Mahanagar Gas Ltd

Mahanagar Gas Ltd

1,023.10
INR
-11.20
(-1.08%)
85.22EPS
13.76P/E
115.97BMarket Cap

Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 9, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Mahanagar Gas Limited Q3 and 9 months FY '26 earnings conference call. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode, and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star, then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Sudeep Anand from Systematix Institutional Equities.

Thank you, and over to you, sir.

Sudeep Anand

Thank you, Rutuja, and a very good afternoon to everyone. Thanks for joining us today for the Q3 and 9 months FY '26 earnings call of Mahanagar Gas Limited.

On behalf of Systematix, I would like to thank the management for giving us the opportunity to host the call, and also many congratulations for the good set of numbers. We have with us the top management represented by Mr.

Ashu Shinghal, Managing Director; Mr. Rajesh Patel, Chief Financial Officer; and Mr.

Rajesh Wagle, Senior Vice President, Marketing. Before we begin, I would like to mention that some of the statements made in today's discussion may be forward-looking in nature, and we believe that expectations contained in these statements are reasonable.

However, these statements do involve a number of risks and uncertainties that may lead to different results. We urge you to consider that quarterly numbers are not a reflection of long-term trends or indication of full-year results.

Now I would like to hand over the call to Mr. Ashu Shinghal for his opening remarks, and then we can move to the question-and-answer session.

Over to you, sir.

Ashu Shinghal

Thank you, Rutuja and Sudeep. A very good afternoon and welcome to the earnings call of Mahanagar Gas Limited for the third quarter of the financial year 2025-2026.

I would like to thank all of you for attending this call today. MGL continues to create CGD infrastructure across its business segment in the licensed areas.

During the quarter, 1,24,908 domestic households were connected, and thus we have established connectivity for nearly 3.07 million households. We have laid 120.3 kilometer of steel and PE pipeline, taking the total length to over 8 1 8,182 kilometers.

We have added 6 CNG stations during this quarter, and with this, we have 491 stations as on 31st December '25. We added 337 industrial and commercial customers during this quarter.

As on 31st December, we have 5,618 industrial and commercial customers. During the quarter, there is addition of 32,315 CNG vehicles, and now we have more than 1.25 million CNG vehicles registered in our geographies as of 31st December '25.

Coming to MGL's operations, during the quarter, we achieved overall average sales volume of 4.62 MMSCMD, as against 4.5 4.593 in the previous quarter, which is an increase of 0.59%. Current quarter volume consists of CNG volume of 3.281, DPNG volume of 0.604, and 0.735 MMSCMD of gas was supplied to industrial and commercial segment.

Compared to the corresponding quarter of last year, average overall sales volume have increased from 4.31 to 4.62 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 7.19%. Sales volume of CNG has increased from 3.098 to 3.281 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 5.92%.

Sales for domestic PNG have increased from 0.554 to 0.604 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 9.04%. In case of industrial and commercial, sales volume has increased from 0.659 to 0.735 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 11.63%.

Average gas sales for 9 months ending 31st December '25 is 4.556, whereas it was 4.181 MMSCMD in the corresponding previous period of the last year, which is an increase of 8.97%. Sales volume in the case of CNG has also increased from 3.022 to 3.241 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 7.24%.

In case of industrial and commercial, the volumes has increased from 0.615 to 0.730 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 18.76%, and the volumes for domestic PNG has increased from 0.545 to 0.586 MMSCMD, which is an increase of 7.53%. EBITDA from operations for the quarter is ₹352 crore, as compared to previous quarter EBITDA of ₹338 crore.

Net profit after tax for the quarter is ₹202 crore, as compared to previous quarter net profit after tax of ₹193 crore. EBITDA for the 9 months ending December '25 is ₹1,191 crore, and net PAT is ₹715 crore.

During this quarter, MGL annual report 2025 was honored with a bronze award at the Public Relation Council of India Excellence Award 2025. In the areas related to UEPL, MGL has commissioned 100th CNG station in the month of January at Latur.

At the time of acquisition, UEPL geographical areas had 53 CNG outlets. Over the last 23 months, 47 ROs have been added, translating to an average of approximately 2 stations per month.

I'm also happy to announce that board has approved an interim dividend for the current financial year at the rate of 120%, which is ₹12 per equity share. With this, I conclude and would now like to open the floor for the questions.

Thank you very much for your patient hearing.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question-and-answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touchtone telephone. If you wish to withdraw yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question is from the line of Probal Sen from ICICI Securities. Please go ahead.

Probal Sen

Thank you for the opportunity, sir. Three questions from my side.

Firstly, in the 4.62 MMSCMD volume, is it possible to bifurcate how much was the UEPL sales volume and to give the corresponding sales in the quarter 3 of last year? Quarter

Ashu Shinghal

Q3, UEPL average was 0.283 MMSCMD.

Probal Sen

Sir, corresponding volume last year for UEPL?

Ashu Shinghal

One moment. I don't have readily, but I can say it was roughly around 0.2 MMSCMD or so.

Probal Sen

0.2 MMSCMD roughly.

Ashu Shinghal

Yeah, 0.2 MMSCMD or so.

Probal Sen

Right. Got it, sir.

The second question was, has there been any price hikes or changes that has happened? May I continue, sir?

Sir, the

Ashu Shinghal

last year same quarter of UEPL was 0.194.

Probal Sen

0.194. Got it, sir.

Thanks. Sir, second question was, sir, any price changes that have happened in any segment in this quarter and or any price changes planned in the fourth quarter?

Can you give us any color?

Ashu Shinghal

If you have noted, I think on 1st of February, we increased our CNG price by ₹0.50 per kg.

Probal Sen

Okay. Got it, sir.

Third question was, sir, this quarter saw Henry Hub prices actually rising quite sharply, and yet we have actually managed to show some improvement in our margins on a sequential basis. Just wanted to understand what measures we have taken or any changes in our sourcing mix in this quarter that has enabled this.

Ashu Shinghal

We tried taking as less as possible Henry Hub and replaced it either HPHT or spot. However, if you look at the average Henry Hub index and the actual cost of Henry Hub compared to previous quarter has hardly gone up by around 0.14 cents.

As against that, if you see APM, since Brent was lower, has seen a savings of almost 20 cents, okay, and so is the case with HPHT and NWG, et cetera. Overall, lower Brent has contributed to all the contracts relating to Brent, which is at least more than 20 cents.

In case of Henry Hub, average price was higher by around 1.4 cents. Net-net, I think there is a reduction in the cost slightly.

Since we took the price increase in the previous quarter last month, that is in the month of September, the benefit of that price increase has accrued in this quarter fully. Both put together, better sales realization despite, I think, lower realization in case of industry, our overall company EBITDA per SCM has gone up by around ₹0.30 per SCM.

Rajesh Patel

The major point maybe which we have in the recent memory is in the January, the HH price has gone up high. Maybe you had that point in reference when you are asking this question.

Probal Sen

Right, sir. The last question, if I may, any change in the guidance for medium- to long-term volume growth?

Are we maintaining that 8 to 9% kind of volume growth overall on an annualized basis?

Rajesh Patel

If you see year-on-year, the growth is around 9%, 9 months year-on-year. We are expecting that Q4 will be slightly better, we may touch around double-digit number.

Guidance for the future year is, yeah, around double-digit number we are planning.

Probal Sen

Understood, sir. Thank you so much and all the best.

Rajesh Patel

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Yash Nandwani from IIFL.

Please go ahead.

Yash Nandwani

Thanks for the opportunity. Sir, first question is on the CNG volume growth.

It has been moderated to around 6% in this quarter. Could you help us understand the impact of gas supply disruption that was there due to the pipeline damage in Q3?

Rajesh Patel

It was a very small quantity. The production was down for 1 day.

In fact, the restoration took about a couple of days in which we had to shut down quite a few CNG outlets in Mumbai and GA2. During that time, we made sure that CNG supply was available to BEST and STUs and few critical CNG stations.

Because there was only a limited amount of gas which we could draw from Mahape for use in Mumbai. Not only CNG, the impact of that hit the industrial and commercial sector also pretty hard.

One of the reasons for a drop in industrial volumes is also this thing.

Yash Nandwani

Sir, could you quantify that volume?

Rajesh Patel

I think roughly it is about 1% of CNG volumes. Had that thing not been there, CNG volumes would have been 1% higher.

Yash Nandwani

Okay. Secondly, sir, again on Henry Hub-linked volume, how should we look at the margins going ahead in Q4 and next year onwards given that fact we have seen sharp volatility in the Henry Hub prices and considering a meaningful portion of our volumes are also linked to Henry Hub-linked contracts?

Ashu Shinghal

Within the contract, I think there is a lot of flexibility available. As you are already aware probably, one can go as low as 60% because of the take-or-pay threshold is 60%.

Within that also, we can do some amount of leg behind in taking little less quantity and then recoup it in the subsequent months. Because the annual average has to be maintained at 60%.

We will do fine-tune management of how do we induct the cheapest gas available and reduce the costliest gas, which is what is done in the Q2 also and our endeavor is there we will do it in going forward also. Whichever month it is higher, we will manage it through this mechanism.

Yash Nandwani

You maintain the margin guidance?

Ashu Shinghal

Yeah. To a certain extent.

Rajesh Patel

Margin guidance which was answered in the previous question also, we will be around the same similar numbers, ₹8 to ₹8.5. Oh sorry, volume growth was talked about in the earlier question, but the margins guidance will be in the similar range of ₹8 to ₹8.5 as we have seen for this.

Although 9 months margins are around ₹10, and Q3 is ₹8.3. Slightly lower side, but going forward for FY '26, given that HH prices are slightly higher, as we will be doing some readjustment in our procurement strategies and some of the term contracts will be expiring, some we will be entering into different contracts.

Also, the volume growth which is coming up 10%, we have that flexibility to go in with Brent-linked contracts also or other indices. We do this, and HPHT gas will also come on play.

Plus new well gas also some quantity variation keep on happening. Overall portfolio management is very critical, which we closely monitor, and we are also looking for some hedging to be done at the right, appropriate time to further optimize our procurement costs.

Ashu Shinghal

On the sales realization side, if you look at now, Brent has suddenly started looking up. Industrial realization should increase slightly, though my APM cost is protected by ceilings.

We have already taken, as I said earlier, ₹0.50 per kg increase in the month of 1st of February. That will help to a certain extent to maintain margin.

Yash Nandwani

Right, sir. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Mayank Maheshwari from Morgan Stanley.

Please go ahead.

Mayank Maheshwari

Thank you for the call, sir. I have two questions.

One I think was related to around the volume growth in the Mumbai area. I think if you look into the CNG growth definitely has seen a bit of tepidness here.

Anything that you can help us around what's driving that and anything you're doing to kind of help that growth up?

Rajesh Patel

Okay. In Mumbai, the CNG growth is muted basically because of two reasons.

One is the BEST CNG fleet is reducing. They have not managed to get more CNG buses.

They seem to be going more towards electric. Other big issue in Mumbai is the availability of land to open up new CNG stations.

We land up opening just single-digit kind of stations, whereas GA2, GA3, it's much easier to get land and open CNG stations. These are the two main reasons for the flat or muted growth of CNG in Mumbai.

Mayank Maheshwari

Sir, would you be able to quantify the impact of the shift to electric from the BEST buses?

Rajesh Patel

At its peak, BEST used to run about 3,000 CNG buses. They are down to a few hundred now.

Cumulatively, we would have lost about more than 1 lakh kg per day.

Ashu Shinghal

Just to add to that, the unutilized capacity as BEST is getting used through the TEJ scheme where slowly I think the private vehicles are getting filled. That also in a way adds a number of CNG stations available to other than BEST consumers.

We are also in the process of setting up at least 2, 3 large stations. In terms of numbers, you may see single-digit numbers getting added in GA1.

Those will be with higher capacity especially in South Mumbai. That should help going forward.

Rajesh Wagle

As we have discussed earlier also, in Sion, that is in Wadala, where our City Gate station is there, there we are planning a very big station, maybe the biggest in India, which will have around 60 filling points or around 30 dispensing units. It will be done in phased manner.

First phase will be completed somewhere in April, May, and the next phase will be taking another 5, 6 months. That will be one place where you will be finding CNG filling all the time, most likely without any queuing.

That can be a big support for the queuing issue in the main city.

Rajesh Patel

We will also be opening two large CNG stations in South Mumbai on Bombay Port Trust land. The first one of them I think should be open in a couple of months, and the other one in the coming financial year.

Plus, in the coming financial year, we're also expecting to have one large CNG station come up on the Western Express Highway in Goregaon. Maybe in a year, year and a half's timeframe, we will also be having a very large station coming up on the Eastern Express Highway near Mulund.

The numbers may be small, but as we said that these will be large stations where the sales will be pretty high.

Mayank Maheshwari

Sir, if I put it all in context, if you look at growth in terms of CNG now for you outside of Unison, how should we think about that going forward now?

Rajesh Patel

Outside of Unison, I think we have been growing at around 7% or so. The base is pretty high in the non-Unison areas.

Mumbai and GA2 put together account for a big chunk, the overall company is growing at whatever, 8%, 9%. Mumbai will be a percent or 2 below that.

Mayank Maheshwari

Got it, sir. Very clear.

The second question is around strategy around gas sourcing. You did say that you are looking at alternative sources around Brent-linked contracts.

If I was to think about in 3 years' time, how do you think your mix of gas sourcing will look like in terms of Henry Hub and crude? Obviously, domestic is linked to crude as well, if you kind of put it all together, how do you see that mix for you which you think is optimal?

Rajesh Patel

It is too early to predict a very ideal mix because things are geopolitically very I would say dynamic in nature. Because of small events, the prices go up and down, specially with gas-linked contracts.

What we have found is that we will have a portfolio which will having all these things. Second is that APM gas will be also maybe slightly more declining in 3 years' time.

Having said that, Brent is a more stable index if we have to discuss in that manner. Projections in future about Brent is that it will be slightly on a lower side, whereas Henry Hub traditionally has been on the very lower side, but of late, there have been some indications that HH can go slightly up.

We will have a mix of both. Brent anyway is indirectly also HPHT gas is also slightly linked to Brent contracts.

As of now, APM and NWG is Indian crude basket, which again is Brent. Barring our direct contracts of HH, which is around 1.4 1.6 MMSCMD, balance all is, you can say, directly or indirectly linked to Brent.

If something changed very dramatically, unless that point of time, we will be expecting similar or maybe slightly more inclined towards Brent and less towards HH. That is as of now if we see 3 years down the line.

We can't say if things change very unpredictably in future.

Ashu Shinghal

Just to add, to take care of current HH volatility, we have already signed and started drawing from January some amount of Brent-linked contracts, new contracts, almost 12,500 MMBTU, and we have already in pipeline another additional maybe 10,000 MMBTU contract from April onwards. The one which I am saying we have started drawing is for a period of 1 year, and other we have tied up for maybe around 2 to 3 years timeline.

We are already on that, and I think hopefully we should be able to optimize as best as possible.

Mayank Maheshwari

Got it. Very clear.

Operator

Sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Maheshwari.

Yes, thank you very much. Participants who wishes to ask a question, please press star and one.

The next question is from the line of Yogesh Patil from Dolat Capital. Please go ahead.

Yogesh Patil

Thanks for taking my question, sir. Sir, could you please share the gas sourcing in MMSCMD terms mostly?

How was the APM, NWG, HH, HPHT, and crude-linked during the quarter?

Ashu Shinghal

Yeah. In case of APM, slightly the percentage went up, but as against that, some NWG decrease has happened.

Both put together, more or less, around 45 odd percent or Q2 was 46 and now it is 45%. I'm saying APM as well as NWG, okay?

Yogesh Patil

Was there.

Ashu Shinghal

We have, as I said earlier, reduced our offtake of Henry Hub by around 4% and swiped it with HPHT and spot whenever it was cheaper than Henry Hub. Yeah.

Yogesh Patil

Other than that,

Ashu Shinghal

I think more or less it has remained similar to last quarter.

Yogesh Patil

If possible, could you please share this number in MMSCMD terms, sir, if possible?

Ashu Shinghal

I'll just share

Yogesh Patil

Henry

Ashu Shinghal

Hub we have come down from almost to 1.3 from the earlier offtake in the current quarter, and both APM as well as NWG, it is almost 2.1 MMSCMD in the current quarter and was a similar. Between APM and NWG, there is a better improvement.

I have got more APM slightly and some reduction in NWG.

Yogesh Patil

Fair enough, sir. Sir, recently zonal unified tariffs are implemented from the 1st Jan.

How has impacted to our overall gas cost? Can you provide a little bit numbers in rupees per SCM term on the gas cost side?

Ashu Shinghal

Our gas zone-wise earlier before the change, roughly 70% was already in Zone 1 and 30% in Zone 2, okay? Of that 30%, whatever I'm consuming for priority segment, now Zone 1 will be applicable.

As you are aware, the Zone 1 rate has gone up from 40 to 54 and Zone 2 roughly from 80 to 105 or 102, right? Now from this month onwards, we have started evaluating inclusive of transportation tariff, because it matters where I am getting the gas from and which zone rate is applicable.

If I have to say, even if I manage outside Zone 1 gas for the purpose of industrial commercial, I should be able to manage around 10%, okay. My weighted average for tariff under Zone 1, at least we will be able to achieve 90% or more, and Zone 2, if at all we take, it should be below 10%.

With that, you can work out the weighted average of both. Earlier, I said it was 70-30.

Now at most, I will have 10% Zone 2 and 90% Zone 1 compared to the volumes and the contracts which we have in place.

Yogesh Patil

Really helpful, sir. The last one, Henry Hub gas cost side, little bit clarity.

We wanted to understand the lag effect on the company's gas cost. If today suppose Henry Hub gas prices close 10% down or 10% up, then how much time it takes to reflect it into our LNG cost?

Is it a 1-month lag, 1 and 1/2-month lag, or 15 days lag?

Ashu Shinghal

There are multiple contracts, 4 to 5 contracts. In some of them, it is with a lag of 2 months, and in some of them, it is with a lag of 1 month.

When I say 1 month, rate is of the previous month. Some contract, it is previous to previous month rate is applicable.

In fact, it evens out the impact to a very large extent, and that is why you don't see much actual impact on the weighted average rate of Henry Hub.

Yogesh Patil

Thanks a lot, sir. It was really helpful, and all the best.

Ashu Shinghal

Having said that, we can always do which contract I should bring down more and which contract I should consume full depending on the other sources available. We do that fine-tune management to optimize the gas cost.

Yogesh Patil

Thanks a lot, sir.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vivekanand S.

from Ambit Capital. Please go ahead.

Vivekanand Subbaraman

Thank you for the opportunity. My first question is on the volume drivers.

Previously, you've spoken about triggering volume growth by acquiring customers who have larger consumption objectives, like fleet owners, and you have run CNG Mahotsavs in the past. Is there any update on the schemes that you're running to acquire customers and improve volume growth in your core areas?

That's question one. The second one related to volume drivers is the committee that was formed to explore pollution concerns in Mumbai.

The pollution concerns have become perhaps even more prolonged, right? The present problem is more severe than before.

Do you think that the government mandate to push some of these vehicle segments, particularly LCVs or medium commercial vehicles, could come in, say, in FY '27 or '28 since you're part of the panel? Thank you.

That's question one. I'll ask the next one after this.

Rajesh Patel

Volume growth, if you're looking at the CNG segment and the commercial goods vehicle segment, rather than having a blanket scheme for everyone, we are now trying to target large fleet owners and transporters. We have had some traction with one large transporter in the JNPT area, with whom we are signing for converting about 300 of his trucks onto CNG.

We keep continuously looking at these kind of opportunities and offer them a good upfront discount also through a fuel card or something for getting that economics right. This works better with large transporters, you observe, because large transporters typically have a set of vehicles which log in a large number of kilometers.

It is in that segment where they get the quickest payback for their investment on the conversion to CNG or buying a new CNG truck. Of course, our attempt to open more and more large-format CNG station which can accommodate these big vehicles, that continues, especially in GA2 and GA3 areas.

Regarding that Bombay High Court committee, we have prepared the draft recommendation, and these are under discussion in the ministry. They will submit after that consent.

I'm not exactly aware that when the final report will be submitted to the High Court, but there are not going to be very major knee-jerk reactions, because we have to make sure that not some recommendations are submitted which are not implementable. Most likely the bigger segment, more polluting segment of the vehicles like BS4 and more below-segment vehicles can have some span time to be described, and other such measures, some routes description, some other measures will be implemented depending on High Court's intervention.

In case High Court suo moto gives some more stringent views, then overall impact will be found as and when it is prescribed with the court or the government.

Vivekanand Subbaraman

Okay. Thank you.

My second question is on the recent India-US trade deal where India has committed to purchasing more from the US. Have you received any communication from the government to perhaps explore purchase of more energy from the US or ink more contracts with GAIL such that you can downstream the energy, US energy?

Rajesh Patel

I think CGD is per se, it's such a distributed segment. We have around 40 entities taking all the amount of gas.

Obviously, IGL, MGL, Adani, and Gujarat Gas are the big players. Having said that, we have a mix of APM also available, which is domestic gas.

We have new well gas, HPHT gas. Then we have a choice to take Henry Hub or Brent-linked contract.

As this macro-level discussion about India and US, they are not directly linked to the CGD entities. They are done at a government-to-government negotiation or B2B negotiations and discussions.

We don't generally make any impact toward that direction. Ours is a agnostic to who is the seller, either GAIL or other parties.

We are more concerned about what is the likely movement of these indices, whether gas-based indices or Brent-linked or oil-based indices, and how much will be our growth, and which is the right mix, making sure that under different scenarios which can unfold in future, we are equipped to handle with minimum disruption in prices and maintaining the procurement cost to the minimum. Those are our targets, not very much directly related to India-US deals.

Vivekanand Subbaraman

Sir. Thank you so much for the detailed clarification.

All the best.

Rajesh Patel

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wishes to ask a question, please press star and one.

The next question is from the line of Daksh Choudhary from Ratnatraya Investment Management. Please go ahead.

Daksh Choudhary

Hi, sir. My question is, if possible, could you provide a breakdown of the revenue from PNG like three-wheelers, commercial vehicles, and private vehicles?

Rajesh Patel

CNG vehicles. Segmental breakdown for In Q3, we had about 6,600 taxis added, about 14,000 private cars, about 9,000 three-wheelers, about 2,200 small commercial vehicles.

Total vehicles in the quarter were about 32,000. Remaining 100 odd would be a mix of buses and commercial vehicles.

Maybe he was asking total CNG revenue, which segment, four-wheelers, three-wheelers, how much is being generated.

Daksh Choudhary

Yeah. I'm asking about the revenue from these segments.

Rajesh Patel

Revenue-wise almost equal chunk will come from private car, taxis, plus three-wheelers.

Daksh Choudhary

Okay. Can you quantify it?

Rajesh Patel

About 8 to 10%, 8 7 or 8% may come from state transport undertakings. Private cars will be around 30%.

We'll share these numbers separately, but broadly they can be corrected. Maybe private cars and taxis will be about 35, 40%, almost a similar number for three-wheelers, 7, 8% STUs, and the remaining will be for commercial goods vehicles, private buses, etcetera.

Sir. Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Vikash Jain from CLSA.

Please go ahead.

Vikash Jain

Hi, sir, and thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to know your guidance.

How should we think about margins say for the upcoming quarter where there will be some impact of that zone tariff change and some of those other things and the recent change in Henry Hub price, and also your longer-term unit margin guidance? How should we think about that, please?

Ashu Shinghal

I think we discussed both these points partly, but I'll just repeat. I hope you referred about the zone-wise transportation tariff change first.

Vikash Jain

Yes.

Ashu Shinghal

As I said, at the most, maximum 10% could fall outside Zone 2 because we evaluate now including the transportation whether landed cost is the cheapest, okay? Under that scenario, my transportation cost per SCM may marginally go up from ₹0.10 to ₹0.20 per SCM, not more than that, okay.

Coming to Henry Hub, yes, Henry Hub some impact will be there because of the February Henry Hub index has remained high. Some part of it will be impacted in March and maybe after that.

We have already taken a ₹0.50 price increase per kg in case of CNG from 1st of February. That partly offsets the impact, okay.

Maybe overall realization in case of industrial commercial is looking better compared to previous quarter, whereas previous quarter had very low Brent and there was good amount of impact on realization of I and C. With some improvement in I and C realization, price increase already taken, there could be marginal impact for this quarter specifically, okay.

As far as possible, we will try and postpone our drawal of Henry Hub to subsequent months because you can always do that fine-tune management and make the 60% threshold over a period of 1 year. That period is a calendar year, we have balanced months in the calendar year to manage that threshold.

Our endeavor will be to reduce as much as possible the costliest gas and take it subsequently when indices improve.

Rajesh Patel

Regarding the guidance for margins, I think we discussed earlier, around ₹10.20 is for this year we have got, EBITDA per SCM, and going forward maybe ₹8 to ₹9 margins would be the numbers which we can look at. Because many of these impacts which Rajesh just mentioned have started impacting Q3 also.

With more portfolio management and things like hedging and procurement at a different point of time with different indices, we should be able to handle different type of scenarios unfolding in future. Going forward, it seems that gas will be available.

It is only a matter of time that which gas will be available. Some of the Russian gas will find its market in some other areas like China and some other places.

There will be obviously supplies coming from different countries like Qatar is also increasing their supply, and some supplies from US will also be added. There will be some shift in rearrangement in Europe also.

We expect that there will be not much of a disruption happening in gas or Brent market at least for next near future.

Vikash Jain

Thank you so much. Sir, just one more thing.

Could you also provide the breakup of APM and new well gas? You said both together where APM share increased and new well decreased a little bit, in that mix.

Ashu Shinghal

Total APM available was roughly 39% and 6% was NWG.

Vikash Jain

Thank you so much, sir. Thank you.

Ashu Shinghal

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Participants who wishes to ask a question, please press star and one.

The next question is from the line of Sabri Hazarika from Emkay Global Financial Services. Please go ahead.

Sabri Hazarika

Yeah. Sir, just one clarification.

You mentioned the EBITDA per SCM for 9 months is around how much? Around 10.4, right?

Rajesh Patel

No, it is 9.5. Sorry, I correct myself.

₹9.5 is for this 9 months, and ₹10.2 was for the last financial year 9 months.

Sabri Hazarika

Okay, 9.5. Your guidance for this year would be how much and next year?

Rajesh Patel

Next year would be

Sabri Hazarika

next year would be how much?

Rajesh Patel

This year for 9 months, it is 9.5, right? Maybe Q4 will be coming, we'll be in the range between again maybe slightly more than 9 or in that range.

For next year, it is ₹8 to ₹9, which we were talking about.

Sabri Hazarika

₹8 to ₹9. Okay.

Fair enough. So ₹8 to ₹9 versus 9 to 10.

Rajesh Patel

Again it depends on so many situation. As you might have seen that some years it has gone in double-digit, then it has come down slightly.

If you look back 3, 4 years back, it was in the range of ₹6, ₹7 also. These keep on changing depending on our procurement cost as well as alternate fuel cost, industrial, commercial, Brent movement, and our optimization in procurement and operational efficiencies and so on and so forth.

We have also been increasing lot of our assets to upgrade it, like we have gone for SAP upgradation, customer relationship management, we have had Salesforce. Some of our older assets have been shifted.

We are also going for more carbon neutrality, and maybe by 2036, we will have net zero Scope 1 and 2. We are importing green energy also for greenification of our electric-driven compressors in Mumbai region and nearby areas.

All these things somewhere or other reflect on the margins for a temporary reason, temporary phase, but over a long period of time, they will be taking the company in the right streak.

Sabri Hazarika

Got it. Secondly, what was the CapEx for the 9 months?

Rajesh Patel

Roughly ₹760 crore.

Sabri Hazarika

Okay. You'll be ending at ₹1,100, ₹1,200 crore for the full

Rajesh Patel

Yeah, in that range, yes.

Sabri Hazarika

Right, sir.

Rajesh Patel

This year is higher amount.

Sabri Hazarika

Yeah. I'm not sure whether you've answered this before, but can you give us a breakup of volume between the various GAs?

Breakdown of volume between different GAs?

Rajesh Patel

Maybe around 50% will go to GA1. GA1.

Slightly less than that if we include SBU also. Right.

GA2 is similar, around 45%. Then GA3, which is Raigad, will be around 0.3 MMSCMD, which is I don't know how much percentage.

It is 7, 8%. Yeah.

SBU whole put together is around 0.3, it is again 7 to 8%. GA1, GA2 both roughly 2 million, 2 million each.

That makes 4. Raigad and UEPL will be around 0.6, 0.65, yeah.

Sabri Hazarika

Okay, 0.6, 0.65. Yeah.

Thank you. Thank you so much, yeah.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Nitin Tiwari from PhillipCapital India Limited.

Please go ahead.

Nitin Tiwari

Hi, sir. Good evening.

Thanks for the opportunity and pardon me for a very naive line of questioning. I just wanted to understand that how does the gas pricing of the contract works?

Suppose when you're importing HH-linked gas and if the price of gas changes in the transit, at what point in time is the gas price fixed? When it leaves the port in the US, or when it lands in India, and how doesn't that dynamic work?

Rajesh Patel

Question within which you are asking I think is applicable more to the person who is directly importing the gas, okay. We don't import RLNG whether Henry Hub or Brent-linked directly.

We enter into contract with the suppliers who gives us aggregators like GAIL or Shell or any of these OMCs, okay. We typically have a contract where pricing formula is one part is linked to the benchmark.

It could be Henry Hub, it could be Brent, okay. Other part is either a fixed or some portion linked to variation.

The change in the high sea and all that is

Operator

[Marathi phrase: Aaplya ja vyaktishi bolat aahat, tya vyaktine aapla] Please go ahead, sir.

Rajesh Patel

Because we are not importing any cargoes directly. Right.

It is strictly applicable to

Ashu Shinghal

Just to further clarify, add on to what Rajesh has mentioned, these are different contracts entered at different points of time. If HH contracts are there, we have the liberty to some extent that which index we are choosing.

Some of the conditions we can and some are the standard conditions. HH is maybe one particular month date rate is there, which is across the industry similar practice is being followed.

On that day particular, whatever is the HH rate is taken the rate for the next month. Brent is on average for the month.

Generally, these are the traditional practices which are the contracts available in the market, and we follow similar practices in the contracts which we have. Although some fine-tune adjustments will be there from contract to contract depending on market.

Got it, sir.

Nitin Tiwari

The flexibility that you mentioned is between you and GAIL in terms of how much draw down you want to take from the contract? Is that the right understanding?

Again,

Rajesh Patel

contract to contract, it can vary. Like, there can be contracts which have more take-or-pay, there can be contracts which have got less take-and-pay.

This is a evolving market, like it is again a demand-supply or a buyer-seller arrangement. Some of the instruments every time economics or dynamics changes, sellers are more flexible, sometimes they are not very flexible.

We have to go with what is available in the market at that point of time. Obviously, we can't dictate everything from the buyer side, market keeps on changing.

More or less, from the rigid contracts which were there available maybe 5 years back, now the things have started shifting to more of a buyer market than the seller market because multiple buyers are coming into the market, and with multiple flexibilities are being offered by the sellers to the buyers. Buyers can tailor some of these conditions in the contract, and accordingly the buyers sell the gas and may mark their rates at which those gas is sold.

It's a very flexible dynamic situation, and we have to make sure that whatever type of contracts we are choosing or the terms and conditions which we are choosing is beneficial for the company in the long run.

Nitin Tiwari

Understood, sir. Thanks for the very elaborate answer.

I'll get back in the queue.

Ashu Shinghal

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Bineet Banka from Nomura.

Please go ahead. Hi,

Bineet Banka

sir. Thank you for the opportunity.

Just one question on CBG blending. I understand there was some exemption on excise duty in this budget.

What could be the impact on EBITDA per SCM on MGL, and what is the current volume of CBG blending for the company?

Rajesh Patel

Right now, it is not very significant. At 2, 3 places, we are doing some CBG blending.

Maybe we can give exact numbers in case you have.

Ashu Shinghal

It's below 1% actually. Very small number.

Operating three stations on CBG. EBITDA per SCM will be 14,000 kg a day.

Rajesh Patel

Yeah, 14,000 kg per a day in a overall sale of almost 20? 22,

Ashu Shinghal

23 lakh kg.

Rajesh Patel

23 lakh kg per day. It's very small amount.

This excise duty impact will be over a period of time. Right now, all the CBG players, they find it difficult to make a economically viable proposition at several places because the feed stock availability is one issue, the quality of feed stock, the rates at which it is available.

To promote CBG promotion as a big macro-level policy, the government has included this benefit for CBG producers, and that will make CBG production more viable, rather than having a very big impact on the CGD entities as much. If you see 5 years down the line, maybe CBG will have a very significant production levels, and then we can see that these type of incentives and promotions by the government will overall benefit the greenification of the CGD grid as well as for betterment of the environment and the viability of CBG plant as a whole.

Bineet Banka

What is the current cost of CBG that you procure compared to, say, your gas procurement cost? Any number you can share?

Rajesh Patel

There are two schemes. One is there are three schemes, I would say.

One is that CBG producer is free to sell its gas at its own price to anybody. Second is they can accept SATAT scheme, which is ongoing scheme at which some discount price is available.

Third is synchronization scheme, at which a tripartite agreement is signed between CBG producer, CGD entity, and GAIL, which is the coordinating agency for this type of arrangement under the synchronization scheme. The better output or the inputs which is available to both CGB and the CBG entity is under synchronization scheme.

Several of those CBG players are coming up with synchronization scheme, in which they get a price which is determined by government from time to time, and the returns are much better. They are on discount to slightly on CNG, and with excise duty exemption, that return to the CBG player will further improve as well as it will become beneficial for CGD entity also.

Bineet Banka

Thank you, sir.

Rajesh Patel

The CNG or CGD entity gets the cost of whatever quantity of CBG which is inserted into the grid at APM prices. That is the advantage for the CGD entity, whereas the CBG producer gets the price at CNG-relevant prices at that place.

That is the advantage of CBG. In net, whatever is the cost of CBG is getting distributed on unified blending price mechanism of APM.

Ashu Shinghal

If you look at, if APM price without blending is, say, $6.75, overall at the country-level, APM price blended with CBG is in the range of, say, $6.95 or so. It's around $0.18, $0.20 are added on account of CBG blending.

That is current impact on all CGD entities in the country. Hello?

Bineet Banka

Yes, understood. Thank you.

Rajesh Patel

Thank you. Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Somaiya V.

from Avendus Spark. Please go ahead.

Somaiya V

Thanks for the opportunity, sir. Sir, the first question is initial remarks, you did mention about one of the contracts that you have signed for 1 year in MMBTU terms.

This is equivalent to a 0.3, 0.4 times MMSCMD for this year? Is it a take-or-pay contract?

Ashu Shinghal

Every contract has take-or-pay, this contract also has take-or-pay, okay. He

Rajesh Wagle

is referring to the Brent contract which you mentioned.

Ashu Shinghal

Brent. One this has more than one contract.

The contract which we have signed through IGX, there it is 100% you have to take, but that is a smaller quantity. Because through IGX you don't have, it's a firm price and full quantity you have to draw.

The other contract, which is one-on-one with the party, there is threshold of take-or-pay, and it can be adjusted over a years' time. It

Somaiya V

is on a year's annual quantity take-off basis. Got it, sir.

You were referring to one that has started from January, the other one will start from April. These are the two contracts?

Rajesh Patel

Only two contracts have started from January where smaller quantity is through IGX and larger part of the contract is one-on-one bilateral contract. Some more contracts are starting from April bilateral.

Those bilateral contracts will always have take-or-pay thresholds.

Somaiya V

Got it, sir. Sir, also any update on the battery cell manufacturing project?

Rajesh Patel

As we have mentioned maybe discussed in last earnings call also, the land is in our possession, but there has been some changes in overall global scenarios related to the prices at which the battery is being sold. Everything is in place in terms of technology availability.

We have got some of those batteries in India and testing with different users, and we're getting a very positive feedback. Except for the fact that the last 6 months or so, the prices of the battery has come down significantly.

Much of it is to the fact also that the prices of procurement of materials, primarily the cathode material, which has come down. It has impacted the battery cell overall prices to come down significantly.

Now we are slightly reassessing the situation, trying to find a mechanism and a proposition which is best suited for all the parties involved, and therefore we are slightly putting it in a maybe few months hold to finalize this contractual arrangement wherein we can survive in different scenarios when the prices of the battery are maintained at a lower level for a significantly longer period of time. We are also looking at some of the strategic partners to make it run and maybe mitigate some of the risks.

Somaiya V

Got it, sir. Sir, also what would be for the next 12 months the CapEx outlook that we have?

How much are we considering as a CapEx for this project or investments for this project from our side?

Ashu Shinghal

For battery project, you mean?

Somaiya V

Yes, sir.

Rajesh Patel

We have in our hand approval of roughly ₹380 crore and for two phases, okay. That's the maximum, but I think next 12

Ashu Shinghal

months With the readjustment which I said, maybe this can be slightly lower than the number which Rajesh just mentioned. Because if we bring some more equity partners, obviously it will be intimated to the exchange as and when it happens.

Right now it is on a very preliminary stage of discussion, we can't just declare anything as of now. Yes, the higher limit is what Rajesh has mentioned.

Which has been declared to the exchange a few months back. Maybe 1 year back.

12 months back. Sorry to

Operator

interrupt. May we request Mr.

Somaiya to please rejoin the queue? We have other participants waiting for the turn.

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Tanay Kotecha from Nuvama.

Please go ahead.

Tanay Kotecha

Hi. Just a bookkeeping question from my side.

Can you please specify what was the share of HPHT in your sourcing mix?

Ashu Shinghal

HPHT contracted quantity, we had roughly 0.6, and we have been buying HPHT through IGX also. In the last quarter, we bought little amount of IGX HPHT.

Okay.

Tanay Kotecha

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Aditya Welekar from Axis Securities.

Please go ahead. Thank

Aditya Welekar

you for the opportunity. Sir, just one question.

What is our CapEx guidance for FY '27?

Ashu Shinghal

CapEx should be in the range of around ₹1,200 crore. That will be towards which geographical areas?

Mainly GA2, GA3 larger amount, maybe slightly lesser amount only on CNG in GA1, and all three Unison acquired areas roughly ₹200 crore.

Aditya Welekar

Understood. Thank you.

That's it from my side.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Lokesh Manik from Vallum Capital.

Please go ahead.

Lokesh Manik

Yes, hi. Good evening to the team.

Sir, just one clarification under the CBG schemes that you mentioned, the synchronization scheme is the one that benefits CGDs. The clarification here was that would the scheme be supply-agnostic in the sense that whether it be an HPHT

Operator

I'm sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Lokesh, but we are unable to hear you clearly, sir.

Lokesh Manik

Is it better now?

Operator

Yes, please go ahead.

Lokesh Manik

Yes. Sir, I was saying that in the synchronization CBG scheme, even the HPHT gas will be available at APM price if it gets blended with CBG?

Rajesh Patel

No, it is not like that. The synchronization scheme is only for CBG production.

It is not for HPHT. HPHT is available to CGD on priority basis if CGD company and other sectors bid for that gas.

CGD gets a first priority if the price quoted by the CGD and other companies similar. That's the only priority of allocation during bidding of HPHT gas.

Lokesh Manik

The blending benefit will be in which source of gas?

Rajesh Patel

APM and CBG. CBG is blended with APM.

APM gas is loaded to the overall consumption of APM in the country by CGD entities, and the beneficiary is the CBG producers and also the CGD entities to the extent in whichever entity is using that CBG. Like if we are taking, say, 20,000 tons 20,000 kg of CBG in our area, 20,000 kg of APM will be allocated to us over and above our APM allocation, which traditionally happens.

Lokesh Manik

Understood.

Rajesh Patel

Understood. Understood.

We will get benefited by 20,000 to the extent APM prices. This 20,000 will be rationalized over the overall consumption of APM in the whole country.

Lokesh Manik

Understood. Thank you so much for the clarity, sir.

Rajesh Patel

Thank you. Thank

Operator

you. Ladies and gentlemen, due to time constraints, that was the last question for today.

I would now like to hand the conference over to the management of Mahanagar Gas Limited for closing comments. Thank you

Rajesh Patel

so much to all our shareholders and stakeholders for posing confidence on the company, and I hope that the same enthusiasm and the investment is maintained in the company. Thank you so much for joining for the earnings call today.

Thank you.

Operator

On behalf of Systematix Institutional Equities, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.