aim continues to be to initiate more projects to give us an opportunity to have meaningful discussions with both customers and investors alike.

We aim to continue to bring partners into the developments at the appropriate time to manage risk, capital, and returns. Just looking at the other major movements now.

Overall, we generated around $1.2 billion of cash-backed earnings through our operations this half. Nearly $600 million of this is reported through the statutory operating cash flow statement, which is up by around $200 million from the PCP.

As usual, however, the statutory statement of operating cash flow includes outflows associated with the expenditures on development inventories. A portion of our earnings also arise from transactions that are included in the investing cash flow for statutory reporting purposes.

That's either because they are in our investment property under development and not in inventory, or they were sold from within the partnerships. This is not unusual for us either.

The combined effect of these development activities accounts for over $200 million of the difference between operating cash flow and operating profit. There's always a difference between the timing of distributions and fees received and income or expenses recognized in the partnerships, and that was around $100 million this half.

Capitalized costs and other working capital movements created another $100 million difference, and the usual impact of the incentive payments was $200 million. Over the full year, timing differences can be smoothed out, but the issue of the investment back into the business is symptomatic of a growing enterprise.

The classification of certain transactions in investing cash flows is also a source of permanent differences. Our retained earnings are designed to contribute to funding such investments, which is consistent with the design of our long-term capital management plans and the distribution policy.

That's a good point to turn to slide 20. Gearing is 4.1%, which is slightly lower than it was in June, and we have $5.2 billion of liquidity, including cash and undrawn lines.

That's after we've funded acquisitions and capex, and we repaid €300 million on the maturity of one of our corporate bonds. As we've said before, we'll operate our gearing within a range of 0% to 25%, with the level to be set with reference to the mix of earnings and activity.

We're very comfortable with where we stand at this time. In fact, we have capacity to increase gearing and remain within the bounds of our FRM policy objectives.

This is consistent with the strategy we laid out a year ago with the aim to build out more data centers and fund the growth in WIP whilst maintaining a strong balance sheet. As we continue to partner with investors, it will enable us to recycle capital to bring forward development capacity more rapidly.

Over time, we expect to hover around the midpoint of the gearing range once we get further into the data center construction activity. That's all from me.

Thanks, Greg.

Greg Goodman

Thanks, Nick. Demand for digital infrastructure in our markets is expected to materially exceed supply over the foreseeable future.

Goodman has a significant opportunity to develop into this demand given our metropolitan sites in supply-constrained markets, our power bank, and our very strong capital position. The scale and location of our power land bank is rare.

Construction-ready powered sites take many years to acquire, plan, secure power, undertake infrastructure works, and ultimately deliver. We're putting the infrastructure in place to carry out our program over the next 10 years.

Also on the logistics side, we're moving forward with larger deployments for customers as they consolidate and invest in robotics and automation to enhance their productivity. The remainder of FY 2026 will see us growing work in progress, supported by Goodman's strong balance sheet and our capital partners, and the right structures and opportunities to actively rotate our capital.

In closing now, I'd like to confirm our target to deliver operating EPS growth of 9% for FY 2026. Thank you, and Nick and I can now take some questions.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.

To withdraw your question, please press *11 again. One moment for questions.

Our first question comes from Lauren Berry with Morgan Stanley. You may proceed.

Simon Chan

Oh, g'day guys. It's actually Simon Chan.

I used her dial-in code. Hey, first question's just for a bit of housekeeping.

Hey, at the half year, I think Vrondas, you alluded to this, you were thinking about a 40/60 split of EPS for this year. In your prepared remarks, you talked about how you've got some early timing of development performance income in the first half.

Does that mean the 40/60 split is out the window now? Or should we still assume a 40/60 split, notwithstanding the $1.2 billion you delivered in the first half?

Greg Goodman

No, Chan, the full-year target is still the same number, but some's come forward. Yeah, 40/60 is now not 40/60, but the end target is unchanged.

I hope that's clear. Yeah.

Simon Chan

Okay. That's good.

How much of that early recognition or early timing was to do with the establishment of the European JV? Or will all the profits for European JV come through in the second half?

Greg Goodman

Look, there's a little bit because we had some fee revenue that we would have earned from the beginning, there was a little bit of catch-up with the closing of part of the transaction. It hasn't all come through yet.

Remember, that was all in the guidance. We discussed that, I think, in August, or maybe in September, I can't remember.

There was a little bit of that, but there were other items as well.

Simon Chan

Yep. Fair enough.

Hey, can you guys walk me through your program of works now going forward? I guess three parts to my question.

One, how much of that 497 megawatts on slide 14 is actually WIP at the moment and how much of it isn't? Then going forward, over the next 12, 18 months, should we expect potentially more establishment of data center development JVs as you activate more of your pipeline?

Or is it, no, no, we've got the partnerships we need, put the cue back in the rack and it's just more about building? How should we think about your program of works?

Greg Goodman

Yeah. First one's easy one.

370. That's in WIP.

That's about $10 billion.

Simon Chan

370 of the 497. Yeah.

Greg Goodman

That's about $10 billion of $14.4 billion. Goes to about $18 billion in June.

There's a pick-up in regard to obviously about another 100 or so coming in, and that's primarily around the starts in Europe. We've activated about 1.82 megawatt, megawatts—1,826 megawatts in total.

You've activated those sites. There's another 1,332 on that slide, which is important to note because that's obviously the pipeline that'll be coming through in other years as we start these other programs.

Yeah. Is that clear?

We're going to $18 billion in June, and that's not being heroic on industrial. On the industrial side, first time I've seen billion-dollar buildings, and we'll be doing some big industrial projects all around automation and robotics, and we're talking 100,000 meters plus sort of buildings with very, very extensive robotics and operations inside them, which is then the consolidation of a number of sites into single sites.

That's happening pretty well in all locations around the world. Don't underestimate as well the industrial pick-up, and I think that's running at about $4 billion of work in progress at the moment out of the $14 billion.

That could be a surprise on the upside as we go into late '26 into '27. Now the second question, could you just repeat that?

Simon Chan

Oh, just program of work as in, you've done a lot of partnerships already, right? Japan, Europe, you reckon you'll get Australia done.

Is that it? Or as you roll out the rest of your pipeline, you will be seeking to establish one of these new partnerships every 18 months, etc.?

Is that how we should see it?

Greg Goodman

Yeah. We're we're we're good.

We're good at the moment. Moving forward, there'll be long-term holding structures rather than development partnerships.

There'll be transfers. Work in progress will go into assets under management, I think, as Nick was talking about.

If you sort of think there's $20 billion of work in progress running through to the end of the year, a lot of that is keepers for us because of the locational quality of it. Those over time will roll into longer-term holding partnerships and things things like that.

It's been the same. Nick reminded me the other day, for 30 years.

I I had 20, but he reminded me of my age. We're, well, effectively be continuing the same thing we've done and making sure though we've got the capital and the strength of the balance sheets around the world because one thing you need when you're developing the size and scale of what we're doing globally, you need a lot of money, right?

We're very conscious of that. We want ahead of it.

Want to stay ahead of it, we will stay ahead of it. That is one of our competitive advantages, particularly in the data center sector, where Goodman has been and is very good at partnering capital around the world and the biggest capital partners in the world.

That is extremely important for our program and our strategy over the next 5 to 10 years. I wouldn't underestimate that, and it's going to get harder, not easier for people.

Simon Chan

Right. My last question's just on customers.

You got any update for us on that one? I guess the reason for the question is, it's actually more a question, have you guys taken a view internally on AI, right?

You're talking to a lot of customers, but then I guess you also know that some AI proponents may be more successful than others. I guess the quality of the counterparty is very important, right, given you're in a long-duration asset class?

I guess what's your view on AI internally?

Greg Goodman

Oh, look, the first point is the big customer negotiations in the big volume sites, it's all hyperscalers, right? I think make that very, very clear.

We're adopting the AI products that are relevant to our business. It's going to drive productivity.

This is a 10-year 10-year game, and it's changing the world, and that's just a fact, right? Now whether it's all goes in a linear fashion and it grows at the same rate, I think that's all very, very debatable.

It's a revolution and an evolution all around the world, and we're all adopting it. Some at different paces, but yeah, we're adopting it.

Simon Chan

Okay. Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Cody Shield with UBS.

You may proceed.

Cody Shield

Good morning, Greg and Nick. Thanks for the time.

Maybe just to expand on one of Chaney's questions there around the partnerships. If you're set, just with respect to Tarban, how are you thinking about that asset and an approach that you'll take there?

Greg Goodman

Oh, we'll talk about that a bit later. We're pretty deep in discussions about that at the moment, we'll leave that for a couple of months.

Cody Shield

Sure. Maybe just turning to the Australian DC partnership.

Would this only include assets currently in development or would you be looking to have a combination of existing developments and other sites with approvals and power and so on?

Greg Goodman

The one we're doing at the moment is Artarmon, which is already started.

Cody Shield

Sure. It would just be Artarmon?

There wouldn't be any of the other sites around Sydney?

Greg Goodman

No. Look, we're dealing with partnerships on reality.

If you sort of map what we did in Europe, we spent a number of years getting all the sites ready. We brought in a partner as we were going vertical, right?

There's no delay in regard to starting them. We're starting them.

We bring in the capital when ready to start, we're not waiting 6 months and saying maybe what if. Capital comes in, we're starting, and then the clock's ticking on the return.

Yeah. Shorten up, do it.

Same approach with the customer. It's being built.

We're now in discussion with customers because we can give them a delivery date of '28 or whatever the date might be for the first data hall. That's the way we're running it.

Cody Shield

Great. That's clear.

Maybe just a last one on something like a Tokyo, one of those multi-building campuses. How would something like that progress?

I imagine once you do the preparatory work, the second and third building come along a bit quicker than the first. Is that right?

What would the timeline on something like that look like?

Greg Goodman

We'll all wait and see, but we're right into a big site up there at the moment. It is a great site.

Not a lot of power in Tokyo. This is the biggest one in Tokyo, and yeah, good demand.

Cody Shield

Great. Thanks for the time.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Mithun Ratnakrishnan with CLSA.

You may proceed.

James Druce

Yeah. Hi, Greg.

You might have James Druce here and Nick. Can we just on the 0.5 gigawatts that we're sort of starting before June, can we just talk to the construction contracts?

Have they all been locked down now? Have they?

What's remaining to do there?

Greg Goodman

What's remaining there to do there? Yeah.

There's a lot of contracts. You're talking billions and billions of dollars.

Some have been locked down, some have been started, and some are just in the final pieces of negotiation, right? No, we've got contractors, we're down to signing contracts and moving on with the prices locked in.

James Druce

Okay. The data center industry is getting a bit more complex in terms of development.

How do we think about the right time now to actually bring in a tenant? Is it as fast as possible or do you want to kind of get all your ducks lined up, get all your MEP equipment done or?

How do you think about sort of the right timing for that?

Greg Goodman

Yeah. Look, it's iterative.

It's different on different sites, depending on the demand signals. You'll play a site maybe in Amsterdam differently than you'll play a site in the US where there might be more supply.

It depends on where you are, right? You need to be building to a design where you've got flexibility.

You need to be building to a design you can build into the demand so that you can shorten up the delivery period. If people are placing orders for '28, you've got to be able to deliver in '28.

If you want to deliver in '29, well you better wait 12 months, and then you're probably taking a deal in '29. Build into it, get your essential infrastructure out of the way, make sure you've got your buildings coming out around the slabs and sticks are going up, effectively, and you're building to a design or a program which is flexible.

Now on some sites right now, as we're starting to build, we are having the negotiations and we are actually designing it for those customers. There's some AI inferencing in some of these now where you've got water loops and then you've also got air.

We're thick into it right now, but it'll depend on where you are and what you're doing in the different countries and the demand signals. There's no one

James Druce

shoe fits all fit.

Greg Goodman

Some feet are bigger than others. No, that's clear.

James Druce

Can we just talk to, on slide 15, it sort of shows the Japan partnership there for the 1 gigawatt. We've sort of known that's been there, but how does that kind of roll out in terms of fundraisings for GJDP?

How much of that is actually covered today? Oh,

Greg Goodman

look, it goes building by building. We've got approvals for our first phases.

We're doing from the partnership. The partnership then will have assets.

Those assets, as they're stabilized, will be in a more of a stabilized Goodman partnership. That's exactly what we've been doing in Chiba, same MO, right?

Look for the same approach. In Japan, we've been doing this for a while.

I think the team there is very good at this, and we've been doing, I think we're just finishing our fourth data center in Chiba right at the moment, quite frankly. They're all 50s, and rolls off the tongue quickly, but 50 is big, right, just to be clear.

James Druce

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Adam Calvetti with Bank of America.

You may proceed. Oh,

Adam Calvetti

hi. Hi, Greg and team.

With Artarmon and then the five additional ones that you're going to be commencing over the second half, what type of fully fitted data center are there? You've got three types, whether it's run by the customer, yourself, or yourself or operating partner.

Where are these ones going to land?

Greg Goodman

Most of them are fully fitted, you've got mechanical, electrical, and plumbing, the MEP program. That's primarily it, but we'll be operating some.

A lot will be self-operated by hyperscalers, and there might be a colo in the mix there where we maybe doing a joint venture as well. We'll hit all those boxes, I think.

Then there's some shells that'll probably popping in the second half we don't have on the page, where we're going to deliver some shells for some hyperscalers as well. You're going to see the whole topography across the board, and it's really important to emphasize that I think we've been doing for a while, but I'll just re-emphasize it again today.

Our competitive advantage at Goodman is around the infrastructure, right? We don't desire to operate everything in the world, and we won't be.

There's a number of hyperscalers that want to operate their own facilities, and we're very happy about that. We want to build them world-class infrastructure that then fits for us for a long-term investment, which is also, we've got to be very clear, we're building to own and bring investors in.

We need something at the end of the day that actually is saleable and investable, right? White elephants, that's not what we're about, and I think you might find that's a discipline that Goodman brings to the long-term ownership that may be very critical as we move forward over the next 10 years with so much capital required for this sector around the world.

The rotation of capital, you can only rotate it if you've got something investable at the end. Big discipline on that.

Adam Calvetti

Got it. That's very clear.

Then the power bank's increased about a gigawatt that's split between Australia and Europe. Can you just comment maybe on how you're seeing demand in those two markets and returns?

Greg Goodman

Returns in Europe are very good. They're in line, I think, with what Nick's talking about.

Europe is short of infrastructure in those major markets we're in. We're building into a very, very strong demand market, but the discipline around building them and getting the buildings up in the air, we are very well equipped because we've got a very, very good development team around infrastructure in Europe.

Where you're going to get caught or stuck is getting out of the ground, right? Once you get out of the ground and you've got your orders in for all your equipment, it's then a program, and we're very good at running programs.

We're very good at building basically complex pieces of infrastructure, and we've been building multi-story buildings around the world for highly automated buildings for big customers of 120, 130, 150,000 meters, right? We've got disciplines internally at Goodman around building these things, which is world-class, and that is one of our competitive advantages.

Adam Calvetti

Greg, maybe just to focus in on Australia with the 0.6 gigawatts that's increased there. I've been hearing that hyperscaler rents in Melbourne have stagnated.

How are you seeing the Australian market? Oh

Greg Goodman

look, I think let's just see what's real and what's not, firstly. There's a lot of promises, but let's look at the deliveries.

We're focused now, for example, in Melbourne on '28 deliveries, right? Let's work that through, and I think you'll find there's good demand in Australia.

We've got to be sensible about how big that demand is relative to the US, which is 70% plus of the global market, right? We're building into places like Japan, we're building into places like Europe where there's big demand signals, and we've got some great sites in Sydney, Western Sydney, Melbourne, effectively, and North Sydney, we're in the best locations.

Let's just see where we end up. Because we're playing globally, we've got a lot of options and optionality to push US a little harder, Europe a little harder, back off in some other markets if we think there's a supply issue.

Even in Australia, honestly, the infrastructure and the timing is still difficult, and it is difficult everywhere in the world at the moment.

Adam Calvetti

Great. Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ben Brayshaw with Barrenjoey.

You may proceed.

Ben Brayshaw

Good morning, Greg and team. Could you just talk about Syd01 in respect to two things, please: when you expect the project to reach practical completion and be able to generate income, and secondly, the strategy for the leasing?

Is the intent to lease all of the capacity to one hyperscaler, or do you expect it to be multi-tenanted as in two or three or more tenants? Thanks.

Greg Goodman

Yeah. Good question.

2028, we'll be delivering the first power available. I suspect, being a five-story building, very complex, it'll be multi-tenanted.

That's my view, but that's not to say we don't have demand for whole buildings over a series of time or a series of years. Bearing in mind Macquarie Park's becoming difficult, most developments on the North Shore are either not occurring or delayed, right?

To have something coming out of the ground, which we do now, we're having serious conversations, but we're very happy to manage and operate it over multi floors, but we're also happy to do a whole building deal depending on the economics and the deal we do.

Ben Brayshaw

Perhaps it's a question for Nick. Could you provide some color on how many sites have been sold down into the European partnership to deliver the forecast revenue for the vehicle?

How many are remaining on the balance sheet to be transferred, and will that transaction happen in the second half or will it be phased over time?

Nick Vrondas

The ones that have gone in already were the Frankfurt and Amsterdam properties. The two Paris properties will go in in this half.

That's all that's contracted at this stage.

Ben Brayshaw

Just finally, in relation to Syd01, the site, has the ownership transferred to the balance sheet from out of the partnership? It has.

Would the establishment of the partnership potentially give rise to a trading profit or an uplift on the carrying value when that is settled?

Greg Goodman

Yes. I don't think we're commenting on that, but yes, it has transferred.

Partners will come in to the 50%, I suspect. Goodman will own 50%, I think, is the plan, and partners will come in for the other 50%.

I don't think we make any comments on uplifts or anything like that.

Nick Vrondas

No, but look, it's not that big either, it won't be much of a needle mover.

Greg Goodman

Yeah.

Ben Brayshaw

Okay. Thanks, guys.

Nick Vrondas

Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Richard Jones with JPMorgan.

You may proceed.

Richard Jones

Hi. Just following up on Ben's question, is it fair to assume that the bulk of the land value uplift in Europe across Frankfurt and Amsterdam has been booked and the two Paris project uplift will come in the second half, Nick?

Nick Vrondas

Look, we're not commenting specifically, but yes, generally that is a fair estimate, yes.

Richard Jones

Okay. Thank you.

Greg, just interested in your comments about automation and robotics on industrial projects. Are you looking at funding that for the tenant as well?

Greg Goodman

No. I think the same approach as we've taken with a lot of the big sheds we've taken, but once you go gate to gate, they're billion-dollar investments.

The buildings and the land and where it's sitting, we would be in for $600 million, $700 million, and then there's the fit-out components that might be anywhere between $100 million to $500 million. It's all going robotics.

Warehouses inside five, you won't have anyone in them effectively, and some of our big customers are already planning on that, right? When they pull the trigger on full robotics, warehouses, probably not today, but they've got the technology now to do it.

That's the way it's heading. Most of our big warehouses, we need 6, 7, 8 megawatts of power.

That same power discipline we're using for data centers, actually we're using also and have been using around big industrial buildings. When I talk about essential infrastructure and the ability to get these things powered up and plan them, the discipline around both actually is very, very linear and very parallel.

That's why Goodman as an operator and a developer in the sector, there's some big competitive advantages we've got around infrastructure because we've been doing that infrastructure for many, many, many years. I think we're in a really, really good spot to do both.

Effectively, don't underestimate, as I said before, some of the work in progress on industrial because they are getting bigger, and there's six buildings going into one. That is going to drive productivity, and it will drive costs out of business over the long term.

They are big customers with big budgets.

Richard Jones

Can you clarify what the returns look like on those big industrial projects?

Greg Goodman

They're good. You look at our averages, and I think we're throwing out anywhere between 7s and 9s.

It's in there somewhere.

Richard Jones

Okay. One more quick one for Nick.

Just what would be the capital commitment from a capex perspective you'd anticipate to the balance sheet in the second half? I

Nick Vrondas

don't have that number at my fingertips. About half a billion, I think, is broadly where I think it's at.

That's based on the

Greg Goodman

kind of current projects. That's excluding sort of any new acquisitions or anything that hasn't been sort of identified yet.

That's just what's in the pipeline.

Richard Jones

Yep. Okay.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Callum Bramah with Macquarie.

You may proceed.

Callum Bramah

Hi, thanks for taking my question. Apologies if I've missed it somewhere in the announcement, etc., but as I understood it, the two near-term completions for the data centers was LAX01 and then Hong Kong 09.

I just wanted to know about the customer commitments on those and if you could give us an update on progress and when we should expect that to be completed.

Nick Vrondas

No, LAX is is not no, that that's not in Hello. LAX01 is not in completions.

Yeah. What else we have in completions?

It's mainly

Greg Goodman

industrial items in the completions, none of the data center ones were in the completion. The next one to complete is in Chiba, which will be shortly.

Nick Vrondas

Yeah.

Callum Bramah

Apologies. I might have not asked clearly, but just in relation to the data center projects, when are you expecting to get a customer commitment for LA and for, I think, was it Hong Kong 09, are the two that are kind of near-term in completions?

Greg Goodman

The Hong Kong

Nick Vrondas

Tsuen Wan.

Greg Goodman

Yeah. Texmaco, we're going fully fitted, it's going to be a while away yet.

That's the plan, and the other one in Hong Kong is already committed. In regard to LAX, we're in discussions at the moment.

Bearing in mind we have our first power bank available sort of running towards the end of this year, we're in good shape on that one. Our view on that, that's a multi-customer building and a full operational building, right?

That'll fill up over a period of time in as we deliver is the program on that one. Look, there'll be more about that in the next month or two.

Callum Bramah

Okay. That's on track for powered shell completions due in June?

Greg Goodman

No, we're going to actually have our first data hall ready before the end of the year, right? A building full mechanical, electrical, and plumbing outcome there.

Nick Vrondas

The shell, I think you've got to distinguish between the shell and the fit-out. Yes, on the shell, but we're moving then through to the fit-out of the MEP and having progressive ready for service for the data halls, which will happen, as Greg said, progressively from the second half.

Greg Goodman

Yeah.

Callum Bramah

I think maybe based on prior conversations, there was an expectation of maybe getting customer commitments 12 to 18 months out in advance. Is there a change in that because of the market dynamic, or a strategy or tactical play for Goodman?

Are you able to just give us a bit of color about timing on those customer commitments?

Greg Goodman

Yeah. It's topography, right?

The LAX01 is going to be multi-customer. You're talking anywhere between probably 1 meg to 10.

We're talking to a customer at the moment that's the higher number. They might take the first bubble of power.

It's an operating asset. That's very different to doing 100 megawatts or 200 megawatts in a different location where the customer will want to go earlier.

The one in LAX is ready for service and you're leasing it as you go. Artarmon's going to be very, very similar to that as an operating asset.

We'll lease it as we go, and there'll be some other assets that are going to be effectively pre-committed. We might be starting some earthworks.

There might be some transformers in and things like that, but there's some big ones we're actually working on at the moment, which are effectively we're designing for those customers even though we might have started a few of the earthworks and getting it ready, yeah? You'll see both of those type of deals being done, depending on where they are and what they are.

Callum Bramah

If I can just push my luck with one more, just in relation to the Paris assets going in, which based, I think, on your earlier comments, Nick, have yet to go in, can you just clarify the drivers of the timing of when they go in and maybe what your current expectations are?

Nick Vrondas

Yeah. You might recall there were CPs that related to local municipalities in the main.

That was the main reason. The municipalities have preemptive rights, and so there's just a regulatory notice period, Q&A, they can understand the basis of the terms, and then they notify you.

On one of them, we have subsequently been notified, and so the process for the settlement of the first one is about to be initiated, so that will close within the next month. Then the second one is very, very close behind.

Expect well and truly before the end of June to have closed those two.

Callum Bramah

Is that across the entire project site, or just the first data center, if you like, of the campus?

Nick Vrondas

No, the whole thing.

Callum Bramah

The whole campus. Okay.

Thank you so much. I appreciate it.

Nick Vrondas

No worries.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Tom Bodor with Jardine.

You may proceed.

Tom Bodor

Good morning, Greg and Nick. Just picking up from one of the comments you made about Callum's question.

Where you do have multi-tenanted facilities such as LA, what do you assume for a timeframe to stabilization post-completion and where do you see stabilization from an occupancy perspective? Oh,

Greg Goodman

something like that, you could knock that off in a couple of years effectively as you build it through. There'll be another 12 months in building out the MEP, and during that time, I suspect you've got most of it done and then there might be a tail at the end.

Over a couple year period would be more than enough time, unless you let it to one customer, of course, and then they'll take a programmatic approach to it and take maybe floor by floor over a period of time as they require it.

Tom Bodor

When you hit PC, what's your sort of broad working assumption for these multi-tenanted facilities in terms of occupancy and what timeframe post-PC do you sort of see it getting to fully let?

Greg Goodman

Oh, look, I think within 12 months you'd be aiming for, but you're delivering them floor by floor, right? I think LAX01, we've got 6 meg, I think the 6 meg's available shortly, right?

We can deliver that and then just move through it in a programmatic way.

Tom Bodor

It's

Greg Goodman

spending capital as you go. It's not all spent at that point, and you keep spending it on the way through as you need to do that.

Tom Bodor

That's clear. Just a final one from me.

There's obviously a huge amount of capital required to develop these facilities, as you've highlighted. How, and it's a long way away, but how do you think about pricing and capital demand for core data centers?

Do you think there will be an ultimate takeout at the end, or do you think a lot of your partners just want to develop to core and sit into the partnerships long term? Oh,

Greg Goodman

they're all approaching it differently, depending on their view on returns. Development returns are obviously a lot higher, there'll be partners that want to click the development returns and move through.

Then there's the whole scenario whether a platform value is worth more than the sum of the parts, which I've got a bit of a view on, which I won't share here, but I think you'll find that's starting to play out as well at the moment. There's a number of different combinations.

We're super focused on making sure we've got something at the end that people want to be in and it's going to have a good growth profile and it's a good piece of infrastructure investment. That's why you won't see us owning and holding assets in faraway locations.

We're going to be bullseye, I think they call it eyeballs, some of the eyeball locations, some of our US friends effectively. We want to be where we've got flexibility around the buildings, great locations, low-latency-type facilities that we think over the next 10 years are going to be the best for residual value and for terminal value.

Tom Bodor

Okay. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Claire McKew with Green Street.

You may proceed.

Claire McKew

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my question.

I just wanted to ask more big picture, given this is a 10-year and beyond story, as you strategize internally regarding, say, a music stops or a true bear case scenario, Jevons paradox type of events, etc., how are you positioning the brownfield data center pipeline? What would be the next best alternative use for the land and how does that profitability profile compare?

Greg Goodman

Yep, good question. The sites are industrial sites, for example, we're in planning in Melbourne, Western Sydney.

They're industrial sites at industrial land values. If, for example, demand wasn't strong enough, we'd flip it around and build a good old shed that might be in demand.

We do have flexibility. We're not over our skis in paying big, big, big prices for land around the world for data centers and there's no option.

We do have optionality around everything we're doing because in the main, the 6 gigawatts of sites—and to be clear, we're working on double that as a global portfolio, but the six we put on the page, which is in secure and advanced, yeah, we own it. Where we have bought it in the last 12 months, we bought the land and then we've grabbed the power cable, right?

We're not lifting the cost basis on these things to the point where we don't have an alternative use in the main. That's the off-ramp.

The other off-ramp, to be quite frank, is capital, and that's called equity. The amount of leverage that's being raised around the world, that's all good until you can't get it.

We're making sure we've just got a lot of equity, what we're doing sensible. We're doing it with some of the biggest partners in the world.

We can build through for customers, even if the debt climates and things change. What our big customers want to know is that can you build it, can you deliver it, and can you do it in a way where we're going to get a high-quality product and there's not a financial issue on the way through.

Now, we've all been around or certainly here a fairly long time, and we know things change. We know capital markets change, we know debt markets change, right?

We're building something that's sustainable, resilient, and we can deliver for our customers, and we can deliver over a long period of time. Be very pragmatic, sensible about what we do, but what we can do, we can do it in volume and we can do it globally.

That is tremendously attractive to our customers.

Claire McKew

Thanks. That's helpful.

I would have thought resi might be in there on some of them, but yeah, I appreciate industrials bread and butter. Just another one on the economics of the European partnership.

I appreciate there's a staged path to recognizing development profit and profit share. Just focusing on the land uplift that would have been achieved, is it still fair to think about data center land values at around sort of the $4 million a megawatt of critical IT capacity, or sort of that 3 to 4 times comparable industrial land based on this deal, or are you seeing values edge higher given the depth of demand?

Greg Goodman

Generally speaking, I won't talk about the land values on the deal because I think people try and run comparatives, and quite frankly, we've looked at a lot of land deals and they're at a certain price, but they actually don't have power even though they say they do have power. I think there's a big, big, big differential, I'd be very careful about quoting land rates and things that have been selling.

Very different if it's shovel-ready and you can go vertical with your slab and your sticks and you can go up, as opposed to something that might be, right? There's a very, very, very big difference.

I've got to say generally, power infrastructure is costing more money, is taking more time, and effectively, you can expect that the cost of these things is going up, not down. That applies to land as well.

The infrastructure, the basic infrastructure around the grids around the world is getting limit-long in many, many places. Everything is costing more money around the infrastructure.

The other point is, if you look at the demand that's required globally, I don't think we've got enough production, we don't have enough infrastructure even to supply that ambition. I think that is a concern that's been voiced by a number of big customers around the world or proponents of AI platforms.

Very hard to compare land values because they're all very, very different stage of readiness, put it that way.

Claire McKew

No worries. This was more around land value of power-ready, ready-to-build land.

It just really stems from obviously when we're underwriting the value of Goodman, a lot of the value stems in the value creation from the data center pipeline, where there's land value which is transactional, but also intrinsic value or platform value. I'm just trying to sense-check how we're evaluating the value of the land.

Greg Goodman

I understand. We're not going to help you too much today.

Sorry.

Claire McKew

Yeah.

Greg Goodman

Cool. No worries.

Operator

That's all right. Thank you.

Our next question comes from David Grace with E&P. You may proceed.

David Grace

Thank you. Greg, you've got working progress of $14.4 billion heading to $18 billion, current yield on cost of 8.1%.

Just interested where you see yield on cost trending to as you continue to add long-duration projects to the pipeline.

Greg Goodman

Look look, it moves up, effectively. I think it'll be, depending on how much industrial we do, because that'll be a little lower.

You can see it moving up from that 8.1%. I think the, just on the commencements, I think that was through 9%.

It'll it'll move up over time depending on that mix. Look, it's healthy,

David Grace

and but

Greg Goodman

I go back to like the gross yield on cost is one thing. The quality of what you're doing is another thing, right?

We're very conscious of the quality and the location, because the billions and billions and billions you require, and 6 gigawatts, I think, heads up at $140 billion of in value on the sort of mix we're doing at the moment. You need a lot of money, right?

You need to be building stuff that you can partner and own that is a good investment. Our eye is on making sure that we have a residual value, we have a terminal value, or we have an investment value that is going to hold up over time.

That means you need good sites, resilience, flexibility, all those things above. You build some, you build a piece of infrastructure that's not a, a 5-year 5-years run and done.

David Grace

No, thank you. Can I imply from that then that the $18 billion WIP should actually increase, just given the nature of the long duration of these projects?

Greg Goodman

Look, I don't think it's any surprise if it's 18 in June with the duration of the projects that it goes higher. It's going to go through $20 billion, I think, that's.

How far through that will depend on how successful we are around the customer side of it, I think. We're regulated and moderate it.

We've got to make sure, and we have, we've got the capital, then we can work through it. We're dealing with some of the biggest companies in the world, or the biggest companies in the world, not some of.

We've got to make sure that we've got sustainability, we've got resilience, we've got capital, and we can deliver over a long-term time frames, multiple countries, multiple languages, but you're dealing with the same customers. It's going to be pretty interesting.

David Grace

Great. Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Andy MacFarlane with Bell Potter.

You may proceed.

Andy MacFarlane

Morning, guys. Just a quick one from me, just interested in terms of turnkeys and powered shells, just how you're thinking about it, one versus the other.

I guess whether there's been any changes as you've progressed through their data centers in time and I guess the second leg of that would be kind of what you're seeing hurdle rate-wise and yield on cost, and if that's factoring in the thinking of what product and where you're doing.

Greg Goodman

Yeah. Look, down this part of the world running up Asia-Pac, just as a general comment, the customers are wanting data center-ready facilities.

That leads us into the MEP build-outs and what have you, and pretty well most of the discussions, if not all, in Asia-Pac are around fit-outs. We're having the same conversation in Hong Kong at the moment where we've doing a shell.

That'll go through to a full build-out. Japan's the same, and down in Australia will be the same.

Europe, because hyperscalers are doing less of their own builds, they expect in Europe full build-out programs. Everything we're looking at in Europe is a full build-out with the MEP and delivering floor by floor effectively.

That's that. The US is different because you've got a lot bigger build-out programs of the hyperscalers.

It's the majority of the market globally. You'll see us with big shell programs, but you'll also see us with operating buildings like the program we have in LA that's a 150-meg gate-to-gate program maybe up to 200 effectively that you'll see those potentially being all operating buildings because of that location and what we're doing.

You'll see more shells in the US, but some operating. Europe will be very much operating, MEP-type facilities, and down in Australia, we'll be filling the buildings up with mechanical and electrical facilities for the customers.

A lot of it's going to be heavy on infrastructure, yeah.

Andy MacFarlane

Sorry, Greg, yeah, are you seeing any change to hurdle rates or yield on cost returns?

Greg Goodman

No, but like I said, we're very disciplined in understanding that you don't survive in this industry unless you can deliver a good product for investors long-term. You can't rotate your capital unless you do that, and then the Goodman investors for putting out the capital at Goodman Group need a return on their capital.

Unless you get that all right, the machine stops. I think you can be fairly assured we're doing it at the appropriate margins to make sure that machine keeps on going.

Otherwise, we don't have a rotation of capital and Goodman Group shareholders don't get a fair return.

Nick Vrondas

Andy, though, you would expect that if you're just looking at yield on cost on mark-to-market value of land, you would expect that something that's fully fitted you'd have to compensate with a higher yield than something that's core shell, if you mark-to-market the value of the land like-for-like. Theoretically, that is what you should expect if that's the nature of your question.

Andy MacFarlane

Yep. No, that's fine.

Thanks, both.

Operator

Thank you. I would now like to turn the call back over to Greg Goodman for any closing remarks.

Greg Goodman

Thank you very much, and good morning.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the conference.

Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.