Redes Energeticas Nacionais SA

Redes Energeticas Nacionais SA

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Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 31, 2026

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the REN 2026 First Half Results Conference Call and Webcast.

At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.

To ask a question during the session, please press *11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.

To withdraw your question, please press *11 again. Please note that today's conference is being recorded.

I would now like to turn the conference over to your speaker, Madalena Garrido, Head of IR. Please go ahead.

Madalena Garrido

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to REN's First Half 2026 Results Conference Call. We appreciate your time and availability this morning.

Joining us today are the members of REN's Executive Committee: Rodrigo Costa, our CEO; Gonçalo Morais Soares, our CFO; and João Conceição, our COO. Rodrigo will open with his opening remarks, and then this will be followed by a detailed overview on REN's operational and financial performance.

Following the presentation, we will open the floor to your questions. Thank you again for your attention and continued interest on REN.

Rodrigo Costa

Thank you, Madalena. Good morning, all, and thanks again for being with us today.

This is the call that it's just before the holidays of most of the people. As you probably saw, we had another good quarter, both from operational and finance perspective, in Portugal and also in Chile.

This time, we don't have any major event to report on, and today the introduction will be really short. I believe we are making very good progress in all fronts, and we will go through the details.

Now Gonçalo takes the lead.

Gonçalo Morais Soares

Thank you, Rodrigo. Good morning to you all.

I'd say another set of good and solid results. We are delivering on the strategic update that we made to you on March of this year, I'd say slightly ahead of that update.

On slide number four, you have the key messages, EBITDA grew almost 11%, 10.8% to be more precise, mostly on the back of strong domestic EBITDA, which is mostly driven by the new regulatory framework in electricity, but also some contribution from international operations. On net profit and building on that, you also see good growth, also because of improving financial results and mostly because of tax impacts, not only the levy in gas that went away, but some court gains that we made from previous decisions and recuperation that we are making on the levy.

Here, we should clearly expect growth, but don't expect this kind of percent-wise growth, percentage growth, for the full year. In terms of net debt, stability, most of of of of the debt is basically in line.

Average cost is coming down a little bit, also on the back of improving ratings. On capex, we are delivering the growth that we have been promising.

Capex has increased around 23%, also transfers to RAB have also increased, and this despite the fact that we had very strong storms, the Kristin storm in the beginning of the year. Operating teams made an an incredible job and were able to continue to work also on other fronts and deliver this growth.

Let me just pass to João, that will give you a brief update on what's going on on more of the operating side. João?

João Conceição

Thanks, Gonçalo. Good morning to you all.

On slide five, you have the key message from the operational perspective. I would highlight the fact that on the electricity side, the Portuguese system maintained a very high level of renewables penetration.

Slightly above 70% of the total consumption in the first semester of 2026 was generated from renewable sources, with approximately the same distribution per technology as the previous years, 2025. We keep seeing the consumption to increase around 3.5%, and that's approximately the expectation we have for the following months, meaning that this is in line, basically, with the plans that we foresee and the need for additional infrastructure as we presented in our investment plan.

On the natural gas side, you see here an increase on consumption of 6.1%. That's mainly driven by the usage of natural gas for electricity generation, and that drives from the fact that we were forced to introduce some combined-cycle plants into the system for security-of-supply purpose just after the last year event, the blackouts in 28th of April, as well as the storms, like Gonçalo mentioned, the Kristin storms that we had in Portugal in January 2026.

Another point to highlight, and related to the blackout, is the fact that the Portuguese regulator classified the blackout as an exceptional event. We were kind of expecting this classification, and that's quite important because it accounts for our quality-of-service indicators.

We also see another aspect that it's relevant from the operational perspective is the fact that the Portuguese government launched the consultation on the strategic plan for storage, which, again, will put some extra needs for capex within our infrastructure. Moving to slide number seven, basically, you have the different indicators.

Apart from the consumption and the renewable share, which I mentioned, I would just highlight the fact that we keep the very high levels of quality of service, even though you have an average interruption time on electricity significantly higher than the previous year. That drives from the fact that we are considering in this 3.41 minutes the impacts of the Kristin storm, although we are also expecting this to be classified as an exceptional event, and if that is the case, it won't count for the indicators, and the interruption time reduces significantly to 0.01 minutes, perfectly in line with the previous years.

On the natural gas, the levels of quality of service are kept at a high level, as previous before. With that, I pass to Gonçalo.

Gonçalo Morais Soares

João, thank you. On slide number eight, just the main highlights.

I think I have gone through this: the increase in EBITDA, the increase of 42% in net profit, net debt stable. Moving on to slide number nine in EBITDA, you can see that most of the increase comes from the asset and opex remuneration, and this is basically the increase in new regulation in electricity.

There's also an increase in the semester of the incentives, which, at year-end, should actually be slightly lower than we have right here, as they are a little bit more challenging to achieve, and as we actually made the expectation to you. This will probably slightly be lower at the end of the year, but the logic is the same.

The costs are increasing mostly by personnel and some other external costs, which are also included partially in additional opex allowances that you see on the asset and opex remuneration, okay? The international segment delivered well, and so what you can see is electricity growing and surpassing clearly 2/3 of what is the weight in EBITDA, and you also see the international growing close to 6%, still a small number, as we like to keep it, but growing at a good pace.

On slide number 10, you see, basically, the increase of rates in electricity, although rates are coming up a little bit. Probably the rates of return on the assets at the final, when we determine them in 30th of September, will be slightly higher, but not very much higher, but slightly higher than what was initially estimated at the beginning of the year.

In terms of 11, of investment, in slide 11, as it's still early, but I think that despite the fact, as João was mentioning, that we had the Kristin storm and that we have all of the operating teams in the field, the fact that we are still delivering strong capex and we are still delivering strong transfers to RAB is a very positive sign. We are, I'd say, very optimistic and very constructive in looking at the full year with, I'd say, nice double-digit growth in capex versus last year, versus 2024, because last year you had some, I'd say, special capex in Chile.

If you compare it to 2024, you would have, I'd say, significant increase in capex versus that year, okay? In terms of RAB returns, in slide 12, a little bit what you already know, the normal dynamic in these several segments, nothing to add here.

Let me just move to slide 13 to comment on opex. I'd say that this is in line.

We are still going after and controlling opex quite well, but the business is growing, it's normal that opex grows. This is basically on personnel, driven by more people and some normal, general increases, and in core external, it's basically tied to maintenance costs and IT costs, which are then protected also under the regulation.

It's normal that in the first year of regulation, you are not still recuperating what you want to recuperate in terms of external costs, but this is going to be quickly being recuperated through the regulatory framework, okay? In terms of international, in slide number 14, I'd say solid results, Transemel growing a lot, but this is mostly also, not only, but mostly because of the small acquisitions that we made last year.

Everything in completely already internalised, the assets already functioning well, and the, I'd say, the normal assets that we have in Transemel are also progressing quite well, and we are in line to keep the investments and to be able to fulfill the investments that we have planned for Transemel this year in Chile. In ElectroGas, you see very small decreases year-on-year, but the reality, to be honest, is that we are optimistic on this business.

We are seeing renewed push for increase in the gas imports from Argentina, and there may be some growth here also in the coming future. I think that this is also a segment that, although not as sexy and although not having as much growth as electricity, is also performing quite well and could actually have some growth in the coming years.

Looking at below EBITDA, depreciation basically in line, nothing there to add. In terms of financial results, there is an improvement.

This comes from several sources: first, because we are receiving interest from the levies that we are winning in court, so that's important; second, because net debt is slightly lower and in line; third, because we were able to decrease a little bit the average cost of that. Bear in mind that the average cost of that may increase now again because we are seeing increases being implemented by ECB.

There may be another increase in September, although we issued very well at the time that we issued in February, there may be some pickup. The fact is that the improvement in the ratings that we are also now seeing also is helping us insulate from these increases, and is helping us control and maintain the cost of debt at a very optimised level.

In terms of taxes, basically, the story is one, the elimination of the levy in gas that you already have this year, it's the €10 million less; and secondly, we have this recuperation of €4.1 million already in the accounts, although nothing changed structurally in the levy, we have no news, we didn't have any court case in electricity that would be interesting to tell you, but what we are seeing is that the court cases in gas are slightly accelerating the dynamics, we are seeing more court cases being built. We already recognized, it could be that during the year we recognize more things until the year-end relating to court cases of gas and recuperations in court, okay?

In terms of net profit, it's all of this in slide 16 put together, strong EBITDA, strong financial results, strong tax recuperations, okay? All of these make this 42% increase.

As I said, we are expecting an increase, but not this increase for the full year. In slide 17, in debt, everything very much in line, net debt actually evolving positively quite well.

Part of it is because of tariff deviations that are now at a very low level, and also because we are still in the dynamic of receiving and implementing the solar agreements. This other line that you see here is mostly related to that, we are receiving, sometimes the capex will do a few months later, this is also kind of a timing issue as João's teams are building and implementing the solar agreement capex that we have in mind, okay?

Net debt very stable, maturity stable at the five years, a lot of liquidity still, controlled cost of debt, we are very comfortable with our funding position. We are seeing improving ratings, we are clearly building flexibility here also at the net debt level.

In slide 18, just the share price. It's going up.

Now in the last few days, it has come down a little bit, I think we are still performing well with the market, but this is kind of going up and down, the normal dynamics, nothing here to add. In terms of ESG, just to tell in slide 20, just to repeat, and this builds on the comments that João made, the most interesting here is that you see the greenhouse gas emissions growing a little bit, around 3%, the Scope 1 and 2.

This is driven by what João explained: the security of supply issues and measures that we took, they made this increase. We are expecting this to level off a little bit more on a full-year kind of watch, okay?

I'm not going to go through the detail of slide 21. Slide 22, with the ratings, you are basically seeing that improvements are getting smaller, I think we did a lot of job.

We are still investing a lot of time and resources in this, in ESG, but the results in terms of ratings are going to be slightly smaller because we are getting to higher levels, okay? In terms of closing remarks, just to tell you, in slide 24, this is basically what we told you in the update: in EBITDA, we are seeing the positive impacts of the constructive regulatory framework in electricity; in net profit, and building on that, we see the impact of not only funding, but also of the tax recuperations that we knew; in capex, we are seeing the growth that we promised to deliver; in net debt, we are basically seeing this strong balance sheet that is enabling improvements in ratings.

What you can also expect and what we can also tell you is that versus what we told you in March of this year in the strategy update, we are delivering. We are comfortable with the EBITDA interval that we gave you and with the consensus that we gave you.

We are actually very comfortable with the net income consensus and the interval that we gave you on that. On capex, we are also very comfortable with the interval, and I think we'll probably be closer to the upper range of the level that we gave you on that interval rather than to the middle, okay?

I think we are delivering well on what we promised you recently. With that, I conclude and I open up to any questions that you may have.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. As a reminder to ask a question, please press *11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.

To withdraw your question, please press *11 again. Once again, please press *11 to ask a question, and to withdraw your question, please press *11 again.

We are now going to proceed with our first question. The question comes from the line of Alessandro Vito, Mediobanca.

Please ask your question.

Alessandro Di Vito

Yes, good morning, all. Thanks for taking my question.

I have two. First one: I understand that you are comfortable with the ranges that you provided with the strategic update.

That said, the net income of first half is a little bit ahead of the midpoint of the range that you provided. I wanted to understand whether do you see maybe some upside at bottom line at full year, or should we expect some seasonality maybe in the second half?

If yes, to what could be the explanation of that? The second question: I would be interested if you could provide some color on the consultation on the electricity storage that you mentioned at the beginning of the presentation, specifically if this could be also an opportunity for you or if, let's say, this segment would be only focused for liberalized operators.

Many thanks.

Gonçalo Morais Soares

On your first question, I think that everything that we have on the update is kind of coming out as we planned, all of the impacts of regulation, all of the capex, all of the costs. I think what makes it be a little bit ahead or not, also may be the tax recuperations.

If they happen faster, that's a timing that we don't control, when they happen. If they happen, I'd say, at a faster pace, we may beat a little bit the number that we gave you.

Yes, there is a possibility of an upside versus the interval that we gave you, so that's why I told you that we are very comfortable, but most of it, I'd say, is driven by these reasons. João, do you want to comment on the storage?

João Conceição

Sure. Thanks, Gonçalo, and thanks for the question.

Regarding what has been announced by the government is a push both on chemical storage, the usage of batteries, what considered to be the short-term storage, but complemented by what they consider to be the long-term storage, which is pumping storage. They have some targets that was announced: more short-term targets for the batteries, medium/long-term targets for the pumping storage.

This storage is supposed to be developed by market agents and market operators, it's not considered to be something that is under the operation of the system management or the network operator. Having said that, in order to connect this new capacity, we will be obliged to develop extra grid elements, and we will be obliged to increase our capex so that these capacities is fully connected to the grid.

Alessandro Di Vito

Thank you.

Gonçalo Morais Soares

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Thank you.

Once again, if you have a question, please press *11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press *11 again.

We are now going to proceed with our next question. The question comes from the line of Fernando Abril-Martorell from Alantra.

Please ask your question.

Fernando Abril-Martorell

Hello. Good morning.

Thank you for taking my question. It's only one, since the storage plan has already been answered.

I'm not sure your involvement, but is about the Zona de Grande Procura process that is been held at the moment, I think in Portugal. I don't know if you can give us some color about this process, how is it going, the amount of connection capacity requested versus what is currently available, and well, broadly speaking, the implications that this process may have to you on the investment targets.

Thank you.

João Conceição

Thanks for your question. Actually, this is the second formal process that the Portuguese system launched.

The first one was very much spotted to the industrial site of Sines. This second one is covering all the country, this is what they call the national high demands areas, I would say, translating directly to English.

There was the several market agents and operators, consumptions and data centers and so on, that presented their interest. This goes through a relatively straight procedure of providing guarantees and to reinforce the need for this connection points.

In parallel, we have already presented that to the government, the needs on extra capex to create the necessary conditions for all these players to connect. We are at the stage, and it's not public yet, of closing the procedure by making the necessary connection agreements with these consumers and, in parallel, waiting for the decision of the government regarding the specific capex that we have announced.

Thank you.

Gonçalo Morais Soares

Thank you.

Fernando Abril-Martorell

Thank you. Can I do a follow-up, very quick one?

It's just about the timing. When do you expect an update on this process?

Maybe after summer or maybe it may take longer?

João Conceição

Ideally after summer, but there are some timings that we do not control, namely the decisions from the government. Ideally, I would say in the third quarter we are supposed to be closing this procedure.

Thank you.

Fernando Abril-Martorell

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions at this time, I'll now hand back to you for closing remarks.

Madalena Garrido

Thank you, all. If there's no further questions, we would like to thank you again for your time and availability.

We remain available to take any other questions offline, and we wish you all a very happy summer break. Thank you.

Thank you.

João Conceição

Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for participating.

You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.