Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited

Wharf Real Estate Investment Company Limited

3.52
EUR
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8.14BMarket Cap
Mar 10Next Earn

Q4 FY2025 · Earnings Call TranscriptMarch 10, 2026

Angela Ng

Afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Wharf REIC final results presentation.

I am Angela Ng from the IR team. You can download the PowerPoint presentation from the QR code on this LED wall.

Our management presenting today includes Mr. Stephen Ng, Chairman and Managing Director, and Mr.

Horace Lee, Director. Before I go through the PowerPoint presentation, let me first invite the Chairman for an opening remarks.

Stephen Ng

Welcome to all of you, and a very belated Happy New Year. Last year, 2025 was certainly not an easy year for investment properties in Hong Kong.

You all know about the oversupply and then the weak demand. In spite of that, we did as well as we could, but the big difference last year was, of course, interest savings.

The world was going through a strange time, and continues to do so. 2 weeks ago, we started to write reports for today's board meeting and for the announcements.

Then, of course, in the middle of it, you all know what happened. We had to quickly scramble and redo parts of it.

It's a great deal of uncertainty, and if you attended some of our peers' results briefings 2 weeks ago, and if you were to ask them the same question today, they may be giving you a very different answer. In a way, we're fortunate.

We have the benefit of being 2 weeks later. We still don't have the answer.

With that, I'd like to hand back to Angela, and we'll chat afterwards.

Angela Ng

Thank you, Chairman. Let me start the presentation.

The theme for the presentation is Market Challenges Dampen Group Profitability. Let's take a look at the results highlights.

In 2025, Hong Kong's economy showed tentative signs of improvement, but global risks and uncertainties continue to create external headwinds, which have weighed on the group's profitability. During the year, our underlying net profit delivered a solid 5% increase.

Dividend per share rose by 6% to $1.32, representing a year-on-year increase of 10% in the second half. This performance was supported by the group's ongoing deleveraging efforts.

Net debt fell to 32 billion and gearing reached a new low of 17.2%. As a result, interest costs declined significantly, more than offsetting the mild reductions in revenue and profit.

Our investment properties portfolio remained resilient with an overall occupancy rate of 92%. NAV per share was $59.85 as at the year-end, representing a 3% mild drop.

This slide highlights some economic indicators for the Hong Kong market. A rebound in the local stock market and residential property market, supported by a more favorable interest rate environment, provided a much-needed lift to the business climate last year.

Inbound tourism also became more vibrant, with full-year visitors rising 12% and a more diversified mix of visitors, with non-mainland visitors increasing by 15%. This positive momentum, combined with a stronger Renminbi and improved local sentiment, helped retail sales turn positive in May last year, closing the year with a 1% increase.

Despite these positive indicators, the overall consumption recovery remained uneven, posing a persistent challenge for landlords and the broader retail sector. In the second half of the year, Hong Kong's retail sales grew 5%, suggesting the market may be forming a new base.

The recovery was mainly driven by discretionary spending. However, retailers' confidence remained fragile amid ongoing sector headwinds.

As retail rent typically lags retail sales, Harbour City's retail revenue grew by a more modest 2% during the same period. For the office market, although office leasing activities regained traction, downward pressure on rental rates did not ease as the market continued to absorb significant new supply.

In 2025, our office portfolio maintained an occupancy rate of over 90%, outperforming the market. Our tenant retention also remained strong at over 80%.

This highlights the advantages of our prime locations and the unique drawing power of mixed-use offerings, most notably the Harbour City office cluster, which is a key hub for insurance and wealth management. We also continued to enhance the quality and appeal of our offices through ongoing upgrades.

As the market demand still lags supply in Hong Kong, our Hong Kong IP revenue slipped by 2%. Harbour City remained the key contributor, delivering a steady performance and accounting for around 80% of our Hong Kong IP revenue.

For retail, the improvement in foot traffic is yet to translate into stronger financial performance. Rental reversion remains challenging.

Office revenue increased by 1% on improved occupancy, though negative reversion persists. Now let's take a look at the financial highlights.

Our Hong Kong IP and hotel underlying net profit, which is our core UNP, increased by 7%, driven primarily by over 600 million reduction in borrowing costs, which more than offset the mild declines in revenue and operating profit. The non-cash and unrealized IP revaluation deficit led to a group loss, but cap rates remained unchanged.

Our dividend policy has been consistent since IPO. Full-year DPS increased by 6% to $1.32.

Given the volatile global economic outlook and uncertain interest rate trajectory, we remain vigilant and continue to prioritize a strong balance sheet and capital flexibility. While asset values declining, we continue to deleverage to keep gearing low.

With 83% of debt in floating rate, we benefit from lower HIBOR, reducing average interest cost by 1.5 percentage points to 4.1%. Interest cover remains strong and our financial health is affirmed by Moody's A2 rating with stable outlook.

In the following slides, we will walk through our performance of Hong Kong investment properties. Firstly, Harbour City, which is a gem in our portfolio and also the best location for luxury and all brands looking to establish a strong presence or flagship in Hong Kong.

During the year, retail revenue remained stable with occupancy at 92%. Office revenue rose and occupancy increased to 91%, supported by sizeable commitments from insurance and wealth management companies.

The mall continues to deliver an optimal trade mix that meets the market needs. Here you could see the balanced mix of trade at Harbour City, and its retail rental was stable at 5 billion.

During the year, a number of international and domestic brands expanded or made debut at Harbour City, including Louis Vuitton's expansion to 4 stories, Lao Pu Gold's second store in the mall, Urban Revivo's Hong Kong debut, and BAPE Cafe Kowloon debut. For Times Square, it continues to rejuvenate the tenant mix.

Louis Vuitton opened and LOEWE expanded. Trendy F&B options were also added on the basement level.

Retail occupancy was 95% and office occupancy was 90% with high retention rate. Then we will switch to our hotel portfolio, which includes the three Marco Polo hotels on Canton Road and The Murray under Niccolo brand.

The hotel sector is energized by a more vibrant inbound tourism market. The group's hotel revenue and occupancy both improved, although average room rates were behind expectation as customer remains price-sensitive.

The Canton Road hotels delivered solid results for both room revenue and non-room revenue, driven by new room categories and targeted promotions. The Murray also recorded double-digit growth in occupancy and RevPAR.

Also, we are proud that The Murray received the One Michelin Key, recognizing its exceptional hospitality. Now we will go through our effort and performance in sustainability.

Last year, the group's near-term science-based targets were approved by SBTi, which mark an important milestone for our sustainability efforts. Our efforts in ESG also earned us strong ratings and green building certifications, including LEED Platinum for Times Square and Harbour City's offices.

Sustainable financing made up 37% of financing as of December last year, while an accumulate total of 17.5 billion sustainability-linked loans has been arranged. More details about our ESG efforts could be found in the PowerPoint presentation.

In the final part of the presentation, we will walk through the global and Hong Kong outlook, which some of you may have already read in the results announcement released this afternoon. The current business environment is characterized by significant and accelerating global disruptions.

First, geopolitical tensions and intensifying global conflicts are reshaping markets and compressing planning horizons for corporates. Second, rapid technological change, particularly China's advancing innovation and the pervasive influence of AI, is creating new opportunities while disrupting the traditional ones.

Finally, the consumer markets are also evolving quickly, requiring retailers to adapt their strategies to demographic shifts and the rapid expansion of e-commerce. In this volatile environment, navigating instability and transformation becomes our primary challenge.

For Hong Kong, even though Hong Kong's economic recovery is gaining momentum, the outlook remains mixed. Global risks and external disruptions could slow the recovery pace.

In addition, the broad challenges facing the local investment properties sector continue to put pressure on asset productivity. Amid this ongoing disruption, the group will maintain low leverage and healthy financial position, and remained prepared to navigate the headwinds ahead.

That concludes my presentation. We will now proceed to the Q&A section.

A quick housekeeping note for the analysts before we begin: if you have any questions, please raise your hand, our hotel staff will provide you with a microphone, and please identify yourself and say the organization you represent before asking the question. You may feel free to ask no more than two questions each time.

Now, may I invite Mr. Ng and Mr.

Lee to come to the stage, please? Now may I invite the first question, maybe from Cindy from Citi?

Thank you. This is Cindy from Citi.

Two questions from me. The first is on retail sales sentiment.

I heard just now you've mentioned footfalls are growth. Wondering what was retail sales been in the second half last year, and how that was in the first 2 months this year?

Would you expect the strong retail sentiment to translate into better reversions later for 2026? The second question is on your asset enhancement.

I noticed there's some 1 billion capital commitment for Hong Kong IP in your result announcement. Do you have any details behind the usage of that 1 billion?

Also, the hotel performance was quite good you've just mentioned, is there any change to your thinking about the urgency to renovate the Marco Polo Hotel? Thank you.

Stephen Ng

Thank you. Our retail sales, Hong Kong retail sales first of all starting with that, started to pick up in the middle of last year, and apparently was gaining strength towards the end of the year.

In January this year opened quite well, a bit of a pleasant surprise considering that January this year was pre-Chinese New Year, whereas January last year was Chinese New Year. We have some early numbers ourselves from February sales.

We don't have all the numbers yet, but we have some early numbers. It indicates the continuation of some strength in February, but I can't confirm it yet, not until we've done the remaining data.

That was all very encouraging. Again, of course, Iran happened, and oil prices, possible economic downturn, inflation, interest rate may not be coming down as quickly as people had hoped, and all of those things.

If you asked 10 people, you would probably get 10 answers. I certainly am not the guru here.

Assuming Iran does not create lasting negative impact to the gentle momentum that we were seeing, I would hope that Hong Kong retail sales would continue to creep up. I use the term "creep" rather than "jump".

In the in most of last last year, most of the second half of last year was a minor increase year-on-year. Within the overall retail pie, some sectors were actually doing not very well.

The out-performers were, for instance, jewelry, gold included in particular, and electronics was so also doing very well in some months. Whether or not gold will continue, we don't know, but gold prices of course also going crazy.

Some of the other things are not as strong as people would have liked. That's why we we see the recovery being rather uneven.

As far as rent is concerned, we're still digesting the lagging effect from the fairly persistent sales decline since 2023. As there is ordinarily a lag between sales or between between, well I guess, sales and rent.

We're still digesting that, and I don't expect that digestion to have completed in the year 2026. Again, this assuming Iran doesn't happen or doesn't doesn't leave lasting negative impressions.

What we can what we can hope for, however, is although there is negative base rent reversion, we're hoping if sales continues to creep up, then at least we can recoup some of it in the form of turnover rent. That's I I'm not I'm not guaranteeing it.

I I cannot. That is that situation.

What was the other question?

Angela Ng

1 billion CapEx. Oh,

Stephen Ng

a lot of the CapEx goes into actually the office. Some of our offices are becoming older, and in order to regain competitiveness, we're redoing the public areas like bathrooms and corridors, in some cases the lifts, escalators, and so on.

As both Harbour City and Times Square are facing significant increase in new supply. New supply will be newer buildings, better designed, and so on.

Now there are a lot of things we can't change with old buildings. We can't change the structure, we can't change the heights, and so on.

There are other things that we can do. Whatever we can do, we will incur CapEx intelligently to make them more competitive.

Far, we've been able to maintain reasonable occupancy in our offices, and we will remain flexible in terms of lease terms to maintain as practically high an occupancy as possible. In terms of the Marco Polo Hongkong Hotel, we're still reviewing different schemes about renovation versus redevelopment, and no decision has been taken yet.

In the meantime, what we're doing is we're spending what is practically required to keep the hotel running as a viable hotel for competition purposes.

Angela Ng

Thank you. May I have the next question from Karl Chan, J.P.

Morgan?

Karl Chan

Thank you very much everyone, management. I have two questions.

My first question is a follow-up question on retail. Just curious if you can share a bit on the magnitude of the negative rental reversion in the second half.

Looking forward to 2026, do you expect that the negative rental reversion will narrow or roughly the same as last year? In your base case, assuming that the Iran thing would not drag for too long, when do you expect the rental reversion may turn stable?

That would be my first question. The second question is on Times Square, because Times Square has still been a big drag to our profitability.

Just curious, what's our plan for Times Square, especially now we are facing increasing competition from Hysan, right? Do we have some medium to long-term plan on how to revive Times Square as a shopping destination in Causeway Bay?

That would be my second question. Thank you.

Stephen Ng

Thank you. Negative rental reversion, obviously every tenancy is different, but overall I'd say we are seeing single-digit negative rental reversion overall.

Obviously it depends on location, but it also importantly depends on when the last lease was signed. During COVID, it was necessary to be flexible.

Some of the leases were longer and others were shorter, the last renewal came at different times. We don't see that negative rental reversion, the scale of it, improving too much this year.

We'll need to rely on occupancy, maintaining occupancy and hopefully improving it, and turnover rent to maintain retail revenue income. Times Square is in a very competitive part of town.

Unlike Harbour City, Harbour City is in a scale to be a market leader in Tsim Sha Tsui; Times Square does not. Also the design of Times Square is different from that of let's say the Hysan portfolio.

We don't, for instance, have a lot of street front. Most of the retail is inside a mall.

We need to compete differently. We don't have a grand plan, to speak, to expend billions of dollars to redo the place.

No. We'll be doing it incrementally, which is why you don't see CapEx reserved of the scale that some of our peers talk about: 10 billion, 100 billion, or whatever.

We don't have that kind of expenditure in our plan. We'll be spending incrementally.

We'll be also spending on OpEx, marketing, and so on. Not necessarily spending more on marketing, but spending more intelligently within the marketing budget, the allocation of where we spend and how to spend it.

At the moment, we don't have a grand plan. On the other hand, having said that, as Angela's presentation indicated, Harbour City is 80% of the company.

Angela Ng

Thank you. May we have the next question from Mark, UBS?

Thank you management. This is Mark from UBS.

I have a follow-up question regarding on the competition as well. I think we discussed about the office as well as maybe in Causeway Bay, Times Square.

Just want to check maybe for Harbour City, we also have a nearby mall ramping up, maybe LV is expanding one of the Asia largest luxury store and Dior open a pop-up there. On the left-hand side, we also got a new office building maybe from Sun Hung Kai.

Just want to check what is our strategy for both leasing and asset preservation for Harbour City as well? I think that's the first question.

Second question I think is regarding on your statements. You mentioned on a few things, right?

About the online retail threat, fading luxury goods glory, what is our strategy behind under this kind of challenge we are facing for our near-term or long-term leasing strategy? The last one is regarding on AI.

You mentioned a lot of things in AI. We're looking at our 7 billion equity investment portfolio, most of them is property.

Just want to check if you want to switch some to AI stocks? Thank you.

Stephen Ng

Okay. There are two parts or two parts to your property question: there's the office part and there's the retail part.

The Sun Hung Kai new supply is in the office mainly. As I was saying, we do expect keen competition for tenants, both in Tsim Sha Tsui and in Causeway Bay.

One of the things we'll be doing is we need to be flexible with tenants to retain them and to attract them, and hopefully to encourage them to grow as well. Leasing flexibility is important to maintain a respectable occupancy rate.

Good news is with a higher occupancy rate we get more contribution to management fees and air conditioning and footfall and everything else. That's an important part of our office strategy, overall strategy.

In retail, most of the brands that have their flagships in Harbour City have other stores, not too far from where Harbour City is. Obviously they would look at their bottom line too.

In having to run two stores, they incur twice the running cost. They would have done the numbers.

They would need to be satisfied that at the end of the day, the total return to them would not be diluted. We believe we still have the main flagship in Hong Kong for our Canton Road stores, LV as an example.

Then it's not a short lease either, we're not concerned that there would be significant erosion. We will, of course, need to continue to help our tenants to trade better, and that will be done through marketing.

We're certainly not complacent about retail competition either, but in the immediate year, the office supply is quite significant. They are newer products, as I said.

In retail at least, it's not necessarily the condition of the product that determines who wins; it's who trades better. In office, it's a slightly different scenario, so that's where we need to work harder.

The other question was, yes, online threat, AI, and so on. AI, I have to admit I'm still learning.

I don't have LOVSTA yet, and I'm trying to figure out what LOVSTA is about. Either way, if somebody can help me, I would appreciate it.

We're definitely still learning how to use AI. We're in the property business, and therefore we're not considering switching our listed investments from properties into tech.

The other factor is actually the property stocks that we hold are a good and fairly stable source of dividend income, which we don't think tech stocks would give us. We're not in the business of trading them anyway.

I don't think we'd be in a hurry to switch into tech stocks. Online, my personal view is online retail in Hong Kong, while still growing, would probably not be reaching or be increased from the current 18% market share to let's say 25% anytime soon.

In particular, that part of retail which is more vulnerable to online would not be our main business. That will obviously have possibly an ancillary impact on the ecosystem.

That is something that we remind ourselves about all the time.

Angela Ng

Thank you. May we have the next question from Jeff, DBS?

Hi, management. I have two I have two questions.

The first question regarding the rental reversion, also the turnover rent. When you look at the number of the average rent of Harbour City, is still 3% higher than in 2024.

Does this mean that the turnover rent increases more than offset the impact of the negative rental reversion? On the other hand, the Times Square, the average rent is substantially below the level seen in 2024.

Given that the overall turnover rent is 7% lower than in the previous year, what is the major reason behind? Is because of the turnover rent decline or negative rental reversion?

The second question is about the contribution of the turnover rent. What percent of the total retail income came from turnover rent in 2024?

Also the occupancy cost was so, let's see?

Stephen Ng

Okay. It's sometimes misleading, even dangerous, to look at turnover rent in isolation.

If we want high turnover rent, it's very easy: we just cancel the base rent. Everything is turnover rent!

Obviously that is not the way to run our business. It is sometimes, as I said, misleading and possibly dangerous to look at turnover rent in isolation without looking at the bigger picture.

The turnover rent in 2025 overall was lower than in 2024. If you're referring to the increase in total retail rent over 2024, that was in relation to the second half, second half.

You need to be careful to look at 6 months. It's a lot more informative to look at 12 because sometimes cutoffs affect half-on-half performance.

For the year as a whole, retail rent was rather flat, my recollection. Yeah.

Turnover rent fell. Base rent actually held up reasonably well last year as a whole, but the effect will probably start to show in 2026.

I think that is probably the best way to describe the picture to you. Occupancy cost?

In Harbour City we're running at about 20%.

Angela Ng

Okay. Then may we have the next question, if there is any, maybe from Arthur Wang, Goldman Sachs?

Alpha Wang

Thank you for taking my question. I have two questions.

The first one is could you share a little bit more color on your tenant sales performance compared to the overall market in second half or year-to-date? The second question is on the balance sheet management.

We have been deleveraging in the past few years, and now gearing come to a relatively low level as 17.2%. What's management's intention in the next few years?

Or do you plan to degear further in light of the macro uncertainties, or are you comfortable with the current gearing level? Thank you.

Stephen Ng

Our immediate plan is to continue to degear: A, to be better prepared in case of economic downturn; and B, in case there are new investment opportunities, then at least we'd be in a position to take advantage of them. It's both defensive and possibly offensive, but defense above offense.

The other question? Oh, tenant sales.

Tenant sales last year, particularly second half, we were slightly below Hong Kong market. One of the main reasons is our share of the sectors that outperformed.

Take as an example, gold. Our share of the gold market is smaller than our share of, let's say, the leather market.

Gold played a big part in total retail sales in Hong Kong last year and into the first part of this year. Having said that, I should add that in January, we exceeded the Hong Kong average rather well.

That's 1 month. All right, that's 1 month.

I'd be very quick to say that. All right?

We need to wait for February and other months. To answer your question, last year, particularly second half, we trailed the Hong Kong average by a little bit.

Angela Ng

Thank you. We will take the question from Karl Choi, Bank of America.

Karl Choi

Yes, two questions. First, just want to go back to the Marco Polo Hotel renovation.

I think a lot of investors were quite concerned about the potential disruptions to tenant sales and foot traffic. Any sort of further thinking about your latest plan, how that can be minimized?

Second is going back to the question about AI. I think every sector is dealing with potential disruptions from AI.

What's your latest thinking about how AI could impact demand for our services or our property?

Stephen Ng

Okay. Disruption.

We are concerned, too, which is why it's taken us so much time to try to work out a scheme. If you look at it more clinically, the current Marco Polo Hongkong Hotel, first of all, there's the hotel on top, and if we were to close the hotel itself, it probably would not cause too much disruption.

Then there is the retail underneath, and the retail comprises primarily a very large Lane Crawford, a large cinema, which has been closed for a year, and we're not in a hurry to reopen that because it actually is not a competitive product, and we need to incur significant expenditure to redo it to make it leasable. Then we have some more retail on the third level.

If we were to close it tomorrow, actually it wouldn't affect the pedestrian flow that much. There's little or no pedestrian flow impact.

Yes, on the one hand, in a sensitive market, any change can lead to unforeseen risks, but on the other hand, we try to quantify the risk; it's not that significant. Having said that, the important thing about either renovation or redevelopment, in particular about redevelopment, is if we redevelop, we would be investing billions of dollars, and we would be getting a building which we would need to work with for the next 50 years.

What are we going to build? I think that's a more important question, because if we don't come up with the right scheme, the capital expenditure may not be well incurred.

If it's not a redevelopment, if it's a renovation overhaul, the CapEx will be much smaller. Then on the other hand, we would not be getting a new building, and it would still be an aged building.

That is the choice we're having to make. AI's impact on property?

Initially, it helps on the property management side. It helps to manage the properties more efficiently, providing better service and reducing costs.

That's already gradually been introduced into the property management stream. Then, of course, the other aspect is marketing.

Then at the back end, obviously a lot of administrative work can benefit from it, too. Bits and pieces here and there.

Whether or not we can pull all of it together to quantify the benefit of it, we don't know yet.

Angela Ng

Thank you. In the interest of time, we will now receive the last question from Raymond, HSBC.

Thank you, management. This is Raymond from HSBC.

I got two questions. Number one is about balance sheet management, in particular to the interest cost related question, because one of the big improvement in terms of the profitability is related to the interest savings.

Can management share with us more about your hedging policy and the way that we should think about how Wharf REIC is going to improved the interest savings or net interest expense in the next 12 months' time? This is first questions.

The second question is actually about the repositioning of the high-end retailers in Hong Kong. Seems that over the past 12 to 18 months, a lot of high-end retailers have started to repositioned or actually increasing the exposures in the Greater China region, in particular Hong Kong.

Can you share a bit more about what's happening here, and can you share with more color based on your observation on as well as your conversation with them? Thank you.

Stephen Ng

Thank you. You said balance sheet management, actually interest rate management.

We still believe in floating versus fixed. We did a little bit of hedging into fixed a couple of years ago.

We don't have any current plans to switch more into fixed. We were tempted by the lower-cost Renminbi, but of course we don't have Renminbi assets, which is why we didn't go into it, although our sister company does and did and still does to hedge against their Renminbi assets.

In the foreseeable future, 2026 in particular, we expect to stay in Hong Kong dollars, and we expect to be substantially in floating.

Angela Ng

For

Stephen Ng

repositioning of high-end retailers, I'm not sure I understand what you mean by repositioning.

See for example the expansion of LV, there were two more two flagship stores in Tsim Sha Tsui. We are seeing a lot more phenomenon within both three or four major areas in Hong Kong.

Stephen Ng

Now, geographically, the market in, let's say, Tsim Sha Tsui is quite different from the market in Central. You get different customers.

On the other hand, most brands, as far as we know, would still rather have fewer rather than more flagships. That is why it's important for us to keep the flagship in Harbour City as much as possible.

We work collaboratively with them. When LV was looking for additional space, we created it for them.

If other brands have the same requirement, we would be very happy to work with them, too. The idea is to retain them as much as possible in Harbour City.

In Tsim Sha Tsui, I think I am correct in saying that we still have a good bargaining position, but obviously we need to look over our shoulders all the time. I'm not sure whether I answered your question.

Angela Ng

Thank you, Chairman. Thank you all for the questions.

The webcast of this event will be uploaded to our official website tonight. Thank you very much for joining our event, and we wish you a nice evening.

Stephen Ng

Thank you.

Angela Ng

Thank you.