Karoon Energy Ltd

Karoon Energy Ltd

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Karoon Energy LtdUS flagOther OTC
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Q2 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptAugust 26, 2026

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Karoon Energy First Half 2026 Results.

[Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Carri Lockhart, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of Karoon Energy.

Please go ahead.

Carri Lockhart

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our 2026 half year results webcast.

My name is Carri Lockhart, CEO and Managing Director of Karoon Energy, and I have with me this morning, Eric Williams, our CFO; Ann Diamant, our Senior Vice President of Investor Relations; and also attending is Mark Mick, who is our Chief Commercial and Technical Officer. Earlier this morning, we released our 2026 half year results to the market.

This presentation should be read in conjunction with the ASX announcement, and I draw your attention to the disclaimers on Slide 2 and notes and definitions on Slide 3. I will move straight to Slide 5, which provides an overview of the first half of '26.

Please keep in mind that all currency-related numbers we share are in U.S. dollars except for the per share values.

At the start of the reporting period, we communicated that the first half of 2026 would be a period of intensive investment and execution at Baúna in Brazil. We delivered on those commitments, successfully completing the Baúna FPSO operatorship transition, the major FPSO revitalization and maintenance program, and restoration of production from SPS-92 and PRA-2.

Completion of those activities have safeguarded the asset and enabled higher production and asset performance and expected structurally lower cost in the second half of the year. The focus is now on developing a comprehensive program of activities for the next 3 to 5 years designed to optimize the performance of our existing assets and mature our growth opportunities both in Brazil and the U.S.A.

These activities will be prioritized strictly with the lens of creating shareholder returns. I will share more about our operations and projects later in the presentation.

Slide 6 summarizes the 2026 first half operational and financial results. We produced 3.17 million BOEs on a net working interest basis and sold 3.08 million BOEs.

Baúna FPSO efficiency was 97%, demonstrating the benefits of work completed over 2025 and the first half of this year. We generated USD 244.9 million in revenue with absolute costs in line with expectations.

This resulted in underlying net profit after tax of USD 29.2 million. The Board has declared a fully franked interim dividend for the period ended 30 June 2026 of AUD 0.012 per share to be paid on the 30th of September.

Moving to Slide 7. Since paying our first dividend in 2024, Karoon has returned approximately USD 173 million to shareholders, comprising USD 75 million in dividends and USD 98 million through on-market buybacks.

Since 2024 through to the 30th of June 2026, we have bought back and canceled more than 13% of Karoon's issued capital at an average price of AUD 1.57 per share, which we believe is an attractive investment delivering material value to our shareholders. Over the same time frame, we have invested more than USD 500 million to both optimize the base business and drive future growth.

Base optimization has focused on Baúna FPSO acquisition, maintenance and revitalization work, and well interventions, while investments in the recent sanctioned Who Dat East project and Who Dat South discoveries are expected to deliver future growth. We are well positioned to support both ongoing shareholder returns, evidenced by the continued on-market buyback into Q3, and invest in our other organic growth opportunities such as Neon and our exploration acreage prospects as well as Who Dat.

We will continue to balance capital returns with ongoing needs of the business to maximize shareholder returns. Moving on to our safety and environmental performance.

We had 0 recordable personal injuries across more than 1.1 million work hours in the first half of '26, and no lost time injuries. Our total recordable injury rate was 0.

We recorded 5 high potential incidents during the first half. These incidents reinforce the importance of maintaining our focus and safety leadership, risk management, and detailed planning.

At the 30th of June 2026, Scope 1 and 2 absolute emission intensity was 14.6 kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalent per BOE. Overall, this is an impressive delivery by our operational teams.

We are fully committed to ensuring a safe work environment for all staff and contractors, minimizing environmental impact where practical, and being a positive supporter of the communities in which we work and operate. I now would like to hand over to Eric, who will run through the financial highlights.

Eric Williams

Thanks, Carri. Good morning, everyone.

I'll start on Slide 10 with the central financial message. The first half was deliberately investment heavy.

We funded the Baúna FPSO revitalization and operatorship transition, restored key wells, and continued returning capital to shareholders. These investments strengthen the platform and position us for a stronger financial profile in the second half of the year.

As I begin to discuss our half year results with a focus on our underlying performance and its implications to cash, please note that we've included a reconciliation to our statutory results on Slide 28. Revenue, underlying EBITDAX, and underlying NPAT reflected higher realized pricing, partially offset by lower sales volumes with the average realized liquids price reaching USD 80.65 per BOE, while gearing was just 21% at the end of the period.

Even during this peak investment period, we continued to return capital to our shareholders, including today's announced dividend and the ongoing share buybacks. Since the 30th of June, we have completed a further USD 15 million buyback tranche, purchasing approximately 12.6 million shares between the 23rd of July and the 7th of August, which increases our 2026 year-to-date buybacks to over USD 30 million and 24 million shares.

We ended the half with USD 363.6 million of liquidity and having substantially completed this year's major work programs, Baúna production restored, and the FPSO cost base moving lower, we expect the financial benefits of our investments to become increasingly visible in the second half of 2026. Turning to Slide 11.

The revenue bridge is fundamentally a price volume story where higher realized prices partially offset lower sales volumes. Specifically, revenue declined by USD 63.4 million as the planned FPSO and well workover programs reduced Baúna's production, driving revenue lower by USD 66.5 million, while reduced Who Dat volumes, principally following the E manifold outage, lowered revenue by an additional USD 39.0 million.

These volume-driven effects were partially offset by approximately USD 42 million of stronger realized pricing. Baúna's average realized oil price increased 18% to USD 80.66 per barrel, while Who Dat's average realized liquids price increased 20% to a nearly identical USD 80.60 per barrel and realized gas prices rose to USD 6.35 per mcf.

The takeaway is straightforward. While first half revenue declined primarily as planned workover programs reduced production, realized pricing was strong.

Slide 12 shows why FPSO ownership is more than a change in operatorship. It changes the economics of Baúna.

We now control the critical infrastructure supporting our largest asset, and we have eliminated lease payments, materials markups, and performance bonus payments. Because our first half results included temporary transition service agreement and related transition costs, the financial benefit is not yet fully visible.

As those arrangements roll off and operatorship becomes fully embedded, we remain on track to reduce direct production costs by USD 30 million to USD 40 million annually. We see further opportunity beyond these initial savings through logistics, procurement, maintenance cycle planning, and repair optimization.

This is a structural reset of the cost base and not simply a one period benefit. Slide 13 shows the cash consequences of the first half investment phase where operating cash flow was USD 58.4 million.

Against that, we had approximately USD 184 million of investing, financing, and foreign exchange outflows related principally to the FPSO and well program, exploration and equipment expenditures, the Petrobras contingent payment, and shareholder-related expenditures, including dividends and buybacks. The net result was a USD 125.8 million reduction in our cash balance, but we remain undrawn on our RBL.

Importantly, we deployed this cash into a program designed to strengthen the business. We expect the second half investment expenditures to be materially less than the first half and include the Who Dat G1-ST well that we now expect to commence drilling in the fourth quarter as well as initial Who Dat East development costs following project sanction earlier this month.

Lower capital and FPSO costs, along with higher expected produced volumes, will combine to support stronger free cash generation. Moving to Slide 14.

At the 30th of June, we had USD 80.3 million of cash and a fully undrawn USD 283.3 million RBL, providing the liquidity of USD 363.6 million that I mentioned earlier, allowing us the capacity to fund the next stage of growth while remaining focused on disciplined shareholder returns. We deliberately used our existing balance sheet capacity to fund the first half transformation.

With lower capital spending and the operating benefits of the Baúna work now beginning to flow through, we expect stronger cash generation to lower our leverage ratio and fund our projects as we move forward. Our priority is to preserve enough financial flexibility to fund high-return growth without compromising the balance sheet.

Slide 15 addresses the temporary Brazilian export tax. While it adds an incremental headwind, our crude quality and broad market access give us practical mitigation levers.

The export tax introduced in March at 12% before income tax or 7.92% after tax was extended in July for a further 60 days. Cargoes sold into eligible European Union destinations are expected to qualify for a lower 6% pretax or approximately 3.97% after-tax rate.

We will continue to incorporate the export tax into our marketing decisions, directing cargoes to the markets that maximize realized net value. Slide 16 brings the financial story together.

Our capital allocation framework is unchanged, but the first half shows it operating in practice. Cash funds the base business and mandatory commitments, then protects a strong and flexible balance sheet.

After those priorities, free cash flow competes for the highest risk-adjusted return. Our base dividend policy remains 20% to 40% of underlying NPAT, supplemented where appropriate by buybacks or special dividends.

We invest in growth only when projects meet defined return thresholds designed to create meaningful value per share. This is not an either/or framework.

It is designed to support reliable shareholder returns and self-funded growth while preserving the financial capacity to act when attractive opportunities emerge. With that, I'll hand the call back to Carri.

Carri Lockhart

Thank you, Eric. Moving on to Slide 18.

In May, we achieved a significant milestone of formally assuming operatorship of the Baúna FPSO, providing full operational control of the Baúna Complex from the FPSO through the subsea infrastructure and reservoir management. Our focus for the second half of '26 and beyond is to maintain asset integrity and support consistently high uptime through disciplined maintenance and operating practices.

A key priority for the balance of the year is to optimize reservoir pressure support through restarting water injection. As Eric mentioned, we will also continue to pursue further operational cost reductions and mature potential near-field exploration opportunities that can add value.

Slide 19 highlights the benefit of the 2026 FPSO revitalization and maintenance campaigns. Baúna FPSO efficiency has exceeded our 90% to 95% target range in each of the last 3 quarters, reaching 96% in Q1 of '26 and 97% in the second quarter of '26.

We remain focused on achieving such levels of operational performance. As we move to Slide 20, it goes without saying that the Who Dat E field riser issue experienced in February was disappointing.

Given that the E manifold wells are the largest contributors to Who Dat production and that there is considerable additional infill potential, the operator, LLOG, has decided to replace both the E risers and associated flow lines, which will support the long-term production potential. This remediation work is expected to take place in 2027.

Offsetting a portion of the production shut-in, we have seen excellent topside reliability of approximately 97% during the first half of '26. The A1-ST, which came online in July, is currently producing approximately 2,200 BOEs per day on an NRI basis, which is above expectations.

As Eric mentioned, another sidetrack of the G1 well is planned to be drilled in the fourth quarter of '26, subject to joint venture and regulatory approvals. First production is targeted to commence in the first half of '27 once the results of the drilling have been analyzed and the well completion design optimized.

As well as the Who Dat East development, which I'll cover in the next slide, the joint venture has done substantial work on reprocessing seismic data over the greater Who Dat area, including the Who Dat South discovery, where we are targeting an appraisal sidetrack in 2027. A major milestone was reached in August when the Who Dat East development was sanctioned.

The development comprises the completion of the Who Dat East discovery well drilled in 2024, a 29-kilometer tieback to the existing Who Dat floating production system, and some minor modifications to the FPS. Karoon's working interest in Who Dat East is 40%, and our share of the estimated capital cost is USD 155 million to USD 165 million.

This is a high-return growth project leveraging existing infrastructure. At the mid-case, the initial 1-well development is expected to deliver an internal post-tax rate of return above 20% with first oil targeted for the second half of '28.

Initial production rate net to Karoon is expected to be approximately 6,000 BOEs per day, so it will be a material contributor to the overall Karoon production. On Slide 22, over the past 6 months, our Neon team has conducted a detailed review of the development concept with a focus on optimizing and improving capital efficiency.

We are now planning a phased approach, which will now allow us to assess reservoir and project performance prior to committing further capital. The initial development is expected to comprise 3 producers and 1 gas injector with the capacity for a staged expansion.

The second half of the year will focus on validating and securing the concepts through pre-FEED and progressing execution planning. Subject to the verification of the principal technical and commercial scopes in the fourth quarter of '26, we anticipate confirming the selected concept and advancing the project into FEED.

Subsequent to this decision, we will then intend to recommence the farm-down process to secure a partner. As summarized on Slide 23, we are maturing exploration and appraisal opportunities in Brazil and the Gulf of America.

Our extensive exploration acreage positions complement our existing producing and development assets and create multiple pathways for long-term, value-accretive growth. In Brazil, our 100% owned Santos Basin portfolio of 7 licenses near Baúna and Neon provide high-potential, longer-term optionality.

With the Esmeralda pre-salt license now formally awarded, we have initiated the farm-down process of our entire exploration portfolio. In the Gulf of America, Who Dat area discoveries and prospects are located near existing infrastructure, providing capital-efficient pathways to potential resource additions.

Our final slide showcases our focus on leveraging our competitive advantages to optimize total shareholder returns. Both Baúna and Who Dat are high-quality, low-cost assets in Tier 1 jurisdictions, and 97% of first half production being oil and liquids based.

Our strong balance sheet and disciplined capital allocation framework provide us with the flexibility to sustain the business and balance capital returns with value-accretive growth investments. We have a compelling organic pipeline, including Who Dat East and Neon, while our infrastructure and basin-led exploration and appraisal acreage provides multiple opportunities for future growth.

We have great teams, great assets, financial discipline, and the growth opportunities, which drive our shareholder value. I would like to thank all of our staff and contractors for their hard work and dedication to Karoon and thank our shareholders for their continued support of the company.

Eric, Ann, Mark, and I are now happy to take any questions. I now hand it back to the moderator.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Nik Burns from Jarden Australia.

Nik Burns

Look, it's been a very busy 6 months for Karoon, in particular, the major maintenance campaign and operatorship transition of the FPSO. Carri, now that you completed the major maintenance campaign there, what's your current view of the FPSO?

Is it now at the point where you're comfortable and happy with the current state of repairs and maintenance on board? Or do you think there's a need to undertake another major campaign next year?

Carri Lockhart

Nik, thank you for the question. A couple of things.

I think we're happy with the performance of the FPSO over the recent months since we've completed the campaign. Integrity management is always a very, very key task that any offshore operator has to contend with.

At this point, I don't anticipate a maintenance campaign at the scale of this year and the following years. And the goal is to have a turnaround or maintenance campaign every 2 to 3 years is a consistent measure, which is typical of an industry standard.

Nik Burns

Got it. And just on the 97% uptime achieved in the first half, it's obviously a great result versus the 90% to 95% uptime target.

That target was set before you started at Karoon. Just wondering, from your perspective, is that too low?

I mean, what would it take to lift that uptime range to something higher?

Carri Lockhart

So the 90% to 95% target was set on a best practice achievable target consistent with the age of the vessel. Lifting that, that there's always a possibility to do that.

I think what we need to do is to continue to watch the performance over the next operating period and see certainly, the goal is to continue to exceed the 95%. There is a breakover point between value creation and that absolute value.

If you wanted to go to 99% or 100%, of course, that would take a tremendous amount of money and doesn't always translate into value. So the goal is to continue to achieve over 95%.

Nik Burns

That's great. If I can just slip in 1 more.

Just on Slide 18, you had a bullet point there identifying near-field exploration opportunities in Brazil. Can you talk about what work has been done there?

Are there any prospects or leads that have already been identified? Or is more seismic required there before you can make any call on future exploration drilling?

Carri Lockhart

So our explorationists are constantly looking in the adjacent areas around Baúna. We will have more color on this in the coming quarter as we continue the work, but that's in conjunction with the other licenses that we currently have in our portfolio.

So I don't have much to say specifically as it relates to right adjacent from Baúna, but I will come back in the fourth quarter and share more.

Operator

Next, we have Rob Koh from Morgan Stanley.

Robert Koh

Congratulations on all the work you've achieved. I feel tired looking at your slide.

Can I ask a question just, I guess, about unit production cost. I guess you've got your full year guidance and with a little bit more production that should come down from the first half run rate.

Should we also be incorporating a little bit of your FPSO savings target in the second half of '26?

Carri Lockhart

Thank you, Rob. So our guidance, I think that holds firm on our unit cost.

We are on target to deliver the USD 30 million to USD 40 million cost savings that we announced earlier and made the commitment to. Let me pass this on to Eric and if he has anything else to say in that regard.

Eric Williams

Yes. I think just to affirm what Carri said, we do include in our guidance the expected step down in operating costs.

We have, as we said in the script, the -- some residual transition services and some other transition costs that are still in the second half of this year that roll off into next year. So we certainly expect to see that trend down into the full year '27.

But there's 2 ways to continue to improve on that. We're focused on, as Carri talked about in her speech, increasing asset productivity.

So if we can get some additional production from the wells, that will give us some benefit in unit cost. And then our teams are now turning the effort that we put into reducing the FPSO operating costs across the company and looking for opportunities to save and some of the costs that are more legacy oriented.

So we feel good about the range, but we're going to stay hard at it, both on the production and the cost side.

Carri Lockhart

And Rob, if you think about it, we just took over this FPSO. And so there's going to be a period of adjustment and a period where we're analyzing where can we take out additional costs?

How do we renegotiate contracts? How do we look towards further automation?

How do we further use AI to optimize our workflows, predictive maintenance, and whatnot. So I do think we have some additional opportunities, but we're working on further definition of those.

Robert Koh

Okay. Great.

Sounds good. I guess I'm just getting greedy and wanting it as soon as, but you're better off doing it properly as I know that's your approach.

So can I ask a couple of questions about the Who Dat East sanctioning, and congrats on that announcement. I guess on the numbers you've given us, we can get to the returns pretty easily, but it's very sensitive to royalty suspension.

And if that gets exhausted, are you able to share if there's like a price cap or a volume limit before royalty suspension is exhausted? Or what can you share on that, please?

Carri Lockhart

Yes. Thank you.

So the royalty relief does have a cap and our current interest on -- from an NRI on this Who Dat East FID development is 40%. And once the royalty relief is exhausted, then that will revert to 32%.

Robert Koh

Yes. Are you able to give us a steer on if and when that might happen or.

Carri Lockhart

Yes. It will be roughly on a 3-year basis.

Does that answer your question?

Robert Koh

Yes, that's a good start. And yes, it really helps calibrate our numbers.

Operator

Next, we have Gordy Ramsay from RBC Capital Markets.

Gordon Ramsay

What happens when the Brazil export tax, I guess, expires next month? Or is that going to go on indefinitely?

You mentioned there's been a 60-day extension from the 9th of July.

Carri Lockhart

Thank you, Gordon. That's yet to be defined.

We do hear speculation in the market as it relates to continuation of that tax, I guess, in early September, and that will once something is announced, whether or not it expires or whether or not they continue to extend that, of course, we will make further announcements. Nonetheless, I think our marketing is well positioned to have flexibility on where we have our deliveries to minimize the exposure to the tax.

And certainly, our focus remains on getting the highest realized price that we can for our cargoes when considering the taxes and the transportation and the pricing offered.

Gordon Ramsay

Shell still marketing your crude, is that right?

Carri Lockhart

That is correct.

Gordon Ramsay

Just a couple more for me really quickly. I'm going to stay on Brazil.

You mentioned you're going to recommence water injection in the reservoir in the second half of this year. Are you expecting any production benefits from that?

Carri Lockhart

So we are -- actually, we just commenced water injection here, I think within the past hour. So now the team has been focused quite hard on it.

We've had water injection in the past, and that's been the beauty of taking over the FPSO. We have much more control over this.

These reservoirs are world-class, very high quality. So you do see fairly quick pressure response.

Now how that translates into crude production will to be determined as we get consistent performance on the injection and see what comes out on the other side with the producers. So that's something to watch, and it's certainly a measure that we're going to be very focused in on over the next operating period.

Gordon Ramsay

Okay. Just 1 more for me still on Brazil.

You mentioned -- I might have misunderstood you, but it sounded like you're saying you're going to farm down your entire exploration portfolio in Brazil. Is that correct?

Do you intend to?

Carri Lockhart

That is correct. We have packaged that.

We have done a great job. The explorationist has done a great job with defining multiple prospects.

And so we do intend to farm down those blocks. And how that gets segmented, it will depend on the outcome of the data room and the interest that companies have on 1 block versus all blocks and where we're going to get the highest returns.

Gordon Ramsay

Yes. You just preempted my question.

I was going to say you're targeting 1 partner or multiple ones, and it's obviously block dependent.

Operator

Next, we have Tom Wallington from Citi.

Tom Wallington

Good day. Love the new presentation format.

Just a question on Baúna. Noting the strong efficiency, I think you call it this time around at the project.

I was curious to understand why production guidance wasn't upgraded at the midpoint this time around. Obviously, the first half was disruptive with the turnaround program, but we have seen a reinstatement of SPS-92 and PRA-2, and you have identified those opportunities to enhance reservoir performance.

Just wondering what level of conservatism do you have baked into CY '26 full year production?

Carri Lockhart

Yes. Thanks for the question, Tom.

So a couple of things. SPS-92 with respect to our plans was a little bit late as it relates to our planning, but certainly, our guidance holds true at this point.

I think what we need -- these wells, both SPS-92 and PRA-2 had been shut in for a good part of the year. And so watching that performance, I think, is important over the next coming months.

And then certainly, the overperformance on the operating efficiency is strong. So why didn't we increase our guidance or change our guidance?

This is a wait and see how the reservoir both responds to the wells being online, the water injection, and our ability as an operator to continue on with the strong performance. I will say we are within range.

We're probably on the lower half of the range when it comes to production from Baúna, but that was largely due to a bit tardiness on SPS-92 as it relates to our exact plan for the year.

Tom Wallington

Great. That makes sense.

And maybe just another question also in Brazil. Neon, you've talked about optimizing the development concept here.

Can you just confirm if the data room is open as we speak? Or is that more of a fourth quarter target?

And then just any broad comments around the FPSO market and any further commentary around optimizing for peak production and extending that plateau of production. Any sort of developments in your thinking there?

Carri Lockhart

So thank you for that question, Tom. Neon, I think, is progressing quite well.

Recall that we did pull this back and relook at the total project with the lens of maximizing the capital efficiency and minimizing any downside exposure. We do have our eyes and we are commercially working towards the topside solution.

And so we have good line of sight there. In terms of a data room, no, that's not open yet.

And we don't intend to open that until we have the concept fully baked because we believe we will get much more value as we approach a data room once we've entered in a FEED because it's very hard for another third party to value a project without a defined concept. And so once that's defined and we have all those numbers in, then we will go back to the market for a partner, which I believe we will have success doing.

Tom Wallington

Great. And any comments around the FPSO market at all and level of CapEx intensity?

Carri Lockhart

Yes. So the FPSO market, we've been working on this for a while.

But like I said, we do have line of sight of several solutions, but we are working towards securing 1 in particular. But again, we do have alternatives.

I'm going to turn this over to Mark because Mark has been the one that's been very influential in moving this project forward. So Mark?

Mark Mick

Tom, thanks for the question. As Carri said, our team has put a lot of work into Neon, and we have a really good intel into the FPSO market.

So we are in constant contact with other vendors and FPSO market experts to understand options for Neon. We are, as Carri mentioned, working with 1 particular option, and we'll speak to that more in the future.

But 1 of the targets that we're focused on is securing the concept select and ensuring we know which facility will underpin that concept select. And we're in a really good place with that.

We're in discussions with the host facilities owner as we speak. And then at the conclusion of that, once those are confirmed, as Carri mentioned, that will be the point at which we will go to recommence the farm down.

We are in contact with companies about Neon, but we are intentionally waiting until we've confirmed the concept and secured the facility from an optionality perspective for Karoon's benefit and not a commitment, but an option for us and after which we'll go to seek a partner to join us in the project.

Operator

I see no further questions at this time. I will now pass back to Carri for closing remarks.

Carri Lockhart

Thank you. Thank you, everyone, for your continued support, and I do hope you have a nice rest of your day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating.

You may now disconnect.