Operator
Please note that this conference is being recorded. I will now hand the conference over to Ms.
Miti Gupta, Investor Relations Manager, for opening remarks. Thank you, and over to you.
Miti Gupta
Thank you, Rian. Good morning and welcome, everyone.
We are here to discuss PNB Housing Finance Q1 FY 2026-27 results. You must have seen our business and financial numbers in the presentation and the press release shared with the exchanges and are also available on our website.
With me, we have our management team led by Mr. Ajai Kumar Shukla, Managing Director and CEO of the company.
We will begin this call with the performance update by the management team followed by an interactive Q&A session. Please note this call may contain forward-looking statements which exemplify our judgment and future expectations concerning the development of our business.
These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. PNB Housing Finance undertakes no obligation to publicly revise any forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances.
A detailed disclaimer is on slide 45 of the investor presentation. With this, I will now hand over the call to our Managing Director and CEO, Mr.
Ajai Kumar Shukla. Over to you, sir.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Thank you, Miti. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today.
Before I discuss our performance for the quarter, let me briefly touch upon the industry environment. India entered financial year '27 from a position of relative macroeconomic strength, although external risks increased materially during Q1.
Domestic demand remained resilient, supported by government infrastructure spending, healthy banking system liquidity, and steady service activity. However, geopolitical tension in West Asia, volatile crude oil prices, and uncertainty around the monsoon led to a slightly more cautious growth outlook.
The housing finance sector particularly continues to benefit from strong structural drivers, including rising urbanization, increasing homeownership aspirations, favorable demographics, and continued government focus on affordable housing. Demand remained healthy across retail mortgage segments during the quarter, particularly in affordable and emerging market, which continue to offer significant growth opportunities.
During the quarter, the RBI maintained the policy repo rate at 5.25%, providing a stable interest rate environment for borrower while also announcing measures to support liquidity and funding access within the financial system. Further, RBI revised its financial year '27 GDP growth forecast from 6.9% to 6.66% in its June 2026 policy review, reflecting concerns around higher energy cost, supply chain disruptions, and weaker external demand.
Nevertheless, India continues to be among the fastest growing major economies with private consumption and services providing key support. The quarter was also characterized by heightened global uncertainty arising from the US-Iran conflict, which led to higher crude oil prices, increased market volatility, and tighter liquidity conditions.
Despite these external challenges, India's macroeconomic fundamentals remain resilient and housing demands continued to hold up well. Now coming to PNB Housing Finance, we have begun financial year '27 on a steady note, reflecting the strength of our retail focused business model and disciplined execution.
Further, kindly note that starting this quarter, disbursements are being recognized based on check realization rather than check handover basis. On a comparable check handover basis, disbursement delivered a strong 56% YoY growth, reflecting sustained business momentum.
Disbursement growth should normalize from Q2 onward and should reflect a strong growth trajectory going forward. Post the one-time impact of this transition, disbursement for Q1 '27 grew at 18% YoY at 5,882 crore.
At segmental level, prime and emerging market has seen a double-digit growth at year-on-year level and stood at 3,083 and 2,029 crore for Q1 '27. We did disbursement of 555 crore in affordable segment, which is currently less than the target level.
We are actively focusing on increasing the productivity of affordable branches while select prime and emerging market branches also started contributing to affordable business. This number which I quoted, 555 crore, is basically net, as I said that we have now transitioned from gross to net.
Overall loan book grew by 15% YoY to 89,670 crore as on 30th June 2026, while the retail loan portfolio increased by 16% YoY to 89,178 crore. The affordable and emerging market segment continue to be our key growth engine, growing 27% YoY and contributing 41% of retail portfolio.
We remain on track to increase the contribution to 45% by the end of '27. I am pleased to share that as part of our new initiative to augment high yield portfolio growth, we disbursed 71 crore under Emerging Developer Finance program.
We also started affordable business from selected prime and emerging branches, successfully disbursed in first month of the quarter, which was June, almost 30 crore in affordable business from these branches. Also, as part of our growth strategy, we have commenced pool buyout transactions and acquired loan assets aggregating to 146 crore during the quarter.
These initiatives will support faster scale-up of the loan book while enhancing portfolio yield and maintaining portfolio quality. We are particularly pleased to have facilitated over 7,000 subsidies under the PMAY 2.0, reinforcing our commitment to affordable housing and supporting the government vision of Housing for All.
Our corporate loan book stood at 493 crore as on 30th June '26 with disbursal of almost 215 crore during Q1 '27. We continue to accelerate our digital transformation agenda by reimagining customer journey and core operation with a digital-first mindset.
Our focus on conversational AI and document intelligence is helping simplify processes, enhance service quality, improve responsiveness, and strengthen operational efficiency. During the quarter, we successfully completed voice AI proof of concept for the sanctioned but undisbursed pool and pre-due collections with encouraging results, while AI-powered policy and knowledge assistants are currently under evaluation.
Wanted to share that 100% of our fresh disbursal are happening through our new LOS platform, which we call as SFDC. More than 70% of our business is now being onboarded through our in-house onboarding app, which is Infinity app, and more than 2,600 e-sign executed through our LegalDesk platform.
We also remain focused on building proprietary AI capabilities as reflected in our in-house competitive intelligence platform. Alongside enabling paperless operation and supporting our sustainability objectives, these initiatives are helping us deliver a more seamless customer experience and create long-term value for all stakeholders.
As far as geographical presence, on the distribution front, we added 12 new branches during the quarter, taking our network to 404 branches. We have also begun leveraging our selective prime and emerging markets branch network to expand our affordable business, and early results from the co-located branches models have been encouraging.
As far as asset quality, asset quality continues to remain one of our key strengths. Gross NPA remains less than 1%, which is 0.95%.
Minor increase seen in 30 and 90+ is cyclical in nature and are expected to come down in Q2. During the quarter, a legacy account was classified as fraud.
The exposure had already been fully provided in the year 2022-23 itself, and therefore it has no incremental financial impact on the company. Recoveries remained healthy at 67 crore from written-off pool, resulting a negative credit cost of 12 basis points during the quarter.
The company is now left with written-off pool of around 340 crore in retail. As far as margin is concerned, our spread remained stable sequentially at 2.12%, while NIM moderated by 19 bps QoQ to 3.50%, out of which 12 bps is attributable to increase in leverage and 7 bps in true-up impact of Q4 '26.
Our portfolio yield improved marginally to 9.48% for Q1. We witnessed an improvement in incremental yield across all businesses vertical, which will support future margin performance.
Marginal increase in cost of borrowing to 7.36% during Q1 FY '27 compared with 7.35% in previous quarter. Incremental cost of borrowing increased by 18 bps primarily due to tighter liquidity condition and volatility in financial market.
As far as profitability is concerned, as a result, profit after tax for the quarter grew by 4% YoY to 557 crore, leading to ROA 2.37% and ROE of 11.44%. Our capital position remains strong with a capital adequacy ratio of 28.26% and Tier 1 capital ratio of 27.87% as of June '26.
With a strong balance sheet, improving operating efficiencies, accelerating digital transformation, and continued focus on portfolio quality, we remain well positioned to deliver sustainable growth in the coming quarter. Just to conclude and summarize the conversation, let me again reiterate that what we expect that margin seems to be bottomed out, and from second half onward, gradually there should be improvement in margin.
Yield is also bottomed out, and it would improve by change in mix. As far as growth in quarter one, primarily what worked well for us, improvement in productivity by use of technology and enhancement in distribution, strengthening of our team, particularly in affordable and emerging market segment.
July over June is much better in affordable under new leadership team, particularly new CBO, driving additional volume through existing prime and emerging market which has started contributing almost 15% to 18% of affordable business in July itself, focused approach on low-performing branches, expecting Q2 to be much better than Q1, particularly in affordable business, maintaining full year guidance of 18% to 20% overall book growth, also maintaining growth guidance of 50% to 60% in affordable loan book. Thank you so much.
Now I would like to hand over call to our CFO, Mr. Vinay Gupta.
Vinay Gupta
Thank you, sir. Good morning, everyone.
I would now like to talk about few key financial parameters. As mentioned by MD, after one-time impact of change in disbursement recognition, our disbursements grew 18% year-on-year to 5,882 crores in Q1.
We will catch up on our growth rate from next quarter onwards. Further, I am happy to share that our run-off rates have also stabilized to around 17% versus 19% to 20% which we witnessed in the last few quarters.
Our retail portfolio also grew 16% year-on-year to 89,180 crores. As mentioned earlier, on check handover basis, we have delivered a very strong quarter.
Our disbursements grew 56% year-on-year, and our loan book would have grown at around 18%, in line with our guidance. We should catch up on our guided growth rate from the next quarter onwards.
During the quarter, our net interest income grew 6%, and our gross margin grew 9%. As mentioned in the previous quarter, our yield should start improving from Q1 onwards.
Accordingly, happy to share that this quarter we delivered a marginal improvement in yield at 9.48% versus 9.47% in previous quarter. However, due to ongoing global geopolitical uncertainty, our cost of borrowing also witnessed marginal increase to 7.36% from 7.35%.
This is primarily due to increase in our incremental cost of borrowing by around 18 basis points. Despite the prevailing headwinds, we maintained our spread at 2.12%, demonstrating resilience in our business model and disciplined pricing approach.
19 bps moderation in NIM during Q1 relative to Q4 was largely attributable to higher leverage and lower yield on total assets. Further, there was a true-up for Q4, which was basically due to monthly conversion versus our number of days conversion, as we saw a inverse relationship in Q4, which got trued up during this quarter.
Going forward, we feel NIM has largely bottomed out and should start improving from second half of this financial year. Operating expenses increased 10% year-on-year to 237 crore from 216 crores in Q1 last year, primarily due to manpower addition and annual compensation revision.
However, operating efficiency continues to improve, with opex to ATA declining by 9 basis points to less than 1% now versus 1.08% in Q4 FY '26. Supported by healthy operating leverage, our pre-provision operating profit also grew 9% year-on-year to 689 crores.
On asset quality, gross NPA continued to remain less than 1% mark and stood at 0.95% as of June 30, 2026. Company continued to deliver healthy recoveries from its written-off pool, recovering 67 crores during the quarter, which translated into a negative credit cost of 12 basis points.
PAT for the quarter grew 4% year-on-year to 557 crores. ROA stood at 2.37%, while ROE stood at 11.44% for the quarter.
Balance sheet remains well capitalized. Capital adequacy ratio is at 28.26%.
Our net worth is at 19,800 crores, with book value now increasing to around ₹760. With strong balance sheet, healthy capitalization, robust asset quality, and continued focus on operational efficiency, we remain confident in our ability to deliver sustainable and profitable growth.
With that, I conclude my remarks. Thank you for your continued support, and with this, we will now open the call for Q&A.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session.
Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.
Participants are requested to use their handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.
Participants who wish to ask a question, please press star and one. We take the first question from the line of Viral Shah from IIFL Capital.
Please go ahead.
Viral Shah
Hi. Thanks for the opportunity to allow me to ask the question.
Hello? Am I audible?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Viral,
Vinay Gupta
you're audible.
Viral Shah
Good morning, team. I have three questions.
One is first on the margins, right? Two parts over there.
How should we look at, say, yields and cost of fund trajectory from here on, say, of course, all of this is assuming the macro kind of remains stable in the near term? More importantly, does the thesis of, say, the gradual NIM expansion as the book mix kind of changes with the scale-up of your affordable, emerging, CF, etc., more from a medium-term perspective, not the next two, three quarters, but say over the next two years, does that thesis kind of still hold true?
That was my first question.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Yeah. Viral.
Thank you so much, Viral, for joining the call and asking. As I said in my conversation that we expect that margin are bottomed out, and yield is also bottomed out, and cost of fund also we strongly believe that it is also bottomed out.
Gradually, maybe H2 onward, we will see some improvement. I would say medium to long-term perspective, I think this should help in the margin for the organization.
As far as the mix is concerned, I think you rightly said that we are positioning ourselves in right mix approach. Construction finance portfolio, as I said earlier also, we will restricting to 3% of my incremental, 3% of my book in this year, which is '27, which will help us in overall improvement in my basically margin.
Also the mix of affordable and emerging will improve like we saw that currently we are placed at 41%, which used to be less than 40% earlier and expecting to touch 45% by the end of this year, and which will further, if I talk about two-year horizon, it would be nearly 50% of my overall book in emerging and affordable.
Viral Shah
Got it. No, that's very clear.
On the second, I would say, question is more with regards to growth. I know you and Vinay also pointed out that of course this quarter there was this recognition change.
When I look at, say, the gross number, right, gross number is a very strong number of 55% plus disbursement growth. Now this is not lost, right?
This will come through in the second quarter. One is if I look at, say, the second quarter with this kind of a trajectory, should we, and of course there is also somewhat further of course growth that will come through on these numbers, should we expect the gross number to be whatever it is currently in this quarter plus the growth and that trajectory to sustain in the near term?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think, if I talk about Q2, I'm sure that you're asking about next quarter, which is a running quarter from Q1. I think we will try to beat both the numbers, whether it is a gross or net.
I think net will also give us benefit of whatever hit we have taken in Q1 will give us fruit in Q2, and also we expect that our gross Q2 will also be much better than Q1. July already we have witnessed very good momentum in terms of gross and net.
Viral Shah
Got it. With that kind of a trajectory, Ajai, your 18% to 20% kind of loan growth guidance seems very conservative.
Would that be a fair assessment?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think
Viral Shah
18% to 20%,
Ajai Kumar Shukla
that's the guidance which we have given. Definitely, team is focusing on better growth than what we have given guidance.
I think we should do much better than what we have given guidance.
Viral Shah
Got it. My last question is basically on the micro housing.
You have mentioned that you have started it from this quarter. Of course, in terms of, say, the contribution and the P&L also, it will take quite some time.
Just wanted to get a sense about how are you going about building this book in terms of, are these separate branches? How is the team, underwriting, sourcing, etc.?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
We did experiment and we got very good fruit in prime and emerging to source more affordable. We got very good number in the month of July in prime and emerging of affordable.
We will also do currently micro housing business from our affordable branches. I don't think at this point of time we need to open more number of branches.
We will leverage our existing branches to contain our opex also, because that's the key metrics is to be watch. In Q2, the policy was already formalized.
It is rolled out. People have started sourcing.
Real fruit you will be able to see from H2 onward.
Viral Shah
Got it. Thanks.
That's very clear. I'll come back if at all I have other questions.
Congrats and all the best.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Thank you, Viral.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, in the interest of time and fairness to others, we request you to restrict to two questions per participant.
We take the next question from the line of Sameer Bhise from Damani Asia. Please go ahead.
Sameer Bhise
Hi. Thank you for the opportunity, sir.
Just had a couple of questions. Firstly, on the leverage impact on margins for this quarter.
Vinay, can you just guide us through how it has played out? Because if I see debt to equity has moved just from 3.7 to 3.72, but the NII impact looks a tad sharp.
I think some sense there will be useful.
Vinay Gupta
Yeah. Sameer, those were the ending numbers, end of the quarter numbers.
On an average, our leverage has gone up from 3.6 to 3.75. That is one reason.
Secondly, there is also a flow-through impact. If you see, Q4 generally is very high on disbursements, and most of that got realized in the current quarter, and hence it actually translated into higher borrowings during the current quarter.
Plus, there is an impact on the overall yield being slightly lower, while the loan book yield has improved, but overall yield has slightly moderated due to lower investment yields. These are two, three factors which has led to impact of higher leverage.
Sameer Bhise
Secondly, the entire gap in the actual reported disbursement number and the gross, which is the adjusted number, is it entirely due to the affordable housing segment, or there is some other segments as well like emerging and all?
Vinay Gupta
It's a combination of all the businesses. Whatever impact which we have witnessed is a combination of prime, emerging, and affordable, because in retail business and wholesale, completely we are migrated from check handover to basically money debited from our account.
Then
Sameer Bhise
can you, sir, provide mix on a gross basis? Because if I see affordable disbursement in the reported number looked down on a YoY basis also, which is obviously not the case, but from a mix perspective.
Vinay Gupta
I think affordable, if we compare apple to apple, which is YoY growth, I would say there is growth of almost 11% in affordable.
Sameer Bhise
On a check handover.
Vinay Gupta
On check handover basis. Since we have moved from check handover to realization, and that is why particularly
Sameer Bhise
That's what I'm asking. Yeah.
Vinay Gupta
Sorry? Handover basis, it is 11% growth, 11% growth in affordable also.
Sameer Bhise
Okay. Finally, on credit cost, should one see that credit cost kind of turns to positive territory in second half?
Then just how would ROA kind of shape up, given that we have optimism on NIM, but we will also have normalization of credit cost? Some trajectory there will be useful, sir.
That's all from my side.
Vinay Gupta
No, Sameer, this year, I think we should continue to remain negative. We still have line of sight on good recoveries quarter-on-quarter this year at least.
This year, we should be able to maintain the negative credit cost.
Sameer Bhise
Okay. Thank you.
That's all from my side.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Abhijit Tibrewal from Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited.
Please go ahead.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Good morning. Thank you for taking my question.
Firstly, for the benefit of all of us, if you could explain this true-up, essentially, you did mention a couple of things that one was the monthly versus number of days during the quarter. What exactly happened with seven basis points difference?
Is it more to do with maybe Q4 having lesser number of days, lesser interest income, and to that extent it got overstated, and so that being lowered by seven basis points? Is that the right understanding, or is there some timing difference because of which this true-up that you called out?
Vinay Gupta
As you rightly explained, I think that is the exact reason. Q4 being a shorter quarter, only 90 days, we get the benefit in NIM because there the annualization happens based on monthly annualization.
It is monthly numbers which gets annualized for NIM calculations. Whereas, that start getting normalized from Q1 onwards.
Q4, you will get some benefit, but that is artificial. Hence, we have given ideally what should have been a Q4 number, and hence that is a 7 bps delta, which was purely on account of the calculation difference in Q4.
Adjusted for that, the gap is only 12 bps in the current quarter, which is on account of increasing leverage and lower yield on the overall total assets.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Got it. Then, sir, on the margins, you called out earlier during the opening remarks that margins have bottomed out.
Should we now think about margins as maybe remaining stable in 2Q and then starting to expand from the second half onwards? Because I remember during the opening remarks you also mentioned about this incremental cost of borrowing being up about 18 basis points in the first quarter.
Won't that have some bearing on cost of borrowings in the coming quarters? Just trying to understand how are things on the incremental cost of borrowing front.
Have things cooled off a little bit in the last maybe 1 and 1/2 months?
Vinay Gupta
Yes, Abhijit, there is some improvement versus what it was, let's say, at the beginning of the previous quarter, but still it remains elevated. The reason that we are positive about NIM bottoming out is because we see improvement in our yields now.
It has started improving from Q1 onwards, and now Q2 onwards with higher contribution of affordable, CF business, and emerging business, we feel that we will be able to offset the impacts, if any, of cost of borrowing as well as of any further impact of leverage. Yields are giving that confidence, and we should be able to offset that.
Plus, in case there is any positive movement on the ratings also, because we are yet to get two more upgrades from two rating agencies, so that is another lever which will help us further on the cost of borrowing side.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Got it. Then the last question that I had was on the ROAs.
You mentioned that at least this year you're confident that credit cost should remain negative. At least the quantum of write-backs, the quantum of recoveries, they are naturally slowing down.
From here, as we see this quantum of negative credit cost write-backs normalize over a period of time, maybe over the next few quarters, how should we think about the ROAs this year and next year?
Vinay Gupta
As we guided, I think on a long-term basis, we are expected to settle around 2.3 kind of a ROA, 2.3 to 2.35. For this year, I think it should be in the range of 2.35 to 2.4.
So 2.4 is what largely we are targeting this year. It should remain in this range for the current year.
Abhijit Tibrewal
Got it, Vinay, sir. Thank you for answering all my questions, and I wish you and the team the very best.
Vinay Gupta
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Renish from ICICI Securities.
Please go ahead.
Renish Bhuva
Hi, sir. Congrats on a good set of numbers.
Sir, just two things. First on the credit cost side again.
This quarter we saw recovery from written-off pool at around 77-odd crore. When I look at the ECL provision, it is roughly increase of 23-odd crore.
Ideally the write-back should be around 50 crore, and we have recognized only 29 crore. Rest is explained by what?
Is it a write-off or something else?
Vinay Gupta
There are some regular OTS settlements, etc., which we do. That has given some hit of around 10 to 12 crores.
Renish Bhuva
Where does it reflect? Ideally it should reflect in ECL, right?
Vinay Gupta
It's a write-off. It is if you're doing settlement, you are taking some hit while doing the settlement.
It comes as a
Renish Bhuva
Okay. Basically it's a write-off, right?
Vinay Gupta
Write-off, yes.
Renish Bhuva
Yeah. In which segment, sir?
Vinay Gupta
It is basically across prime and emerging on a legacy pool.
Renish Bhuva
Okay. Got it.
Sir, just second question is on the asset yield movement, okay. Obviously, I understand we are sort of working on changing our mix towards higher-yielding product.
When I look back and sort of track your last one year performance, especially on the AUM mix side, naturally, your non-HL piece has gone up at least by 5% on YoY basis across the segment, right, whether it is prime, emerging, or affordable. Simultaneously our share of affordable has also gone up from 9.5 to 7.4.
Somehow, despite this change over last one year, nothing is getting reflected on the asset yield, it is down almost 50 basis point YoY. How one should think about asset yield movement?
Obviously, you guys are sounding more confident on yield trajectory going ahead. At least when I look at last one year, somehow it is not getting reflected.
Just wanting to understand why is that and what are, let us say, the key indicators which is giving you that confidence that yield should improve from maybe second half onwards? See,
Vinay Gupta
Renish, I think last one year, if you see, there is a change in the repo rate also, and the interest rate environment also was different, right? Our incremental yields have gone down in line with the industry trend.
Hence, you did not see that kind of a transition impact on the overall book yield. Now as we know that there is no further drop expected on the yields perspective, it is only expected to go up.
Hence the only positive impact that we see from now on is on account of mix change. With better mix coming in, I think we should be able to deliver a improvement quarter-on-quarter basis in our yields going forward.
Renish Bhuva
Got it. Just last clarification, sir, it is right to assume that the disbursement yield in Q1 is higher than the book yield of 9.48%?
Vinay Gupta
Yes. That's right.
Renish Bhuva
That's it from my side, sir. Thank you and best of success.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Sanket Chheda from DAM Capital Advisors.
Please go ahead.
Sanket Chheda
Hi, sir. Two questions from me.
One is just on the ROA thing, we clocked 2.4% in this quarter, and if credit cost was slightly negative and margin inch up as well from here on, I believe it was for next year without the tailwind of negative credit cost that we said 2.35 to 2.4. This year could be 2.4 to 5.
Is that right? Is that understanding right?
Vinay Gupta
That's right, Sanket. This year with the benefits still continuing, we expect ROA guidance around 2.4.
Next year with credit cost normalizing, we expect it to be around 2.3.
Sanket Chheda
Okay. The second question was on disbursement.
You alluded that Q2 disbursement would be strong, but basis what we would have clocked in July and if we just extrapolate that for next two months, on net-to-net basis, that is Q1 net to Q2 net, roughly how much growth you would expect?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think, if I talk about net-to-net, particularly if I talk about affordable segment, Sanket, if you are asking, the growth should be, if you disbursed 555 crore, to be precise, in net, I think it should be 2.5 to 2.6 times higher than what we did in Q1.
Sanket Chheda
Oh, wow. Overall?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Overall should be also, if I talk about net, it should be near 60%, 70% 70% higher.
Sanket Chheda
60%, 70% higher than Q1 net?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Net to net. I'm talking about net to net, yeah.
Sanket Chheda
Oh, so that's roughly 9 and 1/2 to 10,000. Okay.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Hopefully, we are expecting growth there because July is definitely a promising month for us, and we have seen, I would say green shoots in the month of July.
Sanket Chheda
Okay. On rating upgrades, sir, just wanted to check once we are doing more affordable yields will be taken care of on the cost of funds.
Now we have received rating upgrade from CARE. Do we expect other rating agencies to follow the suit sooner, ICRA and CRISIL?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think CARE is already done. ICRA is underway.
I think we are expecting very soon ICRA. CRISIL is underway.
That work is on. I think, whatever benefit which we were expecting to get of rating upgrade, which will translate now, because when the rating got upgraded earlier, the regime was high rate of interest scenario.
Now I think it will start giving us benefit.
Sanket Chheda
All this, if let's say affordable momentum stays this year, next year, then the rating upgrades come through, is there a upside risk to our ROAs for next year which we are assuming to be 2.35?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think it's a range we are talking. I think 2.4 is the range we definitely would like to maintain that.
That's how we're working on that direction. It would be near to 2.4 only.
One thing in affordable I would like to reiterate that July being promising under new leadership, the CBO has taken the charge and entire month was under his leadership only. I think we have got very good result out of that.
Sanket Chheda
Apart from CBO, any other changes that you would have done? See,
Ajai Kumar Shukla
let me tell you as I said in my commentary earlier that we have strengthened our team. The major investment which this year we have done in affordable business only.
Even N minus 2, I would say, under the CBO, we have strengthened our team all across geographies. We have two national-level resources also who are managing businesses who have vintage of almost more than 20, 25 years in mortgage industry and more so particularly in affordable segment.
The team is strengthened in affordable and emerging also, and that is why we are very much confident that my emerging and affordable should contribute 45% of my overall book in '27 and 50% in '28.
Sanket Chheda
Sure, sir. Those were my questions.
Thanks a lot, and all the best.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Thank you so much, Sanket.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Kunal Shah from Citi Group.
Please go ahead.
Kunal Shah
Hi, sir. Thanks for question.
Hi. Sir, firstly, in terms of the entire mix, still if we look at it including the check disbursements, affordable is growing at 11-odd percent.
Prime seems to suggest that it is growing at 66, and emerging is still growing at 48-odd percent. That's where the overall disbursement growth is 51.
Just to change the mix and pull up the affordable, it will require a significant traction. Otherwise prime still seems to be growing faster compared to that of affordable and emerging.
How would that mix change over a period because maybe it would require a recalibration, and if that happens, then would it have any impact on the growth side?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Let me tell you that, Kunal, the prime growth which you have witnessed, there also the mix has changed. Because there was very tough competition in salaried segment much in prime, and that is why we have migrated from the composition of more salaried to the, I would say rationalized self-employed segment.
Also we increased our composition from home loan to non-home loan because we were having a good cushion in terms of PBC norms. Regulatory also we were very much in well within line.
Whatever improvement we have seen in prime largely was because of change in mix to get the better If you see my yield chart also from Q4 to Q1 this year sequentially, it has improved in prime even. That is the reason, and that's why we got the opportunity to improve that business also.
We will grow in affordable what we have given the guidance. We are stick to that.
We said that we will have a growth of around 60% in affordable. That we still we are holding that, and we will do it.
My guidance is will not change. It will continue.
As I said that my July is much much promising than my any of the month of June, and which is a clear-cut indication that under new leadership, things have started improving drastically in affordable business. The second thing is that if I tell you my July affordable business contribution from prime plus emerging, it is almost double than what we delivered in Q1 in July itself.
Kunal Shah
In terms of disbursements?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
In terms of disbursement of affordable business from even prime and emerging vertical.
Kunal Shah
Got it. When you look at it in terms of this 1,870 crores of check disbursal and maybe check realization, handover and the realization difference, would this get achieved in 2Q itself or maybe it will be spread over a period?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think with it generally spread across in two months forward. Maybe larger portion comes in next month and then some portion comes in second month.
Third month is any minuscule business only flow forward. Otherwise, because there is resale cases wherein sometime seller takes time to execute the transaction.
Major portion covers in first month itself of the last month. Okay.
Kunal Shah
By September everything should get realized on an average.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
It's a cycle now, Kunal, it's a cycle. Now the cycle is maintained now.
That's why we said that my July month realization is much promising than any of the month of last quarter.
Kunal Shah
Got it. One last question in terms of the spreads.
When we look at the overall incremental spreads, I would believe maybe the disbursement incremental yield is closer to 9.4 and our overall incremental cost of funds is 7.4. We are at almost a 2% spread or so.
And
Ajai Kumar Shukla
2.12 we have, yeah.
Kunal Shah
Sorry?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
2.12 we have given.
Vinay Gupta
Incremental is also same, Kunal, 2.12.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Same. Q4 versus Q1.
Kunal Shah
I was just saying maybe the difference between so book spread is 2.12, maybe just leaving aside the margins, okay, because margins would have the element of day count and the leverage. If I have to purely look at spreads, incremental spreads still appear to be lower than that of book spreads.
Are you confident that mix change will take care of it, and in terms of the spreads itself, it can sustain or maybe improve from the current level?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think we have already started seeing positive results in overall yield. If you see from Q4 versus Q1, my overall yield in affordable itself has grown by almost 50 bps, and in other product also the yield has improved from Q4, which gives us confidence that it will improve.
Kunal Shah
Okay. Spreads will improve or stay over here.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Yeah.
Kunal Shah
Okay. Thanks.
That answers all the questions.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Gaurav Khandelwal from JPMorgan.
Please go ahead.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions.
I've got a few questions. The first question is on a follow-up to the last one.
When the prime yields increased eight-odd basis points, emerging was up eight basis points, right? Prime, does the mix shift on disbursement towards self-employed completely explain?
If you could help me understand, sir, what is the like-for-like increase or decrease in prime loan yields had we not done this mix shift? Any color on that, please?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think, if we would not have done that incrementally, yeah? No, incrementally, you're talking about incrementally, Gaurav?
Gaurav Khandelwal
Incrementally. Yep.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Incrementally, if I talk about and particularly you are focusing on prime, correct?
Gaurav Khandelwal
Yes.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Prime, if you see my Q4 was 8.92. So 8 bps growth we have shown till now, okay, in Q1, and which has further improved in July.
I think we would have been in the same range what it was in July. Around 10 to 15 bps, I would say, benefit we have got by changing the mix, I would say.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it. Had it not been for the mix shift, our prime yields would ideally have gone down, which is also what has happened across most of the other banks.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Maybe not gone down, you can say stable. July has further improved my prime yield we have shown this 9% of yield in Q1, which is Q1 yield.
July is better now. Okay.
It would have been in the range of same 8.92, 8.95, that would have been the range. We got the benefit out of that.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it, sir. In this entire process of shifting towards more self-employed, how are you thinking about the risk control mechanisms and the risk framework?
Are we moving towards a higher risk book, and will it have a read-through on credit costs over next few years?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
No, I think, let me tell you that the kind of team which we have created and monitoring we have created in the system, and if I tell you while my yield has gone up, I would say sequentially even my delinquency in prime and emerging has improved from last quarter because team is very seasoned underwriting team. The monitoring is also, I would say very well in place.
The collection strategy is also working very well, considering that and we have good seasoned expertise team in underwriting, especially in self-employed segment.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it. On cost of fund, following the credit rating, when do we start to see the benefits of those rating upgrades coming in numbers?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I think some benefit already started coming in terms of fresh borrowing, I would say. Maybe the fresh borrowing, I would say, we are getting at better rate now from if I talk about previous quarter.
I think gradually it should improve.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it. Sir, can you quantify how much is this benefit?
5, 10 basis points or whatever that number is?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Around 10 basis points at least should come in, Gaurav.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it. Thanks.
My final question is on the fraud account of ₹420 crores, right? While this was written off and there's no incremental There is no incremental impact on the financials.
statements, but how should one think about recoveries coming from these? How much were you factoring in recoveries for FY '27, '28, '29?
Just some color on that. Thanks.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Till now the account which we have declared this year, we have not factored in any recovery this year because this entire legal process may take a time because as per RBI, the declaration of fraud and recoveries are two different things, and parallelly can go on. We have already started discussion with the borrower.
He has also approached to us. We are looking for either someone will join the hand and to solve the builder challenge, or maybe he will start finding the customer to sell the project.
There is no financial impact of this because '22-'23 only we declared that, and the only thing which is pending is now recovery part, which already we have started working. All the remedial actions have been started now.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Sir, if you can just quantify how much recoveries were we expecting from this account in '27?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
I can't comment at this point of time because it will depend on when I get the buyer, and because now the buyer and seller meeting, and they will meet, they will evaluate the entire project, and then we get the right picture.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it. Just to understand this better, over the years, from your experience, once you classify an account as a fraud, is the recovery process actually expedited, or does it take longer to get the money back?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
No, generally it expedited because there are legal recourse. Because till the time you take this step, the customer will never come forward to discuss and close it, because nobody would like to have classification as a fraud.
Definitely one would like to close it and settle it much faster than what it is expected.
Gaurav Khandelwal
Got it. Thank you very much.
Those were all my questions.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Nischint from Kotak.
Please go ahead.
Nischint Chawathe
Thanks for taking my question. On the disbursement norm change, did it have any impact on the margins?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
No, I think the only impact will be the interest income, which will book in our quarterly results. Which will definitely stabilize in the next quarter once your realization happens.
Because as per the new norm, you cannot charge the interest from the customer until the money is debited from your account. The impact is only on interest income for the quarter.
Nischint Chawathe
That won't be material. That is what you are suggesting.
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Yeah.
Nischint Chawathe
Since you spelt out margin walk in single-digit bps, that's why I was asking, but anyway. Just trying to understand what is the share of BT ins in your overall sourcing across segments?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
BT in has slightly reduced. I think if I talk about Q1 versus Q1, it is 5.4% now, 20 bps reduction we have seen in BT in.
Nischint Chawathe
This is at an overall
Ajai Kumar Shukla
It is 4.4% in Q1 '27 from 5% in Q1 '26.
Nischint Chawathe
This is at an overall level? If you want to sort of split this between prime, emerging, and affordable?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
If I talk about affordable, BT in has down, which suggests that the team has started focusing on new customer. In Q1, it used to be 10.5% last year, which has gone down to 3.4%.
It means whatever growth we have done in last quarter of the business, it is primarily new customer in the market. Overall at company level, the BT in has down by 60 bps almost.
Nischint Chawathe
Got it. Thank you very much.
Operator
Thank you. We take the next question from the line of Harshit Toshniwal from Premji Invest.
Please go ahead.
Harshit Toshniwal
Hi, sir. Am I audible?
Ajai Kumar Shukla
Harshit.
Harshit Toshniwal
Sir, there were two questions. One was on the fee income.
Obviously, what it seems like it's going to be a pretty strong year on disbursement per se, and 1Q obviously the disbursement numbers were not true, but so should we ideally expect the fee income to also grow at a reasonably fast pace in '27 because of the fast disbursement which we are seeing, and probably 1Q might not be true reflection because it's more linked to the disbursement we are reporting? Is that true?
Does it happen that way or the fee income does not get impacted by the recognition change? Sir, the second question was on what Nischint was asking that ideally if I have a lower interest income being recognized, but on my cost of funds there is no change in recognition.
Mathematically is it having any impact on the margins is what trying to just understand that, or it should not be the case?
Vinay Gupta
No. Let me answer that.
On the fee income side, the change in disbursement recognition will not have any impact because we still continue to get that amount or fee based on the committed disbursements. You are right, based on the good disbursement growth, solid performance, the fee income growth should also be aligned with the disbursement growth going forward.
Harshit Toshniwal
It's not as if this 1Q number is also understated because of the disbursement recognition change. Fee income goes in its own way of recognition.
Vinay Gupta
Correct. That's right.
Harshit Toshniwal
Okay.
Vinay Gupta
On an interest income side, it should not impact because now the income you are booking is on the book itself. If you're not booking the underlying book, you are not booking that income also.
It will not impact your yield. It will impact the absolute income, but it will not impact the yield.
Harshit Toshniwal
Sir.
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we conclude the question and answer session.
I now hand the conference over to Ms. Miti Gupta for her closing comments.
Miti Gupta
Thank you, everyone, for joining us on the call. If you have any questions unanswered, please feel free to get in touch with Investor Relations.
The transcript of the call will be uploaded on our website. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. On behalf of PNB Housing Finance Limited, that concludes this conference call.
Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your line.
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