Operator
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the BAWAG Group Q3 2026 results webcast and conference call.
At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session.
To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one and one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised.
To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded, and there will also be a transcript on the company's website.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Jutta Wimmer, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Jutta Wimmer
Good morning, everyone. Before we start with the call, let me remind you of the following.
In regards of the planned transaction of Permanent TSB, be reminded that transaction is regulated by the Irish Takeover Rules and therefore are restricted in information we can provide on this call. As a result, we will not take Q&A in relation to the PTSB transaction, and any updates will be communicated by regulatory announcements.
With that, I hand over to our CEO, Anas Abuzaakouk.
Anas Abuzaakouk
Thanks, Jutta. I hope everyone is doing well this morning.
I am joined by Enver, our CFO. Let us start with the summary of third-quarter results on slide three.
We delivered net profit of €248 million, EPS of €3.18, and a return on tangible common equity of 27% during the third quarter. The operating performance of our business was very strong, with core revenues of €599 million, up 8% versus prior year, pre-provision profits of €425 million, and a cost-income ratio of 30%.
We continue to realize the benefits of investments over the years as we build out a pan-European and US banking group. Total risk costs were €79 million, translating into a risk cost ratio of 56 basis points.
We have a low NPL ratio of 1% and continue to see solid credit performance across our businesses. In terms of our balance sheet and capital, average customer loans were flat, and average customer funding was down 1% quarter-over-quarter.
We have a fortress balance sheet with €13 billion of cash, equal to approximately 19% of our balance sheet, an LCR of 197%, and overall strong asset quality. During the first three quarters of the year, we worked diligently to ensure we positioned ourselves to fully self-fund the PTSB transaction.
As of the third quarter, we landed on a CET1 ratio of 17.1%, translating into over €1 billion of excess capital required to self-fund the deal. We have invested considerable time and resources in the PTSB transaction, and we look forward to the upcoming High Court decision at the end of the month and receipt of the remaining regulatory approval.
We started this process in November of 2025, when we made a strategic decision to enter the announced public auction. We spent six months of due diligence as part of a competitive auction process that required thorough analysis, planning, and coordination, and we were pleased to emerge from that process as the successful bidder.
After the signing of the transaction and subsequent shareholder approval in July, we have spent a significant amount of time communicating with regulators, the PTSB Board and leadership team, and many other stakeholders, introducing ourselves and our business. Our goal has been to listen, learn, and prepare for a smooth and seamless integration.
We are confident in having put our best foot forward, being patient, staying disciplined, working constructively and transparently at every stage of the process, all while rising above the noise. If the PTSB transaction is approved, this will be our 15th acquisition since 2015.
Acquisitions are a key plank of our strategy as we continue to build a pan-European and US banking group with the capabilities and scale to effectively compete and deliver sustainable results long into the future. PTSB would be our first public company acquisition, with different dynamics, but always staying consistent to our principles.
We focus on delivering results through our actions and avoiding empty slogans and self-promotion, as our actions speak louder than our words. We have been consistent about our views of the Irish market and key focus.
Ireland is one of the most attractive markets across Europe, with all the ingredients for successful banking: pro-growth economic policies, rich in human capital, and a bridge to the EU, the UK, and the US. We aim to drive competition through significant investment and innovation, supporting PTSB's customers and, more broadly, the Irish economy, while delivering long-term sustainable growth.
We are excited to get to work and embrace the journey ahead. We will provide an updated medium-term outlook with full-year earnings, assuming a successful close of the PTSB transaction.
Excluding any potential PTSB impact, we reconfirm all of our 2026 targets, with net profit over €960 million, return on tangible common equity over 20%, and a cost-income ratio under 33%. Moving to slide four.
As far as capital development, our reported CET1 ratio landed at 17.1%, equal to over €1 billion of excess capital above our CET1 target of 12.5%. This puts us in a position to fully self-fund the PTSB acquisition, which requires approximately 450 basis points of capital, subject to High Court and regulatory approvals.
We generated 116 basis points of gross capital from earnings during the third quarter. RWA growth accounted for approximately 30 basis points of capital, reflecting the changing asset mix and growth in our consumer and SME business, which has been on a positive trajectory the past few quarters.
We also restarted our dividend accrual, accruing 100% of earnings in the third quarter, equal to €248 million of net profit, or €3.21 per share, and plan to do the same for the fourth quarter as well. With that, I'll hand it over to Enver.
Enver Siručić
Thank you, Anas. Moving to slide six, our P&L and balance sheet overview.
We delivered a strong third quarter with net profit of €248 million and a profit before tax of €335 million. Net profit was down 3% versus prior quarter due to a positive tax effect in the second quarter following a participation sale, while profit before tax was up 1%.
Return on tangible common equity was 27% based on a current CET1 ratio of 17.1%. Core revenues amounted to €599 million, up 8% versus the prior year and 2% versus prior quarter, while pre-provision profit reached €425 million.
The cost-income ratio was below 30%, with synergy gains materializing faster than anticipated. Risk costs amounted to €79 million, translating into a risk cost ratio of 56 basis points, reflecting the changing asset mix.
Underlying credit performance remains solid, with an NPL ratio of 1%. Earnings generated 116 basis points of gross capital during the third quarter, supporting a reported CET1 ratio of 17.1%.
We also resumed the dividend accrual at 100% of third-quarter earnings, which is already deducted in the CET1 ratio. In terms of balance sheet, average customer loans were flat, and average customer funding declined by 1% quarter-over-quarter.
We continue to maintain a fortress balance sheet with €13 billion in cash, representing 19% of total assets, and an LCR of 197%, and a strong asset quality. Moving to slide seven, core revenues.
Net interest income increased by 2% in the quarter, with customer loans flat in Q3 '26, and supported by a continued positive trend in Consumer and SME, including credit cards. Mortgage volumes remained subdued.
Net interest margin at 350 basis points reflects the ongoing changing asset mix, while the deposit beta decreased to 28%. NII rate sensitivity is unchanged.
Every 25-basis-point increase delivers €25 million per year after 12 months and €50 million per year after 24 months. Net commission income with a stable development at €102 million.
Results across business lines of Retail and SME continued to perform well. For the fourth quarter, we expect net interest income to grow gradually and a stable development in net commission income.
On slide eight, operating expenses amounted to €181 million, representing a 2% quarterly decline, with a cost-income ratio below 30%. Our initiatives across the group develop better than anticipated, therefore expect to outperform our outlook.
Risk costs for the quarter came in at €79 million, up €3 million versus prior quarter. The increase reflects continued shift in asset mix toward higher-margin consumer and unsecured lending.
Importantly, underlying credit performance remains strong, with an NPL ratio of just 1%. On slide nine, the Retail and SME segment delivered net profit of €280 million, a return on tangible common equity of 35.8%.
Pre-provision profits amounted to €379 million, 4% higher than the previous quarter. Risk costs amounted to €75 million, or 77 basis points, driven by the asset mix change, while credit quality remains solid, with an NPL ratio of 1.6%.
We expect continued growth across the franchise. On Corporates, Real Estate and Public Sector, the segment delivered net profit of €35 million, with a return on tangible common equity of 23.2%.
We saw more redemptions in the quarter, but our focus remains unchanged on disciplined underwriting and risk-adjusted returns. Finally, on slide 10, we are entering the last quarter of the year.
Profitability remains robust, capital generation continues to be strong, asset quality is resilient, and we remain on track to deliver our 2026 targets, while preparing for the next phase of growth through the planned acquisition of PTSB. As mentioned earlier, we'll provide updated mid-term targets with our full-year results in February.
With that, operator, let's open the call for Q&A. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. To ask a question, you will need to press star one and one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced.
To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. We will now go to the first question.
One moment, please. Your first question today comes from the line of Gulnara Saitkulova from Morgan Stanley.
Please go ahead.
Gulnara Saitkulova
Hi. Good morning.
Thank you for the presentation and thank you for taking my questions. The first question on the deposit momentum and NII, can you please unpack the key drivers behind the deposit outflows with the corporate, real estate, and public sector down 26% year-on-year, and retail and SME down 2%?
Where you are seeing the most intense competition across products and geographies for the deposits? Looking ahead, where do you expect the deposit volumes to stabilize by segment?
How should we think about the pricing trends across key products? Related to that, to what extent can the shift towards higher-yielding lending offset funding pressures and support NII growth?
When should we expect the benefits from this asset mix shift to become visible in NII? The second question on risk-weighted assets, how should we think about the risk-weighted assets growth relative to organic growth going forward, particularly as the portfolio shifts towards higher-risk assets?
Do you expect the resulting capital headwinds to persist going forward? What levers could you pull to mitigate the impact on capital generation?
Thank you.
Anas Abuzaakouk
Great. Hi, Gulnara.
That was a lot to digest. [laughter] Enver?
Enver Siručić
Let me take the first ones, I think, you asked about the deposits momentum, the outflows. More of the same that we've seen in the past.
It's mainly two products. The one is the online German deposit business.
We decided a few quarters ago not to compete in the market because we think it's overpriced, and we are still seeing outflows in that segment. The second one is the Austrian public sector deposit base where the competition comes from the Austrian Bundesschatz, the government offer, which is, again, above market, and that's why we decided not to compete.
All the other franchises, all the other deposits are quite stable or growing. You asked about stabilization.
I think once that normalizes, but we see already lower outflows compared to the prior quarters in that segment. I think the second block of questions was about asset growth, I guess, and also RWAs.
There was just, yeah. Is that right, Gulnara?
Gulnara Saitkulova
Yes, correct. If we look about the the moving parts of NII, to what extent the shift towards higher-yielding lending to unsecured lending can offset this funding pressures and support the growth?
Enver Siručić
Yeah. I think on the Consumer SME side, we'll see that trend continuing.
It was quite stable over the last couple of quarters. What is harder to predict is mortgages.
We did expect more growth this year, but competition was really very intense in terms of pricing levels. That's why we stayed very patient and that's why you see a small decline there.
Also in Q3, we had more redemptions in the non-retail segment, especially in the real estate. Again, depends on the overall market.
For us, nothing changes. We will be disciplined, and we will not chase volumes in a particular quarter, but more look at it from a long-term perspective.
Gulnara Saitkulova
When it comes to risk-weighted assets?
Enver Siručić
It's all growing in line with the asset development, and the only thing that we have not disclosed is obviously that we are working on different measures, including SRTs, to potentially offset these.
Gulnara Saitkulova
You don't expect these headwinds to persist going forward? The 30 basis points headwinds that we saw from the mix shift, you expect this to phase out essentially to not persist going forward?
Enver Siručić
It's the same. As long as we have that asset mix change, you will see higher front-book RWA density, obviously, given the mix of the assets.
The only thing I said is we will work on different measures to offset that RWA growth, and that's not reflecting Q3, and it might be different in the coming quarters.
Gulnara Saitkulova
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question today comes from the line of Amit Ranjan from JPMorgan.
Please go ahead.
Amit Ranjan
Yes, hi. Good morning, and thank you for taking my questions.
I have two, please. The first one is on risk costs.
How should we think about the 50 bps outlook for '26? You have 56 bps during the quarter, 52 bps year-to-date.
Can you talk about the drivers here? I think you mentioned solid underlying trends.
Anything that you can give between split between asset growth and Stage 3 coverage provision build. The second one is on costs, please.
You are running well ahead. Should we expect this trend to continue?
Anything seasonal that we should keep in mind for Q4 that could drive the number higher, please? Thank you.
Enver Siručić
Thanks, Amit. On the risk cost outlook, pretty much the same answer as I gave to Gulnara is, as long as we see that asset mix change going on, you will see higher risk cost ratio.
What is hard to predict in is the redemption profile, if you see earlier redemptions than expected, as well as the mortgage growth, which was more muted than what we expected, which then becomes a technical thing of a denominator. If you then look at the risk cost ratio, it might be a bit elevated.
I think we are still confident that we'll be around the 50 basis points for the full year. On OpEx, yeah, I think trend is very obvious.
Q3 lower than Q2, it should be quite stable for Q4, I would assume, and we don't expect any one-offs or any seasonal effects for Q4.
Amit Ranjan
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question today comes from the line of Máté Nemes from UBS.
Please go ahead.
Máté Nemes
Yes. Good morning and thanks for taking my questions.
Two of these, please. The first one would be on your cash balances.
I was just wondering if you could update us on potential deployment of cash into higher-yielding securities. I think you've been feeling uncomfortable in the spread environment.
Now we've seen some spread widening, clearly. Any updated thoughts on that?
What's holding you back, what can hold you back from larger deployments going forward? The second would be just a quick update on your lending pipeline on non-retail.
I hear you, it's hard to predict redemptions on repayments, but if you could just talk a little bit about opportunities, particularly in corporate lending, and also perhaps in real estate, what you're seeing in the market at the moment. Thank you.
Anas Abuzaakouk
All right. Thanks, Mate.
Cash deployment, we are seeing the spreads starting to widen across certain asset classes, obviously sovereign, I think, is first and foremost, which we have almost no exposure, it's pretty de minimis, under 1%, but that's been the case for a number of years. I think we'll be patient.
There's a lot going on. We see some areas that we think could be attractive, but we're going to be disciplined and patient, and just assess the overall market as we think risk is repricing generally across the board.
That's something hopefully we'll be able to be the beneficiaries of, as we've been patient for a number of years now. Then on the non-retail, I think it's a good question.
The reality is you see a pipeline build up, and at times, you see pretty fast redemptions that are unexpected, and that's one that we just got to be patient. We're not going to manage it by quarter in terms of volume growth.
We feel pretty good about the pipeline that we have going into the end of the year, but that's just cyclical. It's hard to be quite frank, it's hard to pinpoint in any given quarter, let alone I guess across the whole year, but we'll be patient.
We see some good opportunities, but we're never going to chase anything for the sake of volume growth. Thanks, Mate.
Máté Nemes
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question today comes from the line of Gabor Kemeny from Autonomous Research.
Please go ahead.
Gabor Kemeny
Yeah. Good morning.
Firstly, on the NII outlook, please. You commented on the deposit flows.
How much competitive pressure do you see on deposit spreads? Looking at your NII sensitivity guidance, I guess how much kind of offset can we possibly assume from deposit spreads drifting a bit from the current levels, limiting the upside from higher rates?
That's the first one. Then secondly, coming back to costs.
You keep beating on consensus and on expectations. Can you comment on what levers have you found to improve the cost efficiency, and is this kind of fully in line with your budget or are there any trends which have been more supportive than you assumed initially?
Thank you.
Enver Siručić
Yeah. Gabor, on deposit competition, I mentioned the two examples.
We have seen quite intense market in Germany, especially for the online deposits, as well as the Bundesschatz offer in Austria. Overall, we would assume that the competition will pick up.
If you look at it differently, what we have seen early days is not so much the deposit pricing that has picked up, other than few offers that you've seen in the market, but it translated into a much higher mortgage pricing intensity. The mortgage spreads dropped significantly over the last couple of months, which we think is a reflection of the higher deposit margins that we see on the other side.
Going forward, yes, we would expect more intense competition in the market overall.
Anas Abuzaakouk
I would just say on the cost side, Gabor, I would say it's no different than how we've approached it over the past decade now that we've been a public company. Every quarter you try to strive for just getting a little bit better, and we talk about continuous improvement.
There's no silver bullets, not AI, which I think is a bit of a cliché. AI is an enabler just like every other technological improvement that has happened that we've seen.
I think the key is being disciplined, the approach in terms of taking an absolute cost focus as opposed to just looking at cost-income ratio. There's a lot of things that impact the denominator on the cost-income ratio, so, yeah, just more of the same and being very disciplined.
We are starting to see more broadly the benefits of a scalable platform, and when you really understand your technology stack, what we call technology operations or tech ops, I think that makes a real difference and being able to control that technology when you insource as opposed to rely on third parties. That's something that, I think, has been consistent over the years.
Gabor Kemeny
That's helpful. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question today comes from the line of Jordan Bartlam from Mediobanca.
Please go ahead.
Jordan Bartlam
Good morning. Thanks for the questions.
The one firstly on other income, or fees specifically. The fees and commissions was flat on the last quarter and you're continuing to guide for stable development for the rest of the year.
Just curious what's causing that line not to grow more from here. The advisory-type revenues seem like they should be growing a bit quicker, and I think the track record there's been pretty stellar.
Why is this not really translating into more growth? That would be my first question.
Then secondly, on the cost side, again, you flagged a few of the drivers. I just wonder how much more we can expect in terms of cost synergies from the KBC and Barclays deals, or are they largely done at this stage?
Those are my two questions. Thank you.
Anas Abuzaakouk
Let me just take the cost, and then Enver will address your other question. Jordan, it's not so much any one particular acquisition.
We look at it at a group level, that's how we manage things centrally. It's hard to pinpoint to any particular entity or acquisition.
It's just part of your continuous improvement cycle. I think that's a competitive advantage, that we look at things centrally, and we try to manage in terms of the overall platform.
I mentioned the technology operations, but it also is in the central functions. Commercially, obviously, that's more local in terms of customer-facing roles, but I think there's still quite a bit to do on this front.
Technology is the greatest enabler, right, coupled with having, I think, a centrally steered business, I think, is a competitive advantage. Enver, do you want to?
Enver Siručić
Yes, Jordan, on the fee income question, so, in reality, we were ahead of plan in the first three quarters, especially Q3 and Q2 were stronger than what we expected. Keeping it stable is actually above what we initially forecasted for the fee income.
That's the main reason. The second reason is just given the seasonality of it, certain fee lines are cut off basically before Christmas, if you think about advisory and the likes.
There is that seasonal effect. Again, we are ahead of plan on the overall line.
That's why we think being stable in Q4 is actually a strong outcome.
Jordan Bartlam
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Jovan Sikimić from ODDO BHF.
Please go ahead.
Jovan Sikimić
Yes. Good morning.
Thanks a lot for the call. Maybe at this stage if you could provide, what's your rate outlook for the next quarters?
Of course, in kind of, let's say, combination with organic loan growth outlook, where would you see actually NII trajectory going into 2027? Of course, I'm not talking with including PTSB.
I think somebody asked in the call about what's the likelihood of deploying cash into higher-yielding securities? Overall, where would you see, let's say, on current run rate of NII improving next year or not?
Thanks.
Enver Siručić
Yeah. Thanks, Jovan.
I don't want to start talking about next year's forecast, but I think provide some guidance how we think about it. We do not have a rate opinion.
We try to be very neutral in terms of our positioning. The underlying franchise obviously has a rate sensitivity as we have disclosed it, especially on the deposit side.
I think if you go through the main drivers, obviously the positives are higher rates, higher sensitivity, higher deposit margin. That's something that we'll expect to see in Q4, but also going into '27.
The asset mix change, unsecured consumer and SME, is a positive driver and that's also reflected in the prior quarters. I would say, on the more cautious side, I think competition in the deposits will pick up, so that will add obviously to the deposit betas, they should go up.
The other thing is not so much, it doesn't matter so much in the short term, but we see obviously very intense pricing on the mortgage side, and that's why volumes have been low. There's a mix.
I think overall it's a positive trend that will continue, but there are a couple of things that we need to look out for.
Jovan Sikimić
Okay. Very helpful.
Thanks a lot.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question today comes from the line of Domenico Maggio from Jefferies.
Please go ahead.
Domenico Maggio
Hello. Good morning.
One on credit, if I may. Hi.
You have this very useful slide on MREL, where you basically mention that you intend to have a single point of entry with PTSB, and that you expect existing MREL resources to still count during a transitional period. I just wanted to check with you, is the transitional period basically 2027, and then from end of the year 2027 you'll basically get a requirement for the combined entity?
Therefore the existing MREL from PTSB will not count in 2028?
Enver Siručić
Thank you, Domenico. We are not in a position to disclose that yet.
We'll disclose it as soon as we have it, and we'll make it public.
Domenico Maggio
Okay. AT1 and Tier 2 are still expected to count, is that correct?
Cuz on the slide you just touch on MREL. Just wanted to make sure that there are no nuances between the two.
Enver Siručić
Or
Domenico Maggio
is there a transitional period also for capital?
Enver Siručić
No, previously, we already did capital on a group level, and MREL was done at the OpCo level, and that is going to migrate to group level. I think that's the reason why.
Domenico Maggio
No transitional period for AT1 and Tier 2?
Enver Siručić
No, I would not assume that.
Domenico Maggio
They would still count. Okay.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Sigee from BNP Paribas.
Please go ahead.
Jeremy Sigee
Morning. Thank you.
Could you just come back on to any areas of organic growth where you see attractive opportunities? Could you just talk a little bit more about that?
Perhaps linked to that, or perhaps not, I don't know, what opportunities do you see in the US market at the moment? You emphasize your identity now as a pan-European and US banking group.
I just wonder what that sort of second part of it means at this point in time, where you see opportunities to do good business in the US.
Anas Abuzaakouk
Hi, Jeremy. We've been in the US market for, man, 15 years, so, yeah, this wasn't a recent development.
Just to more broadly your question or specifically to your question around opportunities, I think Enver touched on it. The one area that's the most challenged is mortgage volumes.
Not so much from a volume standpoint, right, people are lending out there. It's just from a spread standpoint, it's pretty anemic.
We'll be patient. We'll stick to our credit box.
Consumer and SME, whether it's credit cards, consumer loans, specialty finance, that's actually gone pretty well, I think better than expected this year. That's been an interesting dynamic or interplay between mortgages and kind of non-mortgages in the retail and SME.
Then on the Corporate, Real Estate, Public Sector, real estate has been the one that's been the most volatile, we've had, I'd say, unusually high redemptions this particular year. We have a good pipeline.
Not to front run, but we think hopefully that should materialize in the fourth quarter. Then in the corporates, it's a tough slog in terms of just where corporate lending is.
That's a lot of volume that we don't see really attractive spreads at the moment. In public sector, we'll see how things reprice, given just the developments more broadly.
AI data centers been a big area focus for a lot of banks and private credit platforms. We don't have any exposure there.
That's something that we've just never been able to get our hands around, to be quite honest. We'll be patient.
We see some good opportunities.
Jeremy Sigee
Thanks. The US thing, obviously I'm aware you've been there for a while, it's just whether there's any growth opportunities, whether that's a better place to deploy capital at this point.
Anas Abuzaakouk
I think on the commercial real estate front, particularly when you think about resi, industrial, even some idiosyncratic office opportunities, I think the US is pretty attractive. Also the US is where we've seen the highest redemptions, Jeremy, so, it's interesting yeah in the market.
We'll be patient, but we see pretty good opportunities. Question is, will they materialize?
Jeremy Sigee
Okay. Understood.
Thanks very much.
Anas Abuzaakouk
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. That was our final question for today.
I will now hand the call back to Anas Abuzaakouk, CEO, for closing remarks.
Anas Abuzaakouk
Thank you, operator. Thank you, everyone, for joining this morning.
We look forward to being in touch in the coming weeks and coming months and at year-end, if we don't speak before. Take care.
Have a nice day.
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call.
Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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