Rallis India Limited

Rallis India Limited

203.60
INR
-0.69
(-0.34%)
10.64EPS
20.92P/E
43.28BMarket Cap
Oct 22Next Earn

Q1 FY2027 · Earnings Call TranscriptJuly 21, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Rallis India Limited Q1 FY27 Earnings Conference Call. We have with us today Dr.

Gyanendra Shukla, Managing Director and CEO, Mr. Bhaskar Swaminathan, Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, I would like to mention that some of the statements made in today's discussion may be forward-looking in nature and may involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. A detailed statements in this regard is available in the results presentation.

As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes. Should you need assistance during the conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touch-tone phone.

Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Dr.

Shukla. Thank you and over to you, Dr.

Shukla.

Gyanendra Shukla

Thanks. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today on Rallis India Q1 fiscal year '27 earning call.

As mentioned, I have alongside myself our CFO, Mr. Bhaskar Swaminathan.

I'll start with a synopsis of the industry landscape before addressing developments specific to the company. Q1 was characterized by a weak demand environment and sustained pricing pressure in the Indian agrochemical space.

While the supply chain was not materially disrupted, it remained fragile and cost-sensitive, with volatility in raw material availability, freight, and logistics. Dependance on Chinese inputs continued to influence sourcing dynamics, while selective disruptions and inventory constraints created intermittent supply tightness.

However, the market did not face a structural shortage. The key takeaway is that cost remained elevated while demand recovery was insufficient to support price hikes, resulting in continued margin stress across the sector.

The worrying Middle East war likely affected the agrochemical sector in Q1 mainly through higher feed stock energy and freight cost, which compressed margin even when selling prices were adjusted upward. That said, the price increases triggered by Middle East supply disruptions are expected to partially offset the volume-led drag.

Companies with imported intermediates or fertilizer-linked input exposure were more vulnerable than those with the stronger domestic sourcing. Margin pressure was likely strongest for businesses that could not fully hedge energy and freight costs or quickly revise realizations.

The sector also faced uncertainty rather than a one-time shock because even a ceasefire or pause does not immediately normalize energy and shipping cost. Additionally, at the start of the season, El Niño was described as a probable threat to a weaker monsoon because it tend to warm the Central and Eastern Pacific, which disrupts atmospheric circulation and can reduce the monsoon flow over India.

Official and media reports said that IMD linked below-normal rainfall outlook to developing El Niño conditions, especially for the second half the season. Market witnessed aggressive channel filling in March ahead of anticipated price increases, delayed onset of the Southwest monsoon weighing on on-ground consumption, cumulative rainfall deficit below normal and lagging kharif sowing deferred placements.

The late arrival of this year's monsoon and the resultant delay in kharif sowing impacted agrochemical uptake across the domestic market. As per IMD's latest available update, overall India's seasonal rainfall remained about 15% below normal.

This was the data as 8th of July and obviously there has been some recovery since then. IMD's latest long-range seasonal outlook for the 2026 Southwest monsoon projects below-normal rainfall for the country overall, most likely about 90% of the long period average with a model error of plus-minus 4%.

Monsoon core zone is most likely to be below normal. Region-wise, the data suggest that Central and Western India has improved sharply in early July, while East, Northeast, and part of South continues to lag, especially in Karnataka.

Rainfall shortfalls in June and early July slowed kharif sowing, especially in the rainfed belts and for crops like paddy, maize, pulses, soybean, and groundnut. If rains arrive in burst after it dry start, farmers often resow, which raises seed and crop protection usage.

Farmers tend to move towards shorter duration crops, drought-resistant varieties, and move away from water-sensitive crops where irrigation is limited. Northwest and some Eastern, South Eastern pockets may fare better, while Central, peninsular, and core rainfed regions face higher sowing stress.

As of end June '26, kharif sowing was significantly lagging last year, with only 17% of the normal area covered. As we move forward, I think there has been a significant progress as far as crop acreages is concerned.

Based on the latest indication, it is about 17% behind. The crops like cotton and groundnut are probably the most significant which are lagging behind.

If you go by the water situation, a Central Water Commission report quoted on 17th July that reservoir level had risen to 34.4% by 16th of July from 26% on 2nd of July. A 10-year average is higher than the current level, with current storage at 98% of the normal.

Reservoir level minus Karnataka, I think, seems to be in a good situation. The fiscal year '27 kharif MSP regime is broadly supportive of crop diversification.

Sharper hikes in oilseed, pulses, and cotton stand out, while paddy and maize saw only modest increases. The government approved MSP for 14 different crops for the marketing season of '26-'27 with estimated procurement of about 80 million metric tons and estimated payout of about 2.6 lakh crore.

The pricing framework remains aligned with the policy of keeping MSP at least 1.5 times the cost of production. The relatively stronger increase in oilseed and pulses suggest an intent to increase shifting away acres from paddy and move towards more diversified crop mix.

From an agrochemical perspective, this is constructive for demand diversification. It is particularly relevant for pulses and oilseeds, where input usage in crop protection needs differ from those of paddy.

Volume may shrink as acreages decline, but margins are likely to remain stable to slightly soft. Integrated firms with balanced portfolio combining seed, crop protection, and nutrition product are better placed to navigate the volatility.

Market is also likely to favor low-cost producers with a broad export presence and disciplined working capital management. On the biostimulant category, regulatory framework, India significantly modernized the biostimulant category framework under the FCO with standardized specification for humic acid, fulvic acid, and seaweed formulation.

This move should help bring regulatory clarity, product reliability, and market formalization. For fiscal '27, the cleaner consensus is that agrochemical are expected to grow around 6% to 8% in India, while seed is likely to grow mid to high single digit, but it'll depend on the crop.

Cotton certainly will see a significant decline. The global crop protection market is estimated at roughly $70 billion to $80 billion in calendar year '26, depending on the definition.

It is expected to grow at 4% to 4.5% to 6% CAGR supported by rising food demand, limited arable land, and need to improve farm productivity. Global crop protection markets are being shaped by tighter regulation, supply chain derisking, rising biological adoption, and continued innovation in formulation and new modes of action.

Demand growth remains strong in emerging market, while pricing margin pressure and climate-driven crop volatility continue to influence the sector. The near-term outlook remains dependent on the Middle East conflict as well as the rainfall situation.

All of that means that sector recovery remains uneven. US demand is still supportive, but Brazil remains weak in key ag-linked end markets.

China continues to drive pricing pressure and supply chain risk, especially for API and intermediates. There is no India stock buildup in the latest WASDE data, which likely reflects a balance sheet offset.

Higher production was absorbed by demand and trade assumptions, leaving ending stocks broadly unchanged. Moving on to Rallis-specific development, we had a reasonable quarter one fiscal '27 performance despite the fact that several factors impacted planning, including the war in West Asia, which led to panic buying of commodities with significant price increases, and delayed monsoon in India.

The overall demand was subdued, severe heat wave in Q1, delayed sowing due to delayed onset of monsoon, farmer crop switch, reduction in crop acreages coupled with extensive spread of illegal HTBT cotton, trade channel rush to secure fertilizer, which resulted in cash crunch for crop protection, causing conservative inventory stocking and slower liquidation. The domestic formulation, the growth was driven by aggressive placement, liquidation efforts, and volume scale-up.

Talking about quarter one numbers, our revenue stood at 1,022 crore versus 957 crore last year. EBITDA improved by 23% to 184 crore from 150 crore in quarter one of '26.

Profit after tax stood at 125 crore versus 95 crore of previous-year quarter. Exceptional items include profit on sale of property of 2 crores.

Our overall capacity utilization has slightly increased in Q1 in comparison to Q1 of fiscal '26. New launches initiative: during the quarter, we have launched four new crop care products: two herbicide, one insecticide, and one soil and plant health category product, very tailor-made for ginger and turmeric.

In seed business, we have launched quite a few new products for North India: herbicide tolerant direct-seeded rice under the Dhanya brand to promote direct-seeded rice, as well as short duration of bajra variety. In all, we have introduced nine new products in seed.

Digital marketing and intervention continue to promote products through Anubandh Edge Scheme, farmer QR code reward scheme, and enhancement in Sampark Plus program. Anubandh Edge initiative is a retailer-level digital platform to support retailer engagement and benefit schemes and enabling tighter integration between dealer and retailers.

Retailers registration as on June end crossed 56,000. Farmers QR code project helps in better product knowledge sharing with the farmer.

Our initiative Sampark Plus continues to capture farmer-level demand signals to generate actionable insights and improve sales conversion. We had launched Idea to Impact platform in Q4 of last year to establish an open innovation ecosystem to source, validate, and commercialize ag innovations.

Till now, we have received encouraging participation of 40 applications, out of which two are in the pilot stage. We are continuously using tech-assisted marketing initiative to promote products and generate demand, digital-led free levy van campaigns, balance focus on physical and digital connect with focus on key products drive.

We are increasingly enabling digital-led engagement that strengthen data-driven decision making, enhances farmer outreach, and adviser productivity. We are also shifting towards high-margin, sustainable, and farmer-centric offerings, including biological and next-generation products.

That includes my opening remarks. I will now hand over it to Bhaskar, our CFO, for a detailed analysis of the financial situation.

Over to you, Bhaskar.

Bhaskar Swaminathan

Thank you, Dr. Gyanendra.

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for our Q1 FY27 earnings call. I'll walk you through our financial performance for the quarter, post which we shall commence the Q&A session.

Starting with the top line for the quarter, our quarter FY27 revenue stood at ₹1,022 crores, as against ₹957 crore for the same period last year, resulting in an overall growth of 7%. Overall volume growth has been 2%, with pricing and growth of 5%.

Overall EBITDA for Q1 FY27 stood at ₹184 crore, higher by 23% compared to ₹150 crore in Q1 of the previous year. Profit after tax at ₹125 crore versus ₹95 crore of Q1 FY26, which is 31% higher than the same quarter of previous year.

Crop care segment grew by 7% to ₹697 crore in Q1 FY27 from ₹652 crore in Q1 FY26 due to both volume and price growth and new product promotion, increased digital engagement as well. The volume growth is 2% and price growth is 5%.

Within the crop care segment, the domestic B2C witnessed a 19% growth in Q1 FY27, registering ₹534 crore revenue vis-à-vis ₹449 crore in Q1 FY26, which was driven by volume growth of 15%. Crop protection category grew by 18% and registered Q1 FY27 revenue of ₹455 crore vis-à-vis ₹386 crore in Q1 FY26, which was driven by volume growth of 16%.

Soil and plant health category grew by 10% to ₹62 crore from ₹56 crore in Q1 FY27 in comparison to Q1 FY26, driven by price growth of 13%. We applied prudent pricing approach to drive the margins in the category.

Exports top line grew by 28% to ₹110 crore from ₹152 crore due to 35% degrowth in volumes. Reasons for degrowth are due to lower demand for pendimethalin in Europe, coupled with competitive China market pricing.

The price competitiveness aggressively impacted volumes of acephate, pendi, CS, and hexaconazole. There were delays and uncertainty in shipping timelines due to port congestion, logistical challenges.

Our CSM Q1 FY27 revenue displayed promising growth by lodging 191% growth to ₹24 crore from ₹8 crore, driven by rebound in PEKK sales volumes. Total B2B revenue stood at ₹163 crores vis-à-vis ₹203 crore.

A decline of 19% was primarily due to volumes, which degrew by 26%. In the crop care segment, we are focused on expanding our customer base and product portfolio is enhancing go-to-market strategy.

We are driving focus execution across front-line and operation functions by optimizing the product portfolio, rationalizing territories, eliminating overlaps, and simplifying costs across the value chain. We are continuously putting efforts into increasing customer-centricity through digital initiatives to reach out to channel partners, customer, implementation of customer satisfaction survey, and identifying new growth areas.

Moving to seeds business, seeds revenue grew by 6% to ₹325 crores in Q1 FY27 from ₹305 crore in Q1 FY26 due to 6% price growth. We witnessed acreage drop in North cotton and intense competition in Southern and Central cotton.

The overall seed supply, in terms of volume, was sufficient, but delayed due to nonavailability of dryers, processing facilities, and concentrated arrivals, coupled with labor shortages on the supply chain side. We will have a clear liquidation picture to emerge by end of July.

In the seed segment, our primary focus will be on five strategic crops: cotton, maize, millet, mustard, and rice. A selective and concentrated approach in these crops is expected to drive operation scale and efficiencies.

Overall, we remain disciplined in improving capital efficiency across both fixed capital and working capital. At quarter end, our inventory levels remained elevated in comparison to the same quarter of last year.

Collection cycles remained smooth. We have healthy cash and liquid balance of ₹309 crore as of 30 June '26.

That concludes our opening remarks. We can now commence on the Q&A session.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on the touch-tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we will wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question comes from the line of Ankur Periwal with Axis Capital. Please go ahead.

Ankur Periwal

Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity.

First question on the exports market. How are you seeing the product-wise demand as well as the pricing scenario there, given that Chinese competition on pricing sort of still keeps depressing.

Your thoughts there first.

Bhaskar Swaminathan

Okay. We go one by

Gyanendra Shukla

one? Thank you, Ankur, asking question.

I think export, I must say, it is challenging unless you have a branded business in the countries you operate. As far as CSM is concerned, where you have a contract with the company, I think it is okay, still fine, because you can discuss with the counterparty and negotiate terms and conditions.

As far as catalog products are concerned, I think we have to remain competitive. One of the product where we face challenges is really acephate, because raw material has to come from China, and then we have to process, pack, and sell it to countries like Brazil and US.

They're also China is also competing directly in those markets. Other than that, I think we are quite competitive.

Now we can compete with China, and again, it only depends on the demand situation. On CSM, not a challenge, because you have a contract.

It is only the catalog product where challenge becomes significant.

Ankur Periwal

Sure, sir. On the other products, pendi and other products, are we seeing So

Gyanendra Shukla

pendi, metribuzin, hexaconazole, we are still competitive. I think we are able to compete.

Including metalaxyl. I think other than acephate, it's not a big challenge.

Ankur Periwal

Great. On the CSM side, we were thinking of or we had talks earlier that to increase the share of CSM here.

Any luck there in terms of the ramp-up?

Gyanendra Shukla

We did start making a product for a customer in US. First shipments have gone this year.

First shipment is well-received from a quality perspective and everything else. We are in the process of securing more customers.

As I've been saying in the past, that's a slow burn. It takes time to keep cultivating.

There are three, four products we're working parallelly on CSM. One will be already with an existing customer from where we make and supply one product.

We're going to be adding those product, but they're all slow rate. On catalog category, we are going to launch, I would say, three to four products in next three years.

We are at that different stages of either advance registration or pilot products and trying to increase some commercial quantities.

Ankur Periwal

Sure, sir. Just next bit on the domestic part.

If I heard the initial commentary right, we are looking at a lower cotton acreage for this financial year at least, given the macro, the rainfall and the El Niño risk. Since our portfolio is slightly heavy on the crop on the cotton side, what are your thoughts on the domestic growth overall for this year?

Gyanendra Shukla

Cotton, I would say, anybody operating in crop protection sector, we have stakes as far as cotton is concerned, both in crop protection as well as seed. Now, seed we have already factored in that this year, it is unlikely that cotton business will grow.

Two things have happened. We were pretty heavy on northern side, and North side, Punjab and Haryana, cotton area is significant decline.

Even in South and Central, two factors are playing. A, it's a rainfed area.

When it rains less, farmers plant anyway less cotton. On the top of that, there has been a lot of spread of illegal HTBT cotton, which is being sold.

Cotton, I think we are looking at maybe as we near the end, maybe flat year. We're focusing quite a lot on rice and maize and millet, where we had launched quite a few product in last few years.

This year again, we have launched product in paddy, maize, and millet. Focus has shifted right now for the current season to be more aggressive on other crops.

Cotton will remain important. In my view, cotton will recover.

These kind of rainfall situation happen once in a while. They do not happen every year.

Ankur Periwal

Sure, sir. Just on the domestic crop protection growth as well.

Gyanendra Shukla

Cotton is one crop which takes a lot of sprays. Now, last year, if anybody remembers commentary, we said, look, cotton area, while there was a lot of area, farmers did not get chance to spray the crop because it was raining too much, right?

Now, while cotton area may go down, but sometimes this intermittent rain, whatever crop has been planted, cotton prices remain, I think, quite supportive. Farmers, those who have planted, if they're able to do field operations, it may have only marginal impact at the end of the day.

This is something looking at a crystal ball and saying what will happen from a rain perspective in September, October, August. It's very difficult to say.

I won't be very pessimistic at this point of time. I would say sometimes good distribution of rain, even if it's marginally lower, even if 90%, 95% of the normal cotton acres get planted, might still lead to similar situation as last year.

Ankur Periwal

Sure, sir. Thanks a lot for the detailed answers.

Thank you, and all the best.

Gyanendra Shukla

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Praneet with SJ Investments.

Please go ahead.

Hi, sir. Thank you for the opportunity.

I wanted to understand in terms of the El Niño effect that everyone's been really talking about, has it transpired in the ground, or how is the sentiment on the ground as far at this point of time?

Gyanendra Shukla

El Niño certainly is a reality. Country has seen deficient rainfall.

You have to understand, roughly 50% plus of the area in the country is irrigated, has some kind of source of water. It's only the 50% which is highly rainfall.

As we see because of the delayed rain, there has been delayed sowing, but there's also been catch-up, right? Because most of our farmers, they are not 1,000-acre, 5,000-acre farmer.

They're able to quickly plant their crop. The only thing which changes is crop shift, right?

For example, this year, pulses area has gone up, but we know for sure that groundnut area in Saurashtra has gone down because delayed rain. We know cotton will be planted less, but rice seems to be on track.

It varies from area to area. Maize, certainly initially it was thought that maize will not be planted, but maize is getting planted.

Some of the coarse grain, bajra and all, in the marginal areas in Rajasthan might get impacted. It's a mixed picture.

I still think that even in the worst-case scenario, 90%, 95% of the crop will get planted. Clarity is yet to emerge what farmers would prefer.

Soybean has got planted. There was a in-between soybean seed-related challenges, but farmers did plant all those crops.

To me, if crop gets established, at least on those areas, I'm sure farmers will try to protect, because commodity prices are also firming up in anticipation of lower yields this year.

In terms of volumes, do you think it will be more of flattish or a marginal degrowth for the year? Because I understand that if the sowing it will happen, but the volumes might still take a hit, right, for the year?

Gyanendra Shukla

This is very difficult question to answer. Assuming, including insecticide, fungicide, herbicide, and on a national area basis on an average, say, three sprays are happening, and I don't know whether it's three or four or two, I'm just giving an example.

If on an average, three sprays are happening, and last year in 20%, 30% of the area because of the weather factor, one spray got missed, maybe three became 2.7, right, average. Now, 90% area if that crop gets sprayed more for farmers to protect their crop, we might still come back to the same number.

I think it will be very situational. There are years where rainfall has been low, crop protection has still done well.

Too early to predict. I think if you ask me this question in the middle of August, I'll be able to give you a better picture.

It's too early to predict.

Understood, sir. Coming to the pricing, I think this quarter, we took a large pricing increase and most of our growth was price.

Do you think we're going to take more pricing increases going forward, or have we completely passed on raw material price increases to the farmer?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think now focus has to be primarily be competitive in the market. I think price increased during the mid season is generally very difficult.

Whatever price increases have to happen have happened. Somewhere we have been able to pass on the full cost increase, somewhere partial, and somewhere none.

On an overall basis, I would think there'll be marginal positive impact from the price. Majority of the growth has to come from volume, and that's where your market actions, your ability to work with the dealers, distributors, farmers, generate demand, be very agile on positioning stocks in the market, all of those factors will come to play.

As I've been talking in the past, we have been very active in that area, more active than probably would have been in the past. Oh, sir,

I was mainly actually referring to because in the last few months, we had a large price increase in input commodities, right? Were we able to pass on, let's say, 0.8 or one the entire part of it, or only 80% of it?

Where are we in the overall passing on level so far?

Gyanendra Shukla

Overall, we have tried to increase the pass. If you remember, I talked about when I discussed the April result in the March, we said, look, we're the first one to announce the price increase.

We did, and till April, there was hardly any realization in the market. Of late, market has moved on, and price increase is effective.

It depends on the product. Having said that, will everything translate to margin, answer is probably no, because you also have to make sure that you don't become uncompetitive in the market.

We have to, at the end of the day, sell what we have produced. Will there be a price increase on overall basis, answer is yes.

Will there be more volume increase this year, our emphasis will be to sell more and capture market share, because I also believe this year might be challenging for quite a few small players where they might have working capital issues or money to promote and be aggressive in the market. That's where organized players should try to take advantage.

Got it, sir. In terms of, let's say, channel inventory, I think we have a little elevated compared to last year.

In terms of the market, how's the channel inventory so far?

Gyanendra Shukla

Channel inventory, I would say, is normalized now. It was more worrisome a month ago.

I think of late, we have seen even in crops like soybean. There's a shift.

For example, there's a lesser demand for pre-emergence herbicide in soybean, but there's more demand for post-emergence herbicide. In these situations, what happens, farmers will wait.

If they have sown the seed, soybean, they'll say, okay, let me ensure that my crop emerges first, then I'll put money on the inputs. This year, post-emergence herbicide demand is much more stronger than the pre-emergence.

As I said, because of the situation, mix will change. How it will change, it will depend on the situation on the ground.

We have to be ready for all the eventualities.

Got it, sir. Do we expect any more returns compared to last year this year extra because of the situation, or the returns level going to come down this season?

See,

Gyanendra Shukla

return is another challenge. I think every company, including ours, there's a method by which we account for returns.

This year, we would be more cautious in accounting for returns. Probably we'll on accounting more rather than less, right, because you don't know the situation, how situation will evolve.

There's always a formula and which is also there's a AI-driven model, customer feedback, dealer-distributor feedback. We try to factor everything.

Am I provisioning enough, answer is yes. How much enough that is going to be enough, I don't know.

Got it, sir. Is it a fair understanding, sir, because it's so uncertain, you're just going to put as much product as possible, whatever offtakes is going to offtake?

Gyanendra Shukla

We are cautious about that situation certainly.

Got it, sir. Sir, you also mentioned this line of unorganized probably consolidating.

What kind of impact can this have for the organized players, because you mentioned working capital issues this year is going to affect them badly? How much do you think it will make grow?

Gyanendra Shukla

This sector suffers from oversupply, right? If there's a slightly less supply in the market, it helps companies improve their return metrics and everything else.

There's always more supply than the market can take. That's the reality of this market, be it seed, be it crop protection.

I think the larger challenge which we're not talking here is money getting stuck because of the fertilizer, right, because when fertilizer deficit because of this war situation happened, everybody stocked fertilizer, money went to fertilizer, and then fertilizer liquidation got delayed because of the delayed rain. As a result, obviously, every company will have a delayed offtake of crop protection product and a subsequent impact on the cash flows.

Got it, sir. In terms of the raw material spiking, do you think if you see it stabilizing and going down or expect this levels to continue, because crude and everything has been stabilizing?

Gyanendra Shukla

About a month ago, when this MoU was signed between two countries, I think things started looking that things have cooled down and prices are started trending towards norm. The last five, seven days of development, at this point of time, there's enough inventory for kharif, nobody's panicking.

As a result, it is not seen. I think as fresh buying starts, we would see that, because we're not buying a lot now.

We have stocked enough for the kharif season. It's only when rabi procurement we start now in the month of August, we will see how situation is.

I'm sure things which are directly correlated, for example, people buy cyclohexanone, C9 as a solvent, that is actually linked to crude prices. People increase up and down as soon as crude prices go up and down.

Is it a general trend? I think most of the people have stocked for the kharif, there's no panic at this point of time.

Will this situation persist? Will people have to pay higher for the rabi input, answer is yes.

You expect them still price to go up from here?

Gyanendra Shukla

It depends. It depends how war will evolve.

Okay. Have you seen any tapering down, let's say, from the peak?

What percentage have we tapered down from the peak?

Gyanendra Shukla

They did significantly tapered down. Right now, because demand-supply situation is normalized, you don't see that spike.

It's only when people go for stocking for next season, things start getting there.

Got it, sir. Then the competitiveness, you mentioned that we want to remain competitive and we don't want to raise the prices too much.

Have you seen any new players or the existing players getting more aggressive in the market now, that they're becoming more competitive and they're behaving more aggressive in the market?

Gyanendra Shukla

Not noticed. I think everybody has the same challenge.

Everybody would like to optimize their income and profit. I haven't seen that kind of panic moment.

Can that happen? We will see.

At this point of time, generally everybody is holding on. Everybody seems to be very optimistic.

Understood, sir. Thank you so much for the time.

Gyanendra Shukla

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Sonika Patolia with Millennium Mams.

Please go ahead.

Sonika Patolia

Thank you, sir, so much for giving me this opportunity. My question is about long-term value creation.

The agrochemical industry remaining quite competitive, I wanted to know few years from now, what do you believe will be Rallis India's strongest competitive advantage?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think two things. One thing is our brand, I think, is our biggest strength, I must say.

The other thing, we are actually working on the portfolio, because brand alone will not be enough if you are not able to supply product which farmer will need at the competitive price. Our focus on R&D is much more sharper than in the past, and we continue to put more effort on increasing our R&D output, our collaboration efforts.

I think combination of these three things and really our customer outreach, now more trackable with a lot of digital investment, these three core areas as we have articulated, and being a little bit more aggressive on seed as well as soil and plant health, which are high-margin business. I think combination of these things and being on the top of fixed cost, I think these four, five factors should ensure that we remain competitive in the marketplace and a formidable player.

As I said, look, these businesses' margins cannot be tracked on a quarter-on-quarter basis. Two years ago, we said we want to deliver 500 basis point over a period of 5 years EBITDA margin, where I think we're on the track.

That's how people should evaluate.

Sonika Patolia

Sir. Thank you, sir.

Now talking about R&D, Rallis has been consistently investing in R&D, product registration, and capabilities, manufacturing capabilities. You have taken a difficult decision of impairing certain development assets.

Then how do you ensure that whatever has been invested, how do you go with the project evaluation so that every rupee invested today generates superior returns?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think two things fundamentally I've talked about in the past. A, focusing on R&D.

Few things we stopped doing. We said we will not research vegetable seeds, because we were not competitive.

We will not invest money on GM crops. We stopped that.

We got very focused on only doing R&D when it comes to seed, five crops. Soil and plant health business primarily was dependent on third-party products.

We took a conscious choice to build capabilities in that areas. To that extent, we have started taking steps.

While we will continue to insource product from other R&D and provide them market access, but we would build our capabilities on soil and plant health segment as well, because I believe that's very critical not only for Indian agriculture, but also bringing robustness to our portfolio and offering more comprehensive solution to the farmer. Even in crop protection, we actually have focused on two areas more.

One is really being very sharp laser-focused, and we have portfolio department which has been strengthened. We have added a layer of product development team between marketing, R&D, and sales, so that we have more rigor in what we do, how we do.

Then we also have put a strong B2B team which is focusing and reaching out to global collaborators to access new products. Combination of things will ensure that we remain competitive.

Sonika Patolia

Thank you so much, sir. Sir, my last question, as a shareholder, if I meet you again after 3 years, what are the measurable outcomes that you would want me to see in Rallis India that would conclude that there had been some structural transformation that has happened and that it has been transferred into a higher quality business delivering sustainable growth and superior shareholders' return?

Gyanendra Shukla

Let me ask you a question. What would be your expectation 3 years down the line from us?

Sonika Patolia

3 year down the line, I want to see a Rallis as the only a company that is coming to everyone's mind when we think about investing in this sector or segment.

Gyanendra Shukla

Okay. Rallis should be top of mind that's what I hear,

Sonika Patolia

right?

Gyanendra Shukla

Obviously, all what I said I am doing, that's a single aim that we should be seen as a significant player in transformation of agriculture, at the same time, delivering superior return to shareholders. That's all we're working for.

That will not come unless we manage our back-end processes well, be it R&D, product advancement, be it cost competitiveness, collaborations, manufacturing operations. I think those are the component, how part of it.

Our goals are very aligned with your aspirations. Ultimately, shareholders look for delivery of margins, right?

We want to be a consistent company which delivers 15% plus EBITDA margin even in a bad year. That kind of consistency and stability we want to bring in.

Sonika Patolia

Thank you so much, sir. Thank you so much.

Gyanendra Shukla

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. A reminder to all the participants, please restrict yourself to two questions.

Next question comes from the line of Rajakumar Vaidyanathan with RK Investments. Please go ahead.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Good morning. Thanks for the opportunity.

Can you hear me?

Gyanendra Shukla

Yes, I can hear you. Good morning.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Good morning, sir. Sir, yeah, just two questions.

The first question is this rupee depreciation, how much it has improved the competitiveness of Rallis with respect to the B2B business?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think it's a double-edged sword, because when you buy raw material in dollar, you also end up paying more rupees. I think because we are a net exporter, net-net it is positive for us.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

No, I know it's positive, but I'm asking because you're still saying that you're facing competition from Chinese. Just want to know, has it not helped you improve your competitiveness, sir?

Gyanendra Shukla

It does on a overall basis. That's the reason, in spite of delivering lower volume on export, our profitability contribution to the business has grown.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Okay.

Gyanendra Shukla

It has added to the profitability.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Okay. Do you see yourself bettering the competition go forward with the current rupee levels?

See,

Gyanendra Shukla

I think, look, we are competing with Chinese players as well as Indian players in overseas market. Obviously, when it comes to Indian players, I don't think our situation gets any worst, right?

With Chinese players, it is product-specific. For example, I keep saying acephate is a problem, because acephate, I have to buy raw material from the same supplier who also produces acephate and sells to customers in Brazil and US.

I think there are one or two products where there's a specific issue, but otherwise, by and large, in other products, we're competitive.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Okay. Got it, sir.

The second question is I want to know what is your outlook on the sugarcane, on the chili crop, and I also want to know how much contribution you get from these two crops, sir?

Gyanendra Shukla

Chili is an important contributor to us, not only to us, in general for crop protection industry. One of our product was badly impacted last year, Clasto we sell because of chili and because commodity prices were very low.

This year, chili planting intentions are positive. Even commodity prices are high.

I think this year, chili should see recovery. Now, sugarcane, I think as of now, it's a crop which takes a lot of water, right?

While planting is there, how water situation will evolve, but as of now, I would say sugarcane is also broadly positive.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Okay. This improvement in chili, will it improve your top line and sales significantly?

Gyanendra Shukla

It should, yes. The products which are specific to chili have suffered last year.

It should lead to positive sentiment. Now it is all going to happen in quarter two, I can't really say how things will evolve.

By and large, quarter two and three where chili products go, at this point of time, I have no reason not to be optimistic.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Okay. Sorry to labor on the same question.

I just want to know whether improvement in chili, will it help you in terms of showing the growth on the domestic crop care segment?

Gyanendra Shukla

Yes, it should, if everything goes from here on as expected. Things matter in every crop, and it's a general answer, whether crop is there or not, whether farmers have enough resources in terms of water to raise the crop or not, and then pest pressure and then commodity prices.

Farmers, if commodity prices are strong and they do not have any risk of not able to grow the crop, they tend to invest in the input.

Rajakumar Vaidyanathan

Okay. Got it, sir.

Thank you so much. All the best.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Rohit Nagaraj with 360 ONE Capital.

Please go ahead.

Rohit Nagaraj

Thanks for the opportunity. Sir, first question is due to the shift in cotton and short duration crops, will there be any impact on the agrochemical consumption for us and generally for the industry?

Thank you.

Gyanendra Shukla

I think it depends, as I said, as a thumb rule. Last year, a lot of cotton was planted, certainly significantly higher than current year, and rainfalls were also very good.

Then what happened, it rained a lot in the month of August and September. As a result, in spite of standing crop, farmers did not get time to spray.

Then we said, okay, insecticide business in many crops have suffered because there was a low commodity prices and farmers did not get time to conduct the operation. Now, 5%, 10% less crop with an open window to farmers, those who have already planted the crop on 90% of the acre, actually can nullify the impact of lower crop.

I think what is important is a decent moisture environment for farmers to continue to grow crop actually might turn out to be more positive than what we think it could be in reality.

Rohit Nagaraj

Sure, sure. Sir, second is on the biologicals or biofertilizers.

Last year, it was impacted because of this band. Prior to that, what could be the percentage sales from biologicals, biofertilizers in the total revenues?

Will we see a material traction during the ongoing quarter and in Q1 from the biologicals perspective? Thank you.

Gyanendra Shukla

I think overall, I would say biologicals should do significantly better than last year.

Rohit Nagaraj

Right. Any understanding in terms of the overall sales, what could be the contribution?

Gyanendra Shukla

It's a smaller segment relatively, but obviously is more profitable. For example, in quarter one, it has grown by 10%.

Now, this was also a quarter where crop sowing was slow. As crop sowing picks up and farmers come back to apply various micronutrients and biostimulant, biofertilizers, water-soluble fertilizer, I think I expect this to certainly pick up faster than what it has done in the past, because there has been a lot of positive regulatory development.

As of now, we do not have any challenges from our portfolio perspective from not able to sell. It should become even more positive in my view.

Rohit Nagaraj

Perfect. Just one last clarification in terms of the delay in monsoon, would it have any impact on the seeds production for us, and maybe for the next year season, we may have some scarcity of seeds?

Gyanendra Shukla

This is very interesting question, because I can tell you in my more than three decades of career, nobody has been able to predict the future in this. If you remember, in '24 and '25, we said we could have sold more because we were getting less seed from production, and it was happening because there was too much of rain in the month of October and November, and seed harvesting getting seed planting getting delayed as a result harvesting our industry is unable to supply on time.

Last year So so majority of the seed other than cotton gets planted in the month of October. Right?

Cotton production is already in the field, and in fact, we have taken a proactive step to reduce the production acre this year, because each company will carry forward cotton seed inventory, which is good enough to meet, if not all, at least 30%, 40%, 50% of the next year requirement. Right?

From a seed production perspective, cotton companies will not have a challenge. Now, if there's a significant failure of cotton seed production in the current season, this could become a challenge, but nobody can predict.

We'll only know in October, November, and December. Now all maize, rice, bajra, and other crop production season begins in October.

Crop comes from harvest in in the month of March and April, process, packed, and sold is some stored in the cold storage for future. Last year, monsoon ended in the month of September.

As a result, there was a significant planting, because industry has suffered for last two, three years because of the shortage of the seed. There was a lot of planting of seed crop, and rains also cooperated.

As a result, this year, actually industry has excess production of everything. There's enough corn, rice, everything is available to and so and but again, it is not enough to cover the next year.

Again, seed companies will go for next planning season in the month of September. If it continues to rain in the month of October, November, planting will get delayed and you get into a challenging situation.

In normal course, I would say seed actually seed industry is sitting on the surplus this year, which should help us in better managing next season.

Rohit Nagaraj

Perfect, sir. Thanks a lot, and all the best.

Gyanendra Shukla

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Gunjan Sharma with Guruji Associates.

Please go ahead.

Gunjan Sharma

Yeah. Hi, am I audible?

Gyanendra Shukla

Yes, hi.

Gunjan Sharma

Thanks for the opportunity. My questions would be for the seed segment.

What is the position of our inventory in comparison to the last year? In addition to cotton, which crops are majorly responsible for this variance, and what would be the reason for the same?

Gyanendra Shukla

As I said, inventory situation is comfortable. I would say last year our hero was cotton.

This year our hero is going to be rice, maize, and millet. Hopefully mustard, because oilseed prices are also firm, but mustard season will come in the month of September.

This year, because of the factors I explained earlier to the question, cotton is going to be subdued, because North cotton did not get planted where we had very high stake with the दिग्गज. South and Central also cotton area is lower, and also there has been a spread of illegal HT cotton in the northern area.

Cotton, I do not expect much growth when I look at the year-end forecast, but other crops, we should grow significantly over last year. That's the advantage of diversification in seed, soil and plant health, and crop protection.

One or the other thing works. Last year cotton took us where we reached.

This year probably will have to rely on other crops.

Gunjan Sharma

Right, sir. I asked which crops are leading to the higher inventory versus last year?

Gyanendra Shukla

Cotton primarily. Cotton, everybody had planned for the production, and planting got delayed.

Not only delayed, also reduced. Then illegal HTBT cotton came in the market.

Gunjan Sharma

Other crops are on similar lines of inventory?

Gyanendra Shukla

Sometimes in rice and corn, some extra inventory is a good problem to have.

Gunjan Sharma

All right. Okay.

Sir, second question would be that EBITDA margin in seed business has gone up from 26% to 30%. What are the key factors that drove this improvement?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think key factor really is the mix change. What happens, cotton, because of the government price control, margins are always lower, whereas margins on rice, maize, and millet are higher.

When proportion of these products go up relative to cotton, margins improve. It's basically product mix.

Gunjan Sharma

Product mix, all right. Sir, how do we compare the yield of this year as compared to the earlier year?

Gyanendra Shukla

Productivity-wise, I mean we can get you the details, but I I think this year the challenge at the time of harvest happened was that because of gas, all seed which gets harvested has to be gas-dried. Majority of the drying capacity is located in and around Hyderabad, and seed intake starts coming in from the month of March.

When war began in the month of end of February, there was a suddenly gas crisis, if some of you remember, right, including domestic and industrial. As a result, gas was not available and farmers were harvesting crop and saying take away your crop.

We had to actually do what do you call pad drying, what we call open field drying of the seed, not only us, many companies, because enough seed capacity was not available. Harvest was much bigger than the previous year, to the extent of 50% in some crop.

While yield was higher, but that may not translate to cost benefit, because when you dry the seed in open field, your recovery is less. Whatever gains came from the yield improvement probably got neutralized by the cost of extra drying in the field as well as lesser recovery.

We haven't done that math. I think that seasonal work is still in progress.

We would be probably able to give you more clarity maybe later. Maybe you can send an email to Chirjeev.

We can provide a greater clarity, but we are still working out those numbers. As soon as harvest comes, our primary focus becomes on whatever is recovered, please process, pack, and sell, and send to the market.

What has happened, we don't we post-mortem and analysis is done later on.

Gunjan Sharma

Sure. Just one last question, sir.

Seed business has grown well this quarter. I believe earlier you mentioned this was led by price improvement.

Which crops have driven this growth?

Gyanendra Shukla

Cotton, there's a volume drop, but there's a price as well as some improvement in the volumes of rice, maize, millet.

Gunjan Sharma

What about the price improvement, sir?

Gyanendra Shukla

If you look at the mix, I think we have about 6% price overall improvement. I would say a lot of it is actually driven by price.

Gunjan Sharma

All right. That's it from my side.

Thank you so much.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Abhijit Akella with Kotak Securities.

Please go ahead.

Abhijit Akella

Thank you so much. Sir, there's a 35 crore provision reversal within employee cost, I believe, this quarter, which is shown in footnote six.

Adjusted for that, the employee cost would be 87 crores, which is up quite sharply, both year on year and sequentially. If you could please just help us understand what the reason for that is, as well as the sharp increase in other expenses as well that we see this quarter.

Gyanendra Shukla

I will ask Bhaskar to give you the details.

Bhaskar Swaminathan

Hi. As far as the 35 crore number is concerned, 10 crore of that would be more only Q4 of last year versus Q1 difference, but like-to-like quarter June last year versus this, it's not a difference, I believe.

Okay? That leaves us only with 24 crore, which is more a one-time correction only of this year.

This is not likely to repeat at all.

Abhijit Akella

Sorry, just to clarify, you said the year-on-year difference is 34 crores because of the provision reversal?

Bhaskar Swaminathan

35 is the number, right?

Abhijit Akella

Out of that,

Bhaskar Swaminathan

around 10 to 11 is a difference which was there in like-to-like quarter last quarter as well as last June as well as this June. We do not need to take that for comparison because it happened every year.

But 24 crores is a one-time thing which is specific for this year, you can say. This is not likely to repeat in any other quarter.

This is a one-time thing which is happening. That's it.

Exactly. The increase in the cost would be around 12%, which is normally an inflation which always happens year on year.

Abhijit Akella

Okay. So 1Q of every year tends to have some of these items which don't recur in the other quarters.

Bhaskar Swaminathan

Exactly,

Abhijit Akella

exactly. Understood.

How about the other expenses? Those are up by about 13%, 14%.

Is that also fairly normal?

Bhaskar Swaminathan

See, in certain cases, we have had a certain one-time cost which also may not be repetitive, but then, yes, these costs are there.

Abhijit Akella

Okay. This 35 crore provision reversal, if you could please just help us understand what exactly this item is related to,

Bhaskar Swaminathan

As I mentioned, about 11 crore is more about the performance incentive, right? At the year end, when we see what is to be given, we understand what is to be given and then what is not given is reversed in the first quarter, because the payouts happen during the first quarter.

Any provision difference is settled in the first quarter. This is more a recurring thing, you can say.

This would be happening in every Q1 of every year. However, the balance 24 crores, what is there as a reversal, that's more to do with a certain restructuring and retiral stuff, which doesn't happen in every year actually.

Abhijit Akella

All right, thank you so much. For Mr.

Shukla, just one question here, sir. If I heard you correctly in your opening remarks, I think you mentioned that for the crop protection domestic market, you're expecting or rather the industry is expected to grow at, say, 6% to 8% this year and seeds somewhere in the mid to high single digits.

Is that really a reasonable estimate for the year ahead?

Gyanendra Shukla

Mid to high minus cotton.

Abhijit Akella

Sorry, mid to high minus cotton?

Gyanendra Shukla

Cotton you have to exclude from the conversation. Cotton is a challenging area.

Right,

Abhijit Akella

right. Agrochemicals, you still think 6%, 8% is possible for the year

Gyanendra Shukla

despite a Because I think when price increase will be a reality, right? It's quite fair to assume, because there input cost increase unless really it becomes so competitive, so much of inventory in the market that people resort to unnecessary discounting.

At this point of time, I haven't seen any panic in the market. That means demand-supply is probably fairly balanced.

The price increase alone should take care of that 6% to 8% growth.

Abhijit Akella

Understood, sir. Just one last thing, is there a spillover of sales for either of our businesses, crop protection or seeds, from 1Q to 2Q?

Actually,

Gyanendra Shukla

we are very careful, because the way we close our years, the only thing happens is sometimes return provisions, right, because that is very, very difficult to estimate what you have sold in the month of, say, March. Other than some here and there adjustment, we are very calibrated and careful about what we say and what we deliver.

There'll always be some, but it'll be part of the normal course of business.

Abhijit Akella

Sir. Thank you so much and wish you all the best.

Gyanendra Shukla

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Himani Badetia with ICICI Prudential.

Please go ahead.

Himani Badetia

Hi, sir. Thank you for taking up my question.

Sir, you mentioned in the opening remarks that the working capital, it has increased on the industry-wide. Just wanted to understand what is the working capital that we have at Rallis this year in the June versus last year in number of days?

Gyanendra Shukla

Okay. Bhaskar, go ahead.

Yeah.

Bhaskar Swaminathan

Working capital, net-to-net, it is kind of increased by around 15 to 20 days.

Himani Badetia

Okay. Yeah.

Bhaskar Swaminathan

If you ask me the reason, the reason is more like the fertilizer availability, the shortage which was there, people flocked to buy that and book that actually. Farmers had blocked their cash first into the fertilizer.

That's when they have rationing issues for the other agri inputs which they need to spend on. This is pretty much the same situation for most of the people in this industry.

Himani Badetia

Okay. Sir, the next question that I wanted to understand was, sir mentioned on the sales return side that it is difficult to predict what could be the sales return or it is the industry-wide phenomenon because while we have placed the into the channels, it is not very clear as to when can have a 100% liquidation of the same.

Until 21st of July as we are sitting today, have you seen any sales return until now?

Gyanendra Shukla

Yes, we do. For example, cotton seed for North India would have taken back in the quarter one itself, right?

It's crop-specific, product-specific. Now for crop protection, I think majority of the returns will not happen by June.

Whatever was maybe supplied for rabi season, before December quarter, and that does not get sold and there's no opportunity or in the March quarter, there's no opportunity to sell in kharif, it'll obviously be taken back. It's crop-specific.

All the pre-emergence herbicide business for rice, soybean, groundnut, sugarcane, everything will be taken back in this quarter. It changes from crop to crop and product category to category.

It's again is a very normal thing, because there's no point in leaving product which is not going to be consumed and unnecessarily having receivables on the book.

Himani Badetia

Right. Also, sir, one last thing, you also mentioned on the capacity utilization that it was slightly increased from the last year.

Could you just help us with what are the levels current year versus last year, and also the kind of CapEx we had in the past, what is the incremental sales that we are getting from that?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think this is a lot of detailed question. I would ask Chirjeev to get back to you with the detail, because there are multiple plants we have.

It's plant-specific, product-specific. He can provide the detailed version of it.

Himani Badetia

Awesome. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Next question comes from the line of Riju with Antique Stock Broking.

Please go ahead.

Riju Dalui

Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity.

First question regarding some of the media reports suggest that the North India, especially for the paddy crops, farmers are doing DSR sowing. How that can impact in terms of boost demand in herbicides consumption, and if we have any portfolio, if we have any strong product there, how do you see that as an opportunity in this season?

Gyanendra Shukla

As a thumb rule, when farmers move from transplanted rice to seeded rice, consumption of both pre-emergence, early post, and post-emergence increases. Your questions, do we have a portfolio, yes, and we are launching new products.

Even this year, we have launched a new rice herbicide, including we have started participating by in-licensing a direct-seeded rice technology, and we have already sold on a pilot basis some quantity particularly in Chhattisgarh region. Yes, we are participating in that segment.

We are adding products.

Riju Dalui

Do we have any kind of existing product, existing or strong brand that can take the opportunity or grow in the herbicide segment since till now herbicide's revenue was not that much strong DCR? So

Gyanendra Shukla

2 years ago, I said that, look, our herbicide is our weakness, and we have started adding products. As we speak this year, if you say this quarter, just this quarter, actually herbicide is the largest contributor, followed by insecticide and fungicide, and our herbicide business has grown by 12%.

Riju Dalui

Okay. Understood.

Understood. Sir, in terms of second question, I think in 4Q, you have mentioned that we have done some pre-buying for the inputs material in the month of February, early March, anticipation of price hike.

Was there any kind of a positive impact that we have recorded this quarter, and if you could to quantify the same?

Gyanendra Shukla

You're right that we did say and we started procuring inventory, because when war started, nobody had a clarity where it is heading and prices were going up every day. We had to secure inventory for kharif season, we did that.

As a result, at the end of the day, how season will end, I must say at the end of the season, I'll be able to give you a clear answer, what was our weighted average, because something you would have bought lower, then again at a higher price and all. Then prices stabilized, and I think now prices might again start firming up again given the war situation.

Yes, I think we do track what is my weighted price increase, and at that point of time, because we had a cash, we were also able to negotiate better discount. I think overall, it should have positive impact.

Also, sir,

Riju Dalui

one last thing I would like to clarify with you that we have seen some big price hike in the month of March to May, maybe 15%, 20% kind of price hike that we have seen to the channels. If we look at prices in the month of March or May, and in the month of June, how much will be that price hike already there in the system, and how much we have to taken back due to the lower consumption, and also how was the generic product import during this period because of increasing prices?

Gyanendra Shukla

I would say price and volume is always seen in combination depending on how much you want to sell and what you want to sell. When we started buying product at a higher price, we also were probably one of the first few to go and increase the price.

Price increase was not accepted by the market till really May end. It is really in the June when a lot of material already stocked maybe prior to March quarter got liquidated.

Reality of price increase became a reality. I think for us, what I believe is that when we report the number is a combination of volume as well as price, which is helping us.

Just to give you a sense that whatever you sold in quarter one, probably it also had a carry forward from the previous low season. Price is very, very difficult to estimate.

Given the challenges in the season, our priority will remain to strike a finest balance between volume and price, but give a precedence to volume if you have to make it up the season.

Riju Dalui

Understood. Sir, in terms of the imports of generic products by the trader, and what about the actual selling inventory by the importers of generics?

Gyanendra Shukla

I think it's normal. Initially, it looked like they may not be very active, but delayed monsoon also gave them opportunity, some extra time.

At this point of time, I won't say industry is sitting with very high inventory. Industry is sitting with the normal inventory.

If things go as per the plan, I think if season cooperates, I think we might be in a decent situation. We might end up in a very decent situation as well.

Riju Dalui

Understood. Sir, I think you have clarified in terms of crop shift and all.

If I could look at in terms of maize price and cotton price, over our last 1-year period, I think maize price is continued to trade at a lower levels compared to MSP and still trading at a lower level across the mandis, while cotton prices have seen roughly around 40%, 50% jump over last year period. How do you see in terms of crop shift in this season or maybe in next season?

If there is not enough crop shift visible from maize to other crops, what is the reason that farmers still sticking towards the maize crops? If cotton acreages are going up, in that scenario, how do you see the consumption of agrochemical products?

Gyanendra Shukla

As a thumb rule, if you're, say, sitting in Vidarbha region, right, you have only two choices. Either you can grow cotton or you can grow soybean.

In Vidarbha, they will not grow normally corn, right, because it is cotton or soybean. Now, depending on the rainfall situation, they can switch, right?

Now the switch can also be combination of rainfall and commodities. If they end up planting more of soybean, there's going to be increased consumption of herbicide and less consumption of insecticide and fungicide.

Now if they end up planting cotton, there may be reduced use of herbicide, but insecticides will be sitting on the top, maybe 60%, 70%, even fungicide might be lower. I think situation is evolving.

What we know that cotton has gone down, soybean and maize has gone up, pulses have gone up. Again, in pulse, if they end up planting urad and moong, is a short duration crop, lesser sprays.

If they end up planting tur, is a long duration crop, more sprays. I think I can give you a general principle how farmer operates.

Even if there's a long duration crop, pest pressure is low or like last year, too much of rain, farmers couldn't spray. How things will evolve is very, very difficult to say.

Riju Dalui

Understood. Thanks, sir.

I think that's all from my end. Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we take that as a last question and conclude the question and answer session.

On behalf of Rallis India Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us.

You may now disconnect your lines.

Gyanendra Shukla

Thank you very much. Thanks, everybody.