Rolf Jansson
Welcome to the Q4 2025 reporting of Aspo. I will start by reviewing the full-year 2025 figures and development.
We made EBITDA of €36.5 million, which is approximately 25% increase versus last year. Net sales growth of some 4%, basically Telko and Leipurin growing, and a small decline when it comes to ESL.
If you look at the EBITDA percentage, we ended up close to 6%, 5.9% of EBITDA of net sales. Operating cash flow around €50 million and free cash flow €26.5 million.
Leverage 3.6, coming down from Q3 2025. Then earnings per share, €0.51 per share if you look at the comparable EPS figure, and then total reported earnings per share, €0.72.
If you look at the businesses, ESL Shipping, profitability development fairly flat, positive that the new vessels were very competitive and generated profit throughout the year. Telko, significant profitability improvement, close to €18 million, more than €5 million of EBITDA improvement, driven by the acquisitions and then also driven by a bigger share of value-added products versus volume products.
Then finally, the transformation of Leipurin has successfully continued, particularly in Sweden, both due to the acquisition of KEBELCO in Sweden, but also due to organic growth and successful efficiency improvements, particularly in supply chain. Clear profit improvement, like-to-like a bit more than €1 million, and reported figures, €2 million of improvement.
If we then look at the bridge between comparable EBITDA and reported EBITDA, we have here a positive trend. The sales gain of Kallio, one of the Handysize vessels, generated close to €10 million of sales gain.
Then on the other side of the coin, we also have costs, particularly regarding the strategic projects, namely the executing of our portfolio vision, and then also some cost related to the sale of Leipurin. Reported EBITDA group total €43.1 million.
Then if we look at the quarterly figures, we ended up at €8.9 million for the Aspo Group, close to €1 million of EBITDA improvement. ESL Shipping, a decline in profitability to €3.8 million, particularly due to the weak market of the coaster business, namely the poor demand for the forest industry and low spot market pricing.
Telko, improving its profitability, namely due to higher sales margin driven by a higher share of value-added products. Leipurin, positive development due to the Swedish business and the improvements related to that.
Sustainability is close to our hearts, and particularly we follow both emission intensity and then safety frequency. Emission intensity, we set the goal 3 years ago reaching 0.3 emissions, CO2 emissions divided by net sales.
I'm proud to say that we clearly reached this level then in 2025. So 0.23 was the end result for full-year 2025.
As reported during the year, on the safety side, we have had some challenges, but glad to see that the development picked up during Q4. If last quarter we reported year-to-date figures of some 9-point-something, now we're down to an accident frequency of 7 for the full-year 2025.
Despite not reaching the target, the development has been good throughout the year. We got our short-term targets approved by the Science Based Targets initiative, and these relate both to our own emissions, namely the emissions particularly of ESL's vessels, and then also Scope 3 emissions, which we focus particularly on when it comes to Telko, making sure that the suppliers and principals that we use are also committed to science-based targets.
Then finally, we agreed to stop transporting energy coal by latest year 2030. It only represents a small share of our traffic currently.
Both of our businesses, namely Telko and ESL Shipping, have a Gold rating when it comes to EcoVadis. Then to the transformation that we communicated in November last year.
Basically we're saying that first, what we will do during Q1 2026, we will sell Leipurin to Lantmännen. This deal was announced already in August last year, but it takes some time, as anticipated, to get all the kind of local country-specific approvals by the authorities for closing this, but this deal we are aiming to close over the next couple of weeks.
Then when it comes to Telko and ESL Shipping, we're either going to have a demerger of Aspo by year-end 2026, or alternatively, we're going to sell ESL Shipping. We have made progress when it comes to both of these scenarios, and the ambition is, of course, to release untapped value by doing this.
We have a very good starting point when it comes both to ESL Shipping and Telko to have separate companies formed out of these, possibly listed companies. The reason is that we have decentralized a lot of the functions already from Aspo, including IT, HR, and finance.
Part of this development, during January, I've taken role also as the Telko CEO in parallel to acting as Aspo's CEO still. This is also a sign of executing this portfolio vision.
We will assess further integration of Aspo's activities with Telko and ESL, and assess further opportunities to take out kind of structural cost from the company. Then I would ask our CFO Erkka to go through the financials in more detail.
Erkka Repo
Thank you, Rolf. First, looking at the rolling 12-months EBITDA development, ESL Shipping has continued fairly stable profitability from rolling 12-months view, about 9% EBITDA percentage, which shows that good resilience of the profitability in such a weak weak market that that we have have today.
Telko and Leipurin have been both improving the profitability both on absolute terms and on on on on percentage relative terms as as well. Telko and Leipurin profit improvement comes from margin management with the with the pricing actions and and and then then on the the mix of on in in both businesses.
Then on the also on the cost-efficiency measures that we have been taking, and and then acquisitions that have contributed on the increasing profitability trend, leading then on on Aspo level that a trend of of profit improvement. On ESL Shipping, on the on the fourth quarter 2025, the the profitability declined compared to the previous year.
The net sales on on the on the Handys slightly increased, but clearly decreased in the in the coasters. The weak spot market pricing continued, and soft contractual freight volume demand also also continued, especially in the in the forest industry, impacting then primarily the the coaster coaster's operations.
The steel industry activity continued on a on a healthy level. The contractual demand reached its lowest level in in the earlier in early in the quarter and has then improved from from there thereafter.
During the quarter, we sold the vessel Kallio with €18 €18 million with a sales gain of about €9.6 million, and that was reported as a comparable item. In Telko, the profitability increased to €4.4 million compared to €3.9 million the year ago.
The the net sales in Telko declined slightly with modest demand in the in most European markets where we where we operate. The organic sales volumes declined driven mainly by by the decline in the in the in the commodity products, while the demand in the in the special specialty products remained on the same level than on the on the previous years previous year.
The product prices in in in Telko they in general significantly declined during during last year driven by decline in the oil oil price. Price levels have stabilized during during the fourth quarter.
However, the average sales price of of Telko was slightly higher compared to the same quarter last last year due to the higher share of the specialty products in in in our product portfolio. The profitability improvement compared to last year was driven mainly by by the improved sales margin with the increased share of of the specialty products and and with our own own pricing actions, and also with the cost-efficiency improvements, especially on on the supply chain, and and then addressing our lower-performing businesses.
Leipurin continued improving the the net sales with the very strong organic volume growth development in in Sweden, and and overall the price development was also positive on the on the on the last quarter. The like-for-like profit improvement in in Leipurin was €300,000, and in addition to that, as there there are no depreciations anymore after after the after the our announcement of of selling selling Leipurin business, that that impacted €600,000 to to our our profits.
For the full year, the the impact from not having the depreciation was €900,000. Then on the Aspo Group level costs, the rolling 12-months cost level is is €5 million on on the group level, and and we are expecting to to reduce that during this year with the Aspo strategic transformation continuing.
During last year, we have already decentralized the the common functions that we had on the on the Aspo level. They are now been moved to the to the businesses.
The full carve-out of the all the common functions is expected to be completed during this this year, supporting our transformation. Our net debt decreased to €213 million that was driven by the sale sale of Kallio, also decrease in our inventories, and then also decrease on the prepayments related to the three coaster vessels that are are sold to the investors.
The net debt figure includes €56 million of advance payments of vessels under constructions. Considering that, kind of like operative net debt is €157 million, which is related to the assets that we have kind of operational today.
Our net debt to EBITDA ratio is 3.6, and and then the operational net debt to EBITDA ratio is is 2.6 when considering against the operative net debt that we have. Leipurin sale is expected to decrease the net debt by about €60 million on on Q1.
After Leipurin divestment, the ESL Shipping net debt is expected to be about €130 million, and and then on on Telko about €30 million. Then these these net net debt figures represent the kind of the net debt level that you can assume on the kind of on a on a standalone basis.
Liquidity continued strong with €44 million in in cash and and €40 million on unused credit facilities. We have €92.5 million of of committed undrawn loan agreements in place for for Greenhandy investment.
For ESL Shipping, the the net debt was €123 million, and the operative net debt for the for the current assets is €57 million. The net debt to comparable EBITDA ratio was 3.6, and and when looking at that from the operative point of view, that was 2.0.
For the Green Coaster investments, net for for this year will be close to close to zero, so that has been already kind of paid, the investment. We still have some investment outflows, but they they are then netted with the with the proceeds from the vessel sales that we have when we are selling the Green Coaster vessels to to the investors.
For the Green Handy investment, the cash outflows are going to be primarily in in '27 and also in in '28. Then handing over back to back to Rolf for dividend and the and the guidance.
Rolf Jansson
Thank you, Erkka. The board's proposal to the General Annual Meeting will be to pay a dividend of €0.25 per share, which generates a yield of close to 4% if you look at the December 31st share price.
This represents approximately 50% of the comparable EPS of year 2025. It can also be compared then to the dividend paid last year, €0.19 per share, a small increase.
Then if we look at this year, we have a guidance. Now we guide Aspo's profitability excluding Leipurin, Aspo Group's comparable EBITDA from the continuing operations is expected to increase compared to previous year.
That then means that looking at last year, we did €29.4 million, which then includes Telko, ESL Shipping, and Aspo Group. If we look what is behind this guidance, in our core market, we expect economic growth to slowly revive during the year, still however so that during the beginning of year 2026, we still have some challenging market.
The picture is, of course, a bit blurred. We still have geopolitical uncertainty.
We have tensions when it comes to global trade, and these can impact then economical growth negatively. The good news is though that we feel that we have a lot of actions which we can focus on to improve our profitability, both in ESL and Telko.
When it comes to ESL, it's primarily about fleet renewal. We will receive four additional electric hybrid vessels during year 2026, and then we also have opportunity to improve fleet utilization, using the fleet of ESL in a more efficient way.
When it comes to Telko, as we have done a lot of acquisitions, and there's still a lot of potential to capture synergies between these acquired companies and Telko. Then what Erkka already mentioned, we have an opportunity to further reduce Aspo Group level costs, which are currently in the magnitude of €5 million.
If we then specifically look at ESL Shipping, we expect demand to slightly improve during 2026, and also we expect the spot market pricing to gradually improve during the year. During the second quarter, we have quite significant dockings which will impact financial results for Q2 2026.
Then looking at Telko, we expect stable market development in 2026, and also we're aiming to do further acquisitions now leveraging the balance sheet as presented today, and leverage the sales gain from the sale of Leipurin. Then if we summarize the highlights 2025: 25% growth in EBITDA during the year, ending up at €36.5 million; we communicated goal to split Aspo basically in three parts by end of year 2026, basically selling Leipurin to Lantmännen during Q1, and then either selling ESL or having a partial demerger of Aspo by year-end; the dividend proposed by the board is €0.25 per share, will be paid in one tranche after the general meeting in April; and then guidance for the continuing operations of Aspo is that the EBITDA is increasing compared to last year, when we had an EBITDA of €29.4 million.
Then I would ask Erkka to join me on the stage, and we're ready to take any questions that you might have. Pasi, please go ahead.
Thanks. This is Pasi from Nordea.
Regarding ESL Shipping, aren't these dockings in the second quarter actually kind of a way to reduce your capacity due to kind of a supply/demand problems? If you don't have actually now enough customers and cargo for current fleet, where you are going to find new customers and cargo for new ships you are going to kind of receive in incoming years?
Have you truly sold the capacity already which you have ordered in terms of kind of a ESL Shipping? Thanks.
Rolf Jansson
These dockings relate to the Handysize vessels. As mentioned today, we have good demand when it comes to the Handysize segments during last year and also looking into this year.
The challenges have been more on the coaster side, which are more dependent on the forest industry. Then if we look at kind of demand going forward, there are different elements of that.
One is market revival, which for example, when it comes to the forest industry, I think the general take is that the kind of deepest deep in forest industry demand has been passed already, giving kind of positive signs for the outlook there. Then in addition to that, we still have a lot of investments in Finland, Sweden, which will add to the demand of ESL.
One needs to remember that I think we're fairly well positioned in the market when it comes to this kind of green transformation of the Nordic industry. We're also well positioned when it comes to the forest industry, where, for example, paper is not a segment which we are transporting.
We're more in pulp and raw wood. Hopefully I was able to answer your question.
Just to clarify,
Erkka Repo
so...
Yes.
Erkka Repo
The dockings, we typically have two dockings every five years, and then they don't really equally come on every year. This year we have a unusually high amount of dockings, partly related that on some of the older vessels we are extending the lifespan with those dockings of those vessels, bridging those vessels to a longer lifespan and therefore giving us a kind of certainty for the Handysize capacity for the coming years.
Just to understand, these dockings are made for technical reason, not for demand-driven reasons?
Erkka Repo
Technical reasons, yes.
Yeah. You can confirm that new vessels will eventually add €30 million on EBITDA on annual basis when you have actually received all the vessels?
Rolf Jansson
We still have the same forecast, which is €30+ million of EBITDA driven by the investments made.
Excellent. Then lastly regarding Shipping, if I saw right, you still have roughly €100 million missing from the financial kind of arrangements for the new vessels.
How are you going to finance that missing part of €100 million, or are you going to sell all vessels to the pool or lease those back to the operations?
Erkka Repo
We already have committed lending for €92.5 million for the Greenhandys, and our plan includes that we are selling one Greenhandy vessel for the external investors.
This €92 million was actually for the two latest orders you have made?
Erkka Repo
Yes. From that point of view, we do not see a concern on the funding.
Excellent. Thanks.
Joonas Ilvonen
Joonas Ilvonen from Evli. My understanding is that this will be the iciest winter in 15 years around the Baltic Sea coastal regions.
I think couple of years ago, I think you disclosed some kind of figure what kind of a headwind this was on EBIT back then. I think it was pooled with the labor issues back then.
Can you comment on this outlook? I think it will affect at least Q1 and probably also Q2 efficiency for ESL.
Rolf Jansson
The previous time it was partly the strike and then it was tough ice conditions combined with very windy climate as well. I would still say that this is the kind of stronghold of ESL Shipping.
This is the core why ESL Shipping exists. We are able in these tough ice conditions to serve the client with good service quality.
Then you're right, depending on the ice conditions, the distances of the transportation will increase. There will be more fuel consumption and slower operations in the harbors, which will affect negatively our effectiveness.
Joonas Ilvonen
You're not giving any figure at this point what kind of a...
Rolf Jansson
No, so far the traffic has been functioning well. I guess one clear reason is that it hasn't been so windy in the area yet.
We have been able to have quite efficient traffic so far during this winter.
Joonas Ilvonen
All right. Then about this Aspo Group level cost, the reduction of them, can you elaborate, now it's around €5 million per year, do you expect to be able to decrease them maybe a third more or 50% or what kind of a magnitude?
Rolf Jansson
No precise figure. It also depends a bit on the scenario which we're taking.
It's very clear that if you have a stock-listed company, that ties up some extra costs. In a demerger scenario where both ESL Shipping and Telko would be a listed entity, we would have more costs allocated to both companies.
Still in all scenarios, we see some opportunities to decrease the €5 million that you are mentioning.
Joonas Ilvonen
All right. Then my final question, the sale of ESL is a likely option, but ESL's profitability has been quite low for a while and it still hasn't improved that much.
How do you think this impacts the possible sale dynamic of ESL at the moment? How are you kind of taking care that you might be able to capture some of the future earnings upside that should be coming, if not this year, to some extent this year, but maybe more in the, let's say, '27 or '28?
Rolf Jansson
The investor looking at ESL Shipping must understand that we're kind of generating value long term. We have a very stable cash flow, we have a very stable EBITDA, and good opportunities to leverage also the balance sheet of ESL, and this gives a good return.
If you make a decision today to invest in a vessel, you will receive that vessel 3 years from now, and then you have a lifespan of 25 years for this vessel. Looking only at a quarterly figure or looking at an annual figure doesn't tell you very much, because as we tried to explain here today is that a lot of the net debt tied to ESL today does not generate any profitability today.
You need to kind of figure out the details of these figures, and then it's a very interesting investment looking at it. I wouldn't too much look at a single quarter result.
We still believe in what we mentioned, this profitability uplift from the new following generation vessels.
Joonas Ilvonen
Maybe just another question related to the guidance. You guide improving EBITDA for basically ESL and Telko.
I guess it's more driven by ESL, maybe Telko can also improve to some extent, but can you elaborate a bit on this, how's the earnings outlook like, how steeply you might expect them to improve this year, or are you very confident on ESL improving this year?
Rolf Jansson
I think it's really related to both of the businesses. We have on the Telko side, we have untapped synergies.
We also have a split between value-added products and volume products. We see organic growth opportunities and also, of course, from acquisitions, particularly in the value-added product segment, which will drive up our gross margin.
On ESL, as mentioned, we will get some new capacity, very cost-efficient, competitive capacity on board. Then it's all about us utilizing the entire fleet.
It's about fill rates, making sure that when you leave the harbor, your vessel is filled with cargos to be transported. Then it's also about minimizing the time where you do not have cargo in your kind of transportation system, so that you kind of get revenue for most of the sea miles that you are running the fleet.
Joonas Ilvonen
Thanks. That's all for me.
Operator
Then we have two more questions from the chat. These are both from Matti Kaurala.
What do you consider more likely scenario right now with ESL: sale or demerger?
Rolf Jansson
I think we have basically two good scenarios on the table, and I don't want to speculate at this point in time which one is more likely. We're preparing for both.
We have good kind of technical conditions to move ahead with this portfolio vision from the perspective that we have already decentralized a lot of the functions. We have during the past led these companies quite independently.
Then also we have a very good strategic prerequisites for executing the vision. We are going to sell Leipurin over the next couple of weeks, and we have invested a lot in ESL, and we have made a lot of acquisitions when it comes to Telko.
The preconditions for both of these scenarios are very good, and time will tell which one we pick.
Operator
Okay. Then another one: could you comment on organic growth outlook of Telko?
What are the key drivers increasing the demand of your products?
Rolf Jansson
Last year, which Erkka earlier mentioned, we had very negative organic development in the volume products, prices came down, basically they followed the oil prices, and also volume came down. On the specialty side, we had more flat development.
Then looking forward, it's of course all about the revival of economical development, particularly here in Europe, how that will evolve. That also is related to paper and pulp, it's related to construction, automotive, a lot of different industrial segments where Telko is in.
I think on a macro level, the overall kind of forecast is that in our core markets, the economical growth will be higher in year 2026 versus 2025. That goes for Finland, Sweden in particular.
Better outlook than last year.
Operator
Great, that's all from the chat.
Rolf Jansson
Big thank you for joining our Q4 financial reporting. Thank you very much.
Operator
Thank you. Thanks.
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