Finnair Oyj

Finnair Oyj

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Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 22, 2026

Erkka Salonen

Good day ladies and gentlemen. I'm Erkka Salonen from Finnair Investor Relations, and it's my pleasure to welcome you to this Q2 2026 earnings call.

I'm joined by our CEO, Turkka Kuusisto, and our CFO, Pia Aaltonen-Forsell. After the presentation, you may ask questions either by dialing in or by using the webcast chat function.

You can already send questions during the presentation. With these words, hand it over to you, Turkka.

Please, go ahead.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you, Erkka, and a very good afternoon to all of you, and welcome to this result presentation event. Earlier this morning, we have reported very strong performance during the second quarter of '26, which is kind of a continuation of the two earlier quarters: Q4 2025 being the all-time high Q4, and also strong performance continued during the first quarter.

What is kind of especially important to address when it comes to the second quarter performance, in my opinion, is actually rather holistic success in multiple areas. For instance, the revenue growth of 16.4% comes across all service lines that we have.

Passenger revenue grew by some 15%, ancillary sales more than 20%, and cargo really did overperform our expectations by 40% growth, and also Aurinkomatkat did deliver high single-digit growth. Then when we translate the 16% revenue growth into comparable operating result, which was €78 million, it's very important to address the comparison versus last year.

Last year, we reported some €10 million of comparable operating EBIT, but we need to then factor back, add back the cost of the industrial action that we faced last year. Based on our best estimate, the cost of, or impact of industrial action last year during the second quarter was some €28 million.

If we add that back, operationally we delivered some €40 million of comparable EBIT. Basically, what happened this year that we were almost capable of doubling the result.

Pia will cover the operating cash flow in more detail, but of course very happy to see close to €200 million operating cash flow, which is of course essential when it comes to, or pivotal when it comes to funding the investment scheme that we have communicated to you as well earlier this year. What is behind the revenue growth is a kind of a complex topic.

Of course, the demand in the Asian traffic started very positively already in January-February timeframe, and was somewhat boosted after the events that have taken place in Middle East after the escalation of the Iran-US war. Pia will also discuss this in greater detail, but in addition to the Middle East situation, I want to emphasize that we did invest even adding frequencies to our Far East Asia traffic this summer season by flying 28 weekly frequencies between Helsinki and Japan, which again makes Finnair the largest European carrier between Japan and Europe.

At the same time, as we will shortly see in the traffic area split, also our demand increased quite a lot in our European traffic area, and also kind of the minor decline that we faced in North Atlantic traffic actually turned into a positive development. Again, in Pia's presentation, or slides, we have more details when it comes to the fuel hedging position, but in hindsight, of course, it's easy to acknowledge that the hedging policy of Finnair and the actions Pia and her team have taken have been provided us with the stability, predictability, and also some capabilities to control the cost position that is the largest in our P&L.

We had 82% hedging ratio for the second quarter, and for the remaining 6 months the ratio is 76. Already in connection with the first slide, one kind of a key highlight when it comes to the implementation of the new strategy: during the second quarter, we have now signed letters of intent to source six secondhand Airbus A320 aircraft, and if and when these agreements will be turned into definite agreements, these aircraft will enter our fleet already in 2027.

Speaking of customers, I'm very happy to report these numbers. Throughout the last 8 months or so, we have continuously developed the NPS to the positive direction, and throughout Q2 we again scored, in my opinion, very solid number, 42, which compares to the 33 of the peer average, and that's of course a consequence of smaller actions, introduction of new digital components, digital elements, but above all, this is the resultant of excellent operational capability, operational excellence that our team has delivered throughout the Q2.

For instance, our punctuality has been 99% during the Q2, but then again, of course, the kind of on-time performance is challenged during the summer season because congested air traffic control platform in Europe, but all in all, very very happy to see these numbers, and when we take a bit of a deep dive into the core customer section of ours, we are capable of reporting actually a bit higher figures. Then taking the geographical split, we decided to remove the Middle East box for obvious reasons.

We have suspended our flights to Dubai and Doha since late February. Our intention is to restore the flights from Helsinki to Dubai if the safety and security situation allows towards the winter schedule or winter season.

Asia, super strong: revenue grew by 20%, load factor improved by 6%. We can be extremely satisfied with this development, the situation.

As already mentioned, Europe also did perform very well in my opinion: we increased the capacity by 8%, whereas the revenue grew double-digit figure, and load factors also somewhat developed to the positive direction. As already mentioned, North America, or North Atlantic, also improved.

We did decrease the capacity by some tactical kind of elimination of certain frequencies to improve the load factors and yields consequently, and therefore again, the revenue grew by some 6%. This is a bit crowded slide, but we also wanted to cover this one with you, that, in my opinion, illustrates the very stable market share in Helsinki, at the Helsinki hub, Helsinki-Europe traffic, being pretty much where it has been over the past 2 years, and then Europe-to-Asia traffic, minor increase in the market share starting from the first quarter of '26, which these both kind of market share graphs gives us a great position to continue the network design and network development when moving forward, and also the implementation of the new strategy.

Now I would hand it over to Pia for a while to discuss the financials in more detail.

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Thank you very much, Turkka, and good afternoon, everybody. It is, of course, a pleasure to present these strong results.

Let me start by just an overview of some of the KPIs that Turkka has already mentioned: revenue growing by 16%, resulting in a comparable operating result of €78 million. You can see that that's really the highest figure that you can see on this chart here for the operating result, and then also giving us a very healthy cash flow.

I will dig a little bit deeper now into the components both of the revenues and the cost. Let me take you there to the next slide.

I think these are important metrics to follow. RASK and CASK, looking at the revenues per available seat kilometer and also the costs.

As we are by our strategy in a growth phase, we want to keep on growing our capacity, and with that then, of course, also having a good look at these key figures. Now, this quarter in particular on the revenue side, obviously there was one big external event, which was the war in Iran and the situation in the Middle East, that obviously also pushed some of the demand towards other suppliers than the Middle East hubs.

When we are looking at the development of our RASK, obviously we need to take that into account. We are also stating here that that's a significant contributor to the RASK improvement.

There's also an underlying strong continued demand that I think we saw earlier in the year. I'll give you sort of one fact point of that that I find important from a Finnish perspective: actually consumer confidence has, for the first time for really many years, actually been growing to be more positive, and sort of the willingness to travel also amongst sort of Finnish customers and Finnish consumers has certainly increased.

Maybe I can also refer back to the slide that Turkka already presented where we looked at the RASK development a bit also by the regions. We know that the traffic between Europe and Asia is really important for us, and continues to be so, and was of course impacted by this crisis.

There we saw RASK increase, let me check the figure, by 16%, obviously a big increase. We also saw RASK increase on North Atlantic with 14%, and we also saw a good increase in Europe and in domestic, 4% to 5%.

We can see that all of our areas have contributed. I still want to reiterate what Turkka said about the good operational performance, the balanced decisions when it comes to our network, the utilization of the capacity, this sort of holistically contributed to this really strong top-line development and good RASK development as well.

Now, jet fuel and that cost side is certainly on our mind, and I actually have a couple of more slides on that, I think it's enough to say here that that certainly has increased from a sort of market cost perspective. Our hedges have certainly protected us a lot, and there are also typically a bit of delays until some of those sort of operational costs of the fuel increase really hit the P&L.

That all also contributed into a somewhat, let's say, delayed impact, and we will discuss the forward-looking hedges in just a little bit. We have also seen some increases in other costs as you can see here, and it's really personnel costs that have increased predominantly because the number of passengers really grew by more than 7% in this quarter, sort of Finnair's own production certainly has increased, and I would say the other cost elements are pretty well under control, maintenance for example fairly stable, etc.

Those were some of the key highlights from the P&L perspective that I wanted to mention. Let me take you to a few topics when it comes to our overall financial position, when it comes to our balance sheet.

First, there's a KPI that really also reflects sort of the market and the continued strong what we might call sort of order intake, but ticket sales. The ticket liabilities that we have in our balance sheet at the moment are at €757 million.

That's a really high number, and you can see this sort of level increase that we already saw in Q1, it has been kind of keeping there. I think it really shows this improved market momentum also compared with the previous year.

This summer season for sure we have seen a lot of very healthy sales. Then we have continued our CapEx program, as Turkka has talked about, and I think this is important that we have launched the strategy, we are now working according to that, and you see that the CapEx in the quarter is about 72.

Probably for the full year, we will go over and beyond the €400 million, which is well aligned with the around €2 billion for the strategy period that we have talked about in our strategy. Then finally, our balance sheet strength: I think our financial position is stronger than it has been for a long period of time.

If you look at our leverage, it's down to 0.9 times at this point in time, and when you look at the development of cash position versus our revenue, it is growing, it's growing steadily even when we are investing, I think at the point of time where we are today with the uncertainty, that certainly a very good situation to be in. Then talking about the uncertainty, my two last slides will be more focused on the fuel situation.

First, we wanted to bring a more holistic view on the fuel situation. Obviously, I know many of you are also following the jet fuel situation in particular, but I still think it's worth noting that kind of through this crisis, obviously a lot of focus on the Brent and the crude oil and the developments there.

From our perspective, unfortunately, of course, when it comes to jet fuel, the situation has been even more constrained. As we speak today, we have seen 10 days again of continued conflict in the Middle East, and with that, increases in crude oil price, but also increases in the jet fuel price.

Really, if we compare with last year, we are at a completely different level, and the situation continues from a market perspective to be very constrained. If we then look at Finnair's position, our hedging position confirmed by Turkka really protected us in the second quarter, and I think we were also able to be active in the market of hedges again when the situation calmed down a bit.

If we now look at our hedge position at the end of June, I think we have a good protection: 81% to Q3, 71% to Q4, and of course also with hedges into next year, but of course on a falling curve. Still also the price levels, the costs there are not exactly the same as they were pre-war, but still on a reasonable level compared with where the market stands today.

This continues to protect us. Also our long-standing relationship with suppliers continues to protect us.

We haven't seen any supply or availability issues that would have disturbed our production thus far. These are topics that we will need to continue to monitor.

Obviously, it's a very volatile situation as we speak, and we will continue to work the way that we have also worked in Q2: a very tight collaboration here between the operations, of course, the network, the revenue, and as well then the risk management and the treasury bit, we will continue along those lines. With that said, Turkka, back to you.

Turkka Kuusisto

Yes. Thank you, Pia.

We also wanted to share a short strategy execution update with you, and very happy to report that basically all the strategic priorities and initiatives that we have along these four categories are progressing pretty much as planned. We've been very active when it comes to the convenience part, the fleet and network strategic priority of ours.

As already mentioned, we have now signed letters of intent to source six 321 CEO generation aircraft from the secondary market to support the growth, and then as already communicated in connection with the Embraer announcement late March, we will aim at going up to 12 secondhand Airbus 320s towards the end of the strategy cycle. During Q2, we also announced that we will resume flights to Tampere and Turku to support the connectivity for these growth regions of Finland, and as I already mentioned in connection with my opening slide, we have started fly to 12 new destinations in Europe and also reopened or resumed the evergreen Toronto-Helsinki route.

Here are some facts related to operational stability and excellence that we also referred to: flight regularity 99% during the second quarter, and we are continuously introducing AI-powered components to improve the effectiveness and efficiency and customer experience of all the customer-facing processes and channels of ours. Choice-based product offering: again, few KPIs.

The ancillary revenue per passenger grew by 15%, which is a continuation of the double-digit growth that we have delivered over the past 18 months or so, and all in all, when the number of passengers also grew, the total ancillary revenue grew by some 20%. We continue to analyze the data, customers' preferences, to further develop the menu and the variety of ancillaries in our offering.

At the same time, we are also investing heavily when it comes to making Finnair Plus loyalty scheme more attractive, and very happy to see and report that the number of active Finnair Plus members increased by some 30%, and we did sign some domestically and regionally important Finnair Plus partnerships with some well-known brands and companies. Also something that I wanted to include into this slide is the kind of the cultural and organizational sentiment of Finnair.

Last year was very difficult for obvious reasons and the very complex CLA processes, but as we speak today, the organization and culture and the sentiment is developing very positively, very strong momentum when it comes to Finnair Voice engagement index development. We scored 7.4 in the measurement round that ended mid-June, whereas the figure for end of '25 was 7.0.

Then just to recap, because there is so much activity ongoing when it comes to our fleet plans, there are one new, the final 350 coming in during the fourth quarter of this year, and then end of March we communicated the E2, smaller narrowbody investment scheme consisting of 18 firm orders and then some options and purchase rights, and at the same time we communicated the intent to acquire reasonably new secondhand Airbus 320s and also some regional aircraft to really support regional traffic, and also the operational stability given the fact that we are flying ATRs and Embraer E1s with such a high, kind of utilization rate that we need to have also some spare aircraft. Basically that was the strategy section, and then going to the outlook and guidance: outlook is specified, and the specification is the capacity growth measured by ASKs, and today we say that it will grow approximately by 1%.

Last time around, we said 3%. Then the guidance is revised: earlier we said that the revenue range is €3.3 to €3.4 billion, today it's €100 million higher, from €3.4 to €3.5 billion, whereas we will keep the guidance related to comparable operating result as it was last time, given the uncertainty and low visibility and the kind of a geopolitical situation Pia emphasized.

With these words, Erkka, I guess we are ready for the Q&A section.

Erkka Salonen

Indeed. Now would be a convenient time for any questions you may have, please follow the operator's instructions to present them, or write those in the webcast chat.

Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial star five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial star five again on your telephone keypad.

The next question comes from Joonas Häyhä from OP. Please go ahead.

Joonas Häyhä

Thank you, and good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions.

I have a couple. Firstly, I'm looking at CASK ex-fuel, that growth seems to have been clearly stronger in Q2 versus Q1.

Could you please elaborate the key elements, and maybe provide some color on the H2 outlook? I think you mentioned the number of passengers growth in that figure increased costs, but I think, if I have my numbers correct, your passenger growth was at a similar level in Q2 versus Q1.

Still the CASK ex-fuel increased quite a lot. Can you please elaborate this?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Hi, Joonas. Thanks a lot, and it's a good deep dive question.

Obviously, we go directly into some details here. I think first of all, if I look at sort of the annual growth of the cost, now from memory, I don't have the factsheet in front of me, but we are talking some annually maybe kind of €20 million level, and if I look at that comparison with a year ago, clearly we have increased in terms of our passenger volumes, and with that said, we are also in the peak season.

This is the season when the level of activity is really high, and we have a higher number of personnel right now. Admittedly, yes, we have also seen some growth earlier in the year, but this is really sort of to cater for that peak season.

Please keep in mind as well that this is more maybe marginal, but I'll still mention it, as we are also preparing for the CapEx projects, etc., there's some cost that we are adding also there, some training, etc. We do need to have the right persons then in place for the infleeting, etc.

If I would look at it sort of from where I stand today, I think out of the increase that I saw sort of year-on-year in the quarter, maybe about half of that really comes just from the fact that we are in the peak season still increasing our passenger amount. Then there is certainly inflation if we look at sort of the CLAs and the agreements, etc.

If I would translate that to millions, maybe it's €4 million, €5 million, something like that, sort of inflation-bound. Then we had a couple of million extra what I would call sort of training cost, a bit of catch-up there maybe as well from history.

Then we do have a better year and there is a bit bigger accruals when it comes to STI, etc. That's again couple of million.

That's sort of the approximate breakdown I could give for you right now.

Joonas Häyhä

All right, thank you very much. Then secondly, cargo yields seem to have jumped significantly in quarter.

Is this merely a reflection of the reduced market capacity or perhaps fuel surcharges? What's driving the development?

Turkka Kuusisto

Basically, combination of the both components you mentioned.

Joonas Häyhä

Thank you. Then finally, I'm looking at the other income line that came down from Q1.

Can you remind us on what kind of changes have you had in the wet lease front, and is Q2 a good proxy for what should be expected for the second half of the year?

Turkka Kuusisto

Yes, we need to keep in mind that the wet lease agreement with Qantas, 2 330s, that agreement ended end of March this year.

Joonas Häyhä

All right, thank you very much.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Pasi Väisänen from Nordea. Please go ahead.

Pasi Väisänen

Thanks, this is Pasi from Nordea. Firstly, a question related to unflown ticket liability.

Here we have seen a growth of 13%, but is this growth coming from 13% higher ticket prices? What could be the unit growth when excluding this price-related effect from the liability?

Thanks.

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Thanks, Pasi. Excellent question.

I think this must reflect sort of the broader picture of where we have seen both our volumes increasing as well as then increased load factors impacting the RASK, and then finally as well, market data also shows us that there has been an increase of ticket prices, which is also available in our data. I still think it's a combined mix of all of those also in those sort of forward-looking tickets.

Turkka Kuusisto

Yes, I would agree with Pia, a combination and maybe one-third coming from the yield and two-thirds from the number of passengers.

Pasi Väisänen

Oh yeah, that's excellent. Then one question related to investment program.

What could be the annual average capacity increase coming from this €2 billion investment into strategy period? I note that you have guided roughly about 4% growth in amount of passengers, but by taking into account that new planes are narrowbody planes and of course serving kind of shorter routes, I guess the capacity growth then could be below the 4% growth coming from the amount of passengers?

Turkka Kuusisto

You're right that the strategy is built on the assumption that 4% growth on annual basis, and of course it depends to some extent that when do we get the new aircraft into our production and what is the kind of business mix between, or how much we will still utilize wet leases during the so-called transition period. I guess the optimization exercise that we have ahead of us is to really source the aircraft and also utilize the wet lease capacity so that we can meet the 4% growth ambition.

Pasi Väisänen

That capacity growth could be close to 4% also in this period?

Turkka Kuusisto

Yes.

Pasi Väisänen

Okay. Excellent.

Maybe just one issue related to fuel costs. Can you give us any color regarding the fuel costs in the second half?

Because this is probably the biggest black box here and that creating the uncertainty in the estimates and also on your guidance. For example, when looking at open position and the fuel costs on the spot market, is there any time lag you are kind of facing: 1 2 days, 1 2 weeks, or 1 month into spot prices, or how should we actually try to estimate the fuel cost in the second half?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Pasi, it is indeed an excellent question, and I think first of all we try to give a bit of color for that to really give specifically the sensitivity to the fuel price. If sensitivity 10% change in the jet fuel price for us would be an €18 million change on result level, and that's taking into account the hedges that we have.

Obviously with sort of the 76% sort of hedge level, I think a critical point to look at is what are the sort of costs that we have locked in already. Then you are right that there are delays from sort of the spot price that you see vis-a-vis when we actually use the fuel, what's actually on the invoice, but that is to some extent confidential contractual information.

I think you can observe a little bit the pattern from the early sort of part of the year as well that there's also always some delay in that. Typically in the market, those delays are not significant, we are not talking quarters or anything like that.

Pasi Väisänen

One technical issue related to kind of spot prices we can see from the market, for example from Reuters and Bloomberg, I guess those are wholesale prices in Rotterdam. Are you hedging prices made for the delivery prices from Porvoo to Helsinki-Vantaa, or are you hedging prices actually to the wholesale prices, is there kind of 11%, 12%, or 14% difference?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Maybe I can try to answer this on a little bit more general level. I think there are certain indices that we are sort of typically locking the hedges into, and those vary somewhat by market, you could, for example, have a different index in Asia versus Europe.

Indeed, there is some alteration depending on where we actually use the fuel, but it is still based on sort of indices that are available in the market.

Pasi Väisänen

I see. Maybe lastly regarding that rerouting of those planes from Middle East to other destinations.

Is there any flexibility, is it even possible to kind of start up that Doha-Dubai routes immediately if the airspace is opened, or have you then kind of 6 months, 3 months lag how to if you are using those planes already and sold those tickets, I guess it's impossible to kind of ramp up this capacity again?

Turkka Kuusisto

Yes, basically what we've communicated very recently that we will not resume Helsinki-Doha anymore. Qatar Airways will start to operate Helsinki-Doha by themselves.

We do intend to fly Helsinki-Dubai based on the winter schedule, winter '26, but only if the safety and security situation allows us to do so, and we do have some flexibility when it comes to then towards the winter season to optimize the frequencies and capacity, let's say towards the North Atlantic traffic. If the situation allows reopening Helsinki-Dubai, we are more than capable of doing so.

Pasi Väisänen

Excellent. Yeah.

Thanks, that was all from my side.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you, Pasi.

Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please dial star five on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Andrew Lobbenberg from Barclays.

Please go ahead.

Andrew Lobbenberg

Oh, hi there. Congratulations on a really strong quarter and good execution.

Can I ask what the revenue guidance and the capacity guidance implies for your unit revenue expectations in the second half, compared to that 14% unit revenue in the second quarter, because obviously doing the math is not very straightforward because you've got the changes in the wet lease. What's your internal or what's the implied RASK guidance for H2 from your capacity and revenue guidance?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Yeah. Hey, thanks Andrew, and thanks for the congrats.

That's really appreciated. I think one of the things to isolate obviously is try to look really at what sort of goes into our top line is obviously where we are really sort of flying our own traffic.

Now the comparison period, there was still this Qantas flying that only ended earlier this year. Now I take this a little bit out of memory, but I think it's a 5% growth that we would see if we would not sort of need to take into account this change in the wet lease.

Maybe that's sort of a better measure for sort of the volume and the development really of our own flying, which then has a connection to that top line as well. Maybe that gives a little bit of the hint.

This was now a bit from memory, if my memory doesn't serve me well, I'm sure my IR will shoot me soon, but at least he will give me a bad eye. That's one way of looking at it obviously that our own flying is increasing during the year, and that is also then a part of the revenue growth that we are seeing.

Andrew Lobbenberg

Okay. If I can stay on the same topic, and I know previous speakers have asked on it as well, but as we had a brief moment of peace and leading up to that the Gulf carriers were reintroducing full operations, what happened to the pace of your Asian bookings?

Did it step down noticeably or was it a more subtle fade? Obviously, have you seen any change to your inflow in Asian bookings as hostilities have resumed in the most recent days?

Turkka Kuusisto

I would say that we saw the most visible kind of upside towards the end of March, but when we had this very fragile memorandum of understanding between the parties, we didn't see or witness slowdown of the bookings overall, and also Asia performed well, and now based on the current information, the geopolitical situation is not that much anymore influencing the velocity of the bookings.

Andrew Lobbenberg

That makes sense. Thanks.

Move to a different subject matter, if I may. Your 320 deals for six used 320s: how old are they?

How content were you with the price? Are you seeing that the market is getting a bit easier with the failure of Spirit and Frontier handing aircraft back, or were you slightly wincing when you accepted the deal, but you need the blooming planes so you had to take it?

How ugly was the pricing? How old are they?

What's the timeline or prospects for getting the next six?

Turkka Kuusisto

Without going into the details, we are still in the letters of intent phase, but what can I disclose is that we have found, let's say, a sub-fleet of aircraft that are pretty close to the configuration that we are currently operating. From the complexity point of view, pretty optimal, and also the modification cost that is required in order to make them look and feel like Finnair, and also, let's say, install the needed winter operation kits, etc., is very reasonable, and this is a very different situation that we faced, let's say 12 or six 6 months back.

If and when we will finalize these six letters of intent, I think that we've done a very good deal.

Andrew Lobbenberg

The part of timeline for getting the next lot?

Turkka Kuusisto

Going back to the age question, they are below 10 10 years on average and the engines are kind of overhauled and maintained, and then we would like to see the six first six aircraft arriving our fleet already 2027.

Andrew Lobbenberg

Okay. Ancillaries were really strong.

There's a brief reference on the presentation towards spavdo [spavdo?] , but yeah, can you talk a little bit more about what is driving that super performance on ancillaries, and how sustainable is that rate of growth, because it's really impressive.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you for the question, and it's been pretty impressive, and kind of my position or perspective is that the double-digit growth has now continued over the past few quarters, and it's not a coincidence. We've developed the product offering.

We're introducing new products, but above all, we are making, let's say, the check-out flow easier, and also we aim at identifying the most optimal kind of purchasing windows of opportunity that when a consumer or passenger is willing to buy an ancillary or two. It's pretty much about introducing the modern retailing capabilities and personalization.

In addition to developing the right products, we need to sell them at the right time to a right person, and that we have really invested in developing our retailing and marketing capabilities.

Andrew Lobbenberg

Perfect. One last one, and then I'll shut up and let anyone else go.

How are the different new routes that you brought to market this summer, how are they behaving?

Turkka Kuusisto

They're behaving actually pretty well. Of course, when you open 12 new destinations, there is some variety and variance when it comes to booking velocity, but up until now, it seems that they've been right choices and very good business for us.

Andrew Lobbenberg

Cool. Thank you so much.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you, Andrew.

Erkka Salonen

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from Mateo Salcedo Lopez from ODDO BHF. Please go ahead.

Mateo Salcedo Lopez

Hello, thanks for taking my question. I have three, if I may.

The first one, you were mentioning Asia bookings are continuing, let's say, on a good pace, and what about yields to Asia?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Hello, Mateo. Good to have you on the line.

I think, as such, we are not really expanding our comments into sort of forward-looking yields, etc. I think the sort of the holistic picture we were trying to give earlier is that we don't see here a slowdown.

Mateo Salcedo Lopez

Maybe on the same topic, on cargo, is the strong performance continuing so far or, yes, what's the color on that sense?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

I think the comments we could almost repeat. Obviously cargo was really significantly stronger than normal during the second quarter, and it was both volumes and yields, and you know that in the cargo business this is very sort of short cycles, obviously this kind of gets pressure tested every day again.

We do still see a sort of a good flow at this point in time.

Mateo Salcedo Lopez

Understood. Then maybe my last question is regarding your EBIT guidance.

If I do the 12 months rolling, we're almost at the top end of the range you have given. I understand that there is some uncertainties with fuel cost, but are there any other items that might impact your guidance or the fact that you didn't actually upgraded your EBIT guidance while you upgraded your revenue guidance?

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Yeah. Thank you.

I do think that the fuel cost is sort of the biggest individual item where the changes just happen really fast on the market, and that's why we also wanted to give this figure that the 10% change and this you should of course look sort of throughout the period from July until the end of the year, would bring €18 million of change in the result. Obviously if I look at the forward curve only how it has behaved in the last 10 days, it is up with approximately that 10% or even maybe a little bit more.

I think we just need to acknowledge that there is this uncertainty, especially around the fuel. Obviously then in the longer term, and now I'm not talking about sort of this week or next week, but this could also have an impact on the consumer sentiment if the war continues.

We have not seen this at this point in time as already discussed, but it's July now and we are still talking about our guidance until the end of the year.

Mateo Salcedo Lopez

Perfectly clear. Thanks.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you.

Erkka Salonen

Thank you. Seems there are no further questions in the telco, but one one question online still: so how does demand look for Q3?

Turkka Kuusisto

Basically, what we've discussed in connection with the questions and also the presentation, I think the best estimate is the unflown ticket liability that we also disclosed in our numbers, that grew by 13.3%, and then the more qualitative remarks and comments related to very resilient and consistent consumer preference to use their discretionary spending to traveling and experiences, which is also supported by Aurinkomatkat's insight that this is the second highest kind of consumer's intention to travel abroad when they have the next vacation or holiday. Based on the internal data that we have, we can also qualitatively also confirm the kind of ticket liability growth of ours.

Erkka Salonen

Thanks. I guess we're pretty much out of questions and can conclude the call.

Many thanks for the excellent questions, for joining, and we wish you a nice day and great summer.

Turkka Kuusisto

Thank you all, and have a happy summer.

Pia Aaltonen-Forsell

Thank you.