Qun Jiang
Third quarter announcement. I am Jiang Qun, Board Secretary of China Coal Energy.
Welcome to today's announcement. Joining us at this meeting are Executive Director and President of the company, Gao Shibang, Ms.
Zhan Yanjing, Independent Non-Executive Director, Chai Qiaolin, CFO, as well as relevant heads and staff from Securities Affairs Department, Planning Department, Development Department, Finance Department, Coal Business Division, Chemical Business Division, Power Business Division, Marketing Management Office. I sincerely thank you all for your longstanding care and support for the company.
Next, I will brief you on China Coal Energy's operational results for the first three quarters of 2026 and major work arrangement for the fourth quarter. Unless otherwise stated, all figures below are calculated in accordance with the Chinese Accounting Standards for Business Enterprises.
First, operating results and features of the first three quarters. In the first three quarters of 2026, China Coal Energy resolutely implemented the decisions and arrangement of the Party Central Committee and State Council and work requirements of the SASAC, faithfully practiced development approach of improving efficiency from existing assets and driving transformation through incremental growth, actively responded to various risks, and coordinated production organization, maintaining a sound momentum in production and operation.
We realized the operating revenue of 115,000.636 billion, up 4.6% year-on-year; total profit of 19 billion, up by 4.9%; and for the net profit attributable, it's 12.7 billion, up by 2.1%; and the basic earnings per share, 0.96, up by 2.1%; and net cash flow from operating activities amounted to 22.5 billion, an increase of 1.46 billion, 6.9% year-on-year. In the first three quarters, profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company under IFRS was 12.884 billion, up by 15.26% year-on-year.
There are the following features. First, production operation maintained stable and orderly.
In the first three quarters, faced with factors as relatively tight mining development continuity for some mines and changing underground geological conditions, the company scientifically coordinated the production and completed the production of 93.38 million ton. Although we made a lot of effort, still we faced some difficulties, and we also tried to improve the marketing strategy and try to improve the efficiency, and we finished the sales of 182 million tons, of which sales of self-produced commercial coal reached 93.59 million ton.
We maintained stable and efficient operation, and we realized 4.62 million ton of major products, and we actively expanded the sales channels of chemical products and adhered to precise and categorized marketing and completed sales of 4.85 million ton. Second, prices of major products are rebounded.
In the first three quarters, prices of the major products such as coal and chemicals rose somewhat following the market trend. Average selling price of commercial coal was 557 per ton, up by 83 per ton, or 17.5%.
Then, for thermal coal, it was 514 ton, up RMB76 ton, or 17.4%. For coking coal, 1,192 ton, up by 271 per ton, or 29.4%.
For polyolefin, the sales price was 7,258, up by 10.9%. For urea, 1,694, down 44.2%.
Methanol, 1,963, up 11.7%. Then, for ammonium nitrate, 1,795, down by 0.7% year-on-year.
Third, we have tapped into the potential and improved quality efficiency. We optimized the product mix, and the average calorific value of thermal coal was up nearly 200 kcal year-on-year.
Our comprehensive gross margin improved also year-on-year. Unit sales cost of commercial coal was 299 per ton, up 41 per ton year-on-year, affected by other factors such as decreased production and sales volume.
For the PO, sales cost was 5,865 per ton, down by 410 per ton, or 6.5% year-on-year, mainly because major overhauls were conducted in the same period last year, with no such impact in the current period. Affected by factors such as rising purchase prices of feedstock coal and fuel coal, the unit sales cost of urea was 1,223 per ton, up 6.1% year-on-year.
For methanol, 1,402 per ton, up 10.5%. Then, for ammonium nitrate, the selling cost was 1,546, up 8%.
Against the backdrop of declining coal output and rigidly rising cost, we took multiple measures to offset the pressure and achieved the profit of 1.98 billion. The major increasing factors are: first, the higher selling price of self-produced commercial coal, which increased profit by 7.7 billion; and second, the profit increase factor was chemical business, 1.2 billion; and then, for the decreasing factors, for example, the unit selling cost and also the sales volume of self-produced coal was also down.
For the fourth quarter, it is the crucial stage for accomplishing the full-year targets and tasks, we will lay a solid foundation for a good start of the 15th Five-Year Plan. First, we will continue to deepen the production sales synergy and make every effort to stabilize output and make up for the shortfall.
Second, we will advance the construction of key projects and accelerate industrial transformation and upgrade. Third, we will strictly implement lean management and fully tap the space for cost reduction.
Fourth, we will systematically strengthen the risk prevention and control and continuously improve the level of compliance. Fifth, we will make effort to ensure safe production and ecological environmental protection and identify and examine problems.
Distinguished investors and analysts, company's management and all our colleagues will anchor our goals and proactively acting to firmly hold the bottom line of safe production and unswervingly advance the high-quality development, and we will respond with solid work and tangible achievements. Now we can start the Q&A.
Operator
If you have a question, please press star one if you're on the phone. If you're online, you can type your question in the chat box, or you can raise your hand.
Thank you. If you have any question, if you're on the phone, please press star one.
If you are online, in the chat box, you can type in your question, or you can raise your hand. Thank you.
8014, please provide your name and affiliation. Thank you.
Yao Lin
Mr. Jiang and dear leaders, hi.
Can you hear me?
Qun Jiang
Yes, please.
Yao Lin
Hi, Mr. Jiang.
My name is Lin Yao from Oriental Finance. I looked at your third quarter report, especially for the Q3 alone, we saw this clear sign that our cost was rising a bit.
I looked at the detail. The main rise came from the labor cost, and people are very interested about the future guideline of the cost.
First, why was there a rise in the labor cost in Q3? Throughout the year and also into the future, can you provide some guideline on the cost?
Second, also related to cost, the expense and tax. In terms of the expense, we saw that in Q3, the financial expense and management expense also increased.
On the tax side, in the interim reports, we saw that there had been some previous make-up for the tax and also the delayed cost or deferred cost. The numbers were also rising there.
What is our future outlook for the tax? I think can we say Q3 tax level is our future new norm?
The cost and tax. Thank you.
Qun Jiang
Thank you for the question. Who from tax will answer?
Ms. Hu?
Qiaolin Chai
Thank you for the question. The labor cost actually had some increase quarter-on-quarter, because for some of the production teams, we transferred from outsource to self-employed.
Also, there had been some withdrawal of the bonus, and that caused the quarter-on-quarter increase of labor cost. For Q3 and Q4 labor cost, in recent years, we have been refining and standardizing the cost control, and we had got some results.
It's not so scientific to press down the cost all the way or continuously, because for some of the cost, the rigid part is over 60%. Now in recent years, the safety requirement is getting more stringent, and that also pulled up our fixed cost.
Since our production and sales were down a bit, that also dragged down our ratio. In Q4, there are some uncertainties.
For the labor cost and maintenance cost towards the end of the year, they may also increase. According to the budget in the beginning of the year, we will try in the fourth quarter and throughout the year to scientifically manage the cost within the reasonable range.
Then for the financial expense and also the income tax, in Q3, compared to Q2, the quarter-on-quarter management fee fluctuation was partly due to the labor cost, and there had been some quarter-on-quarter changes. For the income tax, due to the use of the funds, in the current term, if it's withdrawn but not used, we would increase the volume of the tax.
Because we are actually reducing the use of the special use of funds, so that is why the payable tax is increasing. For the financial expense, we have been strengthening our management.
For the debt with interest, the interest rate is actually going down of our company, and the increase is mainly about the unconfirmed financing cost, which is discounted and amortized, and that added to our financial expense. That is also related to the cost of finance.
In Q3, actually, the financial cost included both parts. Thank you.
Qun Jiang
Thank you,
Yao Lin
Mr. Zhong.
Very detailed answer. I just want to have a follow-up.
You've explained for the tax rate increase, it's related to the rule of the use of the safety and maintenance and patrol examination fee. For that adjustment that happened after interim reports, throughout the year, what is the impact of that on the overall tax rate or the percentage of the expense?
Qiaolin Chai
The special reserve was arranged according to the beginning-of-the-year plan, and we used that within the range. For example, the under-well modification and safety loophole checks, and so on.
Of course, we would look at our beginning-of-the-year plan while using it. Also it's related to the production arrangement in Q3 and Q4.
We expect that it would be around 20% to 25%. Thank you.
Yao Lin
Maybe I wasn't clear about the question. I wasn't asking about the safety or maintenance check fees.
It's the tax and tax rate adjustments. For example, in the past, there has been some tax discounts, but with the new rules, things can be fluctuation.
Of course, we do have a lot of subsidiaries and affiliated companies. According to the original tax rate, what is the overall change like for the company with the new rules?
Did we calculate that? Hello.
We expect that the influence would not be that significant on our report. Is that clear?
It seems that it's not that significant. Hello?
Qun Jiang
I think maybe we can wait for the analyst to adjust the equipment. We can have the next one.
Operator
3783, please provide your name and affiliation. Thank you.
Xiaoya Zhang
Dear leaders, good afternoon. Can you hear me?
Operator
Yes, please.
Xiaoya Zhang
Okay. I'm from Guosheng.
My name is Zhang Xiaoya. I have two questions.
First, for the first three quarters, where are the lagging behind in production in which mines? In which mines did we see the lagging behind of the production?
Also, for the make-up production, what is the progress? Then for Dahaize mine, when can we see the recovery of production?
Thank you.
Qun Jiang
For the coal production, Liu Xiangping from Coal, and then I will answer about the Dahaize mine.
Xiangping Liu
Hi, thank you for the question. According to the feedback from January to September, for the commercial coal production was down in our company.
The main reason was the accident after May 2nd, and that for some of the local authorities, they took over. Then for the distribution, the coal from Shaanxi accounted for 65% of the commercial coal that we produced.
Then, according to authorities' requirements for the main production bases of coal, basically, we have seen more stringent safety regulations, and the limit on our production is pretty significant, and that caused some production limits. The other issue is for the coal mines, there are geological conditions at play down the well, and also considering the attribute of coal and overlapped with the regulation, that caused the production shortfall.
For the following three months, the regulation is still very strong, and the requirement is still very strict. We need to guarantee the supplementary production while not sacrificing the safety.
Qun Jiang
I want to add something. Several aspects.
For Pingshuo, Huajin, and Shaanxi company, and Northwest company, we had some gaps. For the production gaps, on one hand, it's due to the geological changes of the mines, and on the other hand, it's also affected by the stricter regulations.
I just want to add something. In the first half of the year, partly it's because of the geological conditions that caused some of the production gap.
If the policy would allow that, we would have made up for the gap. Now, due to the policy and regulations, our supplementary production was quite slow.
In Q4, we will try to actively make up, and of course, we also need to respond to the safety regulations. Whether we can catch up as planned previously, well, it depends on the actual situation of our work.
We will try, but things are still a bit uncertain. Secondly, for the renovated Dahaize, according to Shaanxi authorities and also according to sources, Dahaize mine had serious loopholes, and we were instructed by local government to halt production for the accident.
It's more due to the lack of management by Shaanxi company on the outsourced teams, but the production halt is still unclear in terms of how long it is. Right now, it seems that the impact is limited.
It's not a significant impact on the company. Thank you.
Xiaoya Zhang
Thank you, Mr. Liu, Mr.
Jiang. Very clear.
Nothing else from my side. Thank you.
Operator
Next, 6999, please ask your question, but please provide your name and affiliation. Thank you.
Dear leaders, can you hear me?
Qun Jiang
Yes, please.
I'm from Kaiyuan, Wang Jixing. I also have a question about Dahaize.
For Dahaize, in the past, it has a reserved production capacity of 400 or 4.00. What was that like in the previous years?
In this year, how is Dahaize affecting the production volume? I don't know about Dahaize 2.
What is the progress of Dahaize 2? I also have two other questions, but please answer this one first.
Qun Jiang
Let me answer the first question. Yes, there is emergency reserve production capacity, but right now the policy doesn't allow it to release that.
Following this, we will consult with NDRC in terms of the production arrangement. Of course, we would want to not release Dahaize, but the reserve capacity of other mines.
That will be very favorable in terms of making up for the production gap. Then for the early phase of Dahaize, for the Dahaize number two, Planning Department, please.
Planning Department, please. We are arranging the early-phase procedures.
Now we are doing the overall planning and also the environmental impact assessment. According to the environmental authorities, Yulin and Ordos, we are evaluating the impact of the groundwater in those two places.
After that, we will start the next phase of the overall planning. Thank you.
Thank you. Another question about Wangjialing mine.
Due to the coalbed changes, there had been some impact on the production. Right now, what is the annual production like?
Qun Jiang
Liu Xiangping from Coal, please.
Xiangping Liu
Thank you for the question. For Wangjialing mine, the compliant production rate is 7.5 million ton.
From January to September, there have been some gaps. The main reasons are at the time, in '21, we actually did some recalculation for it to go from 6 million to 7.5 million.
For several years, the production was pretty high. Things got tighter after that, and also after May 2nd, the regulation was more stringent, and we had seen some production halts.
When we are trying to mine even deeper, there are some new requirements of shorter sessions and the tunnel. Right now, due to all the factors, there had been some production gaps.
In next year and the year after next, Wangjialing will still arrange the production according to the 7.5 million capacity. Now, with the tension getting more eased, we will try to maintain stable production.
Thank you.
Another question, also about Dahaize mine. Following this, for example, in terms of the regulation or the compliance, what will the cadence be like?
Do we have any expectation for that?
Qun Jiang
For Dahaize number two, we are still progressing the work, but we don't have a clearly defined timeline yet. I'm sorry.
I was actually asking about Dahaize one, or the one in halt. Actually we are consulting, but it's hard for us to judge.
Of course, we want it to be as short as possible.
Thank you. Thank you for the answer.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next, the text question.
From third quarter report, how does the cost affect, which will go towards amortization and the impact on finance by transportation, logistics, and all the other factors?
Qun Jiang
I'm sorry, can you repeat the question? It was pretty quick, like per-ton margin.
Can you go slower?
Operator
Seen from Q3, the per-ton margin, price, cost, and also the sub-cost items, which are more amortization or logistics or port, and so on? What are the relevant impacts?
Qun Jiang
Finance, Ms. Hu, please.
Qiaolin Chai
Thank you. For the self-produced commercial coal gross margin, the price was up, and we had an increase of 7.7 billion.
The coal price was up in first three quarters, and we also tried to improve the quality, and the price went up by 83 per ton. The total was 7.7 billion.
Then for the cost increase, there was a minus of 3.8 billion. Back then the cost was 297, up by 41 per ton.
As we reported, the production volume was down a bit, the impact was 1.3 billion. In terms of the cost elements, most of the cost items are affected by the production volume decrease.
The unit cost was up. For example, for material cost, it's kind of mixed cost, labor cost, and also amortization and depreciation, fixed cost, and transportation and port, that's variable cost.
For other cost, mostly it's the reduction of the use of the special fund. For the first three quarters, the cost was up mainly due to the production volume decrease and also the reduction of the use of the special fund.
It was 40 per ton, apart from the two, not a lot of changes in the cost. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you for the question and the answer. Next question: according to first three quarters, in Q3, the self-produced commercial coal cost was more than 200, up by 31 per ton.
For labor cost, it went from 52 to 83. Basically, that covers the whole increase.
Then for the sales and sales volume, basically, it was breaking even, it was not just amortization. What is the reason?
Also, will that go down in Q4? Thank you.
Hi.
Qiaolin Chai
In Q3, compared to Q2, there was a cost increase of 31, and labor cost did go up. Some of the companies, they withdrew the bonus, and that added to the cost.
Also, there are some other costs. For example, the surplus of special fund was higher than before.
In Q4, we will of course urge the companies to press down the cost and also make full use of the fund. As we said, we have some uncertainty on the production and volume, and also at the end of the year, the labor cost and maintenance cost may see some increase.
In Q4, there is serious tasks in trying to control our cost, we will try to scientifically manage the cost throughout the year. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you, dear leader, for the answer. Next question: in the coal industry, we are trying to shift towards the supportive energy, and right now, there are smart mine upgrade, and so on.
Independent Director, how do we view that kind of transition? How will you try to supervise the company to try to utilize the financial toolbox and try to respond more responsibly to the small shareholders?
Yanjing Zhan
Now, if we look at the valuation, you can see that we went from the high place to the current level. We think that's a normal trend.
At first, the high point was related to the Middle East, and then the situation was more due to the independent or domestic situation. Also we're faced with the work safety issue.
Right now, for our share price, we think that it's normal and reasonable. Second, in terms of the valuation management, we have done a lot.
Last year, after the national nine clauses, there was the valuation management method and also other methods, like for example, creating value and to improve the performance and stabilizing the quality and also to support emerging industries. In terms of reporting, for our dividend payout, we went from 30% to 35%.
We think that's a very good level, and we also urge the management to make full use of the policies and the toolbox to also manage our valuation better, and also return better to our mid and small-sized shareholders, and stabilize our production to give them more certain expectations.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next question.
Q3 report showed the increase of R&D cost, and a lot went to the coal-based new material. For those proactive projects, how do we identify the capitalization rate or the CapEx?
When looking at the long-term return and the shareholder return, how do we do the risk management? Thank you.
Qiaolin Chai
Thank you for the question. According to the internal control and also the financial methods, our R&D cost is, of course, divided in the research and the development phase.
According to the accounting standard, only the ones that can get into CapEx will go into CapEx. We have been increasing the research and development cost on the new quality productive force.
From the BOD perspective, for all of the projects, we need to go through the feasibility study, and we need to go through the board approval. The high investment or for the long-term projects, they are part of the transition of the company.
We can see that the production or the product structure of the company had always been improving. From the BOD, we will look at the benefit, the return, efficiency, and risk to maintain sustainable growth of the company.
Thank you.
Qun Jiang
Just now for the R&D expense, let me add something. For the R&D expense, we can't say that most of it went to coal-based new material.
Actually, it went to our main business like coal, coal chemical, and the coal mine equipment. In that, of course, we had covered some in the coal-based new material, but we cannot say the majority went to that.
Also, I think the data may be problematic, because in Q3, what we disclosed, the R&D cost went up by 5.9%. Maybe, if needed, Finance Department can communicate further.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next question.
For the first three quarters of 610 million non-operating expense, especially for the overdue cost, did we conduct the compliance review and the finance report process? Is there any loopholes in terms of the control and management?
Okay.
Qiaolin Chai
In Q2, I already explained the questions. If you need further explanation, the finance can further communicate.
Then secondly, from the BOD perspective, we didn't find any loopholes in the compliance and efficiency and other areas. Let me add something on the non-operating expense.
You said that 610 million, it's mostly due to the tax special project to make up for the overdue fees. That's because of the difference in terms of the implementation methods of the tax.
Actually, there is no administrative punishment involved. Then for the depreciation and for the cost of asset retirement, it's already distributed in different departments.
They have gone through the retirement process. Okay.
Operator
The next question, for Dahaize number two, what is the progress like and the commissioning date? Libi, Mindong progress?
Thank you.
Xiangping Liu
Thank you for the question. For Dahaize number two, we've already answered that, I can repeat that.
For Dahaize 2, we are actively progressing the overall planning and also the EIA. According to the Ministry of Environment and Resource, Yulin and Ordos is conducting the evaluation on its impact on the groundwater, and after the evaluation, we will further progress the overall planning.
For the progress, we still need to wait for further notice. Then for Pingxiang, Mayingpu, and Fengyu well, they are in the Shuonan mine zone.
We have conducted the geological survey already, and up to now, we have finished eight times of well reservation, it's valid towards October 2028. Since that mine zone is in the reserved water zone, if we need to carry on, we need the approval of the water authority, and the local government is coordinating that process.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next question: Pingxiang's resource acquisition and the progress.
Just to clarify, does it mean which part of the resource in Pingxiang?
Xiangping Liu
Let's talk about [Antaibao?] zone.
For the work there, we are actively progressing. We expect that in the near term or at the end of this year or the beginning of next year, there may be some breakthroughs, and we can see some clear progress.
Then for the other reserve zones in Pingxiang, I think the previous answer already covered that, Mayingpu, right? We are also progressing the work.
Of course, it involves different approvals, we are progressing according to plan.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Then three small questions.
First question: in Q3, the coking coal price had seen some rise, then for the affiliated company, the return was down a bit. What was the reason of that and the outlook for Q4?
Thank you.
Qiaolin Chai
Hello. For the affiliated companies, apart from coal investment, there are also some power plants.
With the power price increasing, some of the power generation companies had lower margin.
Operator
Okay. The second small question is the outlook of dividend.
Then the third question, in Q4 and throughout the year, the outlook on the per-ton coal of cost.
Qiaolin Chai
Can you repeat the two questions?
Operator
The second question was the outlook on dividend. The third question, sorry,
Qiaolin Chai
can you repeat? Can you hear me?
The second question, the third, please repeat.
Operator
Okay. Second question, the dividend outlook.
Third, in Q4 and throughout the year, the self-produced coal per-ton cost.
Qun Jiang
For the dividend, let me answer. We're also balancing the return and the future development.
We're still trying to maintain a stable dividend policy. Since our IPO, our dividend payout had always been above 30%, and recently to respond to the call on improving the quality of listed company finance and also to respond to the expectation of the shareholders, we took two measures.
One, the annual dividend payout was raised from 30% to 35%. We also increased the frequency of the dividend payout, and for three years in a row, we had interim dividend payouts.
At the end of this year, the dividend payout would be confirmed by BOD at the beginning of next year. Also, we expect very stable dividend payout, but as for the detailed ratio, it depends on our confirmation, but we are committed to providing stable feedback for the shareholders.
The third question, Finance, please answer.
Qiaolin Chai
The cost in Q4, right? Throughout the year, the cost expectation is that we will maintain very scientific and reasonable management on the cost.
Let me add something. For the cost, China Coal Energy had always been dedicated in managing the cost.
Sometimes the cost has its rigid part. In Q4, for the company, at the end of the year, we are faced with the closure of finance.
According to our previous years, sometimes there can be some fluctuation on the cost, but it depends on the production in Q4. For example, right now, we're trying to expand our production scale, but still there are uncertainties in the production and sales, so that can cause some impact on the cost.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you. Next question: in the next three years, any planning for the production and sales?
Qun Jiang
Coal Division, please.
Xiangping Liu
Thank you for the question. Let me answer about the trend in coal.
If we look at 2026, we have 25 coal mines in production or being built. The total production capacity is 168 million.
We have 23 mines in production with the capacity of 161 million ton. For the coal mines being built, 7 million ton, two mines.
In the 15th Five-Year Plan, the company, according to the plan of production capacity increase verification method, we want to increase our capacity. We also want to phase out the old and lagging behind mines.
We actually did a sort-out. We expect that by 2030, the total production rate would be 1.8 trillion ton.
I want to add some 180 million ton.
Qun Jiang
I want to add something. That is just our plan.
Of course, there will be some uncertainties involved, this is just a piece of information for reference. Then Mr.
Xu, can you answer about the chemical?
Thank you. For chemical, according to the 15th Five-Year Plan, we expect the production increase to be around 4 million ton with the existing 6 million, at the end of the 15th Five-Year Plan, we will reach the capacity of 10 million ton.
Basically, that's the situation. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next question: as the end of the year is coming, the long-term thermal coal or power coal contract will be negotiated.
We say that we have a 75% of the signing rate and 90% of the fulfillment rate. How is that progress going?
Will you more timely and more transparently release the price changes and the production arrangement, the price changes for the long-term price and the spot price?
Qun Jiang
Marketing and Sales Office, Mr. Li, please.
Ping Li
Thank you for the question. Starting from the end of October, basically, the coal power plants are initiating the long-term contract negotiation, and for our company, we also would adhere to that cadence and do the work.
Internally, for our own resource and logistics resources, we will try to orchestrate better, and we would also look at the national policy, and we will study the market situation in 2027, and then accordingly, we will make some marketing and sales decisions, and then we will start the implementation on the booking of all the production of 2027. Things are actually earlier than the previous years.
According to the requirements and also, as you mentioned, the 75% and 90%, we may see some minor adjustments on that. Recently, NDRC just released the mid-to-long-term contract protective methods, laying down some of the details, and also for the fluctuation in 2026, and also there's the deviation of the long-term contract and the spot price, and there had been some impact by the international situation on the market.
It seems that our national government will issue some policies. Then for China Coal Energy, first, we need to do the work early, and we need to further make our work more granular, and then we would need to refer to the national policy, but we don't foresee major changes.
Then for the actual numbers and the price structure changes, of course, we will use various channels to communicate and release the information. If you are interested, please keep in touch.
Thank you.
Qun Jiang
I want to add one thing about the information disclosure. For the production and sales plan, in our annual report, we actually disclose that information.
We disclose the annual production target for the main products. For every month, we periodically disclose the completion rate, and also for the sales and production numbers, we release every month.
For the completion, of course, we would have the in-detail report every quarter. If you have any questions, of course, you can reach out to our IR Department, and of course, we welcome your question at any time.
Every month, we have the monthly IR communication mechanism, you can just communicate with our IR to get to know the monthly situation. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next question: how does the company balance the stability of long-term contract and the flexible extra return in the spot market?
In the winter season, how do you organize the approach? Thank you.
Qun Jiang
Every year, China Coal Energy would refer to NDRC's requirements as well as our own resource, and make serious efforts in arranging the long-term contracts, the whereabouts, and also manage the price structures. For the long-term contracts, in this year, you see that there had been some fluctuation, and also we had run into difficulty in production, but as a central enterprise, this is our obligation.
Of course, the long-term contracts would predate other business arrangements. In terms of the fulfillment of the long-term contract, we had always been stable.
From January to September, our fulfillment rate had always been higher than 90%, as requested by NDRC. Then for the winter peak time, of course, every year the demand in winter is higher, and also in this winter, we may run into tighter supply and also difficult logistics.
Of course, we would tackle this head-on and try to guarantee our long-term contract, because this year, we have made some preparations in the long-term contract negotiation and in terms of the fulfillment, we won't foresee a lot of adjustments. Thank you.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Next question: for PO, polyolefin, we've seen rise on both volume and price.
The volume went up by 16.7%, and the price went up by 17%. The cost went down by a lot as well.
I think behind the stage, it's because of the conflict in Middle East that created the gap of price in coal and oil. If the oil price falls down, where is the safety margin on the coal chemical?
How do we rely on the integrated or complex facility to maintain the stable cost? Also for Yulin PO, for the liquid solar, we also have seen some production arrangement in the future.
In 2027, how much will they contribute to the margin and revenue in 2027?
Qun Jiang
Chemical, please.
First question: for the international oil price increase or the potential falls and the impact on chemical, right? Currently speaking, the geopolitical tensions caused the oil price increase.
For chemical, with the rise, of course, proportionally, we have seen some price increases. Then for coal chemical, it's, of course, good news, and the overall margin is on the rise.
Then you talked about the balance point or the safety margin. According to the previous years of oil price, basically, $70 is kind of like the balance point of oil and coal chemical.
So $70 at $70, basically, they are very similar. In the future, if there are potential oil price drops, then we still need to increase the production volume to reduce the unit cost, and also we need to reduce the energy and material consumption to realize the control of our margin.
The second question about the 900,000 ton coal to olefin, right now, we have been doing some pre-commissioning testing. It seems that in November, we can do a startup.
The other is the liquid solar, the startup, I think for the chemical part, we can do some commissioning at the end of the year, and we can do some trial production. Then for the new energy part, things may delay a little bit.
For the full unit production, I think it will be in Q1 next year. You talked about the phase two of Yulin.
After that's commissioned, what is the impact on the margin next year? I should say, for Yulin phase two, for especially PO, along with Yulin 1, and I think they are very different in their attribute in their products.
Of course, we want to diversify and premiumize, and that is our guiding principle when we organize our production. Because in Yulin, there's the HDPE and also the PP process, they are different.
In terms of high added value, I think it will be reflected. In Yulin 1, I think after Yulin 2 is in production, I think it will definitely contribute to more margin.
Operator
Thank you. Thank you for the answer.
Since time is limited, we will have the last question. Please control it within one or two questions.
Hi, good afternoon. My name is Jin Chen.
Thank you for the opportunity. I have two small questions.
First, for the thermal coal, how high is the calorific value? The second question is in Q2 and Q3, for commercial coal, the production was 31 million ton, because you want to guarantee stable supply, right?
In Q4, can we recover to the level of 34, 35 million ton? We would only want to hear the guideline on that.
Thank you.
Qun Jiang
Sorry, let me repeat the question, because some of it was not that clear. First, you are talking about the calorific value of the thermal coal, and can we sustain that product structure, right?
In other words, the relative high calorific value coal, will we maintain stable production on that, right?
Yes. Second question is about the Q4 commercial coal production.
Can that recover to the previous level? You mean to 35 million?
Qun Jiang
Yeah, 34, 35 million ton.
Yeah. You're comparing against the history, right?
Qun Jiang
The two questions. About product structure and the calorific value, and the second is about the production plan.
Liu Xiangping from Coal, please.
Xiangping Liu
Thank you for the question. To answer the first question, for the quality of coal in recent years, in 2026, our sold coal was 4,900.
Compared to the previous years, it was stable. We have different methods of improving the coal quality, for example, on the mining side, and also we reduced the mixture of dry and wet, and also we would look at the market and dynamically shift our structures of coal.
Then for the future, whether this can be sustained, if you look at the annual plan and our future arrangement, first, of course, we want the quality to remain relatively stable. Also, we want to look at the market situation and improve our quality.
Basically, that's in a certain way guaranteed. Second, in terms of the following three months, the capacity and production arrangement, according to the national and local policy on stabilizing supply, it stated that for every month, we can produce according to no more than 1/12 of the annual production capacity.
That means in the following three months, we cannot do overproduction. Right now, especially in Shaanxi, it's unlikely that we will see a big production release.
Basically, we can maintain the level of full release of capacity. Thank you.
Qun Jiang
Let me add something. First, for the coal quality and also the structure, just now Mr.
Liu answered, and also the other thing is that our structure would, of course, fit the market demand, we would determine the production according to the sales. Improving the quality of coal in a certain way will affect the total production.
If the market has higher demand on the low calorific value coals, we would also adjust accordingly to enlarge the low calorific value coal sales. The overall principle is to prioritize the efficiency of the company.
Second, I think several questions are about the Q4 production. The overall principle is that we will try our best to make up for the gap, but affected by the policy, compared to the previous, we may have some gap, but we will try to finish our goal of making up for the gap, but of course, it's affected by policy.
Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you, Mr.
Jiang. Thank you, dear leaders.
Very clear.
Operator
Thank you for the answer. Thank you, investors, for the communication.
That is the end for the Q&A. Any summary by the leaders?
Qun Jiang
Thank you, dear analysts and investors. If you have any follow-up questions, please continue to reach out to our IR.
Thank you. That is the end for today.
Thank you.
Operator
Thank you for your participation. That is the end for today.
Goodbye.
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