Exide Industries Limited

Exide Industries Limited

331.95
INR
-11.85
(-3.45%)
11.02EPS
35.36P/E
329.46BMarket Cap
Nov 04Next Earn

Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 3, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Exide Industries Q3 FY2026 Earnings Conference Call, hosted by Investec Capital Services. As a reminder, all participants' lines will be in listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand over the conference to Mr. Aditya Jhawar from Investec Capital.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Aditya Jhawar

Thank you. Good afternoon to you all.

From Exide Industries, we have with us MD & CEO Mr. Avik Roy; Director Finance & CFO Mr.

Manoj Kumar Agarwal; Mr. Pravin Saraf, MD & CEO of Exide Energy Solutions; President of Legal & Corporate Affairs and Company Secretary Mr.

Jitendra Kumar. Before we proceed, here is a disclaimer for the call.

Few statements by the company's management in the call may be forward-looking in nature, and we request you to refer to the disclaimer in the earnings presentation for details. We will start the call with a brief opening remark from the management followed by Q&A session.

I would now like to invite Mr. Avik Roy for the opening remarks.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Avik Roy

The Board of Exide and across multiple segments of the company's commodity prices hotting up, we decided not to take price correction for the end consumers to benefit. The overall macroeconomic scenario in Q3 was positive, driven by low inflation rate, low repo rates, and all contributing to increased purchasing power of the end customers.

Coming to the performance of the company during Q3, nearly 92% of the business has grown by around 12% on the top line. Within this, Auto OEM, Auto Aftermarket, Industrial Infra, and the inverters continued to contribute to growth.

Industrial Infra performance improved year-on-year basis, order flow and execution picked up in B2B sectors like railway, traction, and industrial UPS for OEMs. The headline growth numbers still remain muted because 8% of the remaining businesses had a strong decline, namely our telecom business as well as the exports business.

This led to a total 5% year-on-year sales growth during the quarter. This was the first ever Q3, which is supposed to be our smallest quarter, first ever Q3 where we crossed our top line of 4,000 crores.

Our domestic growth ex-telecom is at 10%. In Q3, the company ramped up production leading to higher capacity utilization and positive impact on the bottom line.

Cost pressures continued due to increase in raw material prices, especially the metals we use for our alloys: silver, tin, copper, and sulfur for sulfuric acid. They were at or near their all-time highs.

Weakening of rupee against dollar added further pressure to the input costs. However, all our cost excellence projects helped improve the gross margin by 175 basis points on a sequential quarter basis.

Despite this, the company was able to maintain the year-on-year EBITDA margin at 11.7% for Q3, buoyed by strong volume growth, improved product mix, better realization, and benefits accruing from the various cost excellence projects. All the above efforts have resulted in expanding the EBITDA margin on a sequential quarter basis by 220 basis points.

Our adjusted pre-tax profits, if I take out the one-time impacts of both last year's quarter three and this year's quarter three, is at +12.8%. Looking at the January numbers, this momentum is expected to spill over into Q4 as well.

Home inverters and solar verticals returned to growth trajectory after the extended monsoon and the GST-led slowdown in Q2. Industrial Infra continued to deliver double-digit growth on a year-on-year basis.

Tariff uncertainties and geopolitical tensions continue to impact the exports business and is still a work in progress. We expect the situation to continue in similar trend in Q4, and given the announcements which we heard last night, it only gives us more hope that those markets where we were struggling due to tariff barriers will open up.

As we enter the last quarter of FY2026, the outlook for the lead-acid business remains positive across most business verticals due to uptick in automotive OEM demand, growing aftermarket demand, drive for solar energy, and rising power backup demand from customers. This quarter, some of you maybe may have noticed, this quarter we have just launched AGM batteries for premium passenger vehicles.

We'll soon be announcing launch of our Ultra and Power Box range of inverter batteries, catering to premium and economy segments as well, as well as solar grid-tied inverters. In addition, we have also supported Tata Sierra petrol model and the new domestic Kia Seltos model as 100% supplier to these two SKUs of our customers.

I'm told both this SKUs, both this models are doing very well in the market. I believe that Exide, with its advanced product portfolio, pan-India distribution network, and strong brand recall, will continue to benefit from growth opportunities.

Moving on to the lithium-ion cell manufacturing project, we have invested about 320 crore in Q3 and further 50 crore in January. With this, the total equity investment made in Exide Energy till date stands at 4,252 crore.

Product validation from the cylindrical cell line is ongoing, which is meant for two-wheelers, while installation and commissioning is nearing completion in the other lines. Meanwhile, the company continues to engage with various OEMs for two-wheeler, three-wheeler, and four-wheeler, and stationary energy providers across key end markets.

With this, I close my opening remarks. I'll be happy to take your questions now.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question is from the line of Siddharth from Nomura. Please go ahead.

Thanks for the opportunity, sir. Sir, first question is on the industrial side of the business.

If you can sort of give some more breakup about what percentage of our total revenues will be coming from telecom, solar, and also on the export side, given that some of these segments have faced challenges. By when do you think we sort of see the weakness bottoming out and probably growth coming back?

Second, on the export side, also again, I think you highlighted that we also faced some tariff-linked challenges. Which are these countries where you are sort of facing the challenge, and how big they are in our exports?

Avik Roy

Thank you for the question. To answer the first question, see, today as we speak, telecom, exports, these contribute to about 7% to 8% of our turnover.

It used to be very high. Once upon a time, telecom used to be alone 10% when there was a boom of 5G rollout and things like that.

Now the technology has shifted to lithium-ion, and therefore the lead-acid volumes have come down as a share of business. This is the business which is declining because there is a technology shift.

Exports right now is about 5% to 6% of the business, used to be 8% a few quarters back. This is basically some of the markets we just simply had to reduce our supplies because of all these geopolitical tension.

We know some of our Central Asian markets we were impacted because of the geopolitics. We developed certain products, some premium products for the developed market like US and Europe, which didn't pick up because of the barriers.

With the announcements what we heard yesterday, we know that, yes, our customers, our distributors are ready, our product is ready. We can very soon ramp up those supplies once we see the finer details of the new tariff announcements.

You wanted to know how much is the industrial part of the business. I can tell you in quarter three, the industrial UPS business has grown by about 13%, both trade and OEM put together.

Solar has grown also single-digit, but solar had a negative growth in quarter two, they have at least come back, I can see. On a nine-month basis, solar is still at 12%.

Railways and motive power, they're doing extremely well. They have both grown double-digit.

Infra business, if I take telecom away, is still at double-digit growth. Regarding exports, as I said, few quarters back last year, we developed, homologated a lot of new premium products for western market, for both Europe and US, which the sales did not pick up immediately because of the uncertainties.

Now it has bottomed out, I would like to feel, because we have also found out new partners and new geographies in the meantime. Actually this tariff-led disruption helped us to find out new countries and new partners, new distributors in other parts.

In Europe, we found out a new partner with whom we have an exclusive arrangement, which we might make public very soon. In US also, with this announcement of yesterday, I think this is a great boost for us, and this makes the team energetic because the products were just waiting to be exported.

We'll find out a way to increase the exports. Next fiscal year budgets of exports looks quite robust, particularly because of the low base of this year.

There will be substantial incremental growth coming from exports. Thank you.

Got it, sir. Two follow-ups.

Sir, solar contribution of the revenue also if you can highlight. Second is on the commodity side, I think last few quarters we continuously have been seeing consistent increase in commodity costs, which is why we have been operating at a sort of lower gross margin.

Currently, if you can elaborate a bit more what percentage of costs are yet to get passed on, and if we have taken any price hike till date in the current quarter. If you can also highlight for next year what is the margin range you are targeting to achieve given the cost pressure we are seeing in the near term?

Avik Roy

Thank you. Solar at this moment is 4% to 5% of our total revenue.

That's to answer your first question. Secondly, regarding commodities, in last previous couple of quarters, we have talked about antimony shooting through the roof, and antimony alloy, which we largely use in our tubular batteries, that went from some $11,000 to $66,000 a ton.

That has softened up in Q3. That has come down to about, let's say, 35,000, $33,000 as we speak.

Still, year-on-year, it is 3x, right? It is no longer 6x, but 3x.

On a Q-on-Q, this has come down. As luck would have it, tin has gone up, I am saying sequential quarter, silver has gone up by 50%, you all know this, and January is even higher than Q3, except for the recent fall what you saw in a couple of days.

Tin has moved +12%, sulfur has moved +40%, and copper has moved +13%. These are the essential commodities which we use for our battery manufacturing, for alloys as well as for making sulfuric acid.

They got a big hit in Q3. That has been further weakened by the about 6-7% increase sequentially on rupee versus USD.

However, the cost savings, they came in very handy. That's why on a sequential basis, you see an improvement of the gross margin by 175 basis points.

We have not taken any price correction in Q3, as I mentioned in my opening remarks, particularly because we wanted to pass on the entire benefit of the GST reduction to the end customer. We had to absorb a bit of it.

Some of the increases we offsetted through the cost savings initiatives. In January, we have taken one round of price correction.

We had to take because otherwise this currency and these commodities were killing us. We took it in January, and we hope to take stage by stage as the situation develops.

We'll see what next to do. Yes, to answer your question, we have taken a price correction in January because of this commodity other than lead, which are so essential for our battery manufacturing.

Yes, I hope I have answered all your questions. Next year's margin, we would not like to give you a guidance, but during the course of conversation, probably you can make out where we stand today in terms of EBITDA margin and what is our profit pool.

Possibly, we can improve by another 100, 150 basis points next year from where we stand today. That is clearly visible, provided we get some support from LME.

Yes, please. Hello?

Operator

Thank you.

Avik Roy

Yeah.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Binay Singh from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

Binay Singh

Hi, team. Thanks for the opportunity.

First question is, in the presentation, we talk about industrial infrastructure, railway opportunity, data center opportunity. Two questions linked to that: one is that are we supplying to any of these segments today?

Avik Roy

What

Binay Singh

is the percentage of revenue share, if so we are doing? Like even for industrial, you've given us the growth, but we don't get a sense on what is percentage share.

If you could comment on that. Second is that like in telecom, we see that the industry moved away to lithium, and that was in a way a disruption to our business.

Is there a risk in these segments also that they later move to lithium, to an extent the opportunity doesn't come to us, or are lithium facilities you are gearing up for to supply to these segments also?

Avik Roy

Okay. Thank you.

Industrial business, which is the non-automotive business, comprises to about 30% of the revenue, between let's say 30% to 32%. It used to be 32% maybe two years back.

Now with this telecom declining, this is about 30% of the whole business. Now, as I said in the opening remarks, other than telecom, we see an uptick in the government spend.

We saw it till H1, and we saw it some in Q3 as well. Our B2B industrial business generally comes at the late cycle of the capex cycle.

What we are doing right now is basically the end of the previous capex cycle of the infra spend. Therefore, we see a strong uptick in railways, industrial UPS led by data center, and also on the forklift equipment, the motive power equipment, and of course industrial UPS for the OEM, typical OEM businesses.

Now, the drivers are different. Railways, as railways, they have now made a policy that they do not wait till the end of life of a battery for replacement.

They have made a strict cadence that once it comes to the main workshop for overhauling, irrespective of the life of the battery, they change the battery, because it's such a critical equipment for their vehicle, for the train. This replacement or overhauling regime has led to increase in tendering activity in railways.

Motive power clearly is a driver of industrial investment as well as e-commerce. This new e-commerce and quick commerce businesses are throwing up a lot of third-party warehouses where you need material handling equipment, and therefore we are benefiting out of it.

Data centers, it's written every day in the newspaper, data center is a key component of increase of industrial UPS business. Is it all lead-acid?

No. There are segments of data centers where it is served through lithium-ion.

There will be segments of data centers, particularly the enterprise data centers, where there will be lead-acid. It's a mix of both.

We are getting good orders from those. We have a dedicated product in lead-acid for data centers, which is called Front Access.

These are high-power batteries, and this can be accessed from the front instead from the top. This product is picking up pretty well and well appreciated by our customers.

This data center business is a long gestation period because it has so many approval processes. Normally, it takes anything between three to four quarters from zero date to ordered date, because there are multiple consultants, multiple approval processes which are involved.

The only area where possibly we are developing a portfolio in our lithium-ion, and later on we can talk about it, is the BESS. BESS largely will be served through lithium-ion in India because of its footprint issue, where lithium has a much better case than lithium [lead-acid?]

. Therefore, we are developing a cell format in LFP prismatic particularly with this end market in mind.

Thank you.

Binay Singh

That is helpful. For data centers and all, how meaningful are the revenues now?

Are they very small? Like you gave this 20% CAGR growth that I believe is for the industry that you would have given.

Avik Roy

Yeah. Data center revenue at this moment, as I said, in a quarter it will be about, let's say, 75 to 100 crores, only data centers.

The pipeline is very strong. The number of tenders, the number of RFQs that we have received is pretty strong.

Sir,

Binay Singh

just on the lithium side, we earlier talked about one large PV OEM customer and then two-wheeler customer. What is the progress?

When do we actually start to see commercial dispatches from you? Is it this year?

Is it--

Avik Roy

I'll take the first part of the question. We have already told you that two of the four large OEMs we have been working for quite some time.

Our designs and the samples got validated and well accepted by the client. Actually, we delivered more than the specifications in some cases.

Now, our two-wheeler, the cylindrical line process validation, our internal validation has already started in Bangalore. We are now building cells, validating it, and next step we are sending samples to these customers for their own testing.

That process is going on. The third customer has also meanwhile started discussion with us.

Till last quarter there were two, now you can say 2.5 or three. The discussions are pretty positive.

The first line, which will be about 1.5 gigawatt, we don't see a challenge in utilizing it once we are through with all the process validations. I'll request Pravin, who is sitting with me, to give some more color on the timelines.

Pravin Saraf

Yeah. Like mentioned by Avik, for cylindrical line, line one, the internal validation samples are made, internal validation is progressed, and next step will be to send the samples to customer.

I would like to mention that we have a very close interaction with customer, we have a clear clarity what is expectation of customer. Tests which are to be done is aligned, and we are closely working with them.

Similarly, for prismatic line, line three, one of the line is almost on the verge of completion of internal acceptance criteria, and we will start next month the sample manufacturing, which will again get internally validated and then we reach out to our customer. I would say considerable progress has happened from last time to this quarter.

Line four will be our last line, which we are planning to complete the installations and commissioning by April.

Avik Roy

The LFP line, the prismatic line which Pravin just now mentioned, primarily will be used for three-wheelers as well as for the e-rickshaw market where the trend is shifting from lead-acid to lithium. This is a huge market.

We will use the Exide distribution network for that and the service network. This will be faster to the market because this does not require too much of validation and homologation by the OEMs.

Therefore, this will be possibly the first revenue stream from the cell site. Yeah.

Binay Singh

Sir, but even the PV OEMs and two-wheeler OEMs, fair to assume that commercial dispatches will be this financial year, or do you think that trickles to next financial year?

Avik Roy

Sometimes see, it depends on the customer also. I would not like to say whether it is strictly by 31st of March, but plus minus one month it should happen.

Because the testing protocols and things have been agreed and signed off, it's just a matter of sending samples to them after we complete our internal validation, and then they'll do it. We're not too much concerned on whether it is March or April as long as we're on track for that.

Binay Singh

Great, great, team. Thanks.

I'll come back in the queue.

Avik Roy

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vibhav from JP Morgan.

Please go ahead.

Vibhav Zutshi

Yes. Hi.

Thanks for the opportunity. Firstly, on the core business, on telecom now, we've been seeing a degrowth for some time now, for a few quarters at least.

Is it fair to say that the business has now stabilized or bottomed out, and we can see some growth over there?

Avik Roy

Vibhav, telecom business was once upon a time, though it was not very profitable, but it was a big time lead-acid business for this base transceiver stations, BTS towers. Now most of the customers, whether it's Jio or Indus, the tower operators, they have shifted to lithium.

Therefore, the volume has shifted. Now, we are also present over there.

Actually, we were the first one to supply to Indus lithium packs. We still have orders, we still have projections from Indus for next fiscal year.

That business will be largely a lithium business. This has come down.

We are still executing large orders by BSNL and others, but we have a feeling that telecom tower business will soon shift to lithium-ion, as we expected in the past. This was known, and this is factored in our business plan.

Right now telecom has come to only 1% of our revenue in Q3. You can say yes, it's largely bottomed out.

Vibhav Zutshi

Okay. It's just 1% of the business now, it's bottomed out.

Avik Roy

Right now. Yeah.

Vibhav Zutshi

That's helpful. Just a follow-up on this, on the replacement demand, now again, for a lot of quarters now we've been seeing very strong growth.

Do you expect this to continue, or could there be a brief phase where replacement demand could be a bit soft?

Avik Roy

See, to be fair, we were a little worried till H1 of this year because the automotive OEM business was not picking up. We were worried that what will happen two years down the line to our aftermarket.

Fortunately in H2, the market has grown up, growing strongly, and by January and February projections, we know that this has come back because of the impact of GST. We grew quarter three by 25%, which is purely led by the production growth, mostly.

Similarly, out of this quarter three, December was the highest. It was +30%.

Even if I talk about this month, January, which we just now closed, it's again in that range. We would like to believe that since the OEM market has come back, that lull which we were expecting in aftermarket after two years, I think that's largely covered.

Vibhav Zutshi

That's good to know. Second question is on the lithium-ion business.

Now that you're close to obviously commissioning and commencing commercial production, any sense on the margins at least, not with say the first 1.5 gigawatt-hour line, but once all the four lines get commissioned, then will we make positive margins, or how should we think about it over a period of time, given that now you're very close to starting commercial production?

Avik Roy

I think, Vibhav, we replied to this question in the last quarter call also. See, what we expect is that the only difference between lead-acid and lithium-ion is that this is largely a B2B business.

Unlike lead-acid, where you also have a trade component, aftermarket component. Now, here with our portfolio which we are starting, we will have a smaller share of trade business, which is the e-rickshaw as we said, and the two-wheeler business also has some aftermarket potential.

Other than that, it's largely OEM-driven. Now, though I am saying OEM, but here the OEM margins are not like the SLI batteries of lead-acid.

Here, this is the engine of the vehicle. It will be lesser than the lead-acid trade margins, of course, but it will be higher than the lead-acid OEM business.

Somewhere in between we expect the margins to come. We will get a lot of benefit.

Commodity is now indexed, and it will be largely pass-through, which is derisking the business. Secondly, when we utilize our lines to the levels where you mentioned, our competitiveness and our efficiencies will actually be the differentiator.

We're trying very hard to improve our metal yield already on the yield in the factory. Yield and raw material sourcing, these are the two biggest driver for competitiveness.

On the raw material side, we have been lucky that with our technology partner we have been able to access their supply chain. As a result of that, we have signed a large number of master purchase agreements with the suppliers already on a long-term basis.

Now, and this only comes because improves, as well as our impact of our improved yield also reflects. With all this, I think we'll be able to deliver a decent, positive gross margin, which may not be as high as 30-40% of aftermarket where you have more pricing power, but definitely it will be far better than the OEM margins of lead-acid.

Yeah.

Vibhav Zutshi

Great. That's very helpful to know, sir.

All the best. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pramod Amthe from InCred Capital.

Please go ahead.

Pramod Amthe

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

Two questions: with regard to lithium, you have taken an enabled resolution to further infuse equity into the business. What's the timeline you are looking for that 1,400 crores to be consumed, first?

Second, also related is there has been a lot of senior-level exits in that business. How does it impact your operations or the medium-term business profile?

Avik Roy

To the first question, in the January board meeting, we got an approval from the Exide board for infusing 1,400 crore to Exide Energy for the full fiscal year. That's the approval we got.

How much we invest in which part of the year or which part of the quarter will be decided by the need of capital. I will hand over to Manoj to explain the utilization, and then I'll come back to the next question.

Manoj Kumar Agarwal

Hi. The idea of this funding basically, as we said earlier also, to ensure that our leverage is lower in EESL.

Second that as because we are going into a commissioning mode, SOP mode, this funding is basically mix of both payout of capex, pending capex, and to manage the working capital requirement. This is what we have kept for the next year for EESL.

Pramod Amthe

Thank you.

Avik Roy

Regarding the senior-level exits, first of all, you have to understand this industry is a new industry and there will be a lot of poaching and migration of talents. Because there is very few talent who are competent enough in this country which are available.

We are aware of that. This is not only happening with us, because we are also hiring people from other similar adjacent industries at the senior level.

Whatever you have heard, something was very planned. It was already planned, and that is why you saw that the day the exit happened, the same day the successor has been announced, which only shows that we have been planning and preparing ourselves.

This is part of the leadership journey. For a new industry, there will be churning happening.

There will be a lot of movement of senior leaders, because they are in demand now in the country. Like we'll have exits, we'll also have leadership entries.

I'm sure about it.

Pramod Amthe

Sure. The similar follow-up is it's good to know your products are getting accepted and you're delivering better than the expected performance on the lithium-ion side.

Since you're also talking about gross margins, are you now close to the finalization of pricing? If that is so, how does it compare versus import?

Because that's a threat which everybody was looking at. It's very difficult to make money versus the import pricing.

Would you give some color in terms of the pricing negotiation with the customers, how they are looking at?

Avik Roy

I told you in the last quarter, I think this question again came up, and I will repeat the answer which I gave. It's a bilateral negotiation.

There is no standard formula, whether it is import parity, whether it is cost plus, it's a mix of both. It varies from customer to customer.

This is an ongoing process, I will tell you. Only thing is that we have to look at it, but we have to see that we just heard that the imports are getting a little costlier because of withdrawal of certain duties by China.

This will have a positive impact on us, because at least it will help us to reach import parity faster than we thought. The percentages you are aware, I'm not mentioning.

I would like to believe that for Indian supplier of cells for the OEM customers, it will not be the price factor only, I strongly believe. Having a local supplier with big capabilities and helping me to receive the material on daily basis or thrice a week basis and then operate at a 24-hour or 48-hour inventory, this is a great value for any OEMs.

We have seen in our other lead-acid OEM business that they sit in our factory and take every day's quota. This kind of value cannot be delivered by import, because there you have to keep minimum three months to four months of inventory.

When you do that, first is there is a risk of quality, because you can see surprises after two months when you start using that product, number one. Secondly, also the volatility of the valuation of the inventory, because the lithium prices are fluctuating so much, you may be sitting with a high-cost inventory for three months, and suddenly realize that after three months the prices have fallen.

These are the values I would like to believe that our OEMs will and still see in a local supplier, which can be largely solved by people like us. Yeah.

Pramod Amthe

Sure. Thanks and all the best.

Operator

Thank you. Before we take the next question, a request to all participants to please restrict your question to two per participant.

For more questions, please rejoin the queue. The next question is from the line of Raghunandhan from Nuvama Research.

Please go ahead.

Raghunandhan NL

Thank you, sir, for the opportunity. Firstly, can you indicate how much was the price increase that was taken in January?

We hear from dealers that there was a 2% price hike taken. Post the price hike, is there still any under-recovery?

Avik Roy

Yeah. You're right.

We have taken a 2% price hike in January. Right now, as we see because two days back, the metals have crashed.

We do not know. Nobody knows the impact unless you cross the bridge.

I cannot forecast what will be the percentage recovery going ahead. In December, we were thinking that we'll be able to pass on the whole increase in January, which could not happen, because this is also a function of competitive strategy.

We passed on 2%. Hello?

We'll gradually see how we can pass on the remaining impact. To assess that impact, the metal prices need to stabilize.

Raghunandhan NL

Thank you, sir. Can you indicate for inverters, you are looking at a positive growth in the upcoming quarter.

Can you broadly indicate the revenue share of inverters?

Avik Roy

Yeah. See, as a share, obviously inverters, it's a season time.

The season picks up mainly from March and moves to July, unless there is a early summer onset this year, which I cannot predict. From March to July, the inverter volumes go up by almost 3x with respect to off-peak.

Which means whatever volumes you see in December, normally the May volume is 3x of that. That's a typical cycle.

That is why you will see the quarter one of Exide is always the highest in revenue. We expect the same to happen this year, because last year, because of early onset of monsoon and a very prolonged monsoon, we did not get that benefit so much.

I'm sure this year the season will pick up. Normally in a season time, the share of inverter is about 25% of our revenue.

Raghunandhan NL

Got it, sir. On a full-year basis, would it be 15% to 20% broad range?

Avik Roy

You're right. About 20%, yeah.

Raghunandhan NL

Got it, sir. How much would be the current price of imported LFP and NMC cells?

There have been increase in the underlying commodity prices recently, and there is also the reduction of the export rebates in China. Broadly, can you indicate how much has the lithium prices gone up in the recent times?

Avik Roy

I think this information is available in the public domain, I cannot give you a specific information for Exide. I'm sorry.

Raghunandhan NL

Understood, sir. In the initial lithium capacity, what would be the mix of LFP and NMC for us?

Avik Roy

It will be half-half. Yeah.

Let Pravin answer this.

Pravin Saraf

Yeah. Thank you.

It will be 50%. Out of 6 gigawatt, 50%, 3 and--

Raghunandhan NL

Thank you, sir. Lastly, can you indicate the share of revenue from two-wheeler and four-wheeler OEM and replacement segments?

Avik Roy

Yeah. The ratio for automotive replacement to OEM is, as we speak, is about between 73% to 75% trade and 25% to 27% in automotive.

That's how it is. Yeah.

Raghunandhan NL

What would be the share of revenue--

Operator

Sorry to interrupt, sir. Can you please rejoin the queue for more questions, as there are more participants left in the queue?

Raghunandhan NL

Sure, I will do that. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mumuksh from Anand Rathi Institutional Equities.

Please go ahead.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

Yeah. Sir, congrats on the commencement of internal testing on the cylindrical line capacity and the new OEM wins.

Sir, just wanted to understand, in Q3, the gross margin expanded 220 bps. Is it mainly due to inventory change and the antimony prices coming down, and any other reason for the same?

Avik Roy

See, antimony prices, though it came down, but this is not an inverter season. Antimony is generally used for the inverter batteries.

It is tubular plate. The volume offtake of antimony also for us came down.

We'll get the real benefit of this in the peak season time, which is just coming up. In Q2, if you recall our discussion, we took a very conscious effort to cut our production, to cut our inventory and manage working capital.

That is why we generated about 500 crores of additional free cash. We are more or less at the same level of inventory at Q3 end also.

Because Q3, the production went up, and therefore the working capital requirement also went up, maybe marginally higher.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

That played out on the gross margin for this quarter, right, sir?

Avik Roy

Yes. Yes, yes.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

Got it, sir. Sir, on the RM side, if you can help us, what could be the RM mix cost for some of the key elements like tin, silver, sulfur, copper, sulfuric acid?

If you can just broadly help us understand what kind of RM mix they contribute to us, sir?

Avik Roy

I should not be giving you the exact percentages, which is a little technical. I can tell you, sulfuric acid is required across the whole revenue base, because that's the lead-acid battery, right?

It's required for all kinds of batteries. So, 100% revenue coverage needs sulfuric acid.

For tin, silver is required mainly for our automotive batteries where the growth is higher, but at the same time the commodity cost is also increasing. Antimony is required for our tubular plate, which is our inverter battery, where the prices are softening, but it's also the off-peak season.

I think this is the best that I can share with you at this moment.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

Got it, sir. Finally, what would be the battery pack's revenue and anything on the capex for this year and next year, sir?

Avik Roy

I'll leave this to Pravin to answer battery packs.

Pravin Saraf

Yeah. 98 crores.

Avik Roy

It is 100 100 crores right now,

Pravin Saraf

yeah, in first nine months.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

Any capacity, battery pack?

Avik Roy

Right now we do not plan anything, because pack capacity can be done through your efficient supply chain management also. We have 1.5 gigawatt-hour worth of pack-making capacity in Gujarat.

We'll stick to that till we make a further decision.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

Just continuing on this, overall, sir, how do you see capex for FY2026 and '27, including the lithium and the lead, sir?

Avik Roy

As I said, 1,400 equity we have planned for lithium, 1,400, and we'll have about another 500 roughly for lead-acid core business. That is what we do every year, because So, we have a planned strategy, policy to invest back to the business about same amount equal to our depreciation, which is around that number.

Mumuksh Mandlesha

Thank you, sir, for opportunity. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sangeeta from Cogito Advisors.

Please go ahead.

Sangeeta Purushottam

Hi. Can you hear me?

Avik Roy

Yes, please.

Operator

Yes, ma'am.

Sangeeta Purushottam

Hello. Okay.

Thank you for the opportunity. Sir, what I wanted to get a sense was that when we're looking at the impact of raw material prices on our margins, all our competitors would also be facing similar impact.

Where does the competitive pressure come from which really prevents you from passing on these prices fully, or is it just a question of a lag effect in passing them on, and over a period the entire industry passes it on? That's one question.

My second question was that just like RM fluctuations seem to be a key risk to your margins in your lead-acid business, what would be the main risks that you see in the lithium-ion business?

Pravin Saraf

Thank you for the question. To answer to the first part, that the entire industry will be affected, then why not everybody take a price correction?

I am also hunting for the answer for the last many years. Sometimes it happens that somebody follows the other, sometimes it does not happen.

Because I think both the sales forces are fighting for the shelf spaces on the counters of the distributors or dealers or sub-dealers. Possibly this has not happened, but if you see the history, Exide has always been the first one to take the price correction, at least for the last five years that I have been in the industry.

Irrespective whether someone follows or not, And we never took unless there was a cost pressure, that's clear. Whenever there was a cost pressure, we were the first one to announce price increases, and the secondary checks reveal that.

What kind of commodity risks you see in lithium-ion? See, lithium-ion, as I mentioned, is largely a B2B business.

Like in our automotive OEM, the prices are largely indexed. Our main problem of cost push comes in the trade market in times of input increase.

Generally lead, at least the prime item which is lead, it is indexed through a formula with our OEMs. Similar thing will be indexed in lithium-ion also, at least for the main component, main raw material.

Sangeeta Purushottam

Right. Does that mean that the margins in lithium-ion will be more stable?

Pravin Saraf

Should be,

Avik Roy

if it is only material-driven, then should be, logically. Unless there are some duty mismatch of country versus country.

In some country, we get duty benefit, but as far as the prime index is concerned for material, it should be same for all.

Sangeeta Purushottam

Right. Sir, if I can squeeze in one more question, if you look at the different segments in your business, the sense I'm getting is that a lot of the areas where you felt pressure are actually bottoming out.

There are tailwinds in many of the segments that you operate in. Now, if we put all of this together, what kind of topline growth should we look at for next year?

Avik Roy

I think on the core business, we will fight very hard, but I can see the market will give us opportunities to grow at a very high single-digit to early double-digit, for sure. Because once I add back the declining businesses, that is where we come in.

Because as I mentioned, 92% of our business in this quarter grew by about 12%. If I can fix the balance 8% to that level, we should at least come to double-digit level.

Sangeeta Purushottam

Okay. Thank you.

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you.

Avik Roy

Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Preet from InCred AMC. Please go ahead.

Preet Pitani

Thank you for the opportunity. I just have one question.

I would like to know the margin differential between OEM and aftermarket business.

Avik Roy

No, this is not in public domain. I'm sorry.

Because these are stacked margins, the channel margins also add up. You may do your secondary checks, sir, but it's not fair for me to share this.

Preet Pitani

Sure, sir. Got that.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Sucrit P.

Patil from Eastside Fintrade Private Limited. Please go ahead.

Sucrit P. Patil

Good afternoon to the team. My first question to Mr.

Roy is, first of all, thank you for the detailed commentary. Just want to understand this beyond what was covered in the opening remarks, across Exide's core lead-acid business and the newer energy storage initiatives, how does the management decide where to prioritize capacity, capital, and management attention as market conditions evolve?

As you track the business, what changes in customer demand, product mix, or competitive intensity typically signal the need to rebalance a particular set of things? Just want to understand your view on this.

Avik Roy

I'll give you a broader outline. Exide is in this business for the last 78 years, and it has been a market leader since then.

This is not a pompous statement, I just wanted to make a point that we have a very well laid out method of allocating capital, and we have done it in the past and we'll continue to do that. All these 78 years, we have been positive and we generated positive cash flow and we remained debt-free, touch wood, which means we were largely funding our investment through our own accruals.

That has been our strength, and that should remain our strength going forward also. Now, how we allocate capital: of course, in the last three, four years, we decided, though lead-acid is supposed to be a very mature technology or mature business, we should constantly look for opportunities for capacity expansion for the future and to bring out new products.

The capex should be around the depreciation amount every year for the core business. That has been a policy, and we worked on various areas.

In some years, we expanded the capacity by investing. In the last two years, we were investing heavily on manufacturing technology to achieve cost competitiveness, cost excellence.

If you look at our last disclosures of the last few quarters, you will read more about it. Last two, three years, we have been focusing more on manufacturing technology.

We were putting up new machines to achieve cost competitiveness and quality improvement, which has largely been completed, and now we have taken the phase two for the next few years. I think there is a noise somewhere in the background.

Sucrit P. Patil

Sorry. I'll just mute myself.

Yeah.

Avik Roy

Yes, please. The first principle was investing in manufacturing technology to gain competitiveness and quality improvement.

The second area of our capital allocation is on automation, factory automation mainly. We have been investing for the last two, three years in a lot of automation in our factories to improve productivity.

Third is, of course, investment for tomorrow, which is the lithium-ion project. Therefore, we are very bullish on this project that we have to be future-ready.

With core business reaching its desired competitiveness in terms of capacity as well as automation, and a big equity infusion to make us ourselves future-ready for lithium-ion business, that has been the domain of our capital allocation.

Sucrit P. Patil

Thank you. My second question is to Mr.

Agarwal. Similar question from a monitoring point of view and the outlook.

Beyond the margins discussed, what are the key internal indicators you track closely, such as raw material passing through, mix shifts between automotive and industrial segments, or working capital trends to assess profitability and cash flow sustainability before these trends show up on the balance sheet? Just want to understand your point of view on this.

Thank you.

Manoj Kumar Agarwal

Thank you for the question. See, it's a mix of everything.

We see the trend of mix also, what is the trade and OEM mix, right, how the entire metal family is going on. As we said, the entire metal family from last two, three quarters is going into a skyrocket, right?

Then we also see how to manage our cash. Now in Q2 also, we have said the same thing, because of the uncertainty in market because of GST 2, the call we have taken as management that will not accumulate inventory, but focus on cash.

In Q2 the idea was to focus on cash, to manage inventory. Then we again ramp up in Q3, with the fact that entire momentum has shifted to the demand side because of GST 2, and hence we again move to the growth story where we talk about running the factory full capacity, right, again having eye on the cash management as well.

If you see our H1 numbers, also the cash management improved a lot if you compare to March. Then we monitor basis the entire metal indices to see what is the market capacity to absorb the price increase.

Hence, we have taken a first price increase in January also, right? This is the levers we see.

Apart from that, the huge focus on the cost optimization. There a lot of program goes, how can we save money, how can we optimize resources, to ensure that we bring benefit into the bottom line through the cost-effectiveness.

That's what we do.

Sucrit P. Patil

Thank you, and best of luck for the next quarter.

Manoj Kumar Agarwal

Thank you very much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Abhishek Kumar from Nvest World.

Please go ahead.

Hi. Thanks for the opportunity.

Given the move towards high density and high reliability power solutions in hyperscale and edge data, how is Exide evolving technologically to capture this opportunity?

Avik Roy

As I mentioned, there are multiple tiers of data centers, from a hyperscaler to a colo to an enterprise. Based on the reliability of power required, the level of redundancy of UPS is decided.

More the redundancy, which means the shorter or tighter the footprint. The tighter the footprint means higher energy density, and therefore where lithium-ion plays a better role than lead-acid.

Because in those cases, real estate, it's real money. They save real estate on footprint, on reducing footprint.

There are data centers of various tiers where footprint or energy density is not an immediate value, it's the reliability of the product and performance. Because the redundancy requirement is not as high as, let's say, hyperscalers.

We see there demand coming for lead-acid batteries. That is where we have what we called our EHP series, which is the Exide high-power series, as we call it, and with Front Access.

Far, we are the only one we have it in India, and it's doing reasonably well, I would say. A lot of RFQs are also pending.

Please don't look at only the Metas and Googles of this world. There are various data centers are coming up in various shapes and sizes and various scales.

Yeah.

Yeah. Thank you.

Is the company looking to have some kind of alliances with data center developers or cloud operators, something like that to capture the opportunity?

Avik Roy

We are in constant touch, but they are generally our customers. We want to remain a supplier and not get into a partnership mode and expose ourselves more, because if I go with one, then I have five other customers who might not be happy with that.

We would like to stay as a supplier to all the customers.

Okay. Just last one: Exide, in terms of competitive risk from global power solution providers, how company is trying to insulate and to defend and grow its revenue share, market share?

Avik Roy

At this moment, you're talking about our core business or lithium-ion?

Lithium-ion in terms of the global power solution OEMs and UPS battery suppliers coming to India.

Avik Roy

Frankly speaking, if you look around, we have not seen much of movement of global players setting up cell manufacturing capacity of lithium-ion in India. The people who have taken the maximum steps are all Indian companies.

You name us and you know three or four other names, they are all Indians. We have not seen that kind of effort by a global company to come and set up.

Maybe they still want to wait and watch, number one. Secondly, Chinese ultimately they are so much dependent on China for their competitiveness, maybe they are not taking any risk.

I have not heard. I don't know whether you have heard any global company planning or announcing to set up a--

Because the budget through there's a lot of taxation holidays and all, maybe a lot of company will start contemplating now.

Avik Roy

For lithium-ion battery, I think a lot of large industrial houses in our country have also committed their investments. They will also receive similar kind of support, I'm sure.

Yeah. Thank you.

That's it from my side.

Avik Roy

Thank you. I hope that was the last question.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today.

I now hand over the conference to management for closing comments. Over to you, sir.

Avik Roy

Thank you. Thank you, everybody.

It was a very engaging conversation we had. I hope we have been able to answer all your questions satisfactorily.

If you have any further questions or if you would like to know more about the company, we would be happy to be of assistance. Thank you very much.

Over to the moderator.

Operator

Thank you. On behalf of Exide Industries, that concludes this conference.

Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.