Alexander van der Lof
Good morning, everyone here in the Okura Hotel, and also everyone in the webcast participating. Today we are presenting our annual results 2025, and before I go into that, I'd like to point out to the cautionary note regarding the forward-looking statements.
Then I immediately jump into the key messages for H2, or for the whole year of course, and starting with the fact that H2 was substantially better than H1. That is also what we guided for, and it was of course also back-end loaded with the pressure and the drive to have to deliver a very good result in Q4.
Actually we are proud that we delivered such a strong result of around €70 million EBITDA. It is not working here that the slides move forward.
When I look then into Automation, Automation had a strong performance, especially in the Smart Vision. Smart Vision had a substantial growth in the profitability, driven by a very strong development of new end markets that we delivered, and what we also saw is that the innovation level was really high, above 30%, above average on, let's say, the Smart Vision activities.
What we see is that especially also the demand in smart software did very well, and we are focusing further on solution performance, and with strong positions there, we see that the added value has further improvement potential, although the added value is already at a very high level in the vision technology activity. Within automated machinery, of course there was an impact of the lower order intake during 2024 already, leading to a lower turnover, but there we had an extremely well performance in Q4, and that had especially to do with larger projects nearing completion and the operational excellence that we were able to implement, and that led in the end to a higher margin on these projects than that we originally estimated.
We were somewhat conservative in respect of the outlook for automated machinery. What is also very good news that we made further inroads with the tire building technology, first delivery of a working system, and additional orders that we received, and especially a new area where we are penetrating now is the motorcycle business, with also two tire building systems sold in that area.
Within Electrification, of course we saw the impact on the results with the output issues that we had in the Eemshaven. We saw gradually improvements during the year, and actually quite good performance already, not what we targeted for, but a substantial improvement in Q4, and you have to take into account that, let's say, until the third quarter, the profitability was really low or almost zero.
If you look then at the whole year, the main contribution came from Q4. What is also very good that we won a lot of additional new contracts.
Our technology leadership is really proven, with a very high market share, above 80%, and still also a very good outlook for the market with until 2030, more than 14,000 kilometer in the pipeline for which we are tendering. Last but not least, we announced also today that we had a very big contract win with Alliander, DSO in the Netherlands, where we announced that we have a eight-year contract with a total volume of around €650 million.
Performance is developing in the right direction with the offshore, and as well the onshore is having also a very good perspective for the coming years. Of course, you all remember the Capital Markets Day in September.
We are excited about that, to unlock our value of the TKH Group. Of course, we also have our capitalize and execute program to increase the return on our existing building blocks, and there's huge potential, and focus there is really key to get the return that we can achieve.
We announced there, of course, that the future of TKH is in Automation, and that we are looking for the separation of Electrification and a new shareholder structure for those activities. Later in the slides, we will come back to that, that we have chosen a dual track.
We have selected an investment banker for that, and we are working very hard and making progress already in the past quarter, and we will also be able to announce, I believe, in the coming quarters further actions to give confidence that it is a good move, and the perspective of this separation is huge. I go in a little bit more detail to the results.
I try to move quickly through that. I already commented to several remarks on this slide.
I'd like to point out to the return on sales, a good level, 14.6%, although similar to 2024. Yet, the performance of the Electrification business is not there to be able to achieve an even higher level.
Turnover in the Electrification business in Q4 was up 29%, automated machinery down 6.9%, and vision technologies up 1.8%, and we have to look at vision technologies that the comparison base was quite challenging because of the delivery of some very large projects in Q4 last year. Here we have the overview of the performance of the whole year 2025.
I'm not going to in detail, you can read it for yourself, and I will comment further to the divisions in the next few slides. Whereas it is again important to mention here the high innovation rate, 17%, I believe that is really driving the technology leadership that we have, and the continued aspiration that we have also there to be a leading technology company in the areas that we are active in, and of course the leadership leads to above-average margins, and that is again in relation also to the perspective we see in return on capital employed, which is not at the level that we targeted at the Capital Markets Day, but there's still a lot of room to improve there.
I believe it is also good news that the net debt came down. We managed, I believe, in a quite well way the working capital, Elling will come back to that later.
I'd like to mention here the EcoVadis result. We are with the gold award in the top 5% of companies evaluated by EcoVadis, and as we are a very customer-centric company, this helps us tremendously in positioning ourselves in respect of the sustainability priorities we see at the customer base, and that customer base applies to all the divisions that we have in the group, where we see that appreciation for the sustainability position of TKH.
I move then to the specific results of the three segments. You will notice we are still reporting in the three segments.
We already had a pre-discussion before this meeting that of course the desire to get more input on how the automation activities and the electrification will look like starting from Q1 and moving up through the rest of this year and the future. Of course, we will guide there, but it was too early to do that in 2025, we still report it in these three segments.
I mentioned already the substantial improvement of the vision technology activities related to the EBITDA. We see that the order book slightly came down.
There is a currency effect in that, Elling will come back to that later, but we also have to take in mind that we had some really large projects that in the end normalized during the year into let's say smaller, but still sizable projects, and yeah, with the fantastic short lead times that we have in a very well-organized supply chain, yeah, our customers can wait till the last minute to order, and they don't have to book already, let's say, capacity a long time ahead, and that's a big change that we saw compared to 2021, 2022, where most of our customers tried to secure their business for much longer time than that we see today. A very good improvement of the return on capital employed.
2D Machine Vision, strong end markets, where especially our technology differentiation worked out quite well to gain market share and to have our market share. We see in 3D Machine Vision the focus on the solution business is really helping us to improve the added value, and as you can see in this slide, the added value increased from 60.6% to 62%, and yeah, we are quite selective in where we want to be active.
We don't want to commoditize our business, and there's a lot of potential in adding value towards our customers, and that we get the appreciation and the return we can get on the turnover. Especially well went in 3D Vision battery business and factory automation, including the wood processing business.
Within Security Vision, the growth was modest, again also related to the comparison base of 2024. Especially the demand for mission-critical systems was very good.
We see that with the geopolitical situation, that priority for mission-critical solutions is really high. We are well-positioned there, and that has a fantastic growth perspective, and what was also doing quite well, we had a very big parking guidance project in the US, a very profitable project, and that was, let's say, a kind of breakthrough again in this field of parking, and I believe a good move related to the whole vision technology we can supply in this parking area, including the mission-critical systems that we develop.
I move to the next slide, the automated machinery performance. We can see here the decrease in the turnover of 14.2%, added value also at a higher level.
We see that also in the mix of activities, we had a quite good performance. The innovations play an important part at our tire building activities.
Of course, also the divestments helped, where we had a lower added value, but this is the direction we need to move, and is a good confirmation again of our USPs and technology leadership in this segment. A record high return on sales over the whole year.
Last year was already a very high return on sales with 19.1%, and last year '24 and last year with 19.4%, we even overachieved, while actually we were somewhat underutilized related to the lower turnover. The order book came down, and that impacted the result.
The order book or the order intake was already lower starting by the end of 2024, but yeah, as I mentioned, the mix of activities is also very important. The outlook in principle is very very positive for this activity.
The drivers that are there with automated machinery, hands-off, eyes-off manufacturing is really key. We see that many of our customers have really difficulty to find the skilled labor, and we keep on developing to eliminate as much as possible operators in let's say the manufacturing with our systems.
Again, the positive impact in Q4 related to the excellent operational performance on projects, larger projects nearing completion. I go to the next slide, the Electrification.
I believe I already mentioned most of the points in the first slide. What I can add here is again the outlook is really positive with the unique technology that we have, the dry design technology, which offers really big advantages for the contractors, reduces risk during the installation, and again, lowers substantially the cost of the whole installation, including the transportation cost, because we are located at the most ideal location in Eemshaven to serve the contractors that have their equipment close to the Eemshaven.
Of course, we saw the impact of the outsourced activities. We have a sizable project of more than €200 million, the IJmuiden Ver project, and the outsourced services have a very low margin.
There's a big leverage has there been to winning this project, and yeah, to secure the business, but the margins are relatively low, and we see that back in the added value that was 4% lower because of this mix in activities. Then Digitalization, still a very difficult end market.
We are not profitable there. We are on the move to get it profitable, but it will certainly take a few more quarters to get there.
The cost base is much lower there now, so that is supporting of course to return to profitability, but the end market is still difficult. Of course, we see signs in some geographical areas where the demand is higher than the supply, and that always helps of course in a global demand also to balance the supply and demand and get to a better pricing potential.
My last slide here today is about the dual track process that we have initiated. We have not a preferred option at this moment.
We keep all options in that respect open related to the dual track process. I believe we have clearly pointed out, and it is confirmed again in this sheet, why we have made this choice for the separation.
I believe that that has been understood quite well, and yeah, we are excited to work on this process. We have two very strong activities that deserve also the right, let's say, ownership structure to support the future growth opportunities.
Thank you very much for your attention, and I see you back with the Q&As.
Elling de Lange
Thank you, Alexander. Good morning to everybody.
As usual, I walk with you through the financials, starting off with the top line, geographical distribution of our revenues. As you can see here, a little bit of change, not too much.
Europe remains the center of our activities, 60%, just like in '24, but a little bit of a shift from the Netherlands to other parts in Europe. Asia, pretty strong, 23.7% of the total, and that's mostly driven by the fact that the Security and Vision propositions in Asia have grown compared to '24, mostly in that particular region.
North America, more or less stable, just below 15% of the total. Then the other regions, there you see actually a reduction towards 2.7% of total revenue, and that's mostly coming out of a little bit of a different distribution within the tire building revenue, where things went a little bit back to the more traditional regions, I would say, which we disclosed here.
If I walk with you through the profit and loss account, what I usually do, then of course, first of all, looking at the revenue again, organic growth 4.9%. As you can see, acquisitions and divestments had an almost €27 million impact.
About €6-7 million came out of the acquisition of Liberty Robotics, and the other part has to do with the divestments, of which Dextron is an important part. Looking at the added value, Alexander highlighted this already a little bit, how the added values developed per segment.
Clearly, Vision is doing well, automated machinery very strong increase in the added value, also partly driven by all the efficiency improvements and operational excellence programs which have been already implemented since quite some time and getting its full effect, but also the operational performance of the projects which are near to completion. In Electrification, the split, the mix between, let's say, own-produced and sourced products, which are in the top line, was different than in '24, with more outsourced services as part of the revenue stream having impact on its added value, making good contribution in the end, but added-value-wise lower than when we produce ourselves.
That leads to adjusted EBITDA for the group of close to €190 million, that's about 7%, 7.2% organic decline compared to '24. You can see that the effects of the acquisitions as well as the currency fluctuations were rather small.
If we then go down in the P&L, the one-off expenses, most of it took place, €16.8 million is the total for the full year, €16.3 million already was established in the first half of the year. The biggest ticket, more than €11.5 million is related to additional transportation costs which we had in subsea as a result of the delayed effects in production for which we then were liable for the transportation cost towards the final customer.
The acquisition and divestments had a ticket of about €3.8 million, and restructuring and digitalization about €2.3 million. On the impairments, I think it's important there, the effects of the transfer of our fiber optic activities from the Netherlands into the new factory in Poland that has been completed, as mentioned earlier, and that resulted to some remaining assets to be depreciated as they don't find a place in the new location, and that goes within the chain, that's within China, the Netherlands, where this took place.
Then of course, as you always see with the high level of innovation which we carry and the amount and the expense we have related to R&D, there also is some clean-up always in portfolio because not all the portfolio is getting to its full benefit. About €2 million on R&D projects from the past we had to impair.
The results of associates, mostly the entire amount which is mentioned here, the €34 million, is coming from the Dextron exit, a very well-performed exit with a very important benefit. Then on the financial result, we have seen a little bit of improvement there, mostly driven by the exchange rates.
If you look at the delta there, we have about €4, €4.5 million effect, and that basically explains the delta between '24 and '25 on this particular line. Tax rate, the normalized effective tax rate just over 22%, 24% in prior year, and I think if you look at also your models, probably in the range of 23%-24% is a element where you can work with.
Taking next look at the balance sheet, important I think is the working capital. You can see in our press release the details of the components in the balance sheet, of course.
We have always been discussing the inventory levels. Inventories came down pretty well, €340 million, still a sizable amount, but it was about €400 million, the reduction is 60.
What we see on the other side in the construction contract assets, there we have a substantial uptake. A lot of projects, and that was earlier mentioned, are in the final stages of completion, and of course, they are still in our books.
The liability, the contract liabilities are lower due to the fact that order intake is at a lower base, the delta is substantial. We have a net contract assets in '25 finishing at about €60 million compared to a negative, a contract liability of €11 million in '24, the delta is pretty big, and that goes back in your working capital.
From that point of view, the underlying effect, supply chain improvement, stock levels, etc., are doing very well, but on the effects of completion of projects within the tire building activities and the lower order intake, you see that basically that effect evaporating, bringing the overall working capital more or less in line, in close to the €300 million as we had in prior year. The 17% is too high.
We keep on referring to roughly the 15% as where we at least want to be, and I think that's also feasible if you look at the steps which we have taken on the various elements, but the timing of especially the intake effects see that the level goes towards the 17%. That, of course, has also impact on the net debt levels.
We improved from close to €500 million to €460 million, a leverage rate of 1.9. At half-year, we were still at 2.6, a good improvement there.
If you look at the bigger tickets here, then I think it's important to highlight the capex which we have in both the tangibles and intangibles, you see them here accumulated towards about €130 million. As mentioned earlier, and there's been a lot of questions, we had this special strategic investment project or program for quite some time.
That had still a little bit of impact in the first quarter, about €15-16 million of this cash-related element in capex is related to that program. Normalized for that, we're in the range of €115 million, and that's also a kind of level for your models for going forward.
Looking at free cash flow, the ones who follow us for a while know that normally second half is of course better in terms of cash flow generation. We can also see that in '25.
You can see the various deltas here, but I think especially the free cash flow in the second half of close to €100 million compared to a negative of €23 million in the first half came out at a total for €75 million for full year. Also there, not really where we want to be, but I think it's a good step up in the second half at least.
If you follow the capital expenditure line on the PPEs, then you will see that the impact of the strategic investment program is really diminishing, and we're getting, especially in the second half, already to the normalized level what I talked about earlier. Then my last sheet is related to the outlook.
Our strong building blocks with leading technologies and strong market positions form a strong foundation for '26. Barring unforeseen circumstances, we expect on balance organic growth in turnover and adjusted EBITDA in '26, but with the first quarter being weak.
I want to mention maybe before we get immediately the questions on this one, we are a little bit let's say less disclosing details on some of the outlook components. In the past, we had a little bit more detail on this.
Alexander already mentioned we are in a dual track phase, there will be a lot of let's say disclosures coming up, a lot of let's say liabilities in relation to disclosures coming on the agenda, and also in different shapes and forms, from that point of view, we are a little bit more let's say reluctant to go in too much depth at this point in time. That's the statement I would like to add to this point here.
Let's open up for Q&A. Martijn.
Martijn den Drijver
Good morning. Martijn den Drijver, ABN AMRO ODDO.
I'd like to start off with Connectivity, and I'm going to ignore the Q1 for subsea, but on a pro rata basis, Q2 to Q4, would that 600 kilometer, €180 million in sales, 15% to 17% EBITDA margin still apply? Or is that upgrading of the equipment and the scaling up still an issue beyond Q1?
That's question one.
Alexander van der Lof
I believe that is a really key target we have, and we are let's say positioned to achieve that.
Martijn den Drijver
Okay. The second one— With a much lower
Alexander van der Lof
risk than last year. We have seen in the press release that we had excuses related to type tests, larger dimensions, and especially the larger dimensions opened up new issues, but we also announced that we did a major upgrade of one of the key lines related to the final process for this cable.
The risk is much lower compared to last year and even compared to Q4, which makes the possibility to achieve the 600 kilometer way higher than in 2025.
Martijn den Drijver
That begs a follow-up. What is low risk in your book?
Alexander van der Lof
Low risk? That's difficult to exactly pronounce, but yeah, the let's say the opportunities are bigger than let's say the negative aspects.
Martijn den Drijver
I'll move on. Would you be able to help us out, you mentioned the transportation costs, but there were also double costs for Lochem in supporting subsea, there were also double costs for Haaksbergen in their transition to Poland.
If you add it all up, what are we talking about of rather incidental opex elements that are not likely to reoccur in 2026? Just are we talking about €15 million, are we talking about €20 million?
Just a bit more color so we know what to expect at the opex level.
Elling de Lange
I think if you look at the elements you mentioned, I think an important part is indeed also the transfer of the telecom activities to Poland, and that's probably roughly half of the call it incidental related cost, and that will be in the range of €7 to €8 million, you're more accumulating that then towards in the range between €10 and €15, more on the higher end of that bandwidth as being the call it, and I don't want to get into the definition question of one-off, but more in response to your question being a kind of incidental related item.
Martijn den Drijver
Around the €15 million level, got it. Then a final question on Connectivity, and then I'll move on.
Onshore obviously did well. Is that unit on track with regard to the EBITDA margins that you've set?
Is that also in that 15% to 17% region already, just to get a bit of sense of where that unit stands? Now
Alexander van der Lof
I believe you underestimate the underutilization effect there. The cost level has been relatively high there with the transformation, Elling already mentioned that, from Lochem to Eemshaven, whereas we could not let's say reduce the costs of let's say all the employees as we were preparing for the growth in onshore, both in medium and low voltage as well as high voltage.
We see a higher cost level that had a still quite big impact also in Q4, and with the higher utilization, it will in the end move into let's say substantially higher return on sales than that we achieved in the past year, and will come back to the level that we saw in I believe 2023 when we had a high utilization level and the cost conversion was much better in place than it has been in 2025.
Martijn den Drijver
Got it. Then a question for Harm.
Can you talk a little bit about the customer behavior in Q4 going into Q1 2026? What are you seeing in terms of your Tier 1 clients and your Tier 2, Tier 3 clients, China, Asia versus European?
What are you seeing? What are they telling you?
Elling de Lange
I think the picture is different for each and every group of customers that you now refer to. If you look at the traditional large players, the Tier 1s, there you see that the effect of a pressure on the automotive industry in Europe is still having an effect on their total operations and their profitabilities on that.
That means that when you really look at modernization plans, expansion plans, that is still in Q4 was that still limited. We expect that at a certain point in time to flip and get back, but that will not be early in '26.
If you look at Tier 2, Tier 3, there you see that there's still a lot of opportunities seen for them to export to the larger markets in Europe and America, and in order to position themselves well, we're talking about a lot of overseas projects in North Africa, in Southeast Asia, in Eastern Europe, but it takes time to convert plans to actual delivery of equipment, and that is happening in a world that is still a little bit clouded when it comes to the short-term economic perspective coming from yeah, import duty effects, import barriers, etc.
Alexander van der Lof
There is still some reluctance visible. We are positive when it comes to the '26 total order intake, we're convinced that that will improve compared to '25, but there's still indeed in Q4 there was still a reluctance to really move on quicker than was happening in the first part of '25.
Martijn den Drijver
Got it. Then a question for Alexander and Elling.
If I look at your balance sheet, the 1.9 covenant net debt/EBITDA, your free cash flow conversion, you're guiding for lower capex, probably the same net working capital or even better, you're going to have pretty good free cash flow. Why did you decide not to go for a share buyback given the proceeds of Dextron, give the shareholders something at this point in time?
What was the thinking behind that decision? Now
Alexander van der Lof
we have in our Capital Markets Day mentioned that one of the elements is share buybacks. The disclaimer is the 2% level of leverage, that's basically where we are at.
There's quite a few points which you highlighted which are to come, but at the same time, of course we are running also this dual track program, and there are a lot of things coming together in '26. From that point of view, it's not that we will start with every kind of KPI which gets into a parameter and pull the trigger.
We have a clear plan on how we want to execute the overall transition towards a split, and we don't want to get the process hijacked by all kinds of intermediate kind of steps. In terms of allocation policy, you're right, it's part of our let's say elements which we address, but at the right times, in the right context.
Martijn den Drijver
Then just a short follow-up, and then I'll hand over. Where are you now in that dual track process?
Are you still in the selecting of the long list? Are parties already providing indicative bids, non-binding?
Where do you stand roughly?
Alexander van der Lof
You are a little bit on a too fast track. The performance is really key that we achieve in the improvement of the result, we don't want to give it away for nothing.
The potential is huge. I believe it is important to show a track record in the performance, and that should be close to the guidance we gave at the Capital Markets Day, at the bandwidth of 12% to 15%.
I'm not saying that we will achieve that this year, but we should make a big step towards that target level and prove it in the results in actual figures. There we need Q1, Q2.
We can prepare everything, we are preparing everything. We are looking at the organization structure, doing investments in the organization structure, preparing for the separation.
The legal separation is in place. We have set several milestones during the year, and let's say discussions with potential interested parties will not occur before let's say mid second quarter.
You need to prepare well, I believe that is really key, and don't be on a track that you are too much hurried and then you have to step back in what you want to achieve.
Martijn den Drijver
Thank you.
Alexander van der Lof
I can add something to that because that probably will the next question, what is the timing we are targeting. We are preparing for Q4 to do a transaction, and of course when we look back at the Capital Markets Day, we announced that we would announce material steps within 12 to 18 months, and we are very well in that timeframe that we announced there.
You want to ask something?
Martijn den Drijver
Because if you say it's true, you said 12 to 18 months—
Alexander van der Lof
Yes. —but
Martijn den Drijver
I also remember that in the Q&A you said when asked, we'd like to move much faster, we'd like to be faster because it provides clarity both to our employees and to our customers. How do we balance the two?
Now
Alexander van der Lof
the balance is working really well, and it is a clear let's say communication that we have, and everyone knows that this is the pass and that the patience need to be there. Again, it's also about finding let's say the right environment related to all the stakeholders, and of course also the right valuation, that we're not going to discount hundreds of millions because of a fast track.
Martijn den Drijver
Got it.
Tijs Hollestelle
Morning. Tijs Berkelder, ING.
Interesting conversation. I want to also drill down a little bit more on the Connectivity division.
You provide let's say insights on the split, the telecom business made €182 million. If I listen to Elling with the accidental opex, I would say that let's say an operational EBITDA loss of somewhere in the range between €5 and €10 million is an right assumption?
Alexander van der Lof
That's correct. Then
Tijs Hollestelle
you have let's say €525 million in the cable business combined. That leaves about €22 million of other business.
It's not really material, but was that profitable?
Alexander van der Lof
No.
Tijs Hollestelle
Loss-making?
Alexander van der Lof
Yes.
Tijs Hollestelle
Couple of million?
Alexander van der Lof
Couple is—
Tijs Hollestelle
Below 5?
Alexander van der Lof
Definitely below 5.
Tijs Hollestelle
Okay. Just to get let's say the starting points which you had discussion before the meeting.
Then what was the actual let's say offshore revenue in 2025?
Alexander van der Lof
About €135 to €140 million.
Tijs Hollestelle
Oh, that is for me a bit of a positive surprise. Then you still stick to the €180 million revenue target for this year?
There's also potentially upside to that number.
Elling de Lange
You transferred Martijn's statement towards the target for this year.
Tijs Hollestelle
I tried to.
Elling de Lange
That's smart, but condition was that Martijn's assumption was that if you look further down the road, starting let's say Q2, if you then analyze the remaining period, should you be back at the 170, 180 with the 17% return on sales, and that has been confirmed. From that point of view, that is there, but it's not the same as 2026.
Tijs Hollestelle
I get it, yeah. Let's say the run rate somewhere in the third quarter that people can see there's potentially also
Elling de Lange
upside,
Tijs Hollestelle
yeah. That is indeed what I'm asking.
I'm also still a bit puzzled, why don't you give us let's say a direct answer on the profitability of the onshore cable business? Because the recovery is now taking place for three, four quarters in a row.
It has always been quite a stable business, core business for TKH Group. I would say that the EBITDA margin is 10% or so on that business, or is that still not the case because of all the switches and double costs with subsea changes?
Elling de Lange
I think Alexander mentioned already the underutilization due to the suboptimal, let's say, utilization of the asset base which we had. Market looks good, but we had a lot of internal, let's say, moving parts, and some costs which are not yet fully paid for through the utilization itself.
That's what we are still having in '25, and that's of course going to change going forward. We see order intake for further improving, the market attractiveness becomes bigger and bigger,
Tijs Hollestelle
so
Elling de Lange
that utilization effect comes down, and the other elements within call it the Connectivity or cabling part are finding their own ways, in the sense that the telecom part that has been organized, has been separated from the operations in the Netherlands, and is from a cable manufacturing point of view, is separated and has its own activities, etc. From that point of view, I would say in '26 you will see an improvement in that particular area.
Tijs Hollestelle
Yeah. Now that's helpful.
Indeed—
Elling de Lange
Just to finish that part, the full disclosures, and that's why you say why we don't disclose, is in the dual track there will be sufficient disclosure,
Tijs Hollestelle
and
Elling de Lange
I don't want to be ahead of that process. From that point of view, you will see the disclosures, but you have to be a little bit patient.
Tijs Hollestelle
Yeah. I get that.
Indeed your statement on Q1 for this year in the outlook is also mainly related to the Connectivity business, which is still a bit unstable, shaky?
Elling de Lange
Shaky is a word which— No,
Alexander van der Lof
we will show a substantial improvement in Q1 compared to last year in Connectivity. However, we have of course the lower order intake effect within tire building.
The reality is that the profitability there will be lower compared to last year Q1. That is the balancing act where we are in, and again with a good progress in the Electrification business with the result in Q1.
Tijs Hollestelle
Year-over-year. Okay.
Thanks. That's helpful.
Then some what more detailed questions. I also noticed let's say relatively low one-off costs in the second half, that that is good.
With let's say your current projects in the cable business, is there let's say any nervousness on the contract dates, or you have sufficient time to produce on time in 2026? Now
Alexander van der Lof
I will not say sufficient, because what is sufficient? You would like to have let's say half a year, 12 months headroom, but we are close and we are in control of meeting deadlines.
That has also had its impact also in 2025. We were really customer-focused to make it happen, to deliver what has been promised at the right time, in the right quality, and the right lengths.
That also impacted somehow our efficiency in related to our production. That will also further normalize during the year as we are creating more headroom in the delivery times and then have more flexibility to also combine certain cable types for which you also get huge additional efficiency instead of continuously changing over from one type to another type, you have your startup costs, and so that has also real big improvement potential for '26.
Tijs Hollestelle
Okay. Because of the unexpected delays we had, that's why I'm asking it.
I understand that you're answering the question based on—
Alexander van der Lof
No, yeah, I already answered that the risk is much lower, that we will not have our output performance compared to last year. With all the improvements, all the upgrades we did, we still can acknowledge that we have the right technology, we have the best people in-house, but it has been extreme what we had to realize.
That really has been substantially normalized in the past few quarters, and that gives confidence that we can meet the requirements, and we are creating more headroom during the year because we like to have that headroom, and our customers also, they prefer to have it 3 months earlier or 6 months earlier than that they need the cable because the cable is essential for let's say the finalization of these multi-billion projects.
Tijs Hollestelle
Yeah. Now that's clear.
Then moving to another division, did you somehow spotted any change in the volumes in the machine vision business coming out of Germany? You see any, let's say, cyclical recovery signals in the German-related business in the cameras?
Elling de Lange
Nothing material, I would say. If you look at Vision as a whole, it has shown nice growth.
Europe is a little bit on the weaker side in that growth aspect, and Germany is then at the bottom end of that.
Tijs Hollestelle
Yeah. It has been very weak, but yeah, no change in Q4?
Elling de Lange
Nothing material, no.
Tijs Hollestelle
The FX impact you're mentioning?
Elling de Lange
That was indeed on the order book, because if you look at our, and I mentioned that also in the geographical split of where the revenue takes place of Vision, APAC is important and North America. I think if you look at the order book itself, it's about €130 million for Vision.
Prior year was about €140 million. You will get close, not exactly, but you go close to the level of the '24 order book if you normalize it for FX effects.
Tijs Hollestelle
Okay.
Elling de Lange
You probably get at 138 or something like that, 137. Yeah.
Then yeah,
Tijs Hollestelle
one final remark, Harm had excellent results in my view, despite the pressure on the top line, but the conversation on potential recovery of the order intake basically came back every quarter in 2025.
Elling de Lange
Yep.
Tijs Hollestelle
Some of my clients are, yeah, not really happy with that, because it's every quarterly update it suggests that an order intake recovery is close by, and if you then, yeah, basically it's not happening for four quarters for all kinds of macro reasons, which everybody understands, it's better not to say that and just to report the numbers, because otherwise, yeah, you're creating kind of hopes
Elling de Lange
and
Tijs Hollestelle
the guys in the room, we have to model then maybe an upward recovery which is not happening. It's not helpful, better not to do these statements.
Elling de Lange
I do understand that people are really looking at the volume of order intake per quarter and the size of the order book to make a best guess on what is coming in the first period. We do understand that.
At the same time, I would say that the recovery signals are really there, and but it is also pretty unclear. What you can see in the financial results over '25 is that the performance was in our opinion very good.
I think that is the most important part, right? If you perform well even with some top line pressure, then that stands out.
Point is clear, and I think we can restate that in the course of '26, the order book will improve, but indeed it's, yeah, taking a bit longer than expected, although we still have an order book, and so it's not that we're out of work, to say.
Tijs Hollestelle
Yeah. Thanks.
Michael Roeg
Good morning. Michael Roeg, Degroof Petercam.
I have also a question about the Vision business. If I remember correctly, then consumer electronics is one of your larger segments.
Do you see any hesitance among customers because of the turmoil in some of these consumer electronics categories due to the strong increase in memory prices?
Elling de Lange
No, I think that has not really an effect. What you see is that the driver for our Vision solutions in the consumer electronics production is mainly on new innovations on the consumer electronics side.
If you see changes on battery packing inside smartphones, or when you look at foldable phones, etc., there are really new elements that need to be inspected, new technologies and new software developed, where we are excellently positioned. I think that's more important than when you see the pricing effect of the consumer electronics going to the end markets.
Michael Roeg
The thing is there's quite a big decline forecast for smartphone volume, 10% to 15% decline, and other consumer electronics categories are probably going to be going down as well.
Elling de Lange
If you look at, for instance, AirPods, the wireless connection for hearing, that is an element where there are zero memory chips in, and there are also some other elements in that. Also in these peripherals, we are very well positioned, so...
Alexander van der Lof
It's again all about innovation. Also in the AirPods, you see that there's new battery technology involved, which needs a much more detailed monitoring and security related to the whole manufacturing process.
That is what drives our let's say growth in the consumer electronic market. It's the innovations that continuously asks for new vision technology to monitor what's going on during manufacturing.
Michael Roeg
Okay. Most of your Vision products are for inspection and not so much for recording and storage, I assume that memory chips are relatively small within your bill of materials.
Is that something you can quantify?
Alexander van der Lof
Where we do need memory chips, for instance when you talk about machine learning, AI kind of applications on production lines, there we have secured for a longer period of time the pricing and the supply. We're confident that it has not a material impact on our performance.
Michael Roeg
That's reassuring. Thank you.
Then I'm going to quote something from the press release: "Within Electrification, we've solved the main challenges relating to the ramp-up of the subsea cable plant." The word "main" suggests that there may be some smaller things left.
Would you say now that you are at 95% of the desired productivity of the plant, or 90%, something like that?
Alexander van der Lof
Let's say the productivity has more potential than growth from 95 to 100. It is more the stabilization of the manufacturing, which is at 95%.
That has been proven especially in the first five main processes, and then there are another three processes. The last three processes, there was one process where we had difficulties with the larger dimensions, and that has been solved actually not before January, we solved that in January with a major upgrade.
That, yeah, we are now running at 95% of let's say perfect technology. The last 5%, that has nothing to do with the productivity, because we will see that we can improve, I mentioned already joining the same cable types in one manufacturing run, that is a huge productivity win, and that is not incorporated in the 95%.
Michael Roeg
Okay. Your month of February operationally was already even better than January?
Alexander van der Lof
Absolutely, yes.
Michael Roeg
Okay. Good, that's it from my side.
Thank you.
Maarten Verbeek
Maarten Verbeek, The Idea. I'd like to have a brief chat about your largest offshore project, whereby you also have all kinds of services.
If you break that project into three, prior to production and after production, have you now completed the first part of that project?
Alexander van der Lof
It is how do you find the first part, but the first part you can say
Maarten Verbeek
survey and let's say
Alexander van der Lof
moving away explosives in the field, that is almost finished, I would say at 80%. In this year, the installation will start, let's say mid of '26, and before mid of '26, we have to manufacture all the accessories and of course the cables to support the installation starting mid this year.
Maarten Verbeek
If the survey went well, and we do know that has depressed your added value within this segment, but the profitability was solid, as you always stated—
Alexander van der Lof
Bottom line, yes.
Maarten Verbeek
—does that mean that if we subtract that from the other offshore activities, that was more or less still loss-making?
Alexander van der Lof
Yes.
Maarten Verbeek
Okay.
Alexander van der Lof
Because of the huge underutilization.
Maarten Verbeek
Then you had a very successful rate in the inter-array, but lately one of your competitors won the BC Wind project. Do you know why you have lost that project against your competitor?
Alexander van der Lof
Yes, but I'm not going to explain that here. I never mentioned that we would win 100% of the projects.
The original business case to come to an EBITDA margin of around 20% is based on let's say 25% up to 30% market share. We are overachieving there, and it's good to have also a good filled order book at reasonably good margins, and again, we are not yet planning a second plant, but I believe from the opportunity, we could overutilize what we have invested.
That's good, let's first see that we utilize the complete plant, and that everyone is smiling here in this room and all our stakeholders are having a big smile.
Maarten Verbeek
You stated with production of inter-array you can produce at the same rate level as your competitor, but your ESG rates are much better.
Alexander van der Lof
Yeah.
Maarten Verbeek
Does that not imply that they are now more or less offering—
Alexander van der Lof
No, we are still the only one who is offering the dry design cable technology, and we are really far ahead of competition, especially if you look at the bumpy road we had to go through since 2016 to get it, let's say, translated also in the right manufacturing processes, but that's not just the ESG advantage. It's also the installation advantage, which is a big cost saving that can go up to even 15%, 20% of the total project price.
In some cases, it can be that you can use smaller dimension of cables, which have a substantial lower price than the higher dimension cables, and that is because of the ampacity we can offer with our technology, which is much more efficient than with the conventional cable types. The USPs are really huge, not only related to ESG, but also to cost.
We have a much lower transportation cost because we are in the Eemshaven and most of the contractors are close to the Eemshaven. That can save on a project of €15 million about €1.5 million if you have to transport it from another location.
I'm not going to mention the location, but you can imagine which location.
Maarten Verbeek
Then duly the last time you said you also wanted to expand more into defense. Can you provide a bit more information where you stand at this stage?
Elling de Lange
That is mainly related to our Vision technology. The application of that is in the situational awareness area, as you can say, where we're engineered in when it comes to certain solutions and projects.
The actual volumes for supply are still to come, but we expect already this year a positive effect of that in our Vision activities. When you look at, and I think that's quite obvious, the main focus for us is Europe and North America for supply.
Maarten Verbeek
Thanks. Then lastly, still on the tire building again, you mentioned we do expect order intake to improve in the course of this year.
You also always have a certain lead time before you will start to produce. Does this imply that Q2 will also be depressed for you, and then more or less earliest recovery should or could start in Q3?
Elling de Lange
I think if you look at production volumes, that is indeed in Q1, Q2 will be lower, and it's more back-end loaded when it comes to the results. I take the point.
We're how do you say that, actively monitoring the situation now, I think you're right, the second half will be better than the first half.
Maarten Verbeek
You still give a forecast, Harm. Lastly, now slips in my mind, just as confirmation, you mentioned capex, tangible, intangible will more or less let's be similar to this year?
Elling de Lange
If you take out the special investment program which we announced earlier.
Maarten Verbeek
Thanks.
Ruben Devos
Yes. Ruben Devos from Kepler Cheuvreux, got a few small questions left.
First one is actually on the Alliander framework contract. I think you talked about €650 million over 8 years, it's about €80 million a year, that's quite substantial already.
You also referenced framework agreements with other DSOs, which are not reflected in the order book. Curious about whether you could potentially size the annual revenue opportunity here, because it feels a bit like an underappreciated structural growth driver actually.
Elling de Lange
Yeah.
Ruben Devos
Yeah.
Elling de Lange
The issue is, what Elling already announced, we are really careful to already disclose this information, we will do that in the course of this year. Sorry that I cannot be more specific here.
Ruben Devos
Okay. For digitalization, if I look at the market, it doesn't seem to be in a very bad shape.
Obviously, you've gone through a bit of restructuring, and '25, as you said, was loss-making, but do you see '26 maybe more as an inflection here, is it still a bit of a structuring? I think you talked about electrification, the fact that you wanted to have a solid run rate of profitability before maybe moving to the next step.
Do you have a bit the same rationale for digitalization?
Elling de Lange
To start with, we have mentioned last year already that digitalization is to be exited, and that that's no change. That exit is independent, as we communicated in the Capital Markets Day, from the, call it, electrification/automation split.
If you look at the market itself, I would say that on a global level, there is some dynamics, especially North America is pretty strong, driven by data centers, and also the trickle-down effects of the federal funds leading to more Fiber-to-the-Home initiatives, and that that's pulling some capacity towards that region. It also requires a lot of Build America, Buy America concepts.
Now we are not and we don't have any plans to establish something over there, our focus remains Europe. In Europe, we see that actually the volumes in, and these are preliminary figures for '25, the volumes itself in Europe are -13%.
From that point of view, we look at a world where different dynamics in different regions takes place. We are very well positioned.
We have chosen from the beginning a market segment which is really on the high end. What that means is that our fiber specifications are really in the top of the market.
From the beginning, that has been the concept to be as much as possible away from the commodity kind of portfolio. That fiber spec is, in the end, also what is currently looked for within the data centers.
Data centers is one of the drivers, as I said, for North America, it's also something which will in Europe become a bigger kind of theme. There are some, let's say, elements which give positive sign.
The question is how we get access to the right projects and how we do that, but I think portfolio-wise, we are in a good base. '25 was a transitioning year, we mentioned earlier, already in the second half of last year, everything was transferred in Poland, we are fully staffed, we have a full running, delivery times are going down compared to, let's say, a year ago.
From that point of view, I think we are in the right track at a lower cost base. Doesn't mean immediately we meet all the targets of TKH, but the transition '25-'26 is a positive one.
Ruben Devos
The reasoning is basically similar in terms of timing, how you think about a potential divestment or separation of digitalization?
Elling de Lange
Correct.
Ruben Devos
I think for Security Vision, I also have one question. It's just I think you've mentioned a few times now that you're increasingly winning larger projects on a structural basis.
My curiosity is what's really driving that shift? Is it mostly because of different geographical mix?
Are you upselling more software? Is it largely project deliveries, yeah, how should we think about these larger projects as well?
Are we talking a few millions or is it already maybe 10 million? Yeah.
Elling de Lange
The largest project until now is €25 million. The success why we win these bigger projects is the integration of the technology that we can offer: the combination between mission-critical communication, vision technology, access control, and we are one of the few that has this offering, and including the software, to really being a differentiator and have a low risk profile for the potential customers to award us these larger projects.
We see also with the performance of these larger projects that we are, let's say, having a really well operational excellence related to also the profitability and the forecast that we made in delivering on time.
Ruben Devos
The very last one for me is just I think you might have mentioned it somewhere, but maybe I missed it, but I think you talked about a €15 million cost savings program at the start of the year. How much did you eventually realize, and what may be the aggregate cost savings embedded in the full year outlook of this year?
Elling de Lange
We didn't announce that as a specific cost savings program, but based on the question of Martijn earlier, what were some call it incidental related costs, this is in the basket of about the €15 million. As I said, it's part in the energy segment and the other half is more in the digitalization part.
That's basically the kind of elements you should take with you. Of course, there are some further growth initiatives for '26, which will have a slight, yeah, upward effect on the opex, but the €15 million is basically what you should not see back in '26.
Ruben Devos
All right. Thank you.
Martijn den Drijver
Martijn den Drijver, ABN AMRO ODDO again. On Vision, if I look at let me take them, what Cognex, Rockwell, Honeywell, Keyence have said about 2026, if you summarize it, they're basically guiding for mid-single-digit growth, organic growth.
Would you be comfortable with that number, or is that Germany component enough of a reason to guide for or be a little bit more cautious and then that mid-single-digit organic growth that we see in the market? Harm.
Harm.
Elling de Lange
I think what they are mentioning is indeed reflecting what you could say the growth in market and obviously we're doing our best to stay there well-positioned.
Martijn den Drijver
You've really learned well from Tijs now. Okay.
Thanks, Thijs. It's said in the press release and you've also mentioned it in the Capital Markets Day that you were going to do this, the merger of the brands within 2D, the integration of the back offices, what the efficiencies that you were looking to realize, did you realize that?
What does it mean in terms of lower costs or efficiency in 2026?
Alexander van der Lof
Last year we made a big step in one of the entities, where a German entity, NET, was dissolved mainly into Allied Vision and partly into SVS. That leads to a lot of efficiencies.
I think I'll refer to Elling when it comes to the pure financial side on that. Early this year, end of last year, early this year, we announced the one brand for the 2D group as Allied Vision.
That was also received very well by the way, early this year in the market. I think
Elling de Lange
if you look at the absolute figures, then we're talking about low single numbers, but further upside going forward, but that's not '26. I think the other element you have to take into account is the additional commercial opportunities which come out of the integration as well.
The one brand, the one let's say commercial organization to the market, and all these kind of things, that's where in the end the benefit of integrating has to come from. It's not just a pure cost-cutting exercise.
Martijn den Drijver
No, that's true. That's true.
A final question on Vision and linked to the capitalized development costs. If my memory serves me well, during the Capital Markets Day, and also thereafter in the discussion, I think it was even in the presentation, that there was a common platform that had been developed for both 2D and 3D.
That was in place
Elling de Lange
and
Martijn den Drijver
the first products aimed at utilizing that platform were going to be introduced. My question actually is, why are the intangibles then guided for at the same level?
Because I would expect, if the platform is done, you have done your work, then why do you need all these R&D and capitalized development costs?
Elling de Lange
A couple of things. It's not that the whole R&D only works on one platform.
There are much more portfolio elements which are in the range of activities which they handle. Of course, a platform is not something which once you launch it, it's going to be like that forever.
You always see the upgrades, etc. It's a matter of allocation in time which resources are being allocated towards what kind of projects.
There's always a lot of, let's say, enthusiasm in these teams on what else could be done, should be done, and has to be done. That that's an area where in the end, I think if you want to deploy your resources, of course you have to be very careful, and we also highlighted in the Capital Markets Day that we want to bring the capex and amortization levels to be more in line, and that's not all in '26, but going towards '28.
There has to be a level of prioritization coming through in the R&D projects to make sure that, let's say, the gap is closing. It doesn't mean that completing a particular platform, then everybody is off the hook for tomorrow and everybody can go home.
There's a lot of activities ongoing. It was a
Martijn den Drijver
software platform, it was not a hardware platform. It was the integration through the software that we could use, plug and play, the several technologies that we have in one system.
The hardware platforms is a different ballgame, and there we are still on the move, especially related also to new end markets like the defense market. That's a huge investment program that we have aligned with the opportunities we have in the defense industry, where you have to match the specifications, and some of these specifications are completely different compared to monitoring a smartphone in consumer electronics.
Fair enough. Thanks for the additional color.
Maarten Verbeek
Maarten Verbeek, The Idea, follow-up. You mentioned concerning the added value of Vision systems, you're more or less made a huge progress over there, but you reached a level which you think this is a level which cannot be improved much further, or do you still see that you can gain more in that respect?
Elling de Lange
Related to Electrification?
Maarten Verbeek
No,
Elling de Lange
Vision.
Maarten Verbeek
Vision, oops,
Elling de Lange
interesting for Harm.
Alexander van der Lof
When you see a shift going more into the software proposition side and if you look at more recurring revenues from software, then there is a potential in the future to bring this figure further up, but I think the 62% is already a very nice achievement.
Maarten Verbeek
We should not be too enthusiastic about further improvement in that respect?
Elling de Lange
No, I believe it's a really fair and very good margin. Where improvement potential is, is in the further alignment of the portfolio.
We still have some commodity activities there in the Security business, and that's on the divestment list of the €250 million. Of course, that helps then to improve the margin, but that will be perhaps a few tenths and not percentage.
Maarten Verbeek
Maybe you already have answered my next question, because you want to focus on automation, you are seeking a new owner for your Energy and Digitalization business. Are there other business units within TKH you still like to bring to another owner?
Elling de Lange
We have, in the Capital Markets Day, included the sheet, and it's also in the handout which you have, and it will be also on the website as part of the presentation which we gave today, where you can see that in some of the segments, in Automation and Electrification, both have what we call a, let me put it blunt, a kind of non-core or other business which in the end will be exited. That's independent, as I said, from the big separation topic, automation/electrification.
That agenda has not changed. The majority of the basket I refer to is of course within the Connectivity part.
The biggest there is of course the Digitalization basket, but there are some other bits and pieces, yes.
Maarten Verbeek
The other bits and pieces, do you expect that to be completed this year, that program?
Elling de Lange
I cannot give you a guarantee on that, but we are working on getting things executed.
Maarten Verbeek
Thanks.
Elling de Lange
Web? Okay.
No questions anymore, then I like to thank you again for being here, but also for all the time you invest in TKH, which is not an easy case, I believe, to do your analysis in the right way, so that means that you need to spend a lot of time, and I really appreciate for that, also in the name of my colleagues. Also, I like to thank everyone in the webcast for participating, and we will come back in beginning of May with our Q1 results, and after that we have our annual shareholders meeting.
Hope to see you certainly again during roadshows or in August with the presentation of the half-year result. Thank you very much.
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