Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to CCL Products India Limited Q3 FY26 Earnings Call, hosted by Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.
Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing * then 0 on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Dipak Saha from Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities.
Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Dipak Saha
Thank you, [Ritu?] .
Good morning, everyone. On behalf of Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities, I welcome you all to the 3Q FY26 earnings call of CCL Products.
The management is represented by Mr. Challa Srishant, MD; Mr.
Praveen Jaipuriar, CEO; Mr. B.
Mohan Krishna, ED; Mr. Chaitanya Avasarala, CFO; and Ms.
Sridevi Dasari, CS of the company. I'll now hand over to the management for the opening remarks, which will be followed by Q&A.
I'll hand over the call to Praveen sir.
Operator
Dipak. Hello?
Dipak Saha
Yeah.
Operator
Dipak, even our Chairman Rajendra Prasad sir is also on the call.
Dipak Saha
Okay. We also have Mr.
Rajendra Challa with us on the call, and I'll request Mr. Praveen sir to start the call and give his opening remarks.
Thank you.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Thank you, Dipak, and thank you, Nirmal Bang, for arranging this call. Good morning, everyone.
I welcome you all to the third conference call of FY25-26. Now I'll give you a brief overview of the company's performance of the third quarter and also the 9-month period gone by.
As far as the group performance is concerned, the group has achieved a turnover of ₹1,053 crores for the third quarter of 25-26, as compared to ₹761 crores for the corresponding quarter of the previous year, achieving a growth of 38%. The EBITDA stands at ₹187.56 crores, as against ₹127.22 crores, which is a growth of 47%, while PBT is ₹116.27 crores, growing at 62%, and the net profit stands at ₹100.26 crores, with a growth of 59%.
As far as the 9-month figures are concerned, the group has achieved a turnover of ₹3,239.41 crores for the 9-month period, as compared to ₹2,274.54 crores for the corresponding 9-month period, achieving a growth of 42%. The EBITDA stands at ₹547.6 crores, as against ₹396.46 crores, which is a growth of 38%, while PBT is ₹337.55 crores, growing at 37%, and the net profit stands at ₹273.57 crores, with a growth of 31%.
The domestic market continues its growth momentum, with a gross sales of approximately ₹180 crores for the third quarter, and approximately ₹480 crores for the 9-month period. Out of this, the branded sales contribute close to ₹120 crores for the quarter, and around ₹330 crores for the 9-month period.
We have been speaking about this intermittently, but the green coffee prices, as far as they are concerned, they remain in the range of 3,600 to 4,000 levels. We'll have to wait and watch, I had told this before as well, how post-Tet holidays things pan out, and that will determine the range of green coffee prices going forward.
Additionally, the company has declared an interim dividend of ₹2.75 per equity share for 25-26. That is a brief update from our side.
I would now open the floor for questions. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press * and 1 on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press * and 2.
Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.
The first question is from the line of Shirish Pardeshi from Motilal Oswal. Please go ahead.
Shirish Pardeshi
Hi, Praveen. Srishant, good morning.
Thank you for the opportunity. Praveen, if you can give the outlook on the coffee prices because the new crop is just coming in.
I think, what are the pressure which we see at this time? My related question is that in the quarter of 38.5% revenue growth, what is the volume momentum we would have seen?
Maybe if number you can share.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Thanks, Shirish, for the question. As I told you, the outlook as of now looks much better than what it was a year ago.
If you remember, a year ago this quarter was a most tough quarter in terms of prices where it had surged at the maximum levels. However, this quarter things are looking far more stable than the last year.
Having said so, we are still in a little wait and watch period, considering that Vietnam goes for Tet holidays and there is a little bit of a selling off tendency before the Tet holidays, prices are at softer levels. The real test would be after Tet holidays if the farmers decide to hold on to the stocks, then we could see some more volatility coming in, some more price increases coming in.
As of now, the only guidance that I would give is that it looks far more stable. The Brazil news is good as of now.
The crop looks good unless and until there is some other bad news coming in. I think going forward, things are looking much, much better than what it was a year ago.
That's on the green coffee prices. As far as the volume trajectory is concerned, Shirish, out of this 38%, the volume is close to 20% or so.
There is another 18% to 20% of value growth that we've got for this quarter, and therefore the value growth was at 38%.
Shirish Pardeshi
Just two follow-up. It's the volume which is going to pick up and that's my understanding.
Will that price stability will come down, and therefore, two follow-up, is the customer is now giving you a steady order, or there is also a wait and watch mode? Second, how much price reduction on the account of all this situation now panning out we will have to take or the price will remain elevated for some time?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Two things, Shirish. We have always maintained that it's actually not right to look at the price growth because that is determined on the green coffee prices considering we do cost-plus model.
The real marker would be to see the volume growth and the EBITDA growth. That, as we have always maintained, that the guidance is remains stable, there is no fluctuation there.
Really we are not so bothered on the prices that even if the prices drop, that's okay because that's not what we are guiding the market or we are looking at as a parameter. The guidance stays from our side that keep looking at the volume growth and the EBITDA growth from our side.
Shirish Pardeshi
Okay. Last question, with the stability in the US tariff and other things, does that customer which was holding the inventory or maybe they were lower inventory, is that reflected in the month of January?
There is some spillover which would have happened in the quarter four, is that the understanding correct?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Not really. I don't think so people have been holding finished goods inventory across the globe.
Yes, in green coffee, there there are speculative holdings that happen with the green coffee farmers and the aggregators. I don't think so this tariff impact is going to impact much of the trade, and especially for for us because we had the flexibility to supply from Vietnam, it did not affect us.
Even if the lowering of tariff also is not going to help us or, it did not adversely help us, adversely affect us two, three quarters ago, it's not going to, give us undue advantage now also. Our position remains stable as it was before, going forward as well.
Shirish Pardeshi
Okay. Yes,
Praveen Jaipuriar
the customers are, considering the green coffee prices are now, the more stable they are, they are more assured they are. The long-term contracts obviously start coming in.
This is evident in our volume growth also. If you see last year, when the prices were so choppy, our volume growths were in the range of 10% to 15%, which goes to now 15% to 20%, considering long-term contracts have started to seep in, the confidence has started to seep in amongst customer that the prices are much more stable than what it used to be last year.
Shirish Pardeshi
Thank you, Praveen, but I was just asking to the price stability, is there expectation that quarter four volume will be much more than 20% what you delivered this quarter?
Praveen Jaipuriar
No, no, not really, not really. See, quarter four we have already, for the next subsequent quarters, our contracts are almost done.
We are kind of, we know how it would be, there won't be any, undue advantage that will go, get on in next quarter.
Shirish Pardeshi
Okay.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Yeah.
Shirish Pardeshi
Thank you, and all the best.
Rajendra Prasad Challa
Shirish, Shirish, this is Rajendra Prasad here.
Shirish Pardeshi
Yes, sir.
Rajendra Prasad Challa
Most important, we maintained CCL, it's an year-on-year company. Don't look at quarter-to-quarter.
See, 30 years history, sir. There is nothing, we build the capacity, slowly it will come.
Everything falls in place. Nobody buys just like that and keep stock.
Especially in a volatile market like green coffee, what exactly is happening, nobody knows, nobody can predict. As far as CCL is concerned, we always look for long-term, stable business.
There is no issue at all, okay?
Shirish Pardeshi
I think
Rajendra Prasad Challa
all of you should only look CCL on a year-to-year basis.
Shirish Pardeshi
Sir.
Rajendra Prasad Challa
Just like Praveen just now explained, what we have done in the domestic also. Slowly, it will take little time, doesn't matter, but we are very much there.
Shirish Pardeshi
Sir. Thank you.
Rajendra Prasad Challa
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vivek Ganguly from TCG AMC.
Please go ahead.
Vivek Ganguly
Thank you. I just wanted what would be the debt level as of the quarter end, and if you can give the debt level for the corresponding period, and also the interest cost, rate of interest?
Chaitanya Avasarala
Yes, Vivek. We continue to channelize our efforts to deleverage the balance sheet.
There is a subtle shift in our trend strategy towards a more cash flow-oriented and working capital-oriented approach, which is actually helping us in terms of reducing the debt. The gross debt, which used to be around ₹2,000 crores a year ago, has come down to ₹1,448 crores, as at 31st December '25.
This is the gross debt. Net debt would be around ₹1,248 crores.
Vivek Ganguly
Thank you. The interest rate?
Chaitanya Avasarala
Interest rate would be around 7% on an average, across the group. Our guidance was to ₹1,250 crores, as at 31st March '26, we have given a guidance of ₹1,250 crores.
We can see we are almost a quarter ahead of the guidance, but we'll stick to that guidance.
Vivek Ganguly
Right. Thank you.
That's all from my side.
Chaitanya Avasarala
One small aspect is basically, in spite of the significant increase in the volumes, the debt has actually come down. With the increase in volumes, the working capital should have ideally gone up, but we have actually brought it in the opposite direction.
Vivek Ganguly
Right. Yeah.
Very credible. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kashyap Javeri from MK Investment Managers.
Please go ahead.
Kashyap Javeri
Hi. Thank you very much for the opportunity.
Really heartening to see Mr. Rajendra Prasad also being on the call.
Thank you so much, sir, for being there. I have a question on our volume number, and slightly longer-term.
Once we hit let's say the full capacity, which is to be about 70, 77, 78,000 tons, when we do the peak utilization there, what would we be as a market share of the outsourced instant coffee globally? Once we hit that number, then should one assume that post that the growth will be in line with what the market would grow at, because we would be fairly large market share?
That's the question one. Second question is on our retail business in India, the branded coffee.
If you can give some idea on how that business is progressed in third quarter this year. Thank you.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Hi, Keshav. On your first question, when we are at peak capacity utilization, which is some time away from now, we probably will hit at 12%, 13% global market share of the outsource market, right?
Now that is, there are two ways to look at it. One is to say that even 12% or 13% there is still some way to grow, we could be growing ahead of the market, even there.
Kashyap Javeri
Sorry, Praveen. Praveen, just to interject here, when you said 12%, 13%, this is the total market or the outsourced market?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Outsourced market. I'm just talking about the outsourced market because, see, we can't compete in the branded and the captive consumption market.
I'm segregating that. This is only the outsource market.
We'll be 12%, 13%, which means that we still have some headroom to grow,
Kashyap Javeri
and
Praveen Jaipuriar
we'll continue to kind of strive for higher growth than the market. We have seen that the instant coffee market, considering that the growing economies are growing the way they are, and they are more likely to adapt to more instant coffee, we see a better growth of instant coffee than other coffees as well.
I think both put together, the market growth and our ability to still gain market share, we should be growing at a little higher levels. That is the long-term guidance, but it is really long-term.
We'll see how things pan out going forward. That's answer to your first question.
The second question you talked about the branded retail sales. As I told in my opening remark, that the branded retail sales continue to grow at a very good momentum.
We are growing at almost 40%, 50% this year. This year we are likely to close at around ₹430, ₹440 crores of only branded sales,
Kashyap Javeri
and
Praveen Jaipuriar
the India sales will be around ₹650 crores. We have been gaining constant market share and expanding our distribution.
We are now directly distributed in 140,000 outlets. We are also expanding our networks beyond South, which is North, East and West markets.
On most of the e-commerce and the modern retail platforms, we are very strong number three and in some cases even number two player. We are kind of outgrown some of our more illustrious competitors.
That is the little color on how the domestic market has fared, and we will continue to grow aggressively in this market as well.
Kashyap Javeri
Just a clarification, when you say ₹430 crores, at MRP level this would be what, about ₹800 to ₹1,000 crores?
Praveen Jaipuriar
No, we're not now at 50% discount. You may add 30% in any retail, approximately considering the retail margin and the schemes you give.
Kashyap Javeri
30%
Praveen Jaipuriar
to 35% you can add at MRP levels.
Kashyap Javeri
Okay. Last question, on the Vietnam side, we have capitalized large blocks in this year, in fact March last year, as well as mid of this year.
If I look at the sales, we are not seeing that kind of growth which we are seeing in the gross block there. What could be the reason there?
We are at about similar number for now about let's say two or three quarters, but the new capitalization should have added top-line growth in the third quarter also.
Praveen Jaipuriar
If I read your question right, you're asking that are we getting commensurate growths in terms of volumes in FCL? I would say yes, we are, because if you see even our margin profile improvement is because of the FD capacity utilization, which is now at much better levels because last year there was no FD capacity in Vietnam.
We are getting commensurate growth from Vietnam as well.
Kashyap Javeri
Utilization even today would be, in the new capitalization would be less than 50%?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Less than 50%. Considering that this is the first year of operation, utilization of 25%, 30% is, in fact, a very, very healthy utilization.
That's what we had planned, and that's what we are completely on target on that.
Kashyap Javeri
Absolutely. Again, Praveen and team, Mr.
Srishant, Mr. Rajendra Prasad, fantastic show.
Thank you so much for this numbers.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Thank you. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abhishek Mathur from Systematix Group.
Please go ahead.
Abhishek Mathur
Yes, hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity.
My first question was on our EBITDA per kg, which is a key metric for us. If I'm not wrong, it would have been approaching about ₹140 for the quarter, and you can correct me if that's not accurate.
The question here is that, now with coffee prices probably on a downtrend on a Y-o-Y basis at least, what should we expect in terms of the response on the EBITDA per kg as we enter into a cycle of maybe declining coffee prices Y-o-Y? Would this metric respond negatively?
Would it come down, or would it not be affected? Just trying to understand the dynamics between these two, the coffee price and the EBITDA per kg here.
Praveen Jaipuriar
I'll answer your second question first. Absolutely, there will be no impact on EBITDA because a lot of people ask this questions.
We don't speculate on coffee prices. It's a cost-plus model, very sound in terms of how we build prices.
Even if the coffee prices come down, our per-kilo EBITDA will remain intact, there is no impact there. Now coming to your first question, yes, you are right, we are now improved our EBITDA per kilo.
It's now at 135, 140 levels, and we'll try and continue to maintain at these levels. As Mr.
Prasad right now just said, that don't look at quarter to quarter, there will be some variations. A lot goes in EBITDA per kilo, what is the product mix, what is the type of SKU you are selling, large packs, small packs.
A lot of things come into play, freeze-dried versus spray-dried. A long-term guidance has been that we'll keep improving.
But 135, 140 levels we have achieved, and we'll try and maintain these levels going forward as well. Of course, there'll be quarterly variations.
Don't look at quarters, maintain the long-term view on our EBITDA per kilo.
Abhishek Mathur
Sure. Great, sir.
Second question, sir, just wanted to understand if there is any contribution or impact from the foreign exchange changes. Obviously part of our business would be naturally hedged, but even so, if you can talk about whether we are seeing any impact of FX changes on our business, and if you can talk about any other kind of hedging that we follow.
Chaitanya Avasarala
Abhishek, we have a natural hedge sort of thing. Most of our procurement is only through imports.
Since we have exports and we have imports, it is supposed to get naturally hedged. Having said that, when rupee depreciates, you will have a little bit of exchange impact because of we are net exporter, and we have little bit of impact in the sense that there is an exchange gain which will be there in the books.
Abhishek Mathur
Right, sir. This is not material to call out?
Chaitanya Avasarala
No, that's not material because the thing is that we're naturally hedged. We have imports, we have exports, which will automatically negate forex risk.
Abhishek Mathur
Understood, sir. Just one final quick one if I can squeeze in, on the India branded business, our operating margins would be in the range of 5% to 8%, or any other range that you want to specify?
Praveen Jaipuriar
That's right. Yeah.
That is there, and we keep plowing back to the business so that we can grow this business. This business has just started to kind of having green shoots, and it is important for us to keep investing into the business, which we'll keep doing for the long period of time.
That is the guidance we have given, that we'll maintain at these levels.
Abhishek Mathur
If you can give us specific number between 5 to 8 or any specific number?
Praveen Jaipuriar
We'd stay with this number because we don't kind of granularly kind of publish numbers, let us stay with that kind of. It's not a very broad margin.
5% to 8% to my mind is quite a decent spectrum that we are giving.
Abhishek Mathur
Sure, sir. Thank you for the responses, and all the best.
Thanks.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Thank you. Thank you, Abhishek.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Lokesh Manik from Vallum Capital.
Please go ahead.
Lokesh Manik
Yes, hi. Good morning to the team.
Heartening to see the Chairman sir on this call today.
Operator
Sorry to interrupt, Mr. Manik.
We are unable to hear you. Can you please speak a little louder?
Lokesh Manik
Is this better now?
Operator
Please go ahead.
Lokesh Manik
Yes, hi. Good morning to the team.
Heartening to see the Chairman sir on the call today. Praveen, my question is more from a portfolio diversification perspective.
How am I looking at it is core coffee business and then you have the B2C, which has grown fantastically, domestic market, and then you have also in the UK market acquired a couple of brands. Then the third piece is the new products that we keep experimenting with.
We had cold brew coffee earlier, we are now doing plant-based snacks. On these three areas, if you can give a sense how the portfolio is diversified, or contribution from these segments can help us just understand how the diversification is progressing.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Absolutely, Lokesh. Let me give you some color.
That, and we have been speaking this for long, that the whole foundation of the company is based on innovation, which means that we constantly offer new products to our clients, understanding the market needs, understanding what the client needs. That's the reason we have been showing these kind of performance over the period of so many years, that every time we have been a little ahead of the curve in terms of providing the products.
We were the first ones to set up a freeze-dried plant in India when nobody thought of it, which clearly demonstrates our penchant to do newer products for our customers, and that also helps us to diversify our portfolio and not be dependent on one product. That's the reason we have been able to get a consistent growth over a period of time.
We also diversified into creating our own brands, which also has done well for a period of now last 6, 7 years, which is also part of our diversification process because it helps us to kind of be a complete company in terms of coffee, not only supplying good products and diversified products for our B2B consumers, but also to our B2C consumers. Even in B2C if you see, our product range has been really vast.
In fact, when we started, a lot of people had questioned us that, a company which is only starting, why do you have so many ranges of coffee? Our very simple answer was that we understand the consumer palate, we understand what consumers want.
For every region, we developed a new blend; for every type of consumers, we developed a new blend. That's the reason we ended up creating a very good portfolio even in the branded segment in the domestic market.
The UK acquisition continues to grow, we are handsomely growing there. It is so tough to create and grow a brand in these kind of countries, which are very, very brand-conscious, right?
There also we have been doing extremely well. As far as the question of plant-based meat is concerned, Lokesh, that category itself, if you see around you, has kind of not done well.
In fact, the whole category is almost on a shutdown basis,
Lokesh Manik
and
Praveen Jaipuriar
we quickly took a call because we didn't want to further our losses in that category. We quickly cut down on the losses and we stopped that category because we didn't see the category the way it was evolving is going to evolve well in the future.
We are now rethinking that is protein a good category and how we can participate in that category. While we are doing that, our thought of diversification doesn't end here.
We said that can we see beyond coffee? That's the reason we started experimenting with some traditional snacks under the brand name Malgudi, which goes with traditional ethos of the country,
Lokesh Manik
and
Praveen Jaipuriar
we have started to micro-launch these products in some of the outlets in Hyderabad to see how the response is. If we get good response and we get the product mix right, the pricing mix right, then we will expand this further.
That's, in all, with the base being innovation, a color on how diversification has been the key for the company in any segment that we operate. That probably completes your answer to your questions.
If you have anything in more details, you're welcome.
Lokesh Manik
Just one more on the success of 2-in-1 and 3-in-1s. In Europe, especially, they were quite well-known and famous.
India also we tried to introduce. On both these fronts, how are we doing on those product portfolios?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Yeah. Lokesh, just a small correction.
It was not very popular in Europe, it was very popular in Southeast Asia. It was very popular in markets like Vietnam, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia.
The prime reason for this was that there was always a shortage of milk in these countries, yeah? For them, 3-in-1 and 2-in-1 became very popular choice and they kind of grew up on such kind of coffee.
Now coming to India and European markets, these categories are doing well because it's not as big as what Southeast Asia is because fundamentally these countries are milk surplus countries, they have enough of milk. So 3-in-1, 2-in-1 will take its own time to develop.
In certain segments, like let's say the student segment, the single office-going segment, these segments it is catching up and growing. Europe, we are yet to see massive growth.
Also, in Europe, supplying of 3-in-1 is a challenge because they don't allow dairy from any other country, we have to look at other options. As and when things evolve, we will keep you updated.
That's the update on this.
Lokesh Manik
Praveen, just last one just to add on this. If you see the growth in the future coming for coffee mainly for emerging markets and mainly Southeast Asia, then 3-in-1 and 2-in-1s would be a good bet then?
Should I take this forward then?
Praveen Jaipuriar
No, it's already a good bet.
Lokesh Manik
We're
Praveen Jaipuriar
not saying that it's not a good bet. All these countries, Southeast Asian countries, they have their very strong brands.
In fact, a lot of brands we supply coffee to. We are already in a way participating in that growth that is happening in 2-in-1 and 3-in-1 because to a lot of brands we are the suppliers of coffee.
Now the only question that remains is that do we participate in these markets with our own brands? That we will check and see that is it fruitful to operate in already crowded market, unless and until we have a product innovation, some differentiator, we would not like just to kind of go ahead and participate in the market.
We'll see how things pan out in these markets. Right now our focus is in India, and we'll start seeding some of our brands in some of the other markets, but that's been the focus right now.
Lokesh Manik
Great. That's it from my side.
Thank you so much.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Kushal from Asian Broking.
Please go ahead. Kushal, your line is unmuted.
Please go ahead.
Khushal Jain
Hello?
Operator
Yes, you are audible. Please go ahead.
Khushal Jain
I just wanted to know new product segments the company is exploring, any new segments the company is planning to get into apart from
Praveen Jaipuriar
overall business? Sorry, just to interject, are you asking about new segments within coffee or new segments outside coffee?
Khushal Jain
Overall business.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Overall business, yeah. Let me answer you in two phases.
One is within coffee also, as I just now spoke about the new types of coffee that we have been experimenting with. I told you about how we were the first ones to introduce or get into freeze-dried coffee in India.
Then things like instant cold brew, which was unheard of phenomena. We developed it and that is going handsomely for us.
We are also now developing specialty coffee, which was only restricted to roast and ground in roasted beans. We are now kind of experimenting that can we bring these concepts into instant coffee.
These are some of the innovations that we are doing, the microgrounds and things like that. Various innovations we are doing depending on which markets we want to operate in and which clients we are supplying to.
Lots of innovation on B2B. On the B2C front, as I just explained, we are also seeding or let's say experimenting with some of the categories which are outside coffee.
Can we look at things like snacks, which go well with coffee and helps us with our distribution and kind of helps us penetrate the market better in the FMCG segment. These are some of the experiments.
Already on the vending side, we are supplying tea to a lot of our clients because the vending business is not just about coffee, it is about coffee and tea as well. These are the segments that we will be experimenting, seeding the seed.
We have never been one company wherein we suddenly kind of do a market bombing. We seed the markets, we see how responses are coming in, do some product changes as per the market, close, go step by step, and that's how we will grow the market.
That's what we will continue to do in the future. These are some of the categories that we will try and experiment with.
Khushal Jain
Thank you, sir.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Deepak from Sundaram Mutual Fund.
Please go ahead.
Deepak Kumar
Thank you for the opportunity. Am I audible?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Deepak, you're audible.
Deepak Kumar
Hi, sir. Sir, my first question is on small pack.
Could you please highlight that what is the small pack capacity we have right now and what is the utilization level? Is there any expansion plan let's say in the next 12 months for that?
Praveen Jaipuriar
The expansion plan, Deepak, will depend on how the future orders are. Let's say, for example, let me break it down into, let's say small packs.
Within small packs also you have different types of packaging, yeah, right from sticks and sachets to pouches to, glass jars, tins. All these kinds of packing are there.
Let's take an example of small pack. We have seen a lot of, demand for the real small pouches because these are unit price pouches, and especially in economies like the growing economies, the demand for these for kind of small packs or LUPs, as you popularly call them, is very high and it is growing.
Markets like Africa, India, they're responding very, very well to the small packs. Definitely we are going to expand this capacity.
Right now, if I aggregate all the small packs, our capacity is 12 to 14,000 metric tons of small packs we can do. Already we are running out of capacity in the small units like sticks and the sachets, we are going to expand this in the near future.
For glass jars and cans, we have enough of capacity as of now. If we see that we are nearing full capacity, we'll expand that also.
Last time also we had briefed that the units, our units are constructed in such a manner that if you can kind of, do modular expansion as well. As of now, the the small pack facility is such that by just adding machines, we can add the capacities for these small pack.
That's where it is. Again, to reiterate, sticks and pouches we are almost running at full capacity, and in glass jars and cans we are at 50% to 60% of capacity utilization, there is some way to go.
This we are going to expand in near future.
Deepak Kumar
Thank you. Sir, second question is on volume front.
If I look at our 9-month volume growth, we are almost doing 18% to 20% volume growth. In Q4, is this kind of volume growth sustainable for us?
I'm asking because I guess relatively the base is higher versus last Q4, since that was a quarter where we also had double-digit volume growth. To continue on this, would it be fair to assume that, on a higher base of FY26, at least 11% to 12% volume growth is possible for us in '27 and '28?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Definitely, and this quarter, our volume growth should be as good as what we have seen in the first 9 months. Yes, you're right, last year the same quarter was a very high quarter for us, we had also expected that the growths at least, while we'll keep the momentum, the growths will be a little less.
We are confident that on a yearly basis, we will be growing at 18%, 20% volume growth. That remains intact.
Next year, we will see, because a lot of things are evolving. As I told in my opening call, post-Tet holidays we'll see how the prices kind of pan out.
If they remain stable, we are likely to get more long-term contracts, and that will help us assess our volume growths better. Maybe by end of next quarter, we'll be able to give you better guidance for next year.
Deepak Kumar
Okay. Is there any particular areas where we're penetrating further?
I just wanted to understand that since instant coffee market itself is growing at a lower single-digit and we are growing at a higher double-digit, means where exactly we're gaining more wallet share? How much let's say client additions are we factoring in for those kind of volume growth?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Client addition I can't quantify it, but it's an ongoing process. See, as every day we add clients, every day there'll be some clients who also go away from us.
It's a leaking bucket. It's not that everybody stays with us and nobody will come to us, so that's not the case.
Every time we're adding new clients. Yes, our ability to add new clients because of the product portfolio, our servicing levels, our cost structures is better, and that is the reason we have been growing a little ahead of the market, right?
If the market, you are right, the market is low single digits, that's the growth. We have been maintaining better growth.
Now where are these growths coming from? I think this growth is well panned out.
We are getting growth from all geographies. We are getting very good growth from Africa, we are getting good growth from the American markets, as well as the European markets.
Asia is growing for us. Our brands is growing for us very handsomely.
We are getting very all-rounded growth and it is not skewed towards a geography or a client that is there. Even our client base is very well spread out.
We have already spoken about this. Our top 20% of the clients contribute only 40% to 50%, which means that the diversification of our clients is also very good.
That's the bottom line, that the growths are coming from all quarters.
Deepak Kumar
Very helpful. If I may squeeze in one more, just on the gross debt part.
Earlier sir highlighted that our gross debt has come down despite such a high volume growth. Just wanted to understand, sir, how we were able to manage this?
Is it because of change in sourcing mix or is it because of better inventory management? Just wanted to understand what is going right for us in terms of working capital management.
Chaitanya Avasarala
See, it's all about working capital management, bringing in operational efficiencies into the system. If you bring down the DIO days, obviously your working capital will get freed up, right?
The same is the case with DSO. If your realizations are faster, right, it obviously generates free cash flow, which in turn will be utilized to pay off the debt.
What we have been doing for the last few quarters is that we approached the customers and then renegotiated the contracts, saying that we'll reduce the credit periods, and that has helped us in terms of reducing the DSO days, which in turn helped us reduce the debt.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Also, to add to this, one wouldn't deny that the softening of coffee prices, our ability to hold less of green coffee, because in a higher rising coffee prices market, you tend to hold more inventories as well. Again, it's not a single factor that is helping us, it's a multiple of factors that is helping us to get to a better debt levels as we see today.
Deepak Kumar
Very helpful, sir, and all the best. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Dipak Saha from Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities.
Please go ahead.
Dipak Saha
Hi. Congratulations on this great execution, sir, and really pleasure to see Chairman sir on the call.
Just one question, Praveen sir, first of all, see, given the kind of a volume growth that we have seen and the working capital management that we have done, earlier we had this sourcing issue given the geographical proximity from say Brazil and our dependence on Brazil and Vietnam. Now given that coffee prices have started coming down, what would be the sourcing mix between say Brazil, as far as green coffee is concerned, on the Brazil side and Vietnam side?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Dipak, we never have a sourcing issue because, see, we are an export-oriented unit, we have the flexibility to source from Brazil, Africa, Vietnam. Yes, the the logistics time does increase when you import from Brazil.
Having said so, if you do your planning well in advance, we have that flexibility to import wherever we can, from wherever we can. Now coming to the question where we will, do more sourcing from going forward, it'll all depend on how prices pan out.
Let's say if the prices, stay stay very stable in Vietnam, definitely we would love to source from Vietnam considering we have a factory there and its proximity to India as well. Let's say Brazil crop comes out good and there the prices soften, we also have the ability to source from there.
Our sourcing will really, also a lot also depends on what are the kind of client profile you have, what is their demand, what kind of sourcing or type of product they want. Again, multiple factors will come into play.
The only thing that we would like to say is because considering the way we are structured, we have a massive flexibility, and which helps us helps our business to grow. That wouldn't be a challenge going forward to us is the only point that I would like to say.
Dipak Saha
Got it, sir. Basically what I was trying to highlight the fact that earlier when the prices were say on the elevated side and dependence on Brazil, because of the geographic proximity, would have increased our average inventory holding period, right?
Now given prices have come down, we would not have that problem now, and which is also a reason we are seeing a better inventory management, yeah, that's what I was trying to highlight.
Praveen Jaipuriar
That's what I added to Chaitanya's comment, that even the coffee prices has helped us. The fact that if Vietnam softens, we don't have to kind of hold much of stocks from Brazil.
The third thing is that you see in a market when it is growing, no, there is always a tendency for small guys to falter also because today you contracted let's say at 100, tomorrow the price is at 120, he may falter also, we would want to secure that green coffee and put it our godown, which increases your inventory, yeah? That also adds to the pressure of working capital.
Now in an inverted market, as you say, when it is going down, it is more beneficial for that guy to hold the stock for me than me holding the stock. Definitely all of these factors are helping us, and going forward if things remain stable, it will further improve, even our debt position will further improve going forward.
Dipak Saha
Got it. This is really helpful.
Sir, second question is if I see 9 months this year, we have done, as earlier you mentioned, say 18%, 20% kind of a volume growth, and EBITDA per kg has also improved. Earlier our guidance was say 15%, 20% kind of an EBITDA growth.
We are at 9 months 38% kind of an EBITDA growth Y-o-Y, right? Now looking at next year, even on decent volume growth in alignment with what we did last year or the guidance that we gave earlier, given our EBITDA per kg is materially improving trajectory, will it be fair to assume that 15%, 20% Y-o-Y EBITDA growth guidance that we had remains very much intact?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Not only intact, see, this year again as you have to see all year, we already are at 30%, in fact you can take it from our side that the guidance gets revised for this year at approximately 25% or so. That we are very definite about.
Now going forward next year, as I told you, give us a couple of months' time because a lot will depend on how coffee prices and all pan out and how the contracts will evolve. If the coffee prices remain soft, the contracts will be long-term and our guidance of 15%, 20% will remain intact, but we will wait and watch for one or two months before giving a guidance for next year.
Dipak Saha
Got it. Incrementally, we have that potential of say that 20% going to little bit on the higher side, depending upon how things pan out, but that remains fundamentally intact.
That's really helpful, sir.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Dipak, last year when the coffee prices were very choppy, that is the reason we had broadened our guidance to 10% to 20%. Things panned out well for us.
We will continue to strive for it, but if you ask me a guidance, I will wait for a month or two for the coffee prices to come in, then we will give a guidance for next year as well, yeah.
Dipak Saha
No, fair enough. Sir, coming to the B2C side, now as we're targeting say ₹430 crore kind of a number this year, and what would be the number for 9 months so far that we have done?
Praveen Jaipuriar
So ₹330 we have already done. We are going to add another ₹100, ₹110 in the last quarter.
Of course, these are primary numbers. We'll see the last month because only in last month we drive more of collection and less of pushing into the market.
That will determine, but yeah, ₹100, ₹110 is definitely, so that's not a problem at all.
Dipak Saha
Got it. On this trade, just last two questions, sir.
One is the kind of marketing measurements we have seen on the western side of the country is quite meaningful, and earlier we had quite of a dominance in southern market, especially Andhra and Telangana. We increased our market share and almost replaced the number two player.
Now what's the strategy and more than that, what's the feedback or market response you're getting from western side or other parts of the country? Because southern market, we are already doing good.
What do you think going ahead would be the growth levers for other parts of the country, especially northern side and western side of the country? If you can slightly give some color on this.
Praveen Jaipuriar
Dipak, in spite of doing well in South, we'll continue to aggressively drive in South as well because some of the geographies we feel that we still can drive a lot of penetration, especially in markets like Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. We have gained very handsome shares.
We started our activity 8, 9 months ago to drive more penetration in Tamil Nadu. That has reaped us very good benefits.
We have gained good market shares. The growth momentum has come out very good in these markets, we will continue to drive penetration in these markets.
In the other markets, we have a very different strategy, where we are saying that we will cream the distribution there. What it means is that we will continue to drive very aggressively on e-commerce platform because that is not manpowered heavy and it now reaches to all and sundry in the North, East, and West markets.
Already in some of these platforms, we are double-digit market share, yeah, which is very good news for us. Some of the activities that we have taken in the North, East, and West markets have already started to reap very good results.
In platforms like Blinkit and all that, which are very, very concentrated in the North Indian markets, we have already very, very handsome market shares. As I already told you, in most of these platforms we are double-digit market share, including Amazon.
These are the kind of initiatives we will do in the non-South markets and continue to drive much more aggressively. Of course, because of the lower base, they will grow at higher levels.
We will also do cream distribution, which means that let's say in the top 5% to 10% of the outlets. Thankfully, coffee is not so well penetrated in rest of these markets, what we'll do is we'll say that, okay, direct distribution in 5% to 10% of the outlets, which has a lot of heavy-weighted distribution, and continue to drive through e-commerce and the other quick commerce.
Even in modern retail, we are doing extremely well. Reliance, we have crossed double-digit market share, which is very good news because Reliance again is very strong in all the parts of the country.
These are markers of the fact that the brand has started gaining traction in some of these markets, and some of the initiatives that we have taken is giving us good results. We'll continue to do that.
Dipak Saha
Really heartening to see that the kind of response is there. Really great to see.
Thank you. Last question to CFO sir, on the cash flow from operations and free cash flow side, given debt has come down and overall there's no meaningful CapEx going to happen say in FY27 and subsequent year, and our working capital efficiencies have really kicked in, right?
Congratulations on that part. What kind of CFO and free cash flows that we are looking for say FY27 and FY28?
Just some color on that. Thank you.
Chaitanya Avasarala
Probably it may be too premature for me to comment on that. For the current year, on a TTM basis, we have generated close to ₹700 crores of free cash flows, right?
We'll continue the same momentum and probably now that we have higher operating profit and working capital efficiencies, both will lead to higher free cash flows. We'll continue this momentum, and probably it may be slightly ahead of ₹700 crores is what we expect.
Dipak Saha
Got it, sir. Thank you.
That's helpful.
Operator
Thank you. The next question is from the line of Samay Sapni from Helios Capital.
Please go ahead.
Samay Sapni
Good morning. Thanks for the opportunity.
Sir, in Q3, what would be the blended utilization level?
Praveen Jaipuriar
At an at an overall level, we are around 65%,
Samay Sapni
65%
Praveen Jaipuriar
to 70%, yeah.
Samay Sapni
We are at 65%, 70% right now in Q3. Now could you just share some timeline now we are going to, could you share a timeline on how we are going to reach like full capacity levels, by what, do we see 65% in the next or maintain 65% in the next few quarters, and when shall we start seeing an uptick?
Could you share some color on that?
Praveen Jaipuriar
Let's say at an annual level, by the end of 2 years from now, let's say, we are looking at an 85%, 90% kind of a capacity utilization. That's the time we'll see that going forward how do we want to build capacity, which areas do we build it ourselves, get into strategic partnerships.
All that will start happening after 2 years. Yes, we'll put our thinking hats maybe after 1.5 years to see that what directions we'll look forward to go.
Next year will be really critical if let's say the volume growths are maintained in a similar trajectory of 15% to 20%, then we definitely will be very close to 80%, 85% in 2 years, and that's the time we'll start thinking about adding fresh capacities.
Samay Sapni
Thank you for that, and that was really helpful.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take that as the last question for today.
I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Praveen Jaipuriar
I thank you all for attending this conference, and thank you, Nirmal Bang, for arranging this conference. We will look forward to meet all of you in the next quarter margin calls.
I would just like Chairman to give a closing remark on the call.
Rajendra Prasad Challa
Thank you, everybody. Just have patience, that's all I can say.
Everything will go as we have planned. Okay?
Thank you, Nirmal Bang. Thank you, everybody.
We are always open to any kind of question, there's no issue at all. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you very much, sir. On behalf of Nirmal Bang Institutional Equities, that concludes this conference.
Thank you all for joining us today, and you may now disconnect your line.
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