Shree Cement Limited

Shree Cement Limited

22,735.00
INR
+405.00
(+1.81%)
545.78EPS
46.38P/E
911.04BMarket Cap
Feb 04Next Earn

Q3 FY2026 · Earnings Call TranscriptFebruary 6, 2026

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Shree Cement Limited Q3 FY26 earnings call hosted by ICICI Securities Limited. As a reminder, all participant lines will be in the listen-only mode and there will be an opportunity for you to ask questions after the presentation concludes.

Should you need assistance during this conference call, please signal an operator by pressing star then zero on your touchtone phone. Please note that this conference is being recorded.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.

Thank you and over to you, Mr. Navin.

Navin Sahadeo

On behalf of ICICI Securities -- hello? Yeah.

Operator

Sir, you can go ahead.

Navin Sahadeo

Thank you. Good evening, everyone.

On behalf of ICICI Securities, I welcome you all to the Q3 FY26 earnings call of Shree Cement Limited. Today we have with us Mr.

Ashok Bhandari, Senior Advisor of Shree Cement, Mr. Subhash Jajoo, CFO, Mr.

S.S. Khandelwal, Company Secretary, and Mr.

K.K. Jain, who is Head, Finance and Accounts.

Without any further ado, I hand over the call to the management for their opening comments. Over to you, sir.

Ashok Bhandari

I had been following the practice of not making an opening statement because it unnecessarily repeats all the numbers which are already in your hands. To utilize the time --

Operator

Sorry to interrupt you, sir. We missed the opening.

Ashok Bhandari

Good evening, everybody. This is Ashok Bhandari.

As per my past practice, I shall not be making an opening statement as all the numbers are with you in the form of results. We may start the Q&A to use the time more efficiently.

Thank you. Hello?

Operator

Yes, sir. Should I open for the Q&A?

Ashok Bhandari

Yeah.

Navin Sahadeo

Yes, please.

Operator

Thank you very much. We will now begin the question and answer session.

Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchtone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two.

Participants are requested to use handsets while asking a question. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll wait for a moment while the question queue assembles.

The first question is from the line of Rahul Gupta from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead, sir.

Rahul Gupta

Hi. Thank you for taking my question.

A couple of questions. First, given you are prioritizing absolute earnings, your volumes have lagged the overall industry to some extent.

Now, in fact, your operating rates would be more like mid-50 utilizations. Now how should we think about your capacity expansion plans and target of 80 million ton from the next two years perspective?

How should we look at your volumes from the next two years perspective? That's my first question.

Thank you.

Ashok Bhandari

Mr. Gupta, thank you for your question.

Now please understand that since October '24, I had been maintaining that we'll be concentrating for value over volumes. That was with a purpose.

The purpose was very simple. We had a large divergence between our sales price and sales price of competitors like UltraTech.

If you will notice, by restraining our volumes, we have narrowed the gap from about ₹30 a bag to about ₹15 a bag. Now naturally, if you want to maintain discipline on pricing and narrow down the gap, you had to take the pain of sacrificing volumes.

That is what we did. I am very happy to report that the December growth, though aided by additional demand, over November, volume-wise November we sold about 27 million tons, December we sold 33 million tons -- sorry, 2.7 million and 3.3 million tons, and January is more or less in line with December '25.

We expect the same momentum to continue with a much higher realization, and it should automatically improve our capacity utilization. On the other hand, the capacity utilization will further be augmented by our concentrating more and more on RMC plants, which shall give me a better geographical reach, a more logistical cost optimization, and increase the volumes as well.

Now coming to your second question of our declared capacity of 80 by '29, '29 is still far off. We are still sitting in '26.

We shall get back to you in due course.

Rahul Gupta

Got it. Two follow-ups.

One, given you have narrowed the gap from ₹30 to ₹15, is it fair to say that you would continue to focus on reducing this further? My second question is what would be the absolute revenues of the RMC business, and how much cement your RMC would be using internally?

Thank you.

Ashok Bhandari

My dear friend, your first question is infructuous. You are saying that will you keep on reducing the gap.

It is obvious. I'll keep on increasing my profits.

That is one part. The increase in profit mainly in cement is because of top line.

The cost is more or less the same for the industry except in few factors. Point number two, as on date we have 19 RMC plants.

We intend to take it to 45 within next 6 to 8 months. Means you can easily assume by September '26, the number of plants will increase to 45 from 19.

We started RMC about 2 years back, and in 3 3 1/2 years, we will be achieving 45 plants, whereas leading players in RMC like UltraTech has over last 25 years set up only 100 plants. We are in track.

It is very difficult for me because much depends on how the demand scenario emerges. Certainly, all my RMC plants will be using my cement, and it will aid the cement quantity and capacity utilization.

Rahul Gupta

Thank you. Just what would be the revenues from RMC as of now, and what share of how much cement is --

Ashok Bhandari

One second, I'll ask Mr. K.K.

Jain to give the answer.

K.K. Jain

It is ₹71 crore for the quarter.

Ashok Bhandari

₹71 crore, right. For the quarter, we did ₹71 crore, my friend, on 19 plants.

Rahul Gupta

Got it. How much captive consumption of cement is going into RMC?

K.K. Jain

44 45% is the captive consumption for RMC plant for the quarter.

Rahul Gupta

Got it. Thank you.

Wish you all the best.

Ashok Bhandari

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Pinakin from HSBC.

Please go ahead.

Pinakin Parekh

Thank you very much, sir. Sir, in the September quarter the sales volume was 7.9 million tons.

What would be the comparable sales volume in the December quarter?

K.K. Jain

8.7.

Pinakin Parekh

That would imply a roughly 7% decline in blended realizations, which seems to be higher than what the peers have reported. What would be driving this decline in realizations, sir?

Ashok Bhandari

No. You have to do your maths correctly.

Please understand that my per-ton realization has gone up. The blended realization, I don't know how you are calculating.

If you want, we'll give you a detailed calculation sheet. Mr.

Jajoo, CFO of the company, will send you a mail, or you can send him a mail asking precise question. I think you are mistaken somewhere.

Pinakin Parekh

Got it, sir. We were just basically dividing net revenues by --

Ashok Bhandari

That is the point. You have to be slightly careful, my friend.

You write a mail to Mr. Jajoo, and Mr.

Jajoo will give you the reply.

Pinakin Parekh

Sir, what would be the comparable Q-on-Q change in pricing for the company?

Ashok Bhandari

One second. December '24 realization -- he's talking of what side?

Yeah. December '24, it was 4,652.

December '25 -- September 20 five -- and December '24 is 4,554. I don't have the September '25 numbers.

Pinakin Parekh

Got it. Sir, any color on the capex for next year at this point of time?

How much will the company be spending?

Ashok Bhandari

As I've said, we will be adding about 26 to 30 RMC plants, and the capex expected is about ₹500 cr in FY26.

Pinakin Parekh

Sure. Sir, my last question.

It looks on a per-ton basis there is a decline in power and fuel costs.

Ashok Bhandari

Obviously, because there are two reasons. One is that my per kilocalorie cost is lowest in the industry, sitting at 1.56, and my renewable energy has kept on increasing, and it has crossed almost 60 it has reached almost 61%.

Pinakin Parekh

Okay. This trend should continue, right?

Ashok Bhandari

This trend, why it should not improve, my friend? You see, as far as the per kilocalorie cost is concerned, you have to understand that it is the function of international coal prices or petcoke prices.

I cannot take a call there. What I can say is over the 40-year existence of this company, we have always been the lowest-price procurer of fuel, and that is why my fuel cost is lower.

My renewable energy portfolio has kept on increasing. We are having the highest renewable portfolio today, and we have reached almost 61%, and we are trying to add 2 or 3% more.

As far as Kodla, the new unit, which is due to be commissioned by March, I'll be having a waste heat recovery system there, which will add into my renewable or alternative energy, the energy cost should logically come down if the coal and petcoke prices do not go up.

Pinakin Parekh

Got it. That's very clear.

Thank you very much, sir.

Ashok Bhandari

Yeah.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities.

Please go ahead. Sir, you may unmute your lines.

Rajesh Ravi

Hello.

Operator

Hello.

Ashok Bhandari

Yes, Rajesh.

Rajesh Ravi

Am I audible?

Navin Sahadeo

Yes, you are.

Rajesh Ravi

Yeah. Hi, sir.

Good evening. Sir, just few housekeeping questions.

What were the trade and blended cement share in this quarter and lead distance?

Ashok Bhandari

I will give the line to Mr. Subhash Jajoo.

He will give you the answer.

Subhash Jajoo

The lead distance for the quarter is 446 km. Trade sale is 65%.

What else you want?

Rajesh Ravi

Blended cement.

Subhash Jajoo

Blended is also 65%.

Rajesh Ravi

Okay. If I look your fuel cost sequentially, this has come down by around 10 paise.

There is a ₹50 per ton saving and your green power mix remains similar. How is the power cost per ton at a company level?

Subhash Jajoo

Power

Rajesh Ravi

cost per unit. Average power, blended.

Subhash Jajoo

Yeah, 1 second. 1 second.

Means bought out and renewable and waste heat recovery and everything?

Rajesh Ravi

Yeah. Yes.

Subhash Jajoo

I may not be having that data immediately. I will send you --

Ashok Bhandari

We will get back to you, Rajesh, on this.

Rajesh Ravi

Sure, sir. Certainly.

The realization for the quarter you mentioned was 4,625, right, grey cement?

Ashok Bhandari

4,652, I think. Yes.

4,652.

Rajesh Ravi

Which is almost 3%, 4% decline quarter-on-quarter. So

Ashok Bhandari

That is what I was trying to figure out. Earlier somebody had asked the similar question.

Rajesh Ravi

No, on a blended basis, because you don't disclose the power revenues, that is why the blended number, yeah.

Ashok Bhandari

Oh, Ravi sahab, 2 minute meri baat suno. What I am saying is that you write a mail to us.

We will reconcile the numbers and get back to you.

Rajesh Ravi

Understood. Just wanted to understand, you mentioned that you'll be focused more on bridging the gap and getting a better price and realization.

At least on the volume, what sort of growth one should build in for this year, because earlier you were looking at 37 to 38 million ton for this year, which seems there could be a slip of 1 to 1 to 2 million ton on the volumes. So

Ashok Bhandari

I already explained what was the rationale.

Rajesh Ravi

Right, understood. So

Ashok Bhandari

Again Mr. Ravi, please hear me out fully.

Number one, the demand in October and November was low, that you know.

Rajesh Ravi

Right.

Ashok Bhandari

Which I had no control. December the demand picked up.

We have picked up more. January the trend is similar to December.

We don't find any letup in February and March because the Central Government budget has to be spent by 31st March. I don't think there'll be any letup in volumes.

I can easily and with great deal of confidence say that within this quarter we will do 9 to 9.5 million tons. In total, yes, I will not be growing at 7 to 8%.

Then that was a function of low demand. What to do?

Rajesh Ravi

Right.

Ashok Bhandari

Going forward, I am confident that we should do. You see, today the RBI Governor has pointed out to a 7.4% GDP growth rate for '26-'27 in his MPC.

I had been maintaining that cement generally grows at 1 to 1.1 times national GDP. Next year I expect the demand to be around 7.5

Rajesh Ravi

to 8%. Great, sir.

Lastly, if you could share the UAE performance, which you did in last quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

It is getting better by the day.

Rajesh Ravi

Okay. Possible to share the volume, revenue, EBITDA number?

Ashok Bhandari

I don't have the UAE numbers with me at the moment. We'll share it with you.

Rajesh Ravi

Okay. Great, sir.

That's all for now. I'll come back in queue.

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Indrajit Agarwal from CLSA.

Please go ahead.

Indrajit Agarwal

Hi, sir. Thanks for the opportunity.

A couple of questions. First,

Ashok Bhandari

I'm sorry, I missed your name.

Indrajit Agarwal

Indrajit Agarwal from CLSA.

Ashok Bhandari

Haan, bolo bhai.

Indrajit Agarwal

Sir, first on pricing, can you indicate how the trends have been so far in January and heading into February both

Ashok Bhandari

As I said, the December pricing was much better, and the same trend is continuing. We don't see any letup in demand because of the Central Government compulsion of exhausting the budget within this quarter.

If demand is good, then pricing will remain good. As a matter of fact, as we have been focusing and we had been achieving convergence in or reducing the delta between our price and the UltraTech price, I expect the same trend to maintain, maybe at a slower pace, because I'll be doing volumes now also.

Indrajit Agarwal

Sir, secondly, do you think that from now on we will continue to grow ahead of industry or largely in line with industry at least?

Ashok Bhandari

Let us see. If I want to push volume, then I have to sacrifice price, isn't it?

Both don't go hand in hand. It is a calculated equilibrium game which we have to play.

As the scenario emerges, we'll keep on updating you. As on date, I expect no letup in demand and no letup in pricing.

Indrajit Agarwal

Sure. Thank you.

That's all from my side.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Jashandeep Singh Chadha from Nomura.

Please go ahead.

Ashok Bhandari

Oh, Chadha sahab, why are you troubling me?

Jashandeep Singh Chadha

Thanks so much, sir, for the opportunity. I won't trouble you much, sir, just a couple of quick questions.

Firstly, sir, Shree Cement has been operating in multiple regions. I wanted to understand a basic understanding of how all the regions are performing, not necessarily from Shree's perspective, but from industry perspective and from Shree's --

Ashok Bhandari

1 second. 1 second.

Can we be at divergence with the industry region-wise? We'll be in line with the industry only.

Exactly how much Shree has sold in each region of its capacity, the number I am asking Mr. K.K.

Jain to share with you, that in this region, say Shree's capacity is 100, then region-wise how much we have sold in this quarter. That should be roughly the line of operation of all pan-India cement companies.

Regional companies ki to it's not comparable. I am asking Mr.

Jain to give you the reply.

K.K. Jain

Yes. In north region, the sale is 50 53 lakh ton, 5.3 million sorry, lakh ton, and east 23, and south 11.

In percentage term, it is 61% in north, east 26%, and south 13%.

Jashandeep Singh Chadha

Thank you so much, sir. This is a very valuable information.

I was also looking from January and going ahead, which region you are seeing uptick coming in volume demand?

Ashok Bhandari

What is the date today, my friend? It is 6th of February.

What is the date today? January onwards.

Jashandeep Singh Chadha

January numbers come to me.

Ashok Bhandari

Sir. I'll maybe, once they're out, I'll reach out.

Jashandeep Singh Chadha

Second question was, sir, Yes. I understand on per-kilocalorific value, Shree Cement has been the lowest and will continue to be the lowest.

With petcoke international prices going on, what kind of impact will be on the cost for fourth quarter? Any sense you can give us?

Ashok Bhandari

Please understand that nothing stops me from changing from coal to petcoke or petcoke to coal. I have multi-fuel burners.

This is a constant exercise which my purchase people do, that which mix gives them the best landed fuel cost. I am not at all concerned with international prices.

I am concerned with landed cost of fuel because that is the actual cost to me. This is a constant exercise.

As on date, we are at 1.56 per kilocalorie. It may remain same for January, but it may go up in February and March.

In any case, I don't think it should increase 1.80, which is my peer group fuel cost.

Jashandeep Singh Chadha

Understood, sir. Thank you for that.

Just one last more of a clarification. If I can understand from your previous answer to the previous question, you are expecting 7% to 8% Y-o-Y growth from the industry and Shree Cement will largely be in line with the industry.

Is my understanding right, sir?

Ashok Bhandari

Your understanding is correct with a caveat that we had generally grown better than the industry. Last one year you leave, because that was with the strategy of narrowing the gap between the selling prices, but once we have achieved that, then probably we may grow better than the industry also.

Let the time tell its own story.

Jashandeep Singh Chadha

Sure, sir. Thank you so much and all the best for the future, sir.

Thank you.

Ashok Bhandari

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital.

Please go ahead.

Shravan Shah

Thank you, sir. Sir, two questions.

First, in the last concall Q2, you highlighted that investors should look at the Shree Cement from the consol perspective. In last two quarters you have said the UAE volume and this time this is not part of the press release, and also post the call when we try to connect with the CFO sir, Mr.

Jajoo, he's not ready to share the numbers. How one can look at these things?

This is first part. Second, 1

Ashok Bhandari

second. Now let me stop you here.

1 second. Do you mean to say that we have not published consolidated numbers?

Shravan Shah

No, volume. I'm saying the volume.

Ashok Bhandari

No, 1 second. Please go through the results.

I don't think you have gone through the results. Please go through the results.

Standalone is there, consolidated is there, and you very well know how to calculate UAE from the two numbers. What are we trying to say?

You try to make simple things difficult at all the times whenever we receive your call.

Shravan Shah

Sorry, sir. When did I make it difficult?

I'm simply asking. No, no, no.

Let us not let let

Ashok Bhandari

let us not argue on this. You ask your second question.

Shravan Shah

Yeah. Sir, what's our clarification on the MCA investigation that is on under Section 210?

No.

Ashok Bhandari

There is no investigation. It is a routine inquiry.

They have asked for information. The information has been shared.

They have not come up with any report, what do I do?

Shravan Shah

No issues, sir.

Ashok Bhandari

Yeah.

Shravan Shah

Yeah. Sir, road-rail mix for this quarter and fuel mix for this quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

Mr. Jajoo will give you.

Road-rail is 88 and 12.

Shravan Shah

Fuel mix, petcoke and coal and --

Ashok Bhandari

It's 76% petcoke, 6% coal, and balance is alternate fuels.

Shravan Shah

Capex till now how much we have done and for FY --

Ashok Bhandari

Till now we have done around ₹1,500 crore. Another ₹400, ₹500 crore is to be done in this quarter.

Operator

May we request that you return to the question queue for a follow-up question. The next question is from the line of Satyadeep Jain from Ambit Capital.

Please go ahead.

Satyadeep Jain

Hi. Thank you.

Just a first question on the strategy on pricing versus utilization. You've added capacity in north and south in the past few quarters.

How do you look at an ideal utilization given these capacities have been added, but overall volume increase is not there? Is there an ideal utilization you look at when starting an asset to optimize the operating leverage, fixed costs there?

Ashok Bhandari

Please appreciate that I had always been maintaining that demand is not in the hand of any cement manufacturer. Demand emanates from overall growth within the economy.

We are not happy with our current capacity utilization. We are taking steps to correct it.

We have corrected it largely to some extent in January. I have also pointed out that we are concentrating on setting up more and more RMC plants, which should give me a fillip in capacity utilization.

At this point of time, specially in this quarter, because this quarter may be the demand may be abnormally high due to pull from the central agencies, we may better answer this question in the first quarter of '26-'27.

Satyadeep Jain

Sir, in that context, the focus on utilization, how do we look at the 80 million ton? Would you rather wait to improve utilization, and what's the progress on Jaisalmer, green, environmental --

Ashok Bhandari

Generally, your thinking is correct that we are not announcing specific sites and specific plants only because we want the capacity utilization to increase. I had hinted that 80 by '29 may get deferred or may culminate is completely dependent on how the demand turns out in '26-'27.

This is a question for which I don't have a ready answer. I would like to expand.

Please understand that Shree Cement has increased its capacity 110 times from 1985. Means in last 40 years, we have grown 110 times in capacity.

Our growth has not been lagging. Our CAGR for growth is 12 1/2% plus, and we expect to do it better.

Then you must set up capacity not for an idle capital, but for productive capital, which is a function of demand. If the demand doesn't have the necessary leverage, what is the point in setting up capacity and keep on operating at 56, 60%, 62%?

Ideally, we should reach 70% kind of a capacity utilization. Now whether it takes place in 1 year or in 1 1/2 years, time can only tell.

Satyadeep Jain

Okay. Perfect.

Thank you, sir. Much.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Siddharth Mehrotra from Kotak Securities.

Please go ahead.

Siddharth Mehrotra

Thank you, sir, for the opportunity. Sorry if I missed this number.

Sir, what is the capex you are expecting for FY 2027?

Ashok Bhandari

Look, my major focus is going to be 26 RMC plants, 26 or 30. Per RMC plant, it costs --

Siddharth Mehrotra

Sir, ₹4 to ₹5 crore.

Ashok Bhandari

It costs about ₹5 crore, ₹150 crore visibility I have. Balance is completely dependent on how I try to attain.

Like June '26 sorry, March '26 March '26, we'll be completing Kodla plant. We have spent about ₹2,000 crore of capex in this financial year.

Next financial year, I'm giving you a ₹150 crore capex. I am also working on railway sidings, which should be about how many crore per kilometer?

Subhash Jajoo

Around ₹150 crore to

Ashok Bhandari

₹200 crore total. About ₹200 to ₹250 crore on railway sidings.

So ₹4 to ₹500 crore of capex visibility is clearly there. Balance visibility I'll be able to give you once I start planning my further capacity addition.

You will have to give me one more quarter to give you more clarity on this. However, you may be fully aware that we are completely debt-free and we have about ₹6,000 crore of free cash sitting in our balance sheet.

We are not worried about the quantum of capex we need to spend. We would like to be watchful of the demand and the potential capacity utilization.

Siddharth Mehrotra

Understood, sir. Essentially that means we are planning to put at least two railway sidings, approximately ₹150 to ₹200 crore per siding, as well as the RMC plant.

₹500 crore we have clarity and maybe some additional capex basis whatever your capacities you sort of decide. Is that correct?

Ashok Bhandari

Which I'll be able to tell you either in next concall or in the June concall, I don't know. You will have to give us time.

Siddharth Mehrotra

Got it. Second, sir, could you sort of quantify what sort of industry growth was prevalent in 3Q for the industry?

Some ballpark number?

Ashok Bhandari

The Q3 you see, it is not comparable. I had a different strategy of operating my plants.

The industry had a different strategy. They are not apple-to-apple comparison.

I was concentrating more on value, less on volume. Obviously, my growth was lower than the industry.

If you want, we can share those numbers or those numbers will be available elsewhere also. You can write a mail either to Mr.

Subhash Jajoo or to me, and we will give you the reply. We have not grown to our fullest potential by design.

Now we'll see how it goes.

Siddharth Mehrotra

Got it, sir. Sir, can I just please get the power mix split, sir, if possible?

634 megawatt was the total green power mix. There could also be additional captive power.

Could you just lay out what are the individual components: solar, WHRS --

Ashok Bhandari

Wait a minute. Mr.

Jajoo will give you exact power plant capacities of various kinds.

Subhash Jajoo

See, our total power capacity is currently 1,137 megawatt, out of which 503 is thermal power capacity and balance is all green. WHR is 265 megawatt, solar is 314, and wind is 56.

So 634 megawatt of green capacity, 503 of thermal, total 1,137. Understood, sir.

Just one last question, sir, if I could squeeze in. Sir, a couple of your peers have sort of sounded out that there is a very interesting and exciting opportunity in UAE to either sort of increase their stake in subsidiaries there or expand their capacities there in additional grinding units.

Sir, given the fact that you already have a long-standing exposure to that geography --

Ashok Bhandari

Let me stop you here, my dear friend. Do you think that if there is a profit opportunity, Shree Cement will let it go a-begging?

If there is potential, if there is real demand perk up, if the operations are profitable or good enough profitable, we'll certainly do whatever is required to be done. We have the largest cement plant in UAE today in our control.

Siddharth Mehrotra

Nothing has changed at least from our perspective in terms of the market opportunity? No,

Ashok Bhandari

I would not like to comment on that as yet. I'll comment in March.

Siddharth Mehrotra

Understood, sir. Thanks.

Thanks a lot for your time, sir.

Ashok Bhandari

[Hindi speech?]

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Tushar Chaudhari from Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited.

Please go ahead.

Tushar Chaudhari

Good evening, sir.

Ashok Bhandari

Good evening. Please do me a favor.

If you meet Amishaben tomorrow, please give my regards to her.

Tushar Chaudhari

Sure, sir. Now Sir, just wanted to know this employee cost is a little bit higher this quarter.

Is it because of Baloda Bazar?

Ashok Bhandari

Read note number three of the results.

Tushar Chaudhari

I missed that then. No, volume actually I wanted to know how much is the --

Ashok Bhandari

Listen, the new labor code has made me provide for all back liabilities, which is amounting to ₹56 crore. We do not show any expense as an exceptional expense because it is all in routine course of business.

We have additionally provided ₹56 crore as required by the law, and we have disclosed this by way of a note in note number three. This is on employee cost.

Now what is the second question?

Tushar Chaudhari

Volume 2% growth is written. Last year, it was 8.77.

Ashok Bhandari

Last year What happened, my dear friend? Last year, what was my realization?

This is this year, what is my realization? I gave you -- Sir,

Tushar Chaudhari

I have only blended realization.

Ashok Bhandari

December '24, my realization was 4,554. Is it correct?

Yes, sir. December '25, my realization is 4,652.

You sell to lose money or you sell to make money? We have deliberately constrained our volumes to decrease the delta between other selling price and my selling price.

We have reduced it by ₹15. Abhi theek hai.

Now we'll see what to do.

Tushar Chaudhari

No, I understood that, sir. You had explained it pretty well earlier.

2% volume growth is then Is it including clinker?

Ashok Bhandari

That I don't remember it offhand.

Tushar Chaudhari

Because press release is saying 2% volume growth.

Ashok Bhandari

I will get back to you. You send a mail to Jajoo, and Jajoo will get back to you with exact numbers.

Tushar Chaudhari

Sure, sir. Thanks, sir.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.

Please go ahead.

Navin Sahadeo

Good evening, sir. Am I audible?

Ashok Bhandari

How can you not be audible?

Navin Sahadeo

Thank you, sir.

Ashok Bhandari

You are the host today.

Navin Sahadeo

Thank you, sir. Sir, my question was on this value versus volume strategy in the context of market share as well as industry superior profitability.

Like past four quarters as you mentioned in your opening comments, since October '24, the strategy of value over volume was clearly I think rewarding us in terms of significantly higher EBITDA per ton or margins versus the peers. In this quarter, it is a bit of a dampener and also of course the volumes are also some maybe, if I may say, some loss of market share as well.

Ashok Bhandari

Navin, slow down. Slow down.

Slow down. Hear me out.

There were two major changes in our sales strategy in last one year. One was that we had made our rebate and discount policy so transparent and non-negotiable and non-discretionary that the favored dealers were getting pissed off.

It took some time for them to realize that this is a non-negotiable policy, and now they have fallen in line. Number two is that end November we have inducted a new President, Marketing, and he has shown good results in last 1 month, 1 1/2 month.

I expect that things should be better in coming times. Now of course, I can say anything.

I cannot but be bullish on cement. I will keep on talking bullish sentiment on cement.

Please understand that demand is not in my hand. If demand is there, you will not find us wanting.

Navin Sahadeo

Helpful. Thank you so much.

My second question then was on realizations as so in I think in Q4 in Q3, we have sequentially I think realization drop is about 4-odd percent.

Ashok Bhandari

Ye aap log sab All of you are saying this. Unfortunately, I don't have this number.

Par aap log sab keh rahe ho, to maybe this is correct. Maybe there was a drop in realization or whatever.

You ask me a pointed question or you come, you keep on coming to Calcutta. Come one day.

I'll give you good tea. You have nice tea.

I will give you good lunch also if you want. We'll discuss with Redbear.

Navin Sahadeo

Right, sir. Then I'll have the discussion over tea.

I think

Ashok Bhandari

it is better. Samne baithne se we talk more freely and with all the data.

Navin Sahadeo

Sure, sir. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Indrajit Agarwal from CLSA.

Please go ahead.

Ashok Bhandari

Ye to gaya tha na yaar. He must be having -- Sorry.

Yeah.

Indrajit Agarwal

Sorry, I missed one. I just want to clarify one number.

Did you say fourth quarter run rate to be similar as December and 9 to 9 1/2 million tons volume in fourth quarter?

Ashok Bhandari

Yes, I did.

Indrajit Agarwal

That would imply more or less flattish Y-o-Y number. Is that understanding correct?

Or

Subhash Jajoo

maybe 1 or 2% growth. I don't know.

I have not done the maths.

Indrajit Agarwal

Sure. Thank you so much.

Ashok Bhandari

Theek hai.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Harsh Mittal from MK Global.

Please go ahead.

Harsh Mittal

Good evening, Ashok. Thank you for the -- Haan

Ashok Bhandari

Mittal sahab, bolo.

Harsh Mittal

Sir, just one question. Given that our cash levels as on December end is ₹6,000 crore, and we are expecting a healthy cash flows in the coming years with a limited capex, so, sir, can we expect a material upside in the dividend outlay going ahead in coming years?

Harsh-bhai, let

Ashok Bhandari

let us understand. Material is a relative definition.

Let us let me assure you that yes, the dividend payout will be better. It is not my prerogative to say how much better, how much not better, that is up to the wisdom of the board.

I expect the dividend payout for '26-'27 sorry, for '25-'26 to be better than '24-'25. Aisa ek it is not a differential of ₹5 kind of a thing.

We may give you a better one.

Harsh Mittal

Thank you, sir.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Lakshminarayanan from Tunga Investments.

Please go ahead.

Lakshmi Narayanan

Thank you, sir. Sir, on the return metrics for the company, we see that it's currently trending downward predominantly because of lower profitability from incremental capacity --

Ashok Bhandari

No, my friend. Sorry, please let me correct you.

The profitability absolute number has gone down because we had by choice taken a value-over-volume path. Please understand.

We have achieved the convergence vis-a-vis say UltraTech on per-bag prices. It is not that the capacity utilization have substantially affected my profitability.

It was my design of lower volumes to better my prices, which had affected the profitability.

Lakshmi Narayanan

Got it. Sir, my question is slightly different.

I understand your point. Sir, now our ROCE or ROEs are trending downwards over a period of time.

Given this trend, what is the primary metric the company prefers to evaluate its long-term performance?

Ashok Bhandari

1 second, my dear friend. Let us understand.

If I keep on making profits, my capital employed keeps on going up. If the additional profit I am not distributing or I am not utilizing for capex, then it is giving me a 4 to 5% treasury return.

If you combine everything, you find that the ROCE or the ROE is going down. On the other hand, I'm committed to add on capacity to 80 million tons.

What do I do? I have to bear the pain of rather inefficient cash utilization in the form of treasury till I finalize my plan to have major capex.

For the first time in my career, I think, I have spoken of a ₹400 to ₹500 crore capex visibility in next financial year. We had never done that.

Then the demand scenario is such that I cannot give you a firm commitment on when my capacities will come up. As soon as the capacities come up, the 4% return cash, one cash or the return on cash of 4% will translate into 20%, which will automatically jack up the ROCE and ROE.

You will have to bear with me.

Lakshmi Narayanan

Sure, sir. Thank you.

Thank you so much, sir.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, you may press star and one.

The next question is from the line of Uttam Srimal from Axis Securities Limited. Please go ahead.

Uttam Srimal

Sir. Good evening, sir.

Thanks for the opportunity. Sir, my question pertains to premium cement.

We have made a very good progress from 15% last year to 22% 18% last year to 22%. Where do we see this number going forward in next year?

Ashok Bhandari

Have you read any cement research report which has talked of anything else but premium cement? If everybody is going to make premium cement, then where is the premium, yaar?

Premium cement becomes the normal cement. Number one.

Number two, the brand belongs to the company. The classification of brand also belongs to the company.

There is no standard which defines premium cement. It is your 10 brands.

It is your pen, and it is your pencil, and whatever you want to put, you put as a premium brand and sell it, because there is no yardstick to define what a premium cement is. Please understand, we are at about 21%, 22%.

We have defined our premium brands, and we are sticking to it. We are not changing the mix of my total cement as per my convenience.

At the moment, with the current demand scenario, we are at 21%, 22%, and we expect to maintain the same run rate for this financial year. Next year what will happen, let us see.

Uttam Srimal

Sir, next year, what will be our depreciation cost?

Ashok Bhandari

What will be our --

Uttam Srimal

Depreciation.

Ashok Bhandari

Depreciation should be about ₹1,600 crore.

Uttam Srimal

₹1,600.

Ashok Bhandari

[Hindi

Uttam Srimal

speech?] You said ₹1,600?

Ashok Bhandari

Yes, I said 1,600.

Uttam Srimal

Sir. Thank you a lot.

That's all from my --

Ashok Bhandari

₹1,600 and ₹1,700, please don't hold me to the number, huh? It will not be as high as it had been.

Uttam Srimal

Right. Sir.

That's all from my side. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. A reminder to all participants to press star and one to ask a question.

The next question is from the line of Rajesh Ravi from HDFC Securities. Please go ahead.

Rajesh Ravi

Hi, sir. Just a follow-up question on the realization which you explained that you have bridged the gap with UltraTech, and I believe that is visible in numbers when I compare yours with the like-to-like numbers of UltraTech.

In last one year, while your competitor has shown a ₹50 decline, your realization has gone up by ₹100. Similarly is the trend for last 2 years, there is a sharp swing upward on your numbers.

However, if I look at the margin front, your margins have been more or less flattish year-on-year, while the competitor has seen a margin upswing both on a year-on-year basis and a 2-year basis. Is it like you have maintained your pricing --

Ashok Bhandari

Ravi, 1 second. Fixed cost recovery is completely dependent on capacity utilization.

That you appreciate?

Rajesh Ravi

Yes.

Ashok Bhandari

To catch up on the value terms, I had sacrificed volumes. My fixed cost recovery was less.

My margins dropped. Now if I play intelligently, my fixed cost recovery will improve and my margins will also improve.

Rajesh Ravi

Right?

Ashok Bhandari

This is the first time in the history of this company that I have reported a more or less equal EBITDA per ton net of labor code expenses vis-a-vis UltraTech. Otherwise, we had always maintained a ₹100 and ₹100 ₹100 to ₹150 delta on plus side.

I expect to catch that up.

Rajesh Ravi

Great. That's heartening.

Sir, just on the adjusted for the labor cost, still your employee cost is higher by ₹20 crore quarter-on-quarter, ₹150-odd crore.

Ashok Bhandari

My dear friend, what happens if I increase my capacity?

Rajesh Ravi

Okay. This is with regard to the new plant, Raipur?

Ashok Bhandari

Exactly.

Rajesh Ravi

Okay. We should factor in this number as, okay, as a recurring number and accordingly.

Sir, lastly, just on the UAE business, Could you make it a practice in the press release only to share the volume metric and the number in AED? Would that be more useful for us?

Ashok Bhandari

I will certainly give a thought to this. Give me one quarter.

Let us see what I can do in next quarter. If I can, I will certainly do that.

Sure, sir. Certainly.

Rajesh Ravi

Sir, lastly, could you repeat the capex number for full year and next year, what are you targeting?

Ashok Bhandari

This year I'll be doing 2,000 cr. Okay.

I've already completed 1,500. I'll be doing about 500 cr in this quarter, means January, March.

Okay. Next year 1 second.

Next year, I have not formed up my plan on further cement capacity addition. We have frozen the plan the plan to set up about 30 RMC plants.

One RMC plant costs roughly ₹5 to ₹6 crore. Take about ₹200 crore for RMC, ₹200 crore for my railway sidings, and ₹100 ₹100 ₹50 to ₹100 crore routine capex mil jata hai.

I am giving a guidance of next year capex at 500 cr. Okay.

I am putting a caveat that this is only because I have not formed up my plan of adding up further capacity. If that gets fructified, the number will substantially change.

You will have to wait for that.

Rajesh Ravi

No, that's clear, sir. That is clear.

There's no capacities which will come on-stream next financial year, at least because no concrete work is going on as per --

Ashok Bhandari

I don't think we will go beyond 72 million ton, which we will achieve by March '26.

Rajesh Ravi

Okay. Great, sir.

That's all from my end. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.

Please go ahead.

Navin Sahadeo

I'll take the last question, sir. You mentioned that we have narrowed the price gap versus the industry leader from ₹30 to ₹15.

What is then the next milestone? Is it coming at par, or how should one benchmark that at that point of time onwards, we are again start chasing volumes?

Ashok Bhandari

Navin, hear me out. I don't have the capacity or capability or even the enthusiasm of saying I will sell at par with UltraTech.

If I say that, you will not believe it. On the other hand, with full confidence I can say that I'll maintain the delta on EBITDA per ton basis vis-a-vis the competition, which I had been doing except in this quarter.

I'd been doing it for 40 years, that you know.

Navin Sahadeo

Of course.

Ashok Bhandari

This quarter, theek hai, we lost out on volumes. It's all right.

It was a calculated move.

Navin Sahadeo

Fair point, sir. On the staff cost, I just wanted to know what would be the normalized cost?

This quarter of course is -- Navin,

Ashok Bhandari

you ask this to Jajoo, yaar. I don't know.

Navin Sahadeo

Theek hai. Last question to you, sir.

At a broader industry level, do you think non-trade share or non-trade exposure is rising because everybody is chasing those bulk volume, RMC units? Is that a fair thing to observe or --

Ashok Bhandari

No, as I told you, my dear friend, this quarter becomes very typical. Non-trade is basically large purchases by infrastructure projects.

This quarter the government has to finish the budget allocated in '25-'26. This quarter you may have a trend where non-trade may be more.

I don't think that is a sustainable trend. We will go back to 75-25 kind of a level.

We are today at 65-35.

Navin Sahadeo

Understood. Very clear, sir.

Thank you so much.

Ashok Bhandari

Achha, listen.

Navin Sahadeo

Yeah.

Ashok Bhandari

Is your last question finished?

Navin Sahadeo

Yeah. I'm done.

There are no more questions.

Ashok Bhandari

Why are you always the last one to shaft me?

Navin Sahadeo

Over tea, we'll discuss this.

Ashok Bhandari

Thank you. Nitya, you can go ahead and conclude the call, please.

Thank you and bye-bye.

Operator

On behalf of ICICI Securities Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.