Petter Moldenius
Good morning, and welcome to Karnell's Q2 2026 earnings presentation. I am Petter Moldenius, CEO of Karnell, and joined by our CFO, Niklas Svensson.
Q2 2026 is a quarter we will look back to as a milestone in Karnell's development. For the first time, our quarterly EBITA exceeds 100 million SEK, and on a rolling 12-month basis, our EBITA margin has now reached 15.4%, and by that, surpassing the financial target we set out at the time of the IPO in March 2024.
As usual, I'll begin with an overview of the quarter and the progress we've made. Niklas will then take you through the segmentations' performance and financials in more detail, including cash flow and leverage.
I'll then return and discuss our latest acquisition, and close with some key takeaways. For those of you who are joining us for the first time, Karnell is an active and long-term industrial owner.
We acquire and develop small- to medium-sized industrial technology companies with strong position in their respective niches. We operate in a fully decentralized model.
Our companies run their own businesses, supported by a lean central team focused on M&A, capital allocation, and ownership. Today, Karnell comprises of 20 companies across Sweden, Finland, the UK, and Italy, employing around 900 people.
With that, let's turn to the quarter. As I mentioned, Q2 marks a significant milestone for Karnell.
EBITA crossed 100 million SEK for the first time on a net sales of 584 million SEK. The EBITA margin for the quarter was 17.1%, compared to 14.6% a year ago.
On a rolling 12-month basis, our EBITA margin is now 15.4%, and we have thereby achieved the financial target of at least 15%, a target we communicated to our investors ahead of the IPO and said that we would reach it in a medium term. That commitment has now been met.
I should also note that our target is defined over a business cycle. Getting there is one step; staying there is the goal, and we believe that the quality of our businesses supports that goal.
Two other numbers that stands out to me this quarter, the operating cash flow, 62 million, it's up 210% from the same quarter last year. If you look at the net debt to EBITDA, it stands at 1.9 times, which is within our stated target.
It would also be worth noting that both 2026 acquisitions are not fully reflected in the LTM EBITDA, the ratio will naturally compress as they contribute to a full year of earnings. To summarize: strong earnings, improved cash flow, and a solid balance sheet.
The chart on this slide shows the consistent margin improvements. Since our IPO, our rolling 12-month EBITA margin has moved from around 11% to the 15.4% that we see here today.
This has been driven by our operational development across our companies and the quality of our acquisitions. I want to give some specific attention to the cash flow.
H1 operating cash flow of 121 million SEK, compared to 33 million in the first half of 2025. That improvement reflects higher earnings, of course, but also a structural change in the seasonality profile of our business.
Our geographical expansion, particularly the UK and Italy, has introduced companies with lower seasonality variations, and together with targeted measures within the group, we have also gradually shifted away from previous patterns where a large majority of our annual cash flow was concentrated in the second half of the year. Two additional metrics that I would like to highlight is the return on capital employed stands at 13.6%.
That's a number that's essentially flat year-on-year, but I also think it reflects the pace of our M&A activity. Capital deployed hits the balance sheet immediately, while earnings builds over time.
I would also like to stress that we remain very disciplined on valuation, and which you can verify in the purchase price allocation in the notes of the report. For a group like ours, I personally think probably that EBITA per share is a more meaningful measure of value creation than reported EPS, since EPS to a large extent is influenced by non-cash items and acquisition accounting.
With that said, looking at the earnings per share after dilutions for the quarter, we now stand at 1 krona per share versus 0.68 a year ago. That's a 47% increase per share.
With that, I'll hand over to Niklas.
Niklas Svensson
Thank you, Petter. Let me walk you through the financial details for the quarter, and starting off with the group.
Net sales increased 36% to 584 million, with an organic growth of 17%. Acquisitions contributed 19%, while currency effects were a marginal negative 1%.
On the right-hand side, you can see that EBITA increased 59% to 100 million, and the organic EBITA growth was 34%. Acquisitions contributed 26%, and currency was negative 2%.
The EBITA margin improved from 14.6% to 17.1%. The margin improvement was broad-based, supported by strong organic development and continued positive contribution from recent acquisitions.
This also brought our rolling 12-month EBITA margin to 15.4%, which is the first time we surpassed our long-term financial target of at least 15%. The quarter also includes 4 million in acquisition costs.
Moving to our segments, Product Companies delivered net sales of 305 million, up 40%, and this was driven by acquisition, which accounted for 25 percentage points of growth, and organic growth, which came in at 16%. EBITA increased 56% to 50 million, and organically, EBITA grew 32%, and acquisition contributed with 26%.
The EBITA margin improved from 14.8% to 16.5%. The recently acquired companies, they continue to perform in line with our expectation and contributed with stable margins.
Niche Manufacturers had another exceptionally strong quarter, where net sales increased 31% to 279 million, with an organic growth of 19%, and acquisitions contributed 13%. EBITA increased 54% to 65 million, and organic EBITA growth was 36%, and acquisitions contributed 20%.
The margin reached 23.1%, up from 19.7%. Most companies in the segment develop well, with stable demand and good cost discipline.
Worth noting is that, as in the first quarter, growth was also supported by continued high demand from a single customer at levels that we don't consider sustainable in the long term. Together, the two business areas remain evenly balanced, and Product Companies represented around 52% group net sales and Niche Manufacturers the other 48%.
Turning to cash flow, operating cash flow for the quarter came in at 62 million, compared to 20 million in the same quarter last year, which is a significant improvement. For the first half of the year, operating cash flow reached 121 million, up from 33 million a year ago, and this reflects higher earnings, but also our own work to smooth cash flow more evenly across the year.
As we add companies with less seasonal swing and roll out targeted initiatives across the group, we are moving away from the old pattern where most of our cash flow used to land in the second half of the year. On an LTM basis, operating cash flow reached 307 million, which is an increase of 86% compared to LTM Q2 last year, and this is the strongest level we have reported to date.
Finally, our capital structure, where interest-bearing debt at the end of the quarter was 771 million, up from 370 million at year-end, reflecting debt drawn for this year's acquisitions, Ulba in the first quarter and Flex 7 in the second quarter. Cash and equivalents stood at 145 million, giving us a net debt excluding leasing of 627 million.
EBITDA excluding leasing adjustments on an LTM basis was 337 million, resulting in a leverage ratio of 1.9 times, within our financial target of normally not exceeding two times EBITDA. Worth noting is that EBITDA only includes three and four months of profit contribution from our latest acquisitions.
Total financial debt including leasing liabilities, contingent considerations, and put and call options related to non-controlling interest was 945 million. Strong organic cash flow generation and debt level within our target range continue to give us the flexibility to act on attractive acquisition opportunities.
That concludes the financial overview, and I'll hand back to Petter before we open up for questions.
Petter Moldenius
Good. Thank you, Niklas.
Yes, in April, we completed the acquisition of Flex 7. It's a British developer and manufacturer of modular connectivity and control system for lighting in commercial and public buildings.
Flex 7 is based in Thetford in the UK, and it has annual revenues of approximately £9 million and solid profitability, as you can see in the chart on the slide. What attracted us to Flex 7 is a combination of proprietary product technology, a strong customer base, and in a well-defined niche.
It's a business model that fits naturally with our approach: run it in a decentralized, product-focused, and servicing B2B niche markets. Flex 7 joins our Product Company business area, and the company is off to a good start under Karnell's ownership and is developing in line with our expectations.
A note on the broader M&A: our pipeline remains active with good momentum, particularly in Italy and in the UK. We continue to evaluate high volume of opportunities and remain disciplined on valuation and structure.
When the right company comes along at the right terms, then we will act. Key takeaways, let me close with the key messages from this quarter.
Q2 marked a milestone for Karnell. EBITA exceeds 100 million for the first time, and on a rolling 12-month basis, we reached 15.4%, meeting the long-term financial target we set at the IPO.
This is the results of sustained efforts, not a single quarter. Growth was broad-based.
Organic growth was 17% in Q2, driven by both business areas. Our acquisition, Ulba and Flex 7, are contributing as planned.
Cash flow continues to improve significantly. First-half operating cash flow stands at 121 million SEK compared to the 33 a year ago, and that reflects a fundamental shift in the seasonality profile of our business, in addition to the higher earning base.
I think this is an important change in the quality of our cash flow generation as a whole. Our balance sheet remains disciplined at 1.9 times net debt to EBITDA, giving us the platform to continue to acquire selectively.
Markets remained mixed, but our decentralized model, geographical reach, and sector diversification allow us to continue to build the businesses regardless of these short-term fluctuations. We are well-positioned, and we will continue to execute our strategy.
I would like to thank you for joining the call today, and we look forward to updating you again when we report Q3 results on October 23rd. With that, let's open the floor for any questions that you may have.
Niklas Svensson
If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key 5, and if you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key 6. We have our first caller is Max Bacco from SEB.
Please go ahead.
Max Bacco
Thank you, and good morning, Petter, Niklas. Once again, well done in the quarter, and especially on the cash flow.
Nice to see a smoother pattern on that. A couple of questions from my side.
We discussed this last quarter as well, this single customer that you deem currently operate at unsustainable volumes in terms of demand. Is it possible to give some kind of indication, looking at the Niche Manufacturer segment, which grew some 41 million SEK organically in terms of sales and 15 million SEK on EBITA, how much of that is linked to this specific customer, if you can give any indication on that?
Petter Moldenius
I think I would like to start to say that it's very broad-based organic growth across the niche manufacturing businesses in Q2. Very solid results overall across those companies.
That momentum continued in this regards to this single customer from Q1, but in relative terms, it is smaller now than it was in Q1. We're starting to see some sort of level of normalization, while it's still a boost for us in Q2.
Max Bacco
Understood. Do you see, going into Q3 now, do you see any impact also in the ongoing quarter from this specific project, or is that behind us now?
Petter Moldenius
This is an existing customer of ours since many years, it's not going to go away. It's more about the levels that are unusually high of the H1, and we are not to comment on the future here in Q3.
Max Bacco
Understood. Then also, you have already mentioned that both on a group level and also within the segments the strength was quite broad-based, but looking also at the Product Companies, very nice organic growth, which to my understanding at least is above current market growth.
Anything specific in the portfolio that stands out, or any actions from your side that might have contributed to the very strong performance here?
Petter Moldenius
I would say also there it's rather broad-based, very stable across our group. I would say that our team are doing a terrific job in general.
I think it's as you say, it's not reflected by the market. This is more that our companies has been taking share of wallet or growing in the markets in general.
I think we see some smaller signs a bit more that the market is starting to pick up, perhaps especially Finland, than it has for the last few years. Again, I would say it's more that our companies, or the teams, are very successful in adding new customers and increasing share of wallet with some of the existing customers that's driven this organic development.
Max Bacco
Interesting. I'm not sure if it has been mentioned already, but what are you seeing on the cost side in terms of inputs, materials, and also I guess freight costs and so on?
Have you seen any impact from that, and any actions taken already, or perhaps going forward within the group in terms of price increases and so on?
Petter Moldenius
In short, I think raw materials, especially plastic raw materials, has been very volatile, of course, this first half year. Again, I think our companies has learned a lot from the previous turmoils, from COVID to Russia invading Ukraine.
I think we've also been much more agile and adaptive here than we were a couple of years ago, even though I think they did a good job even then. Now we've been able to move some of that cost increase to the customer more directly.
It's definitely been a little bit more volatile than historically, but again, I think we've been managing this very well across the group and in our subsidiaries, and that's really the strength of the model we have, a decentralized model where our companies are making decisions very close to the customers and finding the right balance there.
Max Bacco
Sounds promising. Then the final question from me.
It seems quite natural, but looking at the cash flow here in the quarter, you tie up some 36 million in net working capital, which makes sense given the strong organic growth. Is it something else beyond that that influenced the dynamic here in the quarter, if you have any thoughts on that?
Niklas Svensson
As you said, we tie up capital and it is related to the organic growth. Most of the increase is related to accounts receivables, but also slightly in inventory.
No, it's related to the growth that we have. We are happy with even with that growth pace being able to have the cash flow that we had both in Q1, but also now in Q2.
Max Bacco
Understood. That was all for me.
Once again, very well done here, and hope you enjoy the summer ahead. Thanks.
Petter Moldenius
Thank you.
Niklas Svensson
Thank you, Max. We have another question here, a written question, and it relates to our Product Companies.
The question is: the previous 4 years have shown 250 to 400 basis point increase in margin in Q3 versus Q2, meaning that Q3 has been a strong quarter from seasonality. Should we expect the same this year, taking into consideration that you talk about the smoothing of seasonality effects?
Petter Moldenius
I think, again, we don't guide going forward, but I can give you some context for the historical data. I think, again, as rightfully stated in the question, we have had, and we still do have, some seasonality across the group.
I think Q3 is a quarter where more or less all the company are doing well. We have some of the companies who are, sort of by default or by definition, making some losses during some of the quarters around the year, but Q3 is typically the quarter where everybody's contributing.
I think that's also been shown in the numbers historically. Of course, as we continue to expand, we continue to add profitable companies, we'll, of course, see a different pattern, but I think overall that's been the historical reasons for higher margins in Q3.
I think that's what we're going to say about that question. Another question in the chat was the question about the 15% that we now reached, if we now going to come with new financial targets.
I think this is the first quarter, as I mentioned, that we reach this number. It's not about a quarter; it's really over a business cycle.
For me, it's more important now that we establish ourselves with some headroom to that level going forward, and continue to focus on the returns that we can create for our shareholders. That 15% that we set in just before the IPO, I think that should be more seen as the quality stamp of the companies we're trying to acquire.
I think one should also be a bit careful with just looking at the EBITA number as a proxy for how well we're doing, because in the end, it's about the returns that we're creating for our shareholders. You have to find the right balance, and we think that the starting point for 15% is a good starting point for that.
Any other questions?
Niklas Svensson
No. Then we thank you so much for joining the call today, and of course, if you have further question, you can free to email us or [email protected], and with that, we wish you all a great summer, and looking forward to meeting you after the summer.
Thank you.
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